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文仔虎
2021-07-08
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美联储6月纪要:除了讨论缩减QE还要关注什么?
文仔虎
2021-06-24
Well said
These 3 Warren Buffett Stocks Will Help You Beat the Next Stock Market Crash
文仔虎
2021-06-24
Read
S&P 500 rises for a third day as comeback rally continues
文仔虎
2021-06-23
$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$
no worry at all
文仔虎
2021-06-23
read
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文仔虎
2021-06-23
$NIO Inc.(NIO)$
up more plz
文仔虎
2021-06-23
Well said
Here's What Happened to NVIDIA During the Last Crypto Crash
文仔虎
2021-06-22
Read
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文仔虎
2021-06-21
Well said...
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文仔虎
2021-06-21
Ok
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文仔虎
2021-06-21
Let see
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文仔虎
2021-06-21
6666
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文仔虎
2021-06-21
Read
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文仔虎
2021-06-21
Tiger is here
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文仔虎
2021-06-21
Tiger is here
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文仔虎
2021-06-21
Tiger is here
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文仔虎
2021-06-21
Tiger is here
以史为鉴,美国通胀飙升后的演绎与影响
文仔虎
2021-06-21
tiger is here
以史为鉴,美国通胀飙升后的演绎与影响
Go to Tiger App to see more news
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22:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美联储6月纪要:除了讨论缩减QE还要关注什么?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132708633","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"围绕经济前景的不确定性正在升高。","content":"<p>作者:周欣瑜</p>\n<p>周四凌晨,美联储公布6月政策会议纪要。纪要中FOMC讨论了建立国内常设回购协议工具(SRF)和常设外国国际货币当局(FIMA)回购工具;经济展望中肯定了当前正在快速的扩张,也提到围绕经济前景的不确定性正在升高;以及市场关注的,对缩减资产购买计划进行了讨论。</p>\n<p><b>看点一、SRF是个什么工具?</b></p>\n<p>其中,常设 FIMA 回购工具类似于现有的临时 FIMA 回购工具。即外国央行可以美国国债向美联储换取流动性。这从去年3月底美元紧张之时已开始使用,主要用于缺乏美元流动性的新兴市场国家。</p>\n<p>而SRF被称为常备回购便利,即金融机构以固定利率通过与美联储的回购交易获得临时流动性,回购交易涉及其持有的符合公开市场操作条件的证券。</p>\n<p>该工具实际上在2019年7月作为降息的技术要件曾已经被讨论过。类似于超额准备金利率(IOER)一样,它是联邦基金利率目标的上限。而且从机制上来说,它上限的意义要比IOER更强硬。(因为如果大行流动性也紧张,超额准备金利率代表的上限就会失效。)</p>\n<p>那么我们不仅要思考一下,<b><u>如果说美联储在讨论ON RRP(下限)的时候考虑的是负利率的压力,那么开始讨论SRF(上限)的时候考虑的是什么呢?</u></b>可能有以下两方面:</p>\n<p>1、作为量化宽松退出过程中的管理工具,当联邦基金利率和其他货币市场利率出现异常上升时提供流动性。早些时候SRF被认为是重新包装的“量化宽松”,因为其也是为市场提供流动性。但是主导方和方式有很大不同,SRF 的发起方并非央行,而是金融机构,而且发起方式更为灵活。</p>\n<p>2、或激励银行将流动性资产组合的构成从准备金转向高质量证券。SRF是通过质押债券(主要是国债)换取流动性,SRF最低投标利率若偏低将有力于鼓励增持相关标的证券。</p>\n<p><b>看点二、围绕经济前景的不确定性正在升高</b></p>\n<p>纪要表示,6月FOMC会议的美国经济预测强于4 月的预测。预计今年实际 GDP 增长将大幅增加,失业率相应迅速下降。对近期通胀前景进行了显着上修,但依然预计今年通胀的上升将是暂时的。但对一些方面也变得比较谨慎:</p>\n<p><b>1、“围绕经济前景的不确定性正在升高。”</b>这主要是源于疫情的风险。</p>\n<p><b>2、“经济仍远未实现基础广泛且具有包容性的最大就业目标。”</b></p>\n<p><b>3、</b>一些与会者认为,<b>“供应链中断和劳动力短缺使评估委员会目标进展的任务变得复杂,而且这些因素消散的速度不确定。”</b></p>\n<p><b>4、“通胀预测风险倾向于上行。”</b></p>\n<p>整体基调来看,委员们认为当前劳动力市场的复苏情况并没有达到目标。提前退休、对病毒的担忧、育儿责任和失业保险福利扩大等因素依然是阻碍当前就业市场的重要因素。也有几位与会者强调,低利率正在助长房价上涨,房地产市场的估值压力可能构成金融稳定风险。</p>\n<p><b>看点三、对缩减资产购买计划进行了讨论</b></p>\n<p>纪要显示,与会者讨论了资产购买和实现进展。并没有明确退出时点,但比上期的初步讨论更多的讨论了退出内容。包括:</p>\n<p>1、委员普遍认为<b>“进一步取得实质性进展”的标准尚未达到</b>。但多位与会者提到鉴于即将到来的数据,预计开始<b>放缓资产购买步伐的条件将比他们在之前的会议上预期的要早一些。</b></p>\n<p>2、重要的是要做好准备以在适当的情况下降低资产购买的步伐,以应对意外的经济发展,包括实现委员会目标的速度快于预期或出现可能阻碍委员会目标实现的风险。</p>\n<p>3、不同的参与者就委员会的机构 MBS 购买提出了他们的看法。</p>\n<p>4、在接下来的会议上,与会者同意继续评估经济在实现目标方面的进展,并开始讨论调整资产购买路径和构成的计划。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美联储6月纪要:除了讨论缩减QE还要关注什么?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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class=\"title\">\n美联储6月纪要:除了讨论缩减QE还要关注什么?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n2021-07-08 22:30 北京时间 <strong>华尔街见闻</strong>\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>作者:周欣瑜\n周四凌晨,美联储公布6月政策会议纪要。纪要中FOMC讨论了建立国内常设回购协议工具(SRF)和常设外国国际货币当局(FIMA)回购工具;经济展望中肯定了当前正在快速的扩张,也提到围绕经济前景的不确定性正在升高;以及市场关注的,对缩减资产购买计划进行了讨论。\n看点一、SRF是个什么工具?\n其中,常设 FIMA 回购工具类似于现有的临时 FIMA 回购工具。即外国央行可以美国国债向美联储...</p>\n\n<a href=\"None\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a1de7aced7748879f251930783a3cb1","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132708633","content_text":"作者:周欣瑜\n周四凌晨,美联储公布6月政策会议纪要。纪要中FOMC讨论了建立国内常设回购协议工具(SRF)和常设外国国际货币当局(FIMA)回购工具;经济展望中肯定了当前正在快速的扩张,也提到围绕经济前景的不确定性正在升高;以及市场关注的,对缩减资产购买计划进行了讨论。\n看点一、SRF是个什么工具?\n其中,常设 FIMA 回购工具类似于现有的临时 FIMA 回购工具。即外国央行可以美国国债向美联储换取流动性。这从去年3月底美元紧张之时已开始使用,主要用于缺乏美元流动性的新兴市场国家。\n而SRF被称为常备回购便利,即金融机构以固定利率通过与美联储的回购交易获得临时流动性,回购交易涉及其持有的符合公开市场操作条件的证券。\n该工具实际上在2019年7月作为降息的技术要件曾已经被讨论过。类似于超额准备金利率(IOER)一样,它是联邦基金利率目标的上限。而且从机制上来说,它上限的意义要比IOER更强硬。(因为如果大行流动性也紧张,超额准备金利率代表的上限就会失效。)\n那么我们不仅要思考一下,如果说美联储在讨论ON RRP(下限)的时候考虑的是负利率的压力,那么开始讨论SRF(上限)的时候考虑的是什么呢?可能有以下两方面:\n1、作为量化宽松退出过程中的管理工具,当联邦基金利率和其他货币市场利率出现异常上升时提供流动性。早些时候SRF被认为是重新包装的“量化宽松”,因为其也是为市场提供流动性。但是主导方和方式有很大不同,SRF 的发起方并非央行,而是金融机构,而且发起方式更为灵活。\n2、或激励银行将流动性资产组合的构成从准备金转向高质量证券。SRF是通过质押债券(主要是国债)换取流动性,SRF最低投标利率若偏低将有力于鼓励增持相关标的证券。\n看点二、围绕经济前景的不确定性正在升高\n纪要表示,6月FOMC会议的美国经济预测强于4 月的预测。预计今年实际 GDP 增长将大幅增加,失业率相应迅速下降。对近期通胀前景进行了显着上修,但依然预计今年通胀的上升将是暂时的。但对一些方面也变得比较谨慎:\n1、“围绕经济前景的不确定性正在升高。”这主要是源于疫情的风险。\n2、“经济仍远未实现基础广泛且具有包容性的最大就业目标。”\n3、一些与会者认为,“供应链中断和劳动力短缺使评估委员会目标进展的任务变得复杂,而且这些因素消散的速度不确定。”\n4、“通胀预测风险倾向于上行。”\n整体基调来看,委员们认为当前劳动力市场的复苏情况并没有达到目标。提前退休、对病毒的担忧、育儿责任和失业保险福利扩大等因素依然是阻碍当前就业市场的重要因素。也有几位与会者强调,低利率正在助长房价上涨,房地产市场的估值压力可能构成金融稳定风险。\n看点三、对缩减资产购买计划进行了讨论\n纪要显示,与会者讨论了资产购买和实现进展。并没有明确退出时点,但比上期的初步讨论更多的讨论了退出内容。包括:\n1、委员普遍认为“进一步取得实质性进展”的标准尚未达到。但多位与会者提到鉴于即将到来的数据,预计开始放缓资产购买步伐的条件将比他们在之前的会议上预期的要早一些。\n2、重要的是要做好准备以在适当的情况下降低资产购买的步伐,以应对意外的经济发展,包括实现委员会目标的速度快于预期或出现可能阻碍委员会目标实现的风险。\n3、不同的参与者就委员会的机构 MBS 购买提出了他们的看法。\n4、在接下来的会议上,与会者同意继续评估经济在实现目标方面的进展,并开始讨论调整资产购买路径和构成的计划。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":234,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121292171,"gmtCreate":1624464418893,"gmtModify":1703837663692,"author":{"id":"3586953489966141","authorId":"3586953489966141","name":"文仔虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57dbc08160e63e8a7726db412206662c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Well said","listText":"Well said","text":"Well said","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/121292171","repostId":"2145950390","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2145950390","pubTimestamp":1624454400,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2145950390?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-23 21:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These 3 Warren Buffett Stocks Will Help You Beat the Next Stock Market Crash","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2145950390","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"It's important to own shares of high-quality businesses.","content":"<p>It's hard to overemphasize the positive impact that legendary investor Warren Buffett has had on the investing world. After more than half a century at <b>Berkshire Hathaway </b>(NYSE:BRK.A) (NYSE:BRK.B), Buffett continues to contribute to the collective knowledge base through his witty, down-to-earth comments on the state of the stock market and his preferred investing strategy.</p>\n<p>Buffett would be the first to tell you that a stock market crash is inevitable, and when a long bull-market run ends, investors finally get a chance to see which stocks have strong businesses underpinning their long-term success. Below, you'll find three Warren Buffett holdings that should help investors weather the coming stock market storm. They won't necessarily avoid losses entirely in a crash, but they have the long-term staying power to recover for their shareholders.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83be5a41077ce17c2e4391b5b8225228\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Image source: The Motley Fool.</p>\n<p>Verizon Communications</p>\n<p><b>Verizon Communications </b>(NYSE:VZ), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of Buffett's more recent stock picks, first became part of the Berkshire Hathaway portfolio in the fourth quarter of 2020. However, the Oracle of Omaha hasn't pulled any punches in making the wireless telecom giant a major part of his holdings, as the stake in Verizon amounts to $9.2 billion and ranks sixth among Berkshire's list of stocks.</p>\n<p>Verizon checks many of the boxes that Buffett looks for in a great investment. As the leading provider of wireless telecom services, Verizon has played a key role in furthering technological advances and the mobile revolution. Although investing in upgraded 5G network technology will be costly, Verizon has demonstrated its ability to maintain some pricing power despite strong competition from other providers.</p>\n<p>The steady stream of monthly subscription charges gives Verizon impressive levels of cash flow that the company has returned to shareholders through dividends. Verizon's stock yields 4.5% currently, yet with an earnings multiple in the low teens, the telecom giant is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the few areas in which traditional value metrics suggest a bargain opportunity. With a combination of growth prospects and stable and consistent dividend income, Verizon is a standard pick for Buffett's methodology.</p>\n<h3>General Motors</h3>\n<p><b>General Motors </b>(NYSE:GM) has been in the Berkshire portfolio a lot longer, with purchases dating back to early 2012. At that time, GM was just emerging from its financial crisis-induced bankruptcy filing, having wiped out previous stock investors. Many investors were uncertain whether the Big 3 automaker would ever return to its former glory.</p>\n<p>Fast forward nearly a decade, and General Motors looks a lot different. The automaker has embraced the electric vehicle (EV) movement, recently boosting its commitment toward EV investment from $20 billion to $35 billion over the next four years. The company's Cruise subsidiary has made dramatic advances in autonomous driving, becoming the first company to offer ride-hailing services without a safety driver to California riders. Meanwhile, GM itself expects to introduce at least 30 new EV models by 2025, including electric versions of some iconic brand models. A big part of its success hinges on its Ultium in-house battery platform, but GM isn't being stingy about putting financial resources behind its efforts.</p>\n<p>General Motors doesn't pay a dividend, but an earnings multiple below 10 shows that most investors are discounting the automaker's growth potential. Buffett has often made a killing by betting against the crowd in situations like this, and he clearly sees greater prospects for GM than do most investors. Despite trimming its GM position recently, Berkshire still counts the automaker among its top 10 holdings.</p>\n<h3>Kroger</h3>\n<p>Finally, Berkshire recently boosted its position in grocery giant <b>Kroger </b>(NYSE:KR). Buffett now owns about $1.8 billion worth of Kroger stock, giving it a nearly 7% stake in the company.</p>\n<p>Kroger has a reliable business in consumer staples that has prospered over the past year and a half. Huge demand for necessities helped bolster Kroger's stock early on in the COVID-19 pandemic, and the grocery chain has managed to build on that upward momentum to keep moving forward in 2021. Even as the company faces difficult comparisons over the rest of the year, Kroger is managing to surpass expectations in holding onto more of its gains.</p>\n<p>With an earnings multiple above 20 and a dividend yield of less than 2%, Kroger might not seem like the most attractive of Warren Buffett stocks. However, its ability to hold up well even under difficult business conditions makes it a valuable holding, and dividend growth over the long run has helped reward longtime shareholders.</p>\n<h3>Be ready for the crash</h3>\n<p>The stock market has done extremely well lately, but smart investors are always ready for what could come next. With their attractive traits, Kroger, General Motors, and Verizon all have a lot going for them, and they're in a better position than many other stocks to weather the next stock market crash and keep growing over the long run.