Mythz
MythzCertificated Individuals
Tiger Certification: Certified Scrum Master specialised in software Engineering and data reading
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avatarMythz
2022-06-27

Inflation, recession, stagflation

What is inflation?It is the rising of prices of the services / products over the year. For example, you can buy a chicken burger for 2 dollars in 2020, now it costs 4 dollars.What is recession?In general terms, it means that the economy is not doing well and the GDP declines.What is stagflation?Stagflation means that the economy has been stagnant, high inflation and low employment rate.Where are we right now?Yes, we are currently in the red bear market right now. The Nasdaq has fallen over 30% since Jan. Inflation and recession are common words we will be hearing when we are in a bear market. I feel that we are in a stagflation phase right now. In the latest Fed updates, there is an slight increase in consumer spending, however it is still very far from the pre-covid era. The unemployment
Inflation, recession, stagflation
avatarMythz
2022-10-17
It is a happy monday today, stocks have rebounded. However, this does not bring hope to investors as it would end flat or lower by the end of the week. Recession at this rate is inevitable, worst scenario will be a stagflation by 2023. Many of thestocks have reached a new 52 weeks low and investors are questioning have we reached thebottom? With the rising interest rate and the upcoming 75bps rate, it will not resolve any of the inflation issue and more people like you and me will be badly affected, ranging from dailylife to the commodities that we buy. Our portfolio will be greatly affected too. In order to survive this tough time, a PUT option can be purchase so that even the stock that we like drops, we still can earn some premium back so that we can re-invest. In addition, ihave added
avatarMythz
08-13
I opened 4 lot(s) $TQQQ 20241220 60.0 PUT$  ,I opened 4 lot(s) $TQQQ 20241220 60.0 PUT$  ,CPI data better than expected. Rally should continue for the next few days
avatarMythz
10-11
I closed 4 lot(s) $TQQQ 20250321 64.0 PUT$  ,Taking profit for CPI day and reopening when dip is here
avatarMythz
07-12
I opened 6 lot(s) $TQQQ 20250117 55.0 PUT$  ,Open some cash puts position to for CPI recovery play when bonds dip, stocks goes up
avatarMythz
01-30

A greener year ahead

Have I been able to sleep well during trades? During the initial year of trading, there have been many distractions. From MEME stocks to crypto, they have been very exiciting days at the start. $GameStop(GME)$ and $AMC Entertainment(AMC)$   has always been the highlight of the MEME stock. During those days, cash has been fast in and fast out. You could easily make thousands of dollars within few minutes. Once you snooze, you lose as well. I have been through both sides of the coin: green and red. Here comes PANIC PANIC PANIC! Here are the phases of the MEME stocks 1. The euphoria phase: You will earn lots of money in the beginning, thinking the cash will always roll in. 2. The FOMO phase: Once you
A greener year ahead
avatarMythz
04-26

Stagflation is here!

The latest GDP result is 1.6% whereas the FED predicted a 2.7% and the general market predicted 2.5%. This is a big miss and Yellen downplayed the expectation and saying the numbers would be revised. The earlier correction this week was due to high PCE, generally high core PCE. Inflation seems very sticky at this point and could accelerate back up to 4%. With the election coming up, the FED is put in a difficult situation. Price cut will likely to happen only after September or November. With the MAG7 taking a hit on Facebook and the rally from Google and Microsoft, it is time to stay defensive. Covered call will be a important play in the upcoming FOMC as there are signs of bearish play.$ProShares UltraPro QQQ(TQQQ)$  
Stagflation is here!
avatarMythz
2022-02-28
$NIO Inc.(NIO)$Good news for NIO! It will be eatimated to list on HK exchange on the 10 March. No additional shares is required. Seems like NIO have planned well enough for the cashflow ahead.
avatarMythz
08-16
I opened 5 lot(s) $TQQQ 20250321 65.0 PUT$  ,Added more CSP due to potential rally and massive gains on Nasdaq today
avatarMythz
08-07
I closed 4 lot(s) $TQQQ 20250117 61.0 PUT$  ,Took advantage of the VIX and sell on the news of BOJ to do a swing trade
avatarMythz
2023-04-27

Can tech earnings rally the market?

