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我是梦幻金钱战士
2023-03-24
👌
Federal Reserve official Bostic: rate hike made no rash decision; there was "a lot of debate."
我是梦幻金钱战士
2023-03-24
👌
Federal Reserve official Bostic: rate hike made no rash decision; there was "a lot of debate."
我是梦幻金钱战士
2023-03-24
👌
U.S. durable goods orders fell 1% month-on-month in February, marking the largest drop in two years.
我是梦幻金钱战士
2023-03-24
👌
U.S. durable goods orders fell 1% month-on-month in February, marking the largest drop in two years.
我是梦幻金钱战士
2023-03-24
👌
Banking crisis: Where will the next domino fall?
我是梦幻金钱战士
2023-03-20
👌
Credit Suisse's acquisition of the century, Saudi Arabia and investors became suckers
我是梦幻金钱战士
2023-03-20
👌
Credit Suisse's acquisition of the century, Saudi Arabia and investors became suckers
我是梦幻金钱战士
2023-03-18
👌
UBS is reportedly seeking support from Swiss authorities for any transaction with Credit Suisse.
我是梦幻金钱战士
2023-03-16
👌
Soul-searching question: Will a "safe" US Treasury Bond be the trigger for the next crisis?
我是梦幻金钱战士
2023-03-16
👌👌
What was the outcome of the Credit Suisse crisis? JPMorgan Chase envisioned three options
我是梦幻金钱战士
2023-03-16
👌
ZTO Express bucked the market trend and rose sharply, with net profit increasing by 41.6% year-on-year in 2022.
我是梦幻金钱战士
2023-03-16
👌
US semiconductor stocks rallied, with AMD gaining over 5%.
我是梦幻金钱战士
2023-03-16
q
The banking industry is "saving itself"! Regional bank stocks rebounded, and all three major US stock indexes turned positive.
我是梦幻金钱战士
2023-03-12
👌
Reminder: Starting March 12, the United States will enter daylight saving time, and US stocks will open one hour earlier.
我是梦幻金钱战士
2023-03-12
👌
Reminder: Starting March 12, the United States will enter daylight saving time, and US stocks will open one hour earlier.
我是梦幻金钱战士
2023-03-10
👌
U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 311,000 in February, exceeding expectations.
我是梦幻金钱战士
2023-03-10
👌
The U.S. added 311,000 non-farm payrolls in February, the unemployment rate rose to 3.6%, and wage growth was lower than expected.
我是梦幻金钱战士
2023-03-10
👌
Upon closer examination, what are the problems with Silicon Valley Bank?
我是梦幻金钱战士
2023-03-10
👌
Hedge fund tycoon Ackman: The US government should intervene to rescue SVB, otherwise more banks will fail.
我是梦幻金钱战士
2023-03-04
👌
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there was \"a lot of debate.\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2321111896","media":"环球市场播报","summary":"亚特兰大联邦储备银行行长Raphael Bostic称,本周在银行业危机期间加息25个基点的决定绝非轻率做出。“有很多辩论,这不是一个直截了当的决定,但最终,我们做出的结论是有明确的迹象表明银行体系稳","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank President Raphael Bostic said that this week's decision to raise rate hike by 25 basis points during the banking crisis was by no means a rash one.</p><p>“There has been a lot of debate, and this is not a straightforward decision, but ultimately, we have concluded that there are clear signs that the banking system is solid and resilient,” Bostic said on Friday. \"Against this backdrop, inflation remains too high.\"</p><p>Bostic said,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>The collapse, less than two weeks before the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, has created a lot of uncertainty, and some policymakers prefer to wait and see rather than rate hike.</p><p>Bostic said, \"We didn't think the situation would get worse over the weekend before the meeting, and I agree with that view, which makes me believe we can handle it.\"</p><p>Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell told reporters at a press conference following Wednesday's policy meeting that a suspension of rate hike had been considered a few days before the meeting, but there was a strong consensus on rate hike during the meeting. Powell also emphasized that the U.S. banking system is \"solid and resilient.\"</p><p>Bostic reiterated Powell's assessment, stating that inflation is too high and therefore the economy needs to slow down.</p><p>\"There is no recession in my baseline scenario,\" Bostic said. But if the U.S. economy falls into recession, \"I hope it will be very different from the early 1980s,\" he added. He was referring to the Fed's aggressive rate hike under then-Federal Reserve Chairman Volcker, which to some extent triggered a sharp economic downturn.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"sina_us","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Federal Reserve official Bostic: rate hike made no rash decision; there was \"a lot of debate.\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFederal Reserve official Bostic: rate hike made no rash decision; there was \"a lot of debate.\"\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">环球市场播报</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-03-24 22:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank President Raphael Bostic said that this week's decision to raise rate hike by 25 basis points during the banking crisis was by no means a rash one.</p><p>“There has been a lot of debate, and this is not a straightforward decision, but ultimately, we have concluded that there are clear signs that the banking system is solid and resilient,” Bostic said on Friday. \"Against this backdrop, inflation remains too high.\"</p><p>Bostic said,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>The collapse, less than two weeks before the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, has created a lot of uncertainty, and some policymakers prefer to wait and see rather than rate hike.</p><p>Bostic said, \"We didn't think the situation would get worse over the weekend before the meeting, and I agree with that view, which makes me believe we can handle it.\"</p><p>Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell told reporters at a press conference following Wednesday's policy meeting that a suspension of rate hike had been considered a few days before the meeting, but there was a strong consensus on rate hike during the meeting. Powell also emphasized that the U.S. banking system is \"solid and resilient.\"</p><p>Bostic reiterated Powell's assessment, stating that inflation is too high and therefore the economy needs to slow down.</p><p>\"There is no recession in my baseline scenario,\" Bostic said. But if the U.S. economy falls into recession, \"I hope it will be very different from the early 1980s,\" he added. He was referring to the Fed's aggressive rate hike under then-Federal Reserve Chairman Volcker, which to some extent triggered a sharp economic downturn.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2023-03-24/doc-imymyuvx9706264.shtml\">环球市场播报</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a1de7aced7748879f251930783a3cb1","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","OEX":"标普100"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2023-03-24/doc-imymyuvx9706264.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2321111896","content_text":"亚特兰大联邦储备银行行长Raphael Bostic称,本周在银行业危机期间加息25个基点的决定绝非轻率做出。“有很多辩论,这不是一个直截了当的决定,但最终,我们做出的结论是有明确的迹象表明银行体系稳固且坚韧,” Bostic周五表示。“在这种背景下,通胀仍然过高。 ”Bostic表示,硅谷银行在联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)开会不到两周之前倒闭,造成了很多不确定性,一些决策者希望观望而不是加息。Bostic说:“在会议前的周末我们没有认为情况会变得更糟,我认同这个看法,这让我相信我们可以应付。”美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在周三政策会议后的新闻发布会上对记者表示,会议前几天已经考虑过暂停加息,但在会议期间,大家对加息的共识很强。鲍威尔也强调美国银行体系“稳固且坚韧”。Bostic重申了鲍威尔的这种判断,并表示通胀太高,因此需要让经济放缓。“在我的基本情景里面没有经济衰退,”Bostic说。但是如果美国经济陷入衰退,“我希望会与1980年代初截然不同,” 他补充道。他指的是在时任美联储主席沃尔克的领导下,美联储激进加息,一定程度上引发了经济急剧下滑。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,"QID":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,".DJI":1,"QQQ":0.6,"SPY":1,"NQmain":0.6,"TQQQ":0.6,"QLD":0.6,"PSQ":0.6,".IXIC":1,"DDM":0.6,"MNQmain":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SQQQ":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"DJX":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"DXD":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"OEF":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4929,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9943700305,"gmtCreate":1679668323007,"gmtModify":1679668326753,"author":{"id":"4094983188358330","authorId":"4094983188358330","name":"我是梦幻金钱战士","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/99cba128d11b8be74b1f95636cd22ed7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094983188358330","authorIdStr":"4094983188358330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943700305","repostId":"2321111896","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2321111896","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1679666666,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2321111896?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-24 22:04","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Federal Reserve official Bostic: rate hike made no rash decision; there was \"a lot of debate.\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2321111896","media":"环球市场播报","summary":"亚特兰大联邦储备银行行长Raphael Bostic称,本周在银行业危机期间加息25个基点的决定绝非轻率做出。“有很多辩论,这不是一个直截了当的决定,但最终,我们做出的结论是有明确的迹象表明银行体系稳","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank President Raphael Bostic said that this week's decision to raise rate hike by 25 basis points during the banking crisis was by no means a rash one.</p><p>“There has been a lot of debate, and this is not a straightforward decision, but ultimately, we have concluded that there are clear signs that the banking system is solid and resilient,” Bostic said on Friday. \"Against this backdrop, inflation remains too high.\"</p><p>Bostic said,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>The collapse, less than two weeks before the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, has created a lot of uncertainty, and some policymakers prefer to wait and see rather than rate hike.</p><p>Bostic said, \"We didn't think the situation would get worse over the weekend before the meeting, and I agree with that view, which makes me believe we can handle it.\"</p><p>Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell told reporters at a press conference following Wednesday's policy meeting that a suspension of rate hike had been considered a few days before the meeting, but there was a strong consensus on rate hike during the meeting. Powell also emphasized that the U.S. banking system is \"solid and resilient.\"</p><p>Bostic reiterated Powell's assessment, stating that inflation is too high and therefore the economy needs to slow down.</p><p>\"There is no recession in my baseline scenario,\" Bostic said. But if the U.S. economy falls into recession, \"I hope it will be very different from the early 1980s,\" he added. He was referring to the Fed's aggressive rate hike under then-Federal Reserve Chairman Volcker, which to some extent triggered a sharp economic downturn.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"sina_us","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Federal Reserve official Bostic: rate hike made no rash decision; there was \"a lot of debate.\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFederal Reserve official Bostic: rate hike made no rash decision; there was \"a lot of debate.\"\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">环球市场播报</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-03-24 22:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank President Raphael Bostic said that this week's decision to raise rate hike by 25 basis points during the banking crisis was by no means a rash one.</p><p>“There has been a lot of debate, and this is not a straightforward decision, but ultimately, we have concluded that there are clear signs that the banking system is solid and resilient,” Bostic said on Friday. \"Against this backdrop, inflation remains too high.\"</p><p>Bostic said,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>The collapse, less than two weeks before the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, has created a lot of uncertainty, and some policymakers prefer to wait and see rather than rate hike.</p><p>Bostic said, \"We didn't think the situation would get worse over the weekend before the meeting, and I agree with that view, which makes me believe we can handle it.\"</p><p>Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell told reporters at a press conference following Wednesday's policy meeting that a suspension of rate hike had been considered a few days before the meeting, but there was a strong consensus on rate hike during the meeting. Powell also emphasized that the U.S. banking system is \"solid and resilient.\"</p><p>Bostic reiterated Powell's assessment, stating that inflation is too high and therefore the economy needs to slow down.</p><p>\"There is no recession in my baseline scenario,\" Bostic said. But if the U.S. economy falls into recession, \"I hope it will be very different from the early 1980s,\" he added. He was referring to the Fed's aggressive rate hike under then-Federal Reserve Chairman Volcker, which to some extent triggered a sharp economic downturn.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2023-03-24/doc-imymyuvx9706264.shtml\">环球市场播报</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a1de7aced7748879f251930783a3cb1","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","OEX":"标普100"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2023-03-24/doc-imymyuvx9706264.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2321111896","content_text":"亚特兰大联邦储备银行行长Raphael Bostic称,本周在银行业危机期间加息25个基点的决定绝非轻率做出。“有很多辩论,这不是一个直截了当的决定,但最终,我们做出的结论是有明确的迹象表明银行体系稳固且坚韧,” Bostic周五表示。“在这种背景下,通胀仍然过高。 ”Bostic表示,硅谷银行在联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)开会不到两周之前倒闭,造成了很多不确定性,一些决策者希望观望而不是加息。Bostic说:“在会议前的周末我们没有认为情况会变得更糟,我认同这个看法,这让我相信我们可以应付。”美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在周三政策会议后的新闻发布会上对记者表示,会议前几天已经考虑过暂停加息,但在会议期间,大家对加息的共识很强。鲍威尔也强调美国银行体系“稳固且坚韧”。Bostic重申了鲍威尔的这种判断,并表示通胀太高,因此需要让经济放缓。“在我的基本情景里面没有经济衰退,”Bostic说。但是如果美国经济陷入衰退,“我希望会与1980年代初截然不同,” 他补充道。他指的是在时任美联储主席沃尔克的领导下,美联储激进加息,一定程度上引发了经济急剧下滑。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,"QID":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,".DJI":1,"QQQ":0.6,"SPY":1,"NQmain":0.6,"TQQQ":0.6,"QLD":0.6,"PSQ":0.6,".IXIC":1,"DDM":0.6,"MNQmain":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SQQQ":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"DJX":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"DXD":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"OEF":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5308,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9943700960,"gmtCreate":1679668310450,"gmtModify":1679668314077,"author":{"id":"4094983188358330","authorId":"4094983188358330","name":"我是梦幻金钱战士","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/99cba128d11b8be74b1f95636cd22ed7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094983188358330","authorIdStr":"4094983188358330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943700960","repostId":"1161966319","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161966319","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1679667723,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1161966319?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-24 22:22","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"U.S. durable goods orders fell 1% month-on-month in February, marking the largest drop in two years.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161966319","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"尽管核心资本货物订单有所增加,但这些数据表明,美联储一年来的大举加息已经抑制了投资计划。在经济不确定性上升和企业利润增长放缓的情况下,这种情况可能进一步恶化。由于对客机和新车的需求减少,美国2月份制造","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><b>Despite the increase in core capital goods orders, these data suggest that the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hike over the past year has dampened investment plans. This situation may worsen further amid rising economic uncertainty and slowing corporate profit growth.</b>U.S. manufacturing orders continued to decline in February due to reduced demand for passenger planes and new cars.</p><p>On Friday, March 24, the U.S. Department of Commerce released data showing that the preliminary reading of U.S. durable goods orders for February was -1% month-on-month, lower than the market expectation of 0.2%, the largest drop since February 2021, but a significant rebound from the previous reading of -4.5%. Analysts had expected a moderate rebound in February data after a sharp drop in January data.</p><p>Durable goods refer to products such as cars, electrical appliances, and computers that can be used for at least three years.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/702d3d5d4f0e3aad88b4f95fc2171aa0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Orders for core durable goods, excluding transportation, rose 0% month-on-month at the preliminary reading, lower than the previous reading of 0.4% after an upward revision and the largest increase since March 2022, with the previous reading revised downward to -0.4%. This figure is used to help calculate equipment investment in the government's GDP report.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db82bf213ec2018c112a0835fc37f07c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"369\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>In addition, after excluding the 0.8% increase in the value of non-defense core capital goods orders for aircraft in January, the growth rate slowed to 0.2% in February, but it was still higher than the expected -0.2%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/311d5f7fa7b5683c9da0b98494a8a1ee\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"369\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Despite the increase in core capital goods orders, these data suggest that the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hike over the past year has dampened investment plans. This situation may worsen further amid rising economic uncertainty and slowing corporate profit growth.</p><p>Apart from an increase in core capital goods orders, other orders were largely weak. Orders for computers, transportation equipment, machinery, and communications equipment all declined. However, business investment rose for the second consecutive month, indicating that the industrial side of the economy is still growing.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. durable goods orders fell 1% month-on-month in February, marking the largest drop in two years.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. durable goods orders fell 1% month-on-month in February, marking the largest drop in two years.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-03-24 22:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>Despite the increase in core capital goods orders, these data suggest that the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hike over the past year has dampened investment plans. This situation may worsen further amid rising economic uncertainty and slowing corporate profit growth.</b>U.S. manufacturing orders continued to decline in February due to reduced demand for passenger planes and new cars.</p><p>On Friday, March 24, the U.S. Department of Commerce released data showing that the preliminary reading of U.S. durable goods orders for February was -1% month-on-month, lower than the market expectation of 0.2%, the largest drop since February 2021, but a significant rebound from the previous reading of -4.5%. Analysts had expected a moderate rebound in February data after a sharp drop in January data.</p><p>Durable goods refer to products such as cars, electrical appliances, and computers that can be used for at least three years.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/702d3d5d4f0e3aad88b4f95fc2171aa0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Orders for core durable goods, excluding transportation, rose 0% month-on-month at the preliminary reading, lower than the previous reading of 0.4% after an upward revision and the largest increase since March 2022, with the previous reading revised downward to -0.4%. This figure is used to help calculate equipment investment in the government's GDP report.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db82bf213ec2018c112a0835fc37f07c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"369\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>In addition, after excluding the 0.8% increase in the value of non-defense core capital goods orders for aircraft in January, the growth rate slowed to 0.2% in February, but it was still higher than the expected -0.2%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/311d5f7fa7b5683c9da0b98494a8a1ee\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"369\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Despite the increase in core capital goods orders, these data suggest that the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hike over the past year has dampened investment plans. This situation may worsen further amid rising economic uncertainty and slowing corporate profit growth.</p><p>Apart from an increase in core capital goods orders, other orders were largely weak. Orders for computers, transportation equipment, machinery, and communications equipment all declined. However, business investment rose for the second consecutive month, indicating that the industrial side of the economy is still growing.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3684848\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/627bc890436e46f74a0fe8143398a725","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3684848","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161966319","content_text":"尽管核心资本货物订单有所增加,但这些数据表明,美联储一年来的大举加息已经抑制了投资计划。在经济不确定性上升和企业利润增长放缓的情况下,这种情况可能进一步恶化。由于对客机和新车的需求减少,美国2月份制造业订单继续下滑。3月24日周五,美国商务部公布数据显示,美国2月耐用品订单环比初值-1%,低于市场预期的0.2%,是自2021年2月以来的最大降幅,但相比前值的-4.5%大幅回升。在1月份的数据暴跌之后,分析师们原本预计2月的数据将温和反弹。耐用品是指像汽车、电器和电脑这样至少可以使用三年的产品。不包括运输的核心耐用品订单环比初值增长0%,低于上修后的前值0.4%,也是自2022年3月以来的最大涨幅,前值下修为-0.4%。这一数字用于帮助计算政府GDP报告中的设备投资。此外,扣除飞机非国防核心资本货物订单价值在1月增长0.8%后,2月份增幅放缓至0.2%,但仍高于预期的-0.2%。尽管核心资本货物订单有所增加,但这些数据表明,美联储一年来的大举加息已经抑制了投资计划。在经济不确定性上升和企业利润增长放缓的情况下,这种情况可能进一步恶化。除了核心资本货物订单出现增长外,其余订单在很大程度上都比较疲软。电脑、运输设备、机械和通讯设备的订单量均有所下降。但企业投资连续第二个月上升,表明经济的工业方面仍在增长。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5518,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9943700059,"gmtCreate":1679668300972,"gmtModify":1679668304919,"author":{"id":"4094983188358330","authorId":"4094983188358330","name":"我是梦幻金钱战士","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/99cba128d11b8be74b1f95636cd22ed7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094983188358330","authorIdStr":"4094983188358330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943700059","repostId":"1161966319","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161966319","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1679667723,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1161966319?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-24 22:22","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"U.S. durable goods orders fell 1% month-on-month in February, marking the largest drop in two years.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161966319","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"尽管核心资本货物订单有所增加,但这些数据表明,美联储一年来的大举加息已经抑制了投资计划。在经济不确定性上升和企业利润增长放缓的情况下,这种情况可能进一步恶化。由于对客机和新车的需求减少,美国2月份制造","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><b>Despite the increase in core capital goods orders, these data suggest that the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hike over the past year has dampened investment plans. This situation may worsen further amid rising economic uncertainty and slowing corporate profit growth.</b>U.S. manufacturing orders continued to decline in February due to reduced demand for passenger planes and new cars.</p><p>On Friday, March 24, the U.S. Department of Commerce released data showing that the preliminary reading of U.S. durable goods orders for February was -1% month-on-month, lower than the market expectation of 0.2%, the largest drop since February 2021, but a significant rebound from the previous reading of -4.5%. Analysts had expected a moderate rebound in February data after a sharp drop in January data.</p><p>Durable goods refer to products such as cars, electrical appliances, and computers that can be used for at least three years.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/702d3d5d4f0e3aad88b4f95fc2171aa0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Orders for core durable goods, excluding transportation, rose 0% month-on-month at the preliminary reading, lower than the previous reading of 0.4% after an upward revision and the largest increase since March 2022, with the previous reading revised downward to -0.4%. This figure is used to help calculate equipment investment in the government's GDP report.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db82bf213ec2018c112a0835fc37f07c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"369\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>In addition, after excluding the 0.8% increase in the value of non-defense core capital goods orders for aircraft in January, the growth rate slowed to 0.2% in February, but it was still higher than the expected -0.2%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/311d5f7fa7b5683c9da0b98494a8a1ee\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"369\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Despite the increase in core capital goods orders, these data suggest that the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hike over the past year has dampened investment plans. This situation may worsen further amid rising economic uncertainty and slowing corporate profit growth.</p><p>Apart from an increase in core capital goods orders, other orders were largely weak. Orders for computers, transportation equipment, machinery, and communications equipment all declined. However, business investment rose for the second consecutive month, indicating that the industrial side of the economy is still growing.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. durable goods orders fell 1% month-on-month in February, marking the largest drop in two years.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. durable goods orders fell 1% month-on-month in February, marking the largest drop in two years.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-03-24 22:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>Despite the increase in core capital goods orders, these data suggest that the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hike over the past year has dampened investment plans. This situation may worsen further amid rising economic uncertainty and slowing corporate profit growth.</b>U.S. manufacturing orders continued to decline in February due to reduced demand for passenger planes and new cars.</p><p>On Friday, March 24, the U.S. Department of Commerce released data showing that the preliminary reading of U.S. durable goods orders for February was -1% month-on-month, lower than the market expectation of 0.2%, the largest drop since February 2021, but a significant rebound from the previous reading of -4.5%. Analysts had expected a moderate rebound in February data after a sharp drop in January data.</p><p>Durable goods refer to products such as cars, electrical appliances, and computers that can be used for at least three years.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/702d3d5d4f0e3aad88b4f95fc2171aa0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Orders for core durable goods, excluding transportation, rose 0% month-on-month at the preliminary reading, lower than the previous reading of 0.4% after an upward revision and the largest increase since March 2022, with the previous reading revised downward to -0.4%. This figure is used to help calculate equipment investment in the government's GDP report.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db82bf213ec2018c112a0835fc37f07c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"369\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>In addition, after excluding the 0.8% increase in the value of non-defense core capital goods orders for aircraft in January, the growth rate slowed to 0.2% in February, but it was still higher than the expected -0.2%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/311d5f7fa7b5683c9da0b98494a8a1ee\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"369\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Despite the increase in core capital goods orders, these data suggest that the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hike over the past year has dampened investment plans. This situation may worsen further amid rising economic uncertainty and slowing corporate profit growth.</p><p>Apart from an increase in core capital goods orders, other orders were largely weak. Orders for computers, transportation equipment, machinery, and communications equipment all declined. However, business investment rose for the second consecutive month, indicating that the industrial side of the economy is still growing.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3684848\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/627bc890436e46f74a0fe8143398a725","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3684848","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161966319","content_text":"尽管核心资本货物订单有所增加,但这些数据表明,美联储一年来的大举加息已经抑制了投资计划。在经济不确定性上升和企业利润增长放缓的情况下,这种情况可能进一步恶化。由于对客机和新车的需求减少,美国2月份制造业订单继续下滑。3月24日周五,美国商务部公布数据显示,美国2月耐用品订单环比初值-1%,低于市场预期的0.2%,是自2021年2月以来的最大降幅,但相比前值的-4.5%大幅回升。在1月份的数据暴跌之后,分析师们原本预计2月的数据将温和反弹。耐用品是指像汽车、电器和电脑这样至少可以使用三年的产品。不包括运输的核心耐用品订单环比初值增长0%,低于上修后的前值0.4%,也是自2022年3月以来的最大涨幅,前值下修为-0.4%。这一数字用于帮助计算政府GDP报告中的设备投资。此外,扣除飞机非国防核心资本货物订单价值在1月增长0.8%后,2月份增幅放缓至0.2%,但仍高于预期的-0.2%。尽管核心资本货物订单有所增加,但这些数据表明,美联储一年来的大举加息已经抑制了投资计划。在经济不确定性上升和企业利润增长放缓的情况下,这种情况可能进一步恶化。除了核心资本货物订单出现增长外,其余订单在很大程度上都比较疲软。电脑、运输设备、机械和通讯设备的订单量均有所下降。但企业投资连续第二个月上升,表明经济的工业方面仍在增长。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6048,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9943477426,"gmtCreate":1679668287466,"gmtModify":1679668291458,"author":{"id":"4094983188358330","authorId":"4094983188358330","name":"我是梦幻金钱战士","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/99cba128d11b8be74b1f95636cd22ed7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094983188358330","authorIdStr":"4094983188358330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943477426","repostId":"2321098115","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2321098115","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1679668395,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2321098115?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-24 22:33","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Banking crisis: Where will the next domino fall?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2321098115","media":"美股研究社","summary":"过去两周,危机突然升温,伴随着熊市,标准普尔500指数再次贬值,在本文中将主要关注银行系统和银行的崩溃。但银行在经济中扮演着重要角色,而陷入困境的银行可能会成为危机的负面催化剂。01概述基本上有两个主","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Over the past two weeks, the crisis has suddenly escalated, with the S&P 500 index depreciating again amid a bear market. This article will focus on the banking system and the collapse of banks. But banks play an important role in the economy, and troubled banks could become a negative catalyst for the crisis.