PabloCantu personal page - To The Moon

PabloCantu

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2022-08-01

$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$Not really a budget airline but seems to be part of a trend! Aviation gogogo

2022-07-31

Like pls

Buy or Sell Apple Stock After Its Strong Earnings? 5 Reasons to Pick It Up

2022-07-31

Awesome newswire!

Alibaba Added to SEC's Delisting Watchlist, Shares Fall

2022-07-30

$Joby Aviation, Inc.(JOBY)$next tesla?

2021-05-27

$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$first trade on tiger. Let’s see where this one takes off to [Sly]

2022-08-02

$AppLovin Corporation(APP)$Will as tech ever recover?

2022-08-13

$Tianshui Huatian Technology Co.,Ltd.(002185)$Nice surprise

2022-07-31

Like pls

Apple: I'd Rather Buy The SPY

2022-08-08

$Anker Innovations Technology Co.,Ltd.(300866)$I wish I could buy this one with my account

2022-08-08

$Shenzhen Goodix Technology Co.,Ltd.(603160)$Not sure if this will ever turn around [Smug]

2022-07-30

$Tcl Zhonghuan Renewable Energy Technology Co.,Ltd.(002129)$Developing strong!

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href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/002185\">$Tianshui Huatian Technology Co.,Ltd.(002185)$</a>Nice surprise&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/002185\">$Tianshui Huatian Technology Co.,Ltd.(002185)$</a>Nice surprise&nbsp;","text":"$Tianshui Huatian Technology Co.,Ltd.(002185)$Nice 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href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/603160\">$Shenzhen Goodix Technology Co.,Ltd.(603160)$</a>Not sure if this will ever turn around&nbsp;[Smug]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/603160\">$Shenzhen Goodix Technology Co.,Ltd.(603160)$</a>Not sure if this will ever turn around&nbsp;[Smug]&nbsp;","text":"$Shenzhen Goodix Technology Co.,Ltd.(603160)$Not sure if this will ever turn around [Smug]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3ee96e0c2b109fa110309034dcaa298c","width":"1125","height":"2196"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9904031011","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":292,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9906012110,"gmtCreate":1659453006433,"gmtModify":1705980512038,"author":{"id":"3578820424218158","authorId":"3578820424218158","name":"PabloCantu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a67dda94293f5e5e882aff78a04a64cf","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578820424218158","authorIdStr":"3578820424218158"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/APP\">$AppLovin Corporation(APP)$</a>Will as tech ever recover?","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/APP\">$AppLovin Corporation(APP)$</a>Will as tech ever 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Aviation gogogo&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>Not really a budget airline but seems to be part of a trend! Aviation gogogo&nbsp;","text":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$Not really a budget airline but seems to be part of a trend! Aviation gogogo","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d9c73460d151d8601ede6f7f6a62764e","width":"1125","height":"2196"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9908118838","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":668,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9901676062,"gmtCreate":1659201469556,"gmtModify":1676536271160,"author":{"id":"3578820424218158","authorId":"3578820424218158","name":"PabloCantu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a67dda94293f5e5e882aff78a04a64cf","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578820424218158","authorIdStr":"3578820424218158"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9901676062","repostId":"1127120005","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127120005","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1659108221,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1127120005?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-29 23:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: I'd Rather Buy The SPY","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127120005","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryApple is a phenomenal company, but their enormous size will be a barrier to market-beating re","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Apple is a phenomenal company, but their enormous size will be a barrier to market-beating returns.</li><li>Apple is innovating, but, in my opinion, new offerings will likely pale in comparison to the iPhone and fail to move the needle to satisfy growth investors.</li><li>In Peter Lynch&#39;s terms, Apple has fully transitioned from Fast Grower to Stalwart.</li><li>Investors can de-risk their portfolios by buying the SPY, which has a good chance of matching or beating Apple&#39;s future returns.</li></ul><p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p>There&#39;s no denying the incredible success of Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) as a company and as an investment. Indeed, Apple even enticed investing legend Warren Buffett, who typically stays away from technology stocks, to take up a billion-dollar position back in 2016. But, as many of us know, the larger a snowball gets the harder it is to roll, to the point where it&#39;s so large it can&#39;t be rolled at all. With a nearly $2.5 trillion market cap, Apple is an enormous snowball. To put it in perspective, Apple is the size of 25 PayPal&#39;s (PYPL). It takes an enormous amount of money to move Apple, whether that be revenue, earnings, or investors.</p><p>Apple has an impressive track record of innovation with products such as the Apple Watch, Air Pods, Apple TV, and Apple Pay. But how many more home runs could be left in this behemoth? Just as important a question, how far outside the park must Apple hit these home runs to have a meaningful impact on revenue and earnings?</p><p>I&#39;m not betting against Apple&#39;s ability to innovate. I&#39;m betting against their ability to replicate past success in a manner that&#39;ll grow EPS well above the S&amp;P 500. In my opinion, Apple is a snowball that&#39;s just too hard to move. Because of this, I think investors are better off buying theSPY.</p><p><b>Where is Future Growth Coming From?</b></p><p>I think most of us will agree Apple has pretty well saturated the smartphone market in the US. As of 2021,datashows Apple had 46.9% of the US smartphone market with share gains growing at a very slow pace. I see no reason to believe iPhone share gains will be any better than the recent past.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f5a8230f021553bdab552ae6cb8ce70\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"344\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>iPhone Market Share (statista.com)</p><p>Apple&#39;s second-largest market is Europe where they hold a 32.3% share. Apple holds a microscopic edge over Samsung as a market leader. Share gains in Europe have also moderated in recent years similar to the US.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0becc8c9b730dc6c023bcefce1e0646\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Apple Market Share - Europe (Statcounter.com)</p><p>Perhaps China can save the day? Apple recently reclaimed the number one spot as a smartphone provider in China. Apple overtook competitor Huawei after Huawei was negatively impacted by US sanctions. So, one could argue Apple&#39;s 23% leading market position is somewhat artificial.</p><p>Either way, with saturated markets in the US and Europe and a fiercely competitive environment in China, I don&#39;t see market-beating returns coming as a result of increasing iPhone sales which are the backbone of the company.</p><p>So, where will Apple turn to produce the +15% per year (or approximately $15 billion in year one) earnings growth investors are accustomed to?</p><p><b>Share Repurchases</b></p><p>Over the past 10 years, Apple has spent an astonishing$467 billion on share repurchases, reducing a total number of shares outstanding by 4.4% annually. Share repurchases have been a foundation of Apple&#39;s annual EPS growth and I fully expect this to continue in the future. While I&#39;m a fan of share repurchases, I don&#39;t prefer when they&#39;re the primary form of EPS growth.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/664dc00f07bea24b2eb1aa207937ae30\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"376\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Shares Outstanding (Quickfs.com)</p><p>To put it in perspective, share repurchases accounted for the following percentage (approximate) of annual EPS growth for Apple:</p><ul><li>2017: 47% of YOY EPS growth</li><li>2018: 21% of YOY EPS growth</li><li>2019: Not measurable because EPS growth was negative</li><li>2020: 62% of YOY EPS growth</li><li>2021: 9% of YOY EPS growth</li></ul><p>Prior to 2021, share repurchases often accounted for a significant portion of EPS growth. I view 2021 as an outlier due to the amount of fiscal stimulus injected into the economy, which drove up revenue for many companies, including Apple.</p><p><b>Products &amp; Services</b></p><p>Apple has numerous products and services of which I am a satisfied customer. These include the iPhone, iPad, Apple Watch, Air Pods, AppStore, Apple Pay, and Apple Music. I greatly enjoy each of these and believe they offer excellent value.</p><p>Apple&#39;s fastest growing categories are Wearables, Home &amp; Accessories and Services. Over the past 5 years, Wearables, Home &amp; Accessories has grown revenue at a 31.5% CAGR while Services clocks in at 20.3%.</p><p>Here&#39;s what&#39;s included in each per Apple&#39;s 2021 10-K filing.</p><blockquote>Wearables, Home and Accessories net sales include sales of AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, HomePod, iPod touch and accessories.</blockquote><blockquote>Services net sales include sales from the Company&#39;s advertising, AppleCare, cloud, digital content, payment and other services. Services net sales also include amortization of the deferred value of services bundled in the sales price of certain products.</blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b67155a2ae8b688f5fddfede0b0344b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"168\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Revenue by Category (Author&#39;s personal data)</p><p>As seen in the table above, iPhone, Mac, and iPad sales have been fairly lumpy whereas Wearables, Home &amp; Accessories and Services has been steadily increasing.