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These 3 Warren Buffett Stocks Will Help You Beat the Next Stock Market Crash</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese 3 Warren Buffett Stocks Will Help You Beat the Next Stock Market Crash\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-23 21:20 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/23/these-3-warren-buffett-stocks-will-help-you-beat-t/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It's hard to overemphasize the positive impact that legendary investor Warren Buffett has had on the investing world. After more than half a century at Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.A) (NYSE:BRK.B), ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/23/these-3-warren-buffett-stocks-will-help-you-beat-t/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GM":"通用汽车","KR":"克罗格","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","VZ":"威瑞森","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/23/these-3-warren-buffett-stocks-will-help-you-beat-t/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2145950390","content_text":"It's hard to overemphasize the positive impact that legendary investor Warren Buffett has had on the investing world. After more than half a century at Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.A) (NYSE:BRK.B), Buffett continues to contribute to the collective knowledge base through his witty, down-to-earth comments on the state of the stock market and his preferred investing strategy.\nBuffett would be the first to tell you that a stock market crash is inevitable, and when a long bull-market run ends, investors finally get a chance to see which stocks have strong businesses underpinning their long-term success. Below, you'll find three Warren Buffett holdings that should help investors weather the coming stock market storm. They won't necessarily avoid losses entirely in a crash, but they have the long-term staying power to recover for their shareholders.\n\nImage source: The Motley Fool.\nVerizon Communications\nVerizon Communications (NYSE:VZ), one of Buffett's more recent stock picks, first became part of the Berkshire Hathaway portfolio in the fourth quarter of 2020. However, the Oracle of Omaha hasn't pulled any punches in making the wireless telecom giant a major part of his holdings, as the stake in Verizon amounts to $9.2 billion and ranks sixth among Berkshire's list of stocks.\nVerizon checks many of the boxes that Buffett looks for in a great investment. As the leading provider of wireless telecom services, Verizon has played a key role in furthering technological advances and the mobile revolution. Although investing in upgraded 5G network technology will be costly, Verizon has demonstrated its ability to maintain some pricing power despite strong competition from other providers.\nThe steady stream of monthly subscription charges gives Verizon impressive levels of cash flow that the company has returned to shareholders through dividends. Verizon's stock yields 4.5% currently, yet with an earnings multiple in the low teens, the telecom giant is one of the few areas in which traditional value metrics suggest a bargain opportunity. With a combination of growth prospects and stable and consistent dividend income, Verizon is a standard pick for Buffett's methodology.\nGeneral Motors\nGeneral Motors (NYSE:GM) has been in the Berkshire portfolio a lot longer, with purchases dating back to early 2012. At that time, GM was just emerging from its financial crisis-induced bankruptcy filing, having wiped out previous stock investors. Many investors were uncertain whether the Big 3 automaker would ever return to its former glory.\nFast forward nearly a decade, and General Motors looks a lot different. The automaker has embraced the electric vehicle (EV) movement, recently boosting its commitment toward EV investment from $20 billion to $35 billion over the next four years. The company's Cruise subsidiary has made dramatic advances in autonomous driving, becoming the first company to offer ride-hailing services without a safety driver to California riders. Meanwhile, GM itself expects to introduce at least 30 new EV models by 2025, including electric versions of some iconic brand models. A big part of its success hinges on its Ultium in-house battery platform, but GM isn't being stingy about putting financial resources behind its efforts.\nGeneral Motors doesn't pay a dividend, but an earnings multiple below 10 shows that most investors are discounting the automaker's growth potential. Buffett has often made a killing by betting against the crowd in situations like this, and he clearly sees greater prospects for GM than do most investors. Despite trimming its GM position recently, Berkshire still counts the automaker among its top 10 holdings.\nKroger\nFinally, Berkshire recently boosted its position in grocery giant Kroger (NYSE:KR). Buffett now owns about $1.8 billion worth of Kroger stock, giving it a nearly 7% stake in the company.\nKroger has a reliable business in consumer staples that has prospered over the past year and a half. Huge demand for necessities helped bolster Kroger's stock early on in the COVID-19 pandemic, and the grocery chain has managed to build on that upward momentum to keep moving forward in 2021. Even as the company faces difficult comparisons over the rest of the year, Kroger is managing to surpass expectations in holding onto more of its gains.\nWith an earnings multiple above 20 and a dividend yield of less than 2%, Kroger might not seem like the most attractive of Warren Buffett stocks. However, its ability to hold up well even under difficult business conditions makes it a valuable holding, and dividend growth over the long run has helped reward longtime shareholders.\nBe ready for the crash\nThe stock market has done extremely well lately, but smart investors are always ready for what could come next. With their attractive traits, Kroger, General Motors, and Verizon all have a lot going for them, and they're in a better position than many other stocks to weather the next stock market crash and keep growing over the long run.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":110,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121298256,"gmtCreate":1624464379175,"gmtModify":1703837660944,"author":{"id":"3586953489966141","authorId":"3586953489966141","name":"文仔虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57dbc08160e63e8a7726db412206662c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Read","listText":"Read","text":"Read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/121298256","repostId":"1141331644","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141331644","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624455055,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1141331644?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-23 21:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 rises for a third day as comeback rally continues","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141331644","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(June 23) U.S. stocks rose on Wednesday, a day after the Nasdaq Composite index hit an all-time high","content":"<p>(June 23) U.S. stocks rose on Wednesday, a day after the Nasdaq Composite index hit an all-time high and the S&P 500 closed just shy of one.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 40 points. The S&P 500 gained 0.2%, sitting 0.1% from a record. The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.2% after closing at a record in the previous session. That was the Nasdaq’s first new high since April 29th as investors have started to rotate back into Big Tech shares.</p>\n<p>Energy names including Exxon Mobil and Chevron climbed as oil prices continued to rise. Brent crude topped $75 a barrel to hit a two-year high on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin staged an impressive comeback on Tuesday that was carrying through on Wednesday.On Tuesday,the cryptocurrency at one point dipped below $30,000 and erased its gains for 2021. But bitcoin ultimately recouped all of the more than 11% loss and finished the session in positive territory, according to data from Coin Metrics.</p>\n<p>At last check,bitcoinwas up another 4% to above $34,000 on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>EV stocks rose in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8984f8ae7b74f7b0dab8ee0db778efca\" tg-width=\"281\" tg-height=\"210\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Big tech stocks mixed in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6ed5f54b77d44997d7bc777dfccf313\" tg-width=\"282\" tg-height=\"326\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell testified before the House of Representatives on Tuesday, which appeared to lift sentiment as he reiterated that inflation pressures will betemporary.</p>\n<p>\"Powell outlined how the inflation overshoot is from categories directly affected by reopening,\" said Ed Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda. \"He noted there is extremely strong demand and that the supply has been caught flat-footed.\"</p>\n<p>For June the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are in the green, rising 1% and 3.6%, respectively. The Dow, however, is in the red for the month amid weakness in Caterpillar and JPMorgan.</p>\n<p>Looking ahead, UBS said it maintains a \"positive tactical view on stocks,\" but that gains will be unevenly distributed.</p>\n<p>\"We see potential in regional markets that lagged in the second quarter, particularly China and Japan, as well as among those companies and sectors most exposed to economic reopening, including energy, financials, and US small- and mid-caps,\" the firm wrote in a recent note to clients. UBS said investors should take profits in some of the year-to-date winners that might have limited upside ahead, including real estate, consumer discretionary and industrial names.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 rises for a third day as comeback rally continues</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 rises for a third day as comeback rally continues\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-23 21:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(June 23) U.S. stocks rose on Wednesday, a day after the Nasdaq Composite index hit an all-time high and the S&P 500 closed just shy of one.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 40 points. The S&P 500 gained 0.2%, sitting 0.1% from a record. The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.2% after closing at a record in the previous session. That was the Nasdaq’s first new high since April 29th as investors have started to rotate back into Big Tech shares.</p>\n<p>Energy names including Exxon Mobil and Chevron climbed as oil prices continued to rise. Brent crude topped $75 a barrel to hit a two-year high on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin staged an impressive comeback on Tuesday that was carrying through on Wednesday.On Tuesday,the cryptocurrency at one point dipped below $30,000 and erased its gains for 2021. But bitcoin ultimately recouped all of the more than 11% loss and finished the session in positive territory, according to data from Coin Metrics.</p>\n<p>At last check,bitcoinwas up another 4% to above $34,000 on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>EV stocks rose in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8984f8ae7b74f7b0dab8ee0db778efca\" tg-width=\"281\" tg-height=\"210\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Big tech stocks mixed in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6ed5f54b77d44997d7bc777dfccf313\" tg-width=\"282\" tg-height=\"326\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell testified before the House of Representatives on Tuesday, which appeared to lift sentiment as he reiterated that inflation pressures will betemporary.