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Amy99
2023-03-16
Market down is a good opportunity [Miser]
Amy99
2023-01-26
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$
good
Amy99
2023-01-26
$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$
58 soon
Amy99
2023-01-19
$Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$
View on Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)BullishBearish
Amy99
2023-01-15
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$
Good
Amy99
2023-01-15
$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$
View on Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)BullishBearish
Amy99
2022-10-07
$E-mini Dow Jones - main 2212(YMmain)$
Ok
Amy99
2022-10-07
Good
债王格罗斯:美联储难以更大力加息,美债收益率或已见顶在即
Amy99
2022-10-06
$FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST(J69U.SI)$
Good
Amy99
2022-10-06
Good
张尧浠:美联储仍将维持高利率 金价反弹或陷震荡格局
Amy99
2022-10-06
Good
AM Best Comments on Credit Ratings of China Merchants Insurance Company Limited Following Announced Business Transfer Agreement with CMB Wing Lung Insurance Company Limited
Amy99
2022-10-06
$Cassava Sciences Inc(SAVA)$
ok
Amy99
2022-09-18
$PubMatic, Inc.(PUBM)$
Bullish
Amy99
2022-09-18
$Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$
Good
Amy99
2022-09-17
$Illumina(ILMN)$
Good
Amy99
2022-09-17
$Metaverse & AR(BK4554)$
Ok
Amy99
2022-09-12
$Thermo Fisher Scientific(TMO)$
Good
Amy99
2022-09-12
$Illumina(ILMN)$
Ok
Amy99
2022-09-12
$Illumina(ILMN)$
Ok
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07:43","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"债王格罗斯:美联储难以更大力加息,美债收益率或已见顶在即","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2273314573","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"格罗斯认为,令美联储等央行政策工具受限的罪魁祸首是不断上升的杠杆率,美国和其他经济体无法承受更多的加息。","content":"<html><body><p>在美联储能继续激进加息路线吗?</p>\n<p>在“债王”格罗斯看来,美联储当前的政策立场是不可持续的。10月6日周四,格罗斯指出,美联储无法继续依靠不断加息来控制通胀,因为美国经济现在的杠杆率比上世纪80年代要高得多,而且全球经济正在放缓。</p>\n<p><strong>格罗斯称,当前美国经济的高杠杆和全球经济放缓的宏观环境,意味着2年期美国国债收益率太高,利率全线已经达到“临时”峰值。</strong>他表示,虽然通胀是美联储目前明面上唯一的关注焦点,但经济增长和金融稳定可能很快就会获得美联储的同等关注。</p>\n<p>他进一步称,令美联储等央行政策工具受限的罪魁祸首是不断上升的杠杆率,美国和其他经济体无法承受更多的加息。</p>\n<p>10月6日,美国两年期国债收益率高达4.256%;十年期国债收益率达3.828%。而在2020年中,美国两年期国债收益率一度低于0.2%,十年期国债收益率一度不足0.7%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://wpimg-wscn.awtmt.com/4f2440a7-af4d-41a7-b754-4f45a5b2960c.png\"/></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://wpimg-wscn.awtmt.com/b851d8ac-c676-4d1d-86cf-d1607a240bf9.png\"/></p>\n<p>在新冠疫情爆发后,由于美国处于超低利率状态,美国政府、非金融部门和居民大量举债,杠杆率大幅攀升,美国政府杠杆率超过110%,而非金融部门和居民也利用低利率来借贷。</p>\n<p>和格罗斯持类似观点的还有亿万富翁、传奇投资者Stanley Druckenmiller。他在上个月底曾表示:</p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>我们担忧的核心是,2023年美国经济将硬着陆。如果这件事儿没发生,我会感到震惊。我不知道硬着陆发生的具体时间,但是肯定是明年年底之前,而且不是普通的<span>经济危机</span>。我不排除真的很糟糕的事情会发生。</p>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Druckenmiller认为,过去十年非同寻常的量化宽松和超低利率造成了资产泡沫:</p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>所有导致牛市的因素,它们不仅在停止,而且正在逆转。我们陷入了大麻烦。</p>\n</blockquote><div>风险提示及免责条款</div>\n<div>\n 市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议,也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资,责任自负。\n </div>\n</body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>债王格罗斯:美联储难以更大力加息,美债收益率或已见顶在即</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n债王格罗斯:美联储难以更大力加息,美债收益率或已见顶在即\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-07 07:43 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3671836><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>在美联储能继续激进加息路线吗?\n在“债王”格罗斯看来,美联储当前的政策立场是不可持续的。10月6日周四,格罗斯指出,美联储无法继续依靠不断加息来控制通胀,因为美国经济现在的杠杆率比上世纪80年代要高得多,而且全球经济正在放缓。\n格罗斯称,当前美国经济的高杠杆和全球经济放缓的宏观环境,意味着2年期美国国债收益率太高,利率全线已经达到“临时”峰值。他表示,虽然通胀是美联储目前明面上唯一的关注焦点,但...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3671836\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://wpimg-wscn.awtmt.com/b77d8302-2361-413d-805e-f8373b0877ee.jpg?imageView2/1/w/340/h/340","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SH":"标普500反向ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3671836","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2273314573","content_text":"在美联储能继续激进加息路线吗?\n在“债王”格罗斯看来,美联储当前的政策立场是不可持续的。10月6日周四,格罗斯指出,美联储无法继续依靠不断加息来控制通胀,因为美国经济现在的杠杆率比上世纪80年代要高得多,而且全球经济正在放缓。\n格罗斯称,当前美国经济的高杠杆和全球经济放缓的宏观环境,意味着2年期美国国债收益率太高,利率全线已经达到“临时”峰值。他表示,虽然通胀是美联储目前明面上唯一的关注焦点,但经济增长和金融稳定可能很快就会获得美联储的同等关注。\n他进一步称,令美联储等央行政策工具受限的罪魁祸首是不断上升的杠杆率,美国和其他经济体无法承受更多的加息。\n10月6日,美国两年期国债收益率高达4.256%;十年期国债收益率达3.828%。而在2020年中,美国两年期国债收益率一度低于0.2%,十年期国债收益率一度不足0.7%。\n\n\n在新冠疫情爆发后,由于美国处于超低利率状态,美国政府、非金融部门和居民大量举债,杠杆率大幅攀升,美国政府杠杆率超过110%,而非金融部门和居民也利用低利率来借贷。\n和格罗斯持类似观点的还有亿万富翁、传奇投资者Stanley Druckenmiller。他在上个月底曾表示:\n\n我们担忧的核心是,2023年美国经济将硬着陆。如果这件事儿没发生,我会感到震惊。我不知道硬着陆发生的具体时间,但是肯定是明年年底之前,而且不是普通的经济危机。我不排除真的很糟糕的事情会发生。\n\nDruckenmiller认为,过去十年非同寻常的量化宽松和超低利率造成了资产泡沫:\n\n所有导致牛市的因素,它们不仅在停止,而且正在逆转。我们陷入了大麻烦。\n风险提示及免责条款\n\n 市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议,也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资,责任自负。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":473,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915563207,"gmtCreate":1665071279709,"gmtModify":1676537552987,"author":{"id":"3582630518502280","authorId":"3582630518502280","name":"Amy99","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/30a6e8bf6181e6e692bf171d7eae4528","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582630518502280","authorIdStr":"3582630518502280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/J69U.SI\">$FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST(J69U.SI)$</a>Good","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/J69U.SI\">$FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST(J69U.SI)$</a>Good","text":"$FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST(J69U.SI)$Good","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c6421167b30a63be44f82af1c4bcbe60","width":"750","height":"1648"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915563207","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":542,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915563010,"gmtCreate":1665071180631,"gmtModify":1676537552972,"author":{"id":"3582630518502280","authorId":"3582630518502280","name":"Amy99","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/30a6e8bf6181e6e692bf171d7eae4528","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582630518502280","authorIdStr":"3582630518502280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915563010","repostId":"2273807683","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2273807683","pubTimestamp":1665066300,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2273807683?