SaaS Misss: CoreWeave Faces More Correction?

Salesforce reported Q4 revenue of $11.2 billion, up 12% YoY, its fastest growth in two years, beating expectations. However, FY2027 revenue guidance of $45.8–46.2 billion was slightly below the $46.06 billion consensus. C3.ai announced it will lay off 26% of its global workforce as part of a restructuring plan under new CEO Stephen Echegoyen. CoreWeave hit $5B annual revenue, with backlog (incl. RPO) surging to $66.8B, up 3x YoY. For 2026, capex is set at $30B+—at least triple 2025—while ARR could reach $19B by year-end. Shares fell over 10% after hours.

Adobe (ADBE) Margins Protection Amidst AI SaaS Stock Concerns

$Adobe(ADBE)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal Q1 2026 results on Thursday, March 12, 2026, after the market close. The stock currently finds itself in a "show-me" period. Despite record FY2025 revenue, the share price has been under pressure due to fears that generative AI (like OpenAI’s Sora or Midjourney) might commoditize creative software. This earnings call is a high-stakes moment for Adobe to prove its AI monetization is scaling. Key Estimates & Guidance Revenue Consensus: $6.28 billion (Targeting ~10% YoY growth). Earnings Per Share (EPS): $5.88 (Non-GAAP). Management Q1 Guidance: Revenue of $6.25B–$6.30B; EPS of $5.85–$5.90. The Fiscal Q4 2025 earnings report (released December 10, 2025) was a classic "beat and drop" scenario for Ado
Adobe (ADBE) Margins Protection Amidst AI SaaS Stock Concerns

UiPath (PATH) ARR and Guidance For Its New Agentic AI Platform To Watch

$UiPath(PATH)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal fourth-quarter 2026 results on Wednesday, March 11, 2026, after the market closes. The company is currently in a transitional phase, moving from traditional Robotic Process Automation (RPA) toward "agentic" AI-driven automation. Earnings Expectations (Q4 FY2026) Wall Street expectations have remained relatively stable leading up to the report: Revenue: Consensus estimate is $464.86 million, representing approximately 9.7% year-over-year growth. Non-GAAP EPS: Analysts are projecting $0.25, a slight decline from the $0.26 reported in the same quarter last year. Prior Performance: UiPath has a history of beating both revenue and EPS estimates. In Q3 2026, they delivered a revenue beat of nearly 5% and
UiPath (PATH) ARR and Guidance For Its New Agentic AI Platform To Watch

Will Okta (OKTA) Be Another Casualty or Reviver Of SaaS Crash?

$Okta Inc.(OKTA)$ is scheduled to release its fiscal Q4 2026 (ending January 31, 2026) financial results on Wednesday, March 4, 2026, after the market close. The stock enters this earnings cycle under significant pressure, having dropped roughly 12% to 15% in the month leading up to the report. This suggests that while expectations are high for a "beat," the market is deeply concerned about AI disruption and growth deceleration. Q4 2026 Estimates & Guidance The following consensus estimates are the "lines in the sand" for the upcoming report: Okta reported its fiscal Q3 2026 results on December 2, 2025. While the company delivered a "beat and raise" on paper, the market's reaction was cautious, highlighting a growing tug-of-war between Okta's
Will Okta (OKTA) Be Another Casualty or Reviver Of SaaS Crash?
avatarxc__
02-27

Is the SaaS Bubble Finally Bursting? 😱📉 Tech Giants Stumble Amid Sky-High Expectations!