</p><p>Using this information, I can make an educated guess on future revenue growth for Apple. In the table below, I de-rated the revenue CAGR for each category to reflect a more modest expectation of growth.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0e23bc5acddfa2604ba624d20446f19\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"166\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Forecast Revenue by Category (Author&#39;s personal data)</p><p><b>Valuation</b></p><p>Using the market multiple approaches, I arrive at a 2026 target price of $197 for Apple, which includes share repurchases but excludes dividends. I assumed revenue growth of 10.3% (table above), net margins of 23.2% (5YR avg), a long-term PE of 20, and reducing shares outstanding by 4.5% annually.</p><ul><li>2026 revenue estimate = $593 billion</li><li>Net income = $593 billion x 23.2% = $137.6 billion</li><li>Shares outstanding reducing from 16.9 billion in 2022 to 14.0 billion in 2026</li><li>2026 EPS estimate = $137.6 billion / 14.0 billion = $9.83</li><li>Fair value = 20 (PE) x $9.83 = $196.60</li></ul><p>With today&#39;s price of $154 per share, a target price of $196.60 would constitute a 5-year CAGR of 5%. Not exactly a market-beating return in my opinion.</p><p>From a DCF perspective, I show an intrinsic value of $156, which doesn&#39;t offer an acceptable margin of safety. I used an 8% discount rate and 2.5% terminal growth rate. I assumed Apple will continue reducing a total number of shares outstanding by 2.5% annually and grow FCF by 7.4% annually (below the 10 YR CAGR of 10.8%).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89bb0473ac235d24fd63d6a47a1f565f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>DCF Valuation (Author&#39;s personal data)</p><p><b>Aren&#39;t There Risks To The SPY?</b></p><p>Of course, stocks and ETFs aren&#39;t called risk-assets for nothing. In the current macro environment of rising interest rates, sky-high inflation, and a looming recession, investing anywhere is risky. To quote Mr. Buffett:</p><blockquote>Unless you can watch your stock holding decline by 50% without becoming panic-stricken, you should not be in the stock market.</blockquote><p>History says 10 or 20 years from now, the market will be higher than what it is today, so it&#39;s important to keep a long-term perspective. In the current environment,dollar-cost averaging may be the best approach. And if you find yourself stressed about unrealized losses in 2022, that&#39;s probably a good sign you&#39;re invested too heavily, either in general or in an individual position. How well you sleep at night is often a good gauge of portfolio health.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>Apple is a phenomenal company with a bright future, but I find it hard to believe it&#39;ll offer market-beating returns in the coming years. At its current share price, Apple appears to be fairly valued and doesn&#39;t offer an acceptable margin of safety. Investors looking to 5x their money in the next 5 to 10 years likely won&#39;t be able to do so owning Apple. It&#39;s simply too large a snowball. Because of this, I think investors are better served buying the SPY where they&#39;ll get indirect exposure to Apple, de-risk their portfolio, and have a decent chance of outperforming Apple in the long term.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: I'd Rather Buy The SPY</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: I'd Rather Buy The SPY\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-29 23:23 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4527039-apple-rather-buy-spy><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryApple is a phenomenal company, but their enormous size will be a barrier to market-beating returns.Apple is innovating, but, in my opinion, new offerings will likely pale in comparison to the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4527039-apple-rather-buy-spy\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4527039-apple-rather-buy-spy","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127120005","content_text":"SummaryApple is a phenomenal company, but their enormous size will be a barrier to market-beating returns.Apple is innovating, but, in my opinion, new offerings will likely pale in comparison to the iPhone and fail to move the needle to satisfy growth investors.In Peter Lynch's terms, Apple has fully transitioned from Fast Grower to Stalwart.Investors can de-risk their portfolios by buying the SPY, which has a good chance of matching or beating Apple's future returns.Investment ThesisThere's no denying the incredible success of Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) as a company and as an investment. Indeed, Apple even enticed investing legend Warren Buffett, who typically stays away from technology stocks, to take up a billion-dollar position back in 2016. But, as many of us know, the larger a snowball gets the harder it is to roll, to the point where it's so large it can't be rolled at all. With a nearly $2.5 trillion market cap, Apple is an enormous snowball. To put it in perspective, Apple is the size of 25 PayPal's (PYPL). It takes an enormous amount of money to move Apple, whether that be revenue, earnings, or investors.Apple has an impressive track record of innovation with products such as the Apple Watch, Air Pods, Apple TV, and Apple Pay. But how many more home runs could be left in this behemoth? Just as important a question, how far outside the park must Apple hit these home runs to have a meaningful impact on revenue and earnings?I'm not betting against Apple's ability to innovate. I'm betting against their ability to replicate past success in a manner that'll grow EPS well above the S&P 500. In my opinion, Apple is a snowball that's just too hard to move. Because of this, I think investors are better off buying theSPY.Where is Future Growth Coming From?I think most of us will agree Apple has pretty well saturated the smartphone market in the US. As of 2021,datashows Apple had 46.9% of the US smartphone market with share gains growing at a very slow pace. I see no reason to believe iPhone share gains will be any better than the recent past.iPhone Market Share (statista.com)Apple's second-largest market is Europe where they hold a 32.3% share. Apple holds a microscopic edge over Samsung as a market leader. Share gains in Europe have also moderated in recent years similar to the US.Apple Market Share - Europe (Statcounter.com)Perhaps China can save the day? Apple recently reclaimed the number one spot as a smartphone provider in China. Apple overtook competitor Huawei after Huawei was negatively impacted by US sanctions. So, one could argue Apple's 23% leading market position is somewhat artificial.Either way, with saturated markets in the US and Europe and a fiercely competitive environment in China, I don't see market-beating returns coming as a result of increasing iPhone sales which are the backbone of the company.So, where will Apple turn to produce the +15% per year (or approximately $15 billion in year one) earnings growth investors are accustomed to?Share RepurchasesOver the past 10 years, Apple has spent an astonishing$467 billion on share repurchases, reducing a total number of shares outstanding by 4.4% annually. Share repurchases have been a foundation of Apple's annual EPS growth and I fully expect this to continue in the future. While I'm a fan of share repurchases, I don't prefer when they're the primary form of EPS growth.Shares Outstanding (Quickfs.com)To put it in perspective, share repurchases accounted for the following percentage (approximate) of annual EPS growth for Apple:2017: 47% of YOY EPS growth2018: 21% of YOY EPS growth2019: Not measurable because EPS growth was negative2020: 62% of YOY EPS growth2021: 9% of YOY EPS growthPrior to 2021, share repurchases often accounted for a significant portion of EPS growth. I view 2021 as an outlier due to the amount of fiscal stimulus injected into the economy, which drove up revenue for many companies, including Apple.Products & ServicesApple has numerous products and services of which I am a satisfied customer. These include the iPhone, iPad, Apple Watch, Air Pods, AppStore, Apple Pay, and Apple Music. I greatly enjoy each of these and believe they offer excellent value.Apple's fastest growing categories are Wearables, Home & Accessories and Services. Over the past 5 years, Wearables, Home & Accessories has grown revenue at a 31.5% CAGR while Services clocks in at 20.3%.Here's what's included in each per Apple's 2021 10-K filing.Wearables, Home and Accessories net sales include sales of AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, HomePod, iPod touch and accessories.Services net sales include sales from the Company's advertising, AppleCare, cloud, digital content, payment and other services. Services net sales also include amortization of the deferred value of services bundled in the sales price of certain products.Revenue by Category (Author's personal data)As seen in the table above, iPhone, Mac, and iPad sales have been fairly lumpy whereas Wearables, Home & Accessories and Services has been steadily increasing.Using this information, I can make an educated guess on future revenue growth for Apple. In the table below, I de-rated the revenue CAGR for each category to reflect a more modest expectation of growth.Forecast Revenue by Category (Author's personal data)ValuationUsing the market multiple approaches, I arrive at a 2026 target price of $197 for Apple, which includes share repurchases but excludes dividends. I assumed revenue growth of 10.3% (table above), net margins of 23.2% (5YR avg), a long-term PE of 20, and reducing shares outstanding by 4.5% annually.2026 revenue estimate = $593 billionNet income = $593 billion x 23.2% = $137.6 billionShares outstanding reducing from 16.9 billion in 2022 to 14.0 billion in 20262026 EPS estimate = $137.6 billion / 14.0 billion = $9.83Fair value = 20 (PE) x $9.83 = $196.60With today's price of $154 per share, a target price of $196.60 would constitute a 5-year CAGR of 5%. Not exactly a market-beating return in my opinion.From a DCF perspective, I show an intrinsic value of $156, which doesn't offer an acceptable margin of safety. I used an 8% discount rate and 2.5% terminal growth rate. I assumed Apple will continue reducing a total number of shares outstanding by 2.5% annually and grow FCF by 7.4% annually (below the 10 YR CAGR of 10.8%).DCF Valuation (Author's personal data)Aren't There Risks To The SPY?Of course, stocks and ETFs aren't called risk-assets for nothing. In the current macro environment of rising interest rates, sky-high inflation, and a looming recession, investing anywhere is risky. To quote Mr. Buffett:Unless you can watch your stock holding decline by 50% without becoming panic-stricken, you should not be in the stock market.History says 10 or 20 years from now, the market will be higher than what it is today, so it's important to keep a long-term perspective. In the current environment,dollar-cost averaging may be the best approach. And if you find yourself stressed about unrealized losses in 2022, that's probably a good sign you're invested too heavily, either in general or in an individual position. How well you sleep at night is often a good gauge of portfolio health.ConclusionApple is a phenomenal company with a bright future, but I find it hard to believe it'll offer market-beating returns in the coming years. At its current share price, Apple appears to be fairly valued and doesn't offer an acceptable margin of safety. Investors looking to 5x their money in the next 5 to 10 years likely won't be able to do so owning Apple. It's simply too large a snowball. Because of this, I think investors are better served buying the SPY where they'll get indirect exposure to Apple, de-risk their portfolio, and have a decent chance of outperforming Apple in the long term.