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-06 22:25","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"张尧浠:美联储仍将维持高利率 金价反弹或陷震荡格局","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2273807683","media":"市场资讯","summary":"但短期反弹动力仍然较强,周尾需留意延续性走强行情,等待周五美盘或者是下周初遇阻回落预期。 基本面上,隔夜ADP就业人口在9月新增20.8万人,高于市场预期,显示民间部门对劳工的需求仍强,美联储仍有加息空间。这都使得美联储将继续保持高利率环境不变有了重要依据。这将对金价反弹再度造成限制。 故此短线的上涨依然先视为反弹,在反弹遭遇阻力时,仍注意遇阻或持续震荡的准备,并逢反弹适度调节。","content":"<html><body><div>\n<p>10月6日,上交易日周三(10月05日):国际黄金/伦敦金反弹动力减弱,遇阻回落收跌,并在回升趋势中收取的触底倒垂线,也有一定的短期见顶风险。但短期反弹动力仍然较强,周尾需留意延续性走强行情,等待周五美盘或者是下周初遇阻回落预期。</p>\n<p> 走势上,<span>金价</span><span></span>自亚市开于1725.77美元/盎司,先行走弱运行,虽至亚盘尾部反弹触及日内高点1727.49美元,但再度遇阻隔夜高点附近压力而回落走低,欧盘时段,回落力度加大,并延续至美盘22点录得日内低点1700.62美元,后有所触底回升,最终收于1716.10美元,日振幅26.87美元,收跌9.67美元,跌幅0.56%。</p>\n<p> 影响上,因投资者认为美联储对利率的激进立场可能不会改变;以及小非农美国9月ADP就业人数(万人)和美国8月贸易帐(亿美元)等数据超预期表现,提振美元周三从近期的疲软中强势反弹,美债10年期收益率也大幅反弹收阳,打压金价回落。但由于近期的看涨逢低买盘影响,而最终有所回升。</p>\n<p> 其他贵金属也纷纷下跌:现货<span>白银</span><span></span>收盘下跌1.97%,至20.637美元/盎司;现货铂金收跌1.60%,报916.68美元/盎司;现货钯金收跌2.80%,至2252.50美元/盎司。</p>\n<p> 展望今日周四(10月06日):国际黄金开盘有所走强,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USDindex.FOREX\">美元指数</a>及美债收益率运行在相对均线阻力下方,对金价产生一定支撑,另外,金价技术上也仍维持在看涨信号中,故此在支撑位附近,也会获得大量的买盘入场,不过日图已出现反弹见顶信号,周线也遇阻10周均线压力为持稳突破,故此短线也存在回调风险,具体思路我们在文末技术面再着重分析;</p>\n<p> 基本面上,隔夜ADP就业人口在9月新增20.8万人,高于市场预期,显示民间部门对劳工的需求仍强,美联储仍有加息空间。同时公布的9月ISM非制造业指数虽然下跌至56.7,但仍远高于景气荣枯线50,代表服务业稳定成长、就业增温,经济保持扩张。这都使得美联储将继续保持高利率环境不变有了重要依据。而对金价造成压力。</p>\n<p> 对比前瞻,市场如今焦点转向周五的9 月非农就业报告,大概率也将超预期或者符合预期,将再度证明就业增长强劲,并且失业率也将保持在50年低点附近。这将对金价反弹再度造成限制。</p>\n<p> 故此短线的上涨依然先视为反弹,在反弹遭遇阻力时,仍注意遇阻或持续震荡的准备,并逢反弹适度调节。</p>\n<p> 就后市较大周期看,市场观点认为,美联储主席鲍威尔再次表示打击通胀为核心目标,年底前可能还会加息5码,加息循环时间延长至明年上半年,且可能要到2024年才会降息,升息时间与空间超出预期,在加息超预期情况下,黄金筑底时间恐将因此延长,但因今年第四季油价年增率大幅趋缓、甚至可能在明年转为负成长,有利缓解通胀情况,因此可以预见积极加息政策应已趋近末端,待加息趋缓后将有利于黄金反弹动力提升。</p>\n<p> 技术上:月图级别,金价在9月打破2075-1680美元的箱体趋势后,且持续下行后,一度触及2年半低点,虽最终有所明显回升,但仍处于空头趋势中,本月走势转强,重回箱体震荡之内,不过根据从5月份及7月份触底回升后的当月走势收线来看,虽有延续性回升,但最终则表现冲高遇阻5月均线回落继续收跌;</p>\n<p> 故此,如10月份收线未能突破5月线压力,或者未能收阳,则会延续之前模式,将继续走低,并重现2013年跌破了1525美元的关键性支撑产生的熊市风险,并也将继续担忧再度下行触及100月均线支撑位置(1444/1525美元)的位置,但如反弹站稳5月均线上方,则暗示空头力量减弱,后续加息压力影响有限,金价将产生筑底待涨预期。</p>\n<p> 周线级别:金价上周触底回升收阳,增加了后市的看涨动力,本周走势反弹空间加大,一举突破站稳1680美元上方,并持续远离200周均线,不过目前暂时在触及10周均线阻力位置有所遇阻,但根据各指标显示来看,反弹仍未到位,下方关注200周均线附近支撑仍可看涨为主,继续关注布林带中轨触及和100周均线的触及查看ZZ指标是否触顶,来判断是遇阻看回落,还是跟进继续看涨走强。</p>\n<p> 日线级别:金价昨日反弹动力减弱,但仍收于在5日均线上方,今日走势也再度转强,暗示市场买盘需求强劲,行情仍偏向上行,虽ZZ指标已经显示反弹触顶,但根据走势运行在中轨上方,且短期均线金叉保持,故此如有回落,也仍将可依托10日均线支撑再度看反弹,上方关注布林带上轨和100日均线阻力触及可空。</p>\n<p> 日内初步点位参考:</p>\n<p> 国际黄金:下方关注1715美元支撑,以及1708美元附近支撑;上方关注1728美元附近阻力,以及1736美元阻力;</p>\n<p> 现货白银:下方关注20.50美元支撑,以及20.00美元支撑;上方关注21.10美元阻力,以及21.40美元阻力;</p>\n<div>\n<span>新浪合作大平台期货开户 安全快捷有保障</span>\n<img src=\"\"/>\n</div>\n<font>新浪声明:此消息系转载自新浪合作媒体,新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的,并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作,风险自担。</font>\n<div>\n<div><img src=\"\"/></div>\n<div>海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP</div>\n</div>\n<p>责任编辑:陈平 </p>\n</div></body></html>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n张尧浠:美联储仍将维持高利率 金价反弹或陷震荡格局\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-06 22:25 北京时间 <a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/nmetal/hjfx/2022-10-06/doc-imqmmtha9973154.shtml?finpagefr=p_115><strong>市场资讯</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>10月6日,上交易日周三(10月05日):国际黄金/伦敦金反弹动力减弱,遇阻回落收跌,并在回升趋势中收取的触底倒垂线,也有一定的短期见顶风险。但短期反弹动力仍然较强,周尾需留意延续性走强行情,等待周五美盘或者是下周初遇阻回落预期。\n 走势上,金价自亚市开于1725.77美元/盎司,先行走弱运行,虽至亚盘尾部反弹触及日内高点1727.49美元,但再度遇阻隔夜高点附近压力而回落走低,欧盘时段,回落...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/nmetal/hjfx/2022-10-06/doc-imqmmtha9973154.shtml?finpagefr=p_115\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","DOG":"道指反向ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","SH":"标普500反向ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/nmetal/hjfx/2022-10-06/doc-imqmmtha9973154.shtml?finpagefr=p_115","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2273807683","content_text":"10月6日,上交易日周三(10月05日):国际黄金/伦敦金反弹动力减弱,遇阻回落收跌,并在回升趋势中收取的触底倒垂线,也有一定的短期见顶风险。但短期反弹动力仍然较强,周尾需留意延续性走强行情,等待周五美盘或者是下周初遇阻回落预期。\n 走势上,金价自亚市开于1725.77美元/盎司,先行走弱运行,虽至亚盘尾部反弹触及日内高点1727.49美元,但再度遇阻隔夜高点附近压力而回落走低,欧盘时段,回落力度加大,并延续至美盘22点录得日内低点1700.62美元,后有所触底回升,最终收于1716.10美元,日振幅26.87美元,收跌9.67美元,跌幅0.56%。\n 影响上,因投资者认为美联储对利率的激进立场可能不会改变;以及小非农美国9月ADP就业人数(万人)和美国8月贸易帐(亿美元)等数据超预期表现,提振美元周三从近期的疲软中强势反弹,美债10年期收益率也大幅反弹收阳,打压金价回落。但由于近期的看涨逢低买盘影响,而最终有所回升。\n 其他贵金属也纷纷下跌:现货白银收盘下跌1.97%,至20.637美元/盎司;现货铂金收跌1.60%,报916.68美元/盎司;现货钯金收跌2.80%,至2252.50美元/盎司。\n 展望今日周四(10月06日):国际黄金开盘有所走强,美元指数及美债收益率运行在相对均线阻力下方,对金价产生一定支撑,另外,金价技术上也仍维持在看涨信号中,故此在支撑位附近,也会获得大量的买盘入场,不过日图已出现反弹见顶信号,周线也遇阻10周均线压力为持稳突破,故此短线也存在回调风险,具体思路我们在文末技术面再着重分析;\n 基本面上,隔夜ADP就业人口在9月新增20.8万人,高于市场预期,显示民间部门对劳工的需求仍强,美联储仍有加息空间。同时公布的9月ISM非制造业指数虽然下跌至56.7,但仍远高于景气荣枯线50,代表服务业稳定成长、就业增温,经济保持扩张。这都使得美联储将继续保持高利率环境不变有了重要依据。而对金价造成压力。\n 对比前瞻,市场如今焦点转向周五的9 月非农就业报告,大概率也将超预期或者符合预期,将再度证明就业增长强劲,并且失业率也将保持在50年低点附近。这将对金价反弹再度造成限制。\n 故此短线的上涨依然先视为反弹,在反弹遭遇阻力时,仍注意遇阻或持续震荡的准备,并逢反弹适度调节。\n 就后市较大周期看,市场观点认为,美联储主席鲍威尔再次表示打击通胀为核心目标,年底前可能还会加息5码,加息循环时间延长至明年上半年,且可能要到2024年才会降息,升息时间与空间超出预期,在加息超预期情况下,黄金筑底时间恐将因此延长,但因今年第四季油价年增率大幅趋缓、甚至可能在明年转为负成长,有利缓解通胀情况,因此可以预见积极加息政策应已趋近末端,待加息趋缓后将有利于黄金反弹动力提升。