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Is the Rebound After the U.S. Stock Sell-Off a Shorting Opportunity? How to Capture the Rebound in Crude Oil and Gold?
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week","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ba70f50467799d43bcf1b3972785ba7","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ecd4bad5ec93214c9325a5452cdd1b5","grayImgUrl":null,"redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":"NQMAIN","stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":1,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.02.01","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":2002,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0}],"userBadgeCount":5,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":null,"starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"live","tweets":[{"id":588898663231808,"gmtCreate":1784805250566,"gmtModify":1784805264884,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Welcome to the live broadcast room to watch my live broadcast tonight. The live broadcast starts on time at 8 o'clock tonight. I will mainly talk with you about the market judgment of US stock index, gold and crude oil, and related strategies>><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/RN?name=RNLive&rndata={"liveId":"1871399208027291","type":1}\" target=\"_blank\">Is the rebound after the plunge in U.S. stocks an opportunity to short? How to grasp the rebound of crude oil and gold?</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/CNmain\">$A50指数主连 2607(CNmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/HSImain\">$恒生指数主连 2607(HSImain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/HTImain\">$恒生科技指数主连 2607(HTImain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2609(ESmain)$</</a>","listText":"Welcome to the live broadcast room to watch my live broadcast tonight. The live broadcast starts on time at 8 o'clock tonight. I will mainly talk with you about the market judgment of US stock index, gold and crude oil, and related strategies>><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/RN?name=RNLive&rndata={"liveId":"1871399208027291","type":1}\" target=\"_blank\">Is the rebound after the plunge in U.S. stocks an opportunity to short? How to grasp the rebound of crude oil and gold?</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/CNmain\">$A50指数主连 2607(CNmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/HSImain\">$恒生指数主连 2607(HSImain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/HTImain\">$恒生科技指数主连 2607(HTImain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2609(ESmain)$</</a>","text":"Welcome to the live broadcast room to watch my live broadcast tonight. The live broadcast starts on time at 8 o'clock tonight. I will mainly talk with you about the market judgment of US stock index, gold and crude oil, and related strategies>>Is the rebound after the plunge in U.S. stocks an opportunity to short? How to grasp the rebound of crude oil and gold? $A50指数主连 2607(CNmain)$ $恒生指数主连 2607(HSImain)$ $恒生科技指数主连 2607(HTImain)$ $SP500指数主连 2609(ESmain)$</","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4c745d73d5fcac0d41f40cb9c8146459","width":"900","height":"1200"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/588898663231808","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":360,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":587778956091648,"gmtCreate":1784534635593,"gmtModify":1784550323837,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Is the Tech Slump Only Just Beginning? Reading the Signal from Japan and Korea","htmlText":"The global tech-stock sell-off has now run for more than three weeks, and most markets have pulled back to varying degrees. Among them, the sharply-corrected Korean market has even slipped into a technical bear. So is the current decline the eve of a major reversal, or just another routine technical pullback as so often before? Beyond Korea, Japan's market may offer the more valuable reference point. The valuation debate over tech stocks (AI-related) has raged for a long time, and trying to read it from a purely fundamental angle only ends in a dialogue of the deaf. Optimists believe the AI revolution will ultimately arrive; pessimists are convinced the bursting of the bubble is only a matter of time. In truth, for a trader, who is right or wrong is not the point—the point is which moment","listText":"The global tech-stock sell-off has now run for more than three weeks, and most markets have pulled back to varying degrees. Among them, the sharply-corrected Korean market has even slipped into a technical bear. So is the current decline the eve of a major reversal, or just another routine technical pullback as so often before? Beyond Korea, Japan's market may offer the more valuable reference point. The valuation debate over tech stocks (AI-related) has raged for a long time, and trying to read it from a purely fundamental angle only ends in a dialogue of the deaf. Optimists believe the AI revolution will ultimately arrive; pessimists are convinced the bursting of the bubble is only a matter of time. In truth, for a trader, who is right or wrong is not the point—the point is which moment","text":"The global tech-stock sell-off has now run for more than three weeks, and most markets have pulled back to varying degrees. Among them, the sharply-corrected Korean market has even slipped into a technical bear. So is the current decline the eve of a major reversal, or just another routine technical pullback as so often before? Beyond Korea, Japan's market may offer the more valuable reference point. The valuation debate over tech stocks (AI-related) has raged for a long time, and trying to read it from a purely fundamental angle only ends in a dialogue of the deaf. Optimists believe the AI revolution will ultimately arrive; pessimists are convinced the bursting of the bubble is only a matter of time. In truth, for a trader, who is right or wrong is not the point—the point is which moment","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5509f8f47b7cedb32628d0c60bc0042d"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4be3e855ec261e4cdf6a555aa76c2c1c"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e248061f3e074dc5262934d3c0db029d"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":45,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/587778956091648","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2479,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":585647642038368,"gmtCreate":1784011163379,"gmtModify":1784018004707,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Why the US–Iran War Scare Is Overdone — and Watch WTI's $80 Line","htmlText":"Last week the Middle East situation produced fresh news again — from the U.S. air strikes on Iran to Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz — as if the old script were playing out once more. We noted before that the U.S.–Iran contest is unlikely to end peacefully, and will most probably reignite in the fourth quarter. So will the current developments bring the new fighting forward? On the whole, the probability is relatively limited, because the timing on the U.S. (Trump) side is not yet fully ready, and market behavior also shows that overall sentiment remains relatively stable. From the standpoint of long-term goals, taking Iran down — or at least striking it thoroughly — is the core demand for the U.S. However, both the military situation and inflation pressure previously meant the stalemate","listText":"Last week the Middle East situation produced fresh news again — from the U.S. air strikes on Iran to Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz — as if the old script were playing out once more. We noted before that the U.S.–Iran contest is unlikely to end peacefully, and will most probably reignite in the fourth quarter. So will the current developments bring the new fighting forward? On the whole, the probability is relatively limited, because the timing on the U.S. (Trump) side is not yet fully ready, and market behavior also shows that overall sentiment remains relatively stable. From the standpoint of long-term goals, taking Iran down — or at least striking it thoroughly — is the core demand for the U.S. However, both the military situation and inflation pressure previously meant the stalemate","text":"Last week the Middle East situation produced fresh news again — from the U.S. air strikes on Iran to Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz — as if the old script were playing out once more. We noted before that the U.S.–Iran contest is unlikely to end peacefully, and will most probably reignite in the fourth quarter. So will the current developments bring the new fighting forward? On the whole, the probability is relatively limited, because the timing on the U.S. (Trump) side is not yet fully ready, and market behavior also shows that overall sentiment remains relatively stable. From the standpoint of long-term goals, taking Iran down — or at least striking it thoroughly — is the core demand for the U.S. However, both the military situation and inflation pressure previously meant the stalemate","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1f3a1e466a211db612b2583bd2e7d5b1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":65,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/585647642038368","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1687,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":583193633964320,"gmtCreate":1783415779787,"gmtModify":1783415882603,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"The Downtrend Isn't Over, But a Rebound Window Is Opening: July Opportunities for Bitcoin and Ethere","htmlText":"Amidst the current macroeconomic environment where AI and related sectors are stealing the spotlight, the performance of crypto assets this year has been exceptionally weak, failing to capture any upward momentum. The reality is that in the realm of narrative-driven assets, Bitcoin's history and storytelling capabilities are just as strong as any other asset. However, once expectations are overdrawn and fail to materialize, a return to reality is inevitable. Nevertheless, after a sustained decline, the likelihood of a short-term stabilization and a corrective rebound is increasing. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2609(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NQmain\">$E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2609(NQmain)$</a>","listText":"Amidst the current macroeconomic environment where AI and related sectors are stealing the spotlight, the performance of crypto assets this year has been exceptionally weak, failing to capture any upward momentum. The reality is that in the realm of narrative-driven assets, Bitcoin's history and storytelling capabilities are just as strong as any other asset. However, once expectations are overdrawn and fail to materialize, a return to reality is inevitable. Nevertheless, after a sustained decline, the likelihood of a short-term stabilization and a corrective rebound is increasing. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2609(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NQmain\">$E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2609(NQmain)$</a>","text":"Amidst the current macroeconomic environment where AI and related sectors are stealing the spotlight, the performance of crypto assets this year has been exceptionally weak, failing to capture any upward momentum. The reality is that in the realm of narrative-driven assets, Bitcoin's history and storytelling capabilities are just as strong as any other asset. However, once expectations are overdrawn and fail to materialize, a return to reality is inevitable. Nevertheless, after a sustained decline, the likelihood of a short-term stabilization and a corrective rebound is increasing. $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2609(ESmain)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2609(NQmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7c918ebfb79fc773e098a4c24e626237"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":29,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/583193633964320","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2040,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":580642356822112,"gmtCreate":1782789169918,"gmtModify":1782789619900,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"From Rate Cuts to Rate Hikes? Will the Fed's Hawkish Pivot Crash the Market?","htmlText":"After Warsh replaced Powell as the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, expectations and rumors regarding an interest rate hike within the year have persisted. The substantial inflationary pressure brought about by the outbreak of the war in the Middle East has already forced multiple central banks to opt for rate hikes in response, and there is a high probability that the Federal Reserve will not go against this trend. However, looking at history, a rate hike does not signify an inevitable change in the trend; more often than not, other external crises are required to trigger a reversal in