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1M4U6488

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2023-04-03

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2022-12-01

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15:46","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"纳指一季度涨近17%，创近三年最佳表现！高盛：美股本轮涨势将延续到4月","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113475555","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"2023年的一季度在一团和气中划上了句号，全球主要股指多数走高。代表着科技成长股的纳指在今年前三个月累计上涨16.77%，为2020年二季度以来的最大涨幅，同时纳指与道指之间的涨幅差距也是2001年以","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>2023年的一季度在一团和气中划上了句号，全球主要股指多数走高。代表着科技成长股的纳指在今年前三个月累计上涨16.77%，为2020年二季度以来的最大涨幅，同时纳指与道指之间的涨幅差距也是2001年以来最大的。</p><p>从美股大盘来看，今年1月在短暂反弹后陷入了持续的低迷，2月受美联储持续加息影响，美股愁云惨淡，知名分析师和市场人士纷纷警告投资者美股陷入“死亡区”。直到3月初，美国通胀降温以及美国银行系统的动荡，特别是硅谷银行的倒闭，以及瑞银和瑞信的合并，让投资者相信美联储不会继续通过加息来对抗通胀，让投资者纷纷押注美联储加息已到顶点，于是集体涌入去年大跌的科技股。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e9bb26b44a6f39f16c5b0e2ddceab4b9\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"1369\"/></p><p>个股方面，一路攀升的金价力撑南非金矿巨头金田3月累涨近50%。3月份以来，国际金价快速上行，接连突破1900美元/盎司、2000美元/盎司的整数关口。尽管近期有所回调，但仍在1900美元/盎司以上徘徊，表现依旧抢眼。</p><p>“东南亚小腾讯”Sea本月累计涨幅接近40%，股价创自去年9月以来新高。投行Bernstein发布研报，提高Sea(SE.US)的盈利预期，部分原因是电子商务的持续增长。分析师Venugopal Garre目前预计，Sea2023年的营收和净利润将分别为115.6亿美元和900万美元，高于此前预期的99.2亿美元和亏损19.5亿美元。他还调整了对2024年的预测。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1dce7e3d56894d874faf0525cab0a20e\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"1295\"/></p><p><strong>美股接下来怎么看？</strong></p><p>在多重利空因素下，高盛分析师Scott Rubner却对美股近期的反弹并不感到意外，而且预计本轮涨势可能会延续到4月，因为仓位数据显示，对冲基金和散户投资者有些过度看空。</p><p>他指出，股市的走势往往与市场普遍预期的走势相反。3月下旬，尽管美国发生了历史上第二大银行倒闭，美联储也再次加息25个基点，但标准普尔500指数仍上涨了3%，股市的走势就体现了这一点。</p><p>根据Rubner最新发布的一份报告，华尔街的趋势跟踪交易员，也被称为大宗商品交易顾问（CTA），目前押注标普500指数将下跌的头寸高达260亿美元左右，这是自2021年10月以来最大的空头头寸。</p><p>商品交易顾问（CTA）基金，也称作管理期货基金，它是指由专业的资金管理人运用客户委托的资金自主决定投资于全球期货市场和期权市场以获得回报，同时也会收取相应管理费用。</p><p>这种过度看空的仓位让Rubner相信，美国股市的涨势将延续到4月份。</p><p>“‘宏观’方面发生的事情太多，无法对交易抱有信心，但我看好4月股市，”他补充说。</p><p>市场咨询公司Carson Group首席市场策略师Ryan Detrick也同意Rubner的看法，尤其是考虑到美国股市正在进入历史上四年总统任期内表现最好的时期之一。</p><p>“从历史上看，大选前一年的第二季度平均上涨4.8%，历史上72%的时间里还可更高。鉴于整体负面情绪，经济继续挑战怀疑论者，以及这种积极的季节性因素，我们对从去年10月低点反弹的延续持开放态度，”他表示。</p><p>除此之外，Detrick还强调，自1950年以来，在大选前一年的4月份，美国股市有94%的概率是上涨的。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>纳指一季度涨近17%，创近三年最佳表现！高盛：美股本轮涨势将延续到4月</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n纳指一季度涨近17%，创近三年最佳表现！高盛：美股本轮涨势将延续到4月\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-04-03 15:46</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>2023年的一季度在一团和气中划上了句号，全球主要股指多数走高。代表着科技成长股的纳指在今年前三个月累计上涨16.77%，为2020年二季度以来的最大涨幅，同时纳指与道指之间的涨幅差距也是2001年以来最大的。</p><p>从美股大盘来看，今年1月在短暂反弹后陷入了持续的低迷，2月受美联储持续加息影响，美股愁云惨淡，知名分析师和市场人士纷纷警告投资者美股陷入“死亡区”。直到3月初，美国通胀降温以及美国银行系统的动荡，特别是硅谷银行的倒闭，以及瑞银和瑞信的合并，让投资者相信美联储不会继续通过加息来对抗通胀，让投资者纷纷押注美联储加息已到顶点，于是集体涌入去年大跌的科技股。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e9bb26b44a6f39f16c5b0e2ddceab4b9\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"1369\"/></p><p>个股方面，一路攀升的金价力撑南非金矿巨头金田3月累涨近50%。3月份以来，国际金价快速上行，接连突破1900美元/盎司、2000美元/盎司的整数关口。尽管近期有所回调，但仍在1900美元/盎司以上徘徊，表现依旧抢眼。</p><p>“东南亚小腾讯”Sea本月累计涨幅接近40%，股价创自去年9月以来新高。