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Treasury Bailout Aftermath: Gold Surges, Dollar Dumps—What’s Next?
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Is the Rebound After the U.S. Stock Sell-Off a Shorting Opportunity? How to Capture the Rebound in Crude Oil and Gold?
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and Treasuries Diverge: How to Position Ahead of a Market Turn?📈📉","htmlText":"The encouraging directional signal from cryptocurrencies during FOMC week did not last long. Although the Nasdaq reached a new all-time high, most risk assets did not confirm the move. Worse still, long-term bond yields also hit new highs, clearly conflicting with the fundamental reasoning behind our earlier expectations. Judging by the credibility of these breakouts, the bond market may prove the more reliable signal if there is no outside intervention. That means we need to be more cautious about the possibility that the turning point could arrive sooner than expected. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/BTCmain\">$CME比特币主连 2610(BTCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BIT\">$BlackRock Multi-Sector Income Tr(BIT)$</a>","listText":"The encouraging directional signal from cryptocurrencies during FOMC week did not last long. Although the Nasdaq reached a new all-time high, most risk assets did not confirm the move. Worse still, long-term bond yields also hit new highs, clearly conflicting with the fundamental reasoning behind our earlier expectations. Judging by the credibility of these breakouts, the bond market may prove the more reliable signal if there is no outside intervention. That means we need to be more cautious about the possibility that the turning point could arrive sooner than expected. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/BTCmain\">$CME比特币主连 2610(BTCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BIT\">$BlackRock Multi-Sector Income Tr(BIT)$</a>","text":"The encouraging directional signal from cryptocurrencies during FOMC week did not last long. Although the Nasdaq reached a new all-time high, most risk assets did not confirm the move. Worse still, long-term bond yields also hit new highs, clearly conflicting with the fundamental reasoning behind our earlier expectations. Judging by the credibility of these breakouts, the bond market may prove the more reliable signal if there is no outside intervention. That means we need to be more cautious about the possibility that the turning point could arrive sooner than expected. $CME比特币主连 2610(BTCmain)$ $BlackRock Multi-Sector Income Tr(BIT)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fadb82585d6c61f7e38cbfd6a73ee6a9"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":49,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":16,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/612589968314848","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1370,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274763284018","authorId":"3479274763284018","name":"MarsBloom","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33f31b0657bdd536143132c5bc71f66f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274763284018","idStr":"3479274763284018"},"content":"From a cross-asset angle, the bond signal matters more if term premium is driving yields higher, not growth. That usually tightens financial conditions faster than equities price in","text":"From a cross-asset angle, the bond signal matters more if term premium is driving yields higher, not growth. That usually tightens financial conditions faster than equities price in","html":"From a cross-asset angle, the bond signal matters more if term premium is driving yields higher, not growth. That usually tightens financial conditions faster than equities price in"}],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":610375379914840,"gmtCreate":1790048124404,"gmtModify":1790048174418,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Fed Hike Lands: Direction Confirmed? Risk Assets Set for Another Strong Month","htmlText":"The much-anticipated Federal Reserve decision came and went last week, with the 25-basis-point move ultimately causing little market disruption. Following the intraday and weekly tug-of-war between bulls and bears, the short-term outlook has become broadly clear: risk assets are likely to maintain their current choppy upward trend over the next one to two months. Whether it is gold, where our order narrowly missed being filled by just a few dollars, or U.S. equity indices, which remain near their highs, pullbacks should continue to offer opportunities to buy in the near term. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGC2612\">$E-Micro Gold - Dec 2026(MGC2612)$</a>","listText":"The much-anticipated Federal Reserve decision came and went last week, with the 25-basis-point move ultimately causing little market disruption. Following the intraday and weekly tug-of-war between bulls and bears, the short-term outlook has become broadly clear: risk assets are likely to maintain their current choppy upward trend over the next one to two months. Whether it is gold, where our order narrowly missed being filled by just a few dollars, or U.S. equity indices, which remain near their highs, pullbacks should continue to offer opportunities to buy in the near term. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGC2612\">$E-Micro Gold - Dec 2026(MGC2612)$</a>","text":"The much-anticipated Federal Reserve decision came and went last week, with the 25-basis-point move ultimately causing little market disruption. Following the intraday and weekly tug-of-war between bulls and bears, the short-term outlook has become broadly clear: risk assets are likely to maintain their current choppy upward trend over the next one to two months. Whether it is gold, where our order narrowly missed being filled by just a few dollars, or U.S. equity indices, which remain near their highs, pullbacks should continue to offer opportunities to buy in the near term. $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ $E-Micro Gold - Dec 2026(MGC2612)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/98f66785537b6bb5cd962b2d4ae2e8b3"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":153,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/610375379914840","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2081,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000692","authorId":"9000000000000692","name":"BartonBecky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58026ab8f0edf0d829859314a737d6a4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000692","idStr":"9000000000000692"},"content":"3430 getting tagged is the gift here, not the miss. Gold still looks bid into the next month","text":"3430 getting tagged is the gift here, not the miss. Gold still looks bid into the next month","html":"3430 getting tagged is the gift here, not the miss. Gold still looks bid into the next month"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":609028128932000,"gmtCreate":1789719293202,"gmtModify":1789719877417,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Will September’s FOMC set the market’s direction——How to trade gold and Bitcoin trends?💰💰","htmlText":"Disclaimer: The views expressed below are personal opinions only and do not constitute investment advice. They are provided for informational purposes only. Last night, I shared my views in Tiger’s futures livestream following the Federal Reserve’s overnight rate hike. With the decision now behind us, markets have entered a critical phase of testing whether the negative catalyst has been fully priced in. The discussion covered the real drivers behind the rate decision, the outlook for future policy, long-dated U.S. Treasury yields as the key market gauge, and trading views on crypto assets, gold, U.S. equities, crude oil, and foreign exchange. For those who missed the session, the replay is available>>","listText":"Disclaimer: The views expressed below are personal opinions only and do not constitute investment advice. They are provided for informational purposes only. Last night, I shared my views in Tiger’s futures livestream following the Federal Reserve’s overnight rate hike. With the decision now behind us, markets have entered a critical phase of testing whether the negative catalyst has been fully priced in. The discussion covered the real drivers behind the rate decision, the outlook for future policy, long-dated U.S. Treasury yields as the key market gauge, and trading views on crypto assets, gold, U.S. equities, crude oil, and foreign exchange. For those who missed the session, the replay is available>>","text":"Disclaimer: The views expressed below are personal opinions only and do not constitute investment advice. They are provided for informational purposes only. Last night, I shared my views in Tiger’s futures livestream following the Federal Reserve’s overnight rate hike. With the decision now behind us, markets have entered a critical phase of testing whether the negative catalyst has been fully priced in. The discussion covered the real drivers behind the rate decision, the outlook for future policy, long-dated U.S. Treasury yields as the key market gauge, and trading views on crypto assets, gold, U.S. equities, crude oil, and foreign exchange. For those who missed the session, the replay is available>>","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4a73ec34df6425156a39ad82c80292ab"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":85,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":30,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/609028128932000","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3133,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274785641432","authorId":"3479274785641432","name":"Chungllq","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/159d15638df857f22133cce85bb6593d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274785641432","idStr":"3479274785641432"},"content":"I care more about the Treasury curve than the hike itself. Gold and Bitcoin usually split once the curve starts steepening for the wrong reasons","text":"I care more about the Treasury curve than the hike itself. Gold and Bitcoin usually split once the curve starts steepening for the wrong reasons","html":"I care more about the Treasury curve than the hike itself. Gold and Bitcoin usually split once the curve starts steepening for the wrong reasons"}],"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":607712196923416,"gmtCreate":1789375718817,"gmtModify":1789375871575,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"How to Reposition After Taking Profits: A Practical Framework for Futures Rollovers and ETF Trading","htmlText":"After holding the positions for more than two months, our long EUR and WTI crude oil trades both generated positive returns last week. With a Federal Reserve rate hike drawing near, new trade setups may emerge at any time. Many investors still have questions about several key issues. This week, we will use the current market backdrop to review the main considerations and provide a practical framework. Managing Futures Contract Rollovers One of the most common questions concerns futures contract rollovers. Because we frequently run swing trades and some positions are held for relatively long periods, changes in the front-month or most-active contract are sometimes unavoidable. Since physical delivery is generally not a practical option, the choices are usually limited to the following: Sett","listText":"After holding the positions for more than two months, our long EUR and WTI crude oil trades both generated positive returns last week. With a Federal Reserve rate hike drawing near, new trade setups may emerge at any time. Many investors still have questions about several key issues. This week, we will use the current market backdrop to review the main considerations and provide a practical framework. Managing Futures Contract Rollovers One of the most common questions concerns futures contract rollovers. Because we frequently run swing trades and some positions are held for relatively long periods, changes in the front-month or most-active contract are sometimes unavoidable. Since physical delivery is generally not a practical option, the choices are usually limited to the following: Sett","text":"After holding the positions for more than two months, our long EUR and WTI crude oil trades both generated positive returns last week. With a Federal Reserve rate hike drawing near, new trade setups may emerge at any time. Many investors still have questions about several key issues. This week, we will use the current market backdrop to review the main considerations and provide a practical framework. Managing Futures Contract Rollovers One of the most common questions concerns futures contract rollovers. Because