</p>\n<p>\"Powell outlined how the inflation overshoot is from categories directly affected by reopening,\" said Ed Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda. \"He noted there is extremely strong demand and that the supply has been caught flat-footed.\"</p>\n<p>For June the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are in the green, rising 1% and 3.6%, respectively. The Dow, however, is in the red for the month amid weakness in Caterpillar and JPMorgan.</p>\n<p>Looking ahead, UBS said it maintains a \"positive tactical view on stocks,\" but that gains will be unevenly distributed.</p>\n<p>\"We see potential in regional markets that lagged in the second quarter, particularly China and Japan, as well as among those companies and sectors most exposed to economic reopening, including energy, financials, and US small- and mid-caps,\" the firm wrote in a recent note to clients. UBS said investors should take profits in some of the year-to-date winners that might have limited upside ahead, including real estate, consumer discretionary and industrial names.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141331644","content_text":"(June 23) U.S. stocks rose on Wednesday, a day after the Nasdaq Composite index hit an all-time high and the S&P 500 closed just shy of one.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 40 points. The S&P 500 gained 0.2%, sitting 0.1% from a record. The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.2% after closing at a record in the previous session. That was the Nasdaq’s first new high since April 29th as investors have started to rotate back into Big Tech shares.\nEnergy names including Exxon Mobil and Chevron climbed as oil prices continued to rise. Brent crude topped $75 a barrel to hit a two-year high on Wednesday.\nBitcoin staged an impressive comeback on Tuesday that was carrying through on Wednesday.On Tuesday,the cryptocurrency at one point dipped below $30,000 and erased its gains for 2021. But bitcoin ultimately recouped all of the more than 11% loss and finished the session in positive territory, according to data from Coin Metrics.\nAt last check,bitcoinwas up another 4% to above $34,000 on Wednesday.\nEV stocks rose in morning trading.Big tech stocks mixed in morning trading.Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell testified before the House of Representatives on Tuesday, which appeared to lift sentiment as he reiterated that inflation pressures will betemporary.\n\"Powell outlined how the inflation overshoot is from categories directly affected by reopening,\" said Ed Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda. \"He noted there is extremely strong demand and that the supply has been caught flat-footed.\"\nFor June the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are in the green, rising 1% and 3.6%, respectively. The Dow, however, is in the red for the month amid weakness in Caterpillar and JPMorgan.\nLooking ahead, UBS said it maintains a \"positive tactical view on stocks,\" but that gains will be unevenly distributed.\n\"We see potential in regional markets that lagged in the second quarter, particularly China and Japan, as well as among those companies and sectors most exposed to economic reopening, including energy, financials, and US small- and mid-caps,\" the firm wrote in a recent note to clients. UBS said investors should take profits in some of the year-to-date winners that might have limited upside ahead, including real estate, consumer discretionary and industrial names.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":188,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121823473,"gmtCreate":1624459212392,"gmtModify":1703837447499,"author":{"id":"3586953489966141","authorId":"3586953489966141","name":"文仔虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57dbc08160e63e8a7726db412206662c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SKLZ\">$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$</a>no worry at all","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SKLZ\">$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$</a>no worry at all","text":"$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$no worry at all","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e40a881ae781a0e79743b5abb7cc0f1b","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/121823473","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":315,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121866234,"gmtCreate":1624458977428,"gmtModify":1703837436627,"author":{"id":"3586953489966141","authorId":"3586953489966141","name":"文仔虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57dbc08160e63e8a7726db412206662c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"read","listText":"read","text":"read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/121866234","repostId":"1177499959","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":252,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121138299,"gmtCreate":1624456271811,"gmtModify":1703837249195,"author":{"id":"3586953489966141","authorId":"3586953489966141","name":"文仔虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57dbc08160e63e8a7726db412206662c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>up more plz","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>up more plz","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$up more plz","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/247438475cf04c0346e8c199e2c2d3a3","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/121138299","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":183,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121368241,"gmtCreate":1624454380383,"gmtModify":1703837154218,"author":{"id":"3586953489966141","authorId":"3586953489966141","name":"文仔虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57dbc08160e63e8a7726db412206662c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Well said","listText":"Well said","text":"Well said","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/121368241","repostId":"2145283099","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2145283099","pubTimestamp":1624452600,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2145283099?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-23 20:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here's What Happened to NVIDIA During the Last Crypto Crash","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2145283099","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Sales fell off a cliff, and so did the stock price.","content":"<p>It's starting to look like the cryptocurrency bubble is bursting. As of this writing, the price of <b>Bitcoin</b> (CRYPTO:BTC) has dipped below $30,000, erasing its gains for the year. Bitcoin is now down more than 50% from its all-time high.</p>\n<p>Other cryptocurrencies are doing even worse. <b>Ethereum</b> (CRYPTO:ETH) is down nearly 60% from its high, and joke cryptocurrency <b>Dogecoin</b> (CRYPTO:DOGE) has crashed 75%.</p>\n<p>Graphics chip developer <b>NVIDIA</b> (NASDAQ:NVDA) has been <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> beneficiary of the crypto bubble. The company's graphics cards are useful for mining certain cryptocurrencies. This fact has boosted demand for graphics cards, contributing to shortages and high prices.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9eae70fe3111cdeb0fe2fe15c5e5fcf3\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Image source: Getty Images.</p>\n<p>NVIDIA sells some models specifically aimed at cryptocurrency miners, but miners are also buying plenty of standard graphics cards through the same channels used by PC gamers. This makes it difficult to tell how much of NVIDIA's gaming revenue is a side-effect of the cryptocurrency bubble. NVIDIA's gaming revenue more than doubled year-over-year to $2.76 billion in its latest quarter.</p>\n<p>What happens if crypto prices continue to crash? It wasn't pretty for NVIDIA last time around.</p>\n<h3>From shortage to supply glut</h3>\n<p>The price of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies soared throughout 2017 and early 2018. Miners snapped up graphics cards, leading to shortages and high prices. Sound familiar?</p>\n<p>NVIDIA's quarterly gaming revenue held steady at around $1.8 billion through the third quarter of fiscal 2019, which ended in October of 2018. Then it fell off a cliff as interest in cryptocurrency waned. Gaming revenue crashed below $1 billion in the fiscal fourth quarter of that year.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F631439%2Fnvidia-gaming-revenue-crypto.png&w=700&op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"501\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Chart by author. Data source: NVIDIA.</p>\n<p>The crypto crash of 2018 led to bloated channel inventories of graphics cards, which reduced NVIDIA's sales dramatically. Gaming revenue was depressed for about three quarters before bouncing back.</p>\n<p>\"Crypto mining demand and its after effects have distorted the quarter-to-quarter trends in the gaming business and obscured its underlying trend line,\" NVIDIA CFO Colette Kress said during the Q4 2019 earnings call.</p>\n<p>Kress continued: \"...with the benefit of hindsight, we shipped a higher amount of desktop gaming products relative to where end demand turned out to be.\"</p>\n<p>What's happening now is a turbocharged version of what happened in 2018. The total value of the cryptocurrency market at the peak this time around was far higher than in 2018, topping $2 trillion in April.</p>\n<p>Actual shipments of graphics cards were up 24.4% in the first quarter on a year-over-year basis, according to Jon Peddie Research. The total value of those cards soared 370% thanks to inflated prices. Some of this demand has undoubtedly been driven by the pandemic, but a big chunk is tied to the fortunes of the cryptocurrency market.</p>\n<p>Just like NVIDIA's gaming revenue, NVIDIA stock was hit hard by the last crypto crash. Shares tanked in the final three months of 2018 as the extent of NVIDIA's dependence on crypto miners demand became clear.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872169a76058d1b9cde031da052b3211\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"419\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>NVDA data by YCharts</p>\n<p>NVIDIA stock has once again surged amid a cryptocurrency boom and shortages of graphics cards. The company is now worth about $460 billion, about triple its peak value during the last cryptocurrency bubble. NVIDIA has made strides outside of gaming since then, particularly in the data center. But a big drop in revenue is possible, and perhaps likely, if crypto prices keep tumbling.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here's What Happened to NVIDIA During the Last Crypto Crash</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere's What Happened to NVIDIA During the Last Crypto Crash\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-23 20:50 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/23/nvidia-stock-crypto-crash/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It's starting to look like the cryptocurrency bubble is bursting. As of this writing, the price of Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC) has dipped below $30,000, erasing its gains for the year. Bitcoin is now down ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/23/nvidia-stock-crypto-crash/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/23/nvidia-stock-crypto-crash/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2145283099","content_text":"It's starting to look like the cryptocurrency bubble is bursting. As of this writing, the price of Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC) has dipped below $30,000, erasing its gains for the year. Bitcoin is now down more than 50% from its all-time high.\nOther cryptocurrencies are doing even worse. Ethereum (CRYPTO:ETH) is down nearly 60% from its high, and joke cryptocurrency Dogecoin (CRYPTO:DOGE) has crashed 75%.