</p><p>01</p><p>overview</p><p>There are basically two main news reports. On the one hand, Switzerland<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">Credit Suisse</a>The group is being surpassed by UBS Group; On the other hand, several American banks<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a>When it went bankrupt at the urging of competitors, the government and the Federal Reserve intervened.</p><p>Let's start with Credit Suisse. The Swiss bank's troubles are not surprising, as reports of the company's troubles had been circulating for several months. However, in recent days, the situation has suddenly become more dramatic. Last week, it was reported that the Swiss National Bank and FINMA (the Swiss financial regulator) would provide Credit Suisse with an emergency loan of 50 billion Swiss francs (if necessary). Over the weekend—something that always happens when markets are closed on weekends—UBS agreed to buy Credit Suisse for $3.25 billion, about half its previous share price but far above the initial $1 billion offer, which Credit Suisse rejected.</p><p>But it's not just Credit Suisse that's in trouble – the week before,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>The collapse brought the US banking crisis to a temporary climax. It might not be surprising to see Credit Suisse in trouble, as reports of the company's troubles had been published months ago, but certainly no one could have predicted a bank failure in the United States (although bank failures are one of the possible events in every crisis and bear market).</p><p>Just like in similar situations in the past, we saw the \"classic\" reaction. The Federal Reserve responded by providing additional liquidity to banks through the use of the Bank Term Financing Program (BTFP). Another classic pattern that emerges in this context is when officials publicly announce how strong and safe the banking system is, and people don't need to worry.</p><p>Last Sunday, Janet Yellen, Jerome Powell, and Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Chairman Martin Glenberg informed the public that Silicon Valley Bank depositors would receive all their funds on Monday, a move that also reassured the market. We have seen similar moves in past crises. As a German, I particularly remember a similar statement from German officials in 2008, assuring the German public that their deposits were safe, just like hell after the collapse of Lehman Brothers.</p><p>Although these reactions are doing their job—restoring confidence in the banking system and financial markets—they are sometimes short-lived and a warning sign of what is to come. In a well-functioning market, such statements are unnecessary when market participants are full of confidence (or even euphoria) in the prospects or safety of banks. The fact that the Federal Reserve has to intervene is also not a good sign, although such interventions sometimes work—such as in 2020, when a lot of liquidity was provided. However, in the medium term (perhaps three years from now), the unintended consequences of injecting huge amounts of money into the market may become apparent (because speculating with this money has led to bad decisions, high-risk bets, and now defaults and bank failures).</p><p>02</p><p>Question: Trust and Confidence</p><p>A major problem for banks (and similar institutions) is the role of trust and confidence—especially since many people (including investors) misunderstand the importance of trust and confidence. While trust is crucial when it comes to whether people will deposit or withdraw money at a bank, it is difficult to measure confidence.</p><p>This is particularly problematic because the situation could change within days: panic could quickly spread throughout the country (or the world), and depositors who trusted banks last week could suddenly panic and try to withdraw their funds. Therefore, simply looking at the balance sheet is not enough, because bank runs and people's loss of trust will cause many banks to collapse. The collapse of several institutions, reports from several major news headlines and national television stations, may be enough to trigger panic.</p><p>A recent study showed the vulnerability of the U.S. banking system and how many banks would be technically insolvent in the event of a bank run. If we assume the worst-case scenario is that 100% of uninsured deposits are withdrawn, then more than 1,600 U.S. banks will fail (4,237 banks in total, according to FDIC data starting in 2021). But even assuming that only 30% of uninsured deposits are withdrawn, 106 banks would fail.</p><p>The problem is that when customers (for whatever reason) lose confidence and start withdrawing money, even well-capitalized banks can suddenly face significant trouble. A major upheaval in the banking system does not necessarily mean that banks will completely collapse. Withdrawing funds will cause problems earlier.</p><p>03</p><p>Problem: Non-performing</p><p>Although bank runs occur from time to time and may force banks to yield (which have indeed happened in the past few decades), they are not the main reason for bank failures. Bank failures caused by bank runs were more common in the first half of the 20th century (especially during the Great Depression, when thousands of banks failed), and after the Great Depression, systems were established to prevent bank runs.</p><p>Today, banks often fail because they have bad assets or the wrong assets at the wrong time (and often ignore or violate risk management principles). Now, with interest rates rising sharply over the past few quarters, banks may have the wrong loans on their books. Some banks—especially in Europe—may hold government bonds with (near) zero interest rates in their portfolios, and as interest rates rise, banks are forced to pay higher interest rates to depositors, which will cause problems over time.</p><p>The second typical problem is that asset prices are falling, and banks have so-called toxic assets on their books. During the Great Financial Crisis, it was subprime mortgages (or financial products based on subprime mortgages) that turned assets (or loans) into bad loans because banks lent money to people who were unable to repay their mortgages. Furthermore, assets may be completely mispriced and their value is declining—this usually happens after a bubble because banks may buy stocks (or other traded assets) at the wrong time at a price exceeding the asset's intrinsic value.</p><p>04</p><p>Complex and interconnected systems</p><p>So far, we have studied different risks in isolation. However, these events rarely occur alone. They typically reinforce each other, and a chain reaction (or domino effect) can quickly occur within the financial system, leading to a banking crisis. The World Bank writes:</p><p>A (systemic) banking crisis occurs when many banks in a country simultaneously face serious solvency or liquidity problems—either because all banks are subject to the same external shock, or because the failure of one bank or a group of banks spreads to other banks in the system. More specifically, a systemic banking crisis refers to a large number of defaults by a country's businesses and financial sector.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FISI\">Financial institutions</a>It is difficult for the company to repay the contract on time. It seems obvious that several banks in a country might fail at the same time because they all purchased similar assets that ended up being worth far less than previously estimated, but the spread of bank failures throughout the banking system was not initially so obvious. When a non-financial company goes bankrupt, it has some impact on suppliers and customers, and the supply chain is also disrupted to some extent. But it will not trigger a chain reaction like a bank failure. First, the erosion of trust replaced by panic will quickly spread throughout the banking industry. When one (or several) banks start to fail, you will begin to question whether your bank is safe and may take action to withdraw your investment. Secondly, because banks lend to each other and purchase assets issued by other banks, and there are countless connections between banks, the problem will quickly spread throughout the banking system.</p><p>The banking system, the stock market, and the economy are all complex nonlinear systems, with thousands of nodes and links intertwined in a complex system. I don't know what will happen, but I can see what will happen in a complex nonlinear system, and knowing what will happen is enough to make me very cautious. With so many unresolved issues, analysts still believe that now is not the time to buy bank shares.</p><p>Currently, small regional banks in particular have been hit hard, and in some cases they have lost 50% or more of their value in a very short period of time.</p><p>Now, some may ask whether the crisis has reached its later stages and whether we should start investing. To be honest: No! The answer is still: Not yet! Although problems are beginning to emerge, analysts believe we are not close to the bottom yet—neither in bank stocks nor in the stock market as a whole. Some banks may already seem cheap – especially smaller regional banks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f564a259d8bbaa50f3f576f3c367cc4\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p>Although some U.S. banks—including United Bank of America,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo Bank</a>And Bank of America – down 20% or more, but so far their Canadian counterparts have fared better.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb7c2b23c5266bcc582c6c903c23129\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p>05</p><p>conclusion</p><p>Banks are in trouble, and some are starting to fail. This is just another domino that has fallen, unfortunately, in accordance with the usual pattern of financial crises. Recessions are not always accompanied by bank crises, but bank failures are never a good sign. This is just the next step after early warning signs such as a yield curve inversion or a decline in the number of new housing permits. Of course, I could be wrong; we can always take the opposite view (the number of housing permits surged in February 2023, which does not fit the narrative of the crisis).</p><p>I don't know if we'll see a crisis similar to 2008, nor do I know what role similarly overvalued real estate might play in this crisis. However, so far, many signs suggest that the financial and economic system is facing a severe recession, and I completely agree with Ray Dalio's view:</p><p>I think this is a very classic event in the bubble bursting part of a short-term debt cycle (lasting about 7 years, or about 3 years). In this process, tightening money to curb credit growth and inflation leads to a self-reinforcing debt-credit contraction. This contraction process, through domino-like contagion, continues until banks create loose money, negating the debt-credit contraction, thus generating more new credit and debt, sowing the seeds for the next major debt problem, until these short-term cycles accumulate debt assets and liabilities to an unsustainable level, and the whole thing collapses in debt restructuring and debt monetization (which usually happens about once every 75 years, about 25 years).</body></html></p>","source":"mgyjs","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Banking crisis: Where will the next domino fall?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBanking crisis: Where will the next domino fall?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">美股研究社</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-03-24 22:33</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Over the past two weeks, the crisis has suddenly escalated, with the S&P 500 index depreciating again amid a bear market. This article will focus on the banking system and the collapse of banks. But banks play an important role in the economy, and troubled banks could become a negative catalyst for the crisis.</p><p>01</p><p>overview</p><p>There are basically two main news reports. On the one hand, Switzerland<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">Credit Suisse</a>The group is being surpassed by UBS Group; On the other hand, several American banks<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a>When it went bankrupt at the urging of competitors, the government and the Federal Reserve intervened.</p><p>Let's start with Credit Suisse. The Swiss bank's troubles are not surprising, as reports of the company's troubles had been circulating for several months. However, in recent days, the situation has suddenly become more dramatic. Last week, it was reported that the Swiss National Bank and FINMA (the Swiss financial regulator) would provide Credit Suisse with an emergency loan of 50 billion Swiss francs (if necessary). Over the weekend—something that always happens when markets are closed on weekends—UBS agreed to buy Credit Suisse for $3.25 billion, about half its previous share price but far above the initial $1 billion offer, which Credit Suisse rejected.</p><p>But it's not just Credit Suisse that's in trouble – the week before,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>The collapse brought the US banking crisis to a temporary climax. It might not be surprising to see Credit Suisse in trouble, as reports of the company's troubles had been published months ago, but certainly no one could have predicted a bank failure in the United States (although bank failures are one of the possible events in every crisis and bear market).</p><p>Just like in similar situations in the past, we saw the \"classic\" reaction. The Federal Reserve responded by providing additional liquidity to banks through the use of the Bank Term Financing Program (BTFP). Another classic pattern that emerges in this context is when officials publicly announce how strong and safe the banking system is, and people don't need to worry.</p><p>Last Sunday, Janet Yellen, Jerome Powell, and Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Chairman Martin Glenberg informed the public that Silicon Valley Bank depositors would receive all their funds on Monday, a move that also reassured the market. We have seen similar moves in past crises. As a German, I particularly remember a similar statement from German officials in 2008, assuring the German public that their deposits were safe, just like hell after the collapse of Lehman Brothers.</p><p>Although these reactions are doing their job—restoring confidence in the banking system and financial markets—they are sometimes short-lived and a warning sign of what is to come. In a well-functioning market, such statements are unnecessary when market participants are full of confidence (or even euphoria) in the prospects or safety of banks. The fact that the Federal Reserve has to intervene is also not a good sign, although such interventions sometimes work—such as in 2020, when a lot of liquidity was provided. However, in the medium term (perhaps three years from now), the unintended consequences of injecting huge amounts of money into the market may become apparent (because speculating with this money has led to bad decisions, high-risk bets, and now defaults and bank failures).</p><p>02</p><p>Question: Trust and Confidence</p><p>A major problem for banks (and similar institutions) is the role of trust and confidence—especially since many people (including investors) misunderstand the importance of trust and confidence. While trust is crucial when it comes to whether people will deposit or withdraw money at a bank, it is difficult to measure confidence.</p><p>This is particularly problematic because the situation could change within days: panic could quickly spread throughout the country (or the world), and depositors who trusted banks last week could suddenly panic and try to withdraw their funds. Therefore, simply looking at the balance sheet is not enough, because bank runs and people's loss of trust will cause many banks to collapse. The collapse of several institutions, reports from several major news headlines and national television stations, may be enough to trigger panic.</p><p>A recent study showed the vulnerability of the U.S. banking system and how many banks would be technically insolvent in the event of a bank run. If we assume the worst-case scenario is that 100% of uninsured deposits are withdrawn, then more than 1,600 U.S. banks will fail (4,237 banks in total, according to FDIC data starting in 2021). But even assuming that only 30% of uninsured deposits are withdrawn, 106 banks would fail.</p><p>The problem is that when customers (for whatever reason) lose confidence and start withdrawing money, even well-capitalized banks can suddenly face significant trouble. A major upheaval in the banking system does not necessarily mean that banks will completely collapse. Withdrawing funds will cause problems earlier.</p><p>03</p><p>Problem: Non-performing</p><p>Although bank runs occur from time to time and may force banks to yield (which have indeed happened in the past few decades), they are not the main reason for bank failures. Bank failures caused by bank runs were more common in the first half of the 20th century (especially during the Great Depression, when thousands of banks failed), and after the Great Depression, systems were established to prevent bank runs.</p><p>Today, banks often fail because they have bad assets or the wrong assets at the wrong time (and often ignore or violate risk management principles). Now, with interest rates rising sharply over the past few quarters, banks may have the wrong loans on their books. Some banks—especially in Europe—may hold government bonds with (near) zero interest rates in their portfolios, and as interest rates rise, banks are forced to pay higher interest rates to depositors, which will cause problems over time.</p><p>The second typical problem is that asset prices are falling, and banks have so-called toxic assets on their books. During the Great Financial Crisis, it was subprime mortgages (or financial products based on subprime mortgages) that turned assets (or loans) into bad loans because banks lent money to people who were unable to repay their mortgages. Furthermore, assets may be completely mispriced and their value is declining—this usually happens after a bubble because banks may buy stocks (or other traded assets) at the wrong time at a price exceeding the asset's intrinsic value.</p><p>04</p><p>Complex and interconnected systems</p><p>So far, we have studied different risks in isolation. However, these events rarely occur alone. They typically reinforce each other, and a chain reaction (or domino effect) can quickly occur within the financial system, leading to a banking crisis. The World Bank writes:</p><p>A (systemic) banking crisis occurs when many banks in a country simultaneously face serious solvency or liquidity problems—either because all banks are subject to the same external shock, or because the failure of one bank or a group of banks spreads to other banks in the system. More specifically, a systemic banking crisis refers to a large number of defaults by a country's businesses and financial sector.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FISI\">Financial institutions</a>It is difficult for the company to repay the contract on time. It seems obvious that several banks in a country might fail at the same time because they all purchased similar assets that ended up being worth far less than previously estimated, but the spread of bank failures throughout the banking system was not initially so obvious. When a non-financial company goes bankrupt, it has some impact on suppliers and customers, and the supply chain is also disrupted to some extent. But it will not trigger a chain reaction like a bank failure. First, the erosion of trust replaced by panic will quickly spread throughout the banking industry. When one (or several) banks start to fail, you will begin to question whether your bank is safe and may take action to withdraw your investment. Secondly, because banks lend to each other and purchase assets issued by other banks, and there are countless connections between banks, the problem will quickly spread throughout the banking system.</p><p>The banking system, the stock market, and the economy are all complex nonlinear systems, with thousands of nodes and links intertwined in a complex system. I don't know what will happen, but I can see what will happen in a complex nonlinear system, and knowing what will happen is enough to make me very cautious. With so many unresolved issues, analysts still believe that now is not the time to buy bank shares.</p><p>Currently, small regional banks in particular have been hit hard, and in some cases they have lost 50% or more of their value in a very short period of time.</p><p>Now, some may ask whether the crisis has reached its later stages and whether we should start investing. To be honest: No! The answer is still: Not yet! Although problems are beginning to emerge, analysts believe we are not close to the bottom yet—neither in bank stocks nor in the stock market as a whole. Some banks may already seem cheap – especially smaller regional banks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f564a259d8bbaa50f3f576f3c367cc4\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p>Although some U.S. banks—including United Bank of America,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo Bank</a>And Bank of America – down 20% or more, but so far their Canadian counterparts have fared better.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb7c2b23c5266bcc582c6c903c23129\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p>05</p><p>conclusion</p><p>Banks are in trouble, and some are starting to fail. This is just another domino that has fallen, unfortunately, in accordance with the usual pattern of financial crises. Recessions are not always accompanied by bank crises, but bank failures are never a good sign. This is just the next step after early warning signs such as a yield curve inversion or a decline in the number of new housing permits. Of course, I could be wrong; we can always take the opposite view (the number of housing permits surged in February 2023, which does not fit the narrative of the crisis).</p><p>I don't know if we'll see a crisis similar to 2008, nor do I know what role similarly overvalued real estate might play in this crisis. However, so far, many signs suggest that the financial and economic system is facing a severe recession, and I completely agree with Ray Dalio's view:</p><p>I think this is a very classic event in the bubble bursting part of a short-term debt cycle (lasting about 7 years, or about 3 years). In this process, tightening money to curb credit growth and inflation leads to a self-reinforcing debt-credit contraction. This contraction process, through domino-like contagion, continues until banks create loose money, negating the debt-credit contraction, thus generating more new credit and debt, sowing the seeds for the next major debt problem, until these short-term cycles accumulate debt assets and liabilities to an unsustainable level, and the whole thing collapses in debt restructuring and debt monetization (which usually happens about once every 75 years, about 25 years).</body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzI4Mzc0ODQxOQ==&mid=2247669896&idx=6&sn=5e015ae9a4750da0fd02e789112ea54f&chksm=eb89e9a4dcfe60b2e083378a0d7b531feac3fd7291bc62274e5ef00ef0efe9d24a8db1e2cf81#rd\">美股研究社</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f410d25869e83895617f8fd0fb2de933","relate_stocks":{"SG9999002232.USD":"Allianz Global High Payout USD","LU0310799852.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton Global Equity Income A MDIS SGD","LU1244550221.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET INCOME \"A\" (USDHEDGED) INC (M)","LU0320765646.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Income A MDIS SGD-H1","LU0971096721.USD":"富达环球金融服务 A","LU0170899867.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS WORLD VALUE EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","SG9999002224.SGD":"Allianz Global High Payout SGD","LU0976567544.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton Global Income A Mdis SGD-H1","LU0417517546.SGD":"Allianz US Equity Cl AT Acc SGD","LU1267930490.SGD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"AS\" (SGD) INC A","BK4504":"桥水持仓","LU0149725797.USD":"汇丰美国股市经济规模基金","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4588":"碎股","LU0106831901.USD":"贝莱德世界金融基金A2","LU1668664300.SGD":"Blackrock World Financials A2 SGD-H","LU0208291251.USD":"FRANKLIN MUTUAL U.S. VALUE \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0882574139.USD":"富达环球消费行业基金A ACC","BK4552":"Archegos爆仓风波概念","LU1244550494.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET INCOME \"A\" (USDHEDGED) ACC","LU0256863811.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY \"A\" INC","BK4581":"高盛持仓","LU1162221912.USD":"FRANKLIN INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0070302665.USD":"FRANKLIN MUTUAL U.S. VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4207":"综合性银行","LU1261432733.SGD":"Fidelity World A-ACC-SGD","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","LU1244550577.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Global Multi-Asset Income A (Mdis) SGD-H1","IE0034235188.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL FOCUS EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0211328371.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"A\" (MDIS) (USD) INC","LU0211327993.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","JPM":"摩根大通","LU1363072403.SGD":"Fidelity Global Financial Services A-ACC-SGD","LU0211326839.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL INCOME \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0320765489.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Mutual US Value A Acc SGD","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU0496365809.HKD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL INCOME \"A\" (HKD) INC (Q)","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU1496350171.SGD":"FRANKLIN DIVERSIFIED BALANCED \"A\" (SGDHDG) ACC","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU0211326755.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4118":"综合性资本市场","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU1496350502.SGD":"FRANKLIN DIVERSIFIED DYNAMIC \"A\" (SGDHDG) ACC","BK4566":"资本集团"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzI4Mzc0ODQxOQ==&mid=2247669896&idx=6&sn=5e015ae9a4750da0fd02e789112ea54f&chksm=eb89e9a4dcfe60b2e083378a0d7b531feac3fd7291bc62274e5ef00ef0efe9d24a8db1e2cf81#rd","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2321098115","content_text":"过去两周,危机突然升温,伴随着熊市,标准普尔500指数再次贬值,在本文中将主要关注银行系统和银行的崩溃。但银行在经济中扮演着重要角色,而陷入困境的银行可能会成为危机的负面催化剂。01概述基本上有两个主要的新闻报道。一方面,瑞士的瑞士信贷集团正被瑞银集团超越;另一方面是美国的几家银行在摩根大通等竞争对手的促进下倒闭,官方以及美联储介入。让我们从瑞士信贷开始。这家瑞士银行陷入困境并不令人意外,因为有关该公司陷入困境的报道几个月前就已经有了。然而,最近几天,情况突然变得更加戏剧性。上周已经有报道称,瑞士国家银行和FINMA(瑞士金融监管机构)将为瑞士信贷提供500亿瑞士法郎的紧急贷款(如有必要)。在周末——这种事情总是在周末市场休市的时候发生——瑞银同意以32.5亿美元的价格收购瑞信,这个价格大约是其上次股价的一半,但远高于最初的10亿美元的报价,瑞信拒绝了这一报价。但陷入困境的不仅仅是瑞士信贷——在前一周,硅谷银行倒闭,美国银行业危机达到了暂时的高潮。看到瑞士信贷陷入困境也许并不奇怪,因为有关该公司陷入困境的报道几个月前就已经发布了,但肯定没有人能预见到美国的银行倒闭(尽管银行倒闭是每次危机和熊市中可能发生的事件之一)。就像在过去类似的情况下,我们看到了“经典”的反应。美联储的反应是通过使用银行定期融资计划(BTFP)为银行提供额外的流动性。在这种情况下出现的另一个经典模式是,官方公开宣布银行体系是多么强大和安全,人们不必担心。上周周日珍妮特·耶伦、杰罗姆·鲍威尔和联邦存款保险公司主席马丁·格伦伯格已经通知公众,硅谷银行的储户将在周一获得他们所有的资金,此举也安抚了市场。在过去的危机中,我们已经看到了类似的举动。作为一个德国人,我尤其记得德国官方在2008年发表了类似的声明,并向德国公众保证,他们的存款是安全的,就像雷曼兄弟倒闭后的地狱一样。尽管这些反应正在发挥其应有的作用——恢复人们对银行体系和金融市场的信心——但这些反应有时只是短期的,对即将发生的事情是一种警告信号。在运行良好的市场中,市场参与者对银行的前景或安全充满信心(甚至是欣快感),这样的声明是不必要的。美联储不得不进行干预也不是一个好迹象,尽管这种干预有时会奏效——比如在2020年,当时提供了大量流动性。然而,在中期(也许是三年后),向市场注入巨额资金的意外后果可能会显现出来(因为用这些钱进行投机导致了错误的决策、高风险的赌注,以及现在的违约和银行倒闭)。02问题:信任和信心银行(以及类似机构)的一个巨大问题是信任和信心所扮演的角色——尤其是许多人(包括投资者)误解了信任和信心的重要性。虽然在人们是否会在银行存钱或取款的问题上,信任是至关重要的,但很难衡量信心。这尤其成问题,因为情况可能在几天内发生变化:恐慌可能迅速蔓延到整个国家(或全世界),上周信任银行的储户会突然感到恐慌,并试图提取资金。因此,仅仅看资产负债表是不够的,因为银行挤兑和人们失去信任会让许多银行崩溃。几家机构倒闭,几家主要新闻头条和国家电视台的报道可能足以引发恐慌。最近的一项研究显示了美国银行系统的脆弱性,以及在银行挤兑的情况下,有多少银行会在技术上资不抵债。如果我们假设最坏的情况是100%的无保险存款被提取,那么超过1600家美国银行将倒闭(根据FDIC从2021年开始的数据,共有4237家银行)。但即使假设只有30%的无保险存款被提取,106家银行也会倒闭。问题是,当客户(无论出于何种原因)失去信心并开始提现时,即使是资本充足的银行也可能突然面临重大麻烦。对于银行体系的大动荡,银行并不一定会完全崩溃。提取资金会更早地产生问题。03问题:不良资产尽管银行挤兑时有发生,并可能迫使银行屈服(过去几十年确实发生过),但这并不是银行倒闭的主要原因。由于银行挤兑而导致的银行倒闭在20世纪上半叶更为常见(尤其是在大萧条期间,数千家银行倒闭),大萧条之后,人们建立了防止银行挤兑的系统。如今,银行倒闭的原因通常是它们在错误的时间拥有不良资产或错误的资产(而且经常忽视或违反风险管理原则)。现在,随着过去几个季度利率的急剧上升,银行账簿上可能有错误的贷款。一些银行——尤其是欧洲的银行——可能在其投资组合中持有(接近于)零利率的政府债券,随着利率的提高,银行被迫向储户支付更高的利率,随着时间的推移,这将带来问题。第二个典型问题是资产价格下跌,银行账面上有所谓的有毒资产。在金融大危机期间,正是次级抵押贷款(或基于次级抵押贷款的金融产品)——资产(或:贷款)变成了不良贷款,因为银行把钱借给了没有能力偿还抵押贷款的人。此外,资产可能完全被错误定价,价值正在下降——这通常发生在泡沫之后,因为银行可能在错误的时间购买股票(或其他交易资产),价格超过了资产的内在价值。04复杂且相互关联的系统到目前为止,我们孤立地研究了不同的风险。但这些事件很少单独发生。它们通常相互加强,连锁反应(或多米诺骨牌效应)可能很快在金融体系内发生,导致银行危机。世界银行写道:当一个国家的许多银行同时面临严重的偿付能力或流动性问题时,就会发生(系统性)银行危机——要么是因为所有银行都受到了相同的外部冲击,要么是因为一家银行或一组银行的倒闭蔓延到系统中的其他银行。更具体地说,系统性银行危机是指一个国家的企业和金融部门出现大量违约,金融机构和企业难以按时偿还合同。一个国家的几家银行可能同时倒闭,因为它们都购买了类似的资产,而这些资产的价值最终远低于先前的估计,这似乎很明显,但银行倒闭在整个银行系统中的蔓延最初并不那么明显。当一家非金融企业倒闭时,对供应商和客户都会产生一些影响,供应链也会受到一定程度的干扰。但它不会像银行倒闭那样引发连锁反应。首先,被恐慌所取代的信任侵蚀将迅速蔓延至整个银行业。当一家(或几家)银行开始倒闭时,你会开始质疑自己的银行是否安全,并可能采取撤资行动。其次,由于银行之间相互放贷,购买其他银行发行的资产,银行之间存在着无数的联系,因此问题将迅速蔓延到整个银行系统。银行系统、股票市场和经济都是复杂的非线性系统,数千个节点和环节交织在一个复杂的系统中,我不知道会发生什么,但我可以看到在一个复杂的非线性系统中会发生什么,知道会发生什么足以让我非常谨慎。有这么多悬而未决的问题,分析师仍然认为现在不是收购银行股的时候。目前,尤其是小型地区性银行受到了沉重打击,在某些情况下,它们在很短的时间内损失了50%甚至更多的价值。现在,有人可能会问,危机是否已经到了后期阶段,我们是否应该开始投资。说实话:没有!答案仍然是:还没有!尽管问题开始显现,但分析师认为我们还没有接近底部——无论是银行股还是整个股市。一些银行可能已经显得很便宜——尤其是规模较小的地区性银行。Data by YCharts虽然美国的一些银行——包括美国合众银行、富国银行和美国银行——下跌了20%甚至更多,但迄今为止,加拿大同行的表现要好一些。Data by YCharts05结论银行陷入困境,一些银行开始倒闭,这只是另一张多米诺骨牌的倒下,令人遗憾的是,这符合金融危机通常的发展模式。衰退并不总是与银行危机相伴,但银行倒闭从来不是一个好迹象。这只是收益率曲线反转或新住房许可证数量下降等早期预警信号之后的下一步。当然,我可能是错的,我们总是可以采取相反的观点(2023年2月住房许可证数量激增,这与危机的叙述不相符)。我不知道我们是否会看到类似于2008年的危机,我也不知道同样被高估的房地产在这场危机中可能扮演什么角色。然而,到目前为止,许多迹象都暗示着金融和经济体系将面临严重衰退,我完全同意Ray Dalio的观点:我认为这是短期债务周期中非常经典的泡沫破裂部分的一个非常经典的事件(大约持续7年,或者大约3年),在这个过程中,紧缩货币以抑制信贷增长和通货膨胀,导致了自我强化的债务-信贷收缩,这种收缩过程通过多米诺骨牌一样的传染,持续到银行创造宽松的货币,否定了债务-信贷收缩、 从而产生更多新的信贷和债务,为下一个大的债务问题埋下种子,直到这些短期周期将债务资产和负债积累到不可持续的地步,整个事情在债务重组和债务货币化中崩溃(通常大约每75年发生一次,大约25年左右)。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CS":1,"JPM":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4698,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9943144843,"gmtCreate":1679313636482,"gmtModify":1679313640622,"author":{"id":"4094983188358330","authorId":"4094983188358330","name":"我是梦幻金钱战士","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/99cba128d11b8be74b1f95636cd22ed7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094983188358330","authorIdStr":"4094983188358330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943144843","repostId":"2320682320","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2320682320","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"关注港股圈,这将是一笔最好的投资!","home_visible":1,"media_name":"真是港股圈","id":"34","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d530dcbc66604c01adb7b29512a93984"},"pubTimestamp":1679312047,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2320682320?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-20 19:34","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Credit Suisse's acquisition of the century, Saudi Arabia and investors became suckers","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2320682320","media":"真是港股圈","summary":"在过去的两个周末里,美国和欧洲金融圈发生的事情可以拍出一部美剧。电视剧第一幕以硅谷银行爆雷开始,危机带来的恐慌情绪引起美国中小银行股的大抛售,这是08年金融危机后未曾出现过的恐慌现象,最后美联储紧急出","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>What happened in the financial circles of the United States and Europe over the past two weekends could make an American TV series.