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":461,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9901678437,"gmtCreate":1659201357129,"gmtModify":1676536271156,"author":{"id":"3578820424218158","authorId":"3578820424218158","name":"PabloCantu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a67dda94293f5e5e882aff78a04a64cf","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578820424218158","authorIdStr":"3578820424218158"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls&nbsp;","listText":"Like pls&nbsp;","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9901678437","repostId":"2255551011","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2255551011","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1659143138,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2255551011?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-30 09:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy or Sell Apple Stock After Its Strong Earnings? 5 Reasons to Pick It Up","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2255551011","media":"Barrons","summary":"Apple's better-than-expected earnings report helped shake off investor concerns about how a slowdown","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Apple&#39;s better-than-expected earnings report helped shake off investor concerns about how a slowdown in consumer demand would impact the tech giant. As sentiment turns positive, it may be time to buy the stock, analysts say.</p><p>Investors were wary heading into Apple&#39;s (ticker: AAPL) earnings, heeding warnings about the cloud of macroeconomic challenges descending on the tech sector. Aside from slowing consumer demand, the company has had to grapple with nagging supply chain challenges and rising interest rates, which depressed estimates and price targets in the weeks before the report.</p><p>But Apple joined Amazon.com ( AMZN) in assuaging investor fears on Thursday by posting solid quarterly results that beat expectations. Analysts reacted positively to the report, and gained confidence that the company could continue to outperform over the next few quarters.</p><p>&#34;We would characterize this quarter as a major bullish statement on iPhone demand and Cupertino&#39;s [the location of Apple&#39;s main office] ability to navigate a supply chain shortage in an impressive performance, &#34; wrote Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives on Friday.</p><p>Citi analyst Jim Suva agreed, saying he continued to see several positive drivers for Apple&#39;s products and services in the months ahead, even though macro challenges will persist.</p><p>Suva outlined five reasons to buy the stock.</p><p><b>iPhone 14</b></p><p>Suva believes the iPhone 14 is still on track for a September launch, while a foldable phone could be in the works by 2024 at the latest. The iPhone 13 was the main driver behind Apple&#39;s $83 billion in sales during its fiscal third quarter, boosting the bottom line even as Mac computer sales fell short of expectations.</p><p><b>Expansion of Services Segment</b></p><p>Apple has been working to build out its services segment, which Suva said would be able to deliver stickier recurring revenue, and open up the door for more devices-as-a-service offerings.</p><p>The company reached an all-time high in their installed base across iOS in the third quarter. This will be crucial as it means Apple has a &#34;larger base to monetize over the long run,&#34; wrote Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani.</p><p><b>New Product Launches</b></p><p>In addition to an iPhone launch, the company is preparing to release artificial reality headsets and the Apple Car by 2025, both of which have yet to be factored into estimates, he added.</p><p><b>Demand Shift Toward Premium Products</b></p><p>The market continues to skew away from lower priced Android phones toward premium pricing products, Suva said, which will benefit Apple&#39;s iPhone offerings.</p><p><b>Stock Buyback Program</b></p><p>The company&#39;s $90 billion stock buyback program will keep boosting the shares in the long run, Suva added.</p><p>&#34;We walk away from the conference call and June results incrementally more positive that Apple can navigate this economic storm with the demand and growth story well intact for the growth pillars of iPhones and Services front and center,&#34; Ives wrote.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy or Sell Apple Stock After Its Strong Earnings? 5 Reasons to Pick It Up</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy or Sell Apple Stock After Its Strong Earnings? 5 Reasons to Pick It Up\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-30 09:05 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-earnings-buy-stock-51659097367?mod=hp_LEAD_1_B_2><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple's better-than-expected earnings report helped shake off investor concerns about how a slowdown in consumer demand would impact the tech giant. As sentiment turns positive, it may be time to buy ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-earnings-buy-stock-51659097367?mod=hp_LEAD_1_B_2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-earnings-buy-stock-51659097367?mod=hp_LEAD_1_B_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2255551011","content_text":"Apple's better-than-expected earnings report helped shake off investor concerns about how a slowdown in consumer demand would impact the tech giant. As sentiment turns positive, it may be time to buy the stock, analysts say.Investors were wary heading into Apple's (ticker: AAPL) earnings, heeding warnings about the cloud of macroeconomic challenges descending on the tech sector. Aside from slowing consumer demand, the company has had to grapple with nagging supply chain challenges and rising interest rates, which depressed estimates and price targets in the weeks before the report.But Apple joined Amazon.com ( AMZN) in assuaging investor fears on Thursday by posting solid quarterly results that beat expectations. Analysts reacted positively to the report, and gained confidence that the company could continue to outperform over the next few quarters.\"We would characterize this quarter as a major bullish statement on iPhone demand and Cupertino's [the location of Apple's main office] ability to navigate a supply chain shortage in an impressive performance, \" wrote Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives on Friday.Citi analyst Jim Suva agreed, saying he continued to see several positive drivers for Apple's products and services in the months ahead, even though macro challenges will persist.Suva outlined five reasons to buy the stock.iPhone 14Suva believes the iPhone 14 is still on track for a September launch, while a foldable phone could be in the works by 2024 at the latest. The iPhone 13 was the main driver behind Apple's $83 billion in sales during its fiscal third quarter, boosting the bottom line even as Mac computer sales fell short of expectations.Expansion of Services SegmentApple has been working to build out its services segment, which Suva said would be able to deliver stickier recurring revenue, and open up the door for more devices-as-a-service offerings.The company reached an all-time high in their installed base across iOS in the third quarter. This will be crucial as it means Apple has a \"larger base to monetize over the long run,\" wrote Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani.New Product LaunchesIn addition to an iPhone launch, the company is preparing to release artificial reality headsets and the Apple Car by 2025, both of which have yet to be factored into estimates, he added.Demand Shift Toward Premium ProductsThe market continues to skew away from lower priced Android phones toward premium pricing products, Suva said, which will benefit Apple's iPhone offerings.Stock Buyback ProgramThe company's $90 billion stock buyback program will keep boosting the shares in the long run, Suva added.\"We walk away from the conference call and June results incrementally more positive that Apple can navigate this economic storm with the demand and growth story well intact for the growth pillars of iPhones and Services front and center,\" Ives wrote.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":471,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9901678250,"gmtCreate":1659201340370,"gmtModify":1676536271149,"author":{"id":"3578820424218158","authorId":"3578820424218158","name":"PabloCantu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a67dda94293f5e5e882aff78a04a64cf","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578820424218158","authorIdStr":"3578820424218158"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Awesome newswire!&nbsp;","listText":"Awesome newswire!&nbsp;","text":"Awesome newswire!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9901678250","repostId":"2255595986","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2255595986","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1659150026,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2255595986?