Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 Key News-Driven Factors (Mixed Bullish and Bearish Sentiment, with Bears Slightly in the Lead) ： $Gold - main 2608(GCmain)$ 1. Bearish: The Fed’s monetary policy remains generally hawkish. Situation: Fed officials (such as Kevin Warsh) have previously raised their inflation and interest rate forecasts for 2026. Currently, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, while it is highly likely that rates will remain unchanged in July, the market is still pricing in the expectation of another rate hike in the future (e.g., in September). High real interest rates resulting from a high-interest-rate environment, coupled with a strong U.S. Dollar Index, are currently the pr
XAUUSD Gold Traders
No personal profile
27Follow
489Followers
0Topic
0Badge
GOLD: Which Way to Go?
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis wtih you! 1. Upside Support (Geopolitical Safe-Haven Demand): As expected, renewed tensions in the Middle East (U.S. airstrikes against Iran triggering some retaliatory measures) continue to drive safe-haven buying in gold, firmly keeping the price above the $4,100/oz. psychological level. 2. Downward Pressure (Fed Rate Hike Repricing): However, the latest Fed meeting minutes reveal that policymakers are deeply concerned about high inflation. According to the CME Federal Funds Rate, the market’s probability of a rate hike in September has rebounded to around 63%. This has led to a short-term strengthening of the U.S. dollar, significantly capping gold’s upside potential; HSBC has also recently lowered its 2026 average gold price for
Gold: Waiting for the Federal Reserve’s June Policy Meeting
Gold: Waiting for the Federal Reserve’s June Policy Meeting
GOLD: Impact of Core Fundamentals
Impact of Core Fundamentals (News): $Gold - main 2608(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Bullish Factors: Weak labor market data has reduced the opportunity cost of holding gold, while continued gold purchases by global central banks as part of their reserve diversification efforts provide long-term strategic support for gold prices. Weakening Short-Term Catalysts: Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East (such as shipping in the Strait of Hormuz and the Doha negotiations) have recently shown some marginal easing or a resumption of shipping, causing the geopolitical premium previously factored into prices to diminish somewhat. Intraday Focus: As market liquidity wa
GOLD: Signs of a Bullish Breakout in Gold are Becoming Increasingly Clear
Technical Chart Patterns:$Gold - main 2608(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Signs of a bullish breakout in gold are becoming increasingly clear. The candlestick chart shows a distinct V-shaped reversal combined with a stair-step rally accompanied by increasing volume! Following a surge triggered by positive economic data, the gold price instantly rose above the key psychological level of $4,100 and is currently testing the $4,200 level. Indicator Status: On the H1 timeframe, the Bollinger Bands are widening dramatically in an upward trend. The candlesticks are trading right along the upper band. The MACD is rapidly diverging above the zero line, with the red mome
GOLD: Signs of a Bullish Breakout in Gold are Becoming Increasingly Clear
The Federal Reserve has Recently sent Hawkish Signals
$Gold - main 2608(GCmain)$Fed Policy Pressure (Bearish): The Federal Reserve has recently sent hawkish signals suggesting it may further tighten monetary policy this year. Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh reiterated the central bank’s determination to bring inflation down to the 2% target, which pushed up real U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY, which held steady above 101), causing gold—a non-interest-bearing asset—to suffer a sharp decline throughout June. Easing Geopolitical Tensions (Bearish): The U.S. and Iran reached a preliminary ceasefire agreement and are moving forward with the Doha talks. The “safe-haven premium” driven by the Middle East geopolitical crisis has recently faded significantly, weakening safe-h
The Federal Reserve has Recently sent Hawkish Signals
GOLD: Risk Management is Crucial
$Gold - main 2608(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$Today is the last trading day of June, and also the closing day of the monthly chart! The gold market typically experiences significant volatility on such dates, so risk management is crucial! Gold has once again fallen below $4,000, and the downward trend is expected to continue throughout the day, with the next important level at $3,950!
GOLD: Risk Management is Crucial
GOLD: Focus on Selling on Rallies as Prices Approach Resistance Levels
Technical Analysis: $Gold - main 2608(GCmain)$ After a sharp decline, gold is currently trading within a high-range consolidation pattern following a rebound. The price found support at the previous low (around $3,968) and staged a corrective rally, but is now facing significant resistance at the $4,098–$4,100 range! The trading recommendation is to focus on selling on rallies as prices approach resistance levels! Strategy: XAUUSD Sell: 4082–4086 TP: 4060 SL: 4101 This week, the market will see a flurry of U.S. June labor market data releases (including Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) and JOLTS job openings). If the nonfarm payrolls data comes in strong, it will reinforce expectations of a Fed rate hike and weigh on gold; the price may
GOLD: Focus on Selling on Rallies as Prices Approach Resistance Levels
For intraday trading, maintain a Buy-focused strategy!