\n 技术上:月图级别,金价在9月打破2075-1680美元的箱体趋势后,且持续下行后,一度触及2年半低点,虽最终有所明显回升,但仍处于空头趋势中,本月走势转强,重回箱体震荡之内,不过根据从5月份及7月份触底回升后的当月走势收线来看,虽有延续性回升,但最终则表现冲高遇阻5月均线回落继续收跌;\n 故此,如10月份收线未能突破5月线压力,或者未能收阳,则会延续之前模式,将继续走低,并重现2013年跌破了1525美元的关键性支撑产生的熊市风险,并也将继续担忧再度下行触及100月均线支撑位置(1444/1525美元)的位置,但如反弹站稳5月均线上方,则暗示空头力量减弱,后续加息压力影响有限,金价将产生筑底待涨预期。\n 周线级别:金价上周触底回升收阳,增加了后市的看涨动力,本周走势反弹空间加大,一举突破站稳1680美元上方,并持续远离200周均线,不过目前暂时在触及10周均线阻力位置有所遇阻,但根据各指标显示来看,反弹仍未到位,下方关注200周均线附近支撑仍可看涨为主,继续关注布林带中轨触及和100周均线的触及查看ZZ指标是否触顶,来判断是遇阻看回落,还是跟进继续看涨走强。\n 日线级别:金价昨日反弹动力减弱,但仍收于在5日均线上方,今日走势也再度转强,暗示市场买盘需求强劲,行情仍偏向上行,虽ZZ指标已经显示反弹触顶,但根据走势运行在中轨上方,且短期均线金叉保持,故此如有回落,也仍将可依托10日均线支撑再度看反弹,上方关注布林带上轨和100日均线阻力触及可空。\n 日内初步点位参考:\n 国际黄金:下方关注1715美元支撑,以及1708美元附近支撑;上方关注1728美元附近阻力,以及1736美元阻力;\n 现货白银:下方关注20.50美元支撑,以及20.00美元支撑;上方关注21.10美元阻力,以及21.40美元阻力;\n\n新浪合作大平台期货开户 安全快捷有保障\n\n\n新浪声明:此消息系转载自新浪合作媒体,新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的,并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作,风险自担。\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP\n\n责任编辑:陈平","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":542,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915569417,"gmtCreate":1665071169440,"gmtModify":1676537552972,"author":{"id":"3582630518502280","authorId":"3582630518502280","name":"Amy99","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/30a6e8bf6181e6e692bf171d7eae4528","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582630518502280","authorIdStr":"3582630518502280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915569417","repostId":"2273076868","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2273076868","pubTimestamp":1665066180,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2273076868?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-06 22:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AM Best Comments on Credit Ratings of China Merchants Insurance Company Limited Following Announced Business Transfer Agreement with CMB Wing Lung Insurance Company Limited","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2273076868","media":"StreetInsider","summary":"HONG KONG--(BUSINESS WIRE)--\nAM Best has commented that the Financial Strength Rating of A- (Excelle","content":"<html><body><div>\n<p> HONG KONG--(BUSINESS WIRE)--\n<b>AM Best </b>has commented that the Financial Strength Rating of A- (Excellent) and the Long-Term Issuer Credit Ratings of “a-” of China Merchants Insurance Company Limited (CMI) (Hong Kong) remain unchanged following the disclosure by China Merchants Bank Company Limited (CMB) of the business transfer agreement between CMI and CMB Wing Lung Insurance Company Limited (CMBWLI) on 28 September 2022.\n</p><p>\nPer the disclosure, CMI entered into a business transfer agreement with CMBWLI, under which CMI will transfer its general insurance business (including assets and liabilities related to the business) to CMBWLI, which will in turn issue 9,856,066 of its shares to CMI. As a result, CMI will directly own 25.37% of the enlarged share capital of CMBWLI, and CMB will indirectly hold 74.63% of the shares in CMBWLI. The business acquisition and new issue of shares are subject to approval by the Insurance Authority (IA) of Hong Kong, and will take place within 60 days after its approval. Subsequently, CMI will distribute all of its shares in CMBWLI to China Merchants Insurance Holdings (CMIH).\n</p><div><div><div></div></div></div><p>\nIn addition, CMIH entered into a share subscription agreement with CMBWLI on 28 September 2022 to subscribe for 25,590,806 new shares of CMBWLI for HKD 1,171 million in cash. Upon the completion of the above transactions, CMIH will become the majority shareholder of CMBWLI by directly holding 55% of its further enlarged share capital, while CMB will indirectly own the remaining 45% of the shares. The ultimate parent of CMBWLI will change to China Merchants Group Limited (CMG) from CMB. The capital injection will take place within 60 days upon the IA’s regulatory approval for the aforementioned change in shareholders.\n</p><p>\nAM Best currently assesses CMI’s balance sheet strength as very strong, combined with adequate operating performance, limited business profile and appropriate enterprise risk management. The ratings also reflect the parental support from CMG, including capital support, brand recognition, investment management and risk oversight. AM Best views CMI’s credit fundamentals remain unchanged as the company continues to operate on a going concern basis.\n</p><p>\nPer the disclosure, upon completion of the aforementioned business acquisition and distribution to CMIH, CMI will apply to the IA for withdrawal of authorization to carry on general insurance business. Upon approval from the regulator, AM Best will administratively remove the Best’s Credit Ratings on CMI.\n</p><p>\n<b>Ratings are communicated to rated entities prior to publication. Unless stated otherwise, the ratings were not amended subsequent to that communication.</b>\n</p><p>\n<b>This press release relates to Credit Ratings that have been published on AM Best’s website. For all rating information relating to the release and pertinent disclosures, including details of the office responsible for issuing each of the individual ratings referenced in this release, please see AM Best’s Recent Rating Activity web page. For additional information regarding the use and limitations of Credit Rating opinions, please view Guide to Best’s Credit Ratings. For information on the proper use of Best’s Credit Ratings, Best’s Performance Assessments, Best’s Preliminary Credit Assessments and AM Best press releases, please view Guide to Proper Use of Best’s Ratings & Assessments.</b>\n</p><p>\n<b>AM Best is a global credit rating agency, news publisher and data analytics provider specialising in the insurance industry. Headquartered in the United States, the company does business in over 100 </b><b>countries with regional offices in London, Amsterdam, Dubai, Hong Kong, Singapore and Mexico City. For more information, visit www.ambest.com.