the market's trajectory. According to the latest FedWatch data, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate level at the Federal Reserve's year-end meeting is only 22%, while the combined prob","listText":"After Warsh replaced Powell as the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, expectations and rumors regarding an interest rate hike within the year have persisted. The substantial inflationary pressure brought about by the outbreak of the war in the Middle East has already forced multiple central banks to opt for rate hikes in response, and there is a high probability that the Federal Reserve will not go against this trend. However, looking at history, a rate hike does not signify an inevitable change in the trend; more often than not, other external crises are required to trigger a reversal in the market's trajectory. According to the latest FedWatch data, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate level at the Federal Reserve's year-end meeting is only 22%, while the combined prob","text":"After Warsh replaced Powell as the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, expectations and rumors regarding an interest rate hike within the year have persisted. The substantial inflationary pressure brought about by the outbreak of the war in the Middle East has already forced multiple central banks to opt for rate hikes in response, and there is a high probability that the Federal Reserve will not go against this trend. However, looking at history, a rate hike does not signify an inevitable change in the trend; more often than not, other external crises are required to trigger a reversal in the market's trajectory. According to the latest FedWatch data, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate level at the Federal Reserve's year-end meeting is only 22%, while the combined prob","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/eb2618bba23b15d808882be062031df7","width":"864","height":"490"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":197,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/580642356822112","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1982,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":578264175121656,"gmtCreate":1782202641431,"gmtModify":1782202724787,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Watch Out For USD Bull Trap！？ Forex Markets Hit a Tipping Point！","htmlText":"Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East saw renewed uncertainties over the past weekend, ultimately failing to reach a comprehensive agreement. However, considering that the market's sensitivity has significantly dulled, unless hostilities officially resume, this is not expected to disrupt the performance of most assets. Recently, we can shift our focus toward the foreign exchange market. Taking the US Dollar Index (DXY) as a reference, the price action is currently hovering near a crucial watershed level. Based on our long-term bearish view on the dollar, there is reason to suspect that new selling opportunities may emerge, and the DXY itself faces the risk of a bull trap. Earlier this year, the dollar once approached its 10-year long-term trendline, but the bulls ultimately defended thi","listText":"Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East saw renewed uncertainties over the past weekend, ultimately failing to reach a comprehensive agreement. However, considering that the market's sensitivity has significantly dulled, unless hostilities officially resume, this is not expected to disrupt the performance of most assets. Recently, we can shift our focus toward the foreign exchange market. Taking the US Dollar Index (DXY) as a reference, the price action is currently hovering near a crucial watershed level. Based on our long-term bearish view on the dollar, there is reason to suspect that new selling opportunities may emerge, and the DXY itself faces the risk of a bull trap. Earlier this year, the dollar once approached its 10-year long-term trendline, but the bulls ultimately defended thi","text":"Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East saw renewed uncertainties over the past weekend, ultimately failing to reach a comprehensive agreement. However, considering that the market's sensitivity has significantly dulled, unless hostilities officially resume, this is not expected to disrupt the performance of most assets. Recently, we can shift our focus toward the foreign exchange market. Taking the US Dollar Index (DXY) as a reference, the price action is currently hovering near a crucial watershed level. Based on our long-term bearish view on the dollar, there is reason to suspect that new selling opportunities may emerge, and the DXY itself faces the risk of a bull trap. Earlier this year, the dollar once approached its 10-year long-term trendline, but the bulls ultimately defended thi","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7914bf0426c04c81ee018c3176b57cb6","width":"840","height":"546"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":21,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/578264175121656","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4899,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":575414749114448,"gmtCreate":1781512272060,"gmtModify":1781513273094,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"📰A Mid-Session Pause: The US-Iran Truce Is In — What’s Next for Markets?","htmlText":"After two months of back-and-forth, the US and Iran finally announced over the weekend that a ceasefire memorandum of understanding had been reached. Although the final signing is still a few days away, the market has already fully priced in the impact of the news. Before the fourth quarter, geopolitical issues are expected to stop bothering investors. On the trading side, we still lean toward the view that most assets will remain range-bound over the next one to two quarters. As long as there are attractive relative lows or highs and the risk-reward is acceptable, there will be opportunities to try and trade the move. We will not go into the details of the agreement itself. Those can be found on various financial websites. Instead, we will focus on how asset prices are moving. Crude oil i","listText":"After two months of back-and-forth, the US and Iran finally announced over the weekend that a ceasefire memorandum of understanding had been reached. Although the final signing is still a few days away, the market has already fully priced in the impact of the news. Before the fourth quarter, geopolitical issues are expected to stop bothering investors. On the trading side, we still lean toward the view that most assets will remain range-bound over the next one to two quarters. As long as there are attractive relative lows or highs and the risk-reward is acceptable, there will be opportunities to try and trade the move. We will not go into the details of the agreement itself. Those can be found on various financial websites. Instead, we will focus on how asset prices are moving. Crude oil i","text":"After two months of back-and-forth, the US and Iran finally announced over the weekend that a ceasefire memorandum of understanding had been reached. Although the final signing is still a few days away, the market has already fully priced in the impact of the news. Before the fourth quarter, geopolitical issues are expected to stop bothering investors. On the trading side, we still lean toward the view that most assets will remain range-bound over the next one to two quarters. As long as there are attractive relative lows or highs and the risk-reward is acceptable, there will be opportunities to try and trade the move. We will not go into the details of the agreement itself. Those can be found on various financial websites. Instead, we will focus on how asset prices are moving. Crude oil i","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f6f16df5a9bef22949d497106868403e","width":"865","height":"559"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d5ab72ad2892560f29f530808d723e7a","width":"865","height":"561"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4ea2e77617a29ce9c60b53c3ff971eb8","width":"864","height":"558"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":46,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/575414749114448","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3157,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":568064845996432,"gmtCreate":1779699091587,"gmtModify":1779983424259,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Middle East Nears a Phased Endgame, Crude Oil Retains a Medium- to Long-Term Floor","htmlText":"Following Trump’s announcement over the weekend that the United States is close to reaching an agreement with Iran, oil prices naturally opened with another gap lower at the start of the week. The overall trajectory of geopolitical developments is consistent with what we anticipated in April, and this phase of relative peace is likely to last through the period around the midterm elections toward year-end. Although both technicals and news flow have dealt a double blow to the market, the structural issues in the Middle East will not be fundamentally resolved as a result. Therefore, if oil prices undergo a sufficient pullback going forward, lower levels should still provide solid support. In addition, changes on the news front are unlikely to alter the broader trends of most asset classes;","listText":"Following Trump’s announcement over the weekend that the United States is close to reaching an agreement with Iran, oil prices naturally opened with another gap lower at the start of the week. The overall trajectory of geopolitical developments is consistent with what we anticipated in April, and this phase of relative peace is likely to last through the period around the midterm elections toward year-end. Although both technicals and news flow have dealt a double blow to the market, the structural issues in the Middle East will not be fundamentally resolved as a result. Therefore, if oil prices undergo a sufficient pullback going forward, lower levels should still provide solid support. In addition, changes on the news front are unlikely to alter the broader trends of most asset classes;","text":"Following Trump’s announcement over the weekend that the United States is close to reaching an agreement with Iran, oil prices naturally opened with another gap lower at the start of the week. The overall trajectory of geopolitical developments is consistent with what we anticipated in April, and this phase of relative peace is likely to last through the period around the midterm elections toward year-end. Although both technicals and news flow have dealt a double blow to the market, the structural issues in the Middle East will not be fundamentally resolved as a result. Therefore, if oil prices undergo a sufficient pullback going forward, lower levels should still provide solid support. In addition, changes on the news front are unlikely to alter the broader trends of most asset classes;","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7070bb0edb9e102f9e0f5e5d409d5a16","width":"865","height":"554"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":14,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/568064845996432","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2262,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":565871490916368,"gmtCreate":1779163685036,"gmtModify":1779164042411,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"US-China talks stall: risk assets wrestle with yields and a fragile rally","htmlText":"Market regime review and the uncertainty of future directions Last week, Trump’s visit to China dominated most of the headlines, but after the lively atmosphere and optimistic expectations, it ultimately appears that no substantive outcomes were achieved. This led to a decline in most non-dominant risk assets in the latter part of the week, with both gold and silver signaling that the previous round of a corrective rebound has ended. However, as the summer rally approaches, whether a sustained performance can be achieved remains highly variable. Weak relative performance signals for precious metals and non-mainstream metals Silver posted a large upper shadow last week, with a intraday high near $90, but then retraced the gains over the next two trading days. The pace of the rebound is slow","listText":"Market regime review and the uncertainty of future directions Last week, Trump’s visit to China dominated most of the headlines, but after the lively atmosphere and optimistic expectations, it ultimately appears that no substantive outcomes were achieved. This led to a decline in most non-dominant risk assets in the latter part of the week, with both gold and silver signaling that the previous round of a corrective rebound has ended. However, as the summer rally approaches, whether a sustained performance can be achieved remains highly variable. Weak relative performance signals for precious metals and non-mainstream metals Silver posted a large upper shadow last week, with a intraday high near $90, but then retraced the gains over the next two trading days. The pace of the