</p><p>The first act of the TV series<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>The collapse began, and the panic caused by the crisis triggered a massive sell-off of small and medium-sized bank stocks in the United States. This was a panic phenomenon not seen since the 2008 financial crisis, and the Federal Reserve eventually intervened urgently to resolve the Silicon Valley Bank crisis.</p><p>On the surface, the repercussions of the risks brought about by Silicon Valley Bank have been eliminated. However, as we mentioned last week, due to the Federal Reserve's lax regulation of small and medium-sized banks, perhaps many more banks have the same undetonated landmine. At this point, Powell's every move was extremely dangerous.</p><p>According to US media reports, more than 20 private jets landed in Omaha last Friday, all carrying heads of regional banking institutions. As is well known, Omaha is a small city with only 400,000 people. Besides...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">Berkshire</a>Apart from Hathaway, only Hathaway remains.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCD\">McDonald's</a>and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">Walmart</a>So many bank executives flew to Omaha for only one purpose: to find Buffett.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93f331f575814979af1afb3736fb84ef\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>According to US media reports, Warren Buffett held talks with the Biden administration, where he provided opinions and guidance on the current crisis.</p><p>Buffett has long helped banks in crisis, using his investment position and influence to restore confidence in struggling banks.</p><p>Buffett provided $5 billion in bailouts during the 2008 financial crisis.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>。 During the 2011 U.S. sovereign debt crisis, Buffett invested $5 billion in Bank of America to help it weather the crisis, and Buffett also earned over $12 billion from this Bank of America deal. recent<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FRC\">First Republic Bank</a>Buffett was also involved in the collapse.</p><p>Whenever Bank of America faces a crisis, Buffett steps in to help at the right time. It can be said that Buffett is the savior of the banking industry during the crisis. Therefore, it is widely believed that Buffett may invest in US regional banks in some way.</p><p>Omaha was full of helicopters, and an old man slowly walked out. The government and banking industry visited highly respected elderly people for help, which was very similar to the plot of an American TV series. The plot can be cut to the other side: the outbreak of the US banking crisis triggered extreme panic among European banks.</p><p>Early this morning, Credit Suisse, which had a long history of trouble, finally couldn't hold on any longer, and UBS Group confirmed the acquisition of the crisis-ridden Credit Suisse. The announcement shows that UBS will acquire Credit Suisse for $3.23 billion, equivalent to a 50% discount to Credit Suisse's closing price last Friday.</p><p>Initially, Credit Suisse firmly refused. After all, Credit Suisse is a globally systemically important bank with a history of 167 years and once owned more than one trillion US dollars in assets. Moreover, the two were once competitors. Credit Suisse, with its reputation accumulated over the past century, absolutely did not want to be humiliatingly acquired at a low price.</p><p>But Swiss authorities were eager to broker the deal before global stock markets opened, and the Swiss government warned Credit Suisse that it would consider nationalizing Credit Suisse if it did not accept UBS's takeover offer. If it were to be nationalized, the final acquisition price might be far lower than the terms offered by UBS, and Credit Suisse would eventually be forced to sell.</p><p>UBS will bear 9 billion Swiss francs in losses, while the Swiss National Bank will guarantee the transaction, providing UBS with $100 billion in liquidity. The Swiss government also guaranteed UBS 900 million Swiss francs in losses.</p><p><b>It is worth noting that UBS stated that the 22.48 Credit Suisse shares held by Credit Suisse shareholders will be exchanged for 1 UBS share, equivalent to 0.76 Swiss francs per share, for a total consideration of 3 billion Swiss francs. This means that shareholders who previously held Credit Suisse shares will suffer significant losses.</b></p><p><b>Last week, the Saudi National Bank said it would no longer inject capital into Credit Suisse, causing Credit Suisse's share price to plummet. The Saudi investor probably never expected that the value of the nearly 10% of Credit Suisse shares he bought for $1.4 billion last year would shrink to $300 million in just a few days, leaving only 20% of the money he had invested.</b></p><p><b>Saudi investors were completely fooled by the Europeans, hoping to buy Credit Suisse, which was once worth hundreds of billions, at the bottom. However, after buying it, they were trapped and forced by the Swiss government to reach an acquisition agreement.</b></p><p><b>Meanwhile, Saudi investors were not the only ones hurt; other investors who bought Credit Suisse coco bonds also suffered in silence.</b></p><p>According to a UBS announcement, Credit Suisse's $17.2 billion in additional primary capital market bonds, which can be called AT1 or coco bonds, will be fully written down. This means that Credit Suisse's bonds become worthless, and those who buy them will not receive the principal and interest.</p><p>Logically speaking, the liquidation order for bank failures should be deposits → bonds → stocks. Bonds have a higher liquidation priority than equities, so why were these debts written down?</p><p>AT1 bonds are very popular in European banks, mainly to replenish their Tier 1 capital. These are convertible bonds that trigger a conversion mechanism when the issuer's capital adequacy ratio falls below a certain level, converting the bonds into shares or writing them down.</p><p>Because Europe has been in a low-interest-rate environment for a long time, market investors lack high-yield bonds. The high-yield bonds issued by these banks have attracted many investors to buy them. It is understood that Credit Suisse's AT1 bonds yield as high as 7%.</p><p>With such high returns, there are correspondingly high risks. The AT1 bond contract contains a clause called \"write down,\" which states that banks can write down AT1 bonds under various circumstances, and investors may not be able to get their money back.</p><p>This includes writing down AT1 bonds when a bank's Tier 1 capital falls below a certain threshold and there is a risk of a bank rushing to withdraw funds. Credit Suisse is currently in a situation where its Tier 1 capital is below a certain threshold, and its AT1 bonds meet the conditions for being \"written down\".</p><p>It is worth noting that the total size of the coco bond market is $275 billion, and the write-down of Credit Suisse's $17 billion worth of coco bonds means that the coco bond market will be repriced. Currently, AT1 bonds issued by some Asian banks have plummeted, marking the largest drop, falling 20% below par value.</p><p>The current concern is that the value of the coco bond market will continue to decline, as pension funds, funds, and insurance companies are the main holders of coco bonds. If the sharp decline continues, the European market may face an even greater crisis. It is understood that,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601099\">Pacific Ocean</a>Investment management companies, Invesco Holdings, BFMC, and other institutions are asset management companies that hold Credit Suisse AT1 bonds, but these institutions cannot get a single penny back.</p><p><b>epilogue</b></p><p>The European market is now panicking that the write-down of Credit Suisse's coco bonds may spread to other banks. If the prices of other banks' AT1 bonds fall, it could crisis their capital adequacy ratios and trigger a chain reaction.</p><p>In Credit Suisse's deal of the century, Saudi Arabia's financial backers and the investors who bought coco bonds suffered the most. The value of one of their shares was reduced to 20%, while the other group of investors suffered a huge loss of 16 billion. This humiliating merger also reveals the fragility of the European financial system.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Credit Suisse's acquisition of the century, Saudi Arabia and investors became suckers</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCredit Suisse's acquisition of the century, Saudi Arabia and investors became suckers\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/34\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d530dcbc66604c01adb7b29512a93984);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">真是港股圈 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-03-20 19:34</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>What happened in the financial circles of the United States and Europe over the past two weekends could make an American TV series.</p><p>The first act of the TV series<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>The collapse began, and the panic caused by the crisis triggered a massive sell-off of small and medium-sized bank stocks in the United States. This was a panic phenomenon not seen since the 2008 financial crisis, and the Federal Reserve eventually intervened urgently to resolve the Silicon Valley Bank crisis.</p><p>On the surface, the repercussions of the risks brought about by Silicon Valley Bank have been eliminated. However, as we mentioned last week, due to the Federal Reserve's lax regulation of small and medium-sized banks, perhaps many more banks have the same undetonated landmine. At this point, Powell's every move was extremely dangerous.</p><p>According to US media reports, more than 20 private jets landed in Omaha last Friday, all carrying heads of regional banking institutions. As is well known, Omaha is a small city with only 400,000 people. Besides...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">Berkshire</a>Apart from Hathaway, only Hathaway remains.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCD\">McDonald's</a>and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">Walmart</a>So many bank executives flew to Omaha for only one purpose: to find Buffett.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93f331f575814979af1afb3736fb84ef\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>According to US media reports, Warren Buffett held talks with the Biden administration, where he provided opinions and guidance on the current crisis.</p><p>Buffett has long helped banks in crisis, using his investment position and influence to restore confidence in struggling banks.</p><p>Buffett provided $5 billion in bailouts during the 2008 financial crisis.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>。 During the 2011 U.S. sovereign debt crisis, Buffett invested $5 billion in Bank of America to help it weather the crisis, and Buffett also earned over $12 billion from this Bank of America deal. recent<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FRC\">First Republic Bank</a>Buffett was also involved in the collapse.</p><p>Whenever Bank of America faces a crisis, Buffett steps in to help at the right time. It can be said that Buffett is the savior of the banking industry during the crisis. Therefore, it is widely believed that Buffett may invest in US regional banks in some way.</p><p>Omaha was full of helicopters, and an old man slowly walked out. The government and banking industry visited highly respected elderly people for help, which was very similar to the plot of an American TV series. The plot can be cut to the other side: the outbreak of the US banking crisis triggered extreme panic among European banks.</p><p>Early this morning, Credit Suisse, which had a long history of trouble, finally couldn't hold on any longer, and UBS Group confirmed the acquisition of the crisis-ridden Credit Suisse. The announcement shows that UBS will acquire Credit Suisse for $3.23 billion, equivalent to a 50% discount to Credit Suisse's closing price last Friday.</p><p>Initially, Credit Suisse firmly refused. After all, Credit Suisse is a globally systemically important bank with a history of 167 years and once owned more than one trillion US dollars in assets. Moreover, the two were once competitors. Credit Suisse, with its reputation accumulated over the past century, absolutely did not want to be humiliatingly acquired at a low price.</p><p>But Swiss authorities were eager to broker the deal before global stock markets opened, and the Swiss government warned Credit Suisse that it would consider nationalizing Credit Suisse if it did not accept UBS's takeover offer. If it were to be nationalized, the final acquisition price might be far lower than the terms offered by UBS, and Credit Suisse would eventually be forced to sell.</p><p>UBS will bear 9 billion Swiss francs in losses, while the Swiss National Bank will guarantee the transaction, providing UBS with $100 billion in liquidity. The Swiss government also guaranteed UBS 900 million Swiss francs in losses.</p><p><b>It is worth noting that UBS stated that the 22.48 Credit Suisse shares held by Credit Suisse shareholders will be exchanged for 1 UBS share, equivalent to 0.76 Swiss francs per share, for a total consideration of 3 billion Swiss francs. This means that shareholders who previously held Credit Suisse shares will suffer significant losses.</b></p><p><b>Last week, the Saudi National Bank said it would no longer inject capital into Credit Suisse, causing Credit Suisse's share price to plummet. The Saudi investor probably never expected that the value of the nearly 10% of Credit Suisse shares he bought for $1.4 billion last year would shrink to $300 million in just a few days, leaving only 20% of the money he had invested.</b></p><p><b>Saudi investors were completely fooled by the Europeans, hoping to buy Credit Suisse, which was once worth hundreds of billions, at the bottom. However, after buying it, they were trapped and forced by the Swiss government to reach an acquisition agreement.</b></p><p><b>Meanwhile, Saudi investors were not the only ones hurt; other investors who bought Credit Suisse coco bonds also suffered in silence.</b></p><p>According to a UBS announcement, Credit Suisse's $17.2 billion in additional primary capital market bonds, which can be called AT1 or coco bonds, will be fully written down. This means that Credit Suisse's bonds become worthless, and those who buy them will not receive the principal and interest.</p><p>Logically speaking, the liquidation order for bank failures should be deposits → bonds → stocks. Bonds have a higher liquidation priority than equities, so why were these debts written down?</p><p>AT1 bonds are very popular in European banks, mainly to replenish their Tier 1 capital. These are convertible bonds that trigger a conversion mechanism when the issuer's capital adequacy ratio falls below a certain level, converting the bonds into shares or writing them down.</p><p>Because Europe has been in a low-interest-rate environment for a long time, market investors lack high-yield bonds. The high-yield bonds issued by these banks have attracted many investors to buy them. It is understood that Credit Suisse's AT1 bonds yield as high as 7%.</p><p>With such high returns, there are correspondingly high risks. The AT1 bond contract contains a clause called \"write down,\" which states that banks can write down AT1 bonds under various circumstances, and investors may not be able to get their money back.</p><p>This includes writing down AT1 bonds when a bank's Tier 1 capital falls below a certain threshold and there is a risk of a bank rushing to withdraw funds. Credit Suisse is currently in a situation where its Tier 1 capital is below a certain threshold, and its AT1 bonds meet the conditions for being \"written down\".</p><p>It is worth noting that the total size of the coco bond market is $275 billion, and the write-down of Credit Suisse's $17 billion worth of coco bonds means that the coco bond market will be repriced. Currently, AT1 bonds issued by some Asian banks have plummeted, marking the largest drop, falling 20% below par value.</p><p>The current concern is that the value of the coco bond market will continue to decline, as pension funds, funds, and insurance companies are the main holders of coco bonds. If the sharp decline continues, the European market may face an even greater crisis. It is understood that,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601099\">Pacific Ocean</a>Investment management companies, Invesco Holdings, BFMC, and other institutions are asset management companies that hold Credit Suisse AT1 bonds, but these institutions cannot get a single penny back.</p><p><b>epilogue</b></p><p>The European market is now panicking that the write-down of Credit Suisse's coco bonds may spread to other banks. If the prices of other banks' AT1 bonds fall, it could crisis their capital adequacy ratios and trigger a chain reaction.</p><p>In Credit Suisse's deal of the century, Saudi Arabia's financial backers and the investors who bought coco bonds suffered the most. The value of one of their shares was reduced to 20%, while the other group of investors suffered a huge loss of 16 billion. This humiliating merger also reveals the fragility of the European financial system.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43c7a8fcc1bc91528f3f7c05a51a2622","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2320682320","content_text":"在过去的两个周末里,美国和欧洲金融圈发生的事情可以拍出一部美剧。电视剧第一幕以硅谷银行爆雷开始,危机带来的恐慌情绪引起美国中小银行股的大抛售,这是08年金融危机后未曾出现过的恐慌现象,最后美联储紧急出手解除硅谷银行危机。从明面上看,硅谷银行带来的风险余波已解除。但我们上周提到过,由于美联储对中小型银行的监管力度宽松,或许有更多银行有同样的地雷未被引爆。在这时,鲍威尔的每一步都十分危险。据美媒报道,上周五美国超过20架私人飞机在奥马哈降落,私人飞机上全是地区性银行机构的负责人。众所周知,奥马哈是只有40万人的小城市,奥马哈除了伯克希尔哈撒韦以外,就只剩麦当劳和沃尔玛了,那么多银行机构负责人飞到奥马哈,目的只有一个,那就是找巴菲特。美媒称,巴菲特与拜登政府进行了对话,巴菲特针对当前危机给出了意见和指导。一直以来,巴菲特都在帮助陷入危机的银行,利用他的投资地位和影响力来恢复人们对陷入困境的银行的信心。巴菲特在2008年金融危机期间,拿出50亿美元救助高盛。在2011年美国主权债务危机期间,向美国银行投资50亿美元,帮助美银渡过危机时刻,巴菲特也从美银这笔交易中赚超120亿美元。近期第一共和银行的爆雷,巴菲特也有所参与。每当美国银行出现危机时,巴菲特都会在合适的时机出手相助,可以说,巴菲特是银行业危机中的救星。由此,外界认为巴菲特此次可能以某种方式投资美国地区性银行。奥马哈停满直升机,一个老头缓缓走出来,政府和银行业拜访求助德高望重的老人,这像极了美剧中的剧情。剧情可以切至另外一边,美国银行危机的爆雷,引发起欧洲银行的极度恐慌。在今日凌晨,劣迹已久的瑞信终于撑不住了,瑞银集团确认收购陷入危机的瑞信。公告显示,瑞银将以32.3亿美元收购瑞信,相当于瑞信上周五收盘价打五折。在一开始,瑞信坚决拒绝,毕竟瑞信是有167年历史的,曾经拥有过一万多亿美元资产的全球系统性重要的银行,且两家曾经是竞争对手,瑞信在过去一百多年间积累的声誉,绝不想被低价屈辱性的收购。但瑞士当局急于在全球股市开门前撮合这笔交易,瑞士政府警告瑞信称,若不接受瑞银的收购要约,那政府将考虑将瑞信国有化。若被国有化交易,那最后可能收购价远不及瑞银给出的条件,最后瑞信被迫卖出。瑞银将承担90亿瑞郎的损失,而瑞士央行为这笔交易做出担保,将向瑞银提供1000亿美元的流动性,瑞士政府还为瑞银担保了9亿瑞郎的损失。值得注意的是,瑞银表示,瑞信股东所持有的22.48股瑞信股票,将换得1股瑞银股票,相当于每股0.76瑞郎,总对价为30亿瑞士法郎,这意味着此前持有瑞信股票的股东都会有大幅损失。上周,沙特国家银行表示不会再为瑞信注资,这引起瑞信的股价大跌。可能沙特金主万万没想到,自己去年用14亿美元买来的近10%瑞信股份,在几天内股份价值就瞬间缩水至3亿美元,投进来的钱突然就剩20%了。沙特金主可算是被欧洲人耍的团团转,想着进来抄底一把曾经千亿市值的瑞信,结果抄完被套牢,还要受瑞士政府的强迫达成收购协议。同时,受伤的不止沙特金主一人,其他买了瑞信coco债的投资者也吃了哑巴亏。据瑞银公告称,瑞信的172亿美元的额外一级资本市场债券将全额减记,这类债券可叫AT1或叫coco债。这意味着瑞信的债券变得一文不值,买了该债券的人将无法拿到本金和利息。按理说,银行倒闭的清算顺序是存款→债→股,债券比股权的清算优先级要高,那为什么这些债被减记了?AT1债券在欧洲银行十分流行,主要以补充银行的一级资本金,这是一种可转换债券,在发行者的资本充足率低于某个水平时,就会触发转换机制,将债券转换为股票或者减记。由于欧洲长期处在低利率的环境下,市场投资者缺少高息债券,这些银行所发行的高息债券就吸引了很多投资者来购买,据了解,瑞信的AT1债券回报高达7%。有如此高的回报,也有相对应的高风险。AT1债券的合同里有一个条款名为“write down”(损失吸收机制),列出了银行在各式各样的情况下,AT1债可以被减记,投资者可能拿不回钱。其中即包括,银行一级资本金低于某个门槛时,银行出现挤提的风险时,AT1债就可以被减记。而目前瑞信就处在一级资本金低于某个门槛的情况,瑞信的AT1债符合被“write down”的条件。值得注意的是,coco债券市场总规模为2750亿美元,而现在瑞信价值170亿美元的coco债被减记后,意味着coco债券市场将要被重新定价。目前,亚洲部分银行的AT1债券大幅跳水,已创下最大跌幅,较面值跌去20%。现担忧的是,coco债券市场的价值会继续下跌,由于养老金、基金、保险是coco债券的主要持有人,若大跌持续下去,欧洲市场可能有更大的危机。据了解,太平洋投资管理公司、景顺控股、BFMC等机构是持有瑞信AT1债券的资产管理公司,而这些机构是一分钱都拿不回来了。结语现在欧洲市场在恐慌着瑞信coco债券的减记可能会蔓延至其他银行,其他银行的AT1债券价格若下跌,可能危机到其他银行的资本充足率,引起连锁反应。在瑞信这笔世纪交易中,沙特金主和买coco债的投资者属实最惨,一个持有的股份价值被缩减至20%,另一批投资者血亏160亿,在这次屈辱性的合并中,也展现出欧洲金融体系脆弱的一面。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5382,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9943144379,"gmtCreate":1679313576292,"gmtModify":1679313581644,"author":{"id":"4094983188358330","authorId":"4094983188358330","name":"我是梦幻金钱战士","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/99cba128d11b8be74b1f95636cd22ed7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094983188358330","authorIdStr":"4094983188358330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943144379","repostId":"2320682320","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2320682320","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"关注港股圈,这将是一笔最好的投资!","home_visible":1,"media_name":"真是港股圈","id":"34","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d530dcbc66604c01adb7b29512a93984"},"pubTimestamp":1679312047,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2320682320?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-20 19:34","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Credit Suisse's acquisition of the century, Saudi Arabia and investors became suckers","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2320682320","media":"真是港股圈","summary":"在过去的两个周末里,美国和欧洲金融圈发生的事情可以拍出一部美剧。电视剧第一幕以硅谷银行爆雷开始,危机带来的恐慌情绪引起美国中小银行股的大抛售,这是08年金融危机后未曾出现过的恐慌现象,最后美联储紧急出","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>What happened in the financial circles of the United States and Europe over the past two weekends could make an American TV series.</p><p>The first act of the TV series<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>The collapse began, and the panic caused by the crisis triggered a massive sell-off of small and medium-sized bank stocks in the United States. This was a panic phenomenon not seen since the 2008 financial crisis, and the Federal Reserve eventually intervened urgently to resolve the Silicon Valley Bank crisis.</p><p>On the surface, the repercussions of the risks brought about by Silicon Valley Bank have been eliminated. However, as we mentioned last week, due to the Federal Reserve's lax regulation of small and medium-sized banks, perhaps many more banks have the same undetonated landmine. At this point, Powell's every move was extremely dangerous.</p><p>According to US media reports, more than 20 private jets landed in Omaha last Friday, all carrying heads of regional banking institutions. As is well known, Omaha is a small city with only 400,000 people. Besides...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">Berkshire</a>Apart from Hathaway, only Hathaway remains.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCD\">McDonald's</a>and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">Walmart</a>So many bank executives flew to Omaha for only one purpose: to find Buffett.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93f331f575814979af1afb3736fb84ef\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>According to US media reports, Warren Buffett held talks with the Biden administration, where he provided opinions and guidance on the current crisis.</p><p>Buffett has long helped banks in crisis, using his investment position and influence to restore confidence in struggling banks.</p><p>Buffett provided $5 billion in bailouts during the 2008 financial crisis.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>。 During the 2011 U.S. sovereign debt crisis, Buffett invested $5 billion in Bank of America to help it weather the crisis, and Buffett also earned over $12 billion from this Bank of America deal. recent<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FRC\">First Republic Bank</a>Buffett was also involved in the collapse.</p><p>Whenever Bank of America faces a crisis, Buffett steps in to help at the right time. It can be said that Buffett is the savior of the banking industry during the crisis. Therefore, it is widely believed that Buffett may invest in US regional banks in some way.</p><p>Omaha was full of helicopters, and an old man slowly walked out. The government and banking industry visited highly respected elderly people for help, which was very similar to the plot of an American TV series. The plot can be cut to the other side: the outbreak of the US banking crisis triggered extreme panic among European banks.</p><p>Early this morning, Credit Suisse, which had a long history of trouble, finally couldn't hold on any longer, and UBS Group confirmed the acquisition of the crisis-ridden Credit Suisse. The announcement shows that UBS will acquire Credit Suisse for $3.23 billion, equivalent to a 50% discount to Credit Suisse's closing price last Friday.</p><p>Initially, Credit Suisse firmly refused. After all, Credit Suisse is a globally systemically important bank with a history of 167 years and once owned more than one trillion US dollars in assets. Moreover, the two were once competitors. Credit Suisse, with its reputation accumulated over the past century, absolutely did not want to be humiliatingly acquired at a low price.</p><p>But Swiss authorities were eager to broker the deal before global stock markets opened, and the Swiss government warned Credit Suisse that it would consider nationalizing Credit Suisse if it did not accept UBS's takeover offer. If it were to be nationalized, the final acquisition price might be far lower than the terms offered by UBS, and Credit Suisse would eventually be forced to sell.</p><p>UBS will bear 9 billion Swiss francs in losses, while the Swiss National Bank will guarantee the transaction, providing UBS with $100 billion in liquidity. The Swiss government also guaranteed UBS 900 million Swiss francs in losses.</p><p><b>It is worth noting that UBS stated that the 22.48 Credit Suisse shares held by Credit Suisse shareholders will be exchanged for 1 UBS share, equivalent to 0.76 Swiss francs per share, for a total consideration of 3 billion Swiss francs. This means that shareholders who previously held Credit Suisse shares will suffer significant losses.</b></p><p><b>Last week, the Saudi National Bank said it would no longer inject capital into Credit Suisse, causing Credit Suisse's share price to plummet. The Saudi investor probably never expected that the value of the nearly 10% of Credit Suisse shares he bought for $1.4 billion last year would shrink to $300 million in just a few days, leaving only 20% of the money he had invested.</b></p><p><b>Saudi investors were completely fooled by the Europeans, hoping to buy Credit Suisse, which was once worth hundreds of billions, at the bottom. However, after buying it, they were trapped and forced by the Swiss government to reach an acquisition agreement.</b></p><p><b>Meanwhile, Saudi investors were not the only ones hurt; other investors who bought Credit Suisse coco bonds also suffered in silence.</b></p><p>According to a UBS announcement, Credit Suisse's $17.2 billion in additional primary capital market bonds, which can be called AT1 or coco bonds, will be fully written down. This means that Credit Suisse's bonds become worthless, and those who buy them will not receive the principal and interest.</p><p>Logically speaking, the liquidation order for bank failures should be deposits → bonds → stocks. Bonds have a higher liquidation priority than equities, so why were these debts written down?</p><p>AT1 bonds are very popular in European banks, mainly to replenish their Tier 1 capital. These are convertible bonds that trigger a conversion mechanism when the issuer's capital adequacy ratio falls below a certain level, converting the bonds into shares or writing them down.</p><p>Because Europe has been in a low-interest-rate environment for a long time, market investors lack high-yield bonds. The high-yield bonds issued by these banks have attracted many investors to buy them. It is understood that Credit Suisse's AT1 bonds yield as high as 7%.</p><p>With such high returns, there are correspondingly high risks. The AT1 bond contract contains a clause called \"write down,\" which states that banks can write down AT1 bonds under various circumstances, and investors may not be able to get their money back.</p><p>This includes writing down AT1 bonds when a bank's Tier 1 capital falls below a certain threshold and there is a risk of a bank rushing to withdraw funds. Credit Suisse is currently in a situation where its Tier 1 capital is below a certain threshold, and its AT1 bonds meet the conditions for being \"written down\".</p><p>It is worth noting that the total size of the coco bond market is $275 billion, and the write-down of Credit Suisse's $17 billion worth of coco bonds means that the coco bond market will be repriced. Currently, AT1 bonds issued by some Asian banks have plummeted, marking the largest drop, falling 20% below par value.</p><p>The current concern is that the value of the coco bond market will continue to decline, as pension funds, funds, and insurance companies are the main holders of coco bonds. If the sharp decline continues, the European market may face an even greater crisis. It is understood that,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601099\">Pacific Ocean</a>Investment management companies, Invesco Holdings, BFMC, and other institutions are asset management companies that hold Credit Suisse AT1 bonds, but these institutions cannot get a single penny back.</p><p><b>epilogue</b></p><p>The European market is now panicking that the write-down of Credit Suisse's coco bonds may spread to other banks. If the prices of other banks' AT1 bonds fall, it could crisis their capital adequacy ratios and trigger a chain reaction.</p><p>In Credit Suisse's deal of the century, Saudi Arabia's financial backers and the investors who bought coco bonds suffered the most. The value of one of their shares was reduced to 20%, while the other group of investors suffered a huge loss of 16 billion. This humiliating merger also reveals the fragility of the European financial system.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Credit Suisse's acquisition of the century, Saudi Arabia and investors became suckers</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCredit Suisse's acquisition of the century, Saudi Arabia and investors became suckers\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/34\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d530dcbc66604c01adb7b29512a93984);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">真是港股圈 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-03-20 19:34</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>What happened in the financial circles of the United States and Europe over the past two weekends could make an American TV series.</p><p>The first act of the TV series<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>The collapse began, and the panic caused by the crisis triggered a massive sell-off of small and medium-sized bank stocks in the United States. This was a panic phenomenon not seen since the 2008 financial crisis, and the Federal Reserve eventually intervened urgently to resolve the Silicon Valley Bank crisis.</p><p>On the surface, the repercussions of the risks brought about by Silicon Valley Bank have been eliminated. However, as we mentioned last week, due to the Federal Reserve's lax regulation of small and medium-sized banks, perhaps many more banks have the same undetonated landmine. At this point, Powell's every move was extremely dangerous.</p><p>According to US media reports, more than 20 private jets landed in Omaha last Friday, all carrying heads of regional banking institutions. As is well known, Omaha is a small city with only 400,000 people. Besides...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">Berkshire</a>Apart from Hathaway, only Hathaway remains.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCD\">McDonald's</a>and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">Walmart</a>So many bank executives flew to Omaha for only one purpose: to find Buffett.