Mkoh
Mkoh
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avatarMkoh
05-16 13:59
$NVDA 20260515 215.0 PUT$ full premium at expiry
avatarMkoh
05-16 13:07

Berkshire Hathaway’s Q1 2026 13F: A New Chapter Under Greg Abel Brings Notable Portfolio Pruning and Selective Bets

As a market watcher who has tracked Berkshire Hathaway’s filings for decades, I’ve come to appreciate that these quarterly 13Fs are less about short-term trading signals and more about capital allocation discipline in a conglomerate that now manages hundreds of billions in equities alongside massive insurance float, railroads, utilities, and manufacturing operations. The latest filing, for the period ended March 31, 2026, and disclosed in mid-May, marks the first full quarter under CEO Greg Abel following Warren Buffett’s retirement at the end of 2025. It reveals a more active hand than we’ve often seen, with the equity portfolio contracting from roughly $274 billion to $263 billion, holdings slashed from around 40+ to 29, and a turnover spike that stands out. Portfolio Snapshot and Concen
Berkshire Hathaway’s Q1 2026 13F: A New Chapter Under Greg Abel Brings Notable Portfolio Pruning and Selective Bets
avatarMkoh
05-15 22:16

Bill Ackman’s Pershing Square Takes a Major Stake in Microsoft: A Compelling Opportunity in a Dominant Tech Franchise

On May 15, 2026, billionaire investor Bill Ackman announced that Pershing Square Capital Management had built a new position in Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), designating it a core holding in the portfolio. The firm began accumulating shares in February 2026, following a notable pullback in the stock price. Ackman also added the position to his new closed-end fund, PSUS. The move signals strong conviction from a value-oriented activist known for concentrated, long-term bets on high-quality compounders. Ackman’s Thesis: Dominant Franchises at Attractive ValuationsAckman has a track record of buying high-quality tech names like Alphabet, Amazon, and Meta during periods of market skepticism, often at depressed multiples relative to their long-term potential. He frames Microsoft similarly: a rare c
Bill Ackman’s Pershing Square Takes a Major Stake in Microsoft: A Compelling Opportunity in a Dominant Tech Franchise
avatarMkoh
05-15

The Xi-Trump Summit: A Renminbi Breakthrough for Visa?

In a move that caught markets by surprise during his May 2026 state visit, President Donald Trump pivoted from a discussion on trade tariffs to a direct pitch for one of America’s most recognizable financial titans: Visa Inc. Accompanied by a high-powered delegation including Apple’s Tim Cook and Nvidia’s Jensen Huang, Trump personally introduced Visa CEO Ryan McInerney to President Xi Jinping. During a Fox News interview following the summit, Trump revealed he directly questioned Xi on why Visa remains "blackballed" from the domestic clearing market despite years of promised liberalization. For Visa, the stakes could not be higher. While rival Mastercard secured its joint-venture license to clear yuan transactions in 2023, Visa—the world’s largest payment processor—has remained largely on
The Xi-Trump Summit: A Renminbi Breakthrough for Visa?
avatarMkoh
05-14
$Visa(V)$ one to own forever
avatarMkoh
05-14

Trading Options at All-Time Highs: Strategies for Momentum Stocks and Indexes

Markets hitting all-time highs (ATH) often evoke a mix of excitement and caution. Breakouts into uncharted territory can fuel strong momentum as there's no overhead supply from sellers at breakeven or losses, potentially leading to rapid gains. However, valuations stretch, volatility can spike on reversals, and mean-reversion risks rise. Options provide leveraged, defined-risk ways to participate while managing exposure—ideal for momentum plays but demanding discipline.This article explores how to use options for trading momentum stocks and major indexes (like the S&P 500 via SPX/SPY or Nasdaq-100 via QQQ/NDX) when prices are at or near records. Why Options Shine in ATH Momentum EnvironmentsOptions offer leverage: Control large notional exposure with limited capital. A small move in th
Trading Options at All-Time Highs: Strategies for Momentum Stocks and Indexes
avatarMkoh
05-13
NVDA/AAPL dips pre-meeting on deal hopes (chip access, tariffs, Boeing orders). Positive news could spike both 3-8%. Watch for breakthroughs on AI exports/rare earths. Sell the news if vague outcomes. High volatility—use options or tight stops. NVDA focus despite Huang not attending.
avatarMkoh
05-13

Tether (the company behind USDT) has become one of the world’s largest private buyers and holders of physical gold, amassing around 130–148 tons (valued at roughly $20–24 billion depending on timing and prices) as of early 2026.