Buckle up, folks— the SaaS world just got a reality check that's sending shockwaves through Wall Street! 🚀💥 With growth slowing and layoffs hitting hard, investors are questioning if this is just a blip or the kickoff to a massive software sector shakeup. Let's dive deep into the latest drama from powerhouse players like Salesforce, C3.ai, and CoreWeave, and what it means for your portfolio. 📊🔍 First up, Salesforce is flexing some serious muscle but still missing the mark on future vibes. Their Q4 haul? A whopping $11.2 billion in revenue, soaring 12% year-over-year—their zippiest sprint in two years! 🏃‍♂️💨 They crushed analyst expectations on the top line, proving cloud CRM is still king. But hold the confetti: Their FY2027 guidance landed at $45.8–46.2 billion, just a hair under the $46.
Is the SaaS Bubble Finally Bursting? 😱📉 Tech Giants Stumble Amid Sky-High Expectations!

AI Software Stress Test: Is Claude Their Partner or Replacement?

In early February, U.S. tech stocks narrowly escaped a scare triggered by fears that "AI software might be replaced." Although the partnership between AMD and Meta restored some confidence yesterday, the market remains on edge. Over the past three months, software stocks have endured a "massacre." Investors previously assumed that AI Agents would act like bulldozers, leveling traditional software companies. However, a recent presentation by AI giant Anthropic shifted the narrative: Claude no longer aims to be the "Terminator"; it wants to be a "Partner." Market Status: From "Universal Hype" to "Selective Picking" Recent price action shows a shift in the market's attitude toward AI: Focus on Efficiency, Not Just Growth: Previously, simply mentioning "AI" sent stock prices up. Now, if your A
AI Software Stress Test: Is Claude Their Partner or Replacement?
avatarxc__
02-26

🚨 AI Reset Alert: Is the Hype Fading? Salesforce Stumbles on Guidance, C3.ai Slashes Deep, CoreWeave Battles Delays! 🔥

$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ Buckle up, folks! The AI landscape is shaking like a glitchy neural net. 😵‍💫 With Salesforce dropping a solid Q4 beat but whispering softer vibes for the future, C3.ai swinging the axe on jobs amid epic misses, and CoreWeave dodging infrastructure potholes— is this the great AI software reset we've been whispering about? Let's dive deep into the drama, crunch the numbers, and see if near-term wins are getting buried under long-term clouds. No fluff, just facts up to February 26, 2026. 📈 First off, Salesforce ( $Salesforce.com(CRM)$ ) just wrapped FY2026 with a bang: Q4 revenue hit $11.2 billion, up 12% year-over-year—their zippiest growth in two years! 🎉 They smashed expectations, w
🚨 AI Reset Alert: Is the Hype Fading? Salesforce Stumbles on Guidance, C3.ai Slashes Deep, CoreWeave Battles Delays! 🔥

Feb 2026 Portfolio Update

Feb 2026 Portfolio Performance: A loss of SGD 2000, representing a 0.4% loss. 2026 Dividends: Accumulated SGD 5000 dividends year-to-date. In February 2026, anxiety surrounding AI is dominating the stock market. Top enterprises feel compelled to invest heavily in AI to avoid being displaced by competitors, yet these investments may not generate meaningful income in the near term. Many industries face genuine threats from AI. Simple software services could be replaced entirely, and SaaS companies may see revenue decline as AI reduces the demand for manpower. However, while the fear is real, I should not reject AI; instead, I must embrace it. The Hang Seng TECH ETF's $Lion-OCBC Sec HSTECH S$(HST.SI)$  current P/E ratio is around 16, offering
Feb 2026 Portfolio Update
1. Fundamentals vs Market Reaction AppLovin • AppLovin reported excellent Q4 results: revenue ~US$1.66 billion (+66 % year-on-year) and net income +84 % to ~US$1.10 billion, with adjusted EBITDA up ~82 %. These outcomes beat expectations and point to strong earnings quality and profit margin expansion.  • Management also guided for continued sequential revenue growth in Q1.  • Despite this, the shares fell sharply on earnings day. The decline reflects investor concern rather than lack of operational performance. Palantir • Recent price weakness in PLTR is part of a broader pullback in software and technology stocks. Reuters and market sources have noted Palantir among software names with significant drawdowns as sentiment deteriorated.  Implication: The divergence between st
avatarTBI
02-18