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93f331f575814979af1afb3736fb84ef\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>According to US media reports, Warren Buffett held talks with the Biden administration, where he provided opinions and guidance on the current crisis.</p><p>Buffett has long helped banks in crisis, using his investment position and influence to restore confidence in struggling banks.</p><p>Buffett provided $5 billion in bailouts during the 2008 financial crisis.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>。 During the 2011 U.S. sovereign debt crisis, Buffett invested $5 billion in Bank of America to help it weather the crisis, and Buffett also earned over $12 billion from this Bank of America deal. recent<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FRC\">First Republic Bank</a>Buffett was also involved in the collapse.</p><p>Whenever Bank of America faces a crisis, Buffett steps in to help at the right time. It can be said that Buffett is the savior of the banking industry during the crisis. Therefore, it is widely believed that Buffett may invest in US regional banks in some way.</p><p>Omaha was full of helicopters, and an old man slowly walked out. The government and banking industry visited highly respected elderly people for help, which was very similar to the plot of an American TV series. The plot can be cut to the other side: the outbreak of the US banking crisis triggered extreme panic among European banks.</p><p>Early this morning, Credit Suisse, which had a long history of trouble, finally couldn't hold on any longer, and UBS Group confirmed the acquisition of the crisis-ridden Credit Suisse. The announcement shows that UBS will acquire Credit Suisse for $3.23 billion, equivalent to a 50% discount to Credit Suisse's closing price last Friday.</p><p>Initially, Credit Suisse firmly refused. After all, Credit Suisse is a globally systemically important bank with a history of 167 years and once owned more than one trillion US dollars in assets. Moreover, the two were once competitors. Credit Suisse, with its reputation accumulated over the past century, absolutely did not want to be humiliatingly acquired at a low price.</p><p>But Swiss authorities were eager to broker the deal before global stock markets opened, and the Swiss government warned Credit Suisse that it would consider nationalizing Credit Suisse if it did not accept UBS's takeover offer. If it were to be nationalized, the final acquisition price might be far lower than the terms offered by UBS, and Credit Suisse would eventually be forced to sell.</p><p>UBS will bear 9 billion Swiss francs in losses, while the Swiss National Bank will guarantee the transaction, providing UBS with $100 billion in liquidity. The Swiss government also guaranteed UBS 900 million Swiss francs in losses.</p><p><b>It is worth noting that UBS stated that the 22.48 Credit Suisse shares held by Credit Suisse shareholders will be exchanged for 1 UBS share, equivalent to 0.76 Swiss francs per share, for a total consideration of 3 billion Swiss francs. This means that shareholders who previously held Credit Suisse shares will suffer significant losses.</b></p><p><b>Last week, the Saudi National Bank said it would no longer inject capital into Credit Suisse, causing Credit Suisse's share price to plummet. The Saudi investor probably never expected that the value of the nearly 10% of Credit Suisse shares he bought for $1.4 billion last year would shrink to $300 million in just a few days, leaving only 20% of the money he had invested.</b></p><p><b>Saudi investors were completely fooled by the Europeans, hoping to buy Credit Suisse, which was once worth hundreds of billions, at the bottom. However, after buying it, they were trapped and forced by the Swiss government to reach an acquisition agreement.</b></p><p><b>Meanwhile, Saudi investors were not the only ones hurt; other investors who bought Credit Suisse coco bonds also suffered in silence.</b></p><p>According to a UBS announcement, Credit Suisse's $17.2 billion in additional primary capital market bonds, which can be called AT1 or coco bonds, will be fully written down. This means that Credit Suisse's bonds become worthless, and those who buy them will not receive the principal and interest.</p><p>Logically speaking, the liquidation order for bank failures should be deposits → bonds → stocks. Bonds have a higher liquidation priority than equities, so why were these debts written down?</p><p>AT1 bonds are very popular in European banks, mainly to replenish their Tier 1 capital. These are convertible bonds that trigger a conversion mechanism when the issuer's capital adequacy ratio falls below a certain level, converting the bonds into shares or writing them down.</p><p>Because Europe has been in a low-interest-rate environment for a long time, market investors lack high-yield bonds. The high-yield bonds issued by these banks have attracted many investors to buy them. It is understood that Credit Suisse's AT1 bonds yield as high as 7%.</p><p>With such high returns, there are correspondingly high risks. The AT1 bond contract contains a clause called \"write down,\" which states that banks can write down AT1 bonds under various circumstances, and investors may not be able to get their money back.</p><p>This includes writing down AT1 bonds when a bank's Tier 1 capital falls below a certain threshold and there is a risk of a bank rushing to withdraw funds. Credit Suisse is currently in a situation where its Tier 1 capital is below a certain threshold, and its AT1 bonds meet the conditions for being \"written down\".</p><p>It is worth noting that the total size of the coco bond market is $275 billion, and the write-down of Credit Suisse's $17 billion worth of coco bonds means that the coco bond market will be repriced. Currently, AT1 bonds issued by some Asian banks have plummeted, marking the largest drop, falling 20% below par value.</p><p>The current concern is that the value of the coco bond market will continue to decline, as pension funds, funds, and insurance companies are the main holders of coco bonds. If the sharp decline continues, the European market may face an even greater crisis. It is understood that,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601099\">Pacific Ocean</a>Investment management companies, Invesco Holdings, BFMC, and other institutions are asset management companies that hold Credit Suisse AT1 bonds, but these institutions cannot get a single penny back.</p><p><b>epilogue</b></p><p>The European market is now panicking that the write-down of Credit Suisse's coco bonds may spread to other banks. If the prices of other banks' AT1 bonds fall, it could crisis their capital adequacy ratios and trigger a chain reaction.</p><p>In Credit Suisse's deal of the century, Saudi Arabia's financial backers and the investors who bought coco bonds suffered the most. The value of one of their shares was reduced to 20%, while the other group of investors suffered a huge loss of 16 billion. This humiliating merger also reveals the fragility of the European financial system.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43c7a8fcc1bc91528f3f7c05a51a2622","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2320682320","content_text":"在过去的两个周末里,美国和欧洲金融圈发生的事情可以拍出一部美剧。电视剧第一幕以硅谷银行爆雷开始,危机带来的恐慌情绪引起美国中小银行股的大抛售,这是08年金融危机后未曾出现过的恐慌现象,最后美联储紧急出手解除硅谷银行危机。从明面上看,硅谷银行带来的风险余波已解除。但我们上周提到过,由于美联储对中小型银行的监管力度宽松,或许有更多银行有同样的地雷未被引爆。在这时,鲍威尔的每一步都十分危险。据美媒报道,上周五美国超过20架私人飞机在奥马哈降落,私人飞机上全是地区性银行机构的负责人。众所周知,奥马哈是只有40万人的小城市,奥马哈除了伯克希尔哈撒韦以外,就只剩麦当劳和沃尔玛了,那么多银行机构负责人飞到奥马哈,目的只有一个,那就是找巴菲特。美媒称,巴菲特与拜登政府进行了对话,巴菲特针对当前危机给出了意见和指导。一直以来,巴菲特都在帮助陷入危机的银行,利用他的投资地位和影响力来恢复人们对陷入困境的银行的信心。巴菲特在2008年金融危机期间,拿出50亿美元救助高盛。在2011年美国主权债务危机期间,向美国银行投资50亿美元,帮助美银渡过危机时刻,巴菲特也从美银这笔交易中赚超120亿美元。近期第一共和银行的爆雷,巴菲特也有所参与。每当美国银行出现危机时,巴菲特都会在合适的时机出手相助,可以说,巴菲特是银行业危机中的救星。由此,外界认为巴菲特此次可能以某种方式投资美国地区性银行。奥马哈停满直升机,一个老头缓缓走出来,政府和银行业拜访求助德高望重的老人,这像极了美剧中的剧情。剧情可以切至另外一边,美国银行危机的爆雷,引发起欧洲银行的极度恐慌。在今日凌晨,劣迹已久的瑞信终于撑不住了,瑞银集团确认收购陷入危机的瑞信。公告显示,瑞银将以32.3亿美元收购瑞信,相当于瑞信上周五收盘价打五折。在一开始,瑞信坚决拒绝,毕竟瑞信是有167年历史的,曾经拥有过一万多亿美元资产的全球系统性重要的银行,且两家曾经是竞争对手,瑞信在过去一百多年间积累的声誉,绝不想被低价屈辱性的收购。但瑞士当局急于在全球股市开门前撮合这笔交易,瑞士政府警告瑞信称,若不接受瑞银的收购要约,那政府将考虑将瑞信国有化。若被国有化交易,那最后可能收购价远不及瑞银给出的条件,最后瑞信被迫卖出。瑞银将承担90亿瑞郎的损失,而瑞士央行为这笔交易做出担保,将向瑞银提供1000亿美元的流动性,瑞士政府还为瑞银担保了9亿瑞郎的损失。值得注意的是,瑞银表示,瑞信股东所持有的22.48股瑞信股票,将换得1股瑞银股票,相当于每股0.76瑞郎,总对价为30亿瑞士法郎,这意味着此前持有瑞信股票的股东都会有大幅损失。上周,沙特国家银行表示不会再为瑞信注资,这引起瑞信的股价大跌。可能沙特金主万万没想到,自己去年用14亿美元买来的近10%瑞信股份,在几天内股份价值就瞬间缩水至3亿美元,投进来的钱突然就剩20%了。沙特金主可算是被欧洲人耍的团团转,想着进来抄底一把曾经千亿市值的瑞信,结果抄完被套牢,还要受瑞士政府的强迫达成收购协议。同时,受伤的不止沙特金主一人,其他买了瑞信coco债的投资者也吃了哑巴亏。据瑞银公告称,瑞信的172亿美元的额外一级资本市场债券将全额减记,这类债券可叫AT1或叫coco债。这意味着瑞信的债券变得一文不值,买了该债券的人将无法拿到本金和利息。按理说,银行倒闭的清算顺序是存款→债→股,债券比股权的清算优先级要高,那为什么这些债被减记了?AT1债券在欧洲银行十分流行,主要以补充银行的一级资本金,这是一种可转换债券,在发行者的资本充足率低于某个水平时,就会触发转换机制,将债券转换为股票或者减记。由于欧洲长期处在低利率的环境下,市场投资者缺少高息债券,这些银行所发行的高息债券就吸引了很多投资者来购买,据了解,瑞信的AT1债券回报高达7%。有如此高的回报,也有相对应的高风险。AT1债券的合同里有一个条款名为“write down”(损失吸收机制),列出了银行在各式各样的情况下,AT1债可以被减记,投资者可能拿不回钱。其中即包括,银行一级资本金低于某个门槛时,银行出现挤提的风险时,AT1债就可以被减记。而目前瑞信就处在一级资本金低于某个门槛的情况,瑞信的AT1债符合被“write down”的条件。值得注意的是,coco债券市场总规模为2750亿美元,而现在瑞信价值170亿美元的coco债被减记后,意味着coco债券市场将要被重新定价。目前,亚洲部分银行的AT1债券大幅跳水,已创下最大跌幅,较面值跌去20%。现担忧的是,coco债券市场的价值会继续下跌,由于养老金、基金、保险是coco债券的主要持有人,若大跌持续下去,欧洲市场可能有更大的危机。据了解,太平洋投资管理公司、景顺控股、BFMC等机构是持有瑞信AT1债券的资产管理公司,而这些机构是一分钱都拿不回来了。结语现在欧洲市场在恐慌着瑞信coco债券的减记可能会蔓延至其他银行,其他银行的AT1债券价格若下跌,可能危机到其他银行的资本充足率,引起连锁反应。在瑞信这笔世纪交易中,沙特金主和买coco债的投资者属实最惨,一个持有的股份价值被缩减至20%,另一批投资者血亏160亿,在这次屈辱性的合并中,也展现出欧洲金融体系脆弱的一面。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6639,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9943367614,"gmtCreate":1679152932639,"gmtModify":1679152936753,"author":{"id":"4094983188358330","authorId":"4094983188358330","name":"我是梦幻金钱战士","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/99cba128d11b8be74b1f95636cd22ed7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094983188358330","authorIdStr":"4094983188358330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943367614","repostId":"1114210525","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114210525","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1679140453,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1114210525?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-18 19:54","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"UBS is reportedly seeking support from Swiss authorities for any transaction with Credit Suisse.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114210525","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"3月18日,据知情人士透露,瑞银集团要求瑞士政府在收购瑞信集团时提供支持。瑞银正在讨论政府将在任何交易中承担某些法律费用或其他具体损失的情况。知情人士称,一种可能的情况是,瑞银将收购瑞信,以获得其财富","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On March 18, according to sources,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">UBS</a>The group requested support from the Swiss government in its acquisition of Credit Suisse Group. UBS is discussing whether the government will bear certain legal costs or other specific losses in any transaction.</p><p>Sources familiar with the matter say one possibility is that UBS will acquire Credit Suisse to obtain its wealth and asset management division, while potentially divesting its investment banking division. Negotiations are still ongoing over the fate of Credit Suisse's Swiss universal bank division, the only profitable major division of Credit Suisse last year.</p><p>Both UBS and Credit Suisse declined to comment on the news. The Swiss government and the Ministry of Finance did not respond to requests for comment. According to a source familiar with the matter, the goal of these negotiations is to announce the deal between the two banks no later than Sunday evening.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>UBS is reportedly seeking support from Swiss authorities for any transaction with Credit Suisse.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUBS is reportedly seeking support from Swiss authorities for any transaction with Credit Suisse.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-03-18 19:54</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On March 18, according to sources,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">UBS</a>The group requested support from the Swiss government in its acquisition of Credit Suisse Group. UBS is discussing whether the government will bear certain legal costs or other specific losses in any transaction.</p><p>Sources familiar with the matter say one possibility is that UBS will acquire Credit Suisse to obtain its wealth and asset management division, while potentially divesting its investment banking division. Negotiations are still ongoing over the fate of Credit Suisse's Swiss universal bank division, the only profitable major division of Credit Suisse last year.</p><p>Both UBS and Credit Suisse declined to comment on the news. The Swiss government and the Ministry of Finance did not respond to requests for comment. According to a source familiar with the matter, the goal of these negotiations is to announce the deal between the two banks no later than Sunday evening.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41a3265725dba67c0660b26a189585aa","relate_stocks":{"BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4118":"综合性资本市场","BK4588":"碎股","UBS":"瑞银"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114210525","content_text":"3月18日,据知情人士透露,瑞银集团要求瑞士政府在收购瑞信集团时提供支持。瑞银正在讨论政府将在任何交易中承担某些法律费用或其他具体损失的情况。知情人士称,一种可能的情况是,瑞银将收购瑞信,以获得其财富和资产管理部门,同时可能剥离其投资银行部门。有关瑞信瑞士全能银行(Swiss universal bank)部门命运的谈判仍在进行中,该部门是瑞信去年唯一盈利的主要部门。瑞银和瑞信均拒绝对此消息置评。瑞士政府和财政部未回复置评请求。据此前一位知情人士透露,此次谈判的目标是最迟在周日晚间宣布两家银行之间的交易。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UBS":0.9,"CS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4833,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9943050609,"gmtCreate":1678980089102,"gmtModify":1678980092992,"author":{"id":"4094983188358330","authorId":"4094983188358330","name":"我是梦幻金钱战士","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/99cba128d11b8be74b1f95636cd22ed7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094983188358330","authorIdStr":"4094983188358330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943050609","repostId":"1114791300","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114791300","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1678972436,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1114791300?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-16 21:13","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Soul-searching question: Will a \"safe\" US Treasury Bond be the trigger for the next crisis?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114791300","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"美国国债变成了“有毒资产”。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>In just one weekend, Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank collapsed one after another, and the banking crisis continued to spread, even affecting the century-old investment bank Credit Suisse. The Swiss National Bank has announced that it will inject emergency liquidity into it.</p><p>In this crisis, Treasury Bond, which has always been regarded as the safest asset in the world, became a \"toxic asset\" at the center of the vortex. Some even believe that US Treasury Bond could trigger the next financial crisis.</p><p>Chris Crawford, fund manager at asset management firm Eric Sturdza Investments, stated in a recent report:</p><p><b>\"The 2008 financial crisis was triggered by 'ninja loans' to people with no income, no jobs, and no fixed assets, while the 'toxic' asset that will trigger the next crisis will be government bonds!\"</b>Of course,<b>This is not to say that there are any similarities between the US Treasury Bond and high-risk assets during the financial crisis. The reason government bonds have become \"toxic\" is because the Federal Reserve's continuous rate hike has led to a decline in the value of the bond market. Some banks that failed to manage interest rate risk well are facing huge unrealized losses. Coupled with deposit outflows leading to poor liquidity, they may be forced to sell debt at a loss before long-term debt matures to cope with depositor withdrawals.</b></p><p>Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Chairman Glenberg previously stated that<b>By the end of 2022, the U.S. banking industry had suffered unrealized losses of $620 billion in bond investments.</b></p><p>Even if banks can prevent unrealized losses from turning into real losses, or have sufficient capital to absorb unrealized losses, concerns about bank liquidity may still trigger depositors to run on their banks.</p><p>Silicon Valley Bank is a gory example. Most of its clients' funds come from demand deposits held by technology companies. Moreover, a considerable proportion of the deposit base is not covered by deposit insurance.</p><p>Such depositors are not bound by services such as custody, cash management, or clearing, are sensitive to interest rates, and are easily transferable. If depositors have doubts about a bank's solvency, they will rush to the bank as soon as possible. Silicon Valley Bank saw $42 billion withdrawn in a single day, directly plunging it into a liquidity crisis.</p><p>Neil Dutta of Renaissance Macro Research told the media that if it weren't for the banking crisis, the lack of cooling CPI data this week would have led the Federal Reserve to raise its rate hike by 50 basis points again.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d64c1638d1ab38980ab4614968480764\" tg-width=\"634\" tg-height=\"322\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>However, the latest data from the futures market shows that the market believes the probability of no rate hike next week is 34.3%, the probability of rate hike reaching 25 basis points is 65.7%, and before the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, the probability of rate hike reaching 50 basis points was as high as 90%.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"live_wallstreetcn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Soul-searching question: Will a \"safe\" US Treasury Bond be the trigger for the next crisis?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSoul-searching question: Will a \"safe\" US Treasury Bond be the trigger for the next crisis?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-03-16 21:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>In just one weekend, Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank collapsed one after another, and the banking crisis continued to spread, even affecting the century-old investment bank Credit Suisse. The Swiss National Bank has announced that it will inject emergency liquidity into it.</p><p>In this crisis, Treasury Bond, which has always been regarded as the safest asset in the world, became a \"toxic asset\" at the center of the vortex. Some even believe that US Treasury Bond could trigger the next financial crisis.</p><p>Chris Crawford, fund manager at asset management firm Eric Sturdza Investments, stated in a recent report:</p><p><b>\"The 2008 financial crisis was triggered by 'ninja loans' to people with no income, no jobs, and no fixed assets, while the 'toxic' asset that will trigger the next crisis will be government bonds!\"</b>Of course,<b>This is not to say that there are any similarities between the US Treasury Bond and high-risk assets during the financial crisis. The reason government bonds have become \"toxic\" is because the Federal Reserve's continuous rate hike has led to a decline in the value of the bond market. Some banks that failed to manage interest rate risk well are facing huge unrealized losses. Coupled with deposit outflows leading to poor liquidity, they may be forced to sell debt at a loss before long-term debt matures to cope with depositor withdrawals.</b></p><p>Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Chairman Glenberg previously stated that<b>By the end of 2022, the U.S. banking industry had suffered unrealized losses of $620 billion in bond investments.</b></p><p>Even if banks can prevent unrealized losses from turning into real losses, or have sufficient capital to absorb unrealized losses, concerns about bank liquidity may still trigger depositors to run on their banks.</p><p>Silicon Valley Bank is a gory example. Most of its clients' funds come from demand deposits held by technology companies. Moreover, a considerable proportion of the deposit base is not covered by deposit insurance.</p><p>Such depositors are not bound by services such as custody, cash management, or clearing, are sensitive to interest rates, and are easily transferable. If depositors have doubts about a bank's solvency, they will rush to the bank as soon as possible. Silicon Valley Bank saw $42 billion withdrawn in a single day, directly plunging it into a liquidity crisis.</p><p>Neil Dutta of Renaissance Macro Research told the media that if it weren't for the banking crisis, the lack of cooling CPI data this week would have led the Federal Reserve to raise its rate hike by 50 basis points again.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d64c1638d1ab38980ab4614968480764\" tg-width=\"634\" tg-height=\"322\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>However, the latest data from the futures market shows that the market believes the probability of no rate hike next week is 34.3%, the probability of rate hike reaching 25 basis points is 65.7%, and before the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, the probability of rate hike reaching 50 basis points was as high as 90%.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3684181\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfe8ba21c8b5ac2b562fdf822ed7fcb2","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3684181","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/cc96873d3d23ee6ac10685520df9c100","article_id":"1114791300","content_text":"短短一个周末,硅谷银行和签字银行相继倒闭,银行业危机持续蔓延,甚至已波及百年投行瑞信。瑞士央行已宣布,将为其紧急注入流动性。在这场危机中,一直被视为全球最安全的资产——美国国债成了漩涡中心的“有毒资产”。有观点甚至认为,美国国债可能引爆下一场金融危机。资管机构Eric Sturdza Investments的基金经理Chris Crawford在近期发布的报告中表示:“引爆2008年金融危机是那些发给没有收入、没有工作、没有固定资产的人的‘忍者贷款’,而引爆下一次危机的‘有毒’资产将是政府债券!”当然,这并不是说美国国债和金融危机中的高风险资产有什么相似之处,政府债券之所以变得“有毒”,是因为美联储连续加息,导致债券市场价值下跌,部分未能管理好利率风险的银行面临巨额浮亏,叠加存款流出导致其流动性较差,长期债务还未到期时,可能就要被迫亏本出售债务应对储户提款。美国联邦存款保险公司主席格伦伯格此前曾表示,截止2022年末,美国银行业在债券投资上的浮亏高达6200亿美元。即使银行可以避免浮亏变为实损,或者有足够的资本消化浮亏,对银行流动性的担忧也可能诱发储户挤兑。硅谷银行就是一个血淋淋的例子。其大部分客户资金来自科技公司的活期存款。而且存款基数中有相当高的比例不受存款保险保障。这样的存款人不受托管、现金管理或清算等服务的约束,对利率敏感,容易转移。如果对银行的偿付能力有疑问,储户会第一时间抢跑。硅谷银行在一天就内被提走420亿美元,直接致其陷入流动性危机。Renaissance Macro Research的Neil Dutta对媒体称,如果不是银行业的危机,本周未见降温的CPI数据,原本应该会使美联储再次加息50个基点。但期货市场最新数据显示,市场认为下周不加息的可能性为34.3%,加息25个基点的可能性为65.7%,硅谷银行爆雷前,加息50基点概率一度高达90%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5055,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9943050828,"gmtCreate":1678980074264,"gmtModify":1678980078835,"author":{"id":"4094983188358330","authorId":"4094983188358330","name":"我是梦幻金钱战士","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/99cba128d11b8be74b1f95636cd22ed7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094983188358330","authorIdStr":"4094983188358330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌👌","listText":"👌👌","text":"👌👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943050828","repostId":"1149330042","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1149330042","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1678975576,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1149330042?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-16 22:06","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"What was the outcome of the Credit Suisse crisis? JPMorgan Chase envisioned three options","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1149330042","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"瑞信的危机最可能以该公司被对手瑞银收购告终。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Author: Han Xuyang</p><p>Regarding the future development of the Credit Suisse crisis, JPMorgan Chase envisioned three scenarios and believed that the crisis would most likely end with the company being acquired by its rival UBS.</p><p>On Wednesday, JPMorgan analyst Kian Abouhossein and others offered three scenarios for Credit Suisse's future.<b>The most likely scenario is acquisition by rival UBS Group.</b>。 Analysts also said that given the market concentration of Credit Suisse and UBS, the Swiss banking business, worth 10 billion Swiss francs (approximately US$10.8 billion), could be listed or spun off after UBS acquires Credit Suisse.</p><p>In a report, Abouhossein stated that Credit Suisse's capital position is not an issue, but the current situation is that market confidence in its investment banking strategy continues to be problematic, and its business continues to be eroded. \"Maintaining the status quo is no longer an option.\"</p><p>Abouhossein is cautious about Credit Suisse and has rated the stock neutral or underweight for the past two years. He warned last month that the bank was deteriorating faster than expected, and the stock has since fallen 26%.</p><p>Media reports, citing sources familiar with the matter, revealed that a long-term partnership between Credit Suisse and UBS was one of the options discussed in negotiations between Credit Suisse and Swiss authorities on how to stabilize the bank. UBS CEO Ralph Hamers declined to answer any “hypothetical” questions about Credit Suisse on Wednesday.</p><p>Credit Suisse CEO Ulrich Koerner said in a memo to employees on Thursday that the bank will continue to focus on its turnaround plan, citing improved liquidity coverage and recent financing.</p><p>In addition,<b>JPMorgan Chase also listed a possible scenario: Credit Suisse would close its investment banking operations, but said that this move might not be enough to alleviate market concerns. The last possibility is for the Swiss National Bank to intervene, providing a full deposit guarantee or injecting share capital, but analysts also point out that this would severely dilute the equity of existing shareholders.</b></p><p>KBW analysts also support the view that Credit Suisse is undergoing a major restructuring. They wrote that the most likely outcome would be a spin-off, with further asset sales to \"simplify the bank\".</p><p>Bank of America analyst Alastair Ryan believes that<b>The support from the Swiss National Bank is a clear signal that Credit Suisse will continue to operate in its current form.</b>Alastair Ryan said, \"In fact, the regulators provided support through this statement, but it did not change Credit Suisse's structure or the nature of its continued operation.\" Bank of America is one of only two companies that still gives Credit Suisse a \"buy\" rating.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"live_wallstreetcn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What was the outcome of the Credit Suisse crisis? JPMorgan Chase envisioned three options</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat was the outcome of the Credit Suisse crisis? JPMorgan Chase envisioned three options\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-03-16 22:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Author: Han Xuyang</p><p>Regarding the future development of the Credit Suisse crisis, JPMorgan Chase envisioned three scenarios and believed that the crisis would most likely end with the company being acquired by its rival UBS.</p><p>On Wednesday, JPMorgan analyst Kian Abouhossein and others offered three scenarios for Credit Suisse's future.<b>The most likely scenario is acquisition by rival UBS Group.</b>。 Analysts also said that given the market concentration of Credit Suisse and UBS, the Swiss banking business, worth 10 billion Swiss francs (approximately US$10.8 billion), could be listed or spun off after UBS acquires Credit Suisse.</p><p>In a report, Abouhossein stated that Credit Suisse's capital position is not an issue, but the current situation is that market confidence in its investment banking strategy continues to be problematic, and its business continues to be eroded. \"Maintaining the status quo is no longer an option.\"</p><p>Abouhossein is cautious about Credit Suisse and has rated the stock neutral or underweight for the past two years. He warned last month that the bank was deteriorating faster than expected, and the stock has since fallen 26%.</p><p>Media reports, citing sources familiar with the matter, revealed that a long-term partnership between Credit Suisse and UBS was one of the options discussed in negotiations between Credit Suisse and Swiss authorities on how to stabilize the bank. UBS CEO Ralph Hamers declined to answer any “hypothetical” questions about Credit Suisse on Wednesday.</p><p>Credit Suisse CEO Ulrich Koerner said in a memo to employees on Thursday that the bank will continue to focus on its turnaround plan, citing improved liquidity coverage and recent financing.</p><p>In addition,<b>JPMorgan Chase also listed a possible scenario: Credit Suisse would close its investment banking operations, but said that this move might not be enough to alleviate market concerns. The last possibility is for the Swiss National Bank to intervene, providing a full deposit guarantee or injecting share capital, but analysts also point out that this would severely dilute the equity of existing shareholders.</b></p><p>KBW analysts also support the view that Credit Suisse is undergoing a major restructuring. They wrote that the most likely outcome would be a spin-off, with further asset sales to \"simplify the bank\".</p><p>Bank of America analyst Alastair Ryan believes that<b>The support from the Swiss National Bank is a clear signal that Credit Suisse will continue to operate in its current form.</b>Alastair Ryan said, \"In fact, the regulators provided support through this statement, but it did not change Credit Suisse's structure or the nature of its continued operation.\" Bank of America is one of only two companies that still gives Credit Suisse a \"buy\" rating.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3684219\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/875d82c9e8c668ce8d421b0f139c1129","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3684219","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/cc96873d3d23ee6ac10685520df9c100","article_id":"1149330042","content_text":"作者:韩旭阳对于瑞信危机后续如何发展,摩根大通设想了三个方案,并认为瑞信的危机最可能以该公司被对手瑞银收购告终。周三,摩根大通分析师 Kian Abouhossein 等对瑞信的未来提出了三种设想,其中最有可能的是被对手瑞银集团收购。分析师们还表示,鉴于瑞信和瑞银的市场集中度,在瑞银收购瑞信后,价值100亿瑞士法郎(约合108亿美元)的瑞士银行业务可能会上市或分拆。Abouhossein 在一份报告中称,瑞信的资本状况不是问题,但目前的情况是,市场对其投资银行战略的信心持续出现问题,其业务也在持续受到侵蚀,“维持现状不再是一种选择”。Abouhossein 对瑞士信贷持谨慎态度,近两年来对该股的评级为中性或减持。他上个月警告称,该银行的恶化速度快于预期,此后该股已经下跌了26%。媒体援引知情人士透露,在瑞信与瑞士当局就如何稳定该行的谈判中,瑞信与瑞银的长期合作是讨论的选项之一。瑞银首席执行官 Ralph Hamers 周三拒绝回答有关瑞信的任何“假设性”问题。瑞信首席执行官 Ulrich Koerner 周四在给员工的备忘录中表示,该行将继续专注于其扭亏为盈的转型计划,理由是瑞信的流动性覆盖率有所提高,而且最近进行了融资。此外,摩根大通还列出了一种可能情况是瑞信关闭投行业务,但同时表示,此举可能不足以减轻市场的担忧。最后一种可能情况是瑞士央行介入,提供全额存款担保或注入股本,但分析师也指出,这将严重稀释现有股东的权益。KBW 分析师也支持瑞信正在进行重大重组的观点。他们写道,最有可能的结果是分拆,进一步出售资产以“简化银行”。而美国银行分析师 Alastair Ryan 认为,来自瑞士央行的支持是一个明确的信号,即瑞信将以目前的形式继续经营下去。Alastair Ryan 称:“实际上,监管部门通过这份声明提供了支持,但没有改变瑞信的结构或继续经营的性质。”美国银行是仅有的两家仍给予瑞信“买入”评级的公司之一。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4869,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9943050353,"gmtCreate":1678980060273,"gmtModify":1678980064102,"author":{"id":"4094983188358330","authorId":"4094983188358330","name":"我是梦幻金钱战士","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/99cba128d11b8be74b1f95636cd22ed7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094983188358330","authorIdStr":"4094983188358330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943050353","repostId":"1153594106","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1153594106","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1678977350,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1153594106?