Technical Analysis: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Looking at the H1 (1-hour) chart for gold, the price has undergone a clear downtrend and, following a recent rebound from lows, is currently in a consolidation phase. V-shaped Reversal and Bottom Formation: The price has formed a local “double bottom” or a variant of a “head-and-shoulders bottom” near the 4036 level. This was followed by a strong rally with consecutive bullish candles and increased volume, directly breaking through the previous downward resistance. Bullish Scenario (High Probability, 60%): If support at 4176-4150 holds, the price will continue to rebound and test 4220-4250. A break above 4250 could target 4300. V-shaped rebound momentum remains intact, and trading volume has
For intraday trading, maintain a Buy-focused strategy!
GOLD: The Market has Now Entered a Consolidation Phase
1 The current overall trend for gold (XAU/USD) is weak and bearish, with short-term structural consolidation at lower levels. Strong non-farm payroll data last Friday (June 5th) caused a sharp drop in gold prices, while earlier this week, potential ceasefires in the Israeli-Palestinian and Iranian-Israeli geopolitical situations eased safe-haven demand, suppressing any rebound in gold prices. Currently, after falling to a two-month low near $4,268, it has stabilized and is temporarily trading sideways around $4,330. $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ 2 Technical Analysis: Following a sharp one-sided plunge, gold has been consolidating within a range after breaking directly through the previous rectangular consolidation zone (the 4450–
GOLD: The Market has Now Entered a Consolidation Phase
GOLD: Gold has Reached $4,300 for the First Time
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 Gold started to fall around 4353.5, and the sell signal I gave over the weekend was effective! (On rebound to 4348–52, TP: 4310, SL: 4365.) It's currently in a continued downtrend! The lowest point reached was around 4311, with a maximum profit of 400 points! Did you enter the sell order? $Gold - main 2608(GCmain)$ 2 Gold has reached $4,300 for the first time since March 23! We successfully hit the $4,310 target! Maximum profit of 420 pips! If it breaks below $4,300 during the Asian session, the bearish trend will continue! After a rebound, continue to focus on sell positions!
GOLD: Gold has Reached $4,300 for the First Time
GOLD: Gold is Currently Maintaining its Accelerated Downward Trend Following the Breakout
$S&P 500(.SPX)$Technical Analysis: Gold is currently maintaining its accelerated downward trend following the breakout. Previous Price Action: After a volatile rebound, the price encountered resistance at the upper boundary (around the 4538.60–4555.40 zone) and subsequently entered a downtrend channel characterized by progressively lower highs and lower lows. It has now broken through several local support lows within the previous consolidation range (around 4454.60), with the current price quoted at 4438. This breakout pattern indicates that bearish momentum is accelerating! Expected Movement: The price is expected to continue its downward trajectory—either directly or following a minor, weak correction—to test support levels.
GOLD: Gold is Currently Maintaining its Accelerated Downward Trend Following the Breakout
GOLD: Financial Markets are Beginning to Readjust their Projections for Policy
$Gold - main 2608(GCmain)$On Thursday (June 4th) during the Asian session, the US dollar index retreated slightly, trading around 99.45. With Israel and Lebanon agreeing to a ceasefire, expectations for a ceasefire in the Middle East have increased, slightly weakening the safe-haven demand for the dollar. Previously, concerns about a deteriorating situation in the Middle East and rising expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike had pushed the dollar index to a near two-month high after three consecutive days of gains. Gold prices continued their downward trend during Thursday's Asian trading session, currently trading around $4463. As US economic data continues to show resilience, market expectations for the Federal
GOLD: Financial Markets are Beginning to Readjust their Projections for Policy
The NFP Data is Coming
The market consensus forecast for the U.S. May ADP employment report (often referred to as the “small non-farm payrolls”) is an increase of 120,000, which is higher than the previously reported figure for April (109,000). The data will be officially released by Automatic Data Processing, Inc. at 8:15 a.m. ET. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 📊 Data Preview, Key Context, and Previous Results: April’s ADP private-sector employment rebounded better than expected, with actual figures reaching 109,000 (against a market forecast of 99,000), marking a new high in over a year and indicating that hiring in the U.S. private sector is gradually stabilizing. May Forecast: Currently, Wall Street and research institutions generally predict that May will see
The NFP Data is Coming
Iran Suspends Talks, US Treasuries Fall, Traders Raise Rate Hike Expectations
$Gold - main 2608(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ US Treasury prices fell as peace talks between the US and Iran showed signs of stalling, fueling concerns that high energy costs would exacerbate inflation and prompt the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. Monday's sell-off led to a rise in yields in the $31 trillion US Treasury market, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising by about 6 basis points to nearly 4.5%, while oil prices rose by more than 7%. The two-year Treasury yield, most sensitive to Fed policy expectations, also rose by about 6 basis points to 4.07%. This followed Iran's suspension of talks with the US through intermediaries in protest again