\nGraphics chip developer NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) has been one beneficiary of the crypto bubble. The company's graphics cards are useful for mining certain cryptocurrencies. This fact has boosted demand for graphics cards, contributing to shortages and high prices.\n\nImage source: Getty Images.\nNVIDIA sells some models specifically aimed at cryptocurrency miners, but miners are also buying plenty of standard graphics cards through the same channels used by PC gamers. This makes it difficult to tell how much of NVIDIA's gaming revenue is a side-effect of the cryptocurrency bubble. NVIDIA's gaming revenue more than doubled year-over-year to $2.76 billion in its latest quarter.\nWhat happens if crypto prices continue to crash? It wasn't pretty for NVIDIA last time around.\nFrom shortage to supply glut\nThe price of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies soared throughout 2017 and early 2018. Miners snapped up graphics cards, leading to shortages and high prices. Sound familiar?\nNVIDIA's quarterly gaming revenue held steady at around $1.8 billion through the third quarter of fiscal 2019, which ended in October of 2018. Then it fell off a cliff as interest in cryptocurrency waned. Gaming revenue crashed below $1 billion in the fiscal fourth quarter of that year.\n\nChart by author. Data source: NVIDIA.\nThe crypto crash of 2018 led to bloated channel inventories of graphics cards, which reduced NVIDIA's sales dramatically. Gaming revenue was depressed for about three quarters before bouncing back.\n\"Crypto mining demand and its after effects have distorted the quarter-to-quarter trends in the gaming business and obscured its underlying trend line,\" NVIDIA CFO Colette Kress said during the Q4 2019 earnings call.\nKress continued: \"...with the benefit of hindsight, we shipped a higher amount of desktop gaming products relative to where end demand turned out to be.\"\nWhat's happening now is a turbocharged version of what happened in 2018. The total value of the cryptocurrency market at the peak this time around was far higher than in 2018, topping $2 trillion in April.\nActual shipments of graphics cards were up 24.4% in the first quarter on a year-over-year basis, according to Jon Peddie Research. The total value of those cards soared 370% thanks to inflated prices. Some of this demand has undoubtedly been driven by the pandemic, but a big chunk is tied to the fortunes of the cryptocurrency market.\nJust like NVIDIA's gaming revenue, NVIDIA stock was hit hard by the last crypto crash. Shares tanked in the final three months of 2018 as the extent of NVIDIA's dependence on crypto miners demand became clear.\n\nNVDA data by YCharts\nNVIDIA stock has once again surged amid a cryptocurrency boom and shortages of graphics cards. The company is now worth about $460 billion, about triple its peak value during the last cryptocurrency bubble. NVIDIA has made strides outside of gaming since then, particularly in the data center. But a big drop in revenue is possible, and perhaps likely, if crypto prices keep tumbling.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":301,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129580417,"gmtCreate":1624377590539,"gmtModify":1703835014925,"author":{"id":"3586953489966141","authorId":"3586953489966141","name":"文仔虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57dbc08160e63e8a7726db412206662c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Read","listText":"Read","text":"Read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129580417","repostId":"1113483599","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":135,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":120906768,"gmtCreate":1624290701254,"gmtModify":1703832716818,"author":{"id":"3586953489966141","authorId":"3586953489966141","name":"文仔虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57dbc08160e63e8a7726db412206662c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Well said...","listText":"Well said...","text":"Well 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here","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/164252403","repostId":"1140839418","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":115,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":164252591,"gmtCreate":1624212671113,"gmtModify":1703830714473,"author":{"id":"3586953489966141","authorId":"3586953489966141","name":"文仔虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57dbc08160e63e8a7726db412206662c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tiger is here","listText":"Tiger is here","text":"Tiger is here","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/164252591","repostId":"1156453091","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1156453091","pubTimestamp":1623333482,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1156453091?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-10 21:58","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"以史为鉴,美国通胀飙升后的演绎与影响","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156453091","media":"川阅全球宏观","summary":"美国东部时间2021年6月10日,美国劳工部发布5月通胀数据。美国5月CPI同比升5.0%、核心CPI同比升3.8%,创2008年8月以来最大增幅。今年年初以来,美国通胀率加速上升,美联储6月议息会议在即,市场上通胀担忧挥之不去。我们回顾了历史上美国通胀的几次飙升,以便更好地理解本次的通胀及其影响:。1960年以来美国CPI同比破5%出现了4次(图1)。本次通胀飙升的主要原因在于疫情下的基数效应和供给短缺。房租价格走势对未来通胀的演绎有重要影响。","content":"<p>美国东部时间2021年6月10日,美国劳工部发布5月通胀数据。<b>美国5月CPI同比升5.0%、核心CPI同比升3.8%,创2008年8月以来最大增幅。今年年初以来,美国通胀率加速上升,美联储6月议息会议在即,市场上通胀担忧挥之不去。</b>我们回顾了历史上美国通胀的几次飙升,以便更好地理解本次的通胀及其影响:</p>\n<p><b>1960年以来美国CPI同比破5%出现了4次</b>(图1)。我们对CPI破4%、破5%至回落期间的经济基本面和美联储政策进行了复盘(表1)。</p>\n<p><b>1968/06-1971/09</b>:经济陷入衰退,但前期大幅政府开支与财政刺激的余温仍在,通胀持续上升,美联储在1970年收紧货币政策以抑制通胀。</p>\n<p><b>1973/03-1982/11:</b>粮食危机和石油危机的双重打击下,美国经济陷入滞胀,供给冲击与成本推升通胀。政府价格管制失败,货币政策缺乏独立性并且过于滞后,未能成功抑制通胀。</p>\n<p><b>1987/08-1991/07:</b>走出滞胀后,美国经济经历了高速增长,但1987年开始经济增速放缓,并出现工资和价格上涨压力,美联储收紧货币政策。</p>\n<p><b>2007/11-2008/09:</b>油价飙升推升通胀,金融危机爆发,美联储货币政策的首要任务在于救市,通胀不在其重点关注范围内。</p>\n<p><b>当前的通胀和1973-1982年通胀的成因较为相似,均为成本推动。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/327f6f12c3af30abee8fa0ae334f9763\" tg-width=\"1006\" tg-height=\"611\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ca353ebcbaf95ba1da0b46a815d5f8b\" tg-width=\"1025\" tg-height=\"853\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>本次通胀飙升的主要原因在于疫情下的基数效应和供给短缺。</b>今年5月美国CPI录得5.0%(为2008年8月以来的最高水平),但是<b>从CPI指数角度,2021年5月相对于2019年5月的复合增速仅为2.5%。</b></p>\n<p><b>对于今年通胀的演绎,我们重点关注二手车和房租两个分项。</b></p>\n<p><b>通胀的主要推力之一为二手车。</b>东南亚疫情恶化下多地芯片厂停工,芯片短缺导致车企减产。新车供应不足,二手车需求剧增,价格飙升(图2)。根据Manheim数据,2021年二手车售价增幅超越新车(图3)。此外,5月其他交通相关的价格涨幅进一步扩大,交通服务价格增幅从4月的5.6%扩大至11.2%,增幅翻倍。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/884ed39a8682a3df05e8411f17f2105c\" tg-width=\"995\" tg-height=\"585\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/599b70f4fadb590d0d7b20254d4b1403\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"738\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>房租价格走势对未来通胀的演绎有重要影响。</b>美国CPI中房租的权重较高(约30%),尽管相对于其它分项,房租的增速相对温和(今年5月同比增2.2%),但年初以来增速斜率陡峭化(图4),我们<b>预计受到供给短缺的影响,未来房租将会持续温和地上升</b>。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/869c4f313152d3a14769097f150fb674\" tg-width=\"1021\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>通胀预期走势如何?</b></p>\n<p>从消费者的角度,密西根预期通胀率数据显示,2<b>021年5月美国消费者5年通胀预期从上月的2.7%跳升至3.0%(图5),但是仍然低于美联储可以容忍的3.5%。</b></p>\n<p>从政策制定者角度,如我们此前报告所述,美联储注重通胀预期的监测,关键指标为<b>共同通胀预期指数(CIE),CIE为季度数据,预计2021年二季度的数据将于本月底公布。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21708bec0c792eb9299eda62ba3cd077\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"666\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>未来通胀将会怎样影响资产价格?</b></p>\n<p>我们复盘了上述四次大通胀中,CPI破4%后不同时间区间内美元、美股和美债收益率的变化(表2):<b>通胀对于美元、美股存在负面影响,前者较为滞后,后者1个月内即有体现。</b>有趣的是,通胀对于美债收益率的影响不具规律性,关于美债的研究框架,请参考我们此前的报告。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037d9e565ff952b13c942386e8d08506\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"599\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>风险提示:</b>美联储过快收紧货币政策,地缘政治风险加剧</p>\n<hr>\n<p>恭喜您找到了字母E,参与《老虎大搜查》活动,下帖留言“ Tiger is here” 即可获赠100虎币,如集齐7张图片并留言,还可获赠7周年限定礼盒。(详情请点击<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/181890541\" target=\"_blank\">【七周年有奖活动】老虎大搜查 </a>了解)</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b519142d901e1ef1ff2a2e443798687b\" tg-width=\"214\" tg-height=\"286\"></p>","source":"lsy1582083733592","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>以史为鉴,美国通胀飙升后的演绎与影响</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n以史为鉴,美国通胀飙升后的演绎与影响\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-10 21:58 北京时间 <a href=https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/492521.html><strong>川阅全球宏观</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美国东部时间2021年6月10日,美国劳工部发布5月通胀数据。美国5月CPI同比升5.0%、核心CPI同比升3.8%,创2008年8月以来最大增幅。今年年初以来,美国通胀率加速上升,美联储6月议息会议在即,市场上通胀担忧挥之不去。我们回顾了历史上美国通胀的几次飙升,以便更好地理解本次的通胀及其影响:\n1960年以来美国CPI同比破5%出现了4次(图1)。我们对CPI破4%、破5%至回落期间的经济...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/492521.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c3dba7c4b0e443e40fe6df5639434d","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/492521.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156453091","content_text":"美国东部时间2021年6月10日,美国劳工部发布5月通胀数据。美国5月CPI同比升5.0%、核心CPI同比升3.8%,创2008年8月以来最大增幅。今年年初以来,美国通胀率加速上升,美联储6月议息会议在即,市场上通胀担忧挥之不去。我们回顾了历史上美国通胀的几次飙升,以便更好地理解本次的通胀及其影响:\n1960年以来美国CPI同比破5%出现了4次(图1)。我们对CPI破4%、破5%至回落期间的经济基本面和美联储政策进行了复盘(表1)。\n1968/06-1971/09:经济陷入衰退,但前期大幅政府开支与财政刺激的余温仍在,通胀持续上升,美联储在1970年收紧货币政策以抑制通胀。\n1973/03-1982/11:粮食危机和石油危机的双重打击下,美国经济陷入滞胀,供给冲击与成本推升通胀。政府价格管制失败,货币政策缺乏独立性并且过于滞后,未能成功抑制通胀。\n1987/08-1991/07:走出滞胀后,美国经济经历了高速增长,但1987年开始经济增速放缓,并出现工资和价格上涨压力,美联储收紧货币政策。\n2007/11-2008/09:油价飙升推升通胀,金融危机爆发,美联储货币政策的首要任务在于救市,通胀不在其重点关注范围内。\n当前的通胀和1973-1982年通胀的成因较为相似,均为成本推动。\n\n本次通胀飙升的主要原因在于疫情下的基数效应和供给短缺。今年5月美国CPI录得5.0%(为2008年8月以来的最高水平),但是从CPI指数角度,2021年5月相对于2019年5月的复合增速仅为2.5%。\n对于今年通胀的演绎,我们重点关注二手车和房租两个分项。\n通胀的主要推力之一为二手车。东南亚疫情恶化下多地芯片厂停工,芯片短缺导致车企减产。新车供应不足,二手车需求剧增,价格飙升(图2)。根据Manheim数据,2021年二手车售价增幅超越新车(图3)。此外,5月其他交通相关的价格涨幅进一步扩大,交通服务价格增幅从4月的5.6%扩大至11.2%,增幅翻倍。\n\n房租价格走势对未来通胀的演绎有重要影响。美国CPI中房租的权重较高(约30%),尽管相对于其它分项,房租的增速相对温和(今年5月同比增2.2%),但年初以来增速斜率陡峭化(图4),我们预计受到供给短缺的影响,未来房租将会持续温和地上升。\n\n通胀预期走势如何?\n从消费者的角度,密西根预期通胀率数据显示,2021年5月美国消费者5年通胀预期从上月的2.7%跳升至3.0%(图5),但是仍然低于美联储可以容忍的3.5%。\n从政策制定者角度,如我们此前报告所述,美联储注重通胀预期的监测,关键指标为共同通胀预期指数(CIE),CIE为季度数据,预计2021年二季度的数据将于本月底公布。\n\n未来通胀将会怎样影响资产价格?\n我们复盘了上述四次大通胀中,CPI破4%后不同时间区间内美元、美股和美债收益率的变化(表2):通胀对于美元、美股存在负面影响,前者较为滞后,后者1个月内即有体现。有趣的是,通胀对于美债收益率的影响不具规律性,关于美债的研究框架,请参考我们此前的报告。\n\n风险提示:美联储过快收紧货币政策,地缘政治风险加剧\n\n恭喜您找到了字母E,参与《老虎大搜查》活动,下帖留言“ Tiger is here” 即可获赠100虎币,如集齐7张图片并留言,还可获赠7周年限定礼盒。(详情请点击【七周年有奖活动】老虎大搜查 了解)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":23,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":164252262,"gmtCreate":1624212650956,"gmtModify":1703830713987,"author":{"id":"3586953489966141","authorId":"3586953489966141","name":"文仔虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57dbc08160e63e8a7726db412206662c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"tiger is here","listText":"tiger is here","text":"tiger is here","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/164252262","repostId":"1156453091","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1156453091","pubTimestamp":1623333482,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1156453091?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-10 21:58","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"以史为鉴,美国通胀飙升后的演绎与影响","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156453091","media":"川阅全球宏观","summary":"美国东部时间2021年6月10日,美国劳工部发布5月通胀数据。美国5月CPI同比升5.0%、核心CPI同比升3.8%,创2008年8月以来最大增幅。今年年初以来,美国通胀率加速上升,美联储6月议息会议在即,市场上通胀担忧挥之不去。我们回顾了历史上美国通胀的几次飙升,以便更好地理解本次的通胀及其影响:。1960年以来美国CPI同比破5%出现了4次(图1)。本次通胀飙升的主要原因在于疫情下的基数效应和供给短缺。房租价格走势对未来通胀的演绎有重要影响。","content":"<p>美国东部时间2021年6月10日,美国劳工部发布5月通胀数据。<b>美国5月CPI同比升5.0%、核心CPI同比升3.8%,创2008年8月以来最大增幅。今年年初以来,美国通胀率加速上升,美联储6月议息会议在即,市场上通胀担忧挥之不去。</b>我们回顾了历史上美国通胀的几次飙升,以便更好地理解本次的通胀及其影响:</p>\n<p><b>1960年以来美国CPI同比破5%出现了4次</b>(图1)。我们对CPI破4%、破5%至回落期间的经济基本面和美联储政策进行了复盘(表1)。</p>\n<p><b>1968/06-1971/09</b>:经济陷入衰退,但前期大幅政府开支与财政刺激的余温仍在,通胀持续上升,美联储在1970年收紧货币政策以抑制通胀。</p>\n<p><b>1973/03-1982/11:</b>粮食危机和石油危机的双重打击下,美国经济陷入滞胀,供给冲击与成本推升通胀。