we frequently run swing trades and some positions are held for relatively long periods, changes in the front-month or most-active contract are sometimes unavoidable. Since physical delivery is generally not a practical option, the choices are usually limited to the following: Sett","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5066f91db118b219ae0e0039ac8de604"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":40,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/607712196923416","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3335,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000169","authorId":"9000000000000169","name":"JohnnyYoung","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df6a0fed4b2624034014be633476534a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000169","idStr":"9000000000000169"},"content":"FOMC day usually blows up fill assumptions. For GLD those staggered limits look fine, but slippage around the decision can dwarf the setup. A defined-risk options spread might handle execution risk cleaner","text":"FOMC day usually blows up fill assumptions. For GLD those staggered limits look fine, but slippage around the decision can dwarf the setup. A defined-risk options spread might handle execution risk cleaner","html":"FOMC day usually blows up fill assumptions. For GLD those staggered limits look fine, but slippage around the decision can dwarf the setup. A defined-risk options spread might handle execution risk cleaner"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":605122676002976,"gmtCreate":1788765813482,"gmtModify":1788768981188,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Long-Term Yields Are Approaching a Tipping Point—Could Dollar Drop Another 10%？","htmlText":"Recently, the broader market and most asset classes have remained locked in a relatively measured, range-bound tug-of-war. Inflation and rate-hike discussions have driven short-term volatility, but they have not triggered any meaningful change in the overall trend. Meanwhile, in a less closely watched corner of the market, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has gradually climbed back toward the highs of the previous tightening cycle. If bond prices lose further control from here, both the Federal Reserve and the market itself could face significant challenges. In theory, changes in U.S. interest rates drive fluctuations in Treasury prices and, in turn, movements in Treasury yields. In other words, policy rates should serve as the anchor. This year, however, long-dated Treasury yields have cle","listText":"Recently, the broader market and most asset classes have remained locked in a relatively measured, range-bound tug-of-war. Inflation and rate-hike discussions have driven short-term volatility, but they have not triggered any meaningful change in the overall trend. Meanwhile, in a less closely watched corner of the market, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has gradually climbed back toward the highs of the previous tightening cycle. If bond prices lose further control from here, both the Federal Reserve and the market itself could face significant challenges. In theory, changes in U.S. interest rates drive fluctuations in Treasury prices and, in turn, movements in Treasury yields. In other words, policy rates should serve as the anchor. This year, however, long-dated Treasury yields have cle","text":"Recently, the broader market and most asset classes have remained locked in a relatively measured, range-bound tug-of-war. Inflation and rate-hike discussions have driven short-term volatility, but they have not triggered any meaningful change in the overall trend. Meanwhile, in a less closely watched corner of the market, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has gradually climbed back toward the highs of the previous tightening cycle. If bond prices lose further control from here, both the Federal Reserve and the market itself could face significant challenges. In theory, changes in U.S. interest rates drive fluctuations in Treasury prices and, in turn, movements in Treasury yields. In other words, policy rates should serve as the anchor. This year, however, long-dated Treasury yields have cle","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5b9c0da16441a49c050245e8146a14af"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":72,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":148,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/605122676002976","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4801,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000411","authorId":"9000000000000411","name":"breezzi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5ad2cc67582df9ded2545cb87a71ea7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000411","idStr":"9000000000000411"},"content":"10-year yield near the prior high is the real pressure point. Market still feels too relaxed about curve inversion hitting banks and tightening dollar liquidity.","text":"10-year yield near the prior high is the real pressure point. Market still feels too relaxed about curve inversion hitting banks and tightening dollar liquidity.","html":"10-year yield near the prior high is the real pressure point. Market still feels too relaxed about curve inversion hitting banks and tightening dollar liquidity."}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":602811705636352,"gmtCreate":1788167567316,"gmtModify":1788168587894,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Nonfarm Payrolls in Focus: Will Gold Hold as Equity Indices Reassess?","htmlText":"Following last weekend’s Jackson Hole symposium, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivered a relatively hawkish message, prompting the market to reassess and reprice the timing of U.S. interest-rate hikes. According to the current FedWatch data, the probability of a rate hike at the end of September is slightly above 50%. This implies that the next round of nonfarm payroll and inflation data to be released next month could play an important role. From a data perspective, the probability of a rate hike surged by nearly 20 percentage points within just one week, driven entirely by Warsh’s remarks rather than by any other major economic data releases. However, based on historical experience, only probabilities above 70% tend to produce near-certain outcomes. With the current probability still below 60%","listText":"Following last weekend’s Jackson Hole symposium, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivered a relatively hawkish message, prompting the market to reassess and reprice the timing of U.S. interest-rate hikes. According to the current FedWatch data, the probability of a rate hike at the end of September is slightly above 50%. This implies that the next round of nonfarm payroll and inflation data to be released next month could play an important role. From a data perspective, the probability of a rate hike surged by nearly 20 percentage points within just one week, driven entirely by Warsh’s remarks rather than by any other major economic data releases. However, based on historical experience, only probabilities above 70% tend to produce near-certain outcomes. With the current probability still below 60%","text":"Following last weekend’s Jackson Hole symposium, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivered a relatively hawkish message, prompting the market to reassess and reprice the timing of U.S. interest-rate hikes. According to the current FedWatch data, the probability of a rate hike at the end of September is slightly above 50%. This implies that the next round of nonfarm payroll and inflation data to be released next month could play an important role. From a data perspective, the probability of a rate hike surged by nearly 20 percentage points within just one week, driven entirely by Warsh’s remarks rather than by any other major economic data releases. However, based on historical experience, only probabilities above 70% tend to produce near-certain outcomes. With the current probability still below 60%","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4333b14b2bdaa25e8bfb18f30d201e7a"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":23,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/602811705636352","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2474,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":600364937115136,"gmtCreate":1787570211720,"gmtModify":1787645572733,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"U.S. Equity Technicals Turn Bearish? Several Opportunities Worth Watching (Recent Yield Sharing)","htmlText":"The market did not take long to choose a short- to medium-term direction. Last week, gold and crypto assets both surged, making it clear that the market had entered a new phase of rebound. The previous trading logic can therefore be carried forward naturally, and risk assets are expected to remain resilient through the period before the fourth quarter. The only factor requiring particular caution is the speed of the advance. The logic chain of crypto assets—gold—risk assets changed slightly during last week’s trading. Following the news that the U.S. Treasury would purchase bonds, gold reacted most quickly. However, in terms of both absolute gains and the pace of appreciation, Bitcoin and Ethereum—whose volatility is inherently higher—soon staged a catch-up move and outperformed the earlie","listText":"The market did not take long to choose a short- to medium-term direction. Last week, gold and crypto assets both surged, making it clear that the market had entered a new phase of rebound. The previous trading logic can therefore be carried forward naturally, and risk assets are expected to remain resilient through the period before the fourth quarter. The only factor requiring particular caution is the speed of the advance. The logic chain of crypto assets—gold—risk assets changed slightly during last week’s trading. Following the news that the U.S. Treasury would purchase bonds, gold reacted most quickly. However, in terms of both absolute gains and the pace of appreciation, Bitcoin and Ethereum—whose volatility is inherently higher—soon staged a catch-up move and outperformed the earlie","text":"The market did not take long to choose a short- to medium-term direction. Last week, gold and crypto assets both surged, making it clear that the market had entered a new phase of rebound. The previous trading logic can therefore be carried forward naturally, and risk assets are expected to remain resilient through the period before the fourth quarter. The only factor requiring particular caution is the speed of the advance. The logic chain of crypto assets—gold—risk assets changed slightly during last week’s trading. Following the news that the U.S. Treasury would purchase bonds, gold reacted most quickly. However, in terms of both absolute gains and the pace of appreciation, Bitcoin and Ethereum—whose volatility is inherently higher—soon staged a catch-up move and outperformed the earlie","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/303d9238ce578291f21c7dac927a8907"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/93ef538b66f2a9ec58e9cb425b285da3"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/68f7713df5514ce78db52b56cc593097"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":93,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":10,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/600364937115136","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3600,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000469","authorId":"9000000000000469","name":"MortimerDodd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45889c069df88784e75b651f763a062a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000469","idStr":"9000000000000469"},"content":"Crude still looks constructive to me. Inventory draws and backwardation matter more here than the entry plan, and that stop-to-breakeven shift makes sense","text":"Crude still looks constructive to me. Inventory draws and backwardation matter more here than the entry plan, and that stop-to-breakeven shift makes sense","html":"Crude still looks constructive to me. Inventory draws and backwardation matter more here than the entry plan, and that stop-to-breakeven shift makes sense"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":599160618893400,"gmtCreate":1787310145639,"gmtModify":1787312667657,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"US Treasury Bond Purchases: Gold Surges, Dollar Plunges—But Is a Bull Market Really Here?","htmlText":"Last night, I shared my latest assessment of gold, equity indices, crypto assets, and the US dollar in the futures livestream room on the Tiger Brokers platform following the release of news regarding US Treasury purchases of government bonds. The central focus of the livestream was how to determine whether the market had shifted from a consolidation phase into a new trending phase by analyzing correlations among different asset classes. For those who were unable to attend, the replay of the video course is available below: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://live.livesaasvolccdn.com/9999/5490386\">Massive US Treasury Rescue Buying! Gold Surges, the Dollar Plunges: What Trading Opportunities Lie Ahead?