</b>\n</p><div><div><div></div></div></div><p>\n<b>Copyright © 2022 by A.M. Best Rating Services, Inc. and/or its affiliates. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.</b>\n</p><p><img src=\"https://cts.businesswire.com/ct/CT?id=bwnews&sty=20221006005714r1&sid=acqr8&distro=nx&lang=en\"/><span></span></p><p><span>View source version on businesswire.com: </span><span>https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20221006005714/en/</span></p>\n<p>\n<b>Ken Lau\n</b><b>Senior Financial Analyst\n</b><b>+852 2827 3426\n</b><span>[email protected]</span>\n</p><p>\n<b>Christopher Sharkey\n</b><b>Manager, Public Relations\n</b><b>+1 908 439 2200, ext. 5159\n</b><span>[email protected]</span>\n</p><p>\n<b>James Chan\n</b><b>Associate Director\n</b><b>+852 2827 3418\n</b><span>[email protected]</span>\n</p><p>\n<b>Al Slavin\n</b><b>Communications Specialist\n</b><b>+1 908 439 2200, ext. 5098\n</b><span>[email protected]</span>\n</p>\n<p>Source: AM Best</p> </div></body></html>","source":"highlight_streetinsider","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AM Best Comments on Credit Ratings of China Merchants Insurance Company Limited Following Announced Business Transfer Agreement with CMB Wing Lung Insurance Company Limited</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAM Best Comments on Credit Ratings of China Merchants Insurance Company Limited Following Announced Business Transfer Agreement with CMB Wing Lung Insurance Company Limited\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-06 22:23 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=20674429><strong>StreetInsider</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>HONG KONG--(BUSINESS WIRE)--\nAM Best has commented that the Financial Strength Rating of A- (Excellent) and the Long-Term Issuer Credit Ratings of “a-” of China Merchants Insurance Company Limited (...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=20674429\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4124":"机动车零配件与设备","BK4144":"石油与天然气的储存和运输","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","CAAS":"中汽系统","BK4139":"生物科技","AM":"Antero Midstream Corporation","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4526":"热门中概股","BGNE":"百济神州"},"source_url":"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=20674429","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2273076868","content_text":"HONG KONG--(BUSINESS WIRE)--\nAM Best has commented that the Financial Strength Rating of A- (Excellent) and the Long-Term Issuer Credit Ratings of “a-” of China Merchants Insurance Company Limited (CMI) (Hong Kong) remain unchanged following the disclosure by China Merchants Bank Company Limited (CMB) of the business transfer agreement between CMI and CMB Wing Lung Insurance Company Limited (CMBWLI) on 28 September 2022.\n\nPer the disclosure, CMI entered into a business transfer agreement with CMBWLI, under which CMI will transfer its general insurance business (including assets and liabilities related to the business) to CMBWLI, which will in turn issue 9,856,066 of its shares to CMI. As a result, CMI will directly own 25.37% of the enlarged share capital of CMBWLI, and CMB will indirectly hold 74.63% of the shares in CMBWLI. The business acquisition and new issue of shares are subject to approval by the Insurance Authority (IA) of Hong Kong, and will take place within 60 days after its approval. Subsequently, CMI will distribute all of its shares in CMBWLI to China Merchants Insurance Holdings (CMIH).\n\nIn addition, CMIH entered into a share subscription agreement with CMBWLI on 28 September 2022 to subscribe for 25,590,806 new shares of CMBWLI for HKD 1,171 million in cash. Upon the completion of the above transactions, CMIH will become the majority shareholder of CMBWLI by directly holding 55% of its further enlarged share capital, while CMB will indirectly own the remaining 45% of the shares. The ultimate parent of CMBWLI will change to China Merchants Group Limited (CMG) from CMB. The capital injection will take place within 60 days upon the IA’s regulatory approval for the aforementioned change in shareholders.\n\nAM Best currently assesses CMI’s balance sheet strength as very strong, combined with adequate operating performance, limited business profile and appropriate enterprise risk management. The ratings also reflect the parental support from CMG, including capital support, brand recognition, investment management and risk oversight. AM Best views CMI’s credit fundamentals remain unchanged as the company continues to operate on a going concern basis.\n\nPer the disclosure, upon completion of the aforementioned business acquisition and distribution to CMIH, CMI will apply to the IA for withdrawal of authorization to carry on general insurance business. Upon approval from the regulator, AM Best will administratively remove the Best’s Credit Ratings on CMI.\n\nRatings are communicated to rated entities prior to publication. Unless stated otherwise, the ratings were not amended subsequent to that communication.\n\nThis press release relates to Credit Ratings that have been published on AM Best’s website. For all rating information relating to the release and pertinent disclosures, including details of the office responsible for issuing each of the individual ratings referenced in this release, please see AM Best’s Recent Rating Activity web page. For additional information regarding the use and limitations of Credit Rating opinions, please view Guide to Best’s Credit Ratings. For information on the proper use of Best’s Credit Ratings, Best’s Performance Assessments, Best’s Preliminary Credit Assessments and AM Best press releases, please view Guide to Proper Use of Best’s Ratings & Assessments.\n\nAM Best is a global credit rating agency, news publisher and data analytics provider specialising in the insurance industry. Headquartered in the United States, the company does business in over 100 countries with regional offices in London, Amsterdam, Dubai, Hong Kong, Singapore and Mexico City. For more information, visit www.ambest.com.