Why a Strait of Hormuz Shock Could Turn U.S. Oil Stocks Into a Relative Safe Haven Why oil is spiking while stock futures are falling The market reaction is brutal but logical. Brent and WTI both surged above $111 as the war-driven disruption around the Strait of Hormuz fueled fears of a major supply shock. U.S. stock futures dropped at the same time because oil above $100 reopens the stagflation trade: higher fuel costs push inflation higher, squeeze consumer spending, pressure corporate margins, make it harder for the Fed to ease policy. In other words, expensive oil acts like a tax on the economy just when investors wanted rate relief.  The Strait matters because it is far more than a symbolic chokepoint. The IEA says nearly 20 million barrels per day of oil moved through Hormuz in

I do think love and investing are similar in some part. I will choose to ride it out together when the market swings. For me holding for long term is harder in relationship rather than timing the moment. The last question , I dont think someone who great at investing is equally good at managing relationships.

ORCL Signals Dip Buying While MU Signals Bearish Bets On March 6, the options market saw two notable institutional-scale trades in $Oracle(ORCL)$   and $Micron Technology(MU)$  . Both trades showed unusually high volume-to-open-interest ratios (V/OI), strongly suggesting new positions were established. However, the structures of the trades point to very different strategies. The Oracle transaction looks like long-term investors gradually building bullish exposure after the stock's sharp pullback, while the large put buying in Micron appears more consistent with tail-risk hedging, reflecting caution about potential volatility in the

Apple Trails Magnificent Seven Peers, Boosting Appeal of Selling Options $Apple(AAPL)$   is seeing the wildest price swings since January, boosting the appeal of put options as an insurance against a potential sustained downturn for the worst performing Magnificent Seven stock over the past month.  Implied volatility, which measures the market's expectations of the stock's potential price changes using a set of variables including option premiums, rose to almost 35% Friday, the highest since Jan. 28. IV percentile now sits at 87%, meaning the current volatility is higher than 87% of the trading sessions over the past year. That translates to pricier options, making them more attractive for sellers.&nbs

Oracle Earnings Preview: OCI and Long-Term Returns on CAPEX comments in Focus $Oracle(ORCL)$   is set to report fiscal third-quarter 2026 results on March 10 after the U.S. market close, with the earnings call scheduled for 4:00 p.m. Central Time.  The market is already expecting a print that looks close to 20% revenue growth and roughly 15% EPS growth. The real issue now is whether Oracle can turn all that demand into recognized revenue fast enough, while maintaining cost control and keeping its financing and capital expenditure path clear and manageable. Earnings Forecast Wall Street is looking for roughly $16.9 billion in revenue and adjusted EPS of about $1.70 to $1.71. The elevated Q2 figure stems

Defense AI Players Won't Be Limited to Palantir, OpenAI, and L3Harris: Here's Who Else Recent geopolitical conflicts may give the impression that developments in the defense sector have already been priced into stock prices. However, beyond the US-Iran war, the long-term narrative of AI integration in modern warfare is far from over. As early as April 2017, the U.S. Department of Defense launched Project Maven (officially: Algorithmic Warfare Cross-Functional Team), its first dedicated military AI project, marking a significant step in deeply embedding AI into combat systems. Now, Maven Smart Systems is being procured by NATO for alliance operations. Which companies are the main drivers of modern defense intelligence? Currently, $Palantir Technol

Broadcom, Tesla See Short Volume Rise as Stocks Advance Trading in borrowed $Broadcom(AVGO)$   shares that were sold short rose before the semiconductor giant's CEO forecast that the company's AI chips could climb above $100 billion next year, sustaining the gains.  Shares rose 5.1% Thursday, adding to their 69% surge over the past year, after the company's outlook and its fiscal first quarter results surpassed analysts' estimates. Before this month, short sellers have already been paring their wagers against the only other chipmaker with a market capital above $1 trillion, apart from $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  . Short volume rose to 1

Why Haven't Gold and Silver Recovered After the Massive Selloff? On March 5, the precious metals market still showed no clear signs of recovery. Spot gold (XAU/USD) $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$   fell about 1%, while silver (XAG/USD) $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$   declined roughly 2.5%. Mining stocks remained under pressure as well. Gold miner $Anglogold Ashanti(AU)$   dropped 4.5%, $Barrick Mining Corporation(B)$   fell 3.4%, while major producers  $Newmont (NEM.US)$ and $Agnico Eagle (AEM.US)$ declined about 2.6% and 4.2%, respec

Marvell's Blowout Quarter: Why the Street Is Cheering a $15B Revenue Roadmap Global AI interconnect chip giant $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$   reported its FY2026 Q4 earnings, sending shares up over 14% in after-hours trading. Let's break down what's really inside this report. Three Things to Watch Raised FY27 and FY28 Revenue Guidance, with FY28 EPS Expected Above $5 The real catalyst behind the after-hours surge was management's decision to raise a series of forward-looking targets. FY27 revenue guidance was lifted from $10 billion to $11 billion, with management projecting similarly strong sequential growth in each quarter of the fiscal year, culminating in FY27 Q4 revenue exceeding $3 billion. What excited

