$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ would be a good buy for a short term trade, especially if Musk's Twitter exit plays out, and he returns to govern TSLA and soothe investors worries. Might want to be cautious in view of 2023 headwinds though, especially with liquidity drying out.  Recommend to DCA slowly ivo recession fears and a tightening monetary policy. Tesla still has a wide moat in terms of the electric auto industry, so it is still a good buy. That being said, the Chinese carmakers are catching up in terms of technology, and might be able to mass produce for the wider market at a cheaper price, adding on to the competition for the electric automobile industry market share.

December is a month that has had more wins than losses over the past 70 odd years, with the percentage of winning months being about 75%. This translates to it being one of the best performing months historically.  As of whether Santa Claus is really the cause of this rally, one might want to seek the opinions of his transport workers: the reindeers (or modern day Tesla). $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ has been outperforming here, smashing up about 25% since it's lows about 2 months ago. With Santa working in weird and mysterious ways (read: possible interest rate cuts!), one might attribute this red hot rally to the sea of investors rushing in in order to avoid the FOMO, trying to catch the last train out

Important concept here: the federal bank, being the central bank, has to act independently from the US government. It enacts Monetary policy (in America's case, this refers to the manipulation of interest rates), while the government enacts fiscal policies (which refers to governmental spending, taxation etc). Both these policies work to expand/contract the economy in line with predetermined targets.  With that said, the midterm election, in theory, should NOT have an impact on the feds decision of whether to raise, stagnate or drop interest rates. However, in practice, this might not be the case. Many policies that the government put in place can influence inflation, which is one of the indicator for the feds to set their target interest rates. A increase in budget spendings, fo

$Apple(AAPL)$BullishBullishBullishBullishBullish All depends on the timeline of your investment. Fundamentally, it's a great company with a wide economic moat. If you have the capital to DCA, Apple is one of the safer companies with the lowest risk that I'd recommend to stay invested in the big tech industry. As for whether it's a good time to buy as a short term investment, generally I wouldn't recommend buying at such high interest rates, with no concrete signs or plans for a reversal in the rates. It might be prudent to wait till there are clearer signs of a slowdown in rate increases before purchasing a significant amount of this stock

$Sea Ltd(SE)$ Posted an article pre earnings, and will post another now.  SEA's recent plunge in stock prices has been attributed to the surprise losses that it has posted after 3 quarters of profits. Investors who were hoping to see a fourth quarter of profits, thereby securing a full year of profitability, were disappointed and thereby sold the stock.  However, one must not forget that $Sea Ltd(SE)$ is a tech stock. Although profits are good, for such companies, profitability often takes a back seat to prioritizing user acquisition, geographic expansion, and innovative product development. Therefore, assessing SEA's potential demands a forward-loo

Rising interest rates means that borrowing cost would go up. Companies which are most negatively affected would this be those with high leverages/large amounts of debt. As interest rate rises, the cost of holding on to their debt would increase, thus reducing their profit margins.  Another thing to consider with rising interest rates would be that of reduced propensity (on the part of investors) to invest (due to the increased propensity to save with higher yields), as well as the reduced propensity to spend (again due to the higher interest rates that consumers are able to get with every dollar saved). Do however note that this is more prevalent in asian context than in western context.  In conclusion, markets generally will trend down with a uptrending in interest rates. Invest

Entering into 2023, US Fed rates were standing at 4.5%, $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ at 3800s, with major players predicting that we were all heading into recession and an economic slump. End 2023, US Fed rates are now at 5+%, $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ up about 20%, with recession not in sight and the market still performing at its highest levels. I myself is also guilty of such predictions, slowly selling down as interest rates rose, and losing out on about 10% gains that I could have had should I have held on to the stocks that I sold. Here's some lessons that I learned from this year: 1. Take predictions with a pinch of

Been trading cryptocurrency for a while. Just like to weigh in on some matters regarding crypto trading: 1. More often than not, most cryptocurrencies do not have any intrinsic use case. Value assigned to tokens is just based on demand/supply, with no underlying worth to the currency.  2. Playing the cryptocurrency market is this akin to gambling. With no real value to most currencies, the ability to make money in the cryptocurrency sphere depends on being able to bring in more demand for the currency/reduction of supply.  3. As such, most of crypto trading requires the throwing of rationality out of the window. Understanding the market becomes an emotions game, and being able to trade properly requires one to be able to read the actions/emotions of others.  4. DD

"The best day to have started investing was yesterday" This however, wasn't true over the past 6 months or so. In fact, it probably will not be true for the foreseeable future too, considering the big tech industry has been sliding and will continue to slide with poor guidance and rising rates.  However, having said all these, I do believe that one with capital should take a small position in big tech, considering the large investment moats each of these companies have. As price continues to go down, one can consider to continue adding these stocks to your portfolio. With time, assuming inflation finally goes down, this accumulation phase may finally pay off.