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-30 11:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Added to SEC's Delisting Watchlist, Shares Fall","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2255595986","media":"Reuters","summary":"July 29 (Reuters) - Alibaba Group Holding Ltd on Friday became the latest company to be added to the","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>July 29 (Reuters) - Alibaba Group Holding Ltd on Friday became the latest company to be added to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission&#39;s list of Chinese companies that might be delisted.</p><p>Alibaba&#39;s shares were down 11% at $89.37 at the closing bell, ending the month 21.4% lower. The e-commerce giant&#39;s shares were already feeling the pressure after reports suggested Ma was planning to cede control of financial technology firm Ant, an affiliate of Alibaba.</p><p>Alibaba is among more than 270 Chinese companies listed in New York identified as being at risk of delisting under the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act (HFCAA), intended to address a long-running dispute over the auditing compliance of U.S.-listed Chinese firms.</p><p>U.S. regulators have been demanding complete access to audit working papers of New York-listed Chinese companies, which are stored in China.</p><p>While Washington and Beijing are in talks over the dispute, KFC operator Yum China Holdings, biotech firm BeiGene Ltd, Weibo Corp and JD.Com are among firms that could face delisting.</p><p>Alibaba&#39;s IPO in 2014 was the largest debut in history at that time and paved the way for other Chinese companies seeking fresh capital to list on the U.S. stock exchange.</p><p>Founded in 1999 in Jack Ma&#39;s apartment and catering to a large population in China, the e-commerce company has seen the wrath of both U.S. and Chinese regulators amid a broad crackdown, battering its shares since 2020.</p><p>It now plans to add a primary listing in Hong Kong, targeting investors in mainland China.</p><p>&#34;Applying for the primary listing status in Hong Kong doesn&#39;t necessarily mean they think they&#39;re going to get delisted in the U.S... it&#39;s just to mitigate that potential risk,&#34; said Bo Pei, an analyst with U.S. Tiger Securities.</p><p>Others added to the list on Friday include Mogu Inc , Boqii Holding Limited, Cheetah Mobile Inc and Highway Holdings Limited.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Added to SEC's Delisting Watchlist, Shares Fall</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Added to SEC's Delisting Watchlist, Shares Fall\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-30 11:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>July 29 (Reuters) - Alibaba Group Holding Ltd on Friday became the latest company to be added to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission&#39;s list of Chinese companies that might be delisted.</p><p>Alibaba&#39;s shares were down 11% at $89.37 at the closing bell, ending the month 21.4% lower. The e-commerce giant&#39;s shares were already feeling the pressure after reports suggested Ma was planning to cede control of financial technology firm Ant, an affiliate of Alibaba.</p><p>Alibaba is among more than 270 Chinese companies listed in New York identified as being at risk of delisting under the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act (HFCAA), intended to address a long-running dispute over the auditing compliance of U.S.-listed Chinese firms.</p><p>U.S. regulators have been demanding complete access to audit working papers of New York-listed Chinese companies, which are stored in China.</p><p>While Washington and Beijing are in talks over the dispute, KFC operator Yum China Holdings, biotech firm BeiGene Ltd, Weibo Corp and JD.Com are among firms that could face delisting.</p><p>Alibaba&#39;s IPO in 2014 was the largest debut in history at that time and paved the way for other Chinese companies seeking fresh capital to list on the U.S. stock exchange.</p><p>Founded in 1999 in Jack Ma&#39;s apartment and catering to a large population in China, the e-commerce company has seen the wrath of both U.S. and Chinese regulators amid a broad crackdown, battering its shares since 2020.</p><p>It now plans to add a primary listing in Hong Kong, targeting investors in mainland China.</p><p>&#34;Applying for the primary listing status in Hong Kong doesn&#39;t necessarily mean they think they&#39;re going to get delisted in the U.S... it&#39;s just to mitigate that potential risk,&#34; said Bo Pei, an analyst with U.S. Tiger Securities.</p><p>Others added to the list on Friday include Mogu Inc , Boqii Holding Limited, Cheetah Mobile Inc and Highway Holdings Limited.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2255595986","content_text":"July 29 (Reuters) - Alibaba Group Holding Ltd on Friday became the latest company to be added to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's list of Chinese companies that might be delisted.Alibaba's shares were down 11% at $89.37 at the closing bell, ending the month 21.4% lower. The e-commerce giant's shares were already feeling the pressure after reports suggested Ma was planning to cede control of financial technology firm Ant, an affiliate of Alibaba.Alibaba is among more than 270 Chinese companies listed in New York identified as being at risk of delisting under the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act (HFCAA), intended to address a long-running dispute over the auditing compliance of U.S.-listed Chinese firms.U.S. regulators have been demanding complete access to audit working papers of New York-listed Chinese companies, which are stored in China.While Washington and Beijing are in talks over the dispute, KFC operator Yum China Holdings, biotech firm BeiGene Ltd, Weibo Corp and JD.Com are among firms that could face delisting.Alibaba's IPO in 2014 was the largest debut in history at that time and paved the way for other Chinese companies seeking fresh capital to list on the U.S. stock exchange.Founded in 1999 in Jack Ma's apartment and catering to a large population in China, the e-commerce company has seen the wrath of both U.S. and Chinese regulators amid a broad crackdown, battering its shares since 2020.It now plans to add a primary listing in Hong Kong, targeting investors in mainland China.\"Applying for the primary listing status in Hong Kong doesn't necessarily mean they think they're going to get delisted in the U.S... it's just to mitigate that potential risk,\" said Bo Pei, an analyst with U.S. Tiger Securities.Others added to the list on Friday include Mogu Inc , Boqii Holding Limited, Cheetah Mobile Inc and Highway Holdings Limited.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":396,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9901817206,"gmtCreate":1659159360405,"gmtModify":1676536267385,"author":{"id":"3578820424218158","authorId":"3578820424218158","name":"PabloCantu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a67dda94293f5e5e882aff78a04a64cf","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578820424218158","authorIdStr":"3578820424218158"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/002129\">$Tcl Zhonghuan Renewable Energy Technology Co.,Ltd.(002129)$</a>Developing strong!&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/002129\">$Tcl Zhonghuan Renewable Energy Technology Co.,Ltd.(002129)$</a>Developing strong!&nbsp;","text":"$Tcl Zhonghuan Renewable Energy Technology Co.,Ltd.(002129)$Developing strong!","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6bd0e7a00f3730a36ff88383be6caeed","width":"1125","height":"2196"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9901817206","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":675,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9901814101,"gmtCreate":1659159219003,"gmtModify":1676536267362,"author":{"id":"3578820424218158","authorId":"3578820424218158","name":"PabloCantu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a67dda94293f5e5e882aff78a04a64cf","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578820424218158","authorIdStr":"3578820424218158"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/JOBY\">$Joby Aviation, Inc.(JOBY)$</a>next tesla?&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/JOBY\">$Joby Aviation, Inc.(JOBY)$</a>next tesla?&nbsp;","text":"$Joby Aviation, Inc.(JOBY)$next tesla?","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c43d32e0b68d119d61b8d5ada9204388","width":"1125","height":"3660"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9901814101","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":498,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":132851844,"gmtCreate":1622081193488,"gmtModify":1704179078854,"author":{"id":"3578820424218158","authorId":"3578820424218158","name":"PabloCantu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a67dda94293f5e5e882aff78a04a64cf","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578820424218158","authorIdStr":"3578820424218158"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>first trade on tiger. Let’s see where this one takes off to [Sly]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>first trade on tiger. Let’s see where this one takes off to [Sly]&nbsp;","text":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$first trade on tiger. Let’s see where this one takes off to [Sly]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18e808f496df7c5003f7a72b7b454881","width":"1125","height":"2183"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/132851844","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":87,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9908118838,"gmtCreate":1659336275524,"gmtModify":1676536289025,"author":{"id":"3578820424218158","authorId":"3578820424218158","name":"PabloCantu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a67dda94293f5e5e882aff78a04a64cf","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578820424218158","authorIdStr":"3578820424218158"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>Not really a budget airline but seems to be part of a trend! Aviation gogogo&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>Not really a budget airline but seems to be part of a trend! Aviation gogogo&nbsp;","text":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$Not really a budget airline but seems to be part of a trend! Aviation gogogo","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d9c73460d151d8601ede6f7f6a62764e","width":"1125","height":"2196"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9908118838","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":668,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9901678437,"gmtCreate":1659201357129,"gmtModify":1676536271156,"author":{"id":"3578820424218158","authorId":"3578820424218158","name":"PabloCantu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a67dda94293f5e5e882aff78a04a64cf","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578820424218158","authorIdStr":"3578820424218158"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls&nbsp;","listText":"Like pls&nbsp;","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9901678437","repostId":"2255551011","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2255551011","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1659143138,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2255551011?