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-16 22:35","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"ZTO Express bucked the market trend and rose sharply, with net profit increasing by 41.6% year-on-year in 2022.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153594106","media":"智通财经网","summary":"中通快递2022年Q4营收同比增长7.1%至98.71亿元。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Thursday,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZTO\">ZTO Express</a>U.S. stocks bucked the trend and rose, rising more than 6% as of press time. ZTO Express's revenue increased by 7.1% year-on-year to RMB 9.871 billion in Q4 2022, and its net profit increased by 21.8% year-on-year to RMB 2.163 billion.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6758e72f89d3763d680d37dda3faf8da\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In 2022, the company's revenue reached 35.377 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.3%; Net profit was 6.659 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41.6%; Basic net earnings per share were RMB 8.41; Proposed Special Dividend of $0.37 per share.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"live_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ZTO Express bucked the market trend and rose sharply, with net profit increasing by 41.6% year-on-year in 2022.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZTO Express bucked the market trend and rose sharply, with net profit increasing by 41.6% year-on-year in 2022.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">智通财经网</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-03-16 22:35</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Thursday,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZTO\">ZTO Express</a>U.S. stocks bucked the trend and rose, rising more than 6% as of press time. ZTO Express's revenue increased by 7.1% year-on-year to RMB 9.871 billion in Q4 2022, and its net profit increased by 21.8% year-on-year to RMB 2.163 billion.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6758e72f89d3763d680d37dda3faf8da\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In 2022, the company's revenue reached 35.377 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.3%; Net profit was 6.659 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41.6%; Basic net earnings per share were RMB 8.41; Proposed Special Dividend of $0.37 per share.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/893403.html\">智通财经网</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b3cd42768af0781102737edde9e8093","relate_stocks":{"02057":"中通快递-W","ZTO":"中通快递"},"source_url":"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/893403.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6ca2dcdccfa2217fb20a0351f4efe814","article_id":"1153594106","content_text":"周四,中通快递美股股价在公布业绩后逆市走高,截至发稿涨超6%。中通快递2022年Q4营收同比增长7.1%至98.71亿元,净利润同比增长21.8%至21.63亿元。2022年全年,该公司收入353.77亿元,同比增长16.3%;净利润66.59亿元,同比增长41.6%;每股基本净收益8.41元;拟派特別股息每股0.37美元。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"02057":0.9,"ZTO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2116,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9943050948,"gmtCreate":1678980044985,"gmtModify":1678980048650,"author":{"id":"4094983188358330","authorId":"4094983188358330","name":"我是梦幻金钱战士","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/99cba128d11b8be74b1f95636cd22ed7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094983188358330","authorIdStr":"4094983188358330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943050948","repostId":"1131558052","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131558052","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1678978088,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131558052?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-16 22:48","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"US semiconductor stocks rallied, with AMD gaining over 5%.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131558052","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"周四,美股半导体板块盘中拉升,截至发稿,AMD涨超5%,英特尔涨超4%,迈威尔科技、高通涨超3%。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On Thursday, US semiconductor stocks rallied during trading, with AMD up over 5% as of press time.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">Intel</a>It rose more than 4%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRVL\">Maywell Technology</a>Qualcomm rose more than 3%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98c0145abc1a3c950149bac931f45a8e\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30d638956587a76c601baeaa5992f958\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US semiconductor stocks rallied, with AMD gaining over 5%.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS semiconductor stocks rallied, with AMD gaining over 5%.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-03-16 22:48</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On Thursday, US semiconductor stocks rallied during trading, with AMD up over 5% as of press time.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">Intel</a>It rose more than 4%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRVL\">Maywell Technology</a>Qualcomm rose more than 3%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98c0145abc1a3c950149bac931f45a8e\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30d638956587a76c601baeaa5992f958\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9035047aab1628fa23df810d4986f063","relate_stocks":{"INTC":"英特尔","AMD":"美国超微公司","MRVL":"迈威尔科技"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131558052","content_text":"周四,美股半导体板块盘中拉升,截至发稿,AMD涨超5%,英特尔涨超4%,迈威尔科技、高通涨超3%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":0.9,"MRVL":0.9,"INTC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2288,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9943050092,"gmtCreate":1678980031717,"gmtModify":1678980035657,"author":{"id":"4094983188358330","authorId":"4094983188358330","name":"我是梦幻金钱战士","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/99cba128d11b8be74b1f95636cd22ed7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094983188358330","authorIdStr":"4094983188358330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"q","listText":"q","text":"q","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943050092","repostId":"1141770390","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141770390","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1678981823,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1141770390?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-16 23:50","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"The banking industry is \"saving itself\"! Regional bank stocks rebounded, and all three major US stock indexes turned positive.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141770390","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"第一共和银行正在研究包括筹资在内的选项。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On the crucial day of the central bank meeting, the \"central bank\" failed to become a \"savior,\" while the good news of the banking industry's self-rescue saved European and American stock markets.</p><p>On Thursday, First Republic Bank shares shorted more than 30% on open low, but the intraday decline narrowed to about 25% as of press time. Media reports in the morning said,<b>Several major banks, including JPMorgan Chase and Morgan Stanley, are negotiating a deal to rescue First Republic Bank, potentially injecting significant capital into the bank.</b></p><p><b>Meanwhile, the three major US stock indexes also rose and turned positive.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52739125ca6c8212a90fb37cffb2e5f1\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c79f0ff0086a63ad157c5bd3034f7e7e\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f29fdae26cc666999f5a5734fa678d5d\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80a1c65db0677881affc1104c0643b7e\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Today, the European Central Bank continued its rate hike of 50 basis points despite the banking crisis. In its post-meeting statement, it did not provide interest rate guidance, believing that inflation is expected to remain too high for too long. Investors are digesting the ECB's decision while trying to interpret and speculate on the Federal Reserve's moves next week.</p><p>Some commentators have said that central banks are very inert and tend to continue in their established direction when in doubt. It is almost certain that there are people within the ECB who support slowing rate hike to 25 basis points, but inertia has prevailed, and the Federal Reserve may do the same next week, especially in the economic forecasts and interest rate path dot plots of Fed officials.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The banking industry is \"saving itself\"! Regional bank stocks rebounded, and all three major US stock indexes turned positive.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe banking industry is \"saving itself\"! Regional bank stocks rebounded, and all three major US stock indexes turned positive.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-03-16 23:50</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On the crucial day of the central bank meeting, the \"central bank\" failed to become a \"savior,\" while the good news of the banking industry's self-rescue saved European and American stock markets.</p><p>On Thursday, First Republic Bank shares shorted more than 30% on open low, but the intraday decline narrowed to about 25% as of press time. Media reports in the morning said,<b>Several major banks, including JPMorgan Chase and Morgan Stanley, are negotiating a deal to rescue First Republic Bank, potentially injecting significant capital into the bank.</b></p><p><b>Meanwhile, the three major US stock indexes also rose and turned positive.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52739125ca6c8212a90fb37cffb2e5f1\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c79f0ff0086a63ad157c5bd3034f7e7e\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f29fdae26cc666999f5a5734fa678d5d\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80a1c65db0677881affc1104c0643b7e\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Today, the European Central Bank continued its rate hike of 50 basis points despite the banking crisis. In its post-meeting statement, it did not provide interest rate guidance, believing that inflation is expected to remain too high for too long. Investors are digesting the ECB's decision while trying to interpret and speculate on the Federal Reserve's moves next week.</p><p>Some commentators have said that central banks are very inert and tend to continue in their established direction when in doubt. It is almost certain that there are people within the ECB who support slowing rate hike to 25 basis points, but inertia has prevailed, and the Federal Reserve may do the same next week, especially in the economic forecasts and interest rate path dot plots of Fed officials.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c88953e6ec164ac23941283b5a1e6fd","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141770390","content_text":"在重要的央行会议日,“央妈”没能成为“救世主”,拯救欧美股市的是银行业自救的好消息。周四,第一共和银行跳空低开逾30%,但盘中跌幅收窄,截至发稿,跌幅约25%。早盘有媒体报道称,包括摩根大通与摩根士丹利在内的多家大银行正商谈达成挽救第一共和银行的协议,可能对该行大幅注资。同时,美股三大指数也纷纷拉高转涨。今日,欧洲央行不惧银行业危机仍继续加息50个基点,会后声明未提供利率指引,认为通胀料将在太长时间保持太高水平。投资者消化欧央行决议,同时试图解读并推测美联储下周动向。有评论称,央行的惰性很强,有疑问时往往会继续朝着既定的方向前进,几乎可以肯定欧央行内部有人支持放缓加息至25个基点,但惰性占了上风,下周美联储可能也会如此,尤其是在联储官员的经济预测和利率路径点阵图上。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FRC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1972,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949659098,"gmtCreate":1678630743215,"gmtModify":1678630746886,"author":{"id":"4094983188358330","authorId":"4094983188358330","name":"我是梦幻金钱战士","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/99cba128d11b8be74b1f95636cd22ed7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094983188358330","authorIdStr":"4094983188358330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949659098","repostId":"1120362149","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120362149","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1678079397,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1120362149?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-06 13:09","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Reminder: Starting March 12, the United States will enter daylight saving time, and US stocks will open one hour earlier.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120362149","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"美国2023年夏令时将于2023年3月12日美东时间02:00开始,至2023年11月5日美东时间02:00终止。届时美股市场的常规交易时段对应的北京时间将提前1小时,即变为周一至周五21:30至次日","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Daylight Saving Time in the United States in 2023 will begin at 02:00 Eastern Time on March 12, 2023, and end at 02:00 Eastern Time on November 5, 2023. At that time, the Beijing time corresponding to the regular trading hours of the US stock market will be advanced by one hour, that is, from 21:30 to 04:00 the next day, Monday to Friday; March 13 was the first trading day for US stocks after the start of daylight saving time.</p><p><b>Trading hours</b></p><p>Eastern Time: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM (No lunch break); Beijing time: 21:30-04:00 the next day</p><p><b>Pre-market trading hours</b></p><p>Eastern Time: 04:00-09:30; Beijing time: 16:00-21:30</p><p><b>After-hours trading</b></p><p>Eastern Time: 16:00-20:00; Beijing time: 04:00-08:00</p><p>(Note: Daylight saving time is from the second Sunday of March to the first Sunday of November each year, and winter time is from the first Sunday of November to the second Sunday of March of the following year.)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69c49b7e49385a32a49c0ed123c91847\" tg-width=\"674\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Reminder: Starting March 12, the United States will enter daylight saving time, and US stocks will open one hour earlier.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nReminder: Starting March 12, the United States will enter daylight saving time, and US stocks will open one hour earlier.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-03-06 13:09</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Daylight Saving Time in the United States in 2023 will begin at 02:00 Eastern Time on March 12, 2023, and end at 02:00 Eastern Time on November 5, 2023. At that time, the Beijing time corresponding to the regular trading hours of the US stock market will be advanced by one hour, that is, from 21:30 to 04:00 the next day, Monday to Friday; March 13 was the first trading day for US stocks after the start of daylight saving time.</p><p><b>Trading hours</b></p><p>Eastern Time: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM (No lunch break); Beijing time: 21:30-04:00 the next day</p><p><b>Pre-market trading hours</b></p><p>Eastern Time: 04:00-09:30; Beijing time: 16:00-21:30</p><p><b>After-hours trading</b></p><p>Eastern Time: 16:00-20:00; Beijing time: 04:00-08:00</p><p>(Note: Daylight saving time is from the second Sunday of March to the first Sunday of November each year, and winter time is from the first Sunday of November to the second Sunday of March of the following year.)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69c49b7e49385a32a49c0ed123c91847\" tg-width=\"674\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69c49b7e49385a32a49c0ed123c91847","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120362149","content_text":"美国2023年夏令时将于2023年3月12日美东时间02:00开始,至2023年11月5日美东时间02:00终止。届时美股市场的常规交易时段对应的北京时间将提前1小时,即变为周一至周五21:30至次日04:00;3月13日为进入夏令时后美股首个交易日。交易时间美国东部时间:09:30~16:00 (午间不休市);北京时间:21:30~次日04:00盘前交易时间美国东部时间:04:00~09:30;北京时间:16:00~21:30盘后交易时间美国东部时间:16:00~20:00;北京时间:04:00~08:00(注:夏令时为每年3月的第二个星期日至11月的第一个星期日,冬令时为每年11月的第一个星期日至次年3月的第二个星期日。)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1607,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949650742,"gmtCreate":1678630733487,"gmtModify":1678630737023,"author":{"id":"4094983188358330","authorId":"4094983188358330","name":"我是梦幻金钱战士","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/99cba128d11b8be74b1f95636cd22ed7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094983188358330","authorIdStr":"4094983188358330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949650742","repostId":"1120362149","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120362149","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1678079397,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1120362149?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-06 13:09","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Reminder: Starting March 12, the United States will enter daylight saving time, and US stocks will open one hour earlier.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120362149","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"美国2023年夏令时将于2023年3月12日美东时间02:00开始,至2023年11月5日美东时间02:00终止。届时美股市场的常规交易时段对应的北京时间将提前1小时,即变为周一至周五21:30至次日","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Daylight Saving Time in the United States in 2023 will begin at 02:00 Eastern Time on March 12, 2023, and end at 02:00 Eastern Time on November 5, 2023. At that time, the Beijing time corresponding to the regular trading hours of the US stock market will be advanced by one hour, that is, from 21:30 to 04:00 the next day, Monday to Friday; March 13 was the first trading day for US stocks after the start of daylight saving time.</p><p><b>Trading hours</b></p><p>Eastern Time: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM (No lunch break); Beijing time: 21:30-04:00 the next day</p><p><b>Pre-market trading hours</b></p><p>Eastern Time: 04:00-09:30; Beijing time: 16:00-21:30</p><p><b>After-hours trading</b></p><p>Eastern Time: 16:00-20:00; Beijing time: 04:00-08:00</p><p>(Note: Daylight saving time is from the second Sunday of March to the first Sunday of November each year, and winter time is from the first Sunday of November to the second Sunday of March of the following year.)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69c49b7e49385a32a49c0ed123c91847\" tg-width=\"674\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Reminder: Starting March 12, the United States will enter daylight saving time, and US stocks will open one hour earlier.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nReminder: Starting March 12, the United States will enter daylight saving time, and US stocks will open one hour earlier.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-03-06 13:09</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Daylight Saving Time in the United States in 2023 will begin at 02:00 Eastern Time on March 12, 2023, and end at 02:00 Eastern Time on November 5, 2023. At that time, the Beijing time corresponding to the regular trading hours of the US stock market will be advanced by one hour, that is, from 21:30 to 04:00 the next day, Monday to Friday; March 13 was the first trading day for US stocks after the start of daylight saving time.</p><p><b>Trading hours</b></p><p>Eastern Time: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM (No lunch break); Beijing time: 21:30-04:00 the next day</p><p><b>Pre-market trading hours</b></p><p>Eastern Time: 04:00-09:30; Beijing time: 16:00-21:30</p><p><b>After-hours trading</b></p><p>Eastern Time: 16:00-20:00; Beijing time: 04:00-08:00</p><p>(Note: Daylight saving time is from the second Sunday of March to the first Sunday of November each year, and winter time is from the first Sunday of November to the second Sunday of March of the following year.)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69c49b7e49385a32a49c0ed123c91847\" tg-width=\"674\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69c49b7e49385a32a49c0ed123c91847","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120362149","content_text":"美国2023年夏令时将于2023年3月12日美东时间02:00开始,至2023年11月5日美东时间02:00终止。届时美股市场的常规交易时段对应的北京时间将提前1小时,即变为周一至周五21:30至次日04:00;3月13日为进入夏令时后美股首个交易日。交易时间美国东部时间:09:30~16:00 (午间不休市);北京时间:21:30~次日04:00盘前交易时间美国东部时间:04:00~09:30;北京时间:16:00~21:30盘后交易时间美国东部时间:16:00~20:00;北京时间:04:00~08:00(注:夏令时为每年3月的第二个星期日至11月的第一个星期日,冬令时为每年11月的第一个星期日至次年3月的第二个星期日。)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2061,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949178433,"gmtCreate":1678460464723,"gmtModify":1678460469183,"author":{"id":"4094983188358330","authorId":"4094983188358330","name":"我是梦幻金钱战士","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/99cba128d11b8be74b1f95636cd22ed7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094983188358330","authorIdStr":"4094983188358330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949178433","repostId":"1105673965","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105673965","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1678455045,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1105673965?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-10 21:30","market":"other","language":"zh","title":"U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 311,000 in February, exceeding expectations.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105673965","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"3月10日,美国2月非农就业人数增加31.1万,预估为增加22.5万,前值为增加51.7万。美国2月平均时薪同比增长4.6%;预估增长4.7%。美国劳工部公布的最新数据显示:2月非农新增就业人数31.","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On March 10, U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 311,000 in February, compared with an estimated increase of 225,000 and a previous increase of 517,000. Average hourly wages in the United States rose 4.6% year-over-year in February; The estimated growth is 4.7%.</p><p>The latest data released by the U.S. Department of Labor shows:</p><p>Non-farm payrolls increased by 311,000 in February, exceeding the expected 225,000 and the previous figure of 517,000. The unemployment rate was 3.6% in February, compared to both the expected and previous values of 3.4%. Average hourly wages increased by 4.6% year-on-year, compared to the expected 4.7% and the previous value of 4.4%. After the data was released: the US Dollar Index fell about 40 points in the short term to 104.77. U.S. stock futures rose in the short term, with Nasdaq futures rising as much as 0.6%. Spot gold rose $5 in the short term, currently trading at $1,837.94 per ounce.</p><p>The swap contract shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve hitting a 50 basis point rate hike in March has dropped below 50%.</p><p><b>Institutional commentary on the US non-farm payrolls report:</b>Overall, the job market remains hot, and the labor force participation rate is increasing. This should also reduce the ratio of job openings to job seekers to some extent. Recently, this percentage has been high, raising concerns among the Federal Reserve.</p><p><b>Institutional commentary on the US non-farm payrolls report:</b>It is worth noting that despite the downturn in the real estate industry, the number of construction workers is still increasing. Employment in the construction industry increased by 24,000 in February, and has been growing every month for the past year. Average working hours also declined, from 34.6 hours in January to 34.5 hours in February.</p><p><b>U.S. job growth exceeded expectations for 11 consecutive months, but the unemployment rate rose and wage growth cooled.</b></p><p>U.S. job growth in February exceeded expectations, while wage growth slowed, creating a mixed picture as the Federal Reserve decides whether to accelerate its rate hike. A report released Friday by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that U.S. employment increased by 311,000 after rising by 504,000 in January, the unemployment rate rose to 3.6%, and the monthly wage growth rate was the lowest in a year. In addition, the U.S. employment participation rate rose to 62.5%, the highest level since March 2020. U.S. job growth has exceeded expectations for 11 consecutive months, the longest cycle since 1998.</p><p><b>Non-farm payroll data gave the Federal Reserve an excuse not to rate hike 50 basis points this month</b></p><p>Non-farm payrolls increased by 311,000, exceeding the expected 225,000. However, analysts said there was some good news in the non-farm payrolls report, such as the downward revision of the growth rates for non-farm payrolls in December and January last year. The average monthly hourly wage rate was 0.2%, lower than expected; The unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 3.6%; And the participation rate rose from 62.4% to 62.5%. In conclusion, this report is not very strong, which certainly gives the Federal Reserve an excuse to raise its rate hike by 25 basis points instead of 50 basis points this month. Therefore, it is not without reason that the market is priced in favor of the Federal Reserve raising its rate hike by 25 basis points this month, which is also a comfort to financial assets.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 311,000 in February, exceeding expectations.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 311,000 in February, exceeding expectations.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-03-10 21:30</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On March 10, U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 311,000 in February, compared with an estimated increase of 225,000 and a previous increase of 517,000. Average hourly wages in the United States rose 4.6% year-over-year in February; The estimated growth is 4.7%.</p><p>The latest data released by the U.S. Department of Labor shows:</p><p>Non-farm payrolls increased by 311,000 in February, exceeding the expected 225,000 and the previous figure of 517,000. The unemployment rate was 3.6% in February, compared to both the expected and previous values of 3.4%. Average hourly wages increased by 4.6% year-on-year, compared to the expected 4.7% and the previous value of 4.4%. After the data was released: the US Dollar Index fell about 40 points in the short term to 104.77. U.S. stock futures rose in the short term, with Nasdaq futures rising as much as 0.6%. Spot gold rose $5 in the short term, currently trading at $1,837.94 per ounce.</p><p>The swap contract shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve hitting a 50 basis point rate hike in March has dropped below 50%.</p><p><b>Institutional commentary on the US non-farm payrolls report:</b>Overall, the job market remains hot, and the labor force participation rate is increasing. This should also reduce the ratio of job openings to job seekers to some extent. Recently, this percentage has been high, raising concerns among the Federal Reserve.</p><p><b>Institutional commentary on the US non-farm payrolls report:</b>It is worth noting that despite the downturn in the real estate industry, the number of construction workers is still increasing. Employment in the construction industry increased by 24,000 in February, and has been growing every month for the past year. Average working hours also declined, from 34.6 hours in January to 34.5 hours in February.</p><p><b>U.S. job growth exceeded expectations for 11 consecutive months, but the unemployment rate rose and wage growth cooled.</b></p><p>U.S. job growth in February exceeded expectations, while wage growth slowed, creating a mixed picture as the Federal Reserve decides whether to accelerate its rate hike. A report released Friday by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that U.S. employment increased by 311,000 after rising by 504,000 in January, the unemployment rate rose to 3.6%, and the monthly wage growth rate was the lowest in a year. In addition, the U.S. employment participation rate rose to 62.5%, the highest level since March 2020. U.S. job growth has exceeded expectations for 11 consecutive months, the longest cycle since 1998.</p><p><b>Non-farm payroll data gave the Federal Reserve an excuse not to rate hike 50 basis points this month</b></p><p>Non-farm payrolls increased by 311,000, exceeding the expected 225,000. However, analysts said there was some good news in the non-farm payrolls report, such as the downward revision of the growth rates for non-farm payrolls in December and January last year. The average monthly hourly wage rate was 0.2%, lower than expected; The unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 3.6%; And the participation rate rose from 62.4% to 62.5%. In conclusion, this report is not very strong, which certainly gives the Federal Reserve an excuse to raise its rate hike by 25 basis points instead of 50 basis points this month. Therefore, it is not without reason that the market is priced in favor of the Federal Reserve raising its rate hike by 25 basis points this month, which is also a comfort to financial assets.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c7221d934f1008e531bdf79c8cfe0ee","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105673965","content_text":"3月10日,美国2月非农就业人数增加31.1万,预估为增加22.5万,前值为增加51.7万。美国2月平均时薪同比增长4.6%;预估增长4.7%。美国劳工部公布的最新数据显示:2月非农新增就业人数31.1万人,预期为22.5万人,前值为51.7万人;2月失业率为3.6%,预期和前值均为3.4%;平均时薪同比增长4.6%,预期4.7%,前值4.4%。数据公布后:美元指数短线下挫约40点,报104.77。美股期货短线拉升,纳指期货一度涨0.6%。现货黄金短线走高5美元,现报1837.94美元/盎司。互换合约显示美联储3月份加息50个基点的概率降至50%以下。机构评美国非农就业报告:总体来说,就业市场仍旧火热,劳动参与率提高。这应该也会在一定程度上缩小职位空缺与求职者的比例。最近,这一比例一直很高,引发了美联储的担忧。机构评美国非农就业报告:值得注意的是,尽管房地产行业下滑,但建筑业工人仍在增加。2月份建筑业就业人数增加了2.4万人,过去一年每个月都在增长。平均工作小时数也有所下降,从1月份的34.6小时降至2月份的34.5小时。美国就业增长连续11个月超出预期,但失业率上升,工资增速降温美国2月份就业人数增长超过预期,而薪资增速有所放缓,在美联储决定是否加快加息步伐之际,这一情况喜忧参半。美国劳工统计局周五公布的报告显示,美国就业人数继1月份增加50.4万人后,又增加了31.1万人,失业率上升至3.6%,工资增速月率为一年来最低。此外,美国就业参与率升至62.5%,为2020年3月以来的最高水平。美国就业增长连续11个月超出预期,为1998年以来最长周期。非农数据给了美联储本月不加息50个基点的借口非农就业人数增加31.1万人,超出预期的22.5万人。但分析机构表示,非农就业报告中也有一些好消息,如去年12月和1月的非农就业人数增幅均被下修;平均每小时工资月率录得0.2%,低于预期;失业率意外上升至3.6%;以及参与率从62.4%上升至62.5%。总而言之,这份报告并不是非常强劲的,这当然给了美联储本月加息25个基点而不是50个基点的借口,因此,市场定价偏向于美联储本月将加息25个基点也不无道理,这对金融资产也是一种安慰。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2075,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949178594,"gmtCreate":1678460445618,"gmtModify":1678460449646,"author":{"id":"4094983188358330","authorId":"4094983188358330","name":"我是梦幻金钱战士","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/99cba128d11b8be74b1f95636cd22ed7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094983188358330","authorIdStr":"4094983188358330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949178594","repostId":"1167487912","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1167487912","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1678458118,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1167487912?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-10 22:21","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"The U.S. added 311,000 non-farm payrolls in February, the unemployment rate rose to 3.6%, and wage growth was lower than expected.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167487912","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"美国2月失业率 3.4%,预期 3.4%,前值 3.4%。...继2月“小非农”数据超预期后,重磅非农新增就业也大超预期,不过,失业率上升加上平均时薪增速低于预期。这在美联储是否加快加息步伐方面释放了","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><b>The U.S. unemployment rate in February was 3.4%, compared to the expected 3.4% and the previous value of 3.4%.