$Phunware, Inc.(PHUN)$Even though Phunware has demonstrated impressive growth in bookings and is making strides in narrowing its losses, I find that its fundamentals are still relatively weak. Despite these positive signs, profitability remains a distant prospect, which poses a significant risk for long-term investors. Given the current state of the company's financials, I believe that there is still much uncertainty surrounding its future profitability and growth potential. As a result, I am hesitant to invest in Phunware for the long-term, as the risk associated with its fundamentals outweighs the potential rewards. While the company may continue to show positive signs of improvement, I believe that it will take some t
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$AMD doesn't have the breadth, scale or first mover advantage in either CPU's or GPU's for both client and the DC. It can't continue to fight on two fronts out funded and outgunned by laser focused competitors. And let's not forget to consider, for a moment, the possibility that this AI train is likely to completely derail. Even the biggest proponents like $Microsoft(MSFT)$ are beginning to temper expectations around AI revenue and move the goal posts the best they can. There are numerous headwinds building for AMD.
$Phunware, Inc.(PHUN)$Honestly, I’ve got my doubts about Phunware hitting $15 from an $8.50 entry. I just don’t see it happening, to be real. It feels like the hype is more about the sequence of events rather than the company itself. Everything seems so orchestrated, and in the end, it feels like the biggest winner is going to be $Trump Media & Technology(DJT)$ .
$Trump Media & Technology(DJT)$ it is not emotional. Crunch the numbers: DJT is virtually worthless as a company. The only reason the stock price is so high is emotions over the election. Trump will likely win the election and then shareholders will own a money losing company worth at best $1.80 per share with a share price of $40. These do not end well in the long term.
$Amazon.com(AMZN)$I believe it’s essential to consider the risks tied to over-exuberance. With major players like Amazon, $Alphabet(GOOG)$$Alphabet(GOOGL)$$Apple(AAPL)$ reporting, I see heightened expectations already built into their stock prices. Instead of aggressively taking positions, I prefer adopting a defensive strategy, focusing on the potential for disappointing earnings or guidance to trigger pullbacks, especially considering regulatory pressures on Alphabet and rising competition for Amazon. For this reason, I would consider shorting high-expectation stocks like AMZN or taking pu
$Apple(AAPL)$I don't think that the iphones will be going away anytime soon due to the brand having such a reputable reputation (well, in the U.S. anyways). What I am worried about though is Apple's lack of innovation. The iphones won't be going away, but the newer ones cetainly have not been providing enough incentives for people to upgrade. I know many people that still have the iphone 10, 11, or 12 because they've simply had no reason to pay $800+ for a phone with just a better camera and being faster. From the average consumer's perspective, the camera is already good enough as it is and I don't see anyone really caring about it being faster. Apple intelligence is something else I don't see people exactly being estat
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$I'm personally leaning towards a gradual withdrawal, you know, like easing out of it instead of making one huge splashy exit. I'm thinking about cashing in some profits around the corner, and then slowly but surely, I'll start unwinding my position over the course of FY25. Though, that might still be a bit too hasty. I guess I'll just have to play it by ear and see how those earnings reports shape up.
$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$If demand for NVIDIA starts to slow and their customers begin to turn into competitors, that could really shift the dynamics. The idea of Blackwell being a significant factor, followed by Rubin, makes it feel like we’re nearing the end of a cycle for NVIDIA. If the stock approaches $160, I totally get the urge to sell. It might be wise to lock in profits before any potential downturn. It’s always better to play it safe, especially if you think the momentum is shifting. Closing time can be a smart time to exit!
$JD-SW(09618)$ if there's a real drop coming, it’s likely after Singles’Day or when the earnings report hits. Right now, it feels like just a technical adjustment. People hoping to see JD crash need some patience—it’s not going down that easy. The company’s got too many moving parts for a quick fall. Even if JD's in trouble, it’s still going to hang in there for a while.
$Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$If I have 10 million in the bank and interest rates go up 10%, I make $1 million. If you have 1 million in the bank you make $100,000. $MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ has approximately 10 TIMES MSTR's stash, that means at 10,000 coins mined a year, it's going to take DECADES for MARA to catch up. Since I think bitcoin in just a few years will be well north of $150K, MARA just can't catch the leveraged growth MSTR has, and the math isn't even close in that regard.