投行Bernstein发布研报，提高Sea(SE.US)的盈利预期，部分原因是电子商务的持续增长。分析师Venugopal Garre目前预计，Sea2023年的营收和净利润将分别为115.6亿美元和900万美元，高于此前预期的99.2亿美元和亏损19.5亿美元。他还调整了对2024年的预测。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1dce7e3d56894d874faf0525cab0a20e\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"1295\"/></p><p><strong>美股接下来怎么看？</strong></p><p>在多重利空因素下，高盛分析师Scott Rubner却对美股近期的反弹并不感到意外，而且预计本轮涨势可能会延续到4月，因为仓位数据显示，对冲基金和散户投资者有些过度看空。</p><p>他指出，股市的走势往往与市场普遍预期的走势相反。3月下旬，尽管美国发生了历史上第二大银行倒闭，美联储也再次加息25个基点，但标准普尔500指数仍上涨了3%，股市的走势就体现了这一点。</p><p>根据Rubner最新发布的一份报告，华尔街的趋势跟踪交易员，也被称为大宗商品交易顾问（CTA），目前押注标普500指数将下跌的头寸高达260亿美元左右，这是自2021年10月以来最大的空头头寸。</p><p>商品交易顾问（CTA）基金，也称作管理期货基金，它是指由专业的资金管理人运用客户委托的资金自主决定投资于全球期货市场和期权市场以获得回报，同时也会收取相应管理费用。</p><p>这种过度看空的仓位让Rubner相信，美国股市的涨势将延续到4月份。</p><p>“‘宏观’方面发生的事情太多，无法对交易抱有信心，但我看好4月股市，”他补充说。</p><p>市场咨询公司Carson Group首席市场策略师Ryan Detrick也同意Rubner的看法，尤其是考虑到美国股市正在进入历史上四年总统任期内表现最好的时期之一。</p><p>“从历史上看，大选前一年的第二季度平均上涨4.8%，历史上72%的时间里还可更高。鉴于整体负面情绪，经济继续挑战怀疑论者，以及这种积极的季节性因素，我们对从去年10月低点反弹的延续持开放态度，”他表示。</p><p>除此之外，Detrick还强调，自1950年以来，在大选前一年的4月份，美国股市有94%的概率是上涨的。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f6ec6e99c0c8b9feb7f296b78c65a54","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1113475555","content_text":"2023年的一季度在一团和气中划上了句号，全球主要股指多数走高。代表着科技成长股的纳指在今年前三个月累计上涨16.77%，为2020年二季度以来的最大涨幅，同时纳指与道指之间的涨幅差距也是2001年以来最大的。从美股大盘来看，今年1月在短暂反弹后陷入了持续的低迷，2月受美联储持续加息影响，美股愁云惨淡，知名分析师和市场人士纷纷警告投资者美股陷入“死亡区”。直到3月初，美国通胀降温以及美国银行系统的动荡，特别是硅谷银行的倒闭，以及瑞银和瑞信的合并，让投资者相信美联储不会继续通过加息来对抗通胀，让投资者纷纷押注美联储加息已到顶点，于是集体涌入去年大跌的科技股。个股方面，一路攀升的金价力撑南非金矿巨头金田3月累涨近50%。3月份以来，国际金价快速上行，接连突破1900美元/盎司、2000美元/盎司的整数关口。尽管近期有所回调，但仍在1900美元/盎司以上徘徊，表现依旧抢眼。“东南亚小腾讯”Sea本月累计涨幅接近40%，股价创自去年9月以来新高。投行Bernstein发布研报，提高Sea(SE.US)的盈利预期，部分原因是电子商务的持续增长。分析师Venugopal Garre目前预计，Sea2023年的营收和净利润将分别为115.6亿美元和900万美元，高于此前预期的99.2亿美元和亏损19.5亿美元。他还调整了对2024年的预测。美股接下来怎么看？在多重利空因素下，高盛分析师Scott Rubner却对美股近期的反弹并不感到意外，而且预计本轮涨势可能会延续到4月，因为仓位数据显示，对冲基金和散户投资者有些过度看空。他指出，股市的走势往往与市场普遍预期的走势相反。3月下旬，尽管美国发生了历史上第二大银行倒闭，美联储也再次加息25个基点，但标准普尔500指数仍上涨了3%，股市的走势就体现了这一点。根据Rubner最新发布的一份报告，华尔街的趋势跟踪交易员，也被称为大宗商品交易顾问（CTA），目前押注标普500指数将下跌的头寸高达260亿美元左右，这是自2021年10月以来最大的空头头寸。商品交易顾问（CTA）基金，也称作管理期货基金，它是指由专业的资金管理人运用客户委托的资金自主决定投资于全球期货市场和期权市场以获得回报，同时也会收取相应管理费用。这种过度看空的仓位让Rubner相信，美国股市的涨势将延续到4月份。“‘宏观’方面发生的事情太多，无法对交易抱有信心，但我看好4月股市，”他补充说。市场咨询公司Carson Group首席市场策略师Ryan Detrick也同意Rubner的看法，尤其是考虑到美国股市正在进入历史上四年总统任期内表现最好的时期之一。“从历史上看，大选前一年的第二季度平均上涨4.8%，历史上72%的时间里还可更高。鉴于整体负面情绪，经济继续挑战怀疑论者，以及这种积极的季节性因素，我们对从去年10月低点反弹的延续持开放态度，”他表示。除此之外，Detrick还强调，自1950年以来，在大选前一年的4月份，美国股市有94%的概率是上涨的。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":226,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9962472725,"gmtCreate":1669842093667,"gmtModify":1676538253083,"author":{"id":"3573199977906635","authorId":"3573199977906635","name":"1M4U6488","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a6f47f80a5359edd0811af21da8349be","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573199977906635","idStr":"3573199977906635"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a>👍","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a>👍","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 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