[25] CMCSA, CRWD, PLTR

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
[25] CMCSA, CRWD, PLTR
These three updates collectively signal a transition phase in the AI cycle. Growth remains strong, but markets are now rewarding efficiency and visibility, not merely expansion. --- 1. Salesforce (CRM) – growth stabilising, expectations too high 12% YoY growth, fastest in two years, confirms enterprise software demand is improving. The issue is guidance. Slightly soft FY2027 outlook tells investors AI monetisation will be gradual, not explosive. Market takeaway: Salesforce is shifting from restructuring-driven margin expansion to steady AI productivity gains. Implication: Not a demand problem. It is a valuation problem. Investors already priced stronger acceleration. --- 2. C3.ai – AI hype meets economic reality 26% workforce reduction signals a pivot toward profitability. Enterprise AI ad
avatarTBI
02-15

[16] APP, CRSR, DDOG

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
[16] APP, CRSR, DDOG
The three updates together reveal an important shift inside the AI sector: the market is moving from “AI excitement” to “AI efficiency and execution.” Each company sits at a different stage of that transition. --- 1. Salesforce (CRM): Solid fundamentals, valuation discipline 12% YoY growth and fastest expansion in two years confirms enterprise software demand is stabilising. The slight guidance miss matters because expectations were already high after the AI narrative around Agentforce and automation. Market interpretation Investors now want AI monetisation, not AI features. Salesforce is viewed as a cash-flow compounder, not a hyper-growth AI winner. Implication: Downside likely limited unless enterprise IT spending weakens. Upside depends on proving AI lifts productivity revenue, not jus
avatarHuat99
03-02
$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ : The 18% Crash & The End of the "AI Growth At Any Cost" Hall Pass CoreWeave just printed 110% YoY revenue growth ($1.57B) and announced a $14.2B Meta contract. The stock responded by violently crashing 18.5% at the open. Why? Because the market has officially stopped trading absolute top-line numbers. We are in a new regime. The tape is aggressively pricing in the second derivative of profitability and the suffocating cost of capital. Under the Hood (The Rate of Change): 1. The CapEx Black Hole: Fulfilling a $67B backlog requires terrifying capital. Management just doubled 2026 CapEx plans to $30–$35B. They are sitting on an $18.8B debt pile with dangerously low interest coverage. 2. Margin Collapse: Despite reve
Short answer: the sell-off in APP (and arguably PLTR) is less about deteriorating fundamentals and more about a regime shift in how markets price software in the AI era. But that does not automatically mean “mispriced”. What you are seeing is a transition from growth-multiple valuation to AI survivability valuation. The distinction matters. Let us unpack this carefully. --- 1. The paradox: exceptional fundamentals, collapsing stock Your numbers are correct, and the magnitude matters. AppLovin Q4 2025: Revenue: $1.658B (+66% YoY) Net income: $1.102B (+84% YoY) Adjusted EBITDA: +$1.399B (+82% YoY) Free cash flow surged with ~84% EBITDA margins Operationally, this is elite performance for a software platform. The company beat expectations and even issued above-consensus guidance.  Yet sh
avatarxc__
02-13

AppLovin & Palantir's Brutal 20% Bloodbath: AI Apocalypse Bargain Hunt or Total Flameout? 😱💥