政府价格管制失败,货币政策缺乏独立性并且过于滞后,未能成功抑制通胀。</p>\n<p><b>1987/08-1991/07:</b>走出滞胀后,美国经济经历了高速增长,但1987年开始经济增速放缓,并出现工资和价格上涨压力,美联储收紧货币政策。</p>\n<p><b>2007/11-2008/09:</b>油价飙升推升通胀,金融危机爆发,美联储货币政策的首要任务在于救市,通胀不在其重点关注范围内。</p>\n<p><b>当前的通胀和1973-1982年通胀的成因较为相似,均为成本推动。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/327f6f12c3af30abee8fa0ae334f9763\" tg-width=\"1006\" tg-height=\"611\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ca353ebcbaf95ba1da0b46a815d5f8b\" tg-width=\"1025\" tg-height=\"853\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>本次通胀飙升的主要原因在于疫情下的基数效应和供给短缺。</b>今年5月美国CPI录得5.0%(为2008年8月以来的最高水平),但是<b>从CPI指数角度,2021年5月相对于2019年5月的复合增速仅为2.5%。</b></p>\n<p><b>对于今年通胀的演绎,我们重点关注二手车和房租两个分项。</b></p>\n<p><b>通胀的主要推力之一为二手车。</b>东南亚疫情恶化下多地芯片厂停工,芯片短缺导致车企减产。新车供应不足,二手车需求剧增,价格飙升(图2)。根据Manheim数据,2021年二手车售价增幅超越新车(图3)。此外,5月其他交通相关的价格涨幅进一步扩大,交通服务价格增幅从4月的5.6%扩大至11.2%,增幅翻倍。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/884ed39a8682a3df05e8411f17f2105c\" tg-width=\"995\" tg-height=\"585\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/599b70f4fadb590d0d7b20254d4b1403\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"738\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>房租价格走势对未来通胀的演绎有重要影响。</b>美国CPI中房租的权重较高(约30%),尽管相对于其它分项,房租的增速相对温和(今年5月同比增2.2%),但年初以来增速斜率陡峭化(图4),我们<b>预计受到供给短缺的影响,未来房租将会持续温和地上升</b>。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/869c4f313152d3a14769097f150fb674\" tg-width=\"1021\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>通胀预期走势如何?</b></p>\n<p>从消费者的角度,密西根预期通胀率数据显示,2<b>021年5月美国消费者5年通胀预期从上月的2.7%跳升至3.0%(图5),但是仍然低于美联储可以容忍的3.5%。</b></p>\n<p>从政策制定者角度,如我们此前报告所述,美联储注重通胀预期的监测,关键指标为<b>共同通胀预期指数(CIE),CIE为季度数据,预计2021年二季度的数据将于本月底公布。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21708bec0c792eb9299eda62ba3cd077\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"666\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>未来通胀将会怎样影响资产价格?</b></p>\n<p>我们复盘了上述四次大通胀中,CPI破4%后不同时间区间内美元、美股和美债收益率的变化(表2):<b>通胀对于美元、美股存在负面影响,前者较为滞后,后者1个月内即有体现。</b>有趣的是,通胀对于美债收益率的影响不具规律性,关于美债的研究框架,请参考我们此前的报告。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037d9e565ff952b13c942386e8d08506\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"599\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>风险提示:</b>美联储过快收紧货币政策,地缘政治风险加剧</p>\n<hr>\n<p>恭喜您找到了字母E,参与《老虎大搜查》活动,下帖留言“ Tiger is here” 即可获赠100虎币,如集齐7张图片并留言,还可获赠7周年限定礼盒。(详情请点击<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/181890541\" target=\"_blank\">【七周年有奖活动】老虎大搜查 </a>了解)</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b519142d901e1ef1ff2a2e443798687b\" tg-width=\"214\" tg-height=\"286\"></p>","source":"lsy1582083733592","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>以史为鉴,美国通胀飙升后的演绎与影响</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n以史为鉴,美国通胀飙升后的演绎与影响\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-10 21:58 北京时间 <a href=https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/492521.html><strong>川阅全球宏观</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美国东部时间2021年6月10日,美国劳工部发布5月通胀数据。美国5月CPI同比升5.0%、核心CPI同比升3.8%,创2008年8月以来最大增幅。今年年初以来,美国通胀率加速上升,美联储6月议息会议在即,市场上通胀担忧挥之不去。我们回顾了历史上美国通胀的几次飙升,以便更好地理解本次的通胀及其影响:\n1960年以来美国CPI同比破5%出现了4次(图1)。我们对CPI破4%、破5%至回落期间的经济...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/492521.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c3dba7c4b0e443e40fe6df5639434d","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/492521.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156453091","content_text":"美国东部时间2021年6月10日,美国劳工部发布5月通胀数据。美国5月CPI同比升5.0%、核心CPI同比升3.8%,创2008年8月以来最大增幅。今年年初以来,美国通胀率加速上升,美联储6月议息会议在即,市场上通胀担忧挥之不去。我们回顾了历史上美国通胀的几次飙升,以便更好地理解本次的通胀及其影响:\n1960年以来美国CPI同比破5%出现了4次(图1)。我们对CPI破4%、破5%至回落期间的经济基本面和美联储政策进行了复盘(表1)。\n1968/06-1971/09:经济陷入衰退,但前期大幅政府开支与财政刺激的余温仍在,通胀持续上升,美联储在1970年收紧货币政策以抑制通胀。\n1973/03-1982/11:粮食危机和石油危机的双重打击下,美国经济陷入滞胀,供给冲击与成本推升通胀。政府价格管制失败,货币政策缺乏独立性并且过于滞后,未能成功抑制通胀。\n1987/08-1991/07:走出滞胀后,美国经济经历了高速增长,但1987年开始经济增速放缓,并出现工资和价格上涨压力,美联储收紧货币政策。\n2007/11-2008/09:油价飙升推升通胀,金融危机爆发,美联储货币政策的首要任务在于救市,通胀不在其重点关注范围内。\n当前的通胀和1973-1982年通胀的成因较为相似,均为成本推动。\n\n本次通胀飙升的主要原因在于疫情下的基数效应和供给短缺。今年5月美国CPI录得5.0%(为2008年8月以来的最高水平),但是从CPI指数角度,2021年5月相对于2019年5月的复合增速仅为2.5%。\n对于今年通胀的演绎,我们重点关注二手车和房租两个分项。\n通胀的主要推力之一为二手车。东南亚疫情恶化下多地芯片厂停工,芯片短缺导致车企减产。新车供应不足,二手车需求剧增,价格飙升(图2)。根据Manheim数据,2021年二手车售价增幅超越新车(图3)。此外,5月其他交通相关的价格涨幅进一步扩大,交通服务价格增幅从4月的5.6%扩大至11.2%,增幅翻倍。\n\n房租价格走势对未来通胀的演绎有重要影响。美国CPI中房租的权重较高(约30%),尽管相对于其它分项,房租的增速相对温和(今年5月同比增2.2%),但年初以来增速斜率陡峭化(图4),我们预计受到供给短缺的影响,未来房租将会持续温和地上升。\n\n通胀预期走势如何?\n从消费者的角度,密西根预期通胀率数据显示,2021年5月美国消费者5年通胀预期从上月的2.7%跳升至3.0%(图5),但是仍然低于美联储可以容忍的3.5%。\n从政策制定者角度,如我们此前报告所述,美联储注重通胀预期的监测,关键指标为共同通胀预期指数(CIE),CIE为季度数据,预计2021年二季度的数据将于本月底公布。\n\n未来通胀将会怎样影响资产价格?\n我们复盘了上述四次大通胀中,CPI破4%后不同时间区间内美元、美股和美债收益率的变化(表2):通胀对于美元、美股存在负面影响,前者较为滞后,后者1个月内即有体现。有趣的是,通胀对于美债收益率的影响不具规律性,关于美债的研究框架,请参考我们此前的报告。\n\n风险提示:美联储过快收紧货币政策,地缘政治风险加剧\n\n恭喜您找到了字母E,参与《老虎大搜查》活动,下帖留言“ Tiger is here” 即可获赠100虎币,如集齐7张图片并留言,还可获赠7周年限定礼盒。(详情请点击【七周年有奖活动】老虎大搜查 了解)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":86,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":120906827,"gmtCreate":1624290664769,"gmtModify":1703832712005,"author":{"id":"3586953489966141","authorId":"3586953489966141","name":"文仔虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57dbc08160e63e8a7726db412206662c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/120906827","repostId":"1131452883","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131452883","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624290305,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1131452883?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-21 23:45","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"火花思维提交在美IPO申请,一季度营收增长202.7%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131452883","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"据美国证券交易委员会文件:火花思维教育科技公司提交在美IPO申请,拟筹资达1亿美元,寻求在纳斯达克上市,股票代码为SPRK。\n招股书显示,火花思维2019年营收为1.95亿元,2020年营收为11.7","content":"<p>据美国证券交易委员会文件:火花思维教育科技公司提交在美IPO申请,拟筹资达1亿美元,寻求在纳斯达克上市,股票代码为SPRK。</p>\n<p>招股书显示,火花思维2019年营收为1.95亿元,2020年营收为11.74亿元,年比增幅为502.1%;火花思维在2019年的净亏损为7.71亿元,2020年净亏损9.52亿元,近两年累计亏损17.23亿元。</p>\n<p>截止3月31日的第一季度,火花思维营收为4.54亿元,同比增长202.7%。一季度,火花思维净亏损为3.74亿元,同比2020年第一季度扩大78.95%。</p>\n<p>亏损主要来自于销售及市场营销费用支出的快速增长。招股书显示,2019年火花思维的销售及市场营销费用、研发费用和一般行政管理支出费用分别是2.36亿元、2.4亿元及1.28亿元;2020年,这三项支出分别是7.98亿元、3.27亿元和1.78亿元。</p>\n<p>2021年第一季度,火花思维的销售及市场营销费用支出为3.43亿元,同比2020年第一季度增长203.5%。研发投入为1.44亿元,同比2020年第一季度增长107.7%。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>火花思维提交在美IPO申请,一季度营收增长202.7%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n火花思维提交在美IPO申请,一季度营收增长202.7%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-21 23:45</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>据美国证券交易委员会文件:火花思维教育科技公司提交在美IPO申请,拟筹资达1亿美元,寻求在纳斯达克上市,股票代码为SPRK。</p>\n<p>招股书显示,火花思维2019年营收为1.95亿元,2020年营收为11.74亿元,年比增幅为502.1%;火花思维在2019年的净亏损为7.71亿元,2020年净亏损9.52亿元,近两年累计亏损17.23亿元。</p>\n<p>截止3月31日的第一季度,火花思维营收为4.54亿元,同比增长202.7%。一季度,火花思维净亏损为3.74亿元,同比2020年第一季度扩大78.95%。</p>\n<p>亏损主要来自于销售及市场营销费用支出的快速增长。招股书显示,2019年火花思维的销售及市场营销费用、研发费用和一般行政管理支出费用分别是2.36亿元、2.4亿元及1.28亿元;2020年,这三项支出分别是7.98亿元、3.27亿元和1.78亿元。</p>\n<p>2021年第一季度,火花思维的销售及市场营销费用支出为3.43亿元,同比2020年第一季度增长203.5%。研发投入为1.44亿元,同比2020年第一季度增长107.7%。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7186383295e35dbeed76b7df4bae0d3b","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131452883","content_text":"据美国证券交易委员会文件:火花思维教育科技公司提交在美IPO申请,拟筹资达1亿美元,寻求在纳斯达克上市,股票代码为SPRK。\n招股书显示,火花思维2019年营收为1.95亿元,2020年营收为11.74亿元,年比增幅为502.1%;火花思维在2019年的净亏损为7.71亿元,2020年净亏损9.52亿元,近两年累计亏损17.23亿元。\n截止3月31日的第一季度,火花思维营收为4.54亿元,同比增长202.7%。一季度,火花思维净亏损为3.74亿元,同比2020年第一季度扩大78.95%。\n亏损主要来自于销售及市场营销费用支出的快速增长。招股书显示,2019年火花思维的销售及市场营销费用、研发费用和一般行政管理支出费用分别是2.36亿元、2.4亿元及1.28亿元;2020年,这三项支出分别是7.98亿元、3.27亿元和1.78亿元。\n2021年第一季度,火花思维的销售及市场营销费用支出为3.43亿元,同比2020年第一季度增长203.5%。研发投入为1.44亿元,同比2020年第一季度增长107.7%。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":135,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121298256,"gmtCreate":1624464379175,"gmtModify":1703837660944,"author":{"id":"3586953489966141","authorId":"3586953489966141","name":"文仔虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57dbc08160e63e8a7726db412206662c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Read","listText":"Read","text":"Read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/121298256","repostId":"1141331644","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141331644","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624455055,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1141331644?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-23 21:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 rises for a third day as comeback rally continues","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141331644","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(June 23) U.S. stocks rose on Wednesday, a day after the Nasdaq Composite index hit an all-time high","content":"<p>(June 23) U.S. stocks rose on Wednesday, a day after the Nasdaq Composite index hit an all-time high and the S&P 500 closed just shy of one.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 40 points. The S&P 500 gained 0.2%, sitting 0.1% from a record. The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.2% after closing at a record in the previous session. That was the Nasdaq’s first new high since April 29th as investors have started to rotate back into Big Tech shares.</p>\n<p>Energy names including Exxon Mobil and Chevron climbed as oil prices continued to rise. Brent crude topped $75 a barrel to hit a two-year high on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin staged an impressive comeback on Tuesday that was carrying through on Wednesday.On Tuesday,the cryptocurrency at one point dipped below $30,000 and erased its gains for 2021. But bitcoin ultimately recouped all of the more than 11% loss and finished the session in positive territory, according to data from Coin Metrics.</p>\n<p>At last check,bitcoinwas up another 4% to above $34,000 on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>EV stocks rose in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8984f8ae7b74f7b0dab8ee0db778efca\" tg-width=\"281\" tg-height=\"210\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Big tech stocks mixed in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6ed5f54b77d44997d7bc777dfccf313\" tg-width=\"282\" tg-height=\"326\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell testified before the House of Representatives on Tuesday, which appeared to lift sentiment as he reiterated that inflation pressures will betemporary.</p>\n<p>\"Powell outlined how the inflation overshoot is from categories directly affected by reopening,\" said Ed Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda. \"He noted there is extremely strong demand and that the supply has been caught flat-footed.\"</p>\n<p>For June the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are in the green, rising 1% and 3.6%, respectively. The Dow, however, is in the red for the month amid weakness in Caterpillar and JPMorgan.</p>\n<p>Looking ahead, UBS said it maintains a \"positive tactical view on stocks,\" but that gains will be unevenly distributed.</p>\n<p>\"We see potential in regional markets that lagged in the second quarter, particularly China and Japan, as well as among those companies and sectors most exposed to economic reopening, including energy, financials, and US small- and mid-caps,\" the firm wrote in a recent note to clients. UBS said investors should take profits in some of the year-to-date winners that might have limited upside ahead, including real estate, consumer discretionary and industrial names.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 rises for a third day as comeback rally continues</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 rises for a third day as comeback rally continues\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-23 21:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(June 23) U.S. stocks rose on Wednesday, a day after the Nasdaq Composite index hit an all-time high and the S&P 500 closed just shy of one.