This includes purchases for its own corporate reserves (backing USDT) and its gold-backed stablecoin XAUT (Tether Gold). In parallel, Tether made a strategic $150 million equity investment in Gold.com, Inc. (NYSE: GOLD), acquiring roughly a 12% stake and partnering to bridge physical and tokenized gold markets. Reasons for Tether’s Gold Purchases and InvestmentTether generates substantial profits primarily from interest on its USDT reserves (heavily invested in U.S. Treasuries). It allocates a portion of these profits into "hard assets" like gold and Bitcoin as a hedge. Key drivers include:Diversification and Risk Management: USDT reserves are dominated by Treasuries. Gold provides a hedge against U.S. dollar depreciation, interest rate changes, inflation, or geopolitical risks. CEO Paolo
Tether (the company behind USDT) has become one of the world’s largest private buyers and holders of physical gold, amassing around 130–148 tons (valued at roughly $20–24 billion depending on timing and prices) as of early 2026.
avatarMkoh
05-11

Income Inequality’s Grip on Growth: A Trader’s Guide to a Dividing World

 As the chasm between the world’s haves and have-nots widens once again, policymakers and portfolio managers alike are confronting an uncomfortable truth: extreme income and wealth inequality isn’t just a social issue. It’s becoming a structural drag on global economic growth   and a powerful tailwind for certain asset classes.Recent data paint a stark picture. The richest 10% in OECD countries earn roughly 9.5 times the income of the poorest 10%, a ratio that has climbed steadily from about 7:1 in the 1980s. Globally, the top 1% continues to capture a disproportionate share of income gains, while wealth concentration remains even more pronounced The Growth Drag: Channels and EvidenceEconomists have long debated the inequality-growth nexus. While some earlier theories sugges
Income Inequality’s Grip on Growth: A Trader’s Guide to a Dividing World
avatarMkoh
05-11

Gold's Shifting Role: Losing Its Hedge in a "War Regime" Market?

Gold has delivered extraordinary returns in recent years, surging to record highs amid geopolitical tensions, central bank buying, and persistent economic uncertainty. Yet many investors have observed a troubling pattern: gold prices are increasingly moving in sync with equities and broader risk assets, rather than acting as a counterbalance when markets decline. This development challenges gold’s long-standing reputation as a reliable portfolio diversifier and crisis hedge. Traditional Strengths Under Pressure For decades, gold has been prized for its ability to protect against inflation, currency debasement, and geopolitical shocks. It typically exhibits low or negative correlation with stocks and bonds, often rising during equity market drawdowns as a classic “safe haven.” Central banks
Gold's Shifting Role: Losing Its Hedge in a "War Regime" Market?
avatarMkoh
05-09

Mag 7 earnings how to setup your trade

The "META Lesson" of early May 2026 has provided a masterclass in market psychology. Last week, Meta Platforms delivered a significant earnings beat, only to see its stock gapped 8.6% lower the next session. The culprit? A staggering 2026 capex guidance of $125B–$145B. The message is clear: the market’s honeymoon phase with "AI potential" is over. Investors are no longer tolerating infinite "AI burn" without a concrete, near-term ROI. Yet, remarkably, the S&P 500 closed firm on Thursday despite this megacap crater. This suggests that capital isn't exiting tech—it's rotating. To navigate this, we have built a model centered on positioning, gamma, and volume profiles. Below is the surgical guide to trading the Mag 7 in this high-stakes environment. The Surgical Rotation: Trading the Mag
Mag 7 earnings how to setup your trade
avatarMkoh
05-08

Musk’s Empire Consolidation: Mergers, the SpaceX IPO, and the Quest for a Unified Tech Colossus

As SpaceX prepares for what could be one of the largest IPOs in history targeting a valuation north of $1.5–2 trillion with a potential $50–75 billion raiseElon Musk’s interconnected companies are undergoing significant restructuring.  The most notable development is the February 2026 merger of SpaceX and xAI, creating a combined entity valued at approximately $1.25 trillion (SpaceX ~$1T, xAI ~$250B). This all-stock deal integrates AI capabilities (including Grok) directly into SpaceX’s operations, with ambitions for space-based data centers powered by Starlink and orbital compute infrastructure. Has Musk Already Merged xAI with SpaceX?Yes. Reports confirm SpaceX acquired xAI in early February 2026, forming what Musk described as a vertically integrated “innovation engine” encompassin
Musk’s Empire Consolidation: Mergers, the SpaceX IPO, and the Quest for a Unified Tech Colossus
avatarMkoh
05-08

Navigating All-Time Highs: My Take on the Memory Boom and Where I'd Rotate Capital