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-30 09:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy or Sell Apple Stock After Its Strong Earnings? 5 Reasons to Pick It Up","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2255551011","media":"Barrons","summary":"Apple's better-than-expected earnings report helped shake off investor concerns about how a slowdown","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Apple&#39;s better-than-expected earnings report helped shake off investor concerns about how a slowdown in consumer demand would impact the tech giant. As sentiment turns positive, it may be time to buy the stock, analysts say.</p><p>Investors were wary heading into Apple&#39;s (ticker: AAPL) earnings, heeding warnings about the cloud of macroeconomic challenges descending on the tech sector. Aside from slowing consumer demand, the company has had to grapple with nagging supply chain challenges and rising interest rates, which depressed estimates and price targets in the weeks before the report.</p><p>But Apple joined Amazon.com ( AMZN) in assuaging investor fears on Thursday by posting solid quarterly results that beat expectations. Analysts reacted positively to the report, and gained confidence that the company could continue to outperform over the next few quarters.</p><p>&#34;We would characterize this quarter as a major bullish statement on iPhone demand and Cupertino&#39;s [the location of Apple&#39;s main office] ability to navigate a supply chain shortage in an impressive performance, &#34; wrote Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives on Friday.</p><p>Citi analyst Jim Suva agreed, saying he continued to see several positive drivers for Apple&#39;s products and services in the months ahead, even though macro challenges will persist.</p><p>Suva outlined five reasons to buy the stock.</p><p><b>iPhone 14</b></p><p>Suva believes the iPhone 14 is still on track for a September launch, while a foldable phone could be in the works by 2024 at the latest. The iPhone 13 was the main driver behind Apple&#39;s $83 billion in sales during its fiscal third quarter, boosting the bottom line even as Mac computer sales fell short of expectations.</p><p><b>Expansion of Services Segment</b></p><p>Apple has been working to build out its services segment, which Suva said would be able to deliver stickier recurring revenue, and open up the door for more devices-as-a-service offerings.</p><p>The company reached an all-time high in their installed base across iOS in the third quarter. This will be crucial as it means Apple has a &#34;larger base to monetize over the long run,&#34; wrote Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani.</p><p><b>New Product Launches</b></p><p>In addition to an iPhone launch, the company is preparing to release artificial reality headsets and the Apple Car by 2025, both of which have yet to be factored into estimates, he added.</p><p><b>Demand Shift Toward Premium Products</b></p><p>The market continues to skew away from lower priced Android phones toward premium pricing products, Suva said, which will benefit Apple&#39;s iPhone offerings.</p><p><b>Stock Buyback Program</b></p><p>The company&#39;s $90 billion stock buyback program will keep boosting the shares in the long run, Suva added.</p><p>&#34;We walk away from the conference call and June results incrementally more positive that Apple can navigate this economic storm with the demand and growth story well intact for the growth pillars of iPhones and Services front and center,&#34; Ives wrote.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy or Sell Apple Stock After Its Strong Earnings? 5 Reasons to Pick It Up</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy or Sell Apple Stock After Its Strong Earnings? 5 Reasons to Pick It Up\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-30 09:05 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-earnings-buy-stock-51659097367?mod=hp_LEAD_1_B_2><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple's better-than-expected earnings report helped shake off investor concerns about how a slowdown in consumer demand would impact the tech giant. As sentiment turns positive, it may be time to buy ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-earnings-buy-stock-51659097367?mod=hp_LEAD_1_B_2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-earnings-buy-stock-51659097367?mod=hp_LEAD_1_B_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2255551011","content_text":"Apple's better-than-expected earnings report helped shake off investor concerns about how a slowdown in consumer demand would impact the tech giant. As sentiment turns positive, it may be time to buy the stock, analysts say.Investors were wary heading into Apple's (ticker: AAPL) earnings, heeding warnings about the cloud of macroeconomic challenges descending on the tech sector. Aside from slowing consumer demand, the company has had to grapple with nagging supply chain challenges and rising interest rates, which depressed estimates and price targets in the weeks before the report.But Apple joined Amazon.com ( AMZN) in assuaging investor fears on Thursday by posting solid quarterly results that beat expectations. Analysts reacted positively to the report, and gained confidence that the company could continue to outperform over the next few quarters.\"We would characterize this quarter as a major bullish statement on iPhone demand and Cupertino's [the location of Apple's main office] ability to navigate a supply chain shortage in an impressive performance, \" wrote Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives on Friday.Citi analyst Jim Suva agreed, saying he continued to see several positive drivers for Apple's products and services in the months ahead, even though macro challenges will persist.Suva outlined five reasons to buy the stock.iPhone 14Suva believes the iPhone 14 is still on track for a September launch, while a foldable phone could be in the works by 2024 at the latest. The iPhone 13 was the main driver behind Apple's $83 billion in sales during its fiscal third quarter, boosting the bottom line even as Mac computer sales fell short of expectations.Expansion of Services SegmentApple has been working to build out its services segment, which Suva said would be able to deliver stickier recurring revenue, and open up the door for more devices-as-a-service offerings.The company reached an all-time high in their installed base across iOS in the third quarter. This will be crucial as it means Apple has a \"larger base to monetize over the long run,\" wrote Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani.New Product LaunchesIn addition to an iPhone launch, the company is preparing to release artificial reality headsets and the Apple Car by 2025, both of which have yet to be factored into estimates, he added.Demand Shift Toward Premium ProductsThe market continues to skew away from lower priced Android phones toward premium pricing products, Suva said, which will benefit Apple's iPhone offerings.Stock Buyback ProgramThe company's $90 billion stock buyback program will keep boosting the shares in the long run, Suva added.\"We walk away from the conference call and June results incrementally more positive that Apple can navigate this economic storm with the demand and growth story well intact for the growth pillars of iPhones and Services front and center,\" Ives wrote.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":471,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9901678250,"gmtCreate":1659201340370,"gmtModify":1676536271149,"author":{"id":"3578820424218158","authorId":"3578820424218158","name":"PabloCantu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a67dda94293f5e5e882aff78a04a64cf","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578820424218158","authorIdStr":"3578820424218158"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Awesome newswire!&nbsp;","listText":"Awesome newswire!&nbsp;","text":"Awesome newswire!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9901678250","repostId":"2255595986","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2255595986","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1659150026,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2255595986?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-30 11:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Added to SEC's Delisting Watchlist, Shares Fall","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2255595986","media":"Reuters","summary":"July 29 (Reuters) - Alibaba Group Holding Ltd on Friday became the latest company to be added to the","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>July 29 (Reuters) - Alibaba Group Holding Ltd on Friday became the latest company to be added to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission&#39;s list of Chinese companies that might be delisted.</p><p>Alibaba&#39;s shares were down 11% at $89.37 at the closing bell, ending the month 21.4% lower. The e-commerce giant&#39;s shares were already feeling the pressure after reports suggested Ma was planning to cede control of financial technology firm Ant, an affiliate of Alibaba.</p><p>Alibaba is among more than 270 Chinese companies listed in New York identified as being at risk of delisting under the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act (HFCAA), intended to address a long-running dispute over the auditing compliance of U.S.-listed Chinese firms.</p><p>U.S. regulators have been demanding complete access to audit working papers of New York-listed Chinese companies, which are stored in China.