bluekiwiseed
bluekiwiseed
Duck of Wall Street High volatility = Shorting half + DCA
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avatarbluekiwiseed
12-17 11:55
$MARA Holdings(MARA)$  Impressive. It turns out the shooting star (green candle with long upperwick) was actually an inducement for a breakout setup.  The shooting star initially signalled bearish weakness, attracting short positions and creating a false reversal expectation. Instead, price retraced slightly and used the liquidity (stop-losses and pending orders) to push higher, leading to bullish continuation. How to know: BTC still in uptrend (HH & HL), next candlestick after shooting star failed to close below the star's low, and low volume on sell side.
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avatarbluekiwiseed
12-18 11:23
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ SMCI seems to be hesitating from staying within the range of bearish trendline. There are hedgers expecting it to go to 20s and at least hitting the strong support liquidity at 28.96. But if SMCI fails to close this week, bearish sentiment will end, and expect huge accumulation and rebound.
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avatarbluekiwiseed
11-19
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$  CEO selling shares right after news reported board member revealed market manupilation? What a spicy stock!  I'm quite sure that Palantir will still keep rising in the next months with its strong fundamentals and high growth potential, but even the best AI stock of the year doesn't evade the greed of itd shareholders.
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avatarbluekiwiseed
12-16 12:33
$MARA Holdings(MARA)$ Can't predict whether MARA will rise or fall, as it hasn't been following BTC's movement. Nonetheless, this is my latest take on BTC's trajectory using a 4-hour chart.  UPDATE:  Potential shooting star emerging and supporting a stophunt. Bearish reversal if close below the shooting star's low ($104704.2).  Less likely: price consolidates above this price point and breaks through $106624.62 with strong volume, signalling bullish continuation. It's still within the 7-day liquidity trendline (since 10 Dec) but may require news catalyst for continuation.
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avatarbluekiwiseed
12-17 08:34
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ Looks like a trendline liquidity with short-term bearish continuation. We can also see that yesterday's price fall signals a fail to close (red candlestick with lower wick touching the point of interest at 31.36), indicating further downward attraction. When the trendline intersects with the two points of interests (the orange lines), look for a liquidity sweep supported by high volume & change of character for a bullish reversal long position.
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avatarbluekiwiseed
09-30
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$  the split will encourage short term bull, but will not resolve overall Doj problem. Buy after split, hold for 2 weeks for price to surge, then sell and never look back. Don't hold till Doj probe result release.
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avatarbluekiwiseed
12-10
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$  AMD potentially experiencing tax loss harvesting EOTY following the bearish news this week.  To anyone currently holding this stock, make sure to hold it through to January. The 'January Effect' will happen and cause a sharp rebound. 
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avatarbluekiwiseed
12-10
$Microsoft(MSFT)$  Msft, you have two choices and two futures. 1. You vote for bitcoin. This causes bitcoin to seriously breakout above 100k, expanding the FOMO season. In the process, you trigger MSFT stock price to skyrocket. 2. You vote against bitcoin. This undermines bitcoin rally preventing it from breaking out above 100k. One month later, bitcoin still breakout and sustains above 100k anyways. You, however, will have undermined investors and shareholders' confidence, leading to a decline in your stock price. This move certainly won't lead to a massive decline, but it won't make your time during Trump Presidency any better. This is a deal you cannot refuse.
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avatarbluekiwiseed
12-04
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$  **SMCI Under Market Manipulation** While looking at the order book, I saw a strange and awkward puzzle of some mega offloader selling 59.33k shares at $40.24. Plausible explanations: ----- ### 1. Profit-Taking at a Target Price   ### 2. Artificially Creating Resistance to Accumulate Shares at Lower Levels   ### 3. Institutional or Algorithmic Selling   ### 4. Provide Liquidity   ### 5. Psychologically Encourage Hesitation   ----- This is what I think: The 59.3k sell order at $40.24 likely serves as a manipulative strategy rather than a genuine intent to sell. Alternative explanations like profit-taking (Point 1), gradual selling to av
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avatarbluekiwiseed
12-11
$MARA Holdings(MARA)$  MSFT shareholders just voted against bitcoin. This caused bitcoib to slip overnight and affected MARA and other mining companies, due to the failure to meet FOMO expectations.  But the FOMO season is still ongoing. With growing institutional investors' confidence in this crypto market, bitcoin is set to seriously break 100k in January when Trump steps in. In 1-3 months, when Trump team announces bitcoin policy, MSFT and other conservative groups will start revising their bets. This broader market sentiment means that MARA's slip below 23 present a great opportunity to accumulate shares.
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avatarbluekiwiseed
12-12
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$  TWO FUTURES Tonight's a turning point. Yesterday, SMCI retraced to just above RSI Swing Indicator with 200 EMA, setting up a potential support line at $36-38 that targets a breakout to $60. But this possibility hangs on the thread of NASDAQ100 annual reconstitution today, with the potential for delisting. Been seeing various interesting comments. Here's my take.  SMCI has two possibilities: 1. NASDAQ100 not delisted. SMCI takes off to $60, beforw retracing to $46 to form a new support line for another rebound. Action: no delisting => sell at $55-60 and accumulate when it retraces to mid-$40s. 2. NASDAQ100 delisted. Sends shockwave down to $20s. Expect  short-term drama, insignificant compare
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avatarbluekiwiseed
12-02
No point writing so much. Here's my proposal. Invest 50k into smci NOW (sell $60-90 by 6 months); 50k into mara/ibit NOW (sell by 2025-2026); 30k into altcoins NOW (sell by 2025-2028; 30k into intc at $23-24 (sell $30 by 2025); 50k into AMD (sell $170-190 within months); 1 x bitcoin at $92-94k (hold until you feel like taking out). Alternatively, lend me 1/3 of it as startup and I ROR 70-120% within 1 year[Miser]  You play with the rest.