</a> I will now categorize and summarize the key information and trading-related insights fro","listText":"Last night, I shared my latest assessment of gold, equity indices, crypto assets, and the US dollar in the futures livestream room on the Tiger Brokers platform following the release of news regarding US Treasury purchases of government bonds. The central focus of the livestream was how to determine whether the market had shifted from a consolidation phase into a new trending phase by analyzing correlations among different asset classes. For those who were unable to attend, the replay of the video course is available below: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://live.livesaasvolccdn.com/9999/5490386\">Massive US Treasury Rescue Buying! Gold Surges, the Dollar Plunges: What Trading Opportunities Lie Ahead?</a> I will now categorize and summarize the key information and trading-related insights fro","text":"Last night, I shared my latest assessment of gold, equity indices, crypto assets, and the US dollar in the futures livestream room on the Tiger Brokers platform following the release of news regarding US Treasury purchases of government bonds. The central focus of the livestream was how to determine whether the market had shifted from a consolidation phase into a new trending phase by analyzing correlations among different asset classes. For those who were unable to attend, the replay of the video course is available below: Massive US Treasury Rescue Buying! Gold Surges, the Dollar Plunges: What Trading Opportunities Lie Ahead? I will now categorize and summarize the key information and trading-related insights fro","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4a73ec34df6425156a39ad82c80292ab"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ef16d815628cdf7dbca7e64155e97a4e"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c21d473dbbefd8d5b56f54703648d3c5"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":98,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":16,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/599160618893400","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3389,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274803156147","authorId":"3479274803156147","name":"0billionaire","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5d8c2eb1c079c85b43879eb951e8684","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274803156147","idStr":"3479274803156147"},"content":"Correlation works until stress breaks it. I care more about whether this dollar drop is liquidity-driven or a credit repricing, because EUR and JPY won’t travel the same path.","text":"Correlation works until stress breaks it. I care more about whether this dollar drop is liquidity-driven or a credit repricing, because EUR and JPY won’t travel the same path.","html":"Correlation works until stress breaks it. I care more about whether this dollar drop is liquidity-driven or a credit repricing, because EUR and JPY won’t travel the same path."},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000661","authorId":"9000000000000661","name":"CareyDunlop","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/742a1a3fe6754169c97157f6d9276916","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000661","idStr":"9000000000000661"},"content":"2011 hit 1900 with DXY around 74; now it's still above 105, so this looks more structural than a clean gold bull run","text":"2011 hit 1900 with DXY around 74; now it's still above 105, so this looks more structural than a clean gold bull run","html":"2011 hit 1900 with DXY around 74; now it's still above 105, so this looks more structural than a clean gold bull run"}],"imageCount":16,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":597772257562648,"gmtCreate":1786948975809,"gmtModify":1786950458851,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Are Asset Rebounds Near an End? How to Trade Bitcoin and Gold’s Key Levels","htmlText":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","listText":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","text":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5a3a44b63d65874ec2f88adabcd2f21d"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8a2d7a90734e7bac9bf9b5042626452a"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b80388d744a56055c7b5f2451d06551a"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":21,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/597772257562648","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2675,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":595420553807360,"gmtCreate":1786363086889,"gmtModify":1786607855571,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Why I Think Gold Is the Biggest Opportunity Right Now: The Most Critical Price Levels to Watch!","htmlText":"The long-awaited breakout in gold’s rebound finally arrived last week. With a 7% gain in a single week, gold quickly achieved the measured target of its daily-chart double-bottom breakout. The question now is whether the rebound can continue—and, if so, where the next major resistance levels may emerge. To answer that question, we should first compare the price action of gold futures and spot gold. After the front-month futures contract rolled over to December, the time-related premium created a spread of roughly 1.5%, or approximately $60–$70, between futures and spot prices. More importantly, futures have already broken out of the descending channel that had been in place since the beginning of the year, while spot gold has yet to make a similar breakout. In the spot market, the key resi","listText":"The long-awaited breakout in gold’s rebound finally arrived last week. With a 7% gain in a single week, gold quickly achieved the measured target of its daily-chart double-bottom breakout. The question now is whether the rebound can continue—and, if so, where the next major resistance levels may emerge. To answer that question, we should first compare the price action of gold futures and spot gold. After the front-month futures contract rolled over to December, the time-related premium created a spread of roughly 1.5%, or approximately $60–$70, between futures and spot prices. More importantly, futures have already broken out of the descending channel that had been in place since the beginning of the year, while spot gold has yet to make a similar breakout. In the spot market, the key resi","text":"The long-awaited breakout in gold’s rebound finally arrived last week. With a 7% gain in a single week, gold quickly achieved the measured target of its daily-chart double-bottom breakout. The question now is whether the rebound can continue—and, if so, where the next major resistance levels may emerge. To answer that question, we should first compare the price action of gold futures and spot gold. After the front-month futures contract rolled over to December, the time-related premium created a spread of roughly 1.5%, or approximately $60–$70, between futures and spot prices. More importantly, futures have already broken out of the descending channel that had been in place since the beginning of the year, while spot gold has yet to make a similar breakout. In the spot market, the key resi","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fd2c8d58e1abed73e543fe0dba683c11"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5099f3f344e96107964941bfc00bf644"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d84194410bc5759a077b6c54d63f4f19"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":48,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/595420553807360","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4498,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":592878186353744,"gmtCreate":1785742344997,"gmtModify":1788146277890,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Stock Market Correction May Be Over, but It’s Too Early to Call a Rally","htmlText":"The low-side bid we had kept sitting under the Nasdaq for two weeks was never filled. With the index stabilising and rebounding off 27,000, and with several other headline developments turning, the correction that has run for more than a month may now be close to its end. What we do expect from here is dispersion: the divide between what stays strong and what has already topped out should become considerably more visible. Set against the S&P and the Dow, the Nasdaq was clearly the US index that gave back the most in this round of correction. Gains and losses share the same source, so it is no surprise that AI and technology names — the hardest-hit group — were what dragged the index lower. In practice, though, the pullback did not even reach the 61.8% retracement. That is an indirect r","listText":"The low-side bid we had kept sitting under the Nasdaq for two weeks was never filled. With the index stabilising and rebounding off 27,000, and with several other headline developments turning, the correction that has run for more than a month may now be close to its end. What we do expect from here is dispersion: the divide between what stays strong and what has already topped out should become considerably more visible. Set against the S&P and the Dow, the Nasdaq was clearly the US index that gave back the most in this round of correction. Gains and losses share the same source, so it is no surprise that AI and technology names — the hardest-hit group — were what dragged the index lower. In practice, though, the pullback did not even reach the 61.8% retracement. That is an indirect r","text":"The low-side bid we had kept sitting under the Nasdaq for two weeks was never filled. With the index stabilising and rebounding off 27,000, and with several other headline developments turning, the correction that has run for more than a month may now be close to its end. What we do expect from here is dispersion: the divide between what stays strong and what has already topped out should become considerably more visible. Set against the S&P and the Dow, the Nasdaq was clearly the US index that gave back the most in this round of correction. Gains and losses share the same source, so it is no surprise that AI and technology names — the hardest-hit group — were what dragged the index lower. In practice, though, the pullback did not even reach the 61.8% retracement. That is an indirect r","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/82a339b78d9ab73336237d126e3b1a62"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ab91e65b8aa05a6f48d84b83b64b9e58"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3c4da42562aae3414f4e64937138311c"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":252,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":21,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/592878186353744","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5528,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4136897647765072","authorId":"4136897647765072","name":"SuperDuper1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"4136897647765072","idStr":"4136897647765072"},"content":"This is a counter trend rally on the NDX..","text":"This is a counter trend rally on the NDX..","html":"This is a counter trend rally on the NDX.."}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":590419557807208,"gmtCreate":1785142094863,"gmtModify":1785987059613,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Gold Approaches Crucial Inflection Point: All Eyes on This Price Level for a Potential Rally","htmlText":"Gold has been drifting near its lows for about four weeks since bottoming in late June. Although the bulls' earlier rebound attempts made limited headway, the technical structure suggests the probability of a larger-degree rebound in the next phase still exists. This week's earnings season and the Fed's rate decision are expected to be decisive for overall market risk appetite. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TQQQ\">$ProShares UltraPro QQQ(TQQQ)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SQQQ\">$ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ(SQQQ)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQM\">$Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF(QQQM)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)</a>","listText":"Gold has been drifting near its lows for about four weeks since bottoming in late June. Although the bulls' earlier rebound attempts made limited headway, the technical structure suggests the probability of a larger-degree rebound in the next phase still exists. This week's earnings season and the Fed's rate decision are expected to be decisive for overall market risk appetite. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TQQQ\">$ProShares UltraPro QQQ(TQQQ)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SQQQ\">$ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ(SQQQ)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQM\">$Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF(QQQM)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)</a>","text":"Gold has been drifting near its lows for about four weeks since bottoming in late June. Although the bulls' earlier rebound attempts made limited headway, the technical structure suggests the probability of a larger-degree rebound in the next phase still exists. This week's earnings season and the Fed's rate decision are expected to be decisive for overall market risk appetite. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $ProShares UltraPro QQQ(TQQQ)$ $ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ(SQQQ)$ $Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF(QQQM)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fb465dc8c0979b7691f003fd8eacb511"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":84,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/590419557807208","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4110,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":588898663231808,"gmtCreate":1784805250566,"gmtModify":1784805264884,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Welcome to the live broadcast room to watch my live broadcast tonight. The live broadcast starts on time at 8 o'clock tonight. I will mainly talk with you about the market judgment of US stock index, gold and crude oil, and related strategies>><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/RN?name=RNLive&rndata={"liveId":"1871399208027291","type":1}\" target=\"_blank\">Is the rebound after the plunge in U.S. stocks an opportunity to short? How to grasp the rebound of crude oil and gold?</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/CNmain\">$A50指数主连 2607(CNmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/HSImain\">$恒生指数主连 2607(HSImain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/HTImain\">$恒生科技指数主连 2607(HTImain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2609(ESmain)$</</a>","listText":"Welcome to the live broadcast room to watch my live broadcast tonight. The live broadcast starts on time at 8 o'clock tonight. I will mainly talk with you about the market judgment of US stock index, gold and crude oil, and related strategies>><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/RN?name=RNLive&rndata={"liveId":"1871399208027291","type":1}\" target=\"_blank\">Is the rebound after the plunge in U.S. stocks an opportunity to short? How to grasp the rebound of crude oil and gold?</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/CNmain\">$A50指数主连 2607(CNmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/HSImain\">$恒生指数主连 2607(HSImain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/HTImain\">$恒生科技指数主连 2607(HTImain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2609(ESmain)$</</a>","text":"Welcome to the live broadcast room to watch my live broadcast tonight. The live broadcast starts on time at 8 o'clock tonight. I will mainly talk with you about the market judgment of US stock index, gold and crude oil, and related strategies>>Is the rebound after the plunge in U.S. stocks an opportunity to short? How to grasp the rebound of crude oil and gold? $A50指数主连 2607(CNmain)$ $恒生指数主连 2607(HSImain)$ $恒生科技指数主连 2607(HTImain)$ $SP500指数主连 2609(ESmain)$</","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4c745d73d5fcac0d41f40cb9c8146459","width":"900","height":"1200"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/588898663231808","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2795,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":587778956091648,"gmtCreate":1784534635593,"gmtModify":1784550323837,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Is the Tech Slump Only Just Beginning? Reading the Signal from Japan and Korea","htmlText":"The global tech-stock sell-off has now run for more than three weeks, and most markets have pulled back to varying degrees. Among them, the sharply-corrected Korean market has even slipped into a technical bear. So is the current decline the eve of a major reversal, or just another routine technical pullback as so often before? Beyond Korea, Japan's market may offer the more valuable reference point. The valuation debate over tech stocks (AI-related) has raged for a long time, and trying to read it from a purely fundamental angle only ends in a dialogue of the deaf. Optimists believe the AI revolution will ultimately arrive; pessimists are convinced the bursting of the bubble is only a matter of time. In truth, for a trader, who is right or wrong is not the point—the point is which moment","listText":"The global tech-stock sell-off has now run for more than three weeks, and most markets have pulled back to varying degrees. Among them, the sharply-corrected Korean market has even slipped into a technical bear. So is the current decline the eve of a major reversal, or just another routine technical pullback as so often before? Beyond Korea, Japan's market may offer the more valuable reference point. The valuation debate over tech stocks (AI-related) has raged for a long time, and trying to read it from a purely fundamental angle only ends in a dialogue of the deaf. Optimists believe the AI revolution will ultimately arrive; pessimists are convinced the bursting of the bubble is only a matter of time. In truth, for a trader, who is right or wrong is not the point—the point is which moment","text":"The global tech-stock sell-off has now run for more than three weeks, and most markets have pulled back to varying degrees. Among them, the sharply-corrected Korean market has even slipped into a technical bear. So is the current decline the eve of a major reversal, or just another routine technical pullback as so often before? Beyond Korea, Japan's market may offer the more valuable reference point. The valuation debate over tech stocks (AI-related) has raged for a long time, and trying to read it from a purely fundamental angle only ends in a dialogue of the deaf. Optimists believe the AI revolution will ultimately arrive; pessimists are convinced the bursting of the bubble is only a matter of time. In truth, for a trader, who is right or wrong is not the point—the point is which moment","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5509f8f47b7cedb32628d0c60bc0042d"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4be3e855ec261e4cdf6a555aa76c2c1c"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e248061f3e074dc5262934d3c0db029d"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":45,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/587778956091648","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4768,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":585647642038368,"gmtCreate":1784011163379,"gmtModify":1784018004707,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Why the US–Iran War Scare Is Overdone — and Watch WTI's $80 Line","htmlText":"Last week the Middle East situation produced fresh news again — from the U.S. air strikes on Iran to Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz — as if the old script were playing out once more. We noted before that the U.S.–Iran contest is unlikely to end peacefully, and will most probably reignite in the fourth quarter. So will the current developments bring the new fighting forward? On the whole, the probability is relatively limited, because the timing on the U.S. (Trump) side is not yet fully ready, and market behavior also shows that overall sentiment remains relatively stable. From the standpoint of long-term goals, taking Iran down — or at least striking it thoroughly — is the core demand for the U.S. However, both the military situation and inflation pressure previously meant the stalemate","listText":"Last week the Middle East situation produced fresh news again — from the U.S. air strikes on Iran to Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz — as if the old script were playing out once more. We noted before that the U.S.–Iran contest is unlikely to end peacefully, and will most probably reignite in the fourth quarter. So will the current developments bring the new fighting forward? On the whole, the probability is relatively limited, because the timing on the U.S. (Trump) side is not yet fully ready, and market behavior also shows that overall sentiment remains relatively stable. From the standpoint of long-term goals, taking Iran down — or at least striking it thoroughly — is the core demand for the U.S. However, both the military situation and inflation pressure previously meant the stalemate","text":"Last week the Middle East situation produced fresh news again — from the U.S. air strikes on Iran to Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz — as if the old script were playing out once more. We noted before that the U.S.–Iran contest is unlikely to end peacefully, and will most probably reignite in the fourth quarter. So will the current developments bring the new fighting forward? On the whole, the probability is relatively limited, because the timing on the U.S. (Trump) side is not yet fully ready, and market behavior also shows that overall sentiment remains relatively stable. From the standpoint of long-term goals, taking Iran down — or at least striking it thoroughly — is the core demand for the U.S. However, both the military situation and inflation pressure previously meant the stalemate","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1f3a1e466a211db612b2583bd2e7d5b1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":65,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/585647642038368","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3278,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":583193633964320,"gmtCreate":1783415779787,"gmtModify":1783415882603,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"The Downtrend Isn't Over, But a Rebound Window Is Opening: July Opportunities for Bitcoin and Ethere","htmlText":"Amidst the current macroeconomic environment where AI and related sectors are stealing the spotlight, the performance of crypto assets this year has been exceptionally weak, failing to capture any upward momentum. The reality is that in the realm of narrative-driven assets, Bitcoin's history and storytelling capabilities are just as strong as any other asset. However, once expectations are overdrawn and fail to materialize, a return to reality is inevitable. Nevertheless, after a sustained decline, the likelihood of a short-term stabilization and a corrective rebound is increasing. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2609(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NQmain\">$E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2609(NQmain)$</a>","listText":"Amidst the current macroeconomic environment where AI and related sectors are stealing the spotlight, the performance of crypto assets this year has been exceptionally weak, failing to capture any upward momentum. The reality is that in the realm of narrative-driven assets, Bitcoin's history and storytelling capabilities are just as strong as any other asset. However, once expectations are overdrawn and fail to materialize, a return to reality is inevitable. Nevertheless, after a sustained decline, the likelihood of a short-term stabilization and a corrective rebound is increasing. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2609(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NQmain\">$E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2609(NQmain)$</a>","text":"Amidst the current macroeconomic environment where AI and related sectors are stealing the spotlight, the performance of crypto assets this year has been exceptionally weak, failing to capture any upward momentum. The reality is that in the realm of narrative-driven assets, Bitcoin's history and storytelling capabilities are just as strong as any other asset. However, once expectations are overdrawn and fail to materialize, a return to reality is inevitable. Nevertheless, after a sustained decline, the likelihood of a short-term stabilization and a corrective rebound is increasing. $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2609(ESmain)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2609(NQmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7c918ebfb79fc773e098a4c24e626237"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":29,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/583193633964320","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3649,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":580642356822112,"gmtCreate":1782789169918,"gmtModify":1782789619900,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"From Rate Cuts to Rate Hikes? Will the Fed's Hawkish Pivot Crash the Market?","htmlText":"After Warsh replaced Powell as the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, expectations and rumors regarding an interest rate hike within the year have persisted. The substantial inflationary pressure brought about by the outbreak of the war in the Middle East has already forced multiple central banks to opt for rate hikes in response, and there is a high probability that the Federal Reserve will not go against this trend. However, looking at history, a rate hike does not signify an inevitable change in the trend; more often than not, other external crises are required to trigger a reversal in the market's trajectory. According to the latest FedWatch data, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate level at the Federal Reserve's year-end meeting is only 22%, while the combined prob","listText":"After Warsh replaced Powell as the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, expectations and rumors regarding an interest rate hike within the year have persisted. The substantial inflationary pressure brought about by the outbreak of the war in the Middle East has already forced multiple central banks to opt for rate hikes in response, and there is a high probability that the Federal Reserve will not go against this trend. However, looking at history, a rate hike does not signify an inevitable change in the trend; more often than not, other external crises are required to trigger a reversal in the market's trajectory. According to the latest FedWatch data, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate level at the Federal Reserve's year-end meeting is only 22%, while the combined prob","text":"After Warsh replaced Powell as the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, expectations and rumors regarding an interest rate hike within the year have persisted. The substantial inflationary pressure brought about by the outbreak of the war in the Middle East has already forced multiple central banks to opt for rate hikes in response, and there is a high probability that the Federal Reserve will not go against this trend. However, looking at history, a rate hike does not signify an inevitable change in the trend; more often than not, other external crises are required to trigger a reversal in the market's trajectory. According to the latest FedWatch data, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate level at the Federal Reserve's year-end meeting is only 22%, while the combined prob","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/eb2618bba23b15d808882be062031df7","width":"864","height":"490"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":197,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/580642356822112","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3970,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":578264175121656,"gmtCreate":1782202641431,"gmtModify":1782202724787,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Watch Out For USD Bull Trap！？ Forex Markets Hit a Tipping Point！","htmlText":"Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East saw renewed uncertainties over the past weekend, ultimately failing to reach a comprehensive agreement. However, considering that the market's sensitivity has significantly dulled, unless hostilities officially resume, this is not expected to disrupt the performance of most assets. Recently, we can shift our focus toward the foreign exchange market. Taking the US Dollar Index (DXY) as a reference, the price action is currently hovering near a crucial watershed level. Based on our long-term bearish view on the dollar, there is reason to suspect that new selling opportunities may emerge, and the DXY itself faces the risk of a bull trap. Earlier this year, the dollar once approached its 10-year long-term trendline, but the bulls ultimately defended thi","listText":"Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East saw renewed uncertainties over the past weekend, ultimately failing to reach a comprehensive agreement. However, considering that the market's sensitivity has significantly dulled, unless hostilities officially resume, this is not expected to disrupt the performance of most assets. Recently, we can shift our focus toward the foreign exchange market. Taking the US Dollar Index (DXY) as a reference, the price action is currently hovering near a crucial watershed level. Based on our long-term bearish view on the dollar, there is reason to suspect that new selling opportunities may emerge, and the DXY itself faces the risk of a bull trap. Earlier this year, the dollar once approached its 10-year long-term trendline, but the bulls ultimately defended thi","text":"Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East saw renewed uncertainties over the past weekend, ultimately failing to reach a comprehensive agreement. However, considering that the market's sensitivity has significantly dulled, unless hostilities officially resume, this is not expected to disrupt the performance of most assets. Recently, we can shift our focus toward the foreign exchange market. Taking the US Dollar Index (DXY) as a reference, the price action is currently hovering near a crucial watershed level. Based on our long-term bearish view on the dollar, there is reason to suspect that new selling opportunities may emerge, and the DXY itself faces the risk of a bull trap. Earlier this year, the dollar once approached its 10-year long-term trendline, but the bulls ultimately defended thi","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7914bf0426c04c81ee018c3176b57cb6","width":"840","height":"546"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":21,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/578264175121656","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6402,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":575414749114448,"gmtCreate":1781512272060,"gmtModify":1785987064109,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"📰A Mid-Session Pause: The US-Iran Truce Is In — What’s Next for Markets?","htmlText":"After two months of back-and-forth, the US and Iran finally announced over the weekend that a ceasefire memorandum of understanding had been reached. Although the final signing is still a few days away, the market has already fully priced in the impact of the news. Before the fourth quarter, geopolitical issues are expected to stop bothering investors. On the trading side, we still lean toward the view that most assets will remain range-bound over the next one to two quarters. As long as there are attractive relative lows or highs and the risk-reward is acceptable, there will be opportunities to try and trade the move. We will not go into the details of the agreement itself. Those can be found on various financial websites. Instead, we will focus on how asset prices are moving. Crude oil i","listText":"After two months of back-and-forth, the US and Iran finally announced over the weekend that a ceasefire memorandum of understanding had been reached. Although the final signing is still a few days away, the market has already fully priced in the impact of the news. Before the fourth quarter, geopolitical issues are expected to stop bothering investors. On the trading side, we still lean toward the view that most assets will remain range-bound over the next one to two quarters. As long as there are attractive relative lows or highs and the risk-reward is acceptable, there will be opportunities to try and trade the move. We will not go into the details of the agreement itself. Those can be found on various financial websites. Instead, we will focus on how asset prices are moving. Crude oil i","text":"After two months of back-and-forth, the US and Iran finally announced over the weekend that a ceasefire memorandum of understanding had been reached. Although the final signing is still a few days away, the market has already fully priced in the impact of the news. Before the fourth quarter, geopolitical issues are expected to stop bothering investors. On the trading side, we still lean toward the view that most assets will remain range-bound over the next one to two quarters. As long as there are attractive relative lows or highs and the risk-reward is acceptable, there will be opportunities to try and trade the move. We will not go into the details of the agreement itself. Those can be found on various financial websites. Instead, we will focus on how asset prices are moving. Crude oil i","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f6f16df5a9bef22949d497106868403e","width":"865","height":"559"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d5ab72ad2892560f29f530808d723e7a","width":"865","height":"561"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4ea2e77617a29ce9c60b53c3ff971eb8","width":"864","height":"558"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":46,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/575414749114448","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4224,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":568064845996432,"gmtCreate":1779699091587,"gmtModify":1779983424259,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Middle East Nears a Phased Endgame, Crude Oil Retains a Medium- to Long-Term Floor","htmlText":"Following Trump’s announcement over the weekend that the United States is close to reaching an agreement with Iran, oil prices naturally opened with another gap lower at the start of the week. The overall trajectory of geopolitical developments is consistent with what we anticipated in April, and this phase of relative peace is likely to last through the period around the midterm elections toward year-end. Although both technicals and news flow have dealt a double blow to the market, the structural issues in the Middle East will not be fundamentally resolved as a result. Therefore, if oil prices undergo a sufficient pullback going forward, lower levels should still provide solid support. In addition, changes on the news front are unlikely to alter the broader trends of most asset classes;","listText":"Following Trump’s announcement over the weekend that the United States is close to reaching an agreement with Iran, oil prices naturally opened with another gap lower at the start of the week. The overall trajectory of geopolitical developments is consistent with what we anticipated in April, and this phase of relative peace is likely to last through the period around the midterm elections toward year-end. Although both technicals and news flow have dealt a double blow to the market, the structural issues in the Middle East will not be fundamentally resolved as a result. Therefore, if oil prices undergo a sufficient pullback going forward, lower levels should still provide solid support. In addition, changes on the news front are unlikely to alter the broader trends of most asset classes;","text":"Following Trump’s announcement over the weekend that the United States is close to reaching an agreement with Iran, oil prices naturally opened with another gap lower at the start of the week. The overall trajectory of geopolitical developments is consistent with what we anticipated in April, and this phase of relative peace is likely to last through the period around the midterm elections toward year-end. Although both technicals and news flow have dealt a double blow to the market, the structural issues in the Middle East will not be fundamentally resolved as a result. Therefore, if oil prices undergo a sufficient pullback going forward, lower levels should still provide solid support. In addition, changes on the news front are unlikely to alter the broader trends of most asset classes;","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7070bb0edb9e102f9e0f5e5d409d5a16","width":"865","height":"554"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":14,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/568064845996432","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3246,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":194638617419872,"gmtCreate":1688560412316,"gmtModify":1688560429027,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Medium-term correction of GOLD may not be completely,Further decline lie ahead","htmlText":"Gold showed signs of a bottom out in the past week, and the integer mark near 1900 provided some buying support.On the news side, it has maintained a stable trend in the near future, and there is no new significant positive or negative news. Referring to indicators such as gold-silver ratio, the medium-term correction may not be