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 40 points. The S&P 500 gained 0.2%, sitting 0.1% from a record. The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.2% after closing at a record in the previous session. That was the Nasdaq’s first new high since April 29th as investors have started to rotate back into Big Tech shares.</p>\n<p>Energy names including Exxon Mobil and Chevron climbed as oil prices continued to rise. Brent crude topped $75 a barrel to hit a two-year high on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin staged an impressive comeback on Tuesday that was carrying through on Wednesday.On Tuesday,the cryptocurrency at one point dipped below $30,000 and erased its gains for 2021. But bitcoin ultimately recouped all of the more than 11% loss and finished the session in positive territory, according to data from Coin Metrics.</p>\n<p>At last check,bitcoinwas up another 4% to above $34,000 on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>EV stocks rose in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8984f8ae7b74f7b0dab8ee0db778efca\" tg-width=\"281\" tg-height=\"210\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Big tech stocks mixed in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6ed5f54b77d44997d7bc777dfccf313\" tg-width=\"282\" tg-height=\"326\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell testified before the House of Representatives on Tuesday, which appeared to lift sentiment as he reiterated that inflation pressures will betemporary.</p>\n<p>\"Powell outlined how the inflation overshoot is from categories directly affected by reopening,\" said Ed Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda. \"He noted there is extremely strong demand and that the supply has been caught flat-footed.\"</p>\n<p>For June the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are in the green, rising 1% and 3.6%, respectively. The Dow, however, is in the red for the month amid weakness in Caterpillar and JPMorgan.</p>\n<p>Looking ahead, UBS said it maintains a \"positive tactical view on stocks,\" but that gains will be unevenly distributed.</p>\n<p>\"We see potential in regional markets that lagged in the second quarter, particularly China and Japan, as well as among those companies and sectors most exposed to economic reopening, including energy, financials, and US small- and mid-caps,\" the firm wrote in a recent note to clients. UBS said investors should take profits in some of the year-to-date winners that might have limited upside ahead, including real estate, consumer discretionary and industrial names.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141331644","content_text":"(June 23) U.S. stocks rose on Wednesday, a day after the Nasdaq Composite index hit an all-time high and the S&P 500 closed just shy of one.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 40 points. The S&P 500 gained 0.2%, sitting 0.1% from a record. The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.2% after closing at a record in the previous session. That was the Nasdaq’s first new high since April 29th as investors have started to rotate back into Big Tech shares.\nEnergy names including Exxon Mobil and Chevron climbed as oil prices continued to rise. Brent crude topped $75 a barrel to hit a two-year high on Wednesday.\nBitcoin staged an impressive comeback on Tuesday that was carrying through on Wednesday.On Tuesday,the cryptocurrency at one point dipped below $30,000 and erased its gains for 2021. But bitcoin ultimately recouped all of the more than 11% loss and finished the session in positive territory, according to data from Coin Metrics.\nAt last check,bitcoinwas up another 4% to above $34,000 on Wednesday.\nEV stocks rose in morning trading.Big tech stocks mixed in morning trading.Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell testified before the House of Representatives on Tuesday, which appeared to lift sentiment as he reiterated that inflation pressures will betemporary.\n\"Powell outlined how the inflation overshoot is from categories directly affected by reopening,\" said Ed Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda. \"He noted there is extremely strong demand and that the supply has been caught flat-footed.\"\nFor June the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are in the green, rising 1% and 3.6%, respectively. The Dow, however, is in the red for the month amid weakness in Caterpillar and JPMorgan.\nLooking ahead, UBS said it maintains a \"positive tactical view on stocks,\" but that gains will be unevenly distributed.\n\"We see potential in regional markets that lagged in the second quarter, particularly China and Japan, as well as among those companies and sectors most exposed to economic reopening, including energy, financials, and US small- and mid-caps,\" the firm wrote in a recent note to clients. UBS said investors should take profits in some of the year-to-date winners that might have limited upside ahead, including real estate, consumer discretionary and industrial names.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":188,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143961589,"gmtCreate":1625756139441,"gmtModify":1703748010879,"author":{"id":"3586953489966141","authorId":"3586953489966141","name":"文仔虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57dbc08160e63e8a7726db412206662c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":",read","listText":",read","text":",read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/143961589","repostId":"1132708633","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":234,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121292171,"gmtCreate":1624464418893,"gmtModify":1703837663692,"author":{"id":"3586953489966141","authorId":"3586953489966141","name":"文仔虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57dbc08160e63e8a7726db412206662c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Well said","listText":"Well said","text":"Well said","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/121292171","repostId":"2145950390","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":110,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121823473,"gmtCreate":1624459212392,"gmtModify":1703837447499,"author":{"id":"3586953489966141","authorId":"3586953489966141","name":"文仔虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57dbc08160e63e8a7726db412206662c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SKLZ\">$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$</a>no worry at all","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SKLZ\">$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$</a>no worry at all","text":"$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$no worry at all","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e40a881ae781a0e79743b5abb7cc0f1b","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/121823473","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":315,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121138299,"gmtCreate":1624456271811,"gmtModify":1703837249195,"author":{"id":"3586953489966141","authorId":"3586953489966141","name":"文仔虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57dbc08160e63e8a7726db412206662c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>up more plz","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>up more plz","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$up more plz","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/247438475cf04c0346e8c199e2c2d3a3","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/121138299","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":183,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129580417,"gmtCreate":1624377590539,"gmtModify":1703835014925,"author":{"id":"3586953489966141","authorId":"3586953489966141","name":"文仔虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57dbc08160e63e8a7726db412206662c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Read","listText":"Read","text":"Read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129580417","repostId":"1113483599","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1113483599","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624375257,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1113483599?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-22 23:20","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"市场消息:李佳琦、薇娅所属公司均在计划进行IPO","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113483599","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"据知情人士透露,中国“口红之王”李佳琦所属公司美One正在物色一名首席财务官,为可能的美国售股计划做准备。与此同时据另一位知情人士透露,薇娅的母公司谦寻集团(Qianxun)也在计划IPO。这两笔IPO有望揭开中国最大、最具活力的互联网竞技场之一的面纱。\n\n\n两家公司的审议都处于早期阶段,美One没有回应记者多次的置评请求,而谦寻拒绝置评。","content":"<p>据知情人士透露,中国“口红之王”李佳琦所属公司美One正在物色一名首席财务官,为可能的美国售股计划做准备。与此同时据另一位知情人士透露,薇娅的母公司谦寻集团(Qianxun)也在计划IPO。这两笔IPO有望揭开中国最大、最具活力的互联网竞技场之一的面纱。</p>\n<p>两家公司的审议都处于早期阶段,美One没有回应记者多次的置评请求,而谦寻拒绝置评。</p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>市场消息:李佳琦、薇娅所属公司均在计划进行IPO</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n市场消息:李佳琦、薇娅所属公司均在计划进行IPO\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-22 23:20</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>据知情人士透露,中国“口红之王”李佳琦所属公司美One正在物色一名首席财务官,为可能的美国售股计划做准备。与此同时据另一位知情人士透露,薇娅的母公司谦寻集团(Qianxun)也在计划IPO。这两笔IPO有望揭开中国最大、最具活力的互联网竞技场之一的面纱。</p>\n<p>两家公司的审议都处于早期阶段,美One没有回应记者多次的置评请求,而谦寻拒绝置评。</p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/079350e90b4d0a1dc22ccb584df23a8d","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1113483599","content_text":"据知情人士透露,中国“口红之王”李佳琦所属公司美One正在物色一名首席财务官,为可能的美国售股计划做准备。与此同时据另一位知情人士透露,薇娅的母公司谦寻集团(Qianxun)也在计划IPO。这两笔IPO有望揭开中国最大、最具活力的互联网竞技场之一的面纱。\n两家公司的审议都处于早期阶段,美One没有回应记者多次的置评请求,而谦寻拒绝置评。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":135,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":120906768,"gmtCreate":1624290701254,"gmtModify":1703832716818,"author":{"id":"3586953489966141","authorId":"3586953489966141","name":"文仔虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57dbc08160e63e8a7726db412206662c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Well said...","listText":"Well said...","text":"Well said...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/120906768","repostId":"1189217015","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1189217015","pubTimestamp":1624285381,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1189217015?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-21 22:23","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉砍掉挡杆,自动驾驶已经开始改变人类?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189217015","media":"极客公园","summary":"文/赵子潇\n产品线5年没有过更新、售价是Model 3的五倍,106 万人民币的特斯拉Model S Plaid开始交付了。\n作为特斯拉大规模量产车型中的高端产品,Model S Plaid 在各方面","content":"<p>文/赵子潇</p>\n<p>产品线5年没有过更新、售价是Model 3的五倍,106 万人民币的特斯拉Model S Plaid开始交付了。</p>\n<p>作为特斯拉大规模量产车型中的高端产品,Model S Plaid 在各方面都满足了当下电动汽车对于速度和动力的探索,0-60 英里加速 1.99 秒,是目前全球电动汽车当中的王者。</p>\n<p>这款车有许多令人称道的地方,比如它的大屏内置AMD芯片,甚至可以玩《赛博朋克 2077》;为了让汽车达到很夸张的加速,特斯拉采用了一款带有碳纤维涂层的新型电机,使得它能让两吨重的汽车快速起步。</p>\n<p>在炫酷的配置之外,对于车内的智能化,特斯拉也加入自己的想法。一个比较惊艳的功能是,Model S Plaid 取消了挡杆,传统意义上的换挡,被车内的触摸屏取代了。并且,特斯拉加入了自动换挡功能,一步到位,从手动换挡升级到了直接开车。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0e3ed7ff3431cac0db49afa34b3e71c\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Model S Plaid取消了物理挡杆,车内配置进一步简化|特斯拉</p>\n<p>听起来,特斯拉开始了又一次的“革命式创新”,但这项功能也会遭遇一些争议。特斯拉官方并没有特别强调自动换挡功能如何实现,也只有极少人实际体验过,因此会遭到安全方面的质疑。</p>\n<p>但这不妨碍特斯拉迈出了一项科技功能的第一步。它是全球第一款没有挡杆的汽车,恐怕也不只是为了作秀,还有更深远的意义在。</p>\n<p><b>取消挡杆,自动换挡,车还怎么开?</b></p>\n<p>电动汽车逐渐成为汽车行业的主流产品,但也有人旗帜鲜明地站在电动汽车的对立面,反对的其中一条理由就是:电动汽车失去了驾驶的乐趣。</p>\n<p>这种说法不无道理,一些电动汽车甚至要靠音响来模拟发动机的声音,因为有些人觉得电动车内部实在太安静,不像在开车。但反过来想,也正因为电动带起的智能化,无形之中让开车这件事变得方便了许多。</p>\n<p>就拿特斯拉 Model S Plaid 这款车来说,你甚至不用握住挡杆前后推动,只要在中控大屏上上下滑动,就能完成挡位切换。</p>\n<p>这是汽车设计的一次不小的创新。根据特斯拉官方演示,在中控大屏最左侧一列,司机只要向上划,就切换到D挡,向下划则切换到R挡。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab60bc02b5b7de87b4e32be9e923cce5\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"238\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">在触摸屏上下划就可以换挡,是 Model S Plaid 最大的特色之一 |Twitter</p>\n<p>把硬件电子化甚至虚拟化,成为了汽车行业的一个趋势,从设计角度上看,也有种简约的美观。