\n\nCopyright © 2022 by A.M. Best Rating Services, Inc. and/or its affiliates. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.\nView source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20221006005714/en/\n\nKen Lau\nSenior Financial Analyst\n+852 2827 3426\n[email protected]\n\nChristopher Sharkey\nManager, Public Relations\n+1 908 439 2200, ext. 5159\n[email protected]\n\nJames Chan\nAssociate Director\n+852 2827 3418\n[email protected]\n\nAl Slavin\nCommunications Specialist\n+1 908 439 2200, ext. 5098\n[email protected]\n\nSource: AM Best","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":259,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915569137,"gmtCreate":1665071131729,"gmtModify":1676537552957,"author":{"id":"3582630518502280","authorId":"3582630518502280","name":"Amy99","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/30a6e8bf6181e6e692bf171d7eae4528","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582630518502280","authorIdStr":"3582630518502280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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07:43","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"债王格罗斯:美联储难以更大力加息,美债收益率或已见顶在即","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2273314573","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"格罗斯认为,令美联储等央行政策工具受限的罪魁祸首是不断上升的杠杆率,美国和其他经济体无法承受更多的加息。","content":"<html><body><p>在美联储能继续激进加息路线吗?</p>\n<p>在“债王”格罗斯看来,美联储当前的政策立场是不可持续的。10月6日周四,格罗斯指出,美联储无法继续依靠不断加息来控制通胀,因为美国经济现在的杠杆率比上世纪80年代要高得多,而且全球经济正在放缓。</p>\n<p><strong>格罗斯称,当前美国经济的高杠杆和全球经济放缓的宏观环境,意味着2年期美国国债收益率太高,利率全线已经达到“临时”峰值。</strong>他表示,虽然通胀是美联储目前明面上唯一的关注焦点,但经济增长和金融稳定可能很快就会获得美联储的同等关注。</p>\n<p>他进一步称,令美联储等央行政策工具受限的罪魁祸首是不断上升的杠杆率,美国和其他经济体无法承受更多的加息。</p>\n<p>10月6日,美国两年期国债收益率高达4.256%;十年期国债收益率达3.828%。而在2020年中,美国两年期国债收益率一度低于0.2%,十年期国债收益率一度不足0.7%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://wpimg-wscn.awtmt.com/4f2440a7-af4d-41a7-b754-4f45a5b2960c.png\"/></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://wpimg-wscn.awtmt.com/b851d8ac-c676-4d1d-86cf-d1607a240bf9.png\"/></p>\n<p>在新冠疫情爆发后,由于美国处于超低利率状态,美国政府、非金融部门和居民大量举债,杠杆率大幅攀升,美国政府杠杆率超过110%,而非金融部门和居民也利用低利率来借贷。</p>\n<p>和格罗斯持类似观点的还有亿万富翁、传奇投资者Stanley Druckenmiller。他在上个月底曾表示:</p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>我们担忧的核心是,2023年美国经济将硬着陆。如果这件事儿没发生,我会感到震惊。我不知道硬着陆发生的具体时间,但是肯定是明年年底之前,而且不是普通的<span>经济危机</span>。我不排除真的很糟糕的事情会发生。</p>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Druckenmiller认为,过去十年非同寻常的量化宽松和超低利率造成了资产泡沫:</p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>所有导致牛市的因素,它们不仅在停止,而且正在逆转。我们陷入了大麻烦。</p>\n</blockquote><div>风险提示及免责条款</div>\n<div>\n 市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议,也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资,责任自负。\n </div>\n</body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>债王格罗斯:美联储难以更大力加息,美债收益率或已见顶在即</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n债王格罗斯:美联储难以更大力加息,美债收益率或已见顶在即\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-07 07:43 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3671836><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>在美联储能继续激进加息路线吗?\n在“债王”格罗斯看来,美联储当前的政策立场是不可持续的。10月6日周四,格罗斯指出,美联储无法继续依靠不断加息来控制通胀,因为美国经济现在的杠杆率比上世纪80年代要高得多,而且全球经济正在放缓。\n格罗斯称,当前美国经济的高杠杆和全球经济放缓的宏观环境,意味着2年期美国国债收益率太高,利率全线已经达到“临时”峰值。他表示,虽然通胀是美联储目前明面上唯一的关注焦点,但...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3671836\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://wpimg-wscn.awtmt.com/b77d8302-2361-413d-805e-f8373b0877ee.jpg?imageView2/1/w/340/h/340","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SH":"标普500反向ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3671836","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2273314573","content_text":"在美联储能继续激进加息路线吗?\n在“债王”格罗斯看来,美联储当前的政策立场是不可持续的。10月6日周四,格罗斯指出,美联储无法继续依靠不断加息来控制通胀,因为美国经济现在的杠杆率比上世纪80年代要高得多,而且全球经济正在放缓。\n格罗斯称,当前美国经济的高杠杆和全球经济放缓的宏观环境,意味着2年期美国国债收益率太高,利率全线已经达到“临时”峰值。他表示,虽然通胀是美联储目前明面上唯一的关注焦点,但经济增长和金融稳定可能很快就会获得美联储的同等关注。\n他进一步称,令美联储等央行政策工具受限的罪魁祸首是不断上升的杠杆率,美国和其他经济体无法承受更多的加息。\n10月6日,美国两年期国债收益率高达4.256%;十年期国债收益率达3.828%。而在2020年中,美国两年期国债收益率一度低于0.2%,十年期国债收益率一度不足0.7%。\n\n\n在新冠疫情爆发后,由于美国处于超低利率状态,美国政府、非金融部门和居民大量举债,杠杆率大幅攀升,美国政府杠杆率超过110%,而非金融部门和居民也利用低利率来借贷。\n和格罗斯持类似观点的还有亿万富翁、传奇投资者Stanley Druckenmiller。他在上个月底曾表示:\n\n我们担忧的核心是,2023年美国经济将硬着陆。如果这件事儿没发生,我会感到震惊。我不知道硬着陆发生的具体时间,但是肯定是明年年底之前,而且不是普通的经济危机。我不排除真的很糟糕的事情会发生。\n\nDruckenmiller认为,过去十年非同寻常的量化宽松和超低利率造成了资产泡沫:\n\n所有导致牛市的因素,它们不仅在停止,而且正在逆转。我们陷入了大麻烦。\n风险提示及免责条款\n\n 市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议,也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资,责任自负。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":473,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915563010,"gmtCreate":1665071180631,"gmtModify":1676537552972,"author":{"id":"3582630518502280","authorId":"3582630518502280","name":"Amy99","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/30a6e8bf6181e6e692bf171d7eae4528","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582630518502280","authorIdStr":"3582630518502280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915563010","repostId":"2273807683","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2273807683","pubTimestamp":1665066300,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2273807683?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-06 22:25","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"张尧浠:美联储仍将维持高利率 金价反弹或陷震荡格局","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2273807683","media":"市场资讯","summary":"但短期反弹动力仍然较强,周尾需留意延续性走强行情,等待周五美盘或者是下周初遇阻回落预期。 基本面上,隔夜ADP就业人口在9月新增20.8万人,高于市场预期,显示民间部门对劳工的需求仍强,美联储仍有加息空间。这都使得美联储将继续保持高利率环境不变有了重要依据。这将对金价反弹再度造成限制。 故此短线的上涨依然先视为反弹,在反弹遭遇阻力时,仍注意遇阻或持续震荡的准备,并逢反弹适度调节。","content":"<html><body><div>\n<p>10月6日,上交易日周三(10月05日):国际黄金/伦敦金反弹动力减弱,遇阻回落收跌,并在回升趋势中收取的触底倒垂线,也有一定的短期见顶风险。但短期反弹动力仍然较强,周尾需留意延续性走强行情,等待周五美盘或者是下周初遇阻回落预期。