$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ The current gold price is in a technical pattern characterized by a rebound from a bottom and wide-range volatility. On the H4 chart, the moving averages have formed a very standard and perfect bearish alignment. Even if gold prices rebound, the upside will be extremely limited, as the resistance zone at $4,345–$4,350 will act as an insurmountable barrier. A break below yesterday’s low of $4,311 will trigger a technical sell-off, with downside potential extending directly to $4,250 or even near $4,200. For today, firmly exe

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! Following the U.S. military strike on Iranian oil tankers, Brent crude briefly approached the $100 mark. In the past, an escalation of war has often been a direct positive for gold; however, against the current backdrop of monetary tightening, the surge in oil prices has intensified market fears of a global “reflation.” Investors have realized that high oil prices will force the Federal Reserve to adopt a more aggressive interest rate policy. This has caused the U.S. dollar to rise and gold to continue falling. The key support level is currently at 4,375; if this level cannot be held, gold will continue to seek support at 4,350! Short-term sell positions continue to generate profits!

Technical Analysis: After dipping to $4,341.35 and hitting a short-term support level, gold staged a rebound amid volatility. It subsequently formed a bullish swing high above the 4,450–4,460 range but has recently shifted to a downward correction from these highs. The price action shows signs of a slowing downtrend and stabilization through sideways consolidation at lower levels. If the short-term rebound consistently fails to break through and close above $4,425 on the 1-hour chart, the bears will maintain control. The market is highly likely to break below the local support at 4,360 and initiate a second retest of the extremely dense support zone at 4,310–4,305 below. If bulls force a rally driven by news events (such as a sudden escalation of geopolitical tensions or an unexpectedly we

Technical Analysis: The current gold price (4,434.60) is attempting to consolidate above the moving average band on the hourly chart. It faces significant resistance at the 4,440–4,450 level (near the previous high and the upper Bollinger Band). Currently, bulls and bears are engaged in a fierce tug-of-war around the 4,410–4,435 range. As the market awaits the upcoming release of key U.S. inflation data (CPI, PPI) this week to calibrate the interest rate hike path, gold is highly likely to continue trading in a wide range before these major data releases and the interest rate decision are finalized! When the gold price rebounds to the key resistance zone of $4,440–$4,450 and fails to break through with significant volume, traders may consider entering short positions for a short-term trade

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! Following the release of the U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, which was clearly another broad-based positive for gold, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) plummeted 0.57% to 98.991. The overall market sentiment has now undergone a dramatic reversal. $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ H1 Chart: The candlestick chart shows a pattern of several consecutive large bullish candles shooting up like bamboo shoots, with virtually no significant pullback. The price has now reached a high of $4,510.79. Breaking through the 4,500 level signifies that the medium-term bullish trend in the market has bee

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! The current price is trading around 4,370. Although it is at a relative high for the day (up +0.95%), it encountered significant resistance after surging to around 4,397.65, leaving an upper shadow on the chart, which indicates some selling pressure above. If the price pulls back to test the support level below and stabilizes there, accompanied by another surge in trading volume, gold is likely to test today’s high of 4,397 again. Once the price effectively breaks through the 4,400 psychological level, upside potential will open up. Here is the strategy for the upcoming New York session: (If the price stabilizes near 4,350) Buy: 4,345–4,350 TP: 4,380–4,385 SL: 4,330

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! Technical Analysis: $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ Gold prices are currently in a clear short-term downtrend and are testing the key support at the lower Bollinger Band around 4,413! After a previous rally (peaking at 4,696.59), gold prices experienced a sharp pullback, exhibiting a clear pattern of lower highs. Currently, the one-hour chart shows a cluster of bearish candles, with bearish momentum dominating. Intraday price action may see either an oversold rebound or consolidation at lower levels. Following a sharp short-term plunge, the deviation between the candlesticks an

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 Amid a confluence of factors including a ballooning fiscal deficit, frequent interventions in the bond market, and shifting interest rate expectations, gold is once again on its way to the $5,000 mark. From holding above the key $4,000 support level to the potential for its best monthly performance in 25 years, and with institutions raising their year-end targets, bullish sentiment towards gold is significantly intensifying. However, inflationary pressures and the Federal Reserve's policy direction remain crucial variables influencing gold prices, and whether gold can truly break through the $5,000 barrier before the end of the year remains to be seen. $Gold - ma