Broadcom's AI Bombshell Silences the 2027 Capex Doubters $Broadcom(AVGO)$   the world's leading AI ASIC chipmaker and the second-largest AI chip giant overall, just reported its FY2026 Q1 earnings after the bell. Shares jumped over 5% in after-hours trading. Let's dig into what this report actually delivered. FQ1 Key Financial Highlights – Revenue came in at $19.31 billion, up 30% YoY and 7% QoQ, slightly beating the consensus estimate of $19.17 billion. – GAAP gross margin hit 68.1%, up 0.1 percentage points both YoY and QoQ, comfortably above the Street's expectation of 67.3%. – GAAP operating margin reached 44.3%, up 2.3 percentage points YoY and 2.6 percentage points QoQ, beating the consensus estimate

I am only using Chrome ( $Alphabet(GOOG)$ ) at work and ( $Netflix(NFLX)$ ) whenever I travel in bus or commuter.

Oil Breaks Out: JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs Reveal What Comes Next Oil has been one of the standout performers of 2026, quietly — and then suddenly, not so quietly — becoming the trade everyone wished they had on. Year-to-date, energy-related assets have surged: the $Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLE)$   is up over 20%, with crude oil tracker $United States Oil Fund LP(USO)$   and majors $Exxon Mobil(XOM)$   and $Chevron(CVX)$   posting similarly impressive gains.

Hedging the Oil Shock: What Smart Money Is Signaling in Tech, Gold and China Escalating tensions in Iran have pushed crude oil prices sharply higher, prompting markets to reprice imported inflation risk. As oil surged, U.S. equity indices pulled back, technology and Chinese ADR stocks came under pressure, and gold and silver sold off sharply. Recent options activity suggests institutional investors have begun proactively reducing risk exposure and managing volatility. Three options trades in $Alphabet(GOOGL)$  , $Newmont Mining(NEM)$  , and $JD.com(JD)$  

Oil Price to $100? Polymarket Ceasefire Bets Crash to 35% and USO Options Pop Polymarket prediction markets show only a 35% chance of a Iran-US ceasefire by March 31, though odds improve to 69% by June 30. This uncertainty has sent shockwaves through oil price, with $WTI Crude Oil - main 2604(CLmain)$   surging over 12% in this week as the conflict intensifies. Energy majors have posted impressive year-to-date gains, including $Occidental(OXY)$   up 30%, $Chevron(CVX)$   up 23%, $Petroleo Brasileir

Marvell Earnings Preview: Can XPU and Interconnect Break Through the Vacuum? Global AI interconnect chip giant $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$   is set to report its FY2026 Q4 earnings after the market close this Thursday. Last quarter, the company guided that its XPU business would ramp meaningfully in FY28, and the market largely accepted that timeline. However, the period between now and FY28 remains an earnings vacuum, making it critical to watch whether management upgrades its guidance this time around. Q4 Core Financial Indicators – Revenue consensus stands at $2.26 billion, up 21% year over year and 6% quarter over quarter. The company's prior guidance was $2.2 billion. – GAAP gross margin consensus is 51

Broadcom Earnings Preview: All Eyes on the Next AI Test Global AI ASIC giant $Broadcom(AVGO)$   is set to release its FY2026 Q1 earnings report after the closing bell this Wednesday. The market is laser-focused on the volume ramp-up pace for $Alphabet(GOOG)$   TPUs and custom silicon from other hyperscalers, specifically scrutinizing how this mix shift might drag down gross margins. Simultaneously, investors are eagerly awaiting a potential upward revision in the AI order backlog. FY26Q1 Core Financial Indicators – Revenue: Consensus estimates stand at $19.17 billion, representing a 29% year-over-year increase and a 6% quart

Optics Is Now AI's Next Bottleneck: LITE vs. COHR—A Full, Side-by-Side Showdown NVIDIA spent $4 billion yesterday to take stakes in two leading optical-communications players—an effort to pre-book critical upstream capacity for the next-generation AI compute architecture era of “optical interconnect.”  After the announcement, both stocks kept climbing at elevated levels, jumping more than 10%, suggesting the market is repricing “upstream component tightness + long-term volume lock-in.” Securing Lasers, InP, and U.S. Onshore Capacity What NVIDIA is betting on isn't the largest (and lower-barrier) part of today's optics market—optical modules—but rather more upstream, more critical, and geopolitically lower-risk U.S.-based optical source and component capacity, with a focus on lasers an

For me, I will follow Buffett's lead and sit on  cash.

In 2026, the ONE thing I want to achieve is to get my portfolio back to 💚

Nvidia's $95B Supply Chain Bet: Inside a Record-Breaking Quarter Global AI chip titan $NVIDIA(NVDA)$   released its highly anticipated FY26Q4 earnings after the bell, delivering financial metrics that crushed expectations across the board. Management provided guidance that soared past market consensus, yet the stock dipped in after-hours trading as investors stuck to the "sell-the-news" pattern seen in recent quarters.  Let's unpack the true quality of this print. Three Things to Watch Networking Revenue Smashes the $10B Mark Early; NVLink Unlocks a New Growth Vector Nvidia's networking revenue hit $10.98 billion this quarter, up 263% year-over-year. This milestone breaches the $10 billion mark two qua