'Is the stock market reliable?' I'm 65, retired and I own my own house. I have $300,000 to invest. What should I do with it?
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avatarbluekiwiseed
12-06
$Okta Inc.(OKTA)$  Warren Buffet once said that sometimes market doesn't correct properly. OKTA is one of the rare cases.  Strong fundamentals, beat forecasts, rising rating from wall street. But the surge didn't last more than 1 day. After rising to the expected range of $92-99, it fell to $86, before trying for a second round yesterday and failing to go past $90 and dropping to $83. OKTA doesn't deserve the price it currently sits. Better to stick with the strategy than to let market sentiment run over you. OKTA cannot but rise!
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avatarbluekiwiseed
12-06
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ I don't understand why many are betting on its rise, when it has taken a month since AMD fell to this price range. It is obvious that AMD WILL rise. But how long do we need to wait until it leaves off? What are people's timeframe and trade strategy?  Taking note that it costs $142 a share with an expected return somewhere between $149-165, this is a sacrifice to bear compared to investing on cheaper bitcoin related stocks and crypto, which promises far greater returns and more frequent profit cycles.
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avatarbluekiwiseed
12-04
Another of those news seeking to encourage people to short sell SMCI because you missed the swing highs.  I have already discussed this in my other post, but I cannot mention further that perceptions, not reality, shape the downfall of SMCI. You're basing your argument on the reputation and accusation of some companies, without actually knowing the inner workings of SMCI.  SMCI's downfall represents the classic case of overperforming and provoking certain big shots. But the narrative created by these big shots are losing ground; even JP Morgan has a cautious but rather optimistic outlook on SMCI now. Whether BDO is part of the Big Four or not has no meaning. As JP Morgan states, only two things matter now: whether BDO will recognise the special committee's report (no account
Super Micro Computer: You're Gambling If You Buy This, Not Investing
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avatarbluekiwiseed
12-04
$Intel(INTC)$  Intel is facing major hurdles. Sure, the geopoltlitical and regulatory environment is favourable. But Intel suffers from extremely weak fundamentals, not to mention drastic administrative changes to alter its long-term fundamentals plan to sustain and compete with leading chip companies. Even if it finds new leaders and builds a new team, it'll take a long time for it to pull off. Even then, Intel will never rise to its former glory, nor can it compete with TSM, NVDA, AMD, QCOM, etc. It will remain a tertiary company with a small market cap.  Ironically, all these actually make Intel favourable for swing trades. Because Intel is not expected to reemerge as a large cap company/have strong
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avatarbluekiwiseed
11-08
Expectations within 2 weeks: - CEG will normalise at 260s. OKLO bullish sentiment for 2 months. SMCI will go back to 40. LCRX is set to pop beyond 79 resistance, and AMAT will pop beyond 200. - General bullish sentiment for AI semiconductor manufacturing equipment and nuclear energy plant, much better than semiconductor chip maker.  Not much to say about bitcoin mining companies. They will remain bullish post-trump reelection for 2 weeks before declining by a bit for traders to consolidate further positions, then gradually rise and pop once Trump assumes command of White House and announces the bitcoin package. I.e bullish sentiment heading to 100k until at least Feb 2025.
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avatarbluekiwiseed
12-05
$MARA Holdings(MARA)$ going to pull back to $26.50 (weak support) in few hours. If BTC fails to rebound, pulls back further to $25 (strong support). If BTC fails again and goes deep to $94k (possibly the strongest support), expect MARA $23-24. Combine DCA and accumulation for balanced risk and above-average profit.
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avatarbluekiwiseed
12-12
$MARA Holdings(MARA)$ The reason why MARA keeps falling despite Bitcoin's multiple rebounds in the past week was because Bitcoin's Highs and Lows generally influence MARA's fair value gap (FVG), not the overall bullish or bearish trajectory. Therefore, in the past week, Mara did not rebound to the same price point when bitcoin kept rebounding close to $100k. Bitcoin's rebounds set the FVGs for MARA, but MARA was already on a bearish cycle after hitting the peak at $30-31. Bitcoin's High and Lows influence MARA's overall bullish/bearish trajectory only when Bitcoin hits a new record, at which point this becomes the new peak for MARA and a point of bullish/bearish reversal. I predict the lowest Mara can get i
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avatarbluekiwiseed
11-25
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$   Very few news commentaries are actually helpful and tend to hide their agenda to promote or break the current bullish/bearish momentum.  SMCI deserves its current rise and furthe rise to at least $40. But a rise that doesn't come with a strong support line lacks foundation and isn't sustainable. The last strong support is $25-27 range. What is the new support line now? Certainly not $30-31; not enough time has taken to build this new support line. So the current $35-36 bullish momentum will not go far.  If SMCI does not start falling at the current price range, then further rise to $37-38 will induce SMCI to fallback hard and set up a new support line. I anticipate the fallback to temporarily
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