Microsoft and Facebook has been outperforming the market during the earning release. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ has outperformed the consensus by a 9% increase in EPS and has lead to a increase in 7% in stock price. Will Microsoft return to hit $300/share by today? Microsoft has always been one of the steady giants, from pandemic till post pandemic till inflation/ banking crisis. With the current guidance, it is still proof that it is a worthy stock and has helped to lift the Nasdaq index Meta has also outperformed the earnings and resulted in a 11% increase in the post market hours. Another interesting giant that I will be looking out for today, Amazon. Today will be the day for its earning. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$&
Can tech earnings rally the market?
avatarMythz
08-19
I opened 5 lot(s) $TQQQ 20250117 61.0 PUT$  ,Nibble a little on re-trace and decide further on fed decision
avatarMythz
11-12
I closed 2 lot(s) $NVDA 20250117 115.0 PUT$  ,Nvda shows signs of exhaustion after the election rally hence it is time to collect profit and wait for the correct time to enter before earnings
avatarMythz
2023-09-04

Meme stocks are back again

In this exuberant market, investors seems to be more fearless than before. Many of them are buying in the stock market despite having a high inflation rate. Has the money printer come back again. Vinfast, an auto company from Vietnam has grown to the 2nd largest auto company in the world. This has not lasted very long and has deep dived back down to the $20-30 range. This has to be a meme stock, with no valuable technology nor valuation, the company has grown many %. It feels like another AMC / GME where many bagholders are trapped. Are they fearful or are they greedy? Surely, if you have enter in the right timing you would have found gold, else you will be stuck with a bag of traps. Having invested in the Nasdaq 100 will be much of a safer bet as it is through a index fund. Let do it safe
Meme stocks are back again
avatarMythz
2022-03-04
Everyone mention GRAB is a must buy stock. Just because GRAB is popular in SE Asia, does not mean that it is a good company to invest in.By looking at the recent earning, it has lost huge sum of money. Many will see it as using it to grow the company into the different industry. GRAB is no longer considered a start-up, with the amount of money it is burning and no clear direction of earning back the money. It is always going to be a losing model. It has beenlosing tons of money over the last 5 years.Everyone will say let's DCA the stock. It is a long term stock. Is it really worth it?Amidst the inflated market, the stock will further drop. Many analysts have started downgrading the stock. I will continue my stance to buy a PUT on it. This stock will likely drop to 3 dollars or lesser soon<
avatarMythz
2022-10-18
$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$As a customer of Grab, I am utterly dissapointed. Loyal members are getting lesser and lesser benefits from using the platform. With the recent point system adjustment, I am officially out on Grab rewards. Many users on multiple forums has also voiced out that the reward system is no longer beneficial. As an investor, hearing that so many people unsatisfied with the platform. I wonder how many people have left the customer base? How much cash has left the super app / cash wallet? Grab might have save some cash on the rewards since many platform have downplay the rewards, but with such expensive services on Grab, how appealing is it for existing customer to continue and for new customer to join.
avatarMythz
03-22
$Reddit(RDDT)$ This stock seems like a pump and dump game. Over-inflated presence from the media trying to make it the biggest hyped tech ipo of the year. The shareholders have no lock up period, which means that they will be selling the stocks straight away. I will take the opportunity of the hyped up to earn small cash and steer away from the inflated price
avatarMythz
09-03
I opened 2 lot(s) $TQQQ 20240920 64.0 PUT$  ,Market is going down due to september fever. Run in the opposite direction fast
avatarMythz
2023-10-13

Signs of improvement for Didi

Didi has been on a rocky path ever since its IPO days. With close to $14 range at IPO, it has dropped down to $3. The China government has been very strict on its company listing overseas, which restricts growth to the company and prevent data from leaking out. Didi has to face the heavy punishment for at least two years.It has started the listing at US stock exchange, which after closer to 1 year, it has delisted and move to OTC exchange. In 2022, Didi had to pay $8 billion yuan fine. Finally after two years of cleaning up the process the company, Didi finally has plans to move to HK IPO. The plan could mean a long-awaited payoff for investors and employees. By listing it on the HK exchange, it would encourage more investors to start buying into Didi, as it is deem less risky compared to
Signs of improvement for Didi
avatarMythz
2022-08-25

Market is on the sideline

The market has just retraced back to a healthy level in fear of the jackson’s hole meeting.The jackson’s hole meeting is a very important meeting different from the monthly fed meeting. It allows important policy to be made.Overall, the market has been quite bullish since June. Covid has been a new norm among us and most country has been laxing the rules. This has indeed bring up the economy slightly. However, inflation is still at an all time high. To start deflation, the rates will likely have to be increase further which will impact many company revenue. This is the main factor which many investors are still on the sideline.Recession has already begun and the GDP has shrinked by 0.6%. Overall, the consumer data has been improving, although this is a lagging indicator and does not show a
Market is on the sideline

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