rebound is slow","text":"Market regime review and the uncertainty of future directions Last week, Trump’s visit to China dominated most of the headlines, but after the lively atmosphere and optimistic expectations, it ultimately appears that no substantive outcomes were achieved. This led to a decline in most non-dominant risk assets in the latter part of the week, with both gold and silver signaling that the previous round of a corrective rebound has ended. However, as the summer rally approaches, whether a sustained performance can be achieved remains highly variable. Weak relative performance signals for precious metals and non-mainstream metals Silver posted a large upper shadow last week, with a intraday high near $90, but then retraced the gains over the next two trading days. The pace of the rebound is slow","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7110b59ed2c3a7c555d78182aaf5ff0f","width":"865","height":"560"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0fd5315854cc663f0d6d410c394abe51","width":"865","height":"556"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0659af5dd908c078c291f5075304cd19","width":"865","height":"565"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":124,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/565871490916368","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2313,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":563425723220128,"gmtCreate":1778574449608,"gmtModify":1778843908892,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Cryptocurrency Trading Opportunities: Shift to Bitcoin and Ethereum Breakouts","htmlText":"Cooling Tensions in the Middle East and Shift in Market Focus As previously anticipated, with the 30/60-day overseas military operation cycle reaching its end without further escalation, the situation in the Middle East has naturally entered a phase of “unstable peace.” This implies that the primary market narrative will extend for another 1–2 quarters, and most asset classes will fall into broad range-bound fluctuations. At this stage, after a sustained rebound, crypto assets may present opportunities to sell at higher levels. Crypto assets, which had dominated market attention in recent years, reached their peak and began to decline after Trump’s second term in the White House. A major contributing factor was the “algorithmic” liquidation event in October last year. Following this event,","listText":"Cooling Tensions in the Middle East and Shift in Market Focus As previously anticipated, with the 30/60-day overseas military operation cycle reaching its end without further escalation, the situation in the Middle East has naturally entered a phase of “unstable peace.” This implies that the primary market narrative will extend for another 1–2 quarters, and most asset classes will fall into broad range-bound fluctuations. At this stage, after a sustained rebound, crypto assets may present opportunities to sell at higher levels. Crypto assets, which had dominated market attention in recent years, reached their peak and began to decline after Trump’s second term in the White House. A major contributing factor was the “algorithmic” liquidation event in October last year. Following this event,","text":"Cooling Tensions in the Middle East and Shift in Market Focus As previously anticipated, with the 30/60-day overseas military operation cycle reaching its end without further escalation, the situation in the Middle East has naturally entered a phase of “unstable peace.” This implies that the primary market narrative will extend for another 1–2 quarters, and most asset classes will fall into broad range-bound fluctuations. At this stage, after a sustained rebound, crypto assets may present opportunities to sell at higher levels. Crypto assets, which had dominated market attention in recent years, reached their peak and began to decline after Trump’s second term in the White House. A major contributing factor was the “algorithmic” liquidation event in October last year. Following this event,","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3b3a619d24a549a3f0e53903ec9336da"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":28,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/563425723220128","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2095,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":558831241933160,"gmtCreate":1777466118408,"gmtModify":1778843891113,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"A Higher Probability Path of “Unstable Peace” Under Remote Signaling Dynamics","htmlText":"Macro Theme: De-escalation and “Unstable Peace” as the Core Pricing Driver Although last weekend’s White House dinner shooting incident attracted significant attention, it did not create any material impact, and markets were not disrupted at the start of the week. Meanwhile, the ongoing “Middle East saga” continues steadily, and the U.S. decision not to arrange “in-person” negotiators suggests that the intermediary model has shifted toward “remote” communication. If no surprise attacks occur within the next one to two weeks, it can largely be concluded that this tug-of-war style “peace” will persist until around the midterm elections, when potential changes or turning points may emerge. The three potential models and scenarios of U.S.-Iran negotiations have already been discussed in previo","listText":"Macro Theme: De-escalation and “Unstable Peace” as the Core Pricing Driver Although last weekend’s White House dinner shooting incident attracted significant attention, it did not create any material impact, and markets were not disrupted at the start of the week. Meanwhile, the ongoing “Middle East saga” continues steadily, and the U.S. decision not to arrange “in-person” negotiators suggests that the intermediary model has shifted toward “remote” communication. If no surprise attacks occur within the next one to two weeks, it can largely be concluded that this tug-of-war style “peace” will persist until around the midterm elections, when potential changes or turning points may emerge. The three potential models and scenarios of U.S.-Iran negotiations have already been discussed in previo","text":"Macro Theme: De-escalation and “Unstable Peace” as the Core Pricing Driver Although last weekend’s White House dinner shooting incident attracted significant attention, it did not create any material impact, and markets were not disrupted at the start of the week. Meanwhile, the ongoing “Middle East saga” continues steadily, and the U.S. decision not to arrange “in-person” negotiators suggests that the intermediary model has shifted toward “remote” communication. If no surprise attacks occur within the next one to two weeks, it can largely be concluded that this tug-of-war style “peace” will persist until around the midterm elections, when potential changes or turning points may emerge. The three potential models and scenarios of U.S.-Iran negotiations have already been discussed in previo","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d2f61ed604e8fc1a9cc44150d0857649"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/faab5b4e7202df57d575f8a5c0fe89b0"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/769952e4a0691fbb7f506a696dc022ff"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":202,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/558831241933160","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3908,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":555725039461336,"gmtCreate":1776685731941,"gmtModify":1778843841800,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"From the Battlefield to the Negotiating Table: What Is the Real Catalyst for a Dollar Rebound?","htmlText":"Trump once believed he was the only one in the market capable of “drawing K-lines with words,” but it turns out Iran has learned the same trick. From last Friday to the beginning of this week, both sides have been locked in a tug-of-war over whether the Strait of Hormuz remains open and whether to extend ceasefire negotiations, each telling its own version of the story. Judging by market reactions, investors are largely in a passive, headline-driven mode: bullish news triggers risk-on buying, while negative developments lead to risk-off selling. Based on our analysis and judgment from last week, a delaying strategy remains the most likely scenario, with the key question being whether it is short-term or a more prolonged standoff. 1. Negotiation Tug-of-War: Tough Tal","listText":"Trump once believed he was the only one in the market capable of “drawing K-lines with words,” but it turns out Iran has learned the same trick. From last Friday to the beginning of this week, both sides have been locked in a tug-of-war over whether the Strait of Hormuz remains open and whether to extend ceasefire negotiations, each telling its own version of the story. Judging by market reactions, investors are largely in a passive, headline-driven mode: bullish news triggers risk-on buying, while negative developments lead to risk-off selling. Based on our analysis and judgment from last week, a delaying strategy remains the most likely scenario, with the key question being whether it is short-term or a more prolonged standoff. 1. Negotiation Tug-of-War: Tough Tal","text":"Trump once believed he was the only one in the market capable of “drawing K-lines with words,” but it turns out Iran has learned the same trick. From last Friday to the beginning of this week, both sides have been locked in a tug-of-war over whether the Strait of Hormuz remains open and whether to extend ceasefire negotiations, each telling its own version of the story. Judging by market reactions, investors are largely in a passive, headline-driven mode: bullish news triggers risk-on buying, while negative developments lead to risk-off selling. Based on our analysis and judgment from last week, a delaying strategy remains the most likely scenario, with the key question being whether it is short-term or a more prolonged standoff. 1. Negotiation Tug-of-War: Tough Tal","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e924561655cd86bd36b329dcd037b195"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":93,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/555725039461336","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3981,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":553143631197016,"gmtCreate":1776081769608,"gmtModify":1778843430852,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Unresolved Strait, Unclear Market: Where is the next inflation trading opportunity?","htmlText":"The most closely watched development over the weekend was the progress in talks between the United States and Iran. Based on the weekend news flow, there has been some progress, but the core issues remain unresolved. Since the Strait of Hormuz was blocked a month ago, Gulf countries’ crude inventories are also nearing full capacity. If, during this two-week ceasefire window, the United States and Iran still fail to reach a better agreement that ensures safe passage through the strait, the market is likely to further lift long-term inflation sentiment, creating trading opportunities in the forward contracts of many commodities. I. Focus on the Forward Crude Oil Contract When this round of oil price gains first began, the market initially believed the blockade of the strait would be only a s","listText":"The most closely watched development over the weekend was the progress in talks between the United States and Iran. Based on the weekend news flow, there has been some progress, but the core issues remain unresolved. Since the Strait of Hormuz was blocked a month ago, Gulf countries’ crude inventories are also nearing full capacity. If, during this two-week ceasefire window, the United States and Iran still fail to reach a better agreement that ensures safe passage through the strait, the market is likely to further lift long-term inflation sentiment, creating trading opportunities in the forward contracts of many commodities. I. Focus on the Forward Crude Oil Contract When this round of oil price gains first began, the market initially believed the blockade of the strait would be only a s","text":"The most closely watched development over the weekend was the progress in talks between the United States and Iran. Based on the weekend news flow, there has been some progress, but the core issues remain unresolved. Since the Strait of Hormuz was blocked a month ago, Gulf countries’ crude inventories are also nearing full capacity. If, during this two-week ceasefire window, the United States and Iran still fail to reach a better agreement that ensures safe passage through the strait, the market is likely to further lift long-term inflation sentiment, creating trading opportunities in the forward contracts of many commodities. I. Focus on the Forward Crude Oil Contract When this round of oil price gains first began, the market initially believed the blockade of the strait would be only a