</p><p>While Washington and Beijing are in talks over the dispute, KFC operator Yum China Holdings, biotech firm BeiGene Ltd, Weibo Corp and JD.Com are among firms that could face delisting.</p><p>Alibaba&#39;s IPO in 2014 was the largest debut in history at that time and paved the way for other Chinese companies seeking fresh capital to list on the U.S. stock exchange.</p><p>Founded in 1999 in Jack Ma&#39;s apartment and catering to a large population in China, the e-commerce company has seen the wrath of both U.S. and Chinese regulators amid a broad crackdown, battering its shares since 2020.</p><p>It now plans to add a primary listing in Hong Kong, targeting investors in mainland China.</p><p>&#34;Applying for the primary listing status in Hong Kong doesn&#39;t necessarily mean they think they&#39;re going to get delisted in the U.S... it&#39;s just to mitigate that potential risk,&#34; said Bo Pei, an analyst with U.S. Tiger Securities.</p><p>Others added to the list on Friday include Mogu Inc , Boqii Holding Limited, Cheetah Mobile Inc and Highway Holdings Limited.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Added to SEC's Delisting Watchlist, Shares Fall</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Added to SEC's Delisting Watchlist, Shares Fall\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-30 11:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>July 29 (Reuters) - Alibaba Group Holding Ltd on Friday became the latest company to be added to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission&#39;s list of Chinese companies that might be delisted.</p><p>Alibaba&#39;s shares were down 11% at $89.37 at the closing bell, ending the month 21.4% lower. The e-commerce giant&#39;s shares were already feeling the pressure after reports suggested Ma was planning to cede control of financial technology firm Ant, an affiliate of Alibaba.</p><p>Alibaba is among more than 270 Chinese companies listed in New York identified as being at risk of delisting under the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act (HFCAA), intended to address a long-running dispute over the auditing compliance of U.S.-listed Chinese firms.</p><p>U.S. regulators have been demanding complete access to audit working papers of New York-listed Chinese companies, which are stored in China.</p><p>While Washington and Beijing are in talks over the dispute, KFC operator Yum China Holdings, biotech firm BeiGene Ltd, Weibo Corp and JD.Com are among firms that could face delisting.</p><p>Alibaba&#39;s IPO in 2014 was the largest debut in history at that time and paved the way for other Chinese companies seeking fresh capital to list on the U.S. stock exchange.</p><p>Founded in 1999 in Jack Ma&#39;s apartment and catering to a large population in China, the e-commerce company has seen the wrath of both U.S. and Chinese regulators amid a broad crackdown, battering its shares since 2020.</p><p>It now plans to add a primary listing in Hong Kong, targeting investors in mainland China.</p><p>&#34;Applying for the primary listing status in Hong Kong doesn&#39;t necessarily mean they think they&#39;re going to get delisted in the U.S... it&#39;s just to mitigate that potential risk,&#34; said Bo Pei, an analyst with U.S. Tiger Securities.</p><p>Others added to the list on Friday include Mogu Inc , Boqii Holding Limited, Cheetah Mobile Inc and Highway Holdings Limited.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2255595986","content_text":"July 29 (Reuters) - Alibaba Group Holding Ltd on Friday became the latest company to be added to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's list of Chinese companies that might be delisted.Alibaba's shares were down 11% at $89.37 at the closing bell, ending the month 21.4% lower. The e-commerce giant's shares were already feeling the pressure after reports suggested Ma was planning to cede control of financial technology firm Ant, an affiliate of Alibaba.Alibaba is among more than 270 Chinese companies listed in New York identified as being at risk of delisting under the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act (HFCAA), intended to address a long-running dispute over the auditing compliance of U.S.-listed Chinese firms.U.S. regulators have been demanding complete access to audit working papers of New York-listed Chinese companies, which are stored in China.While Washington and Beijing are in talks over the dispute, KFC operator Yum China Holdings, biotech firm BeiGene Ltd, Weibo Corp and JD.Com are among firms that could face delisting.Alibaba's IPO in 2014 was the largest debut in history at that time and paved the way for other Chinese companies seeking fresh capital to list on the U.S. stock exchange.Founded in 1999 in Jack Ma's apartment and catering to a large population in China, the e-commerce company has seen the wrath of both U.S. and Chinese regulators amid a broad crackdown, battering its shares since 2020.It now plans to add a primary listing in Hong Kong, targeting investors in mainland China.\"Applying for the primary listing status in Hong Kong doesn't necessarily mean they think they're going to get delisted in the U.S... it's just to mitigate that potential risk,\" said Bo Pei, an analyst with U.S. Tiger Securities.Others added to the list on Friday include Mogu Inc , Boqii Holding Limited, Cheetah Mobile Inc and Highway Holdings Limited.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":396,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9901814101,"gmtCreate":1659159219003,"gmtModify":1676536267362,"author":{"id":"3578820424218158","authorId":"3578820424218158","name":"PabloCantu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a67dda94293f5e5e882aff78a04a64cf","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578820424218158","authorIdStr":"3578820424218158"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/JOBY\">$Joby Aviation, Inc.(JOBY)$</a>next tesla?&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/JOBY\">$Joby Aviation, Inc.(JOBY)$</a>next tesla?&nbsp;","text":"$Joby Aviation, Inc.(JOBY)$next tesla?","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c43d32e0b68d119d61b8d5ada9204388","width":"1125","height":"3660"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9901814101","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":498,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":132851844,"gmtCreate":1622081193488,"gmtModify":1704179078854,"author":{"id":"3578820424218158","authorId":"3578820424218158","name":"PabloCantu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a67dda94293f5e5e882aff78a04a64cf","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578820424218158","authorIdStr":"3578820424218158"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>first trade on tiger. Let’s see where this one takes off to [Sly]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>first trade on tiger. Let’s see where this one takes off to [Sly]&nbsp;","text":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$first trade on tiger. Let’s see where this one takes off to [Sly]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18e808f496df7c5003f7a72b7b454881","width":"1125","height":"2183"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/132851844","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":87,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9906012110,"gmtCreate":1659453006433,"gmtModify":1705980512038,"author":{"id":"3578820424218158","authorId":"3578820424218158","name":"PabloCantu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a67dda94293f5e5e882aff78a04a64cf","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578820424218158","authorIdStr":"3578820424218158"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/APP\">$AppLovin Corporation(APP)$</a>Will as tech ever recover?","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/APP\">$AppLovin Corporation(APP)$</a>Will as tech ever recover?","text":"$AppLovin Corporation(APP)$Will as tech ever recover?","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7df1af15d14a8b4bebb498502b673eda","width":"1125","height":"2196"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9906012110","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":303,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9990255679,"gmtCreate":1660359217093,"gmtModify":1676533458686,"author":{"id":"3578820424218158","authorId":"3578820424218158","name":"PabloCantu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a67dda94293f5e5e882aff78a04a64cf","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578820424218158","authorIdStr":"3578820424218158"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/002185\">$Tianshui Huatian Technology Co.,Ltd.(002185)$</a>Nice surprise&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/002185\">$Tianshui Huatian Technology Co.,Ltd.(002185)$</a>Nice surprise&nbsp;","text":"$Tianshui Huatian Technology Co.,Ltd.(002185)$Nice surprise","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fe1fb454669dff11ec7e74b8ded5cca1","width":"1125","height":"2238"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9990255679","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":214,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9901676062,"gmtCreate":1659201469556,"gmtModify":1676536271160,"author":{"id":"3578820424218158","authorId":"3578820424218158","name":"PabloCantu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a67dda94293f5e5e882aff78a04a64cf","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578820424218158","authorIdStr":"3578820424218158"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9901676062","repostId":"1127120005","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127120005","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1659108221,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1127120005?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-29 23:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: I'd Rather Buy The SPY","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127120005","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryApple is a phenomenal company, but their enormous size will be a barrier to market-beating re","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Apple is a phenomenal company, but their enormous size will be a barrier to market-beating returns.</li><li>Apple is innovating, but, in my opinion, new offerings will likely pale in comparison to the iPhone and fail to move the needle to satisfy growth investors.