completely over at present. After the next round of adjustment, gold will have a chance to enter a new rally.The range of gold-silver ratio is the key to pressure referenceThe price comparison between gold and silver has always been an important reference for considering the overall direction of precious metals: in the relatively weak stage of silver, the probability of gold taking the lead alone is low, and the recovery of silver is one of the overall upward signa","listText":"Gold showed signs of a bottom out in the past week, and the integer mark near 1900 provided some buying support.On the news side, it has maintained a stable trend in the near future, and there is no new significant positive or negative news. Referring to indicators such as gold-silver ratio, the medium-term correction may not be completely over at present. After the next round of adjustment, gold will have a chance to enter a new rally.The range of gold-silver ratio is the key to pressure referenceThe price comparison between gold and silver has always been an important reference for considering the overall direction of precious metals: in the relatively weak stage of silver, the probability of gold taking the lead alone is low, and the recovery of silver is one of the overall upward signa","text":"Gold showed signs of a bottom out in the past week, and the integer mark near 1900 provided some buying support.On the news side, it has maintained a stable trend in the near future, and there is no new significant positive or negative news. Referring to indicators such as gold-silver ratio, the medium-term correction may not be completely over at present. After the next round of adjustment, gold will have a chance to enter a new rally.The range of gold-silver ratio is the key to pressure referenceThe price comparison between gold and silver has always been an important reference for considering the overall direction of precious metals: in the relatively weak stage of silver, the probability of gold taking the lead alone is low, and the recovery of silver is one of the overall upward signa","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/136fedd1fba486d7a6dcffc695b653d6","width":"1245","height":"654"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9cb41b2e1fc4299b5a4a6572a1b9343b","width":"1182","height":"660"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/363f3ca21affb00b8fbc92d8232b6eb7","width":"1199","height":"388"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":2996,"commentSize":28,"repostSize":2344,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/194638617419872","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":59041,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000668","authorId":"9000000000000668","name":"chizzoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/885bb762e4d85abbbfd11f407f1d26d6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000668","authorIdStr":"9000000000000668"},"content":"Gold and silver have been stuck in the trading range for a year, like a long-distance relationship with constant pressure on the top and support on the bottom. #RelationshipGoals","text":"Gold and silver have been stuck in the trading range for a year, like a long-distance relationship with constant pressure on the top and support on the bottom. #RelationshipGoals","html":"Gold and silver have been stuck in the trading range for a year, like a long-distance relationship with constant pressure on the top and support on the bottom. #RelationshipGoals"},{"author":{"id":"3585783151794537","authorId":"3585783151794537","name":"jgaldon","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/71252dc922dc881c6099f238afdbe3f4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3585783151794537","authorIdStr":"3585783151794537"},"content":"I for one closed my shorts in gdxj last Thursday after 7? weeks and flipped long. In ASX, went for NST. That being said, not all signs of a bottom were met and author is right there might be one more violent leg down. Tonight was painful in GDXJ and the day is not looking good for NST and my old aussie explorers. Will monitor COT data sat morning and price action tonight and see what to do on Mon next week. Good luck all","text":"I for one closed my shorts in gdxj last Thursday after 7? weeks and flipped long. In ASX, went for NST. That being said, not all signs of a bottom were met and author is right there might be one more violent leg down. Tonight was painful in GDXJ and the day is not looking good for NST and my old aussie explorers. Will monitor COT data sat morning and price action tonight and see what to do on Mon next week. Good luck all","html":"I for one closed my shorts in gdxj last Thursday after 7? weeks and flipped long. In ASX, went for NST. That being said, not all signs of a bottom were met and author is right there might be one more violent leg down. Tonight was painful in GDXJ and the day is not looking good for NST and my old aussie explorers. Will monitor COT data sat morning and price action tonight and see what to do on Mon next week. Good luck all"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9943239539,"gmtCreate":1679468828721,"gmtModify":1679468850177,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Credit Suisse fallout upsets Fed rate-hike expectations, GOLD became the biggest winner","htmlText":"Credit Suisse Risk, which exploded the market last week, and was finally solved under the special treatment of regulators. Finally, UBS announced that it would acquire Credit Suisse for 3 billion Swiss francs, which is 40% lower than the latter's market value on Friday. At the same time, the Swiss government covered some losses, the Swiss National Bank gave liquidity assistance of 100 billion Swiss francs, and Credit Suisse bonds with a face value of about 16 billion Swiss francs were completely written down.After the above news, the market returned to a relatively stable situation. According to fedwatch data, the probability of 25 basis points of Fed rate hike this week accounted for 70%. If this data is maintained, the final result may be the same. This FOMC's path of fol","listText":"Credit Suisse Risk, which exploded the market last week, and was finally solved under the special treatment of regulators. Finally, UBS announced that it would acquire Credit Suisse for 3 billion Swiss francs, which is 40% lower than the latter's market value on Friday. At the same time, the Swiss government covered some losses, the Swiss National Bank gave liquidity assistance of 100 billion Swiss francs, and Credit Suisse bonds with a face value of about 16 billion Swiss francs were completely written down.After the above news, the market returned to a relatively stable situation. According to fedwatch data, the probability of 25 basis points of Fed rate hike this week accounted for 70%. If this data is maintained, the final result may be the same. This FOMC's path of fol","text":"Credit Suisse Risk, which exploded the market last week, and was finally solved under the special treatment of regulators. Finally, UBS announced that it would acquire Credit Suisse for 3 billion Swiss francs, which is 40% lower than the latter's market value on Friday. At the same time, the Swiss government covered some losses, the Swiss National Bank gave liquidity assistance of 100 billion Swiss francs, and Credit Suisse bonds with a face value of about 16 billion Swiss francs were completely written down.After the above news, the market returned to a relatively stable situation. According to fedwatch data, the probability of 25 basis points of Fed rate hike this week accounted for 70%. If this data is maintained, the final result may be the same. This FOMC's path of fol","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b56b4876845670f9fe2c3a375c124257","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34da1fe828ad234149c98f978a2b8724","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/180d62b57623a84bd1336ec257b6f50b","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":1930,"commentSize":61,"repostSize":935,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943239539","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":37168,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3572916667219493","authorId":"3572916667219493","name":"Zarkness","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b8c61830c4883c4232aece921d89d14","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3572916667219493","authorIdStr":"3572916667219493"},"content":"Thanks for sharing","text":"Thanks for sharing","html":"Thanks for sharing"},{"author":{"id":"3571345352614779","authorId":"3571345352614779","name":"xiaobaii","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3571345352614779","authorIdStr":"3571345352614779"},"content":"like & comment please","text":"like & comment please","html":"like & comment please"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9052241403,"gmtCreate":1655184752893,"gmtModify":1676535577725,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"The Fed will make a big move this week ,How will gold and oil change?","htmlText":"After the latest January inflation data was released and hit a new high, the market had new expectations for the Fed's actions. According to the latest Fedwatch data, the probability of FOMC in July has been 50-50. In this week's expectation, although there are some variables, the probability of 50 basis points is obviously superior.Data show that the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points on June 15th is close to 80%. Although this figure has dropped significantly compared with 98.2% a week ago, as we said before, it is still relatively stable when it exceeds 70%. In contrast, July's data, which also overwhelmingly raised interest rates by 50 basis points a week ago, is now seriously divided. Even the probability of raising interest rates by 75 basis points has reached","listText":"After the latest January inflation data was released and hit a new high, the market had new expectations for the Fed's actions. According to the latest Fedwatch data, the probability of FOMC in July has been 50-50. In this week's expectation, although there are some variables, the probability of 50 basis points is obviously superior.Data show that the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points on June 15th is close to 80%. Although this figure has dropped significantly compared with 98.2% a week ago, as we said before, it is still relatively stable when it exceeds 70%. In contrast, July's data, which also overwhelmingly raised interest rates by 50 basis points a week ago, is now seriously divided. Even the probability of raising interest rates by 75 basis points has reached","text":"After the latest January inflation data was released and hit a new high, the market had new expectations for the Fed's actions. According to the latest Fedwatch data, the probability of FOMC in July has been 50-50. In this week's expectation, although there are some variables, the probability of 50 basis points is obviously superior.Data show that the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points on June 15th is close to 80%. Although this figure has dropped significantly compared with 98.2% a week ago, as we said before, it is still relatively stable when it exceeds 70%. In contrast, July's data, which also overwhelmingly raised interest rates by 50 basis points a week ago, is now seriously divided. Even the probability of raising interest rates by 75 basis points has reached","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ecfe2fe3cee7323f1f78c623834e5d53","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":2327,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":64,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9052241403","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":49902,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9017939520,"gmtCreate":1649733323456,"gmtModify":1676534560292,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"U.S. Dollar Index hits fresh 2-year high, What can we expect from it?","htmlText":"Last week, the US dollar index briefly hit the 100 integer mark, which broke through 100 again since May 2020. For a long time, the dollar has behaved closer to commodities-showing a trend of mean reversion, fluctuating around the median,When the price is too low, it will rise, and when the price is too high, it will fall. In terms of current prices, there is still 10-20% room from the long-term median. Too long ago, the trend of the US dollar is linked to too many political and economic topics, and as a trader entering the market in the millennium, he can't be perfectly fastidious. However, after the financial crisis in 2007/08, there is still a very clear logic line supporting the market of the US dollar. On the whole, the leading position of the US economy compared with other