nizzmo
nizzmo
Fortune favors those who follow the trend
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avatarnizzmo
10-31
$Phunware, Inc.(PHUN)$ Given the firm's internal growth initiatives, I anticipate that Phunware will face margin compression towards the end of eFY24 and throughout eFY25. This is due to its efforts to strengthen go-to-market strategy, coupled with the increased R&D expenses. Based on this analysis, I assign PHUN shares a STRONG SELL rating with a price target of $3.01 per share, representing a 5.71x multiple of eFY25 price-to-sales.
avatarnizzmo
10-30
$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ It's up roughly 20% since the last report. But, the larger question is this thing is a great performer why is up 2% on the year, when its peers like $Ally(ALLY)$ and $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ are all up 40+% on the year. SOFI has significantly underperformed its peer group for 2 years. You could have literally put your money in cash at the start of the year and yielded 5%.
avatarnizzmo
10-29
$Apple(AAPL)$ I'm a skeptic that any of the AI hyped products or services will be monetized, but that applies to Apple's peers as well. The idea that $Microsoft(MSFT)$ is in the catbird's seat 2nd only to $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ I think is absurd. Windows recall is a joke, and Windows Autopilot has been renamed how many times now? Few will pay for a subscription to use it. AI features will just be folded into current products and services like any other incremental improvement, just like always. People don't expect to pay for incremental improvements, they think it is table stakes. An AI reset of expectations is coming, but the idea that App
avatarnizzmo
10-25
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ I’m thinking about selling because of valuation concerns and the stock price, but I also want to hold for long-term growth. If it doesn’t reach my $30 target—where it has shown resistance—I could end up losing on what I sold and then have to buy back at a higher price, negating any profits I pocketed.I know I might not be a patient investor, but I believe this company has the potential for fantastic ROI over time. Why did I sell before the earnings report? Sure, it could drop, but if it rises, I might never see $30 again. It feels like a risky move.
avatarnizzmo
10-24
$PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ PDD has been on this crazy downward spiral for days, and it feels like we’re just waiting for a decent bounce. It’s so frustrating! Every time I think it might finally turn around, it just keeps dropping. I can’t help but wonder if it’s on track to hit 100 again. It’s hard not to get anxious watching this. I really want to believe in the company’s potential, but this pattern is making it tough. I just hope we see some positive movement soon.
avatarnizzmo
10-24
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ I recently initiated very small OTM puts position mostly as a gentle hedge in my portfolio. I think this company's valuation is way way over-done, and I don't think the cashflow will catch up any time soon. But it doesn't mean I necessarily want to step in front of a train. Some folks wondered if they should trim their positions, my 2 cents is yes, if you have been holding this stock, it would not be a bad time to take at least some green off the table. Good luck!
avatarnizzmo
10-23
$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Despite impressive ad revenue growth and promising VR efforts, Meta’s Reality Labs has been a significant drain on profitability, with cumulative losses surpassing $50 billion since 2020. This ongoing financial burden poses a major risk to sustainable growth, as continued high expenses could offset gains from AI and VR advancements​
avatarnizzmo
10-22
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ AMD still bearish, it just made a lower high to form another bear flag! AMD Been riding a down trend since the highs of March. Downtrend look to be breaking but down she goes again. Earnings next Tues. $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ has been the clear winner in the Ai chip race + software race.Image
avatarnizzmo
10-21
$JD.com(JD)$ This situation feels like the result of problems building up over time, and now they’re coming to a head. It’s like the first domino has fallen. JD’s market share will likely be chipped away by competitors bit by bit, and their heavy assets are starting to look more like a burden. It’s hard not to draw parallels with the fates of Gome and Suning. In a highly competitive environment, if you’re not moving forward, you’re falling behind. The weight of inefficiency could drag JD down unless they make some serious changes.
avatarnizzmo
10-21
$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ For now ASML stock is gutted, down 38% from its high and there will be further bad news. Moreover, following the results, the numbers will be reworked and the analysts will downgrade this stock which will be a sentiment spoiler in the weeks and months ahead. This is going down more before it can move to the lofty value
avatarnizzmo
10-17
$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ ASML is down 38% from its all time high now, both the USD and the EUR (domestic) denominated stocks. As far as ASML is concerned, its already is in a steep bear market. If the broader market sinks at any point, this stock could really get rolled. I am wondering if this will be a sentiment spoiler for the market...