</li><li>In Peter Lynch&#39;s terms, Apple has fully transitioned from Fast Grower to Stalwart.</li><li>Investors can de-risk their portfolios by buying the SPY, which has a good chance of matching or beating Apple&#39;s future returns.</li></ul><p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p>There&#39;s no denying the incredible success of Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) as a company and as an investment. Indeed, Apple even enticed investing legend Warren Buffett, who typically stays away from technology stocks, to take up a billion-dollar position back in 2016. But, as many of us know, the larger a snowball gets the harder it is to roll, to the point where it&#39;s so large it can&#39;t be rolled at all. With a nearly $2.5 trillion market cap, Apple is an enormous snowball. To put it in perspective, Apple is the size of 25 PayPal&#39;s (PYPL). It takes an enormous amount of money to move Apple, whether that be revenue, earnings, or investors.</p><p>Apple has an impressive track record of innovation with products such as the Apple Watch, Air Pods, Apple TV, and Apple Pay. But how many more home runs could be left in this behemoth? Just as important a question, how far outside the park must Apple hit these home runs to have a meaningful impact on revenue and earnings?</p><p>I&#39;m not betting against Apple&#39;s ability to innovate. I&#39;m betting against their ability to replicate past success in a manner that&#39;ll grow EPS well above the S&amp;P 500. In my opinion, Apple is a snowball that&#39;s just too hard to move. Because of this, I think investors are better off buying theSPY.</p><p><b>Where is Future Growth Coming From?</b></p><p>I think most of us will agree Apple has pretty well saturated the smartphone market in the US. As of 2021,datashows Apple had 46.9% of the US smartphone market with share gains growing at a very slow pace. I see no reason to believe iPhone share gains will be any better than the recent past.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f5a8230f021553bdab552ae6cb8ce70\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"344\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>iPhone Market Share (statista.com)</p><p>Apple&#39;s second-largest market is Europe where they hold a 32.3% share. Apple holds a microscopic edge over Samsung as a market leader. Share gains in Europe have also moderated in recent years similar to the US.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0becc8c9b730dc6c023bcefce1e0646\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Apple Market Share - Europe (Statcounter.com)</p><p>Perhaps China can save the day? Apple recently reclaimed the number one spot as a smartphone provider in China. Apple overtook competitor Huawei after Huawei was negatively impacted by US sanctions. So, one could argue Apple&#39;s 23% leading market position is somewhat artificial.</p><p>Either way, with saturated markets in the US and Europe and a fiercely competitive environment in China, I don&#39;t see market-beating returns coming as a result of increasing iPhone sales which are the backbone of the company.</p><p>So, where will Apple turn to produce the +15% per year (or approximately $15 billion in year one) earnings growth investors are accustomed to?</p><p><b>Share Repurchases</b></p><p>Over the past 10 years, Apple has spent an astonishing$467 billion on share repurchases, reducing a total number of shares outstanding by 4.4% annually. Share repurchases have been a foundation of Apple&#39;s annual EPS growth and I fully expect this to continue in the future. While I&#39;m a fan of share repurchases, I don&#39;t prefer when they&#39;re the primary form of EPS growth.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/664dc00f07bea24b2eb1aa207937ae30\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"376\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Shares Outstanding (Quickfs.com)</p><p>To put it in perspective, share repurchases accounted for the following percentage (approximate) of annual EPS growth for Apple:</p><ul><li>2017: 47% of YOY EPS growth</li><li>2018: 21% of YOY EPS growth</li><li>2019: Not measurable because EPS growth was negative</li><li>2020: 62% of YOY EPS growth</li><li>2021: 9% of YOY EPS growth</li></ul><p>Prior to 2021, share repurchases often accounted for a significant portion of EPS growth. I view 2021 as an outlier due to the amount of fiscal stimulus injected into the economy, which drove up revenue for many companies, including Apple.</p><p><b>Products &amp; Services</b></p><p>Apple has numerous products and services of which I am a satisfied customer. These include the iPhone, iPad, Apple Watch, Air Pods, AppStore, Apple Pay, and Apple Music. I greatly enjoy each of these and believe they offer excellent value.</p><p>Apple&#39;s fastest growing categories are Wearables, Home &amp; Accessories and Services. Over the past 5 years, Wearables, Home &amp; Accessories has grown revenue at a 31.5% CAGR while Services clocks in at 20.3%.</p><p>Here&#39;s what&#39;s included in each per Apple&#39;s 2021 10-K filing.</p><blockquote>Wearables, Home and Accessories net sales include sales of AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, HomePod, iPod touch and accessories.</blockquote><blockquote>Services net sales include sales from the Company&#39;s advertising, AppleCare, cloud, digital content, payment and other services. Services net sales also include amortization of the deferred value of services bundled in the sales price of certain products.</blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b67155a2ae8b688f5fddfede0b0344b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"168\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Revenue by Category (Author&#39;s personal data)</p><p>As seen in the table above, iPhone, Mac, and iPad sales have been fairly lumpy whereas Wearables, Home &amp; Accessories and Services has been steadily increasing.</p><p>Using this information, I can make an educated guess on future revenue growth for Apple. In the table below, I de-rated the revenue CAGR for each category to reflect a more modest expectation of growth.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0e23bc5acddfa2604ba624d20446f19\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"166\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Forecast Revenue by Category (Author&#39;s personal data)</p><p><b>Valuation</b></p><p>Using the market multiple approaches, I arrive at a 2026 target price of $197 for Apple, which includes share repurchases but excludes dividends. I assumed revenue growth of 10.3% (table above), net margins of 23.2% (5YR avg), a long-term PE of 20, and reducing shares outstanding by 4.5% annually.</p><ul><li>2026 revenue estimate = $593 billion</li><li>Net income = $593 billion x 23.2% = $137.6 billion</li><li>Shares outstanding reducing from 16.9 billion in 2022 to 14.0 billion in 2026</li><li>2026 EPS estimate = $137.6 billion / 14.0 billion = $9.83</li><li>Fair value = 20 (PE) x $9.83 = $196.60</li></ul><p>With today&#39;s price of $154 per share, a target price of $196.60 would constitute a 5-year CAGR of 5%. Not exactly a market-beating return in my opinion.</p><p>From a DCF perspective, I show an intrinsic value of $156, which doesn&#39;t offer an acceptable margin of safety. I used an 8% discount rate and 2.5% terminal growth rate. I assumed Apple will continue reducing a total number of shares outstanding by 2.5% annually and grow FCF by 7.4% annually (below the 10 YR CAGR of 10.8%).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89bb0473ac235d24fd63d6a47a1f565f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>DCF Valuation (Author&#39;s personal data)</p><p><b>Aren&#39;t There Risks To The SPY?</b></p><p>Of course, stocks and ETFs aren&#39;t called risk-assets for nothing. In the current macro environment of rising interest rates, sky-high inflation, and a looming recession, investing anywhere is risky. To quote Mr. Buffett:</p><blockquote>Unless you can watch your stock holding decline by 50% without becoming panic-stricken, you should not be in the stock market.</blockquote><p>History says 10 or 20 years from now, the market will be higher than what it is today, so it&#39;s important to keep a long-term perspective. In the current environment,dollar-cost averaging may be the best approach. And if you find yourself stressed about unrealized losses in 2022, that&#39;s probably a good sign you&#39;re invested too heavily, either in general or in an individual position. How well you sleep at night is often a good gauge of portfolio health.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>Apple is a phenomenal company with a bright future, but I find it hard to believe it&#39;ll offer market-beating returns in the coming years. At its current share price, Apple appears to be fairly valued and doesn&#39;t offer an acceptable margin of safety. Investors looking to 5x their money in the next 5 to 10 years likely won&#39;t be able to do so owning Apple. It&#39;s simply too large a snowball. Because of this, I think investors are better served buying the SPY where they&#39;ll get indirect exposure to Apple, de-risk their portfolio, and have a decent chance of outperforming Apple in the long term.