</b>Following the better-than-expected \"mini-non-farm payroll\" data in February, the heavyweight non-farm payroll data also significantly exceeded expectations. However, rising unemployment and lower-than-expected average hourly wage growth. This sends mixed signals about whether the Federal Reserve will accelerate its rate hike pace.</p><p>On Friday, March 10, the latest data released by the U.S. Department of Labor showed:</p><p>Non-farm payrolls increased by 311,000 in February, compared to the expected 225,000 and the previous figure of 517,000 (revised to 504,000). U.S. non-farm payrolls have exceeded expectations for 11 consecutive months, marking the longest winning streak since Bloomberg began tracking the data in 1998.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6447484c1c24c141efba89022c310586\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"640\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>The unemployment rate was 3.6% in February, compared to both the expected and previous values of 3.4%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5730ab9acf32ceab8403685047016c30\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"640\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Average hourly wages rose 4.6% year-on-year in February, compared to the expected 4.7% and the previous value of 4.4%. In addition, the labor force participation rate in February was 62.5%, basically unchanged from the previous value. Following the release of the non-farm payroll data, the US Dollar Index fell about 40 points to 104.77. U.S. stock futures rose in the short term, with Nasdaq futures rising as much as 0.6%. Spot gold rose $5 in the short term, currently trading at $1,837.94 per ounce.</p><p>Investors may believe that this report will give the Federal Reserve a 25 basis point rate hike in February, instead of the 50 basis points that most markets had previously expected. According to the CME group FedWatch, the probability of the Fed rate hike 50 basis points in March is 47%, a significant decrease from 80% earlier.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6cd235b39d6485773ea6d4ae7f13f6d7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"375\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Although new jobs far exceeded expectations, the unemployment rate rose.</p><p>Non-farm payrolls increased by 311,000 in February, significantly exceeding the expected 225,000 and the previous figure of 517,000 (revised to 504,000). The unemployment rate was 3.6% in February, slightly higher than the expected and previous value of 3.4%.</p><p>It is also worth mentioning that the number of new non-farm payrolls in December was revised down from 260,000 to 239,000, and in January from 517,000 to 504,000. After these revisions, the combined number of new jobs added in December last year and January this year was 34,000 lower than previously reported.</p><p>The largest job growth was in the entertainment and leisure, retail, government, and healthcare sectors, but employment declined in the information, transportation, and warehousing sectors.</p><p>Specifically:</p><p>In February, the entertainment and leisure sector added 105,000 jobs, a slight increase from the average of 91,000 in the previous six months. Among them, the catering service and drinking establishments sector added 70,000 jobs, while the accommodation sector continued to show an upward trend, adding 14,000 jobs. It is worth mentioning that the number of employees in the leisure and hospitality industry is 410,000 lower than in February 2020. In February, 50,000 new jobs were created in the retail industry, 46,000 in the government sector, 45,000 in professional and commercial services, and 44,000 in medical services. In February, new jobs in the information industry decreased by 25,000, while new jobs in transportation and warehousing decreased by 22,000.</body></html></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The U.S. added 311,000 non-farm payrolls in February, the unemployment rate rose to 3.6%, and wage growth was lower than expected.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe U.S. added 311,000 non-farm payrolls in February, the unemployment rate rose to 3.6%, and wage growth was lower than expected.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-03-10 22:21</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>The U.S. unemployment rate in February was 3.4%, compared to the expected 3.4% and the previous value of 3.4%.</b>Following the better-than-expected \"mini-non-farm payroll\" data in February, the heavyweight non-farm payroll data also significantly exceeded expectations. However, rising unemployment and lower-than-expected average hourly wage growth. This sends mixed signals about whether the Federal Reserve will accelerate its rate hike pace.</p><p>On Friday, March 10, the latest data released by the U.S. Department of Labor showed:</p><p>Non-farm payrolls increased by 311,000 in February, compared to the expected 225,000 and the previous figure of 517,000 (revised to 504,000). U.S. non-farm payrolls have exceeded expectations for 11 consecutive months, marking the longest winning streak since Bloomberg began tracking the data in 1998.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6447484c1c24c141efba89022c310586\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"640\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>The unemployment rate was 3.6% in February, compared to both the expected and previous values of 3.4%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5730ab9acf32ceab8403685047016c30\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"640\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Average hourly wages rose 4.6% year-on-year in February, compared to the expected 4.7% and the previous value of 4.4%. In addition, the labor force participation rate in February was 62.5%, basically unchanged from the previous value. Following the release of the non-farm payroll data, the US Dollar Index fell about 40 points to 104.77. U.S. stock futures rose in the short term, with Nasdaq futures rising as much as 0.6%. Spot gold rose $5 in the short term, currently trading at $1,837.94 per ounce.</p><p>Investors may believe that this report will give the Federal Reserve a 25 basis point rate hike in February, instead of the 50 basis points that most markets had previously expected. According to the CME group FedWatch, the probability of the Fed rate hike 50 basis points in March is 47%, a significant decrease from 80% earlier.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6cd235b39d6485773ea6d4ae7f13f6d7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"375\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Although new jobs far exceeded expectations, the unemployment rate rose.</p><p>Non-farm payrolls increased by 311,000 in February, significantly exceeding the expected 225,000 and the previous figure of 517,000 (revised to 504,000). The unemployment rate was 3.6% in February, slightly higher than the expected and previous value of 3.4%.</p><p>It is also worth mentioning that the number of new non-farm payrolls in December was revised down from 260,000 to 239,000, and in January from 517,000 to 504,000. After these revisions, the combined number of new jobs added in December last year and January this year was 34,000 lower than previously reported.</p><p>The largest job growth was in the entertainment and leisure, retail, government, and healthcare sectors, but employment declined in the information, transportation, and warehousing sectors.</p><p>Specifically:</p><p>In February, the entertainment and leisure sector added 105,000 jobs, a slight increase from the average of 91,000 in the previous six months. Among them, the catering service and drinking establishments sector added 70,000 jobs, while the accommodation sector continued to show an upward trend, adding 14,000 jobs. It is worth mentioning that the number of employees in the leisure and hospitality industry is 410,000 lower than in February 2020. In February, 50,000 new jobs were created in the retail industry, 46,000 in the government sector, 45,000 in professional and commercial services, and 44,000 in medical services. In February, new jobs in the information industry decreased by 25,000, while new jobs in transportation and warehousing decreased by 22,000.</body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3683782\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52e6e6d04d9823325064d60aa26462e","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3683782","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167487912","content_text":"美国2月失业率 3.4%,预期 3.4%,前值 3.4%。...继2月“小非农”数据超预期后,重磅非农新增就业也大超预期,不过,失业率上升加上平均时薪增速低于预期。这在美联储是否加快加息步伐方面释放了喜忧参半的信号。3月10日周五,美国劳工部公布的最新数据显示:2月非农新增就业人数31.1万人,预期为22.5万人,前值为51.7万人(修正值为50.4万人);美国非农新增就业已经连续11个月超过预期,为1998年彭博追踪该数据以来的最长连涨纪录。2月失业率为3.6%,预期和前值均为3.4%;2月平均时薪同比增长4.6%,预期4.7%,前值4.4%。另外,2月劳工参与率为62.5%,与前值相比基本保持不变。非农数据公布后,美元指数短线下挫约40点,报104.77。美股期货短线拉升,纳指期货一度涨0.6%。现货黄金短线走高5美元,现报1837.94美元/盎司。投资者可能认为,这一报告将使美联储在2月加息25基点,而非市场此前多数预期的50基点。芝商所美联储观察工具(CME FedWatch)显示,美联储3月加息50基点的可能性为47%,较稍早前的80%大幅下降。新增就业虽大超预期,但失业率走高2月非农新增就业人数31.1万人,大幅超过预期的22.5万人,前值为51.7万人(修正值为50.4万人)。2月失业率为3.6%,略高于预期和前值的3.4%。另值得一提的是,12月份非农新增就业从26万下修到23.9万,1月从51.7万下修到50.4万。经过这些修正后,去年12月和今年1月的新增就业合计比此前公布的数据低3.4万人。就业岗位增幅最大的是娱乐和休闲、零售、政府以及医疗部门,但在信息、交通以及仓储部门,就业人数出现下滑。具体来看:2月份娱乐和休闲部门新增就业10.5万人,较前6个月平均值9.1万小幅拉升。其中,餐饮服务和饮酒场所增加了7万个工作岗位,住宿方面的就业岗位继续呈上升趋势,增加了1.4万个岗位。值得一提的是,休闲和酒店业的就业人数比2020年2月水平低41万个。2月零售业新增就业5万人,政府部门新增就业4.6万人,专业和商业服务新增就业4.5万人,医疗服务新增就业4.4万人。2月信息业新增就业减少了2.5万人,交通和仓储新增就业减少了2.2万人。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2363,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949178639,"gmtCreate":1678460420921,"gmtModify":1678460424157,"author":{"id":"4094983188358330","authorId":"4094983188358330","name":"我是梦幻金钱战士","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/99cba128d11b8be74b1f95636cd22ed7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094983188358330","authorIdStr":"4094983188358330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949178639","repostId":"2318898147","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2318898147","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1678459202,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2318898147?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-10 22:40","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Upon closer examination, what are the problems with Silicon Valley Bank?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2318898147","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"当地时间周四早晨,硅谷银行宣布,出售其所有210亿美元的可销售证券,因此遭受了18亿美元的亏损,并寻求通过出售普通股和优先股募资22.5亿美元。消息发布后,硅谷银行暴跌60%,创1998年以来最大跌幅","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Thursday morning local time,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>It announced the sale of all $21 billion of its marketable securities, resulting in a loss of $1.8 billion, and sought to raise $2.25 billion through the sale of common stock and preferred shares. Following the announcement, Silicon Valley Bank plummeted 60%, its biggest drop since 1998, wiping out $9.4 billion in market capitalization and triggering a widespread sell-off in U.S. bank stocks.</p><p>In fact, the Silicon Valley Bank crisis was a harbinger of a liquidity collapse in a high-interest-rate environment. During the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing in 2020, Silicon Valley Bank purchased a large number of fixed-income securities with interest-free liabilities. Subsequently, the Fed's massive rate hike caused the prices of these low-interest bonds to fall, and technology companies that had deposited funds in Silicon Valley Bank also rushed to withdraw them, resulting in a huge funding gap on its asset side.</p><p>Left with no other option, Silicon Valley Bank began selling securities assets and common stock to raise funds, a signal that significantly triggered a crisis of market confidence.<b>The first domino: high proportion allocation of fixed-income assets</b></p><p>In the second half of 2020, the Federal Reserve was still conducting QE in full swing, market liquidity was very loose, and startup technology companies backed by US venture capital funds launched a wave of IPO financing. One of Silicon Valley Bank's main businesses is providing financing services to these technology companies, with loans exceeding $100 billion.</p><p>But at the same time, these funds are not lying still in Silicon Valley Bank accounts. Holding a certain amount of reserves is also one of the Federal Reserve's requirements, so Silicon Valley Bank chose to buy a large amount of U.S. Treasury Bond and mortgage-backed securities (MBS) with interest-free liabilities. It is worth noting that Silicon Valley Bank's investment diversification is not as high as...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo Bank</a>These are large banks.</p><p><b>Silicon Valley Bank's latest annual report shows that more than half of its portfolio consists of risk-free Treasury Bond with terms of one to five years. In retrospect, the bank's high allocation ratio to this type of fixed-income asset is almost unbelievable.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/933ac1316dbf9877508512f2113b1417\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"228\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In fact, from this point on, the crisis at Silicon Valley Bank began to emerge: the bank had not set aside enough cash to handle customer withdrawals.<b>Headwinds are coming for technology companies.</b></p><p>With the Federal Reserve's massive rate hike, the dismal US IPO market, and market concerns about an economic recession, the entire technology industry is facing headwinds. Tech startups find it difficult to raise funds in the market and therefore need more cash. As a result, they have turned their attention to their \"piggy bank,\" Silicon Valley Bank.</p><p><b>Unfortunately, Silicon Valley Bank can only redeem its previously invested fixed assets at a significant discount (the discount is almost 8% to 9%).</b>This introduces the concepts of \"available-for-sale financial assets (AFS)\" and \"held-to-maturity financial assets (HTM)\" in corporate accounting. Literally, a large amount of fixed assets held by the bank are included in HTM, which is much less liquid than AFS.</p><p>Since 2020, Silicon Valley Bank's holdings of HTM have increased significantly, surging by 620% in two years!</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10a9f9699ad48cd11bc7f75c3302acc6\" tg-width=\"484\" tg-height=\"333\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Between 2020 and 2021, the Federal Reserve kept interest rates near zero, resulting in very low average yields for Silicon Valley Bank's holdings of AFS and HTM assets.<b>With the Federal Reserve's rapid rate hike since 2022, the prices of these low-interest bonds have plummeted, and banks holding a large number of such bonds have begun to suffer huge unrealized losses: unrealized losses on MBS, measured in HTM, have reached more than $15 billion.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/834a8e9c0b158c7f95ba55ff9c21ee87\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"294\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>On the other hand, Silicon Valley Bank's highly liquid assets—cash and cash equivalents—have not seen significant growth. From 2020 to 2022, Silicon Valley Bank's available-for-sale financial assets (AFS) grew by only 54% in two years.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45bcaecf3be706ca2cd78306fe0c856e\" tg-width=\"906\" tg-height=\"344\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>As long as Silicon Valley Bank can hold these assets until maturity and choose not to sell these unrealized losses, these losses will not be quickly realized on the books.</b></p><p>Unfortunately, as interest rates rose, the prices of fixed-income securities such as Federal Reserve MBS and Treasury Bond fell, and Silicon Valley Bank subsequently incurred an after-tax loss of $1.8 billion.</p><p>Furthermore, amid headwinds in the tech industry, tech companies can only continue to deplete their deposits in Silicon Valley Bank. Venture capital firms are demanding that technology companies withdraw all their deposits from Silicon Valley Bank. Silicon Valley venture capitalist Peter Thiel, founder of Founders Fund, and Y Combinator, one of the co-founders of Open AI, have all demanded that technology companies control their risk exposure, which has led to bank runs.</p><p>The annual report shows that in 2022, Silicon Valley Bank's interest-free demand deposits plummeted from nearly 126 billion yuan in 2021 to 81 billion yuan.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7fa7cac55076f16a511addc4a89aa6b\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"186\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Therefore, the bank announced that it would use stock sales to fill this capital gap, selling all of its $21 billion in marketable securities and raising $2.25 billion from common stock and preferred shares.<b>This turned Silicon Valley Bank's ultimate unrealized losses into actual losses and the collapse of its entire balance sheet. Costs on the liability side continue to rise</b></p><p>When interest rates rise, the Duration of Silicon Valley Bank's HTM MBS holdings is extended, making it increasingly difficult for it to cope with the continuous outflow of funds from the liability side.</p><p>At the same time, Silicon Valley Bank's cash reserves on the asset side remain very insufficient, while deposits on the liability side continue to flow out, and the cost of liabilities continues to rise.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f4c1772b6fe8203f6c5c65ad43b4fd0\" tg-width=\"482\" tg-height=\"331\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In fact, this situation is like a \"sword of Damocles\" hanging over the head of Silicon Valley Bank. The market is concerned about whether unrealized losses on unsold HTM assets will quickly become actual losses on the books.</p><p>Furthermore, the market was unclear whether other banks with significant exposure to technology companies would suffer the same bank run. Therefore, the Silicon Valley Bank crisis also triggered a widespread sell-off in U.S. bank stocks: the market capitalization of the four major banks evaporated by $52.4 billion, and their stock prices fell by more than or nearly 5% overnight.</p><p>How this crisis will spread and whether it will evolve into a huge financial storm remains to be seen.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Upon closer examination, what are the problems with Silicon Valley Bank?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUpon closer examination, what are the problems with Silicon Valley Bank?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-03-10 22:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Thursday morning local time,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>It announced the sale of all $21 billion of its marketable securities, resulting in a loss of $1.8 billion, and sought to raise $2.25 billion through the sale of common stock and preferred shares. Following the announcement, Silicon Valley Bank plummeted 60%, its biggest drop since 1998, wiping out $9.4 billion in market capitalization and triggering a widespread sell-off in U.S. bank stocks.</p><p>In fact, the Silicon Valley Bank crisis was a harbinger of a liquidity collapse in a high-interest-rate environment. During the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing in 2020, Silicon Valley Bank purchased a large number of fixed-income securities with interest-free liabilities. Subsequently, the Fed's massive rate hike caused the prices of these low-interest bonds to fall, and technology companies that had deposited funds in Silicon Valley Bank also rushed to withdraw them, resulting in a huge funding gap on its asset side.</p><p>Left with no other option, Silicon Valley Bank began selling securities assets and common stock to raise funds, a signal that significantly triggered a crisis of market confidence.<b>The first domino: high proportion allocation of fixed-income assets</b></p><p>In the second half of 2020, the Federal Reserve was still conducting QE in full swing, market liquidity was very loose, and startup technology companies backed by US venture capital funds launched a wave of IPO financing. One of Silicon Valley Bank's main businesses is providing financing services to these technology companies, with loans exceeding $100 billion.</p><p>But at the same time, these funds are not lying still in Silicon Valley Bank accounts. Holding a certain amount of reserves is also one of the Federal Reserve's requirements, so Silicon Valley Bank chose to buy a large amount of U.S. Treasury Bond and mortgage-backed securities (MBS) with interest-free liabilities. It is worth noting that Silicon Valley Bank's investment diversification is not as high as...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo Bank</a>These are large banks.</p><p><b>Silicon Valley Bank's latest annual report shows that more than half of its portfolio consists of risk-free Treasury Bond with terms of one to five years. In retrospect, the bank's high allocation ratio to this type of fixed-income asset is almost unbelievable.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/933ac1316dbf9877508512f2113b1417\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"228\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In fact, from this point on, the crisis at Silicon Valley Bank began to emerge: the bank had not set aside enough cash to handle customer withdrawals.<b>Headwinds are coming for technology companies.</b></p><p>With the Federal Reserve's massive rate hike, the dismal US IPO market, and market concerns about an economic recession, the entire technology industry is facing headwinds. Tech startups find it difficult to raise funds in the market and therefore need more cash. As a result, they have turned their attention to their \"piggy bank,\" Silicon Valley Bank.</p><p><b>Unfortunately, Silicon Valley Bank can only redeem its previously invested fixed assets at a significant discount (the discount is almost 8% to 9%).</b>This introduces the concepts of \"available-for-sale financial assets (AFS)\" and \"held-to-maturity financial assets (HTM)\" in corporate accounting. Literally, a large amount of fixed assets held by the bank are included in HTM, which is much less liquid than AFS.</p><p>Since 2020, Silicon Valley Bank's holdings of HTM have increased significantly, surging by 620% in two years!</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10a9f9699ad48cd11bc7f75c3302acc6\" tg-width=\"484\" tg-height=\"333\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Between 2020 and 2021, the Federal Reserve kept interest rates near zero, resulting in very low average yields for Silicon Valley Bank's holdings of AFS and HTM assets.<b>With the Federal Reserve's rapid rate hike since 2022, the prices of these low-interest bonds have plummeted, and banks holding a large number of such bonds have begun to suffer huge unrealized losses: unrealized losses on MBS, measured in HTM, have reached more than $15 billion.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/834a8e9c0b158c7f95ba55ff9c21ee87\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"294\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>On the other hand, Silicon Valley Bank's highly liquid assets—cash and cash equivalents—have not seen significant growth. From 2020 to 2022, Silicon Valley Bank's available-for-sale financial assets (AFS) grew by only 54% in two years.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45bcaecf3be706ca2cd78306fe0c856e\" tg-width=\"906\" tg-height=\"344\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>As long as Silicon Valley Bank can hold these assets until maturity and choose not to sell these unrealized losses, these losses will not be quickly realized on the books.</b></p><p>Unfortunately, as interest rates rose, the prices of fixed-income securities such as Federal Reserve MBS and Treasury Bond fell, and Silicon Valley Bank subsequently incurred an after-tax loss of $1.8 billion.</p><p>Furthermore, amid headwinds in the tech industry, tech companies can only continue to deplete their deposits in Silicon Valley Bank. Venture capital firms are demanding that technology companies withdraw all their deposits from Silicon Valley Bank. Silicon Valley venture capitalist Peter Thiel, founder of Founders Fund, and Y Combinator, one of the co-founders of Open AI, have all demanded that technology companies control their risk exposure, which has led to bank runs.</p><p>The annual report shows that in 2022, Silicon Valley Bank's interest-free demand deposits plummeted from nearly 126 billion yuan in 2021 to 81 billion yuan.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7fa7cac55076f16a511addc4a89aa6b\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"186\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Therefore, the bank announced that it would use stock sales to fill this capital gap, selling all of its $21 billion in marketable securities and raising $2.25 billion from common stock and preferred shares.<b>This turned Silicon Valley Bank's ultimate unrealized losses into actual losses and the collapse of its entire balance sheet. Costs on the liability side continue to rise</b></p><p>When interest rates rise, the Duration of Silicon Valley Bank's HTM MBS holdings is extended, making it increasingly difficult for it to cope with the continuous outflow of funds from the liability side.</p><p>At the same time, Silicon Valley Bank's cash reserves on the asset side remain very insufficient, while deposits on the liability side continue to flow out, and the cost of liabilities continues to rise.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f4c1772b6fe8203f6c5c65ad43b4fd0\" tg-width=\"482\" tg-height=\"331\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In fact, this situation is like a \"sword of Damocles\" hanging over the head of Silicon Valley Bank. The market is concerned about whether unrealized losses on unsold HTM assets will quickly become actual losses on the books.</p><p>Furthermore, the market was unclear whether other banks with significant exposure to technology companies would suffer the same bank run. Therefore, the Silicon Valley Bank crisis also triggered a widespread sell-off in U.S. bank stocks: the market capitalization of the four major banks evaporated by $52.4 billion, and their stock prices fell by more than or nearly 5% overnight.</p><p>How this crisis will spread and whether it will evolve into a huge financial storm remains to be seen.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3683781\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4ac7a6ebd455cb354600f2c4dcef71e","relate_stocks":{"LU1861220207.SGD":"Blackrock FinTech A2 SGD-H","LU0390134368.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL GROWTH \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4211":"区域性银行","LU1861217088.USD":"贝莱德金融科技A2","BK4588":"碎股","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3683781","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2318898147","content_text":"当地时间周四早晨,硅谷银行宣布,出售其所有210亿美元的可销售证券,因此遭受了18亿美元的亏损,并寻求通过出售普通股和优先股募资22.5亿美元。消息发布后,硅谷银行暴跌60%,创1998年以来最大跌幅,市值迅速蒸发掉94亿美元,同时也触发了美国银行股的普遍抛售。事实上,硅谷银行的危机是高利率环境下流动性坍塌的一次预示。在2020年美联储实施量化宽松期间,硅谷银行用无息负债购入了大量固定收益证券,而此后美联储的大举加息导致这些低利率债券价格下跌,将资金存在硅谷银行的科技企业们也争相要求提款,因此其资产端就开始出现了巨大的资金缺口。不得已之下,硅谷银行开始出售证券资产和普通股等募资,而这一信号大力触发了市场信心危机。多米诺骨牌的第一张:高比例配置固定收益资产在2020年下半年,美联储仍在如火如荼进行QE,市场流动性十分宽松,美国风投基金支持的初创科技企业掀起了IPO融资热潮。而硅谷银行的主营业务之一就是为这些科技企业提供融资服务,其放出的贷款超过了千亿美元。但与此同时,这些资金也并非静止不动地躺在硅谷银行的账户中。持有一定数量的准备金也是美联储的要求之一,因此硅谷银行用无息负债选择买入大量的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券MBS。值得注意的是,硅谷银行的投资多元化程度并不及摩根大通、富国银行这类大型银行。硅谷银行的最新年报显示,其投资组合中超过一半都是1年期到5年期的无风险国债。从现在看来,该行对这类固定收益资产的高配置比例几乎是难以置信的。其实从这时候,硅谷银行的危机已经初露端倪:该行并没有为应对客户提款留出充足的现金。科技企业的逆风来袭随着美联储大举加息、美股IPO市场惨淡,以及市场对经济衰退的担忧,整个科技行业都迎来逆风。初创科技企业很难在市场上融资,相应就需要更多的现金,于是,他们纷纷把目光转向了自己的“储蓄罐”硅谷银行。但不幸的是,硅谷银行如果要提前赎回自己之前投的固定资产,只能大打折扣(折扣几乎达到了8%至9%)。这里就要引入一个企业会计处理中的“可供出售金融资产(AFS)”和“持有至到期金融资产(HTM)”的概念。从字面意义上来看,该行持有的大量固定资产被计入了HTM,其流动性要比AFS差得多。2020年以来,硅谷银行对HTM的持有数量大幅增长,两年间暴增了620%!在2020年至2021年,美联储还是将利率保持在接近于零的水平,因此硅谷银行持有AFS和HTM资产的平均收益率非常之低。伴随着美联储2022年以来的快速加息,这些低利率债券价格暴跌,持有大量此类债券的银行资产端开始承受巨大的未实现损失:以HTM计量的MBS的未实现损失,就高达逾150亿美元。然而另一边,硅谷银行流动性较高的资产——现金和现金等价物等增长并不明显。从2020年到2022年,硅谷银行的可供出售金融资产(AFS)两年间仅增长了54%。只要硅谷银行能够将这些资产持有至到期,选择不出售这些未实现损失,这些损失就不会在账面上迅速变现。然而不幸的是,随着利率上升,美联储MBS、国债等固定收益证券的价格下跌,硅谷银行随后就产生了18亿美元的税后亏损。此外,在科技行业的逆风来袭之际,科技公司们只能持续消耗在硅谷银行的存款。风投企业要求科技公司把存在硅谷银行的存款全部提取出来,硅谷风投大佬、风投基金 Founders Fund 的创始人 Peter Thiel、Open AI 的联合创始公司之一 Y Combinator 等都要求科技企业控制风险敞口,这就发生了银行挤兑。年报显示,2022年,硅谷银行的活期无息存款由2021年的近1260亿骤降至了810亿。因此该行才宣布用出售股票来填补这一资本缺口,将出售其所有210亿美元的可销售证券,并出售普通股和优先股募资22.5亿美元。这就使得硅谷银行的最终未实现损失变成了实际亏损和整个资产负债表的坍塌。负债端成本持续上升当利率上升的时候,硅谷银行所持有HTM的MBS久期(Duration,持续期)会被拉长,这导致其越来越难以应对负债端持续的资金流出。与此同时,硅谷银行资产端的现金储量仍十分不足,而负债端存款一直在流出,负债成本持续上升。事实上,这种状态就好像一把“达摩克利斯之剑”一直悬在硅谷银行的头顶。市场担忧,未出售的HTM资产的未实现损失是否会迅速变成账面上的实际损失。并且,市场也不清楚其他对科技企业有大量敞口的银行是否会遭受同样的挤兑,因此硅谷银行的危机同时触发了美国银行股的普遍抛售:四大银行市值蒸发524亿美元,股价一夜之间纷纷跌超或跌近5%。这场危机将如何蔓延,是否会演变成一场巨大的金融风暴,仍需时间观察。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SIVB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2334,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949178179,"gmtCreate":1678460401692,"gmtModify":1678460405423,"author":{"id":"4094983188358330","authorId":"4094983188358330","name":"我是梦幻金钱战士","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/99cba128d11b8be74b1f95636cd22ed7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094983188358330","authorIdStr":"4094983188358330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949178179","repostId":"1197529130","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1197529130","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1678459878,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1197529130?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-10 22:51","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Hedge fund tycoon Ackman: The US government should intervene to rescue SVB, otherwise more banks will fail.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1197529130","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"第一张多米诺骨牌不能倒下!如果私人资本救不了暴雷的SVB银行,美国政府应该考虑介入吗?传奇基金经理、潘兴广场创始人比尔·阿克曼(Bill Ackman)的答案是Yes。阿克曼在当地时间周五的一系列推文","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><b>The first domino can't fall!</b>If private capital cannot save the collapsing SVB Bank, should the US government consider intervening?</p><p>Legendary fund manager Bill Ackman, founder of Pershing Plaza, answered Yes.</p><p>In a series of tweets on Friday local time, Ackerman said that the collapse of Silicon Valley’s largest bank could destroy a key long-term driver of the economy because venture capital-backed companies rely on SVB (Silicon Valley Bank) for loans and operating funds.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41addcf5d73434289beeee3dc532b5a4\" tg-width=\"525\" tg-height=\"369\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Ackerman believes that,<b>If SVB collapses, more banks will face bank runs and collapses, creating a domino effect.</b>Therefore, governments should consider intervention. However, he pointed out that any bailout measures should be aimed at protecting depositors, \"not shareholders or management.