s","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9920dceb2416980c10aa6460b4c426d5"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":27,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553143631197016","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4338,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3574752437126777","authorId":"3574752437126777","name":"1PC","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d93d931cb700e24c910644542320e877","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3574752437126777","idStr":"3574752437126777"},"content":"Nice Sharing 😁 @DiAngel @Barcode @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @JC888 @Shyon @Aqa @koolgal","text":"Nice Sharing 😁 @DiAngel @Barcode @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @JC888 @Shyon @Aqa @koolgal","html":"Nice Sharing 😁 @DiAngel @Barcode @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @JC888 @Shyon @Aqa @koolgal"}],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":551245866165224,"gmtCreate":1775618449027,"gmtModify":1775619363207,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"War Clouds Recede———Will Oil Ever Rebound?","htmlText":"Pentagon Reshuffle Signals Ground War Last week, oil prices experienced a new round of surging—with single-week gains exceeding double digits—driven by President Trump's aggressive, pre-war mobilization-style remarks. Although a dramatic rescue of an American pilot took place over the weekend, the more critical focus remains the personnel upheaval within the upper echelons of the US military. From a logical standpoint, this could be a strategic move to install loyalists in preparation for an eventual full-scale conflict. Therefore, even if a \"ground war\" is not necessarily the optimal choice, the risk of its outbreak can no longer be ignored. According to public sources, at least three top military officials have been \"reassigned\" or \"forced into retirement,\" including the high-ranking Arm","listText":"Pentagon Reshuffle Signals Ground War Last week, oil prices experienced a new round of surging—with single-week gains exceeding double digits—driven by President Trump's aggressive, pre-war mobilization-style remarks. Although a dramatic rescue of an American pilot took place over the weekend, the more critical focus remains the personnel upheaval within the upper echelons of the US military. From a logical standpoint, this could be a strategic move to install loyalists in preparation for an eventual full-scale conflict. Therefore, even if a \"ground war\" is not necessarily the optimal choice, the risk of its outbreak can no longer be ignored. According to public sources, at least three top military officials have been \"reassigned\" or \"forced into retirement,\" including the high-ranking Arm","text":"Pentagon Reshuffle Signals Ground War Last week, oil prices experienced a new round of surging—with single-week gains exceeding double digits—driven by President Trump's aggressive, pre-war mobilization-style remarks. Although a dramatic rescue of an American pilot took place over the weekend, the more critical focus remains the personnel upheaval within the upper echelons of the US military. From a logical standpoint, this could be a strategic move to install loyalists in preparation for an eventual full-scale conflict. Therefore, even if a \"ground war\" is not necessarily the optimal choice, the risk of its outbreak can no longer be ignored. According to public sources, at least three top military officials have been \"reassigned\" or \"forced into retirement,\" including the high-ranking Arm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":144,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/551245866165224","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3591,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4095856449653620","authorId":"4095856449653620","name":"JL1Apr","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa696d7e42a997dc2a7b18b5382eab83","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4095856449653620","idStr":"4095856449653620"},"content":"I don't believe Trump would accept admitting defeat.","text":"I don't believe Trump would accept admitting defeat.","html":"I don't believe Trump would accept admitting defeat."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":549179401499824,"gmtCreate":1775100869758,"gmtModify":1775100938830,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Trump’s April 6 Ultimatum: A Make-or-Break Weekend for Markets","htmlText":"Holding positions over this weekend is becoming a dangerous gamble Last week's rebound in risk assets was a flash in the pan, with equities and other long positions facing a renewed wave of downward pressure. As Trump's April 6 ultimatum approaches, the Middle East will soon deliver a short-term answer—whether it's a diplomatic agreement or a massive military deployment. Most assets are expected to choose their direction by late this week or early next, and investors must be particularly hyper-aware of the gap risks heading into the weekend. If the situation remains unresolved by Friday's close, holding positions over the weekend becomes incredibly risky. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2606(NQmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 260</a>","listText":"Holding positions over this weekend is becoming a dangerous gamble Last week's rebound in risk assets was a flash in the pan, with equities and other long positions facing a renewed wave of downward pressure. As Trump's April 6 ultimatum approaches, the Middle East will soon deliver a short-term answer—whether it's a diplomatic agreement or a massive military deployment. Most assets are expected to choose their direction by late this week or early next, and investors must be particularly hyper-aware of the gap risks heading into the weekend. If the situation remains unresolved by Friday's close, holding positions over the weekend becomes incredibly risky. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2606(NQmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 260</a>","text":"Holding positions over this weekend is becoming a dangerous gamble Last week's rebound in risk assets was a flash in the pan, with equities and other long positions facing a renewed wave of downward pressure. As Trump's April 6 ultimatum approaches, the Middle East will soon deliver a short-term answer—whether it's a diplomatic agreement or a massive military deployment. Most assets are expected to choose their direction by late this week or early next, and investors must be particularly hyper-aware of the gap risks heading into the weekend. If the situation remains unresolved by Friday's close, holding positions over the weekend becomes incredibly risky. $NQ100指数主连 2606(NQmain)$ $SP500指数主连 260","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":54,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":13,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/549179401499824","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5033,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000380","authorId":"9000000000000380","name":"happyli","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a539edbf3388702a82cb1d4728704766","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000380","idStr":"9000000000000380"},"content":"Holding positions this weekend? Too dangerous, I'd trim if I were you. Crude oil at $80 is the real test.[看跌]","text":"Holding positions this weekend? Too dangerous, I'd trim if I were you. Crude oil at $80 is the real test.[看跌]","html":"Holding positions this weekend? Too dangerous, I'd trim if I were you. Crude oil at $80 is the real test.[看跌]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":545992570437848,"gmtCreate":1774322667162,"gmtModify":1774324142455,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Gold’s Sharp Drop Isn’t the End of the Story — It May Be the Start","htmlText":"Gold sold off sharply again this morning, extending the daily chart to nine consecutive down days. Even though oil is still trading below $100, other risk assets are already starting to wobble. Looking at the broader market action, there may still be downside risks that have not been fully priced in. It may not be time to panic yet, but a more defensive stance and readiness to exit are becoming increasingly necessary. It was somewhat surprising to see gold fail to hold its previous major trading range, especially since this latest leg lower came with almost no resistance at all. From a strategy perspective, one short and one long trade still ended up producing a profit overall, but the high-volatility range-trading logic has clearly broken down. The move to fresh lows not only opens up a n","listText":"Gold sold off sharply again this morning, extending the daily chart to nine consecutive down days. Even though oil is still trading below $100, other risk assets are already starting to wobble. Looking at the broader market action, there may still be downside risks that have not been fully priced in. It may not be time to panic yet, but a more defensive stance and readiness to exit are becoming increasingly necessary. It was somewhat surprising to see gold fail to hold its previous major trading range, especially since this latest leg lower came with almost no resistance at all. From a strategy perspective, one short and one long trade still ended up producing a profit overall, but the high-volatility range-trading logic has clearly broken down. The move to fresh lows not only opens up a n","text":"Gold sold off sharply again this morning, extending the daily chart to nine consecutive down days. Even though oil is still trading below $100, other risk assets are already starting to wobble. Looking at the broader market action, there may still be downside risks that have not been fully priced in. It may not be time to panic yet, but a more defensive stance and readiness to exit are becoming increasingly necessary. It was somewhat surprising to see gold fail to hold its previous major trading range, especially since this latest leg lower came with almost no resistance at all. From a strategy perspective, one short and one long trade still ended up producing a profit overall, but the high-volatility range-trading logic has clearly broken down. The move to fresh lows not only opens up a n","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9e21905ed031ac008ace72b292359256","width":"865","height":"562"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/66dca615d1dd1ff3071312b2cf35ed70","width":"865","height":"564"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9e21905ed031ac008ace72b292359256","width":"865","height":"562"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":218,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":13,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/545992570437848","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5550,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000526","authorId":"9000000000000526","name":"JulianAlerander","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e323dbbc6c94364b37b3a4181851cf0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000526","idStr":"9000000000000526"},"content":"Solid strategy, mate! Profiting in chaos shows real skill. Keep pushing![强]","text":"Solid strategy, mate! Profiting in chaos shows real skill. Keep pushing![强]","html":"Solid strategy, mate! Profiting in chaos shows real skill. Keep pushing![强]"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":543287608807720,"gmtCreate":1773662307408,"gmtModify":1773662326479,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"The Longer Oil Prices Stay High, the Worse It Gets: A Dollar Rebound Adds to the Pressure!","htmlText":"Trump ultimately opted for the \"Winning Strategy\" we predicted to try and defuse the situation in Iran. While this somewhat delayed move briefly pushed oil prices down from $119 to below $80, the unresolved issue in the Strait of Hormuz has kept oil prices firm, preventing the situation from returning to an ideal state. As the Middle East narrative is likely to stretch into a significantly longer cycle, the risks of high oil prices transmitting into broader inflation will materialize. One thing is certain: the longer this drags on, the bigger the trouble for financial markets. From a technical standpoint, oil prices printed a massive Doji star last week, characterized by exceptionally long upper and lower shadows. Typically, after such a structure appears, the market requires time to dige","listText":"Trump ultimately opted for the \"Winning Strategy\" we predicted to try and defuse the situation in Iran. While this somewhat delayed move briefly pushed oil prices down from $119 to below $80, the unresolved issue in the Strait of Hormuz has kept oil prices firm, preventing the situation from returning to an ideal state. As the Middle East narrative is likely to stretch into a significantly longer cycle, the risks of high oil prices transmitting into broader inflation will materialize. One thing is certain: the longer this drags on, the bigger the trouble for financial markets. From a technical standpoint, oil prices printed a massive Doji star last week, characterized by exceptionally long upper and lower shadows. Typically, after such a structure appears, the market requires time to dige","text":"Trump ultimately opted for the \"Winning Strategy\" we predicted to try and defuse the situation in Iran. While this somewhat delayed move briefly pushed oil prices down from $119 to below $80, the unresolved issue in the Strait of Hormuz has kept oil prices firm, preventing the situation from returning to an ideal state. As the Middle East narrative is likely to stretch into a significantly longer cycle, the risks of high oil prices transmitting into broader inflation will materialize. One thing is certain: the longer this drags on, the bigger the trouble for financial markets. From a technical standpoint, oil prices printed a massive Doji star last week, characterized by exceptionally long upper and lower shadows. Typically, after such a structure appears, the market requires time to dige","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b0d437bcce03272ffe874e485eb3812","width":"1131","height":"729"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5838aa5c18f0c8fa602853c52ad6e2e","width":"1104","height":"707"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33944c00d3a2b1f9a31dbf2185702cc7","width":"1088","height":"717"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":78,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":14,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/543287608807720","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6038,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000593","authorId":"9000000000000593","name":"popzy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8949243b5b991e5aaeac1e019f51299","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000593","idStr":"9000000000000593"},"content":"Oil's volatility is mad! Holding shorts with you, targets look solid.