Iran Suspends Talks, US Treasuries Fall, Traders Raise Rate Hike Expectations
GOLD Has Reached the Support Level
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! Gold opened slightly lower on Monday, June 1, 2026, falling as much as 0.48% to around $4,518 per ounce, as market sentiment briefly cooled. The previous weekend's lack of a clear breakthrough in US-Iran peace talks, coupled with the continued advance of Israeli troops into southern Lebanon, further exacerbated international concerns about the Middle East situation spiraling out of control. Meanwhile, US crude oil opened nearly 2% higher, surging over 3% to above $90 per barrel at one point. The rebound in energy prices directly boosted inflation expectations and strengthened the pressure on the Federal Reserve to maintain high interest rates or even raise them, becoming the main reason for the short-term pressure on gold
GOLD Has Reached the Support Level
Federal Reserve Policy: Hawkish Expectations Continue to Suppress Gold Prices
News/Fundamental Analysis (Latest as of May 2026) $Gold - main 2608(GCmain)$ The latest US inflation data (April CPI 3.8% year-on-year, core CPI 2.8% year-on-year) both exceeded market expectations, significantly cooling market expectations for a Fed rate cut and even raising the probability of a rate hike. The US dollar and US Treasury yields continued to rise. In a high-interest-rate environment, the holding cost of gold as a non-interest-bearing asset has increased significantly, leading to a continuous outflow of funds from the gold market into interest-bearing assets such as bonds. This is the core reason for the recent continuous decline in gold prices. The market currently widely expects that the probability of a Fed rat
Federal Reserve Policy: Hawkish Expectations Continue to Suppress Gold Prices
Gold Faces a Crucial Week!
Six Key Data Points Trigger "Terrifying Volatility," How Will the Non-Farm Payrolls Data Determine the Fate of Gold and Silver?$Gold - main 2608(GCmain)$ Gold and silver will face a crucial test in the coming week, with investors focusing on the health of the US economy and labor market. In the next few trading days, the US will release a series of important economic data, which could significantly influence market expectations for the Federal Reserve's policy path and further affect precious metal price movements. This week, gold and silver prices were supported by uncertainty surrounding the US economic growth outlook and expectations of changes in the interest rate path. Gold continued to benefit from safe-haven demand and t
Gold Faces a Crucial Week!
GOLD: Maintain a Primarily Long Bias
$Gold - main 2608(GCmain)$Gold prices stabilized around $4,500 on Friday (May 29), following a rebound from the previous trading session. Reports of an initial agreement between the U.S. and Iran eased market concerns over inflation and interest rate outlooks. Technical Analysis: After a sharp V-shaped rebound from a deep decline, gold found support at the bottom (around 4368–4372) and launched a powerful technical recovery. Moving average divergence correction: Following a rapid surge to approximately 4511.88, prices clearly diverged from the moving averages (MA). The current phase features sideways consolidation or slight pullback at higher levels—a typical adjustment in both time and space after a steep rally. Strong resista
GOLD: Maintain a Primarily Long Bias
GOLD: Exhibiting a Clear Short-term Accelerated Decline
On May 28, 2026, gold (XAU/USD) is currently fluctuating around $4,373, exhibiting a clear short-term accelerated decline. $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$$Gold - main 2608(GCmain)$ Technical Analysis: 1. Clear Bearish Pattern and Breakout From the candlestick chart you provided (with moving average indicators), we can see: Accelerated Breakout: Gold prices previously traded in a narrow rectangular range around $4,500 for a period. However, recently, the candlestick broke through the previous key support level and broke through the psychological level of $4,400 with consecutive large bearish candlesticks. Moving Average Resistance: The red moving averages (MA) in the cha
GOLD: Exhibiting a Clear Short-term Accelerated Decline
GOLD: The Short-term Trajectory of Gold is Currently Caught Between Two Opposing Forces
International news developments: The short-term trajectory of gold is currently caught between two opposing forces—the expectation of significant easing in the Middle East's geopolitical tensions and the persistent hawkish narrative from the Federal Reserve. $Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$$S&P 500(.SPX)$ 1. Key bearish factor: U.S.-Iran financial asset agreement reached, reducing geopolitical risk aversion Significant progress: According to the latest reports, with Qatar’s mediation, the United States and Iran have reached an understanding regarding Iran’s frozen financial assets. Markets widely expect both sides to formally announce the deal within the next one or two
GOLD: The Short-term Trajectory of Gold is Currently Caught Between Two Opposing Forces
Go to Tiger App to see more news