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56c94f87a0c79251f47e3a5a70d54044\" tg-width=\"603\" tg-height=\"329\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Ackerman said the government could bail out SVB by highly diluting the stake. In addition, the government could guarantee the deposits in exchange for a diluted warrant issue, enabling SVB to raise new funds.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b59695f22ce509bb30991908947f0a2\" tg-width=\"547\" tg-height=\"341\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>More importantly, only the government might be willing to save SVB right now. Ackerman wrote:</p><p>Given what the Federal Reserve did to JPMorgan Chase, which rescued Bear Stearns, we haven't seen other banks step in to bail out SVB.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b85a221a2ca2e64fc198c4101e5ec48\" tg-width=\"522\" tg-height=\"302\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>At the time, Bear Stearns, which was in a liquidity crisis, was acquired by JPMorgan Chase to avoid bankruptcy.<b>JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon later said he regretted making the move.</b></p><p>According to a previous article by Wall Street Journal, SVB claimed that it had previously sold $21 billion in bond investment assets, resulting in an after-tax loss of $1.8 billion due to rising interest rates. Therefore, SVB plans to raise $2.25 billion urgently through the issuance of common shares, preferred shares, and private placements to make up for the losses. But coincidentally, at the same time as SVB released its statement, Silvergate, the \"cryptocurrency-friendly bank,\" declared bankruptcy.</p><p>Investors who instantly linked the two events sensed something was wrong and immediately began a panic sell-off, causing SVB stock to plummet by 60%, wiping out $9.6 billion in market value overnight. The four major U.S. banks—JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Wells Fargo, and Bank of America—lost a combined $52.4 billion in market value during the day.</p><p>SVB CEO Greg Becker took action on Thursday, advising clients to \"remain calm\" in an effort to quell concerns about the bank's financial health.</p><p>SVB's clients include venture capitalists, and according to sources familiar with the matter, Becker asked them to support SVB, just as the company has supported them for the past 40 years.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hedge fund tycoon Ackman: The US government should intervene to rescue SVB, otherwise more banks will fail.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHedge fund tycoon Ackman: The US government should intervene to rescue SVB, otherwise more banks will fail.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-03-10 22:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>The first domino can't fall!</b>If private capital cannot save the collapsing SVB Bank, should the US government consider intervening?</p><p>Legendary fund manager Bill Ackman, founder of Pershing Plaza, answered Yes.</p><p>In a series of tweets on Friday local time, Ackerman said that the collapse of Silicon Valley’s largest bank could destroy a key long-term driver of the economy because venture capital-backed companies rely on SVB (Silicon Valley Bank) for loans and operating funds.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41addcf5d73434289beeee3dc532b5a4\" tg-width=\"525\" tg-height=\"369\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Ackerman believes that,<b>If SVB collapses, more banks will face bank runs and collapses, creating a domino effect.</b>Therefore, governments should consider intervention. However, he pointed out that any bailout measures should be aimed at protecting depositors, \"not shareholders or management.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56c94f87a0c79251f47e3a5a70d54044\" tg-width=\"603\" tg-height=\"329\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Ackerman said the government could bail out SVB by highly diluting the stake. In addition, the government could guarantee the deposits in exchange for a diluted warrant issue, enabling SVB to raise new funds.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b59695f22ce509bb30991908947f0a2\" tg-width=\"547\" tg-height=\"341\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>More importantly, only the government might be willing to save SVB right now. Ackerman wrote:</p><p>Given what the Federal Reserve did to JPMorgan Chase, which rescued Bear Stearns, we haven't seen other banks step in to bail out SVB.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b85a221a2ca2e64fc198c4101e5ec48\" tg-width=\"522\" tg-height=\"302\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>At the time, Bear Stearns, which was in a liquidity crisis, was acquired by JPMorgan Chase to avoid bankruptcy.<b>JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon later said he regretted making the move.</b></p><p>According to a previous article by Wall Street Journal, SVB claimed that it had previously sold $21 billion in bond investment assets, resulting in an after-tax loss of $1.8 billion due to rising interest rates. Therefore, SVB plans to raise $2.25 billion urgently through the issuance of common shares, preferred shares, and private placements to make up for the losses. But coincidentally, at the same time as SVB released its statement, Silvergate, the \"cryptocurrency-friendly bank,\" declared bankruptcy.</p><p>Investors who instantly linked the two events sensed something was wrong and immediately began a panic sell-off, causing SVB stock to plummet by 60%, wiping out $9.6 billion in market value overnight. The four major U.S. banks—JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Wells Fargo, and Bank of America—lost a combined $52.4 billion in market value during the day.</p><p>SVB CEO Greg Becker took action on Thursday, advising clients to \"remain calm\" in an effort to quell concerns about the bank's financial health.</p><p>SVB's clients include venture capitalists, and according to sources familiar with the matter, Becker asked them to support SVB, just as the company has supported them for the past 40 years.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3683780\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69af882c29a3ff047224139fe1096d17","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3683780","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1197529130","content_text":"第一张多米诺骨牌不能倒下!如果私人资本救不了暴雷的SVB银行,美国政府应该考虑介入吗?传奇基金经理、潘兴广场创始人比尔·阿克曼(Bill Ackman)的答案是Yes。阿克曼在当地时间周五的一系列推文中表示,由于风险资本支持的公司依赖SVB(硅谷银行)获取贷款和运营资金,因此这家硅谷第一大银行倒闭可能会摧毁经济的关键长期推动力。阿克曼认为,SVB一旦倒闭,将有更多的银行面临挤兑和倒闭,届时多米诺骨牌会接连倒下,因此,政府应该考虑进行干预。不过,他指出任何纾困措施都应旨在保护储户,“而不是股东或管理层”。阿克曼说,政府可以通过高度稀释股权为SVB提供救助。除此以外,政府还可以为存款提供担保,以换取稀释的认股权证发行,使SVB能够筹集新资金。更重要的是,现在只有政府可能愿意救SVB。阿克曼写道:鉴于美联储对拯救了Bear Stearns的摩根大通的所作所为,我们没有看到其他银行出手援助SVB。当时,陷入流动性危机的Bear Stearns被摩根大通收购才避免破产,摩根大通首席执行官Jamie Dimon后来表示后悔做出此举。据华尔街见闻此前文章,SVB声称此前出售的210亿美元债券投资资产,因利率上升而遭遇18亿美元税后亏损。因此SVB计划通过发行普通股、优先股、定向增发等方式紧急融资22.5亿美元,以弥补损失。但好巧不巧,在SVB发布声明的同时,“币圈友好银行”Silvergate宣告倒闭。瞬间将两件事情联系在一起的投资者感到不妙,立即开始恐慌性抛售,导致SVB股票重挫60%,市值一夜蒸发96亿美元,美国四大银行——摩根大通、花旗集团、富国银行和美国银行——市值日内合计蒸发524亿美元。SVB首席执行官Greg Becker周四采取行动,建议客户“保持冷静”,以平息外界对该行财务状况的担忧。SVB的客户包括风险资本投资者,据知情人士透露,Becker要求他们支持SVB,就像过去40年来公司一直支持他们那样。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SIVB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2260,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940214088,"gmtCreate":1677945110145,"gmtModify":1677945114165,"author":{"id":"4094983188358330","authorId":"4094983188358330","name":"我是梦幻金钱战士","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/99cba128d11b8be74b1f95636cd22ed7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094983188358330","authorIdStr":"4094983188358330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940214088","repostId":"2316187965","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2352,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9997721421,"gmtCreate":1661860618865,"gmtModify":1676536591923,"author":{"id":"4094983188358330","authorId":"4094983188358330","name":"我是梦幻金钱战士","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/99cba128d11b8be74b1f95636cd22ed7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094983188358330","authorIdStr":"4094983188358330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"yes","listText":"yes","text":"yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9997721421","repostId":"1172760404","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1172760404","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1661860475,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1172760404?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-30 19:54","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"Xiaomi Group repurchased 4.37 million shares on August 30, spending approximately HK$49.62 million.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1172760404","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"回购价格为11.3-11.4港元每股。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Xiaomi Group repurchased 4.37 million shares on August 30 at a price of HK$11.3-11.4 per share, costing a total of approximately HK$49.62 million.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae43795499c46c4fbff65b3eeb76cabb\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Xiaomi Group repurchased 4.37 million shares on August 30, spending approximately HK$49.62 million.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nXiaomi Group repurchased 4.37 million shares on August 30, spending approximately HK$49.62 million.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-08-30 19:54</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Xiaomi Group repurchased 4.37 million shares on August 30 at a price of HK$11.3-11.4 per share, costing a total of approximately HK$49.62 million.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae43795499c46c4fbff65b3eeb76cabb\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99b330c7a5fe2b62c4d008bd67f85ddd","relate_stocks":{"01810":"小米集团-W"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1172760404","content_text":"小米集团于8月30日回购437万股,回购价格为11.3-11.4港元每股,共耗资约4962万港元。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"01810":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1925,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9943050609,"gmtCreate":1678980089102,"gmtModify":1678980092992,"author":{"id":"4094983188358330","authorId":"4094983188358330","name":"我是梦幻金钱战士","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/99cba128d11b8be74b1f95636cd22ed7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094983188358330","authorIdStr":"4094983188358330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943050609","repostId":"1114791300","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114791300","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1678972436,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1114791300?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-16 21:13","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Soul-searching question: Will a \"safe\" US Treasury Bond be the trigger for the next crisis?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114791300","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"美国国债变成了“有毒资产”。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>In just one weekend, Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank collapsed one after another, and the banking crisis continued to spread, even affecting the century-old investment bank Credit Suisse. The Swiss National Bank has announced that it will inject emergency liquidity into it.</p><p>In this crisis, Treasury Bond, which has always been regarded as the safest asset in the world, became a \"toxic asset\" at the center of the vortex. Some even believe that US Treasury Bond could trigger the next financial crisis.</p><p>Chris Crawford, fund manager at asset management firm Eric Sturdza Investments, stated in a recent report:</p><p><b>\"The 2008 financial crisis was triggered by 'ninja loans' to people with no income, no jobs, and no fixed assets, while the 'toxic' asset that will trigger the next crisis will be government bonds!\"</b>Of course,<b>This is not to say that there are any similarities between the US Treasury Bond and high-risk assets during the financial crisis. The reason government bonds have become \"toxic\" is because the Federal Reserve's continuous rate hike has led to a decline in the value of the bond market. Some banks that failed to manage interest rate risk well are facing huge unrealized losses. Coupled with deposit outflows leading to poor liquidity, they may be forced to sell debt at a loss before long-term debt matures to cope with depositor withdrawals.</b></p><p>Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Chairman Glenberg previously stated that<b>By the end of 2022, the U.S. banking industry had suffered unrealized losses of $620 billion in bond investments.</b></p><p>Even if banks can prevent unrealized losses from turning into real losses, or have sufficient capital to absorb unrealized losses, concerns about bank liquidity may still trigger depositors to run on their banks.</p><p>Silicon Valley Bank is a gory example. Most of its clients' funds come from demand deposits held by technology companies. Moreover, a considerable proportion of the deposit base is not covered by deposit insurance.</p><p>Such depositors are not bound by services such as custody, cash management, or clearing, are sensitive to interest rates, and are easily transferable. If depositors have doubts about a bank's solvency, they will rush to the bank as soon as possible. Silicon Valley Bank saw $42 billion withdrawn in a single day, directly plunging it into a liquidity crisis.</p><p>Neil Dutta of Renaissance Macro Research told the media that if it weren't for the banking crisis, the lack of cooling CPI data this week would have led the Federal Reserve to raise its rate hike by 50 basis points again.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d64c1638d1ab38980ab4614968480764\" tg-width=\"634\" tg-height=\"322\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>However, the latest data from the futures market shows that the market believes the probability of no rate hike next week is 34.3%, the probability of rate hike reaching 25 basis points is 65.7%, and before the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, the probability of rate hike reaching 50 basis points was as high as 90%.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"live_wallstreetcn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Soul-searching question: Will a \"safe\" US Treasury Bond be the trigger for the next crisis?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSoul-searching question: Will a \"safe\" US Treasury Bond be the trigger for the next crisis?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-03-16 21:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>In just one weekend, Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank collapsed one after another, and the banking crisis continued to spread, even affecting the century-old investment bank Credit Suisse. The Swiss National Bank has announced that it will inject emergency liquidity into it.</p><p>In this crisis, Treasury Bond, which has always been regarded as the safest asset in the world, became a \"toxic asset\" at the center of the vortex. Some even believe that US Treasury Bond could trigger the next financial crisis.</p><p>Chris Crawford, fund manager at asset management firm Eric Sturdza Investments, stated in a recent report:</p><p><b>\"The 2008 financial crisis was triggered by 'ninja loans' to people with no income, no jobs, and no fixed assets, while the 'toxic' asset that will trigger the next crisis will be government bonds!\"</b>Of course,<b>This is not to say that there are any similarities between the US Treasury Bond and high-risk assets during the financial crisis. The reason government bonds have become \"toxic\" is because the Federal Reserve's continuous rate hike has led to a decline in the value of the bond market. Some banks that failed to manage interest rate risk well are facing huge unrealized losses. Coupled with deposit outflows leading to poor liquidity, they may be forced to sell debt at a loss before long-term debt matures to cope with depositor withdrawals.</b></p><p>Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Chairman Glenberg previously stated that<b>By the end of 2022, the U.S. banking industry had suffered unrealized losses of $620 billion in bond investments.</b></p><p>Even if banks can prevent unrealized losses from turning into real losses, or have sufficient capital to absorb unrealized losses, concerns about bank liquidity may still trigger depositors to run on their banks.</p><p>Silicon Valley Bank is a gory example. Most of its clients' funds come from demand deposits held by technology companies. Moreover, a considerable proportion of the deposit base is not covered by deposit insurance.</p><p>Such depositors are not bound by services such as custody, cash management, or clearing, are sensitive to interest rates, and are easily transferable. If depositors have doubts about a bank's solvency, they will rush to the bank as soon as possible. Silicon Valley Bank saw $42 billion withdrawn in a single day, directly plunging it into a liquidity crisis.</p><p>Neil Dutta of Renaissance Macro Research told the media that if it weren't for the banking crisis, the lack of cooling CPI data this week would have led the Federal Reserve to raise its rate hike by 50 basis points again.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d64c1638d1ab38980ab4614968480764\" tg-width=\"634\" tg-height=\"322\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>However, the latest data from the futures market shows that the market believes the probability of no rate hike next week is 34.3%, the probability of rate hike reaching 25 basis points is 65.7%, and before the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, the probability of rate hike reaching 50 basis points was as high as 90%.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3684181\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfe8ba21c8b5ac2b562fdf822ed7fcb2","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3684181","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/cc96873d3d23ee6ac10685520df9c100","article_id":"1114791300","content_text":"短短一个周末,硅谷银行和签字银行相继倒闭,银行业危机持续蔓延,甚至已波及百年投行瑞信。瑞士央行已宣布,将为其紧急注入流动性。在这场危机中,一直被视为全球最安全的资产——美国国债成了漩涡中心的“有毒资产”。有观点甚至认为,美国国债可能引爆下一场金融危机。资管机构Eric Sturdza Investments的基金经理Chris Crawford在近期发布的报告中表示:“引爆2008年金融危机是那些发给没有收入、没有工作、没有固定资产的人的‘忍者贷款’,而引爆下一次危机的‘有毒’资产将是政府债券!”当然,这并不是说美国国债和金融危机中的高风险资产有什么相似之处,政府债券之所以变得“有毒”,是因为美联储连续加息,导致债券市场价值下跌,部分未能管理好利率风险的银行面临巨额浮亏,叠加存款流出导致其流动性较差,长期债务还未到期时,可能就要被迫亏本出售债务应对储户提款。美国联邦存款保险公司主席格伦伯格此前曾表示,截止2022年末,美国银行业在债券投资上的浮亏高达6200亿美元。即使银行可以避免浮亏变为实损,或者有足够的资本消化浮亏,对银行流动性的担忧也可能诱发储户挤兑。硅谷银行就是一个血淋淋的例子。其大部分客户资金来自科技公司的活期存款。而且存款基数中有相当高的比例不受存款保险保障。这样的存款人不受托管、现金管理或清算等服务的约束,对利率敏感,容易转移。如果对银行的偿付能力有疑问,储户会第一时间抢跑。硅谷银行在一天就内被提走420亿美元,直接致其陷入流动性危机。Renaissance Macro Research的Neil Dutta对媒体称,如果不是银行业的危机,本周未见降温的CPI数据,原本应该会使美联储再次加息50个基点。但期货市场最新数据显示,市场认为下周不加息的可能性为34.3%,加息25个基点的可能性为65.7%,硅谷银行爆雷前,加息50基点概率一度高达90%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5055,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949659098,"gmtCreate":1678630743215,"gmtModify":1678630746886,"author":{"id":"4094983188358330","authorId":"4094983188358330","name":"我是梦幻金钱战士","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/99cba128d11b8be74b1f95636cd22ed7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094983188358330","authorIdStr":"4094983188358330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949659098","repostId":"1120362149","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120362149","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1678079397,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1120362149?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-06 13:09","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Reminder: Starting March 12, the United States will enter daylight saving time, and US stocks will open one hour earlier.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120362149","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"美国2023年夏令时将于2023年3月12日美东时间02:00开始,至2023年11月5日美东时间02:00终止。届时美股市场的常规交易时段对应的北京时间将提前1小时,即变为周一至周五21:30至次日","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Daylight Saving Time in the United States in 2023 will begin at 02:00 Eastern Time on March 12, 2023, and end at 02:00 Eastern Time on November 5, 2023. At that time, the Beijing time corresponding to the regular trading hours of the US stock market will be advanced by one hour, that is, from 21:30 to 04:00 the next day, Monday to Friday; March 13 was the first trading day for US stocks after the start of daylight saving time.</p><p><b>Trading hours</b></p><p>Eastern Time: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM (No lunch break); Beijing time: 21:30-04:00 the next day</p><p><b>Pre-market trading hours</b></p><p>Eastern Time: 04:00-09:30; Beijing time: 16:00-21:30</p><p><b>After-hours trading</b></p><p>Eastern Time: 16:00-20:00; Beijing time: 04:00-08:00</p><p>(Note: Daylight saving time is from the second Sunday of March to the first Sunday of November each year, and winter time is from the first Sunday of November to the second Sunday of March of the following year.)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69c49b7e49385a32a49c0ed123c91847\" tg-width=\"674\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Reminder: Starting March 12, the United States will enter daylight saving time, and US stocks will open one hour earlier.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nReminder: Starting March 12, the United States will enter daylight saving time, and US stocks will open one hour earlier.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-03-06 13:09</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Daylight Saving Time in the United States in 2023 will begin at 02:00 Eastern Time on March 12, 2023, and end at 02:00 Eastern Time on November 5, 2023. At that time, the Beijing time corresponding to the regular trading hours of the US stock market will be advanced by one hour, that is, from 21:30 to 04:00 the next day, Monday to Friday; March 13 was the first trading day for US stocks after the start of daylight saving time.</p><p><b>Trading hours</b></p><p>Eastern Time: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM (No lunch break); Beijing time: 21:30-04:00 the next day</p><p><b>Pre-market trading hours</b></p><p>Eastern Time: 04:00-09:30; Beijing time: 16:00-21:30</p><p><b>After-hours trading</b></p><p>Eastern Time: 16:00-20:00; Beijing time: 04:00-08:00</p><p>(Note: Daylight saving time is from the second Sunday of March to the first Sunday of November each year, and winter time is from the first Sunday of November to the second Sunday of March of the following year.)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69c49b7e49385a32a49c0ed123c91847\" tg-width=\"674\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69c49b7e49385a32a49c0ed123c91847","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120362149","content_text":"美国2023年夏令时将于2023年3月12日美东时间02:00开始,至2023年11月5日美东时间02:00终止。届时美股市场的常规交易时段对应的北京时间将提前1小时,即变为周一至周五21:30至次日04:00;3月13日为进入夏令时后美股首个交易日。交易时间美国东部时间:09:30~16:00 (午间不休市);北京时间:21:30~次日04:00盘前交易时间美国东部时间:04:00~09:30;北京时间:16:00~21:30盘后交易时间美国东部时间:16:00~20:00;北京时间:04:00~08:00(注:夏令时为每年3月的第二个星期日至11月的第一个星期日,冬令时为每年11月的第一个星期日至次年3月的第二个星期日。)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1607,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949650742,"gmtCreate":1678630733487,"gmtModify":1678630737023,"author":{"id":"4094983188358330","authorId":"4094983188358330","name":"我是梦幻金钱战士","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/99cba128d11b8be74b1f95636cd22ed7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094983188358330","authorIdStr":"4094983188358330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949650742","repostId":"1120362149","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120362149","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1678079397,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1120362149?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-06 13:09","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Reminder: Starting March 12, the United States will enter daylight saving time, and US stocks will open one hour earlier.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120362149","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"美国2023年夏令时将于2023年3月12日美东时间02:00开始,至2023年11月5日美东时间02:00终止。届时美股市场的常规交易时段对应的北京时间将提前1小时,即变为周一至周五21:30至次日","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Daylight Saving Time in the United States in 2023 will begin at 02:00 Eastern Time on March 12, 2023, and end at 02:00 Eastern Time on November 5, 2023. At that time, the Beijing time corresponding to the regular trading hours of the US stock market will be advanced by one hour, that is, from 21:30 to 04:00 the next day, Monday to Friday; March 13 was the first trading day for US stocks after the start of daylight saving time.</p><p><b>Trading hours</b></p><p>Eastern Time: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM (No lunch break); Beijing time: 21:30-04:00 the next day</p><p><b>Pre-market trading hours</b></p><p>Eastern Time: 04:00-09:30; Beijing time: 16:00-21:30</p><p><b>After-hours trading</b></p><p>Eastern Time: 16:00-20:00; Beijing time: 04:00-08:00</p><p>(Note: Daylight saving time is from the second Sunday of March to the first Sunday of November each year, and winter time is from the first Sunday of November to the second Sunday of March of the following year.)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69c49b7e49385a32a49c0ed123c91847\" tg-width=\"674\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Reminder: Starting March 12, the United States will enter daylight saving time, and US stocks will open one hour earlier.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nReminder: Starting March 12, the United States will enter daylight saving time, and US stocks will open one hour earlier.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-03-06 13:09</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Daylight Saving Time in the United States in 2023 will begin at 02:00 Eastern Time on March 12, 2023, and end at 02:00 Eastern Time on November 5, 2023. At that time, the Beijing time corresponding to the regular trading hours of the US stock market will be advanced by one hour, that is, from 21:30 to 04:00 the next day, Monday to Friday; March 13 was the first trading day for US stocks after the start of daylight saving time.</p><p><b>Trading hours</b></p><p>Eastern Time: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM (No lunch break); Beijing time: 21:30-04:00 the next day</p><p><b>Pre-market trading hours</b></p><p>Eastern Time: 04:00-09:30; Beijing time: 16:00-21:30</p><p><b>After-hours trading</b></p><p>Eastern Time: 16:00-20:00; Beijing time: 04:00-08:00</p><p>(Note: Daylight saving time is from the second Sunday of March to the first Sunday of November each year, and winter time is from the first Sunday of November to the second Sunday of March of the following year.)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69c49b7e49385a32a49c0ed123c91847\" tg-width=\"674\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69c49b7e49385a32a49c0ed123c91847","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120362149","content_text":"美国2023年夏令时将于2023年3月12日美东时间02:00开始,至2023年11月5日美东时间02:00终止。届时美股市场的常规交易时段对应的北京时间将提前1小时,即变为周一至周五21:30至次日04:00;3月13日为进入夏令时后美股首个交易日。交易时间美国东部时间:09:30~16:00 (午间不休市);北京时间:21:30~次日04:00盘前交易时间美国东部时间:04:00~09:30;北京时间:16:00~21:30盘后交易时间美国东部时间:16:00~20:00;北京时间:04:00~08:00(注:夏令时为每年3月的第二个星期日至11月的第一个星期日,冬令时为每年11月的第一个星期日至次年3月的第二个星期日。)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2061,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949178433,"gmtCreate":1678460464723,"gmtModify":1678460469183,"author":{"id":"4094983188358330","authorId":"4094983188358330","name":"我是梦幻金钱战士","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/99cba128d11b8be74b1f95636cd22ed7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094983188358330","authorIdStr":"4094983188358330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949178433","repostId":"1105673965","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105673965","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1678455045,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1105673965?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-10 21:30","market":"other","language":"zh","title":"U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 311,000 in February, exceeding expectations.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105673965","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"3月10日,美国2月非农就业人数增加31.1万,预估为增加22.5万,前值为增加51.7万。美国2月平均时薪同比增长4.6%;预估增长4.7%。美国劳工部公布的最新数据显示:2月非农新增就业人数31.","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On March 10, U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 311,000 in February, compared with an estimated increase of 225,000 and a previous increase of 517,000. Average hourly wages in the United States rose 4.6% year-over-year in February; The estimated growth is 4.7%.</p><p>The latest data released by the U.S. Department of Labor shows:</p><p>Non-farm payrolls increased by 311,000 in February, exceeding the expected 225,000 and the previous figure of 517,000. The unemployment rate was 3.6% in February, compared to both the expected and previous values of 3.4%. Average hourly wages increased by 4.6% year-on-year, compared to the expected 4.7% and the previous value of 4.4%. After the data was released: the US Dollar Index fell about 40 points in the short term to 104.77. U.S. stock futures rose in the short term, with Nasdaq futures rising as much as 0.6%. Spot gold rose $5 in the short term, currently trading at $1,837.94 per ounce.</p><p>The swap contract shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve hitting a 50 basis point rate hike in March has dropped below 50%.</p><p><b>Institutional commentary on the US non-farm payrolls report:</b>Overall, the job market remains hot, and the labor force participation rate is increasing. This should also reduce the ratio of job openings to job seekers to some extent. Recently, this percentage has been high, raising concerns among the Federal Reserve.</p><p><b>Institutional commentary on the US non-farm payrolls report:</b>It is worth noting that despite the downturn in the real estate industry, the number of construction workers is still increasing. Employment in the construction industry increased by 24,000 in February, and has been growing every month for the past year. Average working hours also declined, from 34.6 hours in January to 34.5 hours in February.</p><p><b>U.S. job growth exceeded expectations for 11 consecutive months, but the unemployment rate rose and wage growth cooled.</b></p><p>U.S. job growth in February exceeded expectations, while wage growth slowed, creating a mixed picture as the Federal Reserve decides whether to accelerate its rate hike. A report released Friday by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that U.S. employment increased by 311,000 after rising by 504,000 in January, the unemployment rate rose to 3.6%, and the monthly wage growth rate was the lowest in a year. In addition, the U.S. employment participation rate rose to 62.5%, the highest level since March 2020. U.S. job growth has exceeded expectations for 11 consecutive months, the longest cycle since 1998.