econo","listText":"Last week, the US dollar index briefly hit the 100 integer mark, which broke through 100 again since May 2020. For a long time, the dollar has behaved closer to commodities-showing a trend of mean reversion, fluctuating around the median,When the price is too low, it will rise, and when the price is too high, it will fall. In terms of current prices, there is still 10-20% room from the long-term median. Too long ago, the trend of the US dollar is linked to too many political and economic topics, and as a trader entering the market in the millennium, he can't be perfectly fastidious. However, after the financial crisis in 2007/08, there is still a very clear logic line supporting the market of the US dollar. On the whole, the leading position of the US economy compared with other econo","text":"Last week, the US dollar index briefly hit the 100 integer mark, which broke through 100 again since May 2020. For a long time, the dollar has behaved closer to commodities-showing a trend of mean reversion, fluctuating around the median,When the price is too low, it will rise, and when the price is too high, it will fall. In terms of current prices, there is still 10-20% room from the long-term median. Too long ago, the trend of the US dollar is linked to too many political and economic topics, and as a trader entering the market in the millennium, he can't be perfectly fastidious. However, after the financial crisis in 2007/08, there is still a very clear logic line supporting the market of the US dollar. On the whole, the leading position of the US economy compared with other econo","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72802866289c7448ecb2a7b2d441d8bb","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":1701,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":25,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9017939520","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":36433,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4087792909476720","authorId":"4087792909476720","name":"小胖虎虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/396355984ab33cc349cc396724583413","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4087792909476720","authorIdStr":"4087792909476720"},"content":"[Money obsession] [Money obsession] [Money obsession] [Money obsession]","text":"[Money obsession] [Money obsession] [Money obsession] [Money obsession]","html":"[Money obsession] [Money obsession] [Money obsession] [Money obsession]"},{"author":{"id":"4092896272700520","authorId":"4092896272700520","name":"KelW87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ee68e8306172e06e12c6723b73ebdb8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4092896272700520","authorIdStr":"4092896272700520"},"content":"Looks like market is not doing well. Bearish since start of the year","text":"Looks like market is not doing well. Bearish since start of the year","html":"Looks like market is not doing well. Bearish since start of the year"}],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9007711194,"gmtCreate":1643004602385,"gmtModify":1676533764301,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Be careful, the trend of the US stock market may have changed","htmlText":"There were some problems in the analysis of crude oil last week. Although there is nothing wrong with the answer that oil prices are at a new high,However, the performance of market risk appetite is obviously slapping in the face. In the absence of obvious bad news and relatively stable oil prices, S&P (US stocks) went out of the broken market. This means that the wind direction of the whole market has changed. Admit your mistakes and leave the market as soon as possible or look for turning opportunities, which is what real traders should consider. The performance of S&P (US stock market) last week was obviously destructive. First, the market fell through the low of 4493 built by Omicron at that time.At the same time, on the monthly graph, we have already seen the pattern of short","listText":"There were some problems in the analysis of crude oil last week. Although there is nothing wrong with the answer that oil prices are at a new high,However, the performance of market risk appetite is obviously slapping in the face. In the absence of obvious bad news and relatively stable oil prices, S&P (US stocks) went out of the broken market. This means that the wind direction of the whole market has changed. Admit your mistakes and leave the market as soon as possible or look for turning opportunities, which is what real traders should consider. The performance of S&P (US stock market) last week was obviously destructive. First, the market fell through the low of 4493 built by Omicron at that time.At the same time, on the monthly graph, we have already seen the pattern of short","text":"There were some problems in the analysis of crude oil last week. Although there is nothing wrong with the answer that oil prices are at a new high,However, the performance of market risk appetite is obviously slapping in the face. In the absence of obvious bad news and relatively stable oil prices, S&P (US stocks) went out of the broken market. This means that the wind direction of the whole market has changed. Admit your mistakes and leave the market as soon as possible or look for turning opportunities, which is what real traders should consider. The performance of S&P (US stock market) last week was obviously destructive. First, the market fell through the low of 4493 built by Omicron at that time.At the same time, on the monthly graph, we have already seen the pattern of short","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bdcd295f9884c10a987ee2081c8d3db","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":1872,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":19,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9007711194","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":188329,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3579142249584638","authorId":"3579142249584638","name":"HSTew","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6328a5144306f0ae18123dd3f0b7c63","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3579142249584638","authorIdStr":"3579142249584638"},"content":"this week is a critical week with about 100 stocks for the S&P 500 companies to reportQ4 performances. their performances will again influence the market movement.","text":"this week is a critical week with about 100 stocks for the S&P 500 companies to reportQ4 performances. their performances will again influence the market movement.","html":"this week is a critical week with about 100 stocks for the S&P 500 companies to reportQ4 performances. their performances will again influence the market movement."},{"author":{"id":"3577853640817618","authorId":"3577853640817618","name":"yellowbunny","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/094bb4526c85c5b6ade1fef7274ae82b","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3577853640817618","authorIdStr":"3577853640817618"},"content":"hoping for a rebound soon... market has been in a bad to a worst shape now.. :(","text":"hoping for a rebound soon... market has been in a bad to a worst shape now.. :(","html":"hoping for a rebound soon... market has been in a bad to a worst shape now.. :("}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9075507813,"gmtCreate":1658217648569,"gmtModify":1676536123693,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"July Fed Meeting Preview: Another Big Rate Hike is on the way! Gold is likely to hit the new low!","htmlText":"The Fed's interest rate resolution at the end of July is undoubtedly the highlight of this month. After the CPI data hit a high level again, the market once priced in a 100 basis point interest rate hike. However, with the digestion of time, we can see that the probability of 75 basis points has returned to the dominant position at the beginning of this week. This may mean that the final situation of this resolution will change in the next nine days. The only thing to keep in mind is that the result can be basically set with a probability of more than 70%.Inflation looks at oil price, risk assets also look at oil priceCrude oil bottomed out again last week, sticking to the 92/93 area for two consecutive weeks. Biden has specifically said after the CPI data that the fall in gasoline pr","listText":"The Fed's interest rate resolution at the end of July is undoubtedly the highlight of this month. After the CPI data hit a high level again, the market once priced in a 100 basis point interest rate hike. However, with the digestion of time, we can see that the probability of 75 basis points has returned to the dominant position at the beginning of this week. This may mean that the final situation of this resolution will change in the next nine days. The only thing to keep in mind is that the result can be basically set with a probability of more than 70%.Inflation looks at oil price, risk assets also look at oil priceCrude oil bottomed out again last week, sticking to the 92/93 area for two consecutive weeks. Biden has specifically said after the CPI data that the fall in gasoline pr","text":"The Fed's interest rate resolution at the end of July is undoubtedly the highlight of this month. After the CPI data hit a high level again, the market once priced in a 100 basis point interest rate hike. However, with the digestion of time, we can see that the probability of 75 basis points has returned to the dominant position at the beginning of this week. This may mean that the final situation of this resolution will change in the next nine days. The only thing to keep in mind is that the result can be basically set with a probability of more than 70%.Inflation looks at oil price, risk assets also look at oil priceCrude oil bottomed out again last week, sticking to the 92/93 area for two consecutive weeks. Biden has specifically said after the CPI data that the fall in gasoline pr","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b4c4e5b21866354be4313723806d9a8","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":914,"commentSize":18,"repostSize":6,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9075507813","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":24035,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000469","authorId":"9000000000000469","name":"MortimerDodd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45889c069df88784e75b651f763a062a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000469","authorIdStr":"9000000000000469"},"content":"Your post is very informative.","text":"Your post is very informative.","html":"Your post is very informative."},{"author":{"id":"3561259559295872","authorId":"3561259559295872","name":"SquareGuy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4aa86e9311a7ff0643a2e9f93645a8c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3561259559295872","authorIdStr":"3561259559295872"},"content":"hope 100bps to lower inflation and oil","text":"hope 100bps to lower inflation and oil","html":"hope 100bps to lower inflation and oil"}],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9038915437,"gmtCreate":1646711469487,"gmtModify":1676534154067,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"The feeling of 07/08 is back: 2000 for gold, 140 for crude oil？","htmlText":"The major gap in the jump at the beginning of last week has not been covered, which confirms the further strengthening of the recent trend. Gold began to rise to the 2000 mark, while crude oil continued to triumph and completely decoupled from the US stock index. The last time the market was so crazy, it had to go back to the financial crisis in 2007/08. However, this geopolitical crisis may be even more violent than at that time. Keep away from crude oil In the live broadcast in the middle of last week, we compared the long-term charts of US oil and S&P, and a similar situation appeared on the eve of Lehman moment-US stocks had begun to peak and fall back and be greatly revised, and oil prices continued to surge for some time before a cliff-like crash occurred.Based on this, consideri","listText":"The major gap in the jump at the beginning of last week has not been covered, which confirms the further strengthening of the recent trend. Gold began to rise to the 2000 mark, while crude oil continued to triumph and completely decoupled from the US stock index. The last time the market was so crazy, it had to go back to the financial crisis in 2007/08. However, this geopolitical crisis may be even more violent than at that time. Keep away from crude oil In the live broadcast in the middle of last week, we compared the long-term charts of US oil and S&P, and a similar situation appeared on the eve of Lehman moment-US stocks had begun to peak and fall back and be greatly revised, and oil prices