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 Gold continued its upward trend; a brief technical pullback couldn't halt the upward momentum, meeting my test results from Friday! $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ It has currently reached a high of around 4640! In an hour, gold will test above 4650. Keep buying! 2 Successfully reached above 4650, breaking through the psychological barrier of 4650! There is no effective resistance above, and there's a chance to reach around $4700 before the European market opens. A pullback would present a buying opportunity! Resistance is now above 4700 before the European market opens!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 H1: Gold is currently consolidating in a high-level flag pattern (a consolidation phase) following the establishment of a bullish trend. The short-term strategy remains focused on buying on dips, with light positions taken for short-term sell trades at high resistance levels. Rally met with resistance: $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ After surging to around 4548, gold failed to break through in one go. The current hourly chart shows a slightly lower bearish doji or small bearish candle, indicating strong intraday selling pressure in the 4545–4550 zone. Although there has been

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! Currently, after a sharp rally, the market has confirmed short-term top signals and is in a clear phase of accelerating decline ahead of the European market open. $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ The bearish “Dark Cloud Cover” pattern indicates that, after reaching an all-time high of 4,527.45, the 4-hour chart has closed with two consecutive bearish candles featuring extremely large real bodies, completely engulfing the real bodies of the previous bullish candles. Technically, this is a classic signal of a top formation and reversal. Currently, there are no signs of a bottoming out indicated by a lower shadow; prices are expected to continue testing the 4,425–4,430

Gold Technical Analysis: $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Currently, the 4-hour candlestick chart is showing a bearish downtrend, heading straight toward the lower Bollinger Band at $4,320. The price pattern has formed a “head-and-shoulders top” and “M-top” structure, indicating a short-term top. Since the pullback from the mid-August high (above 4,450), the highs have continued to decline. The current price has not only broken below the middle Bollinger Band at $4,378, but the short-term moving averages (MA5/MA10) have also formed a bearish crossover at higher levels above the price, confirming a short-term bearish trend. The area around $4,362

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! Technical Analysis: The 1-hour chart for gold shows a sideways consolidation at high levels. The short-term bearish trap has ended, and signals of a bottoming pattern have emerged. Key resistance: today’s intraday highs at 4436–4440! $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ First Support (Short-Term Stop-Loss): 4386–4388 (intraday low and lower Bollinger Band). Second Support (Pivotal Point for Swing Strength): 4374–4376 (key 50% Fibonacci retracement level and resonance zone with the previous consolidation platform; this is a bottom line that bulls must defend at all costs)! Continue to focus on Buy trades. Strategy: Buy: near 4395–96; TP: 4420–4425–4430; SL: 4382

1 The past week saw a dramatic tug-of-war between bulls and bears in the global gold market. Gold opened at $4346 on Monday (August 11th), surging to a two-month high near $4450 mid-week. However, profit-taking led to a sharp 1.3% drop on Thursday, and further declines to a weekly low near $4310 on Friday. Just when bears thought they had the upper hand, unexpectedly weak US retail sales data reversed the tide, resulting in a textbook V-shaped reversal for gold prices, ultimately closing at $4375.80, a weekly gain of approximately 0.8%. The weekly swing of approximately 140 points resulted in a bullish weekly candlestick with a long lower shadow, demonstrating the resilience of the bulls. This was a result of cooling US economic data, expectations of a Fed rate cut, and escalating geopolit

Gold has now accelerated its decline, breaking below the lower Bollinger Band. Bearish momentum is unleashing with great force, and the price action is exhibiting an extremely weak, one-sided downtrend. The current downward slope is extremely steep, with bearish forces completely dominating the market. It is expected that, following a weak short-term rebound, the gold price will directly target the extremely critical psychological and technical round number level of 4300–4310. $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ A short-term downtrend has formed in gold, and blindly buying the dip is absolutely forbidden today. The strategy is to sell on rallies! The key resistance level is currently at 4342-4350! Optimal strategy for the Asian and Euro

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ Technical Analysis: Bullish momentum for gold (XAUUSD) remains extremely strong, with the price hitting an intraday high of $4,433.94. Gold is currently firmly above all moving averages, and every pullback to the MA5 or MA10 has turned into a rapid buying opportunity for bulls! The price has evolved from a base near 4,000, through a steady rise after breaking above 4,200, to the current accelerated phase of the main uptrend following the break above 4,400. The overarching trend continues to adhere to the core principle of “buying on dips in the t