但有时也会遇到限制。把传统的后视镜简化成为一个摄像头,也是一种趋势,但在中国和美国,这个功能还不被法规所允许。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a42e87b21e459fefbe1c1236585537c9\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">奥迪e-tron的虚拟后视镜,在中国和美国仍不被法规认可|奥迪</p>\n<p>但有趣的是,触摸屏上换挡这个功能是被允许的。NHTSA(美国国家公路交通安全管理局)在一份声明中表示,他们了解特斯拉开发的系统并表示通过触摸屏界面操作的变速箱换挡控制配置正确不会违反联邦机动车安全标准。</p>\n<p>为了避免中控大屏有时会宕机,除了触摸屏,在中控台处也有挡位选择按键,作为一套“备份”系统。相比其他汽车只有一种换挡方式,特斯拉 Model S Plaid 提供了三种,数量上保证了这套系统不会出现问题。最后一种也是这款车型的“杀手锏”——自动换挡。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed6f532a66cba86335450ea40fd3e906\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"245\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Model S Plaid自动换挡功能|特斯拉</p>\n<p>顾名思义,它可以根据周围环境进行检测,从而了解判断此时应该换到什么挡位。听起来比较科幻,但了解原理之后会发现,其实功能没有想象中那么复杂。</p>\n<p>举个例子,当汽车与手机绑定之后,如果汽车能在一定距离之内感应到手机,说明车主马上要上车,这时车辆就可以自动解锁。原理大致相同,自动换挡功能是与 Autopilot 辅助驾驶功能高度结合的。</p>\n<p>比如车辆前方有一堵墙,车辆的摄像头已经识别出前方有障碍物,那么唯一的办法就是倒车。同样,如果汽车感应到前方没有物体挡路,它也可以从停车挡位切换到驾驶模式。当汽车停下来、司机安全带解开,并且车门打开,汽车就会自动换到停车挡;另外,汽车在驾驶模式下一分钟没有移动,系统也会自动切到停车挡。</p>\n<p>由此可见,自动换挡是存在一定规律的。它需要在满足一些固定条件下才能完成。为了安全起见,特斯拉规定在停车模式下、司机安全带已系好、踩下制动踏板、所有车门和后备箱已关闭等一系列条件之下,才可以使用自动换挡功能。</p>\n<p><b>完成自动驾驶的第一步</b></p>\n<p>需要注意的是,自动换挡仍然是一项不完善的功能,特斯拉也没有大肆宣传,功能上也处理的比较谨慎。在 Model S Plaid 用户手册中,特斯拉指出自动换挡是一项 BETA 功能,默认情况下处于禁用状态。人们对这项新功能似乎还需要熟悉一下,才能熟练操作。</p>\n<p>的确,每一项功能的迭代都需要长时间的切换。自动挡汽车的出现,就抵消掉了一些开车的门槛,让更方便快捷的驾驶方式流行起来。</p>\n<p>从手动挡进化到自动挡,再到自动换挡功能的出现,除了代表设计简化的趋势,背后其实代表着发动机的逐步进化,再转变到电机,核心硬件也越来越简单,导致软件在其中的重要性逐步增加。</p>\n<p>不难理解,软件定义汽车的趋势在扩大,反馈到用户体验时,就意味着让人变“懒”,无需做一些重复的、基本的动作。这是科技发展给人们带来的最核心的改变。</p>\n<p>试想一下,以后人们开车可能只用到油门和方向盘,其他都不需要,是不是可以直接联想到汽车的下一个阶段:自动驾驶?</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ca650a574a30b6bfda2d6e74c177d4f\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"550\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">对于Model S Plaid的新方向盘,已经有人开始玩梗|网络</p>\n<p>看起来,特斯拉在某些方面的确有些激进,取消物理挡杆,方向盘设置成为方形,不管从传统的人体工学和使用习惯来看,都是反着来的。</p>\n<p>在一些社交媒体上,不断有人质疑,yoke 方向盘只是马斯克为了博眼球而提供的设计,在车辆掉头或者大幅度转弯时,方形方向盘对于人们的握持操作来说不一定安全。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/611031209beaa0c94f220f6f7080ae32\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">非圆形方向盘掉头的尴尬|youtube</p>\n<p>但是从机器的视角来看,这个改变不存在什么硬伤。如果让自动驾驶系统来操控汽车,那么减少人类的动作意味着车辆全部走向电子化,让软件可以控制车辆的更多功能。</p>\n<p>回到汽车上,就是把所有“原子”变成“比特”,也就是把所有物理形态的零部件融合在电子化、自动化的按键里。Model S Plaid 的方向盘上只有两颗实体按键,其他都是需要用力触摸才得到反馈的虚拟按键。不少功能都需要大屏、仪表盘和实体按键的配合才能完成,即便熟悉科技产品的人也需要适应一下,但对于机器来说,这些都不太成问题。</p>\n<p>“Autopilot 作为量产车里辅助驾驶体验最好的系统之一,接下来需要车辆本身与自动驾驶系统进一步的适配,Model S Plaid 就是在这方面的尝试。车辆适配,自动驾驶系统升级,再针对性地调整,达到更高级的自动驾驶系统。”一位自动驾驶行业从业者向极客公园表示。</p>\n<p>一些具有争议的功能,看似“反人类”的设计,也许是特斯拉这家企业为了终极目标而做出的一次硬核技术铺垫。</p>","source":"jkgy","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉砍掉挡杆,自动驾驶已经开始改变人类?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉砍掉挡杆,自动驾驶已经开始改变人类?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-21 22:23 北京时间 <a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/i4upSTM_2d19LefBB_7G5w><strong>极客公园</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>文/赵子潇\n产品线5年没有过更新、售价是Model 3的五倍,106 万人民币的特斯拉Model S Plaid开始交付了。\n作为特斯拉大规模量产车型中的高端产品,Model S Plaid 在各方面都满足了当下电动汽车对于速度和动力的探索,0-60 英里加速 1.99 秒,是目前全球电动汽车当中的王者。\n这款车有许多令人称道的地方,比如它的大屏内置AMD芯片,甚至可以玩《赛博朋克 2077》;...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/i4upSTM_2d19LefBB_7G5w\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35095c7a9e12e0226dab622d85302d4e","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/i4upSTM_2d19LefBB_7G5w","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189217015","content_text":"文/赵子潇\n产品线5年没有过更新、售价是Model 3的五倍,106 万人民币的特斯拉Model S Plaid开始交付了。\n作为特斯拉大规模量产车型中的高端产品,Model S Plaid 在各方面都满足了当下电动汽车对于速度和动力的探索,0-60 英里加速 1.99 秒,是目前全球电动汽车当中的王者。\n这款车有许多令人称道的地方,比如它的大屏内置AMD芯片,甚至可以玩《赛博朋克 2077》;为了让汽车达到很夸张的加速,特斯拉采用了一款带有碳纤维涂层的新型电机,使得它能让两吨重的汽车快速起步。\n在炫酷的配置之外,对于车内的智能化,特斯拉也加入自己的想法。一个比较惊艳的功能是,Model S Plaid 取消了挡杆,传统意义上的换挡,被车内的触摸屏取代了。并且,特斯拉加入了自动换挡功能,一步到位,从手动换挡升级到了直接开车。\nModel S Plaid取消了物理挡杆,车内配置进一步简化|特斯拉\n听起来,特斯拉开始了又一次的“革命式创新”,但这项功能也会遭遇一些争议。特斯拉官方并没有特别强调自动换挡功能如何实现,也只有极少人实际体验过,因此会遭到安全方面的质疑。\n但这不妨碍特斯拉迈出了一项科技功能的第一步。它是全球第一款没有挡杆的汽车,恐怕也不只是为了作秀,还有更深远的意义在。\n取消挡杆,自动换挡,车还怎么开?\n电动汽车逐渐成为汽车行业的主流产品,但也有人旗帜鲜明地站在电动汽车的对立面,反对的其中一条理由就是:电动汽车失去了驾驶的乐趣。\n这种说法不无道理,一些电动汽车甚至要靠音响来模拟发动机的声音,因为有些人觉得电动车内部实在太安静,不像在开车。但反过来想,也正因为电动带起的智能化,无形之中让开车这件事变得方便了许多。\n就拿特斯拉 Model S Plaid 这款车来说,你甚至不用握住挡杆前后推动,只要在中控大屏上上下滑动,就能完成挡位切换。\n这是汽车设计的一次不小的创新。根据特斯拉官方演示,在中控大屏最左侧一列,司机只要向上划,就切换到D挡,向下划则切换到R挡。\n在触摸屏上下划就可以换挡,是 Model S Plaid 最大的特色之一 |Twitter\n把硬件电子化甚至虚拟化,成为了汽车行业的一个趋势,从设计角度上看,也有种简约的美观。但有时也会遇到限制。把传统的后视镜简化成为一个摄像头,也是一种趋势,但在中国和美国,这个功能还不被法规所允许。\n奥迪e-tron的虚拟后视镜,在中国和美国仍不被法规认可|奥迪\n但有趣的是,触摸屏上换挡这个功能是被允许的。NHTSA(美国国家公路交通安全管理局)在一份声明中表示,他们了解特斯拉开发的系统并表示通过触摸屏界面操作的变速箱换挡控制配置正确不会违反联邦机动车安全标准。\n为了避免中控大屏有时会宕机,除了触摸屏,在中控台处也有挡位选择按键,作为一套“备份”系统。相比其他汽车只有一种换挡方式,特斯拉 Model S Plaid 提供了三种,数量上保证了这套系统不会出现问题。最后一种也是这款车型的“杀手锏”——自动换挡。\nModel S Plaid自动换挡功能|特斯拉\n顾名思义,它可以根据周围环境进行检测,从而了解判断此时应该换到什么挡位。听起来比较科幻,但了解原理之后会发现,其实功能没有想象中那么复杂。\n举个例子,当汽车与手机绑定之后,如果汽车能在一定距离之内感应到手机,说明车主马上要上车,这时车辆就可以自动解锁。原理大致相同,自动换挡功能是与 Autopilot 辅助驾驶功能高度结合的。\n比如车辆前方有一堵墙,车辆的摄像头已经识别出前方有障碍物,那么唯一的办法就是倒车。同样,如果汽车感应到前方没有物体挡路,它也可以从停车挡位切换到驾驶模式。当汽车停下来、司机安全带解开,并且车门打开,汽车就会自动换到停车挡;另外,汽车在驾驶模式下一分钟没有移动,系统也会自动切到停车挡。\n由此可见,自动换挡是存在一定规律的。它需要在满足一些固定条件下才能完成。为了安全起见,特斯拉规定在停车模式下、司机安全带已系好、踩下制动踏板、所有车门和后备箱已关闭等一系列条件之下,才可以使用自动换挡功能。\n完成自动驾驶的第一步\n需要注意的是,自动换挡仍然是一项不完善的功能,特斯拉也没有大肆宣传,功能上也处理的比较谨慎。在 Model S Plaid 用户手册中,特斯拉指出自动换挡是一项 BETA 功能,默认情况下处于禁用状态。人们对这项新功能似乎还需要熟悉一下,才能熟练操作。\n的确,每一项功能的迭代都需要长时间的切换。自动挡汽车的出现,就抵消掉了一些开车的门槛,让更方便快捷的驾驶方式流行起来。\n从手动挡进化到自动挡,再到自动换挡功能的出现,除了代表设计简化的趋势,背后其实代表着发动机的逐步进化,再转变到电机,核心硬件也越来越简单,导致软件在其中的重要性逐步增加。\n不难理解,软件定义汽车的趋势在扩大,反馈到用户体验时,就意味着让人变“懒”,无需做一些重复的、基本的动作。这是科技发展给人们带来的最核心的改变。\n试想一下,以后人们开车可能只用到油门和方向盘,其他都不需要,是不是可以直接联想到汽车的下一个阶段:自动驾驶?\n对于Model S Plaid的新方向盘,已经有人开始玩梗|网络\n看起来,特斯拉在某些方面的确有些激进,取消物理挡杆,方向盘设置成为方形,不管从传统的人体工学和使用习惯来看,都是反着来的。\n在一些社交媒体上,不断有人质疑,yoke 方向盘只是马斯克为了博眼球而提供的设计,在车辆掉头或者大幅度转弯时,方形方向盘对于人们的握持操作来说不一定安全。\n非圆形方向盘掉头的尴尬|youtube\n但是从机器的视角来看,这个改变不存在什么硬伤。如果让自动驾驶系统来操控汽车,那么减少人类的动作意味着车辆全部走向电子化,让软件可以控制车辆的更多功能。\n回到汽车上,就是把所有“原子”变成“比特”,也就是把所有物理形态的零部件融合在电子化、自动化的按键里。Model S Plaid 的方向盘上只有两颗实体按键,其他都是需要用力触摸才得到反馈的虚拟按键。不少功能都需要大屏、仪表盘和实体按键的配合才能完成,即便熟悉科技产品的人也需要适应一下,但对于机器来说,这些都不太成问题。\n“Autopilot 作为量产车里辅助驾驶体验最好的系统之一,接下来需要车辆本身与自动驾驶系统进一步的适配,Model S Plaid 就是在这方面的尝试。车辆适配,自动驾驶系统升级,再针对性地调整,达到更高级的自动驾驶系统。”一位自动驾驶行业从业者向极客公园表示。\n一些具有争议的功能,看似“反人类”的设计,也许是特斯拉这家企业为了终极目标而做出的一次硬核技术铺垫。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":217,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121866234,"gmtCreate":1624458977428,"gmtModify":1703837436627,"author":{"id":"3586953489966141","authorId":"3586953489966141","name":"文仔虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57dbc08160e63e8a7726db412206662c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"read","listText":"read","text":"read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/121866234","repostId":"1177499959","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":252,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121368241,"gmtCreate":1624454380383,"gmtModify":1703837154218,"author":{"id":"3586953489966141","authorId":"3586953489966141","name":"文仔虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57dbc08160e63e8a7726db412206662c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Well 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is here","listText":"Tiger is here","text":"Tiger is here","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/164255489","repostId":"1140839418","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":109,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":164252755,"gmtCreate":1624212725777,"gmtModify":1703830714635,"author":{"id":"3586953489966141","authorId":"3586953489966141","name":"文仔虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57dbc08160e63e8a7726db412206662c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tiger is here","listText":"Tiger is here","text":"Tiger is here","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/164252755","repostId":"1140839418","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":17,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":164252403,"gmtCreate":1624212706302,"gmtModify":1703830714312,"author":{"id":"3586953489966141","authorId":"3586953489966141","name":"文仔虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57dbc08160e63e8a7726db412206662c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tiger is here","listText":"Tiger is here","text":"Tiger is here","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/164252403","repostId":"1140839418","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1140839418","pubTimestamp":1623382205,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1140839418?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-11 11:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"一张图读懂滴滴招股书:遍布15国,日均单量4100万","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140839418","media":"腾讯科技","summary":"6月11日消息,美国当地时间周四,$滴滴出行 $的运营主体小桔快智向美国证券交易委员会提交了IPO招股书,计划在纳斯达克股票市场或纽约证券交易所挂牌上市,股票代码为“DIDI”。根据滴滴披露的数据显示,目前滴滴已经在15个国家的4000多个城市和地区开通业务,年活跃用户数量4.93亿,年活跃司机数量1500万,日均单量4100万,年平台交易总额3410亿元,2018年至2021年Q1累计司机收入6000+亿元。","content":"<p>6月11日消息,美国当地时间周四,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">滴滴出行</a>的运营主体小桔快智向美国证券交易委员会(SEC)提交了IPO招股书,计划在纳斯达克股票市场或纽约证券交易所挂牌上市,股票代码为“DIDI”。</p>\n<p>根据滴滴披露的数据显示,目前滴滴已经在15个国家的4000多个城市和地区开通业务,年活跃用户数量4.93亿,年活跃司机数量1500万,日均单量4100万,年平台交易总额3410亿元,2018年至2021年Q1累计司机收入6000+亿元。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a935c6b681f2f3744604b5596e29cac\" tg-width=\"2100\" tg-height=\"13686\"></p>\n<hr>\n<p>恭喜您找到了字母I,参与《老虎大搜查》活动,下帖留言“ Tiger is here” 即可获赠100虎币,如集齐7张图片并留言,还可获赠7周年限定礼盒。(详情请点击<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/181890541\" target=\"_blank\">【七周年有奖活动】老虎大搜查</a> 了解)<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba72fe98df37f49a4d31b0a0684a03aa\" tg-width=\"214\" tg-height=\"286\"></p>\n<p></p>","source":"txkj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>一张图读懂滴滴招股书:遍布15国,日均单量4100万</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; 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.h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n一张图读懂滴滴招股书:遍布15国,日均单量4100万\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-11 11:30 北京时间 <a href=https://new.qq.com/rain/a/20210611A02NC800><strong>腾讯科技</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>6月11日消息,美国当地时间周四,滴滴出行的运营主体小桔快智向美国证券交易委员会(SEC)提交了IPO招股书,计划在纳斯达克股票市场或纽约证券交易所挂牌上市,股票代码为“DIDI”。\n根据滴滴披露的数据显示,目前滴滴已经在15个国家的4000多个城市和地区开通业务,年活跃用户数量4.93亿,年活跃司机数量1500万,日均单量4100万,年平台交易总额3410亿元,2018年至2021年Q1累计司机...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://new.qq.com/rain/a/20210611A02NC800\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9f14473f3e986de32cc80f6fd80b679","relate_stocks":{"DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)"},"source_url":"https://new.qq.com/rain/a/20210611A02NC800","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140839418","content_text":"6月11日消息,美国当地时间周四,滴滴出行的运营主体小桔快智向美国证券交易委员会(SEC)提交了IPO招股书,计划在纳斯达克股票市场或纽约证券交易所挂牌上市,股票代码为“DIDI”。\n根据滴滴披露的数据显示,目前滴滴已经在15个国家的4000多个城市和地区开通业务,年活跃用户数量4.93亿,年活跃司机数量1500万,日均单量4100万,年平台交易总额3410亿元,2018年至2021年Q1累计司机收入6000+亿元。\n\n\n恭喜您找到了字母I,参与《老虎大搜查》活动,下帖留言“ Tiger is here” 即可获赠100虎币,如集齐7张图片并留言,还可获赠7周年限定礼盒。(详情请点击【七周年有奖活动】老虎大搜查 了解)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":115,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":164252591,"gmtCreate":1624212671113,"gmtModify":1703830714473,"author":{"id":"3586953489966141","authorId":"3586953489966141","name":"文仔虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57dbc08160e63e8a7726db412206662c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tiger is here","listText":"Tiger is here","text":"Tiger is here","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/164252591","repostId":"1156453091","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1156453091","pubTimestamp":1623333482,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1156453091?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-10 21:58","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"以史为鉴,美国通胀飙升后的演绎与影响","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156453091","media":"川阅全球宏观","summary":"美国东部时间2021年6月10日,美国劳工部发布5月通胀数据。