Q4 Earnings Season: Valuations Stretch, What to Focus?

Q4 earnings from the S&P 500 are sending mixed signals. Blended Q4 earnings growth stands at 8.2%, marking a potential 10th straight quarter of YoY growth, led by Information Technology and Materials, while Energy and Consumer Discretionary lag. Revenues are growing 7.8%, still solid but below long-term averages. Meanwhile, the forward P/E has climbed to 22.2, well above historical norms, raising questions about how much good news is already priced in. What to focus during this earnings season?

Can KB Home (KBH) Provide A "Less Bad" Guidance For Spring Season To Gather Sharp Relief Rally

$KB Home(KBH)$ is scheduled to release its fiscal first-quarter 2026 earnings today, March 24, 2026, after the market closes. The homebuilding sector is currently navigating a "wait-and-see" environment. While long-term housing demand remains structurally high, KB Home is specifically sensitive to first-time buyers who are most affected by the current mortgage rate volatility. Key Financial Expectations Analysts are bracing for a significantly weaker year-over-year (YoY) comparison, as the company laps a much stronger early 2025. EPS Estimate: $0.52 to $0.55 (A projected ~65% decline from $1.49 in Q1 2025). Revenue Estimate: $1.1 billion (A projected ~21% decline YoY). Housing Gross Margin: Expected to land between 15.4% and 16.0%, down sharply fro
Can KB Home (KBH) Provide A "Less Bad" Guidance For Spring Season To Gather Sharp Relief Rally
Wanna sit on magic carpet and soar to the moon - $Alibaba(BABA)$ for me :)
avatarECLC
03-19
Tencent appears to be stronger for this earnings season based on previews and recent market performance.
avatarMyrttle
03-19
$Alibaba(BABA)$ is my pick. I think their direction into AI will help them
baba
avatarShyon
03-18
This earnings season, I’m watching both Tencent & Alibaba, but I lean toward $TENCENT(00700)$ . Gaming & advertising remain strong, and its international segment adds resilience, even with short-term AI spending pressuring margins. I also like that Tencent’s core business is more predictable, which matters in a volatile market. Alibaba $Alibaba(09988)$ $Alibaba(BABA)$ is in transition. Cloud & AI are the key growth drivers, but heavy investment in instant retail and market share defense is weighing on profits, making near-term performance less predictable. If its AI monetization starts to show traction, Alibaba could surprise on the upside, but
both loon similar, so e ni my ni mo.  I Pick BABA

[Stock Prediction] Tencent or Alibaba — Which one are you betting on this earnings season?

This week, two Chinese tech giants are stepping into the spotlight: $TENCENT(00700)$ and $BABA-W(09988)$ $Alibaba(BABA)$ Which one are you betting on this earnings season? What to Watch $TENCENT(00700)$ reports on March 18 Wall Street is expecting revenue of about RMB 193.5 billion, up 14.6% from a year ago. EPS is expected to come in at RMB 7.02, up 28.5%. Tencent’s main business still looks strong. Gaming should remain the backbone, with older hit titles still bringing in cash and newer games adding extra support. Its international gaming business is also expected to stay strong. Advertising is another bright spot.
[Stock Prediction] Tencent or Alibaba — Which one are you betting on this earnings season?
avatarJC888
03-18

BABA the 100% AI titan, not MU & PLTR !

$Micron Technology(MU)$ and $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ are two of the hottest artificial intelligence (AI) stocks, at the moment. Both companies generate phenomenal revenue and earnings growth as demand for their products soars, thanks to developments in AI and US market did not let it go unnoticed. Why are they so “hot” now ? Comparison - Quarterly earnings. Both MU and PLTR are producing excellent financial results right now. MU Earnings. For Q1 2026, MU reported: Revenue of $13.64 billion beating analysts’ estimates of $12.83 billion. Earnings per share (Non GAAP) was $4.78 /share vs Wall street consensus’s of $3.94. Net Income (GAAP) amounted to $5.24 billion. PLTR Earnings. For Q4 2025, PLTR
BABA the 100% AI titan, not MU & PLTR !

Can Costco (COST) Provide A Massive Beat To Revise The "Dip" Post Earnings?

$Costco(COST)$ is set to report its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on Thursday, March 5, 2026, after the market closes. Following a strong Q1, expectations are high, with the stock trading near all-time highs and a premium valuation of approximately 53x P/E. Q2 2026 Earnings Expectations Earnings Per Share (EPS): Consensus estimates are around $4.53 to $4.54, representing a ~12.7% increase year-over-year. Revenue: Projected at $69.22 billion, an 8.6% increase from the prior year. Comparable Sales (Comps): Analysts are looking for total company comp growth of 5.7% to 6.5%. January sales data already showed a robust 7.1% increase, providing a strong tailwind for the quarter. Costco (COST) reported its fiscal Q1 2026 results on December 11, 2025. While the
Can Costco (COST) Provide A Massive Beat To Revise The "Dip" Post Earnings?
avatarKYHBKO
03-02

(Part 3 of 5) S&P500 outlook - what 20+ indicators say (02March2026)

Market Outlook of S&P500 (02Mar2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is on a downtrend, implying a bearish outlook. Moving Averages The price action, as depicted by the candlesticks, is currently situated above the 50-day and 200-day moving average (MA) lines. The last candle is sitting above the 50-day & 200-day moving average (MA) line. This positioning indicates a bullish trend in the short and long-term outlook. Both the 50 MA and the 200 MA lines are trending upward, reinforcing the positive trend. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) The three Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing a bearish outlook. The 3 lines have converged, and we may see a trend change. Chaikin Money Flow
(Part 3 of 5) S&P500 outlook - what 20+ indicators say (02March2026)
avatarKYHBKO
03-02

(Part 2 of 5) Economic Calendar - 02Mar2026 > Sea Limited?