Fed has no choice but to raise rates due to high inflation rates. Any slowdown in the current rate of increase in interest rates might change sentiment, but does not change current macro conditions (ie. lower inflation rates)- in fact, it might even encourage more spending leading to feds needing to raise I/r even higher to tame inflation. would be prudent to be wary of any rallies and invest only what you can afford to lose, less the tide turns against your positions and you get caught between the rock and the hard place

AI has long been a controversial subject, be it among the tech community, or those looking to invest in it. It has generated both arguments for and against it: the fear of sentience of our creations; the amazement of the amount of data that it is able to process; and the knowledge it is able to synthesize and package from it, constantly refining itself and learning from the ever growimg wealth of data fed into it.  The advent of ChatGPT marked a new era for AI, that which brought it into the hands of the masses, enabling us, the everyday worker, to experience AI, a concept which used to be as foreign as going to the moon, firsthand. It has therefore expectedly generated much hype, especially among the uninitiated, retail investors. This led to tech stocks focusing on AI to m

Big tech stocks have historically demonstrated a positive correlation with bull markets, often serving as the vanguard of innovation and growth. The surge in the broader market is often exceeded by the remarkable ascent of companies with large technological moats, such as FAANG stocks. In a bull market, where risk appetite is heightened, investors gravitate towards sectors promising robust growth, and big tech, with its track record of disrupting industries, becomes an alluring proposition. Moreover, digital transformation, accelerated by the COVID-19 pandemic, has further propelled the prominence of big tech. Companies offering solutions in cloud computing, e-commerce, and digital services have found themselves not only resilient but thriving in an environment marked by rem

As long as the Feds continue raising the interest rates, the stock market will continue to underperform. Here's why. The key understanding here is that interest rates = cost of borrowing. Many reasons why one might borrow money. Businesses require capital to generate more capital. Individuals need to borrow funds for hire purchase items/large value items. Governments need to borrow in order to finance infrastructural maintenance. All in all, a large part of the economy operates on borrowed money.  What happens then when interest rate rises? Borrowing cost go up. And as with everything, the more expensive something is, the less one would purchase of it. In this case, this leads to less borrowing on the side of businesses, individuals and governments, as well as the incentivasation to s

$Sea Ltd(SE)$ Bullish on this. Company has seen consecutive reports inching the company towards profitability, however, it has also seen a beating at every one of them as investors pummelled it into the earth, mostly because these reports had missed it's estimates. Yet, it doesn't change the fact that this company is moving towards profitability. However, one must be aware that this decrease in losses is lesser due to growth in revenue, and more to do with a $Sea Ltd(SE)$ tightening it's belt and reducing it's cost. Without organic growth, it is going to be harder and harder down the line to sustain it's march towards profitability.  A yearly significant event for

Japan $Nikkei 225 Exchange Traded Fund(NTETF)$ is a country that experienced an economic miracle post WWII till the end of the cold war, becoming the world's second largest economy for a brief period of time. This was due to Japan's shift in economic policies which encompassed the refocusing of it's economy to an export oriented one. More exports, more demand for JPY, increased foreign reserves, increased currency strength, increased SOL and increased investment. All the necessary ingredients for a successful economy. However, Japan has in recent years experienced a slowdown in the economy, due to a set of challenges very specific to the country itself. Foremost among these challenges is the demographic shift towards an aging population

$Alibaba(BABA)$ Chinese stocks are a very interesting class of stocks. For it to flourish, companies have to fulfill 2 criteria: be in line with Chinese government policies and have a sound business plan. Being in line with Chinese government policies encompasses many aspects. From common prosperity to certain social agendas that the government might be trying to promote, the company has to promote a certain way of living that the Chinese government is trying to steer the country in the direction of. Company leaders likewise also have to have a pro-government stance in order for the company to flourish. Currently, $Alibaba(BABA)$ seems to have once again gained the favour of the Chinese go

$CME Bitcoin - main 2401(BTCmain)$ $Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC)(GBTC)$ $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ Bitcoin on it's road to recovery. Generally bullish, but few ffactors here to consider: Macroeconomic: Inflation rate coming down -> feds (hopefully) lowering interest rates -> increased liquidity in the market. More liquidity -> higher willingness and ability to spend and invest -> increased potential for price of Bitcoin and related stocks to rise.  Markets also seen to be taking a risk on sentiment with crypto (and almost every other asset class (rip bonds). If this sentiment continues into 2024, with the volatility of crypto, as we

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ 2024 is a year of uncertainty. Sure, we might be ending 2023 with strong performances, and a strong indication of where inflation and interest rates is heading, but how will the market react to it? Some basic economics to explore here, which i have broken down into parts for easy explanation later. 1. Interest rates are part of monetary policies aimed at influencing the amount of money flowing into the economy, so as to influence inflation rates. 2. It does this by increasing or decreasing the cost of borrowing/rewards for saving, thereby resulting in the borrowing price/savings reward going up or down. 3a. As interest rates go up, 3b. more people are incentivized to save as the rewards of saving is higher, while more pe

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ Very good company, very strong fundamentals, huge technological moat in terms of AI. However, trimming my position would be what I would do, in light of the current market conditions. Going into 2024, with interest rates at its current levels, it would be no surprise if markets start to fall as liquidity dries up, and investors start tightening their belts. Might consider adding back again then. If you do have some liquidity currently and want to get in on the game, I would suggest a small position and laddering it into 2024. Selling naked long term put options might be an option too, at a price that you're comfortable owning the shares at (bear in mind the cost of each share, as well as h

The allure of current yields on US Treasuries presents an enticing prospect for investors seeking stable returns in a landscape marked by volatility. Traditionally viewed as a safe-haven asset, Treasuries often attract investors during periods of uncertainty. The rising yield adds an extra layer of appeal, especially when compared to alternative investment options. However, the decision to invest in US Treasuries is not solely contingent upon attractive yields. The Federal Reserve's role and its benchmark interest rates inject a critical dimension into this calculus. With rates hovering at its current levels, there is a need to balance between central bank policy and bond market dynamics. The convergence of rising yields and Fed rates underscores the central bank's commitment to