</p>\n<p> 走势上,<span>金价</span><span></span>自亚市开于1725.77美元/盎司,先行走弱运行,虽至亚盘尾部反弹触及日内高点1727.49美元,但再度遇阻隔夜高点附近压力而回落走低,欧盘时段,回落力度加大,并延续至美盘22点录得日内低点1700.62美元,后有所触底回升,最终收于1716.10美元,日振幅26.87美元,收跌9.67美元,跌幅0.56%。</p>\n<p> 影响上,因投资者认为美联储对利率的激进立场可能不会改变;以及小非农美国9月ADP就业人数(万人)和美国8月贸易帐(亿美元)等数据超预期表现,提振美元周三从近期的疲软中强势反弹,美债10年期收益率也大幅反弹收阳,打压金价回落。但由于近期的看涨逢低买盘影响,而最终有所回升。</p>\n<p> 其他贵金属也纷纷下跌:现货<span>白银</span><span></span>收盘下跌1.97%,至20.637美元/盎司;现货铂金收跌1.60%,报916.68美元/盎司;现货钯金收跌2.80%,至2252.50美元/盎司。</p>\n<p> 展望今日周四(10月06日):国际黄金开盘有所走强,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USDindex.FOREX\">美元指数</a>及美债收益率运行在相对均线阻力下方,对金价产生一定支撑,另外,金价技术上也仍维持在看涨信号中,故此在支撑位附近,也会获得大量的买盘入场,不过日图已出现反弹见顶信号,周线也遇阻10周均线压力为持稳突破,故此短线也存在回调风险,具体思路我们在文末技术面再着重分析;</p>\n<p> 基本面上,隔夜ADP就业人口在9月新增20.8万人,高于市场预期,显示民间部门对劳工的需求仍强,美联储仍有加息空间。同时公布的9月ISM非制造业指数虽然下跌至56.7,但仍远高于景气荣枯线50,代表服务业稳定成长、就业增温,经济保持扩张。这都使得美联储将继续保持高利率环境不变有了重要依据。而对金价造成压力。</p>\n<p> 对比前瞻,市场如今焦点转向周五的9 月非农就业报告,大概率也将超预期或者符合预期,将再度证明就业增长强劲,并且失业率也将保持在50年低点附近。这将对金价反弹再度造成限制。</p>\n<p> 故此短线的上涨依然先视为反弹,在反弹遭遇阻力时,仍注意遇阻或持续震荡的准备,并逢反弹适度调节。</p>\n<p> 就后市较大周期看,市场观点认为,美联储主席鲍威尔再次表示打击通胀为核心目标,年底前可能还会加息5码,加息循环时间延长至明年上半年,且可能要到2024年才会降息,升息时间与空间超出预期,在加息超预期情况下,黄金筑底时间恐将因此延长,但因今年第四季油价年增率大幅趋缓、甚至可能在明年转为负成长,有利缓解通胀情况,因此可以预见积极加息政策应已趋近末端,待加息趋缓后将有利于黄金反弹动力提升。</p>\n<p> 技术上:月图级别,金价在9月打破2075-1680美元的箱体趋势后,且持续下行后,一度触及2年半低点,虽最终有所明显回升,但仍处于空头趋势中,本月走势转强,重回箱体震荡之内,不过根据从5月份及7月份触底回升后的当月走势收线来看,虽有延续性回升,但最终则表现冲高遇阻5月均线回落继续收跌;</p>\n<p> 故此,如10月份收线未能突破5月线压力,或者未能收阳,则会延续之前模式,将继续走低,并重现2013年跌破了1525美元的关键性支撑产生的熊市风险,并也将继续担忧再度下行触及100月均线支撑位置(1444/1525美元)的位置,但如反弹站稳5月均线上方,则暗示空头力量减弱,后续加息压力影响有限,金价将产生筑底待涨预期。</p>\n<p> 周线级别:金价上周触底回升收阳,增加了后市的看涨动力,本周走势反弹空间加大,一举突破站稳1680美元上方,并持续远离200周均线,不过目前暂时在触及10周均线阻力位置有所遇阻,但根据各指标显示来看,反弹仍未到位,下方关注200周均线附近支撑仍可看涨为主,继续关注布林带中轨触及和100周均线的触及查看ZZ指标是否触顶,来判断是遇阻看回落,还是跟进继续看涨走强。</p>\n<p> 日线级别:金价昨日反弹动力减弱,但仍收于在5日均线上方,今日走势也再度转强,暗示市场买盘需求强劲,行情仍偏向上行,虽ZZ指标已经显示反弹触顶,但根据走势运行在中轨上方,且短期均线金叉保持,故此如有回落,也仍将可依托10日均线支撑再度看反弹,上方关注布林带上轨和100日均线阻力触及可空。</p>\n<p> 日内初步点位参考:</p>\n<p> 国际黄金:下方关注1715美元支撑,以及1708美元附近支撑;上方关注1728美元附近阻力,以及1736美元阻力;</p>\n<p> 现货白银:下方关注20.50美元支撑,以及20.00美元支撑;上方关注21.10美元阻力,以及21.40美元阻力;</p>\n<div>\n<span>新浪合作大平台期货开户 安全快捷有保障</span>\n<img src=\"\"/>\n</div>\n<font>新浪声明:此消息系转载自新浪合作媒体,新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的,并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作,风险自担。</font>\n<div>\n<div><img src=\"\"/></div>\n<div>海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP</div>\n</div>\n<p>责任编辑:陈平 </p>\n</div></body></html>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>张尧浠:美联储仍将维持高利率 金价反弹或陷震荡格局</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n张尧浠:美联储仍将维持高利率 金价反弹或陷震荡格局\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-06 22:25 北京时间 <a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/nmetal/hjfx/2022-10-06/doc-imqmmtha9973154.shtml?finpagefr=p_115><strong>市场资讯</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>10月6日,上交易日周三(10月05日):国际黄金/伦敦金反弹动力减弱,遇阻回落收跌,并在回升趋势中收取的触底倒垂线,也有一定的短期见顶风险。但短期反弹动力仍然较强,周尾需留意延续性走强行情,等待周五美盘或者是下周初遇阻回落预期。\n 走势上,金价自亚市开于1725.77美元/盎司,先行走弱运行,虽至亚盘尾部反弹触及日内高点1727.49美元,但再度遇阻隔夜高点附近压力而回落走低,欧盘时段,回落...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/nmetal/hjfx/2022-10-06/doc-imqmmtha9973154.shtml?finpagefr=p_115\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","DOG":"道指反向ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","SH":"标普500反向ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/nmetal/hjfx/2022-10-06/doc-imqmmtha9973154.shtml?finpagefr=p_115","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2273807683","content_text":"10月6日,上交易日周三(10月05日):国际黄金/伦敦金反弹动力减弱,遇阻回落收跌,并在回升趋势中收取的触底倒垂线,也有一定的短期见顶风险。但短期反弹动力仍然较强,周尾需留意延续性走强行情,等待周五美盘或者是下周初遇阻回落预期。\n 走势上,金价自亚市开于1725.77美元/盎司,先行走弱运行,虽至亚盘尾部反弹触及日内高点1727.49美元,但再度遇阻隔夜高点附近压力而回落走低,欧盘时段,回落力度加大,并延续至美盘22点录得日内低点1700.62美元,后有所触底回升,最终收于1716.10美元,日振幅26.87美元,收跌9.67美元,跌幅0.56%。\n 影响上,因投资者认为美联储对利率的激进立场可能不会改变;以及小非农美国9月ADP就业人数(万人)和美国8月贸易帐(亿美元)等数据超预期表现,提振美元周三从近期的疲软中强势反弹,美债10年期收益率也大幅反弹收阳,打压金价回落。但由于近期的看涨逢低买盘影响,而最终有所回升。\n 其他贵金属也纷纷下跌:现货白银收盘下跌1.97%,至20.637美元/盎司;现货铂金收跌1.60%,报916.68美元/盎司;现货钯金收跌2.80%,至2252.50美元/盎司。\n 展望今日周四(10月06日):国际黄金开盘有所走强,美元指数及美债收益率运行在相对均线阻力下方,对金价产生一定支撑,另外,金价技术上也仍维持在看涨信号中,故此在支撑位附近,也会获得大量的买盘入场,不过日图已出现反弹见顶信号,周线也遇阻10周均线压力为持稳突破,故此短线也存在回调风险,具体思路我们在文末技术面再着重分析;\n 基本面上,隔夜ADP就业人口在9月新增20.8万人,高于市场预期,显示民间部门对劳工的需求仍强,美联储仍有加息空间。同时公布的9月ISM非制造业指数虽然下跌至56.7,但仍远高于景气荣枯线50,代表服务业稳定成长、就业增温,经济保持扩张。这都使得美联储将继续保持高利率环境不变有了重要依据。而对金价造成压力。\n 对比前瞻,市场如今焦点转向周五的9 月非农就业报告,大概率也将超预期或者符合预期,将再度证明就业增长强劲,并且失业率也将保持在50年低点附近。这将对金价反弹再度造成限制。\n 故此短线的上涨依然先视为反弹,在反弹遭遇阻力时,仍注意遇阻或持续震荡的准备,并逢反弹适度调节。\n 就后市较大周期看,市场观点认为,美联储主席鲍威尔再次表示打击通胀为核心目标,年底前可能还会加息5码,加息循环时间延长至明年上半年,且可能要到2024年才会降息,升息时间与空间超出预期,在加息超预期情况下,黄金筑底时间恐将因此延长,但因今年第四季油价年增率大幅趋缓、甚至可能在明年转为负成长,有利缓解通胀情况,因此可以预见积极加息政策应已趋近末端,待加息趋缓后将有利于黄金反弹动力提升。\n 技术上:月图级别,金价在9月打破2075-1680美元的箱体趋势后,且持续下行后,一度触及2年半低点,虽最终有所明显回升,但仍处于空头趋势中,本月走势转强,重回箱体震荡之内,不过根据从5月份及7月份触底回升后的当月走势收线来看,虽有延续性回升,但最终则表现冲高遇阻5月均线回落继续收跌;\n 故此,如10月份收线未能突破5月线压力,或者未能收阳,则会延续之前模式,将继续走低,并重现2013年跌破了1525美元的关键性支撑产生的熊市风险,并也将继续担忧再度下行触及100月均线支撑位置(1444/1525美元)的位置,但如反弹站稳5月均线上方,则暗示空头力量减弱,后续加息压力影响有限,金价将产生筑底待涨预期。\n 周线级别:金价上周触底回升收阳,增加了后市的看涨动力,本周走势反弹空间加大,一举突破站稳1680美元上方,并持续远离200周均线,不过目前暂时在触及10周均线阻力位置有所遇阻,但根据各指标显示来看,反弹仍未到位,下方关注200周均线附近支撑仍可看涨为主,继续关注布林带中轨触及和100周均线的触及查看ZZ指标是否触顶,来判断是遇阻看回落,还是跟进继续看涨走强。\n 日线级别:金价昨日反弹动力减弱,但仍收于在5日均线上方,今日走势也再度转强,暗示市场买盘需求强劲,行情仍偏向上行,虽ZZ指标已经显示反弹触顶,但根据走势运行在中轨上方,且短期均线金叉保持,故此如有回落,也仍将可依托10日均线支撑再度看反弹,上方关注布林带上轨和100日均线阻力触及可空。\n 日内初步点位参考:\n 国际黄金:下方关注1715美元支撑,以及1708美元附近支撑;上方关注1728美元附近阻力,以及1736美元阻力;\n 现货白银:下方关注20.50美元支撑,以及20.00美元支撑;上方关注21.10美元阻力,以及21.40美元阻力;\n\n新浪合作大平台期货开户 安全快捷有保障\n\n\n新浪声明:此消息系转载自新浪合作媒体,新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的,并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作,风险自担。\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP\n\n责任编辑:陈平","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":542,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915569417,"gmtCreate":1665071169440,"gmtModify":1676537552972,"author":{"id":"3582630518502280","authorId":"3582630518502280","name":"Amy99","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/30a6e8bf6181e6e692bf171d7eae4528","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582630518502280","authorIdStr":"3582630518502280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915569417","repostId":"2273076868","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2273076868","pubTimestamp":1665066180,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2273076868?