$AppLovin Corporation(APP)$ $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ AppLovin's Q4 earnings just dropped like a bombshell, smashing expectations with revenue soaring 66% year-over-year to $1.658 billion and net income exploding 84% to $1.102 billion – adjusted EBITDA jumped 82% amid AI-driven ad tech dominance that's turning mobile gaming into a cash machine. Yet, despite this powerhouse performance pushing back against the "software apocalypse" sparked by Anthropic's workflow-crushing AI agents, APP shares cratered 20% post-earnings to $80 levels, dragging Palantir (PLTR) down 15% in sympathy as the sector reels from Apollo Co-President's chilling warning of an "extremely violent" tech cycle. Valuations are res
AppLovin & Palantir's Brutal 20% Bloodbath: AI Apocalypse Bargain Hunt or Total Flameout? 😱💥
CRWV faces continued correction risks but also shows potential stabilization at current levels. CRWV Is showing technical weakness, having declined 31% from its 52-week high. It also has ongoing profitability challenges, with forward P/E of -35.67. Despite the correction, CRWV trades at 8.07x Price-to-Sales, which remains elevated for a company with negative earnings in a competitive AI infrastructure market. However, CRWV has several Strategic Partnerships, e.g. it's recent Perplexity deal. NVIDIA's additional $2B investment signals industry confidence in CoreWeave's AI infrastructure positioning. The stock found technical support around $73-75 range. The 52-week low of $33.52 provides substantial downside protection from current levels. finally as a specialized AI cloud provider, CR

The Hidden Backbone of AI Data Centers

The rapid expansion of artificial intelligence (AI) has created one of the largest infrastructure buildouts in modern technological history. While companies such as GPU manufacturers and cloud providers receive the majority of investor attention, a critical layer enabling AI scalability operates behind the scenes. One such company is $Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd(CRDO)$. Credo focuses on high-speed connectivity solutions that allow AI servers and data centers to transmit vast amounts of data efficiently. As AI workloads continue to scale, connectivity increasingly becomes a performance bottleneck, positioning Credo as an important infrastructure enabler within the AI ecosystem. Credo is a semiconductor connectivity company specializing in hi
The Hidden Backbone of AI Data Centers

Clawdbot Bang: Are AI Agents Replacing Apps? SaaS a Golden Dip or Value Trap?

One of the hottest topics in the AI world lately is the sudden emergence of Clawdbot (OpenClaw). In the past, our workflows required humans to switch between different SaaS tools. Clawdbot is changing the game: it can directly take over tasks via APIs or automation scripts. When AI can deliver results directly — without you even opening a UI — will traditional SaaS software gradually be reduced to little more than backend databases? The deeper concern lies in business models. The core SaaS logic of seat-based pricing is facing potential disruption. If one AI agent can do the work of ten employees, will companies still pay for ten software licenses? Last week’s broad pullback in SaaS stocks may have been an early market reaction to this kind of “dimensionality reduction” threat. Earnings Di
Clawdbot Bang: Are AI Agents Replacing Apps? SaaS a Golden Dip or Value Trap?

Cloudflare Premium Valuation Might Hinder Significant Momentum Move

Software stocks recovered some losses for last week on Friday (06 Feb), and we have some names coming up with their earnings this week. $Cloudflare, Inc.(NET)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal Q4 2025 earnings on Tuesday, February 10, 2026, after the market closes. The company heads into this print with significant momentum, having reaccelerated revenue growth to 31% in Q3. However, with the stock coming off recent all-time highs and a premium valuation, the margin for error is slim. Key Metrics to Watch Investors will focus on whether Cloudflare can maintain its "rule of 40" performance (growth + margin) while scaling its AI and enterprise segments. Strategic Focus Areas The AI Tailwinds: Management has touted that 80% of leading AI companies use
Cloudflare Premium Valuation Might Hinder Significant Momentum Move
avatarMrzorro
02-13
Applovin Q4 Earnings Review: Blowout Results, Strong Guidance. How Should Investors Play the Volatility? Amid intensifying debate over AI's long-term impact on software business models and heightened volatility following Unity's earnings, $AppLovin Corporation(APP)$   reported its fourth-quarter results. The company delivered revenue of $1.66 billion (vs. $1.62 billion expected), up 66% year over year, and Adjusted Diluted EPS of $3.24 (vs. $3.07 expected). Shares initially fell more than 10% in after-hours trading before sharply narrowing losses to around 1%. Such volatility suggests the market is digesting concerns about future competition and structural industry shifts rather than questioning the quarter