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: I'd Rather Buy The SPY</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: I'd Rather Buy The SPY\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-29 23:23 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4527039-apple-rather-buy-spy><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryApple is a phenomenal company, but their enormous size will be a barrier to market-beating returns.Apple is innovating, but, in my opinion, new offerings will likely pale in comparison to the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4527039-apple-rather-buy-spy\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4527039-apple-rather-buy-spy","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127120005","content_text":"SummaryApple is a phenomenal company, but their enormous size will be a barrier to market-beating returns.Apple is innovating, but, in my opinion, new offerings will likely pale in comparison to the iPhone and fail to move the needle to satisfy growth investors.In Peter Lynch's terms, Apple has fully transitioned from Fast Grower to Stalwart.Investors can de-risk their portfolios by buying the SPY, which has a good chance of matching or beating Apple's future returns.Investment ThesisThere's no denying the incredible success of Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) as a company and as an investment. Indeed, Apple even enticed investing legend Warren Buffett, who typically stays away from technology stocks, to take up a billion-dollar position back in 2016. But, as many of us know, the larger a snowball gets the harder it is to roll, to the point where it's so large it can't be rolled at all. With a nearly $2.5 trillion market cap, Apple is an enormous snowball. To put it in perspective, Apple is the size of 25 PayPal's (PYPL). It takes an enormous amount of money to move Apple, whether that be revenue, earnings, or investors.Apple has an impressive track record of innovation with products such as the Apple Watch, Air Pods, Apple TV, and Apple Pay. But how many more home runs could be left in this behemoth? Just as important a question, how far outside the park must Apple hit these home runs to have a meaningful impact on revenue and earnings?I'm not betting against Apple's ability to innovate. I'm betting against their ability to replicate past success in a manner that'll grow EPS well above the S&P 500. In my opinion, Apple is a snowball that's just too hard to move. Because of this, I think investors are better off buying theSPY.Where is Future Growth Coming From?I think most of us will agree Apple has pretty well saturated the smartphone market in the US. As of 2021,datashows Apple had 46.9% of the US smartphone market with share gains growing at a very slow pace. I see no reason to believe iPhone share gains will be any better than the recent past.iPhone Market Share (statista.com)Apple's second-largest market is Europe where they hold a 32.3% share. Apple holds a microscopic edge over Samsung as a market leader. Share gains in Europe have also moderated in recent years similar to the US.Apple Market Share - Europe (Statcounter.com)Perhaps China can save the day? Apple recently reclaimed the number one spot as a smartphone provider in China. Apple overtook competitor Huawei after Huawei was negatively impacted by US sanctions. So, one could argue Apple's 23% leading market position is somewhat artificial.Either way, with saturated markets in the US and Europe and a fiercely competitive environment in China, I don't see market-beating returns coming as a result of increasing iPhone sales which are the backbone of the company.So, where will Apple turn to produce the +15% per year (or approximately $15 billion in year one) earnings growth investors are accustomed to?Share RepurchasesOver the past 10 years, Apple has spent an astonishing$467 billion on share repurchases, reducing a total number of shares outstanding by 4.4% annually. Share repurchases have been a foundation of Apple's annual EPS growth and I fully expect this to continue in the future. While I'm a fan of share repurchases, I don't prefer when they're the primary form of EPS growth.Shares Outstanding (Quickfs.com)To put it in perspective, share repurchases accounted for the following percentage (approximate) of annual EPS growth for Apple:2017: 47% of YOY EPS growth2018: 21% of YOY EPS growth2019: Not measurable because EPS growth was negative2020: 62% of YOY EPS growth2021: 9% of YOY EPS growthPrior to 2021, share repurchases often accounted for a significant portion of EPS growth. I view 2021 as an outlier due to the amount of fiscal stimulus injected into the economy, which drove up revenue for many companies, including Apple.Products & ServicesApple has numerous products and services of which I am a satisfied customer. These include the iPhone, iPad, Apple Watch, Air Pods, AppStore, Apple Pay, and Apple Music. I greatly enjoy each of these and believe they offer excellent value.Apple's fastest growing categories are Wearables, Home & Accessories and Services. Over the past 5 years, Wearables, Home & Accessories has grown revenue at a 31.5% CAGR while Services clocks in at 20.3%.Here's what's included in each per Apple's 2021 10-K filing.Wearables, Home and Accessories net sales include sales of AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, HomePod, iPod touch and accessories.Services net sales include sales from the Company's advertising, AppleCare, cloud, digital content, payment and other services. Services net sales also include amortization of the deferred value of services bundled in the sales price of certain products.Revenue by Category (Author's personal data)As seen in the table above, iPhone, Mac, and iPad sales have been fairly lumpy whereas Wearables, Home & Accessories and Services has been steadily increasing.Using this information, I can make an educated guess on future revenue growth for Apple. In the table below, I de-rated the revenue CAGR for each category to reflect a more modest expectation of growth.Forecast Revenue by Category (Author's personal data)ValuationUsing the market multiple approaches, I arrive at a 2026 target price of $197 for Apple, which includes share repurchases but excludes dividends. I assumed revenue growth of 10.3% (table above), net margins of 23.2% (5YR avg), a long-term PE of 20, and reducing shares outstanding by 4.5% annually.2026 revenue estimate = $593 billionNet income = $593 billion x 23.2% = $137.6 billionShares outstanding reducing from 16.9 billion in 2022 to 14.0 billion in 20262026 EPS estimate = $137.6 billion / 14.0 billion = $9.83Fair value = 20 (PE) x $9.83 = $196.60With today's price of $154 per share, a target price of $196.60 would constitute a 5-year CAGR of 5%. Not exactly a market-beating return in my opinion.From a DCF perspective, I show an intrinsic value of $156, which doesn't offer an acceptable margin of safety. I used an 8% discount rate and 2.5% terminal growth rate. I assumed Apple will continue reducing a total number of shares outstanding by 2.5% annually and grow FCF by 7.4% annually (below the 10 YR CAGR of 10.8%).DCF Valuation (Author's personal data)Aren't There Risks To The SPY?Of course, stocks and ETFs aren't called risk-assets for nothing. In the current macro environment of rising interest rates, sky-high inflation, and a looming recession, investing anywhere is risky. To quote Mr. Buffett:Unless you can watch your stock holding decline by 50% without becoming panic-stricken, you should not be in the stock market.History says 10 or 20 years from now, the market will be higher than what it is today, so it's important to keep a long-term perspective. In the current environment,dollar-cost averaging may be the best approach. And if you find yourself stressed about unrealized losses in 2022, that's probably a good sign you're invested too heavily, either in general or in an individual position. How well you sleep at night is often a good gauge of portfolio health.ConclusionApple is a phenomenal company with a bright future, but I find it hard to believe it'll offer market-beating returns in the coming years. At its current share price, Apple appears to be fairly valued and doesn't offer an acceptable margin of safety. Investors looking to 5x their money in the next 5 to 10 years likely won't be able to do so owning Apple. It's simply too large a snowball. Because of this, I think investors are better served buying the SPY where they'll get indirect exposure to Apple, de-risk their portfolio, and have a decent chance of outperforming Apple in the long term.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":461,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9904025028,"gmtCreate":1659963743567,"gmtModify":1703476416361,"author":{"id":"3578820424218158","authorId":"3578820424218158","name":"PabloCantu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a67dda94293f5e5e882aff78a04a64cf","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578820424218158","authorIdStr":"3578820424218158"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/300866\">$Anker Innovations Technology Co.,Ltd.(300866)$</a>I wish I could buy this one with my account&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/300866\">$Anker Innovations Technology Co.,Ltd.(300866)$</a>I wish I could buy this one with my account&nbsp;","text":"$Anker Innovations Technology Co.,Ltd.(300866)$I wish I could buy this one with my account","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/49e909202a9a426dba68edb8e23977ae","width":"1125","height":"2814"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9904025028","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":376,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9904031011,"gmtCreate":1659955530036,"gmtModify":1703476343045,"author":{"id":"3578820424218158","authorId":"3578820424218158","name":"PabloCantu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a67dda94293f5e5e882aff78a04a64cf","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578820424218158","authorIdStr":"3578820424218158"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/603160\">$Shenzhen Goodix Technology Co.,Ltd.(603160)$</a>Not sure if this will ever turn around&nbsp;[Smug]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/603160\">$Shenzhen Goodix Technology Co.,Ltd.(603160)$</a>Not sure if this will ever turn around&nbsp;[Smug]&nbsp;","text":"$Shenzhen Goodix Technology Co.,Ltd.(603160)$Not sure if this will ever turn around [Smug]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3ee96e0c2b109fa110309034dcaa298c","width":"1125","height":"2196"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9904031011","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":292,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9901817206,"gmtCreate":1659159360405,"gmtModify":1676536267385,"author":{"id":"3578820424218158","authorId":"3578820424218158","name":"PabloCantu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a67dda94293f5e5e882aff78a04a64cf","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578820424218158","authorIdStr":"3578820424218158"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/002129\">$Tcl Zhonghuan Renewable Energy Technology Co.,Ltd.(002129)$</a>Developing strong!&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/002129\">$Tcl Zhonghuan Renewable Energy Technology Co.,Ltd.(002129)$</a>Developing strong!&nbsp;","text":"$Tcl Zhonghuan Renewable Energy Technology Co.,Ltd.(002129)$Developing strong!","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6bd0e7a00f3730a36ff88383be6caeed","width":"1125","height":"2196"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9901817206","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":675,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}