Tesla makes one of the biggest daily drop in it's history today. And at the moment there seems to be some bounce. But I think it is only a temporary bounce created by day traders who have shorted the stock. I am staying with my price target of $170 as the real base. This is because a month ago, this was where Tesla begun the FOMO indused run created by Elon Musk talking about Robotaxi and 8/8 first view. Now that robotaxi has been delayed to October, should Tesla not go back to the starting point? Especially after this dismay quarterly result?
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Guggenhiem has targer price of $134 and Well Fargo has target of $120. I am not so cruel. My target price is $170. This is because a month ago it waa around this price before the FOMO crowd got suckered by Elon Musk with his robot talks.
$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ Strong close yesterday. Up almost 5%. Market is pricing in a spectacular result. It will be bery exciting tomorrow after market hours when the results are released. The market will either see a super rally, or a sudden retracement down.
Tesla Is really good for shorting. Yesterday's pre-open high was above 181. And an hour into the open it fell to near 173. Now trading at 174.20 post-market. All these volatility caused by Elon Musk's erratic behaviour. He is making life interesting for Teska stake holders.
My view is the basic thesis has not changed. Nvidia is seeing a valuation anxiety moment but the truth remains that it is the best AI play out there. Everybody who is anybody are lining up to buy their chips. Let the shortimers play out. When the calm and sense returns, Nvidia will be back with a vengeance.
BUZZ-Street View: 'Insatiable' AI chip demand to drive Nvidia's growth story
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ It's been a nice 2 days of recovery but I am still holding to the view that nothing has really changed. The fundamentals remains the same as it was a month ago. Actually, no. It may have even worsen as the robotaxi news may just be a show and tell by Elon Musk of what a future car may look like. So the very famous quote about how in the short run the stock market is a popularity contest, but in the longer term, the weighting machine comes up really will apply to Tesla (and other similar meme) stocks. Just ask Warren Buffett why Berkshire Hathaway is not interested in Tesla.
Well written opinion piece and worth paying heed to. My view is last Friday's movement was a breather, not the correction, and a healthy one at that. Which means, I feel the bull run is not over yet. But it is also always good to watch carefully and be ready to take actions. Either ways.
It is going to bleak for all growth companiesfor now. With global economies slowing down, and pressed in further by inflation and high cost of operations, without a good cash profit flow, some if these will find it increasinlycostlier to just stay in biz. Regrettably, apartfrom Tesla, I cannot think of any EV companies which have a decent profit trend. In fact,all are currently notnin the money, yet.
Xpeng drops as Q3 forecast falls short of expectations
"However, its performance was below par, as it came in below its previous midpoint guidance of 32K vehicles. As such, investors expecting a robust report are likely disappointed after the company also underperformed in FQ4'22." Has the market already pried this present upturn a case of herd stampede?
Sadly there will be more blocks ahead. But between the three Chinese EV's, I fear NIO has a longer way to fall. Xpeng and Li Auto has already fallen a lot more whereas NIO was held up by news about their new ET5 sedan.But if you go beyond the hype, you have to worry about NIO's recent losses reported. it is worst than the other two.
Ah. This may explain why Baba shares fell so much last night. This beside the reading of another Fed interest rate hike spooking the overall market. But what happened to the Super feel-good over the business split into 6? So, from my experience, whenever stock prices jacks up tremendously like last week for Baba, it is usually good to sell. And conversely, when the opposite happens, buy in. Even more when the opposite happens in a very much faster time like for Baba last night. For me, Baba is a strong buy now. Just as Tesla was a strong sell early yesterday. But please note it is only my own reading.
This is what I have been seeing as well. The future promises and expectations are still just that. A future that has yet to be proven. Tecent developments, both within NIO and Chona, are just presentlijh too big a risk. Do note that people were very encouraged with Chines government support. But government support is waning. China itsef is showing strains i their economy.
I feel the big beneficiaries of this shocking announcement will be Nvidia, AMD, SMCI, TSMC and further on ARM and other AI chip second liners Whether this AI strategy works (highly likely if plan executed well) or not, these providers will get the upfront orders. After last 2 days of indiscriminate sell-off, it is perfect time to load up on quality chip manufacturers. But not in Intel as they have shown that they have gone the IBM route. Lost the game completely when they were once the dominant player. And certainly not Tesla as whatever Elon Musk says, they are a car company which is also going the way of IBM. Losing out to new and more efficient players.
If this article is correct, it will indeed be a powerful position for Tesla to continue to dominate from. But again, all readings and calls have to be tempered with checks and double checks. Still, it is true Tesla has got the largest gross margins amongst all vehicle manufacturers. That is a big advantage against anyone else challenging the market.
$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ The real show will be after 4.00 pm EST. Presently it is pure speculation plays. And the larger market Americans are stil asleep. Further I feel the attention will be more about the forecast and update on the Blackwell chip deliveries. The financial report for the quarter is more or less a given already. Nvidia should likely meet targets given the spendings already announced by the mega-techs.
Wild panic selling seen today despite generally strong actual results. The sell down has been attributed to lower than expected forecast but the link to the delay of Blackwell chip rollout gives hope it is just a temporary blip in the projections. On days like this, take the day off and don't do any trading. DON'T PANIC.
Nvidia Shares Tumbled As Outlook Fails to Impress Growth-Hungry Investors
This bullshit lawsuit can't be the real reason for the plunge. Cananyone really claim the exclusive rights to the letter S? And the number 7?But what is real is there is no reason for Nioprices to have gone up so much on Tuesday and Wednesday. and with all the news and events, likely we will be testing $15 again by next week. Sad but better to short than to long for now.