[看跌]","text":"Oil's volatility is mad! Holding shorts with you, targets look solid.[看跌]","html":"Oil's volatility is mad! Holding shorts with you, targets look solid.[看跌]"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":541086336614912,"gmtCreate":1773127433216,"gmtModify":1773127625629,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Hormuz Half Shut, Markets on Edge: Why This Week Is Make or Break","htmlText":"Last week, we were expecting the situation in the Middle East to stay within a relatively controllable range and, as a result, for financial markets to remain broadly stable. However, judging from last Friday’s and early this week’s surge in oil prices, even though there are still no clear signs that the war has formally widened, the risk of it spinning out of control is already on the table. If, at this critical juncture, Trump still cannot come up with a credible exit plan, both financial markets and geopolitics may be hit by a new tsunami. The impact of oil prices on the global financial system and on people’s daily lives via inflation is self-evident. Yet in just a little over a week, we’ve seen a 60% spike in prices, while the key Strait of Hormuz remains in a state of abnormal, semi‑","listText":"Last week, we were expecting the situation in the Middle East to stay within a relatively controllable range and, as a result, for financial markets to remain broadly stable. However, judging from last Friday’s and early this week’s surge in oil prices, even though there are still no clear signs that the war has formally widened, the risk of it spinning out of control is already on the table. If, at this critical juncture, Trump still cannot come up with a credible exit plan, both financial markets and geopolitics may be hit by a new tsunami. The impact of oil prices on the global financial system and on people’s daily lives via inflation is self-evident. Yet in just a little over a week, we’ve seen a 60% spike in prices, while the key Strait of Hormuz remains in a state of abnormal, semi‑","text":"Last week, we were expecting the situation in the Middle East to stay within a relatively controllable range and, as a result, for financial markets to remain broadly stable. However, judging from last Friday’s and early this week’s surge in oil prices, even though there are still no clear signs that the war has formally widened, the risk of it spinning out of control is already on the table. If, at this critical juncture, Trump still cannot come up with a credible exit plan, both financial markets and geopolitics may be hit by a new tsunami. The impact of oil prices on the global financial system and on people’s daily lives via inflation is self-evident. Yet in just a little over a week, we’ve seen a 60% spike in prices, while the key Strait of Hormuz remains in a state of abnormal, semi‑","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/debd5e9a6da0bdca0f55851e9729ea94","width":"865","height":"553"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":28,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/541086336614912","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5822,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":538228443730568,"gmtCreate":1772423969133,"gmtModify":1772425622079,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Oil vs Gold After Iran: One Was Pressured, One Was Bullish","htmlText":"The much-watched Iran situation officially entered a new phase last weekend. A U.S.–Iran “hidden move” style decapitation operation quickly carried out targeted killings of Khamenei and several senior Iranian officials. Markets reacted in the usual way: gold and crude oil jumped, while stock index futures opened lower. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGCmain\">$E-Micro Gold - main 2604(MGCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/USO\">$United States Oil Fund LP(USO)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI Crude Oil - main 2604(CLmain)$</a> After this knee-jerk reaction, the real question is bigger. Is the Middle East—always unstable—just going through another short shock? Or are we about to see a lon","listText":"The much-watched Iran situation officially entered a new phase last weekend. A U.S.–Iran “hidden move” style decapitation operation quickly carried out targeted killings of Khamenei and several senior Iranian officials. Markets reacted in the usual way: gold and crude oil jumped, while stock index futures opened lower. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGCmain\">$E-Micro Gold - main 2604(MGCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/USO\">$United States Oil Fund LP(USO)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI Crude Oil - main 2604(CLmain)$</a> After this knee-jerk reaction, the real question is bigger. Is the Middle East—always unstable—just going through another short shock? Or are we about to see a lon","text":"The much-watched Iran situation officially entered a new phase last weekend. A U.S.–Iran “hidden move” style decapitation operation quickly carried out targeted killings of Khamenei and several senior Iranian officials. Markets reacted in the usual way: gold and crude oil jumped, while stock index futures opened lower. $Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$ $E-Micro Gold - main 2604(MGCmain)$ $United States Oil Fund LP(USO)$ $WTI Crude Oil - main 2604(CLmain)$ After this knee-jerk reaction, the real question is bigger. Is the Middle East—always unstable—just going through another short shock? Or are we about to see a lon","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/78aa0704d1ce863f586c342ae329cb21","width":"863","height":"554"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":82,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":18,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/538228443730568","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8122,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":536873565991600,"gmtCreate":1772093100367,"gmtModify":1772093115979,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"US Dollar Rebound Unlikely to Last: Awaiting the Next Shorting Opportunity","htmlText":"The US dollar experienced a rebound last week, prompting us to temporarily exit our previous long positions in the Euro. However, the fundamental factors underlying the dollar have not undergone any substantial changes. Therefore, we expect the magnitude and momentum of this rebound to be limited. We will closely monitor developments this week; if price action is favorable, we may once again seek suitable non-US currencies to go long. Analyzing the weekly chart of the dollar over the past few weeks reveals signs of a pause in its downward trend. Furthermore, last week's weekly closing price returned above a crucial new long-term trendline, indicating that range-bound consolidation and volatility are likely to unfold in the near term. As long as there is no bearish engulfing pattern this we","listText":"The US dollar experienced a rebound last week, prompting us to temporarily exit our previous long positions in the Euro. However, the fundamental factors underlying the dollar have not undergone any substantial changes. Therefore, we expect the magnitude and momentum of this rebound to be limited. We will closely monitor developments this week; if price action is favorable, we may once again seek suitable non-US currencies to go long. Analyzing the weekly chart of the dollar over the past few weeks reveals signs of a pause in its downward trend. Furthermore, last week's weekly closing price returned above a crucial new long-term trendline, indicating that range-bound consolidation and volatility are likely to unfold in the near term. As long as there is no bearish engulfing pattern this we","text":"The US dollar experienced a rebound last week, prompting us to temporarily exit our previous long positions in the Euro. However, the fundamental factors underlying the dollar have not undergone any substantial changes. Therefore, we expect the magnitude and momentum of this rebound to be limited. We will closely monitor developments this week; if price action is favorable, we may once again seek suitable non-US currencies to go long. Analyzing the weekly chart of the dollar over the past few weeks reveals signs of a pause in its downward trend. Furthermore, last week's weekly closing price returned above a crucial new long-term trendline, indicating that range-bound consolidation and volatility are likely to unfold in the near term. As long as there is no bearish engulfing pattern this we","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8e51b471e808f9b0c8cc644098fb15f","width":"831","height":"533"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":44,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":6,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/536873565991600","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4538,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000168","authorId":"9000000000000168","name":"ChrisColeman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c61226b13dc84ab3139a9fa00b20782","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000168","idStr":"9000000000000168"},"content":"Reckon the dollar's bounce is just a blip. Keen to short again.[看跌]","text":"Reckon the dollar's bounce is just a blip. Keen to short again.[看跌]","html":"Reckon the dollar's bounce is just a blip. Keen to short again.[看跌]"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":194638617419872,"gmtCreate":1688560412316,"gmtModify":1688560429027,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Medium-term correction of GOLD may not be completely,Further decline lie ahead","htmlText":"Gold showed signs of a bottom out in the past week, and the integer mark near 1900 provided some buying support.On the news side, it has maintained a stable trend in the near future, and there is no new significant positive or negative news. Referring to indicators such as gold-silver ratio, the medium-term correction may not be completely over at present. After the next round of adjustment, gold will have a chance to enter a new rally.The range of gold-silver ratio is the key to pressure referenceThe price comparison between gold and silver has always been an important reference for considering the overall direction of precious metals: in the relatively weak stage of silver, the probability of gold taking the lead alone is low, and the recovery of silver is one of the overall upward signa","listText":"Gold showed signs of a bottom out in the past week, and the integer mark near 1900 provided some buying support.On the news side, it has maintained a stable trend in the near future, and there is no new significant positive or negative news. Referring to indicators such as gold-silver ratio, the medium-term correction may not be completely over at present. After the next round of adjustment, gold will have a chance to enter a new rally.The range of gold-silver ratio is the key to pressure referenceThe price comparison between gold and silver has always been an important reference for considering the overall direction of precious metals: in the relatively weak stage of silver, the probability of gold taking the lead alone is low, and the recovery of silver is one of the overall upward signa","text":"Gold showed signs of a bottom out in the past week, and the integer mark near 1900 provided some buying support.On the news side, it has