$Alibaba(BABA)$It’s wild, right? Alibaba continues to play the lead in the market downturn, just as expected. But seeing it drop more than $JD.com(JD)$ , especially after JD’s own “black swan” moment, is kind of mind-blowing. I didn’t think it would underperform like this.Honestly, it does feel like Alibaba might be heading for a similar correction to what we saw in June. If it slides another 5%, I’m thinking that could be the perfect window to start getting in slowly, bit by bit. It’s all about timing those dips, right? As long as the fundamentals hold, buying during these corrections could pay off in the long run. Sometimes, it’s just about staying patient and taking advantage o
$JD.com(JD)$Honestly, if we're here to make money, we need to look at JD’s stock from a practical perspective. First off, did the recent event push JD's price into a buying range? Nope, in fact, it ticked up a bit. So no bargains there. Secondly, did this mess hurt JD’s fundamentals? Probably, but it’s hard to say how much. Is it just a short-term emotional reaction, or are they losing quality customers long-term? Maybe it's even a sign of internal management issues. With these two points combined, I’d say this is definitely not a good entry point right now. It’s better to wait and watch for clarity.
$Alphabet(GOOG)$$Alphabet(GOOGL)$If Apple started selling iPhones without a default search engine here's what would happen. You would open your new iPhone and be prompted to choose a search engine. 90% of users would choose Google. The next prompt would ask "Set as default search engine?" 90% percent would choose "Yes, set as default." Google ends up as the default search engine on 81% of devices. Google could lose all of Apple's revenue, and Apple wouldn't suffer much
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Tesla Robotaxi Event was a disaster. Stock down 10%. Analysts disappointed. Simps howling how cool it was. It was a spectacle of the absurd. Absurd and fraud. Tesla is an auto company disguised as a tech company. A real wolf in sheep's clothing for its portfolio. Tesla has NO MOAT like all real winner tech companies, it has margins in the middle of the pack for auto companies but about 4 times less than a real tech company.
$HSI(HSI)$The index showed a weak rebound, but the Hang Seng didn’t hit my target entry point of 19,954, so I’m just going to stay patient and wait for the right opportunity. The reason the Hong Kong market isn't moving up is pretty straightforward—without a boost from the Hang Seng Tech and Chinese financial stocks, it’s tough for the index to gain any traction. It’s all about those key sectors firing up for a real upward move.
$TENCENT(00700)$it's risky to be overly optimistic when the stock is clearly in a downtrend. With Tencent, the recent surge seems more tied to broader market movements rather than any real improvement in its fundamentals. It’s easy to get swept up in the excitement, but we need to stay grounded and recognize that this uptick might not be sustainable. It’s crucial to differentiate between genuine growth and just riding the market wave. Being cautious and doing your homework is the way to go right now!
Will Nvidia still be the market leader in the next decade?
$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$It’s in a sweet spot at the moment but that never lasts other competitors will produce similar products at lower prices. You do not need blackwell’s for everything. There is a danger many of the hyperscalers are spending money on reading and storing garbage which is not AI and information is not intelligence. Looking at the historic earnings Nvidia is trading at c99 x does anyone seriously think it will be the market leader next century and that no other competition or technology will overtake it? It is always the nature of the markets that FOMO pushes values too far and they come back down. This separates long term investors who can see further than the end of their nose from speculators that think ev
$Alibaba(BABA)$$BABA-W(09988)$Alibaba’s recent rally does feel like a bit of an overreaction from the market. While it’s great to see some enthusiasm, I’m not convinced there are solid fundamental reasons backing this optimism, especially regarding the government’s stimulus package. Sure, any stimulus can provide a temporary boost, but without real, sustainable changes in the company's fundamentals or the broader economy, it’s hard to see how this rally can hold. Investors should be cautious and critically evaluate whether the excitement is genuinely warranted or if it’s just a fleeting reaction.
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$$PLTR is a great company and I'm long, but the idea that the price could or should go higher is getting ridiculous. The company has a very bright future ahead of itself undoubtedly but its current share price is beyond overinflated. I would never consider buying a single share until it returns to low $30's which is actually a fair price. Nonetheless its been a fun trip
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Robo Event through the eyes of TSLQ,,,The Cybercab was geo fenced so it doesn't really count.FSD is rated the bottom by Consumer Reports... so its already a fail!Besides, the cybercab is a scam.Nobody is gonna trust the cybercab. $Alphabet(GOOG)$$Alphabet(GOOGL)$ Waymo is way ahead of Tesla.Another show where Elon makes promises he will never keep.Only Tesla cult believes this BS!Like the old man yelling at clouds....Tesla turning billions into millions dismissing Elon and Tesla.Enjoy the ride :-)