美国5月CPI同比升5.0%、核心CPI同比升3.8%,创2008年8月以来最大增幅。今年年初以来,美国通胀率加速上升,美联储6月议息会议在即,市场上通胀担忧挥之不去。我们回顾了历史上美国通胀的几次飙升,以便更好地理解本次的通胀及其影响:。1960年以来美国CPI同比破5%出现了4次(图1)。本次通胀飙升的主要原因在于疫情下的基数效应和供给短缺。房租价格走势对未来通胀的演绎有重要影响。","content":"<p>美国东部时间2021年6月10日,美国劳工部发布5月通胀数据。<b>美国5月CPI同比升5.0%、核心CPI同比升3.8%,创2008年8月以来最大增幅。今年年初以来,美国通胀率加速上升,美联储6月议息会议在即,市场上通胀担忧挥之不去。</b>我们回顾了历史上美国通胀的几次飙升,以便更好地理解本次的通胀及其影响:</p>\n<p><b>1960年以来美国CPI同比破5%出现了4次</b>(图1)。我们对CPI破4%、破5%至回落期间的经济基本面和美联储政策进行了复盘(表1)。</p>\n<p><b>1968/06-1971/09</b>:经济陷入衰退,但前期大幅政府开支与财政刺激的余温仍在,通胀持续上升,美联储在1970年收紧货币政策以抑制通胀。</p>\n<p><b>1973/03-1982/11:</b>粮食危机和石油危机的双重打击下,美国经济陷入滞胀,供给冲击与成本推升通胀。政府价格管制失败,货币政策缺乏独立性并且过于滞后,未能成功抑制通胀。</p>\n<p><b>1987/08-1991/07:</b>走出滞胀后,美国经济经历了高速增长,但1987年开始经济增速放缓,并出现工资和价格上涨压力,美联储收紧货币政策。</p>\n<p><b>2007/11-2008/09:</b>油价飙升推升通胀,金融危机爆发,美联储货币政策的首要任务在于救市,通胀不在其重点关注范围内。</p>\n<p><b>当前的通胀和1973-1982年通胀的成因较为相似,均为成本推动。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/327f6f12c3af30abee8fa0ae334f9763\" tg-width=\"1006\" tg-height=\"611\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ca353ebcbaf95ba1da0b46a815d5f8b\" tg-width=\"1025\" tg-height=\"853\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>本次通胀飙升的主要原因在于疫情下的基数效应和供给短缺。</b>今年5月美国CPI录得5.0%(为2008年8月以来的最高水平),但是<b>从CPI指数角度,2021年5月相对于2019年5月的复合增速仅为2.5%。</b></p>\n<p><b>对于今年通胀的演绎,我们重点关注二手车和房租两个分项。</b></p>\n<p><b>通胀的主要推力之一为二手车。</b>东南亚疫情恶化下多地芯片厂停工,芯片短缺导致车企减产。新车供应不足,二手车需求剧增,价格飙升(图2)。根据Manheim数据,2021年二手车售价增幅超越新车(图3)。此外,5月其他交通相关的价格涨幅进一步扩大,交通服务价格增幅从4月的5.6%扩大至11.2%,增幅翻倍。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/884ed39a8682a3df05e8411f17f2105c\" tg-width=\"995\" tg-height=\"585\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/599b70f4fadb590d0d7b20254d4b1403\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"738\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>房租价格走势对未来通胀的演绎有重要影响。</b>美国CPI中房租的权重较高(约30%),尽管相对于其它分项,房租的增速相对温和(今年5月同比增2.2%),但年初以来增速斜率陡峭化(图4),我们<b>预计受到供给短缺的影响,未来房租将会持续温和地上升</b>。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/869c4f313152d3a14769097f150fb674\" tg-width=\"1021\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>通胀预期走势如何?</b></p>\n<p>从消费者的角度,密西根预期通胀率数据显示,2<b>021年5月美国消费者5年通胀预期从上月的2.7%跳升至3.0%(图5),但是仍然低于美联储可以容忍的3.5%。</b></p>\n<p>从政策制定者角度,如我们此前报告所述,美联储注重通胀预期的监测,关键指标为<b>共同通胀预期指数(CIE),CIE为季度数据,预计2021年二季度的数据将于本月底公布。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21708bec0c792eb9299eda62ba3cd077\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"666\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>未来通胀将会怎样影响资产价格?</b></p>\n<p>我们复盘了上述四次大通胀中,CPI破4%后不同时间区间内美元、美股和美债收益率的变化(表2):<b>通胀对于美元、美股存在负面影响,前者较为滞后,后者1个月内即有体现。</b>有趣的是,通胀对于美债收益率的影响不具规律性,关于美债的研究框架,请参考我们此前的报告。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037d9e565ff952b13c942386e8d08506\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"599\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>风险提示:</b>美联储过快收紧货币政策,地缘政治风险加剧</p>\n<hr>\n<p>恭喜您找到了字母E,参与《老虎大搜查》活动,下帖留言“ Tiger is here” 即可获赠100虎币,如集齐7张图片并留言,还可获赠7周年限定礼盒。(详情请点击<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/181890541\" target=\"_blank\">【七周年有奖活动】老虎大搜查 </a>了解)</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b519142d901e1ef1ff2a2e443798687b\" tg-width=\"214\" tg-height=\"286\"></p>","source":"lsy1582083733592","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>以史为鉴,美国通胀飙升后的演绎与影响</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n以史为鉴,美国通胀飙升后的演绎与影响\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-10 21:58 北京时间 <a href=https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/492521.html><strong>川阅全球宏观</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美国东部时间2021年6月10日,美国劳工部发布5月通胀数据。美国5月CPI同比升5.0%、核心CPI同比升3.8%,创2008年8月以来最大增幅。今年年初以来,美国通胀率加速上升,美联储6月议息会议在即,市场上通胀担忧挥之不去。我们回顾了历史上美国通胀的几次飙升,以便更好地理解本次的通胀及其影响:\n1960年以来美国CPI同比破5%出现了4次(图1)。我们对CPI破4%、破5%至回落期间的经济...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/492521.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c3dba7c4b0e443e40fe6df5639434d","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/492521.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156453091","content_text":"美国东部时间2021年6月10日,美国劳工部发布5月通胀数据。美国5月CPI同比升5.0%、核心CPI同比升3.8%,创2008年8月以来最大增幅。今年年初以来,美国通胀率加速上升,美联储6月议息会议在即,市场上通胀担忧挥之不去。我们回顾了历史上美国通胀的几次飙升,以便更好地理解本次的通胀及其影响:\n1960年以来美国CPI同比破5%出现了4次(图1)。我们对CPI破4%、破5%至回落期间的经济基本面和美联储政策进行了复盘(表1)。\n1968/06-1971/09:经济陷入衰退,但前期大幅政府开支与财政刺激的余温仍在,通胀持续上升,美联储在1970年收紧货币政策以抑制通胀。\n1973/03-1982/11:粮食危机和石油危机的双重打击下,美国经济陷入滞胀,供给冲击与成本推升通胀。政府价格管制失败,货币政策缺乏独立性并且过于滞后,未能成功抑制通胀。\n1987/08-1991/07:走出滞胀后,美国经济经历了高速增长,但1987年开始经济增速放缓,并出现工资和价格上涨压力,美联储收紧货币政策。\n2007/11-2008/09:油价飙升推升通胀,金融危机爆发,美联储货币政策的首要任务在于救市,通胀不在其重点关注范围内。\n当前的通胀和1973-1982年通胀的成因较为相似,均为成本推动。\n\n本次通胀飙升的主要原因在于疫情下的基数效应和供给短缺。今年5月美国CPI录得5.0%(为2008年8月以来的最高水平),但是从CPI指数角度,2021年5月相对于2019年5月的复合增速仅为2.5%。\n对于今年通胀的演绎,我们重点关注二手车和房租两个分项。\n通胀的主要推力之一为二手车。东南亚疫情恶化下多地芯片厂停工,芯片短缺导致车企减产。新车供应不足,二手车需求剧增,价格飙升(图2)。根据Manheim数据,2021年二手车售价增幅超越新车(图3)。此外,5月其他交通相关的价格涨幅进一步扩大,交通服务价格增幅从4月的5.6%扩大至11.2%,增幅翻倍。\n\n房租价格走势对未来通胀的演绎有重要影响。美国CPI中房租的权重较高(约30%),尽管相对于其它分项,房租的增速相对温和(今年5月同比增2.2%),但年初以来增速斜率陡峭化(图4),我们预计受到供给短缺的影响,未来房租将会持续温和地上升。\n\n通胀预期走势如何?\n从消费者的角度,密西根预期通胀率数据显示,2021年5月美国消费者5年通胀预期从上月的2.7%跳升至3.0%(图5),但是仍然低于美联储可以容忍的3.5%。\n从政策制定者角度,如我们此前报告所述,美联储注重通胀预期的监测,关键指标为共同通胀预期指数(CIE),CIE为季度数据,预计2021年二季度的数据将于本月底公布。\n\n未来通胀将会怎样影响资产价格?\n我们复盘了上述四次大通胀中,CPI破4%后不同时间区间内美元、美股和美债收益率的变化(表2):通胀对于美元、美股存在负面影响,前者较为滞后,后者1个月内即有体现。有趣的是,通胀对于美债收益率的影响不具规律性,关于美债的研究框架,请参考我们此前的报告。\n\n风险提示:美联储过快收紧货币政策,地缘政治风险加剧\n\n恭喜您找到了字母E,参与《老虎大搜查》活动,下帖留言“ Tiger is here” 即可获赠100虎币,如集齐7张图片并留言,还可获赠7周年限定礼盒。(详情请点击【七周年有奖活动】老虎大搜查 了解)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":23,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":164252262,"gmtCreate":1624212650956,"gmtModify":1703830713987,"author":{"id":"3586953489966141","authorId":"3586953489966141","name":"文仔虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57dbc08160e63e8a7726db412206662c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"tiger is here","listText":"tiger is here","text":"tiger is here","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/164252262","repostId":"1156453091","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1156453091","pubTimestamp":1623333482,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1156453091?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-10 21:58","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"以史为鉴,美国通胀飙升后的演绎与影响","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156453091","media":"川阅全球宏观","summary":"美国东部时间2021年6月10日,美国劳工部发布5月通胀数据。美国5月CPI同比升5.0%、核心CPI同比升3.8%,创2008年8月以来最大增幅。今年年初以来,美国通胀率加速上升,美联储6月议息会议在即,市场上通胀担忧挥之不去。我们回顾了历史上美国通胀的几次飙升,以便更好地理解本次的通胀及其影响:。1960年以来美国CPI同比破5%出现了4次(图1)。本次通胀飙升的主要原因在于疫情下的基数效应和供给短缺。房租价格走势对未来通胀的演绎有重要影响。","content":"<p>美国东部时间2021年6月10日,美国劳工部发布5月通胀数据。<b>美国5月CPI同比升5.0%、核心CPI同比升3.8%,创2008年8月以来最大增幅。今年年初以来,美国通胀率加速上升,美联储6月议息会议在即,市场上通胀担忧挥之不去。</b>我们回顾了历史上美国通胀的几次飙升,以便更好地理解本次的通胀及其影响:</p>\n<p><b>1960年以来美国CPI同比破5%出现了4次</b>(图1)。我们对CPI破4%、破5%至回落期间的经济基本面和美联储政策进行了复盘(表1)。</p>\n<p><b>1968/06-1971/09</b>:经济陷入衰退,但前期大幅政府开支与财政刺激的余温仍在,通胀持续上升,美联储在1970年收紧货币政策以抑制通胀。</p>\n<p><b>1973/03-1982/11:</b>粮食危机和石油危机的双重打击下,美国经济陷入滞胀,供给冲击与成本推升通胀。政府价格管制失败,货币政策缺乏独立性并且过于滞后,未能成功抑制通胀。</p>\n<p><b>1987/08-1991/07:</b>走出滞胀后,美国经济经历了高速增长,但1987年开始经济增速放缓,并出现工资和价格上涨压力,美联储收紧货币政策。</p>\n<p><b>2007/11-2008/09:</b>油价飙升推升通胀,金融危机爆发,美联储货币政策的首要任务在于救市,通胀不在其重点关注范围内。</p>\n<p><b>当前的通胀和1973-1982年通胀的成因较为相似,均为成本推动。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/327f6f12c3af30abee8fa0ae334f9763\" tg-width=\"1006\" tg-height=\"611\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ca353ebcbaf95ba1da0b46a815d5f8b\" tg-width=\"1025\" tg-height=\"853\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>本次通胀飙升的主要原因在于疫情下的基数效应和供给短缺。</b>今年5月美国CPI录得5.0%(为2008年8月以来的最高水平),但是<b>从CPI指数角度,2021年5月相对于2019年5月的复合增速仅为2.5%。</b></p>\n<p><b>对于今年通胀的演绎,我们重点关注二手车和房租两个分项。</b></p>\n<p><b>通胀的主要推力之一为二手车。</b>东南亚疫情恶化下多地芯片厂停工,芯片短缺导致车企减产。新车供应不足,二手车需求剧增,价格飙升(图2)。根据Manheim数据,2021年二手车售价增幅超越新车(图3)。此外,5月其他交通相关的价格涨幅进一步扩大,交通服务价格增幅从4月的5.6%扩大至11.2%,增幅翻倍。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/884ed39a8682a3df05e8411f17f2105c\" tg-width=\"995\" tg-height=\"585\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/599b70f4fadb590d0d7b20254d4b1403\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"738\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>房租价格走势对未来通胀的演绎有重要影响。</b>美国CPI中房租的权重较高(约30%),尽管相对于其它分项,房租的增速相对温和(今年5月同比增2.2%),但年初以来增速斜率陡峭化(图4),我们<b>预计受到供给短缺的影响,未来房租将会持续温和地上升</b>。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/869c4f313152d3a14769097f150fb674\" tg-width=\"1021\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>通胀预期走势如何?</b></p>\n<p>从消费者的角度,密西根预期通胀率数据显示,2<b>021年5月美国消费者5年通胀预期从上月的2.7%跳升至3.0%(图5),但是仍然低于美联储可以容忍的3.5%。</b></p>\n<p>从政策制定者角度,如我们此前报告所述,美联储注重通胀预期的监测,关键指标为<b>共同通胀预期指数(CIE),CIE为季度数据,预计2021年二季度的数据将于本月底公布。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21708bec0c792eb9299eda62ba3cd077\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"666\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>未来通胀将会怎样影响资产价格?</b></p>\n<p>我们复盘了上述四次大通胀中,CPI破4%后不同时间区间内美元、美股和美债收益率的变化(表2):<b>通胀对于美元、美股存在负面影响,前者较为滞后,后者1个月内即有体现。</b>有趣的是,通胀对于美债收益率的影响不具规律性,关于美债的研究框架,请参考我们此前的报告。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037d9e565ff952b13c942386e8d08506\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"599\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>风险提示:</b>美联储过快收紧货币政策,地缘政治风险加剧</p>\n<hr>\n<p>恭喜您找到了字母E,参与《老虎大搜查》活动,下帖留言“ Tiger is here” 即可获赠100虎币,如集齐7张图片并留言,还可获赠7周年限定礼盒。(详情请点击<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/181890541\" target=\"_blank\">【七周年有奖活动】老虎大搜查 </a>了解)</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b519142d901e1ef1ff2a2e443798687b\" tg-width=\"214\" tg-height=\"286\"></p>","source":"lsy1582083733592","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>以史为鉴,美国通胀飙升后的演绎与影响</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n以史为鉴,美国通胀飙升后的演绎与影响\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-10 21:58 北京时间 <a href=https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/492521.html><strong>川阅全球宏观</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美国东部时间2021年6月10日,美国劳工部发布5月通胀数据。美国5月CPI同比升5.0%、核心CPI同比升3.8%,创2008年8月以来最大增幅。今年年初以来,美国通胀率加速上升,美联储6月议息会议在即,市场上通胀担忧挥之不去。我们回顾了历史上美国通胀的几次飙升,以便更好地理解本次的通胀及其影响:\n1960年以来美国CPI同比破5%出现了4次(图1)。我们对CPI破4%、破5%至回落期间的经济...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/492521.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c3dba7c4b0e443e40fe6df5639434d","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/492521.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156453091","content_text":"美国东部时间2021年6月10日,美国劳工部发布5月通胀数据。美国5月CPI同比升5.0%、核心CPI同比升3.8%,创2008年8月以来最大增幅。今年年初以来,美国通胀率加速上升,美联储6月议息会议在即,市场上通胀担忧挥之不去。我们回顾了历史上美国通胀的几次飙升,以便更好地理解本次的通胀及其影响:\n1960年以来美国CPI同比破5%出现了4次(图1)。我们对CPI破4%、破5%至回落期间的经济基本面和美联储政策进行了复盘(表1)。\n1968/06-1971/09:经济陷入衰退,但前期大幅政府开支与财政刺激的余温仍在,通胀持续上升,美联储在1970年收紧货币政策以抑制通胀。\n1973/03-1982/11:粮食危机和石油危机的双重打击下,美国经济陷入滞胀,供给冲击与成本推升通胀。政府价格管制失败,货币政策缺乏独立性并且过于滞后,未能成功抑制通胀。\n1987/08-1991/07:走出滞胀后,美国经济经历了高速增长,但1987年开始经济增速放缓,并出现工资和价格上涨压力,美联储收紧货币政策。\n2007/11-2008/09:油价飙升推升通胀,金融危机爆发,美联储货币政策的首要任务在于救市,通胀不在其重点关注范围内。\n当前的通胀和1973-1982年通胀的成因较为相似,均为成本推动。\n\n本次通胀飙升的主要原因在于疫情下的基数效应和供给短缺。今年5月美国CPI录得5.0%(为2008年8月以来的最高水平),但是从CPI指数角度,2021年5月相对于2019年5月的复合增速仅为2.5%。\n对于今年通胀的演绎,我们重点关注二手车和房租两个分项。\n通胀的主要推力之一为二手车。东南亚疫情恶化下多地芯片厂停工,芯片短缺导致车企减产。新车供应不足,二手车需求剧增,价格飙升(图2)。根据Manheim数据,2021年二手车售价增幅超越新车(图3)。此外,5月其他交通相关的价格涨幅进一步扩大,交通服务价格增幅从4月的5.6%扩大至11.2%,增幅翻倍。\n\n房租价格走势对未来通胀的演绎有重要影响。美国CPI中房租的权重较高(约30%),尽管相对于其它分项,房租的增速相对温和(今年5月同比增2.2%),但年初以来增速斜率陡峭化(图4),我们预计受到供给短缺的影响,未来房租将会持续温和地上升。\n\n通胀预期走势如何?\n从消费者的角度,密西根预期通胀率数据显示,2021年5月美国消费者5年通胀预期从上月的2.7%跳升至3.0%(图5),但是仍然低于美联储可以容忍的3.5%。\n从政策制定者角度,如我们此前报告所述,美联储注重通胀预期的监测,关键指标为共同通胀预期指数(CIE),CIE为季度数据,预计2021年二季度的数据将于本月底公布。\n\n未来通胀将会怎样影响资产价格?\n我们复盘了上述四次大通胀中,CPI破4%后不同时间区间内美元、美股和美债收益率的变化(表2):通胀对于美元、美股存在负面影响,前者较为滞后,后者1个月内即有体现。有趣的是,通胀对于美债收益率的影响不具规律性,关于美债的研究框架,请参考我们此前的报告。\n\n风险提示:美联储过快收紧货币政策,地缘政治风险加剧\n\n恭喜您找到了字母E,参与《老虎大搜查》活动,下帖留言“ Tiger is here” 即可获赠100虎币,如集齐7张图片并留言,还可获赠7周年限定礼盒。(详情请点击【七周年有奖活动】老虎大搜查 了解)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":86,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}