Earnings Calendar (02Mar2026) I am interested in the earnings of Target, CrowdStrike, Sea, Broadcom, Costco, Kroger and Kura. Let us look at Sea Limited. Stock Performance and Valuation Sea Limited ended the most recent trading day with a closing price of $108.45. Reviewing the one-year price chart reveals a consistent downtrend, which has contributed to a decline of 14.8% over the past year. From a technical analysis standpoint, the recommendation is to strongly sell, reflecting the persistent negative momentum in the stock price. In contrast, analyst sentiment indicates a strong buy recommendation, with a price target set at $180.54. This target suggests a potential upside of more than 66% compared to the last closing price, raising the question of whether the stock deserves renewed
(Part 2 of 5) Economic Calendar - 02Mar2026 > Sea Limited?

Can Sea (SE) Revise EPS Misses With Reducing Credit Losses?

$Sea Ltd(SE)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal Q4 and full-year 2025 results on Tuesday, March 3, 2026, before the U.S. market opens. After a volatile 2025, the stock is entering this print with significant expectations. Analysts are projecting a year-over-year surge in both revenue and profitability, but recent downward revisions suggest a "show me" story for investors. Key Estimates & Consensus Revenue: ~$6.45B to $6.78B (Est. +36% YoY) Earnings Per Share (EPS): ~$0.90 (Est. +45% YoY) Recent Momentum: The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by roughly 9% over the last 30 days, creating a lower bar for a potential beat but also signaling caution. Sea Limited's (SE) fiscal Q3 2025 results, reported in November 2025, were a classic "mix
Can Sea (SE) Revise EPS Misses With Reducing Credit Losses?

Watch MongoDB (MDB) FY2027 Guidance and AI Monetization Updates

$MongoDB Inc.(MDB)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal Q4 2026 results on Monday, March 2, 2026, after the market closes. The stock has been a high-performer in fiscal 2026, recently benefiting from a re-acceleration in cloud adoption and AI-driven workloads. However, with a high valuation (roughly 12x sales) and a track record of massive price swings, this earnings print is a high-stakes event for both investors and short-term traders. Q4 2026 Consensus Expectations MongoDB (MDB) reported its fiscal Q3 2026 results on December 1, 2025, delivering what many analysts called a "blockbuster" quarter. The report effectively erased lingering concerns about a slowdown in cloud consumption and sent the stock surging over 15% in after-hours trading. Q3 2026
Watch MongoDB (MDB) FY2027 Guidance and AI Monetization Updates
avatarTBI
02-24

[29] CCI, NOW, POOL

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
[29] CCI, NOW, POOL
avatarTBI
02-23

[28] AKAM, CPRT, XYZ

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
[28] AKAM, CPRT, XYZ
avatarTBI
02-21

[27] CLX, GD, WDAY

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
[27] CLX, GD, WDAY
avatarTBI
02-15

[17] HOOD, NTES, VKTX

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
[17] HOOD, NTES, VKTX
AI has entered a full-scale infrastructure build-out phase. We expect annual AI-related infrastructure spending to exceed US$400–500 billion by 2026, driven by accelerated data-centre construction, higher-density compute requirements, and rising power and cooling needs. At this level, AI infrastructure investment approaches ~2% of US GDP, placing it alongside past general-purpose technology cycles such as cloud computing and telecommunications. However, this remains a front-loaded capital cycle. Cash outflows precede revenue, and monetisation remains uneven across sectors. For current equity valuations to be sustained, the AI ecosystem must ultimately generate US$1.7–2.5 trillion in incremental annual revenue by the end of the decade. As infrastructure spending accelerates into 2026, balan

Can Moderna (MRNA) Outrun Regulatory Delays With Its Cost-Cutting?

$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal Q4 2025 and full-year results on Friday, February 13, 2026, at 8:00 a.m. ET. The company is currently in a high-stakes transition from a pandemic-focused entity to a diversified biotech platform. While recent "pre-announcements" in January have already shared some high-level figures, the official report will be the definitive signal for 2026 sentiment. Moderna’s (MRNA) Fiscal Q3 2025 earnings, reported on November 6, 2025, were a pivotal moment for the company. Despite a steep year-over-year revenue decline, the report was widely viewed as a "win" because the company demonstrated it could aggressively manage its transition into a post-pandemic business. Q3 2025 Financial Summary Moderna signi
Can Moderna (MRNA) Outrun Regulatory Delays With Its Cost-Cutting?