maintained a stable trend in the near future, and there is no new significant positive or negative news. Referring to indicators such as gold-silver ratio, the medium-term correction may not be completely over at present. After the next round of adjustment, gold will have a chance to enter a new rally.The range of gold-silver ratio is the key to pressure referenceThe price comparison between gold and silver has always been an important reference for considering the overall direction of precious metals: in the relatively weak stage of silver, the probability of gold taking the lead alone is low, and the recovery of silver is one of the overall upward signa","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/136fedd1fba486d7a6dcffc695b653d6","width":"1245","height":"654"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9cb41b2e1fc4299b5a4a6572a1b9343b","width":"1182","height":"660"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/363f3ca21affb00b8fbc92d8232b6eb7","width":"1199","height":"388"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":2996,"commentSize":28,"repostSize":2344,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/194638617419872","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":57427,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000668","authorId":"9000000000000668","name":"chizzoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/885bb762e4d85abbbfd11f407f1d26d6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000668","idStr":"9000000000000668"},"content":"Gold and silver have been stuck in the trading range for a year, like a long-distance relationship with constant pressure on the top and support on the bottom. #RelationshipGoals","text":"Gold and silver have been stuck in the trading range for a year, like a long-distance relationship with constant pressure on the top and support on the bottom. #RelationshipGoals","html":"Gold and silver have been stuck in the trading range for a year, like a long-distance relationship with constant pressure on the top and support on the bottom. #RelationshipGoals"},{"author":{"id":"3585783151794537","authorId":"3585783151794537","name":"jgaldon","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/71252dc922dc881c6099f238afdbe3f4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3585783151794537","idStr":"3585783151794537"},"content":"I for one closed my shorts in gdxj last Thursday after 7? weeks and flipped long. In ASX, went for NST. That being said, not all signs of a bottom were met and author is right there might be one more violent leg down. Tonight was painful in GDXJ and the day is not looking good for NST and my old aussie explorers. Will monitor COT data sat morning and price action tonight and see what to do on Mon next week. Good luck all","text":"I for one closed my shorts in gdxj last Thursday after 7? weeks and flipped long. In ASX, went for NST. That being said, not all signs of a bottom were met and author is right there might be one more violent leg down. Tonight was painful in GDXJ and the day is not looking good for NST and my old aussie explorers. Will monitor COT data sat morning and price action tonight and see what to do on Mon next week. Good luck all","html":"I for one closed my shorts in gdxj last Thursday after 7? weeks and flipped long. In ASX, went for NST. That being said, not all signs of a bottom were met and author is right there might be one more violent leg down. Tonight was painful in GDXJ and the day is not looking good for NST and my old aussie explorers. Will monitor COT data sat morning and price action tonight and see what to do on Mon next week. Good luck all"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9943239539,"gmtCreate":1679468828721,"gmtModify":1679468850177,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Credit Suisse fallout upsets Fed rate-hike expectations, GOLD became the biggest winner","htmlText":"Credit Suisse Risk, which exploded the market last week, and was finally solved under the special treatment of regulators. Finally, UBS announced that it would acquire Credit Suisse for 3 billion Swiss francs, which is 40% lower than the latter's market value on Friday. At the same time, the Swiss government covered some losses, the Swiss National Bank gave liquidity assistance of 100 billion Swiss francs, and Credit Suisse bonds with a face value of about 16 billion Swiss francs were completely written down.After the above news, the market returned to a relatively stable situation. According to fedwatch data, the probability of 25 basis points of Fed rate hike this week accounted for 70%. If this data is maintained, the final result may be the same. This FOMC's path of fol","listText":"Credit Suisse Risk, which exploded the market last week, and was finally solved under the special treatment of regulators. Finally, UBS announced that it would acquire Credit Suisse for 3 billion Swiss francs, which is 40% lower than the latter's market value on Friday. At the same time, the Swiss government covered some losses, the Swiss National Bank gave liquidity assistance of 100 billion Swiss francs, and Credit Suisse bonds with a face value of about 16 billion Swiss francs were completely written down.After the above news, the market returned to a relatively stable situation. According to fedwatch data, the probability of 25 basis points of Fed rate hike this week accounted for 70%. If this data is maintained, the final result may be the same. This FOMC's path of fol","text":"Credit Suisse Risk, which exploded the market last week, and was finally solved under the special treatment of regulators. Finally, UBS announced that it would acquire Credit Suisse for 3 billion Swiss francs, which is 40% lower than the latter's market value on Friday. At the same time, the Swiss government covered some losses, the Swiss National Bank gave liquidity assistance of 100 billion Swiss francs, and Credit Suisse bonds with a face value of about 16 billion Swiss francs were completely written down.After the above news, the market returned to a relatively stable situation. According to fedwatch data, the probability of 25 basis points of Fed rate hike this week accounted for 70%. If this data is maintained, the final result may be the same. This FOMC's path of fol","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b56b4876845670f9fe2c3a375c124257","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34da1fe828ad234149c98f978a2b8724","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/180d62b57623a84bd1336ec257b6f50b","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":1930,"commentSize":61,"repostSize":935,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943239539","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":35684,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3572916667219493","authorId":"3572916667219493","name":"Zarkness","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b8c61830c4883c4232aece921d89d14","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3572916667219493","idStr":"3572916667219493"},"content":"Thanks for sharing","text":"Thanks for sharing","html":"Thanks for sharing"},{"author":{"id":"3571345352614779","authorId":"3571345352614779","name":"xiaobaii","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3571345352614779","idStr":"3571345352614779"},"content":"like & comment please","text":"like & comment please","html":"like & comment please"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9052241403,"gmtCreate":1655184752893,"gmtModify":1676535577725,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"The Fed will make a big move this week ,How will gold and oil change?","htmlText":"After the latest January inflation data was released and hit a new high, the market had new expectations for the Fed's actions. According to the latest Fedwatch data, the probability of FOMC in July has been 50-50. In this week's expectation, although there are some variables, the probability of 50 basis points is obviously superior.Data show that the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points on June 15th is close to 80%. Although this figure has dropped significantly compared with 98.2% a week ago, as we said before, it is still relatively stable when it exceeds 70%. In contrast, July's data, which also overwhelmingly raised interest rates by 50 basis points a week ago, is now seriously divided. Even the probability of raising interest rates by 75 basis points has reached","listText":"After the latest January inflation data was released and hit a new high, the market had new expectations for the Fed's actions. According to the latest Fedwatch data, the probability of FOMC in July has been 50-50. In this week's expectation, although there are some variables, the probability of 50 basis points is obviously superior.Data show that the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points on June 15th is close to 80%. Although this figure has dropped significantly compared with 98.2% a week ago, as we said before, it is still relatively stable when it exceeds 70%. In contrast, July's data, which also overwhelmingly raised interest rates by 50 basis points a week ago, is now seriously divided. Even the probability of raising interest rates by 75 basis points has reached","text":"After the latest January inflation data was released and hit a new high, the market had new expectations for the Fed's actions. According to the latest Fedwatch data, the probability of FOMC in July has been 50-50. In this week's expectation, although there are some variables, the probability of 50 basis points is obviously superior.Data show that the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points on June 15th is close to 80%. Although this figure has dropped significantly compared with 98.2% a week ago, as we said before, it is still relatively stable when it exceeds 70%. In contrast, July's data, which also overwhelmingly raised interest rates by 50 basis points a week ago, is now seriously divided. Even the probability of raising interest rates by 75 basis points has reached","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ecfe2fe3cee7323f1f78c623834e5d53","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":2327,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":64,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9052241403","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":48593,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3579045920422452","authorId":"3579045920422452","name":"GCL08","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3433a6063e0b2ab82ed571a0790eb790","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3579045920422452","idStr":"3579045920422452"},"content":"Chances of raising interest rates for 50 basis points is 100% inmmy opinion","text":"Chances of raising interest rates for 50 basis points is 100% inmmy opinion","html":"Chances of raising interest rates for 50 basis points is 100% inmmy opinion"},{"author":{"id":"3584409166203870","authorId":"3584409166203870","name":"AhLimxd","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/88c64ebfd9954e657e96e1d0b5745839","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3584409166203870","idStr":"3584409166203870"},"content":"50 basis points~","text":"50 basis points~","html":"50 basis points~"}],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9017939520,"gmtCreate":1649733323456,"gmtModify":1676534560292,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"U.S. Dollar Index hits fresh 2-year high, What can we expect from it?","htmlText":"Last week, the US dollar index briefly hit the 100 integer mark, which broke through 100 again since May 2020. For a long time, the dollar has behaved closer to commodities-showing a trend of mean reversion, fluctuating around the median,When the price is too low, it will rise, and when the price is too high, it will fall. In terms of current prices, there is still 10-20% room from the long-term median. Too long ago, the trend of the US dollar is linked to too many political and economic topics, and as a trader entering the market in the millennium, he can't be perfectly fastidious. However, after the financial crisis in 2007/08, there is still a very clear logic line supporting the market of the US dollar. On the whole, the leading position of the US economy compared with other econo","listText":"Last week, the US dollar index briefly hit the 100 integer mark, which broke through 100 again since May 2020. For a long time, the dollar has behaved closer to commodities-showing a trend of mean reversion, fluctuating around the median,When the price is too low, it will rise, and when the price is too high, it will fall. In terms of current prices, there is still 10-20% room from the long-term median. Too long ago, the trend of the US dollar is linked to too many political and economic topics, and as a trader entering the market in the millennium, he can't be perfectly fastidious. However, after the financial crisis in 2007/08, there is still a very clear logic line supporting the market of the US dollar. On the whole, the leading position of the US economy compared with other econo","text":"Last week, the US dollar