PJoo
PJoo
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avatarPJoo
2022-09-06

Adobe - don't miss the boat

Bullish : $Adobe(ADBE)$172 billion cap - stable to go through inflation. Similarly to other Tech price beaten down almost 50%. Q2 result beat top line 16% YoY on Revenue and bottom line EPS 11% YoY. Cons: Risk as mgmt guidance on Q3 was not great. I sense the product line up will stay relavant with Cloud transitions. Adobe user will remain loyal similar to Apple model.Sideline : Trade at resistance of 370 to earn some snacks. It's that's simple. This line has been tough to break.Adobe resistance linep/s I missed the last recent rally. But I won't this time. I'm writing this to remind myself. Cheers to all Tiger friends! [Cool] Thank you for reading. 
Adobe - don't miss the boat
avatarPJoo
2022-07-17

Buy V, good defensive stock.

$Visa(V)$is down 9% on the year and 20% below its 52-week high of $252.67. I bought a year back and with good dividend consistently above 0.7% I find it solid compared to banking or tech. Key reasons1. More are moving to cashless society2. Not impacted by inflation3. Covid defensive stock 4. New exploration on Cloud transactions 5. Future growth in Metaverse conceptsAll in all, I forsee another potential 30% upside easily from the current price. I can't tell how the inflation situation will be and impact to tech. V has a good mix and poise for long term upside comparing to others $DJIA(.DJI)$$S&P 500(.SPX)$Have a good day! 
Buy V, good defensive stock.
avatarPJoo
2022-10-25

Amazon - Buy pre earning release?

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$known as the Weather Bell at Wall Streets $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$because the stocks tells the future and guidance. Amazon has E commerce which represent market sentiment and AWS cloud that indicate companies willing to invest cloud solutions when you can stay with On- premise IT which is workable. Challenges for Amazon in Q3.  1. Q3 Rev guidance of 127.75B which is YoY 15% growth that's the highest comparing FAANG.  Q2 annoncement  Possible? Maybe. Q2 results was good shows that they are in control of their services, workforce and salaries. Its a good representation that their consumer products and AWS are competitive. On top of that, mention about few bi
Amazon - Buy pre earning release?
avatarPJoo
2022-10-07

Why Bad news is Good news?

Investors are observing the jobless rate indication. Current jobless data is showing worst then estimates. Meaning more people are losing their jobs - bad news. However, bad news is good because when people are losing their jobs, they are cutting off their spending. Therefore market react positively towards it. For now I have not seen the silver lining to start buying stocks with significant amount of cash due to the following.  1. Jobless data is catch 22. Even Fed wants it, Biden will not. This jobless hike will turn political as Biden will pressure Fed to stop hiking. Maybe.  2. Mid term election perks - all of you may know but selective to be construction and consumar related. Probably. 3. Oil prices are getting higher again. This is hiking up inflation. Its Biden vs Opec +,
Why Bad news is Good news?
avatarPJoo
2022-08-01

No recession? But why?

Imagine passing mark is >40 and test result shows below the mark but teacher aka NBER says.... You pass this round. What? [Doubt] 2 consecutive negative GDP equals recession but not this time per National Bureau Economic Research (NBER) The NBER reasons:457000 job added in Jul better than pre Covid levels. Real personal income  is strongConsumer spending or real personal consumption expendituresSales adjusted for price fluctuationsBusiness investments and industrial productionNon farm payrollI hope Fed or NBER are not try to paint a rosy picture here. Summer is over and but Retail numbers actual and forecast are not promising. More consumer stocks to come this week. $Starbuc
No recession? But why?
avatarPJoo
2021-05-30

Why markets are going up?

I was watching CNBC nearly every other day, trying to catch the reason. Then I came across this table which is very telling. The table indicates the average earning percentage for companies. Comparing at 2 time frame. Results is, they are continuing to put up higher forecast.What it means is this: Back in April 1st, Q2 and Q3 forecast were 54% and 19.5%. However as the reopening economy are happening, companies came forward to update their forecast higher. You can see the latest update this week for Q2 and Q3 forecast were 62% and 23.7%. That's like telling the market after one month, my earning will grow even more about 8% in Q2 and 4.2% in Q3.That's a big change. US economy is thriving and is on the hawkish mode. I could see that most of analyst are two side of the camp. But one thing th
Why markets are going up?
avatarPJoo
2022-08-26
$Alibaba(BABA)$ Finally Green. I have been very patient waiting. Make sense to have accounting transparency between US n China. [ShakeHands] 
avatarPJoo
2022-07-27

Google earning takeaways

$Alphabet(GOOG)$All key indicators are below expectations but investor expect worst hence stock is up after hours. Lower op margin and profit. YouTube 7.3 billion of profit vs 7.5billion expected. I don't think any obvious winning against competitors ie. Tiktok. Total Ad revenue $56.3 billion is huge. Tough there is Automated Ad (performance max) has not seen real numbers to push the needle. Customers may like it but spending could be at a slower pace. Revenue 13% increase YoY to $69.7 billion which is huge but slower growth compare to previous year growth rate. Conclusion is remains that stay in Big Tech which is cash rich - honestly I think there is limited space to the bottom but the potential trajectory is wider.&
Google earning takeaways
avatarPJoo
2022-07-26
2.7 trillion lost from Market Cap this year for these 5 tech giants combined. Is this the bottom? Opportunity for sure. Highlights below. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ - PE 27 Cloud revenue growth? Activision acquisition potential upside. Limited impact from Inflation. Spent on AI and Data. Hold hiring. $Alphabet(GOOG)$ - PE 19 Clear winner search engine 95%dominance. Concern on Ad due to Snap. Cash rich good for downturn. Slowing hiring. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ PE 15 Monetize their apps more. Try to improve Op Margin. Concern on overspending for Metaverse. Slowing hiring 
avatarPJoo
2022-10-04