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-06 22:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AM Best Comments on Credit Ratings of China Merchants Insurance Company Limited Following Announced Business Transfer Agreement with CMB Wing Lung Insurance Company Limited","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2273076868","media":"StreetInsider","summary":"HONG KONG--(BUSINESS WIRE)--\nAM Best has commented that the Financial Strength Rating of A- (Excelle","content":"<html><body><div>\n<p> HONG KONG--(BUSINESS WIRE)--\n<b>AM Best </b>has commented that the Financial Strength Rating of A- (Excellent) and the Long-Term Issuer Credit Ratings of “a-” of China Merchants Insurance Company Limited (CMI) (Hong Kong) remain unchanged following the disclosure by China Merchants Bank Company Limited (CMB) of the business transfer agreement between CMI and CMB Wing Lung Insurance Company Limited (CMBWLI) on 28 September 2022.\n</p><p>\nPer the disclosure, CMI entered into a business transfer agreement with CMBWLI, under which CMI will transfer its general insurance business (including assets and liabilities related to the business) to CMBWLI, which will in turn issue 9,856,066 of its shares to CMI. As a result, CMI will directly own 25.37% of the enlarged share capital of CMBWLI, and CMB will indirectly hold 74.63% of the shares in CMBWLI. The business acquisition and new issue of shares are subject to approval by the Insurance Authority (IA) of Hong Kong, and will take place within 60 days after its approval. Subsequently, CMI will distribute all of its shares in CMBWLI to China Merchants Insurance Holdings (CMIH).\n</p><div><div><div></div></div></div><p>\nIn addition, CMIH entered into a share subscription agreement with CMBWLI on 28 September 2022 to subscribe for 25,590,806 new shares of CMBWLI for HKD 1,171 million in cash. Upon the completion of the above transactions, CMIH will become the majority shareholder of CMBWLI by directly holding 55% of its further enlarged share capital, while CMB will indirectly own the remaining 45% of the shares. The ultimate parent of CMBWLI will change to China Merchants Group Limited (CMG) from CMB. The capital injection will take place within 60 days upon the IA’s regulatory approval for the aforementioned change in shareholders.\n</p><p>\nAM Best currently assesses CMI’s balance sheet strength as very strong, combined with adequate operating performance, limited business profile and appropriate enterprise risk management. The ratings also reflect the parental support from CMG, including capital support, brand recognition, investment management and risk oversight. AM Best views CMI’s credit fundamentals remain unchanged as the company continues to operate on a going concern basis.\n</p><p>\nPer the disclosure, upon completion of the aforementioned business acquisition and distribution to CMIH, CMI will apply to the IA for withdrawal of authorization to carry on general insurance business. Upon approval from the regulator, AM Best will administratively remove the Best’s Credit Ratings on CMI.\n</p><p>\n<b>Ratings are communicated to rated entities prior to publication. Unless stated otherwise, the ratings were not amended subsequent to that communication.</b>\n</p><p>\n<b>This press release relates to Credit Ratings that have been published on AM Best’s website. For all rating information relating to the release and pertinent disclosures, including details of the office responsible for issuing each of the individual ratings referenced in this release, please see AM Best’s Recent Rating Activity web page. For additional information regarding the use and limitations of Credit Rating opinions, please view Guide to Best’s Credit Ratings. For information on the proper use of Best’s Credit Ratings, Best’s Performance Assessments, Best’s Preliminary Credit Assessments and AM Best press releases, please view Guide to Proper Use of Best’s Ratings & Assessments.</b>\n</p><p>\n<b>AM Best is a global credit rating agency, news publisher and data analytics provider specialising in the insurance industry. Headquartered in the United States, the company does business in over 100 </b><b>countries with regional offices in London, Amsterdam, Dubai, Hong Kong, Singapore and Mexico City. For more information, visit www.ambest.com.</b>\n</p><div><div><div></div></div></div><p>\n<b>Copyright © 2022 by A.M. Best Rating Services, Inc. and/or its affiliates. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.</b>\n</p><p><img src=\"https://cts.businesswire.com/ct/CT?id=bwnews&sty=20221006005714r1&sid=acqr8&distro=nx&lang=en\"/><span></span></p><p><span>View source version on businesswire.com: </span><span>https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20221006005714/en/</span></p>\n<p>\n<b>Ken Lau\n</b><b>Senior Financial Analyst\n</b><b>+852 2827 3426\n</b><span>[email protected]</span>\n</p><p>\n<b>Christopher Sharkey\n</b><b>Manager, Public Relations\n</b><b>+1 908 439 2200, ext. 5159\n</b><span>[email protected]</span>\n</p><p>\n<b>James Chan\n</b><b>Associate Director\n</b><b>+852 2827 3418\n</b><span>[email protected]</span>\n</p><p>\n<b>Al Slavin\n</b><b>Communications Specialist\n</b><b>+1 908 439 2200, ext. 5098\n</b><span>[email protected]</span>\n</p>\n<p>Source: AM Best</p> </div></body></html>","source":"highlight_streetinsider","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AM Best Comments on Credit Ratings of China Merchants Insurance Company Limited Following Announced Business Transfer Agreement with CMB Wing Lung Insurance Company Limited</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAM Best Comments on Credit Ratings of China Merchants Insurance Company Limited Following Announced Business Transfer Agreement with CMB Wing Lung Insurance Company Limited\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-06 22:23 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=20674429><strong>StreetInsider</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>HONG KONG--(BUSINESS WIRE)--\nAM Best has commented that the Financial Strength Rating of A- (Excellent) and the Long-Term Issuer Credit Ratings of “a-” of China Merchants Insurance Company Limited (...