index briefly hit the 100 integer mark, which broke through 100 again since May 2020. For a long time, the dollar has behaved closer to commodities-showing a trend of mean reversion, fluctuating around the median,When the price is too low, it will rise, and when the price is too high, it will fall. In terms of current prices, there is still 10-20% room from the long-term median. Too long ago, the trend of the US dollar is linked to too many political and economic topics, and as a trader entering the market in the millennium, he can't be perfectly fastidious. However, after the financial crisis in 2007/08, there is still a very clear logic line supporting the market of the US dollar. On the whole, the leading position of the US economy compared with other econo","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72802866289c7448ecb2a7b2d441d8bb","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":1701,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":25,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9017939520","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":35417,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4087792909476720","authorId":"4087792909476720","name":"小胖虎虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/396355984ab33cc349cc396724583413","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4087792909476720","idStr":"4087792909476720"},"content":"[Money obsession] [Money obsession] [Money obsession] [Money obsession]","text":"[Money obsession] [Money obsession] [Money obsession] [Money obsession]","html":"[Money obsession] [Money obsession] [Money obsession] [Money obsession]"},{"author":{"id":"4092896272700520","authorId":"4092896272700520","name":"KelW87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ee68e8306172e06e12c6723b73ebdb8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4092896272700520","idStr":"4092896272700520"},"content":"Looks like market is not doing well. Bearish since start of the year","text":"Looks like market is not doing well. Bearish since start of the year","html":"Looks like market is not doing well. Bearish since start of the year"}],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9007711194,"gmtCreate":1643004602385,"gmtModify":1676533764301,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Be careful, the trend of the US stock market may have changed","htmlText":"There were some problems in the analysis of crude oil last week. Although there is nothing wrong with the answer that oil prices are at a new high,However, the performance of market risk appetite is obviously slapping in the face. In the absence of obvious bad news and relatively stable oil prices, S&P (US stocks) went out of the broken market. This means that the wind direction of the whole market has changed. Admit your mistakes and leave the market as soon as possible or look for turning opportunities, which is what real traders should consider. The performance of S&P (US stock market) last week was obviously destructive. First, the market fell through the low of 4493 built by Omicron at that time.At the same time, on the monthly graph, we have already seen the pattern of short","listText":"There were some problems in the analysis of crude oil last week. Although there is nothing wrong with the answer that oil prices are at a new high,However, the performance of market risk appetite is obviously slapping in the face. In the absence of obvious bad news and relatively stable oil prices, S&P (US stocks) went out of the broken market. This means that the wind direction of the whole market has changed. Admit your mistakes and leave the market as soon as possible or look for turning opportunities, which is what real traders should consider. The performance of S&P (US stock market) last week was obviously destructive. First, the market fell through the low of 4493 built by Omicron at that time.At the same time, on the monthly graph, we have already seen the pattern of short","text":"There were some problems in the analysis of crude oil last week. Although there is nothing wrong with the answer that oil prices are at a new high,However, the performance of market risk appetite is obviously slapping in the face. In the absence of obvious bad news and relatively stable oil prices, S&P (US stocks) went out of the broken market. This means that the wind direction of the whole market has changed. Admit your mistakes and leave the market as soon as possible or look for turning opportunities, which is what real traders should consider. The performance of S&P (US stock market) last week was obviously destructive. First, the market fell through the low of 4493 built by Omicron at that time.At the same time, on the monthly graph, we have already seen the pattern of short","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bdcd295f9884c10a987ee2081c8d3db","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":1872,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":19,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9007711194","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":187426,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3579142249584638","authorId":"3579142249584638","name":"HSTew","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6328a5144306f0ae18123dd3f0b7c63","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3579142249584638","idStr":"3579142249584638"},"content":"this week is a critical week with about 100 stocks for the S&P 500 companies to reportQ4 performances. their performances will again influence the market movement.","text":"this week is a critical week with about 100 stocks for the S&P 500 companies to reportQ4 performances. their performances will again influence the market movement.","html":"this week is a critical week with about 100 stocks for the S&P 500 companies to reportQ4 performances. their performances will again influence the market movement."},{"author":{"id":"3577853640817618","authorId":"3577853640817618","name":"yellowbunny","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/094bb4526c85c5b6ade1fef7274ae82b","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3577853640817618","idStr":"3577853640817618"},"content":"hoping for a rebound soon... market has been in a bad to a worst shape now.. :(","text":"hoping for a rebound soon... market has been in a bad to a worst shape now.. :(","html":"hoping for a rebound soon... market has been in a bad to a worst shape now.. :("}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9075507813,"gmtCreate":1658217648569,"gmtModify":1676536123693,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"July Fed Meeting Preview: Another Big Rate Hike is on the way! Gold is likely to hit the new low!","htmlText":"The Fed's interest rate resolution at the end of July is undoubtedly the highlight of this month. After the CPI data hit a high level again, the market once priced in a 100 basis point interest rate hike. However, with the digestion of time, we can see that the probability of 75 basis points has returned to the dominant position at the beginning of this week. This may mean that the final situation of this resolution will change in the next nine days. The only thing to keep in mind is that the result can be basically set with a probability of more than 70%.Inflation looks at oil price, risk assets also look at oil priceCrude oil bottomed out again last week, sticking to the 92/93 area for two consecutive weeks. Biden has specifically said after the CPI data that the fall in gasoline pr","listText":"The Fed's interest rate resolution at the end of July is undoubtedly the highlight of this month. After the CPI data hit a high level again, the market once priced in a 100 basis point interest rate hike. However, with the digestion of time, we can see that the probability of 75 basis points has returned to the dominant position at the beginning of this week. This may mean that the final situation of this resolution will change in the next nine days. The only thing to keep in mind is that the result can be basically set with a probability of more than 70%.Inflation looks at oil price, risk assets also look at oil priceCrude oil bottomed out again last week, sticking to the 92/93 area for two consecutive weeks. Biden has specifically said after the CPI data that the fall in gasoline pr","text":"The Fed's interest rate resolution at the end of July is undoubtedly the highlight of this month. After the CPI data hit a high level again, the market once priced in a 100 basis point interest rate hike. However, with the digestion of time, we can see that the probability of 75 basis points has returned to the dominant position at the beginning of this week. This may mean that the final situation of this resolution will change in the next nine days. The only thing to keep in mind is that the result can be basically set with a probability of more than 70%.Inflation looks at oil price, risk assets also look at oil priceCrude oil bottomed out again last week, sticking to the 92/93 area for two consecutive weeks. Biden has specifically said after the CPI data that the fall in gasoline pr","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b4c4e5b21866354be4313723806d9a8","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":914,"commentSize":18,"repostSize":6,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9075507813","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":22967,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000469","authorId":"9000000000000469","name":"MortimerDodd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45889c069df88784e75b651f763a062a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000469","idStr":"9000000000000469"},"content":"Your post is very informative.","text":"Your post is very informative.","html":"Your post is very informative."},{"author":{"id":"3561259559295872","authorId":"3561259559295872","name":"SquareGuy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4aa86e9311a7ff0643a2e9f93645a8c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3561259559295872","idStr":"3561259559295872"},"content":"hope 100bps to lower inflation and oil","text":"hope 100bps to lower inflation and oil","html":"hope 100bps to lower inflation and oil"}],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9038915437,"gmtCreate":1646711469487,"gmtModify":1676534154067,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"The feeling of 07/08 is back: 2000 for gold, 140 for crude oil？","htmlText":"The major gap in the jump at the beginning of last week has not been covered, which confirms the further strengthening of the recent trend. Gold began to rise to the 2000 mark, while crude oil continued to triumph and completely decoupled from the US stock index. The last time the market was so crazy, it had to go back to the financial crisis in 2007/08. However, this geopolitical crisis may be even more violent than at that time. Keep away from crude oil In the live broadcast in the middle of last week, we compared the long-term charts of US oil and S&P, and a similar situation appeared on the eve of Lehman moment-US stocks had begun to peak and fall back and be greatly revised, and oil prices continued to surge for some time before a cliff-like crash occurred.Based on this, consideri","listText":"The major gap in the jump at the beginning of last week has not been covered, which confirms the further strengthening of the recent trend. Gold began to rise to the 2000 mark, while crude oil continued to triumph and completely decoupled from the US stock index. The last time the market was so crazy, it had to go back to the financial crisis in 2007/08. However, this geopolitical crisis may be even more violent than at that time. Keep away from crude oil In the live broadcast in the middle of last week, we compared the long-term charts of US oil and S&P, and a similar situation appeared on the eve of Lehman moment-US stocks had begun to peak and fall back and be greatly revised, and oil prices continued to surge for some time before a cliff-like crash occurred.Based on this, consideri","text":"The major gap in the jump at the beginning of last week has not been covered, which confirms the further strengthening of the recent trend. Gold began to rise to the 2000 mark, while crude oil continued to triumph and completely decoupled from the US stock index. The last time the market was so crazy, it had to go back to the financial crisis in 2007/08. However, this geopolitical crisis may be even more violent than at that time. Keep away from crude oil In the live broadcast in the middle of last week, we compared the long-term charts of US oil and S&P, and a similar situation appeared on the eve of Lehman moment-US stocks had begun to peak and fall back and be greatly revised, and oil prices continued to surge for some time before a cliff-like crash occurred.Based on this, consideri","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/611f21bc44ab3370abb3533407653e44","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":1205,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":16,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9038915437","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":75390,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000415","authorId":"9000000000000415","name":"zuzu99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ee73f2c992a647da3546f67241e0cdf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000415","idStr":"9000000000000415"},"content":"Geopolitical strife keeps money flowing into these sectors, but will the meteoric rise end with an equally sharp decline? Ordinary investors do not have the strength to take this risk. I think everyone can buy some bonds to at least stabilize them.","text":"Geopolitical strife keeps money flowing into these sectors, but will the meteoric rise end with an equally sharp decline? Ordinary investors do not have the strength to take this risk. I think everyone can buy some bonds to at least stabilize them.","html":"Geopolitical strife keeps money flowing into these sectors, but will the meteoric rise end with an equally sharp decline? Ordinary investors do not have the strength to take this risk. I think everyone can buy some bonds to at least stabilize them."