The stock market keeps pushing to fresh records in 2026, and names like Micron, Western Digital, and SanDisk have been absolute standouts. These stocks have soared on explosive demand for DRAM, NAND, and high-bandwidth memory tied to AI data centers. Hyperscalers are pouring money into infrastructure, and these companies are delivering strong revenues and margins right now. It's been an impressive run.That said, I’m getting more cautious here. When the broad market and especially these high-flying sectors sit at elevated valuations, I start thinking about risk management rather than just riding the momentum higher. Why Caution Makes Sense Right NowMemory stocks are inherently cyclical. Yes, AI has given them stronger structural demand than past cycles — they really are the picks and shovel
Navigating All-Time Highs: My Take on the Memory Boom and Where I'd Rotate Capital
avatarMkoh
05-07

Navigating the AI Investment Cycle: An Investor’s Comparison of AMZN, META, GOOGL, and MSFT

As a seasoned investor with investing in technology equities, I view the current AI capital expenditure surge among the hyperscalers as one of the most consequential shifts in corporate capital allocation in recent memory. Amazon (AMZN), Meta Platforms (META, formerly FB), Alphabet (GOOGL/GOOG), and Microsoft (MSFT) are each deploying tens of billions into AI infrastructure primarily data centers, servers, chips, and networking. The key questions for long-term shareholders are: How efficiently are they converting this spending into free cash flow (FCF)? What do Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) trends reveal about capital discipline? And which companies appear best positioned to monetize AI at scale? Capital Expenditures: The AI Buildout AcceleratesCapex has risen sharply as these companie
Navigating the AI Investment Cycle: An Investor’s Comparison of AMZN, META, GOOGL, and MSFT
avatarMkoh
05-07
I'm on AMD's side for sustained upside better execution in AI GPUs/CPUs, higher growth visibility, and market share gains vs. Intel's recovery risks. Intel's rally is impressive but more valuation-sensitive. Watch margins and AI spend.
avatarMkoh
05-07
BTC holding ~$81K with strong ETF inflows ($467M+ recent) and institutional buying signals conviction. Broke key $75-80K resistance on weekly closes. Bearish structure remains until new highs, but momentum favors continuation to $85-90K+ rather than quick reversal. Macro tailwinds support. Watch volume and $84K resistance.
avatarMkoh
05-06
Allocate 20-30% to physical gold or miners (already up big as a hedge). Add energy stocks/ETFs for oil exposure. Shift rest to staples, utilities, healthcare defensives, short-term TIPS, and cash. Reduce growth/tech leverage. Focus on quality dividends and diversification. This counters inflation, geopolitics, and volatility while capturing commodity upside.
avatarMkoh
05-05

The AI Convergence: From Workforce Displacement to Productivity Alpha

The narrative that AI is a "doom" event for the global workforce is a simplification of a much more complex economic transition. As we move through 2026, the data suggests that AI is acting less like a guillotine and more like a massive productivity shock one that favors capital over labor in the short term, but creates a "Connected Intelligence" model for those who adapt. The Macro Outlook: Doom or Darwinism? We are currently in a phase of Intense ROI Appraisal. The early "hype" has faded, replaced by a cold, hard look at how AI impacts unit economics. The Job Shift: AI is 5.7 times more likely to shift job responsibilities than to eliminate roles entirely. However, the "flattening" of organizations is real; current projections suggest up to 20% of organizations will use AI to eliminate m
The AI Convergence: From Workforce Displacement to Productivity Alpha
avatarMkoh
05-04

Berkshire Hathaway’s Massive Cash Pile: Warren Buffett’s Cautionary Signal or Overly Conservative Stance?

Berkshire Hathaway is sitting on a record cash hoard approaching $400 billion recently reported at $397.4 billion at the end of Q1 2026 under new CEO Greg Abel. This follows years of net stock selling and restrained deployment, even as markets hit highs before recent volatility. Does this mean the market is dangerously overvalued, with few worthwhile investments left? Or is Berkshire simply being too cautious in an environment where others see abundant opportunities, particularly in AI and growth sectors? To answer this, we must explore Warren Buffett’s long-standing investment philosophy, his recent (and ongoing) commentary, and historical parallels. The Scale of the Cash MountainBerkshire’s cash and short-term investments, primarily in U.S. Treasuries, have ballooned from around $100-130
Berkshire Hathaway’s Massive Cash Pile: Warren Buffett’s Cautionary Signal or Overly Conservative Stance?
avatarMkoh
05-04
$Bank of America(BAC)$ Consistent holding

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