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=20674429\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4124":"机动车零配件与设备","BK4144":"石油与天然气的储存和运输","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","CAAS":"中汽系统","BK4139":"生物科技","AM":"Antero Midstream Corporation","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4526":"热门中概股","BGNE":"百济神州"},"source_url":"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=20674429","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2273076868","content_text":"HONG KONG--(BUSINESS WIRE)--\nAM Best has commented that the Financial Strength Rating of A- (Excellent) and the Long-Term Issuer Credit Ratings of “a-” of China Merchants Insurance Company Limited (CMI) (Hong Kong) remain unchanged following the disclosure by China Merchants Bank Company Limited (CMB) of the business transfer agreement between CMI and CMB Wing Lung Insurance Company Limited (CMBWLI) on 28 September 2022.\n\nPer the disclosure, CMI entered into a business transfer agreement with CMBWLI, under which CMI will transfer its general insurance business (including assets and liabilities related to the business) to CMBWLI, which will in turn issue 9,856,066 of its shares to CMI. As a result, CMI will directly own 25.37% of the enlarged share capital of CMBWLI, and CMB will indirectly hold 74.63% of the shares in CMBWLI. The business acquisition and new issue of shares are subject to approval by the Insurance Authority (IA) of Hong Kong, and will take place within 60 days after its approval. Subsequently, CMI will distribute all of its shares in CMBWLI to China Merchants Insurance Holdings (CMIH).\n\nIn addition, CMIH entered into a share subscription agreement with CMBWLI on 28 September 2022 to subscribe for 25,590,806 new shares of CMBWLI for HKD 1,171 million in cash. Upon the completion of the above transactions, CMIH will become the majority shareholder of CMBWLI by directly holding 55% of its further enlarged share capital, while CMB will indirectly own the remaining 45% of the shares. The ultimate parent of CMBWLI will change to China Merchants Group Limited (CMG) from CMB. The capital injection will take place within 60 days upon the IA’s regulatory approval for the aforementioned change in shareholders.\n\nAM Best currently assesses CMI’s balance sheet strength as very strong, combined with adequate operating performance, limited business profile and appropriate enterprise risk management. The ratings also reflect the parental support from CMG, including capital support, brand recognition, investment management and risk oversight. AM Best views CMI’s credit fundamentals remain unchanged as the company continues to operate on a going concern basis.\n\nPer the disclosure, upon completion of the aforementioned business acquisition and distribution to CMIH, CMI will apply to the IA for withdrawal of authorization to carry on general insurance business. Upon approval from the regulator, AM Best will administratively remove the Best’s Credit Ratings on CMI.\n\nRatings are communicated to rated entities prior to publication. Unless stated otherwise, the ratings were not amended subsequent to that communication.\n\nThis press release relates to Credit Ratings that have been published on AM Best’s website. For all rating information relating to the release and pertinent disclosures, including details of the office responsible for issuing each of the individual ratings referenced in this release, please see AM Best’s Recent Rating Activity web page. For additional information regarding the use and limitations of Credit Rating opinions, please view Guide to Best’s Credit Ratings. For information on the proper use of Best’s Credit Ratings, Best’s Performance Assessments, Best’s Preliminary Credit Assessments and AM Best press releases, please view Guide to Proper Use of Best’s Ratings & Assessments.\n\nAM Best is a global credit rating agency, news publisher and data analytics provider specialising in the insurance industry. Headquartered in the United States, the company does business in over 100 countries with regional offices in London, Amsterdam, Dubai, Hong Kong, Singapore and Mexico City. For more information, visit www.ambest.com.\n\nCopyright © 2022 by A.M. Best Rating Services, Inc. and/or its affiliates. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.\nView source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20221006005714/en/\n\nKen Lau\nSenior Financial Analyst\n+852 2827 3426\n[email protected]\n\nChristopher Sharkey\nManager, Public Relations\n+1 908 439 2200, ext. 5159\n[email protected]\n\nJames Chan\nAssociate Director\n+852 2827 3418\n[email protected]\n\nAl Slavin\nCommunications Specialist\n+1 908 439 2200, ext. 5098\n[email protected]\n\nSource: AM Best","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":259,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915569137,"gmtCreate":1665071131729,"gmtModify":1676537552957,"author":{"id":"3582630518502280","authorId":"3582630518502280","name":"Amy99","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/30a6e8bf6181e6e692bf171d7eae4528","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582630518502280","authorIdStr":"3582630518502280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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