},{"author":{"id":"3582203097187155","authorId":"3582203097187155","name":"gupzbajaj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0441cdcbc87c9f271dee51139b52dff","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3582203097187155","idStr":"3582203097187155"},"content":"ship is rocking pls like","text":"ship is rocking pls like","html":"ship is rocking pls like"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9065189826,"gmtCreate":1652153688823,"gmtModify":1676535042249,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Bad news: The dollar has become the only safe haven","htmlText":"Over the past month or so, although the selling of the market has not appeared in the state of crazy decline, the continuous small ups and downs have gradually exhausted the patience of bulls. There is no new topic about the bright negative, but the status quo that only the US dollar has a safe haven suggests that there may be new bad news in the second quarter. In the live broadcast in April, we once said that the rise of the US dollar is an inevitable strategy. A stronger dollar is one of the best weapons in every round when the United States reaps other countries or the world. This year's situation is even more obvious. Under the pressure of inflation, the more valuable the local currency is, the more the relative inflation risk can be passed on to other countries. Facts have also prove","listText":"Over the past month or so, although the selling of the market has not appeared in the state of crazy decline, the continuous small ups and downs have gradually exhausted the patience of bulls. There is no new topic about the bright negative, but the status quo that only the US dollar has a safe haven suggests that there may be new bad news in the second quarter. In the live broadcast in April, we once said that the rise of the US dollar is an inevitable strategy. A stronger dollar is one of the best weapons in every round when the United States reaps other countries or the world. This year's situation is even more obvious. Under the pressure of inflation, the more valuable the local currency is, the more the relative inflation risk can be passed on to other countries. Facts have also prove","text":"Over the past month or so, although the selling of the market has not appeared in the state of crazy decline, the continuous small ups and downs have gradually exhausted the patience of bulls. There is no new topic about the bright negative, but the status quo that only the US dollar has a safe haven suggests that there may be new bad news in the second quarter. In the live broadcast in April, we once said that the rise of the US dollar is an inevitable strategy. A stronger dollar is one of the best weapons in every round when the United States reaps other countries or the world. This year's situation is even more obvious. Under the pressure of inflation, the more valuable the local currency is, the more the relative inflation risk can be passed on to other countries. Facts have also prove","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f33fc815ca463675e361f86ac89ce79d","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":878,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9065189826","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":19996,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3576734338410945","authorId":"3576734338410945","name":"Xpand","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8951f84bcf2a2cc2252a1bdbf30b15ce","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3576734338410945","idStr":"3576734338410945"},"content":"Thanks! Like my comments please","text":"Thanks! Like my comments please","html":"Thanks! Like my comments please"},{"author":{"id":"4089010444435920","authorId":"4089010444435920","name":"lewisleeks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d39cf835a09bdd21dce8a780b993940c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"4089010444435920","idStr":"4089010444435920"},"content":"great[Smile][Smile]","text":"great[Smile][Smile]","html":"great[Smile][Smile]"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9947578497,"gmtCreate":1683356912119,"gmtModify":1683356950314,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"You should be more careful, GOLD price keeps trading at high levels and that is not a good sign","htmlText":"In the early hours of Thursday, the Federal Reserve decided to continue the moderate rate hike as expected by the market. At the same time, it released the signal that this may be the last rate hike in this round. The rate hike range of 25 basis points was fully in line with the market's previous expectations. After the press conference, Powell said that in principle, there is no need for rate hike to reach too high a level, but it is \"inappropriate\" to cut interest rates now, and the US economy is not expected to decline. After the news, the risky assets did not rise when their boots landed. On the contrary, gold unexpectedly jumped in the day, only one step away from the historical high point.Gold is the highest in 2085 after jumping, and the previous historical high of 2089 is just arou","listText":"In the early hours of Thursday, the Federal Reserve decided to continue the moderate rate hike as expected by the market. At the same time, it released the signal that this may be the last rate hike in this round. The rate hike range of 25 basis points was fully in line with the market's previous expectations. After the press conference, Powell said that in principle, there is no need for rate hike to reach too high a level, but it is \"inappropriate\" to cut interest rates now, and the US economy is not expected to decline. After the news, the risky assets did not rise when their boots landed. On the contrary, gold unexpectedly jumped in the day, only one step away from the historical high point.Gold is the highest in 2085 after jumping, and the previous historical high of 2089 is just arou","text":"In the early hours of Thursday, the Federal Reserve decided to continue the moderate rate hike as expected by the market. At the same time, it released the signal that this may be the last rate hike in this round. The rate hike range of 25 basis points was fully in line with the market's previous expectations. After the press conference, Powell said that in principle, there is no need for rate hike to reach too high a level, but it is \"inappropriate\" to cut interest rates now, and the US economy is not expected to decline. After the news, the risky assets did not rise when their boots landed. On the contrary, gold unexpectedly jumped in the day, only one step away from the historical high point.Gold is the highest in 2085 after jumping, and the previous historical high of 2089 is just arou","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9339f06ceafa052ef55697dc9b334336","width":"700","height":"368"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":1340,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":74,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9947578497","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5801,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"10000000000010799","authorId":"10000000000010799","name":"兔氣揚眉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5571ac7156083753fdf792417a4840e5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"10000000000010799","idStr":"10000000000010799"},"content":"Looks like the Fed is being cautious with their rate hike decision, could be good for stocks","text":"Looks like the Fed is being cautious with their rate hike decision, could be good for stocks","html":"Looks like the Fed is being cautious with their rate hike decision, could be good for stocks"},{"author":{"id":"10000000000010792","authorId":"10000000000010792","name":"唔撚食菜","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f63b3c9844fec1361496f60171c10016","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"10000000000010792","idStr":"10000000000010792"},"content":"I expected the market to react better to the news, not sure if I should invest in stocks right now","text":"I expected the market to react better to the news, not sure if I should invest in stocks right now","html":"I expected the market to react better to the news, not sure if I should invest in stocks right now"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":488105398743392,"gmtCreate":1760185868467,"gmtModify":1760257983087,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Stay Cautious: Watch More, Trade Less Until Market Mania Fades","htmlText":"Over the National Day holiday week, markets shifted again: silver, the core sentiment gauge, led gold to fresh highs, and Bitcoin reclaimed the top spot in crypto with a new all-time high. The market is effectively immune to anything that looks negative, so fighting the prevailing mania is inadvisable until it clearly fades. That said, once leading indicators flash a definitive reversal, it could still mark a major inflection worth close attention.Among assets, silver remains the representative bellwether tracked over the past month. Silver futures set a new high this week, but with two trading days left, the chart has printed a high-level doji. While not a definitive top, it cannot be dismissed outright. Silver making highs has often coincided with rapid risk-off turns across risk assets,","listText":"Over the National Day holiday week, markets shifted again: silver, the core sentiment gauge, led gold to fresh highs, and Bitcoin reclaimed the top spot in crypto with a new all-time high. The market is effectively immune to anything that looks negative, so fighting the prevailing mania is inadvisable until it clearly fades. That said, once leading indicators flash a definitive reversal, it could still mark a major inflection worth close attention.Among assets, silver remains the representative bellwether tracked over the past month. Silver futures set a new high this week, but with two trading days left, the chart has printed a high-level doji. While not a definitive top, it cannot be dismissed outright. Silver making highs has often coincided with rapid risk-off turns across risk assets,","text":"Over the National Day holiday week, markets shifted again: silver, the core sentiment gauge, led gold to fresh highs, and Bitcoin reclaimed the top spot in crypto with a new all-time high. The market is effectively immune to anything that looks negative, so fighting the prevailing mania is inadvisable until it clearly fades. That said, once leading indicators flash a definitive reversal, it could still mark a major inflection worth close attention.Among assets, silver remains the representative bellwether tracked over the past month. Silver futures set a new high this week, but with two trading days left, the chart has printed a high-level doji. While not a definitive top, it cannot be dismissed outright. Silver making highs has often coincided with rapid risk-off turns across risk assets,","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/198477a5ba34835406743ff8541a13d2","width":"909","height":"509"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":1377,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":67,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/488105398743392","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6466,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[{"live_id":1871399208027291,"type":2,"status":3,"title":"Is the Rebound After the U.S. Stock Sell-Off a Shorting Opportunity? How to Capture the Rebound in Crude Oil and Gold?","source_url":"https://lpl27170.laohu8.com/live/chengjun723.m3u8","live_img_url":"https://p1-live.byteimg.com/tos-cn-i-gjr78lqtd0/77a98b09e05a40849e0203c3571a552e~tplv-gjr78lqtd0-z75.image","video_url":"","share_url":"https://live.livesaasvolccdn.com/9999/5462938","expected_time":1784808000000,"live_url":"https://www.laohu8.com/live/1871399208027291","category_id":5,"subscribe_status":0,"main_push":0,"time_remain":-248475884,"uuid":["3534312667271286"],"msg_symbols":[],"permission":null,"permission_code":5,"insert_time":1784778541000,"description":""}]}