continued to surge for some time before a cliff-like crash occurred.Based on this, consideri","text":"The major gap in the jump at the beginning of last week has not been covered, which confirms the further strengthening of the recent trend. Gold began to rise to the 2000 mark, while crude oil continued to triumph and completely decoupled from the US stock index. The last time the market was so crazy, it had to go back to the financial crisis in 2007/08. However, this geopolitical crisis may be even more violent than at that time. Keep away from crude oil In the live broadcast in the middle of last week, we compared the long-term charts of US oil and S&P, and a similar situation appeared on the eve of Lehman moment-US stocks had begun to peak and fall back and be greatly revised, and oil prices continued to surge for some time before a cliff-like crash occurred.Based on this, consideri","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/611f21bc44ab3370abb3533407653e44","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":1205,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":16,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9038915437","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":75950,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9065189826,"gmtCreate":1652153688823,"gmtModify":1676535042249,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Bad news: The dollar has become the only safe haven","htmlText":"Over the past month or so, although the selling of the market has not appeared in the state of crazy decline, the continuous small ups and downs have gradually exhausted the patience of bulls. There is no new topic about the bright negative, but the status quo that only the US dollar has a safe haven suggests that there may be new bad news in the second quarter. In the live broadcast in April, we once said that the rise of the US dollar is an inevitable strategy. A stronger dollar is one of the best weapons in every round when the United States reaps other countries or the world. This year's situation is even more obvious. Under the pressure of inflation, the more valuable the local currency is, the more the relative inflation risk can be passed on to other countries. Facts have also prove","listText":"Over the past month or so, although the selling of the market has not appeared in the state of crazy decline, the continuous small ups and downs have gradually exhausted the patience of bulls. There is no new topic about the bright negative, but the status quo that only the US dollar has a safe haven suggests that there may be new bad news in the second quarter. In the live broadcast in April, we once said that the rise of the US dollar is an inevitable strategy. A stronger dollar is one of the best weapons in every round when the United States reaps other countries or the world. This year's situation is even more obvious. Under the pressure of inflation, the more valuable the local currency is, the more the relative inflation risk can be passed on to other countries. Facts have also prove","text":"Over the past month or so, although the selling of the market has not appeared in the state of crazy decline, the continuous small ups and downs have gradually exhausted the patience of bulls. There is no new topic about the bright negative, but the status quo that only the US dollar has a safe haven suggests that there may be new bad news in the second quarter. In the live broadcast in April, we once said that the rise of the US dollar is an inevitable strategy. A stronger dollar is one of the best weapons in every round when the United States reaps other countries or the world. This year's situation is even more obvious. Under the pressure of inflation, the more valuable the local currency is, the more the relative inflation risk can be passed on to other countries. Facts have also prove","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f33fc815ca463675e361f86ac89ce79d","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":878,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9065189826","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":20230,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9947578497,"gmtCreate":1683356912119,"gmtModify":1683356950314,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"You should be more careful, GOLD price keeps trading at high levels and that is not a good sign","htmlText":"In the early hours of Thursday, the Federal Reserve decided to continue the moderate rate hike as expected by the market. At the same time, it released the signal that this may be the last rate hike in this round. The rate hike range of 25 basis points was fully in line with the market's previous expectations. After the press conference, Powell said that in principle, there is no need for rate hike to reach too high a level, but it is \"inappropriate\" to cut interest rates now, and the US economy is not expected to decline. After the news, the risky assets did not rise when their boots landed. On the contrary, gold unexpectedly jumped in the day, only one step away from the historical high point.Gold is the highest in 2085 after jumping, and the previous historical high of 2089 is just arou","listText":"In the early hours of Thursday, the Federal Reserve decided to continue the moderate rate hike as expected by the market. At the same time, it released the signal that this may be the last rate hike in this round. The rate hike range of 25 basis points was fully in line with the market's previous expectations. After the press conference, Powell said that in principle, there is no need for rate hike to reach too high a level, but it is \"inappropriate\" to cut interest rates now, and the US economy is not expected to decline. After the news, the risky assets did not rise when their boots landed. On the contrary, gold unexpectedly jumped in the day, only one step away from the historical high point.Gold is the highest in 2085 after jumping, and the previous historical high of 2089 is just arou","text":"In the early hours of Thursday, the Federal Reserve decided to continue the moderate rate hike as expected by the market. At the same time, it released the signal that this may be the last rate hike in this round. The rate hike range of 25 basis points was fully in line with the market's previous expectations. After the press conference, Powell said that in principle, there is no need for rate hike to reach too high a level, but it is \"inappropriate\" to cut interest rates now, and the US economy is not expected to decline. After the news, the risky assets did not rise when their boots landed. On the contrary, gold unexpectedly jumped in the day, only one step away from the historical high point.Gold is the highest in 2085 after jumping, and the previous historical high of 2089 is just arou","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9339f06ceafa052ef55697dc9b334336","width":"700","height":"368"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":1340,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":74,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9947578497","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5929,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"10000000000010799","authorId":"10000000000010799","name":"兔氣揚眉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5571ac7156083753fdf792417a4840e5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"10000000000010799","authorIdStr":"10000000000010799"},"content":"Looks like the Fed is being cautious with their rate hike decision, could be good for stocks","text":"Looks like the Fed is being cautious with their rate hike decision, could be good for stocks","html":"Looks like the Fed is being cautious with their rate hike decision, could be good for stocks"},{"author":{"id":"10000000000010792","authorId":"10000000000010792","name":"唔撚食菜","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f63b3c9844fec1361496f60171c10016","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"10000000000010792","authorIdStr":"10000000000010792"},"content":"I expected the market to react better to the news, not sure if I should invest in stocks right now","text":"I expected the market to react better to the news, not sure if I should invest in stocks right now","html":"I expected the market to react better to the news, not sure if I should invest in stocks right now"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":488105398743392,"gmtCreate":1760185868467,"gmtModify":1760257983087,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Stay Cautious: Watch More, Trade Less Until Market Mania Fades","htmlText":"Over the National Day holiday week, markets shifted again: silver, the core sentiment gauge, led gold to fresh highs, and Bitcoin reclaimed the top spot in crypto with a new all-time high. The market is effectively immune to anything that looks negative, so fighting the prevailing mania is inadvisable until it clearly fades. That said, once leading indicators flash a definitive reversal, it could still mark a major inflection worth close attention.Among assets, silver remains the representative bellwether tracked over the past month. Silver futures set a new high this week, but with two trading days left, the chart has printed a high-level doji. While not a definitive top, it cannot be dismissed outright. Silver making highs has often coincided with rapid risk-off turns across risk assets,","listText":"Over the National Day holiday week, markets shifted again: silver, the core sentiment gauge, led gold to fresh highs, and Bitcoin reclaimed the top spot in crypto with a new all-time high. The market is effectively immune to anything that looks negative, so fighting the prevailing mania is inadvisable until it clearly fades. That said, once leading indicators flash a definitive reversal, it could still mark a major inflection worth close attention.Among assets, silver remains the representative bellwether tracked over the past month. Silver futures set a new high this week, but with two trading days left, the chart has printed a high-level doji. While not a definitive top, it cannot be dismissed outright. Silver making highs has often coincided with rapid risk-off turns across risk assets,","text":"Over the National Day holiday week, markets shifted again: silver, the core sentiment gauge, led gold to fresh highs, and Bitcoin reclaimed the top spot in crypto with a new all-time high. The market is effectively immune to anything that looks negative, so fighting the prevailing mania is inadvisable until it clearly fades. That said, once leading indicators flash a definitive reversal, it could still mark a major inflection worth close attention.Among assets, silver remains the representative bellwether tracked over the past month. Silver futures set a new high this week, but with two trading days left, the chart has printed a high-level doji. While not a definitive top, it cannot be dismissed outright. Silver making highs has often coincided with rapid risk-off turns across risk assets,","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/198477a5ba34835406743ff8541a13d2","width":"909","height":"509"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":1377,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":67,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/488105398743392","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6808,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[{"live_id":1873957336542283,"type":2,"status":3,"title":"Treasury Bailout Aftermath: Gold Surges, Dollar Dumps—What’s Next?","source_url":"https://lpl27170.laohu8.com/live/chengjun820.m3u8","live_img_url":"https://p1-live.byteimg.com/tos-cn-i-gjr78lqtd0/4925278eea144601b211ed8ae2d48ba8~tplv-gjr78lqtd0-z75.image","video_url":"","share_url":"https://live.livesaasvolccdn.com/9999/574560","expected_time":1787227200000,"live_url":"https://www.laohu8.com/live/1873957336542283","category_id":5,"subscribe_status":0,"main_push":0,"time_remain":-3502100224,"uuid":["3534312667271286"],"msg_symbols":[],"permission":null,"permission_code":5,"insert_time":1787199244000,"description":""},{"live_id":1871399208027291,"type":2,"status":3,"title":"Is the Rebound After the U.S. Stock Sell-Off a Shorting Opportunity? How to Capture the Rebound in Crude Oil and Gold?","source_url":"https://lpl27170.laohu8.com/live/chengjun723.m3u8","live_img_url":"https://p1-live.byteimg.com/tos-cn-i-gjr78lqtd0/77a98b09e05a40849e0203c3571a552e~tplv-gjr78lqtd0-z75.image","video_url":"","share_url":"https://live.livesaasvolccdn.com/9999/5462938","expected_time":1784808000000,"live_url":"https://www.laohu8.com/live/1871399208027291","category_id":5,"subscribe_status":0,"main_push":0,"time_remain":-5921300224,"uuid":["3534312667271286"],"msg_symbols":[],"permission":null,"permission_code":5,"insert_time":1784778541000,"description":""}]}