You are not alone, even Jim C can't get it right

Jim C who spent the entire career at Wall Street, can't predict the market. If you are making losses recently you are not alone. Don't be discourage.  14 Sep Dow is dropped 1276, Jim said don't sell. Sharing his solid view points not to be panic.  14 Sep on YouTube 5 days ago, he shared bull is temporary and yesterday, after I sold my TQQQ as Jim said no reason for a bull.  5 days ago on YouTube Yesterday on YouTube Guess what, pre market I'm thinking if I should trade $Nasdaq100 Bull 3X ETF(TQQQ)$Its a strong correction!!  I m sharing this not with anything against Jim, but more of telling ourselves that actually no one can't actually time the market perfectly. Even with someone who spend his
You are not alone, even Jim C can't get it right
avatarPJoo
2022-11-28
$Occidental(OXY)$  and $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ are are the 2 stocks that will do well. OXY is the recovery of the oil prices. Economy will pick up and many good catalyst are projected by year end. AMZN is the strong retail and year end sales. Consumer spending will not stop as its holiday season. Recent AMZN strike was not well recieved. 
avatarPJoo
2022-07-29
$Adobe(ADBE)$ miss the final trade opportunity. Looks like going to fly from here.  One of the best stable software company [Cool] 
avatarPJoo
2022-07-26

Microsoft potential surprise

$Microsoft(MSFT)$Activision acquisition already buying at a discount compared to last year when tech is all time high. This is already billions. Next clear gaming leader with Activision/ZeniMax and Xbox, it's Software n Hardware, total package. Cloud growth guaranteed. Potential to take more position from Amazon. Why? It has the end to end ecosystem. OS, AI, Security and soon to be Metaverse. Limited impact from Inflation compared to other big tech this week. Not impacted by retail spending, potential regulatory concerns, data privacy court dispute. Too many surprises impacting other tech, MSFT is limited. Microsoft has been hovering around 245 to 20 for the past 3 months. This quarter forecast could be adjusted
Microsoft potential surprise
avatarPJoo
2022-08-02
Put option alternative. $Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$ Worth to place this under your radar with high inflation environment. I'm trying to this trade this stock well. Thanks to Pelosi for tonight's gain. [Cool] 
avatarPJoo
2022-05-28

Finally A CORRECTION!

Sell in May and Go away? Really? Many talk about A Bottom due to Inflation. Are we there yet? Nope. This is a correction from oversold territory. $S&P 500(.SPX)$$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$CPI and Inflation data are still hot. Fed has limited options to fight inflation, except to raise interest rate and QT.Best strategy now is to pick few trust names and trade them. Tell me who can belive the swing of $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ . More head winds to come but volitality is a sure thing.Keep you cash. We can't say we are at a bottom until Ukraine is over and knowing what's coming for 2023. [Coo
Finally A CORRECTION!
avatarPJoo
2022-08-05
Nasdaq bull - is this true? FAANG or MAMAA $Alphabet(GOOG)$$Amazon.com(AMZN)$$Apple(AAPL)$ with Microsoft and Meta all has shown positive upside after quarter earnings regardless the guidance for 2H 22. Semicon and consumer stocks are mixed. Industries and mining have shown encouraging results as well as catalyst to tech. Fueling the rally starting 1Aug, 10.7 million job openings with 1.8 openings for every unemployed person. Digital hardware and automotive parts remained to be highly demanded. Check your portfolio, at least half of your tech stocks would have shown bottomed since this yea
avatarPJoo
2022-05-18
Stagflation is possible. We are seeing slow growth and inflation hitting us bad. Last week, CPI going higher and this week retail spending weaken. Now companies cutting jobs. Ie. Netflix. Its matter of time for more cost measures if interest rate rise even more. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Hold cash with both hands. Only selective trade. Good luck! 
avatarPJoo
2022-05-07
$AMD(AMD)$ Trying to figure the chart out. Any good tips anyone? You get beaten down despite good results. 
avatarPJoo
2021-06-19

Why commodity are down?

Fear of rising inflation, but this week commodity prices are going down. Why? Let me attempt to make it simple. Transitory is the buzzword that is spoken regularly. This was months back after J. Powell said that inflation is going to be transitory. It means that inflation will be gradual and the prices that are going up will be temporary.CPI at 5% is reported recently, which is record high. The only time CPI is higher than 5% was back in Aug 2008. But wait. What happened in Sep 2008? It was the Lehman Brothers crash. Lehman was a symptom rather than the cause. Inflation was high in 2008 but the monetary policy was tight. Lehman suffered earlier from the housing bubble in 2003. Meaning, what really matters is liquidity. So as long as the rates stay low, the economy will have the opportunity
Why commodity are down?
avatarPJoo
2021-05-09
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Joining the Palantir club. Will buy in every $2 if it drop further. I could not understand fully on the AI algorithm framework how it speed up learning and compatibility with diffident industries. To a certain extend, I trust Cathy s insight. 

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