avatarnizzmo
10-17
$Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ I was actually saying the search engine side of things holds more value for alphabet. As long as enough people continue using it regardless of browser, then heck with Chrome. If a potential divestment of Chrome were to also include the search engine bundled alongside, that would be a negative event.
avatarnizzmo
10-17
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ My anti-Elon portfolio is doing much better… $AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$ and $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ are both up like 10% today. TSLA has been trending down for years now…no amount of hype is changing it….and $Trump Media & Technology(DJT)$ …that is a meme stock…it has no underlying value. Perhaps musk will get X to buy it in exchange for government favors if DJT gets elected…that is the only reason I can think of why anyone would buy it…Elon may already be buying to push up the price…I think he has his thumb on the poly market odds as well…
avatarnizzmo
10-16
$HSI(HSI)$ The Hang Seng Index is repeatedly testing the 20,000 support level, and each time, the bounce-back is getting weaker. Until that 20,000 mark breaks, it’s wise not to go heavy on positions. For now, playing lightly around 20,000 and taking smaller trades to make some pocket money sounds like a smart strategy. It’s all about staying cautious and waiting for clearer signals before committing more capital.
avatarnizzmo
10-16
$NIO Inc.(NIO)$ $NIO-SW(09866)$ NIO has really been underperforming lately. After this recent rally, it seems like it was one of the first to pull back, and the magnitude of that drop is pretty concerning. Even with the overall market stabilizing, NIO just doesn't seem to find its footing. It’s frustrating to watch! I hope they can turn things around soon, but right now, it feels like a waiting game.
avatarnizzmo
10-15
$ARM Holdings Ltd(ARM)$ ARM isn’t some tiny startup; it’s been around the block, so the crazy high valuation is pretty wild. It’s like, how can they justify that price-to-earnings ratio? It feels risky, and jumping in at those levels seems like a recipe for disaster, a potential double whammy with losing half your investment. Honestly, I thought the hype would keep it afloat, but now I’m not so sure. It’s tough to watch a once-promising idea take such a nosedive. I mean, who wants to get burned by a stock that’s supposed to be a solid player? Definitely makes me more cautious about my next moves. I’ll be keeping my eyes peeled for better opportunities!
avatarnizzmo
10-14
$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ Fundamental analysis shows continued growth and a history of exceeding expectations. Technical analysis, however, implies that it stopped being a momentum / Buy & Hold play and transitioned to a swing play last june/july. A risk and business dependency that has not been mentioned is the reliance on $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ , whose manufacturing throughput & beat rate defines supply.
avatarnizzmo
10-14
$Top Wealth Group Holding Limited(TWG)$ Top Wealth Group’s moves are really impressive! However, we definitely need to keep an eye on that upcoming placement of 27 million shares. That’s a significant chunk! Sure, the stock price has shot up, and it’s easy to get swept up in the excitement, but we can't overlook the dilution effect from this share issuance.It’s like a double-edged sword—while the hype is real, we should be cautious about how this affects overall value. Once those new shares hit the market, it could take a bite out of earnings per share, and that might cool off some of the enthusiasm. So, let’s enjoy the moment but stay grounded. It’s important not to celebrate too soon! Balancing excitement with a bit of c
avatarnizzmo
10-12
$Celsius Holdings, Inc.(CELH)$ Does this look like a company that can raise prices by mid-single digits in the near term? Maybe, but I doubt it. It seems more like retailers are clearing out inventory at any price. I still see most retailers offering 20%+ discounts on Celsius products online.Image
avatarnizzmo
10-11
$Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ Google has been playing catch up for being too far behind the curve in a lot of areas where its competitors have (or at least appear to) been more commercially focussed. GOOGL was guilty of some self indulgence when it was the only tech game in town, burning cash flow on numerous non profitable, ad hoc projects in an attempt to find ways of diversifying away from just being an internet search engine algorithm. Having said that, its impending demise in that capacity has been greatly exaggerated. The tech game may yet bifurcate further between applications (inc.data collection) and infrastructure. On the one hand Musk (Starlink),

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