</p><p><b>Non-farm payroll data gave the Federal Reserve an excuse not to rate hike 50 basis points this month</b></p><p>Non-farm payrolls increased by 311,000, exceeding the expected 225,000. However, analysts said there was some good news in the non-farm payrolls report, such as the downward revision of the growth rates for non-farm payrolls in December and January last year. The average monthly hourly wage rate was 0.2%, lower than expected; The unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 3.6%; And the participation rate rose from 62.4% to 62.5%. In conclusion, this report is not very strong, which certainly gives the Federal Reserve an excuse to raise its rate hike by 25 basis points instead of 50 basis points this month. Therefore, it is not without reason that the market is priced in favor of the Federal Reserve raising its rate hike by 25 basis points this month, which is also a comfort to financial assets.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 311,000 in February, exceeding expectations.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 311,000 in February, exceeding expectations.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-03-10 21:30</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On March 10, U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 311,000 in February, compared with an estimated increase of 225,000 and a previous increase of 517,000. Average hourly wages in the United States rose 4.6% year-over-year in February; The estimated growth is 4.7%.</p><p>The latest data released by the U.S. Department of Labor shows:</p><p>Non-farm payrolls increased by 311,000 in February, exceeding the expected 225,000 and the previous figure of 517,000. The unemployment rate was 3.6% in February, compared to both the expected and previous values of 3.4%. Average hourly wages increased by 4.6% year-on-year, compared to the expected 4.7% and the previous value of 4.4%. After the data was released: the US Dollar Index fell about 40 points in the short term to 104.77. U.S. stock futures rose in the short term, with Nasdaq futures rising as much as 0.6%. Spot gold rose $5 in the short term, currently trading at $1,837.94 per ounce.</p><p>The swap contract shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve hitting a 50 basis point rate hike in March has dropped below 50%.</p><p><b>Institutional commentary on the US non-farm payrolls report:</b>Overall, the job market remains hot, and the labor force participation rate is increasing. This should also reduce the ratio of job openings to job seekers to some extent. Recently, this percentage has been high, raising concerns among the Federal Reserve.</p><p><b>Institutional commentary on the US non-farm payrolls report:</b>It is worth noting that despite the downturn in the real estate industry, the number of construction workers is still increasing. Employment in the construction industry increased by 24,000 in February, and has been growing every month for the past year. Average working hours also declined, from 34.6 hours in January to 34.5 hours in February.</p><p><b>U.S. job growth exceeded expectations for 11 consecutive months, but the unemployment rate rose and wage growth cooled.</b></p><p>U.S. job growth in February exceeded expectations, while wage growth slowed, creating a mixed picture as the Federal Reserve decides whether to accelerate its rate hike. A report released Friday by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that U.S. employment increased by 311,000 after rising by 504,000 in January, the unemployment rate rose to 3.6%, and the monthly wage growth rate was the lowest in a year. In addition, the U.S. employment participation rate rose to 62.5%, the highest level since March 2020. U.S. job growth has exceeded expectations for 11 consecutive months, the longest cycle since 1998.</p><p><b>Non-farm payroll data gave the Federal Reserve an excuse not to rate hike 50 basis points this month</b></p><p>Non-farm payrolls increased by 311,000, exceeding the expected 225,000. However, analysts said there was some good news in the non-farm payrolls report, such as the downward revision of the growth rates for non-farm payrolls in December and January last year. The average monthly hourly wage rate was 0.2%, lower than expected; The unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 3.6%; And the participation rate rose from 62.4% to 62.5%. In conclusion, this report is not very strong, which certainly gives the Federal Reserve an excuse to raise its rate hike by 25 basis points instead of 50 basis points this month. Therefore, it is not without reason that the market is priced in favor of the Federal Reserve raising its rate hike by 25 basis points this month, which is also a comfort to financial assets.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c7221d934f1008e531bdf79c8cfe0ee","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105673965","content_text":"3月10日,美国2月非农就业人数增加31.1万,预估为增加22.5万,前值为增加51.7万。美国2月平均时薪同比增长4.6%;预估增长4.7%。美国劳工部公布的最新数据显示:2月非农新增就业人数31.1万人,预期为22.5万人,前值为51.7万人;2月失业率为3.6%,预期和前值均为3.4%;平均时薪同比增长4.6%,预期4.7%,前值4.4%。数据公布后:美元指数短线下挫约40点,报104.77。美股期货短线拉升,纳指期货一度涨0.6%。现货黄金短线走高5美元,现报1837.94美元/盎司。互换合约显示美联储3月份加息50个基点的概率降至50%以下。机构评美国非农就业报告:总体来说,就业市场仍旧火热,劳动参与率提高。这应该也会在一定程度上缩小职位空缺与求职者的比例。最近,这一比例一直很高,引发了美联储的担忧。机构评美国非农就业报告:值得注意的是,尽管房地产行业下滑,但建筑业工人仍在增加。2月份建筑业就业人数增加了2.4万人,过去一年每个月都在增长。平均工作小时数也有所下降,从1月份的34.6小时降至2月份的34.5小时。美国就业增长连续11个月超出预期,但失业率上升,工资增速降温美国2月份就业人数增长超过预期,而薪资增速有所放缓,在美联储决定是否加快加息步伐之际,这一情况喜忧参半。美国劳工统计局周五公布的报告显示,美国就业人数继1月份增加50.4万人后,又增加了31.1万人,失业率上升至3.6%,工资增速月率为一年来最低。此外,美国就业参与率升至62.5%,为2020年3月以来的最高水平。美国就业增长连续11个月超出预期,为1998年以来最长周期。非农数据给了美联储本月不加息50个基点的借口非农就业人数增加31.1万人,超出预期的22.5万人。但分析机构表示,非农就业报告中也有一些好消息,如去年12月和1月的非农就业人数增幅均被下修;平均每小时工资月率录得0.2%,低于预期;失业率意外上升至3.6%;以及参与率从62.4%上升至62.5%。总而言之,这份报告并不是非常强劲的,这当然给了美联储本月加息25个基点而不是50个基点的借口,因此,市场定价偏向于美联储本月将加息25个基点也不无道理,这对金融资产也是一种安慰。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2075,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949178639,"gmtCreate":1678460420921,"gmtModify":1678460424157,"author":{"id":"4094983188358330","authorId":"4094983188358330","name":"我是梦幻金钱战士","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/99cba128d11b8be74b1f95636cd22ed7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094983188358330","authorIdStr":"4094983188358330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949178639","repostId":"2318898147","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2318898147","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1678459202,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2318898147?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-10 22:40","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Upon closer examination, what are the problems with Silicon Valley Bank?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2318898147","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"当地时间周四早晨,硅谷银行宣布,出售其所有210亿美元的可销售证券,因此遭受了18亿美元的亏损,并寻求通过出售普通股和优先股募资22.5亿美元。消息发布后,硅谷银行暴跌60%,创1998年以来最大跌幅","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Thursday morning local time,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>It announced the sale of all $21 billion of its marketable securities, resulting in a loss of $1.8 billion, and sought to raise $2.25 billion through the sale of common stock and preferred shares. Following the announcement, Silicon Valley Bank plummeted 60%, its biggest drop since 1998, wiping out $9.4 billion in market capitalization and triggering a widespread sell-off in U.S. bank stocks.</p><p>In fact, the Silicon Valley Bank crisis was a harbinger of a liquidity collapse in a high-interest-rate environment. During the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing in 2020, Silicon Valley Bank purchased a large number of fixed-income securities with interest-free liabilities. Subsequently, the Fed's massive rate hike caused the prices of these low-interest bonds to fall, and technology companies that had deposited funds in Silicon Valley Bank also rushed to withdraw them, resulting in a huge funding gap on its asset side.</p><p>Left with no other option, Silicon Valley Bank began selling securities assets and common stock to raise funds, a signal that significantly triggered a crisis of market confidence.<b>The first domino: high proportion allocation of fixed-income assets</b></p><p>In the second half of 2020, the Federal Reserve was still conducting QE in full swing, market liquidity was very loose, and startup technology companies backed by US venture capital funds launched a wave of IPO financing. One of Silicon Valley Bank's main businesses is providing financing services to these technology companies, with loans exceeding $100 billion.</p><p>But at the same time, these funds are not lying still in Silicon Valley Bank accounts. Holding a certain amount of reserves is also one of the Federal Reserve's requirements, so Silicon Valley Bank chose to buy a large amount of U.S. Treasury Bond and mortgage-backed securities (MBS) with interest-free liabilities. It is worth noting that Silicon Valley Bank's investment diversification is not as high as...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo Bank</a>These are large banks.</p><p><b>Silicon Valley Bank's latest annual report shows that more than half of its portfolio consists of risk-free Treasury Bond with terms of one to five years. In retrospect, the bank's high allocation ratio to this type of fixed-income asset is almost unbelievable.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/933ac1316dbf9877508512f2113b1417\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"228\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In fact, from this point on, the crisis at Silicon Valley Bank began to emerge: the bank had not set aside enough cash to handle customer withdrawals.<b>Headwinds are coming for technology companies.</b></p><p>With the Federal Reserve's massive rate hike, the dismal US IPO market, and market concerns about an economic recession, the entire technology industry is facing headwinds. Tech startups find it difficult to raise funds in the market and therefore need more cash. As a result, they have turned their attention to their \"piggy bank,\" Silicon Valley Bank.</p><p><b>Unfortunately, Silicon Valley Bank can only redeem its previously invested fixed assets at a significant discount (the discount is almost 8% to 9%).</b>This introduces the concepts of \"available-for-sale financial assets (AFS)\" and \"held-to-maturity financial assets (HTM)\" in corporate accounting. Literally, a large amount of fixed assets held by the bank are included in HTM, which is much less liquid than AFS.</p><p>Since 2020, Silicon Valley Bank's holdings of HTM have increased significantly, surging by 620% in two years!</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10a9f9699ad48cd11bc7f75c3302acc6\" tg-width=\"484\" tg-height=\"333\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Between 2020 and 2021, the Federal Reserve kept interest rates near zero, resulting in very low average yields for Silicon Valley Bank's holdings of AFS and HTM assets.<b>With the Federal Reserve's rapid rate hike since 2022, the prices of these low-interest bonds have plummeted, and banks holding a large number of such bonds have begun to suffer huge unrealized losses: unrealized losses on MBS, measured in HTM, have reached more than $15 billion.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/834a8e9c0b158c7f95ba55ff9c21ee87\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"294\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>On the other hand, Silicon Valley Bank's highly liquid assets—cash and cash equivalents—have not seen significant growth. From 2020 to 2022, Silicon Valley Bank's available-for-sale financial assets (AFS) grew by only 54% in two years.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45bcaecf3be706ca2cd78306fe0c856e\" tg-width=\"906\" tg-height=\"344\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>As long as Silicon Valley Bank can hold these assets until maturity and choose not to sell these unrealized losses, these losses will not be quickly realized on the books.</b></p><p>Unfortunately, as interest rates rose, the prices of fixed-income securities such as Federal Reserve MBS and Treasury Bond fell, and Silicon Valley Bank subsequently incurred an after-tax loss of $1.8 billion.</p><p>Furthermore, amid headwinds in the tech industry, tech companies can only continue to deplete their deposits in Silicon Valley Bank. Venture capital firms are demanding that technology companies withdraw all their deposits from Silicon Valley Bank. Silicon Valley venture capitalist Peter Thiel, founder of Founders Fund, and Y Combinator, one of the co-founders of Open AI, have all demanded that technology companies control their risk exposure, which has led to bank runs.</p><p>The annual report shows that in 2022, Silicon Valley Bank's interest-free demand deposits plummeted from nearly 126 billion yuan in 2021 to 81 billion yuan.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7fa7cac55076f16a511addc4a89aa6b\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"186\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Therefore, the bank announced that it would use stock sales to fill this capital gap, selling all of its $21 billion in marketable securities and raising $2.25 billion from common stock and preferred shares.<b>This turned Silicon Valley Bank's ultimate unrealized losses into actual losses and the collapse of its entire balance sheet. Costs on the liability side continue to rise</b></p><p>When interest rates rise, the Duration of Silicon Valley Bank's HTM MBS holdings is extended, making it increasingly difficult for it to cope with the continuous outflow of funds from the liability side.</p><p>At the same time, Silicon Valley Bank's cash reserves on the asset side remain very insufficient, while deposits on the liability side continue to flow out, and the cost of liabilities continues to rise.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f4c1772b6fe8203f6c5c65ad43b4fd0\" tg-width=\"482\" tg-height=\"331\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In fact, this situation is like a \"sword of Damocles\" hanging over the head of Silicon Valley Bank. The market is concerned about whether unrealized losses on unsold HTM assets will quickly become actual losses on the books.</p><p>Furthermore, the market was unclear whether other banks with significant exposure to technology companies would suffer the same bank run. Therefore, the Silicon Valley Bank crisis also triggered a widespread sell-off in U.S. bank stocks: the market capitalization of the four major banks evaporated by $52.4 billion, and their stock prices fell by more than or nearly 5% overnight.</p><p>How this crisis will spread and whether it will evolve into a huge financial storm remains to be seen.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Upon closer examination, what are the problems with Silicon Valley Bank?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUpon closer examination, what are the problems with Silicon Valley Bank?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-03-10 22:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Thursday morning local time,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>It announced the sale of all $21 billion of its marketable securities, resulting in a loss of $1.8 billion, and sought to raise $2.25 billion through the sale of common stock and preferred shares. Following the announcement, Silicon Valley Bank plummeted 60%, its biggest drop since 1998, wiping out $9.4 billion in market capitalization and triggering a widespread sell-off in U.S. bank stocks.</p><p>In fact, the Silicon Valley Bank crisis was a harbinger of a liquidity collapse in a high-interest-rate environment. During the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing in 2020, Silicon Valley Bank purchased a large number of fixed-income securities with interest-free liabilities. Subsequently, the Fed's massive rate hike caused the prices of these low-interest bonds to fall, and technology companies that had deposited funds in Silicon Valley Bank also rushed to withdraw them, resulting in a huge funding gap on its asset side.</p><p>Left with no other option, Silicon Valley Bank began selling securities assets and common stock to raise funds, a signal that significantly triggered a crisis of market confidence.<b>The first domino: high proportion allocation of fixed-income assets</b></p><p>In the second half of 2020, the Federal Reserve was still conducting QE in full swing, market liquidity was very loose, and startup technology companies backed by US venture capital funds launched a wave of IPO financing. One of Silicon Valley Bank's main businesses is providing financing services to these technology companies, with loans exceeding $100 billion.</p><p>But at the same time, these funds are not lying still in Silicon Valley Bank accounts. Holding a certain amount of reserves is also one of the Federal Reserve's requirements, so Silicon Valley Bank chose to buy a large amount of U.S. Treasury Bond and mortgage-backed securities (MBS) with interest-free liabilities. It is worth noting that Silicon Valley Bank's investment diversification is not as high as...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo Bank</a>These are large banks.</p><p><b>Silicon Valley Bank's latest annual report shows that more than half of its portfolio consists of risk-free Treasury Bond with terms of one to five years. In retrospect, the bank's high allocation ratio to this type of fixed-income asset is almost unbelievable.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/933ac1316dbf9877508512f2113b1417\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"228\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In fact, from this point on, the crisis at Silicon Valley Bank began to emerge: the bank had not set aside enough cash to handle customer withdrawals.<b>Headwinds are coming for technology companies.</b></p><p>With the Federal Reserve's massive rate hike, the dismal US IPO market, and market concerns about an economic recession, the entire technology industry is facing headwinds. Tech startups find it difficult to raise funds in the market and therefore need more cash. As a result, they have turned their attention to their \"piggy bank,\" Silicon Valley Bank.</p><p><b>Unfortunately, Silicon Valley Bank can only redeem its previously invested fixed assets at a significant discount (the discount is almost 8% to 9%).</b>This introduces the concepts of \"available-for-sale financial assets (AFS)\" and \"held-to-maturity financial assets (HTM)\" in corporate accounting. Literally, a large amount of fixed assets held by the bank are included in HTM, which is much less liquid than AFS.</p><p>Since 2020, Silicon Valley Bank's holdings of HTM have increased significantly, surging by 620% in two years!</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10a9f9699ad48cd11bc7f75c3302acc6\" tg-width=\"484\" tg-height=\"333\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Between 2020 and 2021, the Federal Reserve kept interest rates near zero, resulting in very low average yields for Silicon Valley Bank's holdings of AFS and HTM assets.<b>With the Federal Reserve's rapid rate hike since 2022, the prices of these low-interest bonds have plummeted, and banks holding a large number of such bonds have begun to suffer huge unrealized losses: unrealized losses on MBS, measured in HTM, have reached more than $15 billion.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/834a8e9c0b158c7f95ba55ff9c21ee87\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"294\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>On the other hand, Silicon Valley Bank's highly liquid assets—cash and cash equivalents—have not seen significant growth. From 2020 to 2022, Silicon Valley Bank's available-for-sale financial assets (AFS) grew by only 54% in two years.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45bcaecf3be706ca2cd78306fe0c856e\" tg-width=\"906\" tg-height=\"344\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>As long as Silicon Valley Bank can hold these assets until maturity and choose not to sell these unrealized losses, these losses will not be quickly realized on the books.</b></p><p>Unfortunately, as interest rates rose, the prices of fixed-income securities such as Federal Reserve MBS and Treasury Bond fell, and Silicon Valley Bank subsequently incurred an after-tax loss of $1.8 billion.</p><p>Furthermore, amid headwinds in the tech industry, tech companies can only continue to deplete their deposits in Silicon Valley Bank. Venture capital firms are demanding that technology companies withdraw all their deposits from Silicon Valley Bank. Silicon Valley venture capitalist Peter Thiel, founder of Founders Fund, and Y Combinator, one of the co-founders of Open AI, have all demanded that technology companies control their risk exposure, which has led to bank runs.</p><p>The annual report shows that in 2022, Silicon Valley Bank's interest-free demand deposits plummeted from nearly 126 billion yuan in 2021 to 81 billion yuan.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7fa7cac55076f16a511addc4a89aa6b\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"186\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Therefore, the bank announced that it would use stock sales to fill this capital gap, selling all of its $21 billion in marketable securities and raising $2.25 billion from common stock and preferred shares.<b>This turned Silicon Valley Bank's ultimate unrealized losses into actual losses and the collapse of its entire balance sheet. Costs on the liability side continue to rise</b></p><p>When interest rates rise, the Duration of Silicon Valley Bank's HTM MBS holdings is extended, making it increasingly difficult for it to cope with the continuous outflow of funds from the liability side.</p><p>At the same time, Silicon Valley Bank's cash reserves on the asset side remain very insufficient, while deposits on the liability side continue to flow out, and the cost of liabilities continues to rise.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f4c1772b6fe8203f6c5c65ad43b4fd0\" tg-width=\"482\" tg-height=\"331\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In fact, this situation is like a \"sword of Damocles\" hanging over the head of Silicon Valley Bank. The market is concerned about whether unrealized losses on unsold HTM assets will quickly become actual losses on the books.</p><p>Furthermore, the market was unclear whether other banks with significant exposure to technology companies would suffer the same bank run. Therefore, the Silicon Valley Bank crisis also triggered a widespread sell-off in U.S. bank stocks: the market capitalization of the four major banks evaporated by $52.4 billion, and their stock prices fell by more than or nearly 5% overnight.</p><p>How this crisis will spread and whether it will evolve into a huge financial storm remains to be seen.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3683781\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4ac7a6ebd455cb354600f2c4dcef71e","relate_stocks":{"LU1861220207.SGD":"Blackrock FinTech A2 SGD-H","LU0390134368.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL GROWTH \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4211":"区域性银行","LU1861217088.USD":"贝莱德金融科技A2","BK4588":"碎股","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3683781","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2318898147","content_text":"当地时间周四早晨,硅谷银行宣布,出售其所有210亿美元的可销售证券,因此遭受了18亿美元的亏损,并寻求通过出售普通股和优先股募资22.5亿美元。消息发布后,硅谷银行暴跌60%,创1998年以来最大跌幅,市值迅速蒸发掉94亿美元,同时也触发了美国银行股的普遍抛售。事实上,硅谷银行的危机是高利率环境下流动性坍塌的一次预示。在2020年美联储实施量化宽松期间,硅谷银行用无息负债购入了大量固定收益证券,而此后美联储的大举加息导致这些低利率债券价格下跌,将资金存在硅谷银行的科技企业们也争相要求提款,因此其资产端就开始出现了巨大的资金缺口。不得已之下,硅谷银行开始出售证券资产和普通股等募资,而这一信号大力触发了市场信心危机。多米诺骨牌的第一张:高比例配置固定收益资产在2020年下半年,美联储仍在如火如荼进行QE,市场流动性十分宽松,美国风投基金支持的初创科技企业掀起了IPO融资热潮。而硅谷银行的主营业务之一就是为这些科技企业提供融资服务,其放出的贷款超过了千亿美元。但与此同时,这些资金也并非静止不动地躺在硅谷银行的账户中。持有一定数量的准备金也是美联储的要求之一,因此硅谷银行用无息负债选择买入大量的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券MBS。值得注意的是,硅谷银行的投资多元化程度并不及摩根大通、富国银行这类大型银行。硅谷银行的最新年报显示,其投资组合中超过一半都是1年期到5年期的无风险国债。从现在看来,该行对这类固定收益资产的高配置比例几乎是难以置信的。其实从这时候,硅谷银行的危机已经初露端倪:该行并没有为应对客户提款留出充足的现金。科技企业的逆风来袭随着美联储大举加息、美股IPO市场惨淡,以及市场对经济衰退的担忧,整个科技行业都迎来逆风。初创科技企业很难在市场上融资,相应就需要更多的现金,于是,他们纷纷把目光转向了自己的“储蓄罐”硅谷银行。但不幸的是,硅谷银行如果要提前赎回自己之前投的固定资产,只能大打折扣(折扣几乎达到了8%至9%)。这里就要引入一个企业会计处理中的“可供出售金融资产(AFS)”和“持有至到期金融资产(HTM)”的概念。从字面意义上来看,该行持有的大量固定资产被计入了HTM,其流动性要比AFS差得多。2020年以来,硅谷银行对HTM的持有数量大幅增长,两年间暴增了620%!在2020年至2021年,美联储还是将利率保持在接近于零的水平,因此硅谷银行持有AFS和HTM资产的平均收益率非常之低。伴随着美联储2022年以来的快速加息,这些低利率债券价格暴跌,持有大量此类债券的银行资产端开始承受巨大的未实现损失:以HTM计量的MBS的未实现损失,就高达逾150亿美元。然而另一边,硅谷银行流动性较高的资产——现金和现金等价物等增长并不明显。从2020年到2022年,硅谷银行的可供出售金融资产(AFS)两年间仅增长了54%。只要硅谷银行能够将这些资产持有至到期,选择不出售这些未实现损失,这些损失就不会在账面上迅速变现。然而不幸的是,随着利率上升,美联储MBS、国债等固定收益证券的价格下跌,硅谷银行随后就产生了18亿美元的税后亏损。此外,在科技行业的逆风来袭之际,科技公司们只能持续消耗在硅谷银行的存款。风投企业要求科技公司把存在硅谷银行的存款全部提取出来,硅谷风投大佬、风投基金 Founders Fund 的创始人 Peter Thiel、Open AI 的联合创始公司之一 Y Combinator 等都要求科技企业控制风险敞口,这就发生了银行挤兑。年报显示,2022年,硅谷银行的活期无息存款由2021年的近1260亿骤降至了810亿。因此该行才宣布用出售股票来填补这一资本缺口,将出售其所有210亿美元的可销售证券,并出售普通股和优先股募资22.5亿美元。这就使得硅谷银行的最终未实现损失变成了实际亏损和整个资产负债表的坍塌。负债端成本持续上升当利率上升的时候,硅谷银行所持有HTM的MBS久期(Duration,持续期)会被拉长,这导致其越来越难以应对负债端持续的资金流出。与此同时,硅谷银行资产端的现金储量仍十分不足,而负债端存款一直在流出,负债成本持续上升。事实上,这种状态就好像一把“达摩克利斯之剑”一直悬在硅谷银行的头顶。市场担忧,未出售的HTM资产的未实现损失是否会迅速变成账面上的实际损失。并且,市场也不清楚其他对科技企业有大量敞口的银行是否会遭受同样的挤兑,因此硅谷银行的危机同时触发了美国银行股的普遍抛售:四大银行市值蒸发524亿美元,股价一夜之间纷纷跌超或跌近5%。这场危机将如何蔓延,是否会演变成一场巨大的金融风暴,仍需时间观察。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SIVB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2334,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9943700111,"gmtCreate":1679668349333,"gmtModify":1679668353195,"author":{"id":"4094983188358330","authorId":"4094983188358330","name":"我是梦幻金钱战士","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/99cba128d11b8be74b1f95636cd22ed7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094983188358330","authorIdStr":"4094983188358330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943700111","repostId":"2321111896","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2321111896","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1679666666,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2321111896?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-24 22:04","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Federal Reserve official Bostic: rate hike made no rash decision; there was \"a lot of debate.\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2321111896","media":"环球市场播报","summary":"亚特兰大联邦储备银行行长Raphael Bostic称,本周在银行业危机期间加息25个基点的决定绝非轻率做出。“有很多辩论,这不是一个直截了当的决定,但最终,我们做出的结论是有明确的迹象表明银行体系稳","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank President Raphael Bostic said that this week's decision to raise rate hike by 25 basis points during the banking crisis was by no means a rash one.</p><p>“There has been a lot of debate, and this is not a straightforward decision, but ultimately, we have concluded that there are clear signs that the banking system is solid and resilient,” Bostic said on Friday. \"Against this backdrop, inflation remains too high.\"</p><p>Bostic said,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>The collapse, less than two weeks before the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, has created a lot of uncertainty, and some policymakers prefer to wait and see rather than rate hike.</p><p>Bostic said, \"We didn't think the situation would get worse over the weekend before the meeting, and I agree with that view, which makes me believe we can handle it.\"</p><p>Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell told reporters at a press conference following Wednesday's policy meeting that a suspension of rate hike had been considered a few days before the meeting, but there was a strong consensus on rate hike during the meeting. Powell also emphasized that the U.S. banking system is \"solid and resilient.\"</p><p>Bostic reiterated Powell's assessment, stating that inflation is too high and therefore the economy needs to slow down.</p><p>\"There is no recession in my baseline scenario,\" Bostic said. But if the U.S. economy falls into recession, \"I hope it will be very different from the early 1980s,\" he added. He was referring to the Fed's aggressive rate hike under then-Federal Reserve Chairman Volcker, which to some extent triggered a sharp economic downturn.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"sina_us","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Federal Reserve official Bostic: rate hike made no rash decision; there was \"a lot of debate.\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFederal Reserve official Bostic: rate hike made no rash decision; there was \"a lot of debate.\"\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">环球市场播报</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-03-24 22:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank President Raphael Bostic said that this week's decision to raise rate hike by 25 basis points during the banking crisis was by no means a rash one.</p><p>“There has been a lot of debate, and this is not a straightforward decision, but ultimately, we have concluded that there are clear signs that the banking system is solid and resilient,” Bostic said on Friday. \"Against this backdrop, inflation remains too high.\"</p><p>Bostic said,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>The collapse, less than two weeks before the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, has created a lot of uncertainty, and some policymakers prefer to wait and see rather than rate hike.</p><p>Bostic said, \"We didn't think the situation would get worse over the weekend before the meeting, and I agree with that view, which makes me believe we can handle it.\"</p><p>Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell told reporters at a press conference following Wednesday's policy meeting that a suspension of rate hike had been considered a few days before the meeting, but there was a strong consensus on rate hike during the meeting. Powell also emphasized that the U.S. banking system is \"solid and resilient.\"</p><p>Bostic reiterated Powell's assessment, stating that inflation is too high and therefore the economy needs to slow down.</p><p>\"There is no recession in my baseline scenario,\" Bostic said. But if the U.S. economy falls into recession, \"I hope it will be very different from the early 1980s,\" he added. He was referring to the Fed's aggressive rate hike under then-Federal Reserve Chairman Volcker, which to some extent triggered a sharp economic downturn.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2023-03-24/doc-imymyuvx9706264.shtml\">环球市场播报</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a1de7aced7748879f251930783a3cb1","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","OEX":"标普100"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2023-03-24/doc-imymyuvx9706264.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2321111896","content_text":"亚特兰大联邦储备银行行长Raphael Bostic称,本周在银行业危机期间加息25个基点的决定绝非轻率做出。“有很多辩论,这不是一个直截了当的决定,但最终,我们做出的结论是有明确的迹象表明银行体系稳固且坚韧,” Bostic周五表示。“在这种背景下,通胀仍然过高。 ”Bostic表示,硅谷银行在联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)开会不到两周之前倒闭,造成了很多不确定性,一些决策者希望观望而不是加息。Bostic说:“在会议前的周末我们没有认为情况会变得更糟,我认同这个看法,这让我相信我们可以应付。”美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在周三政策会议后的新闻发布会上对记者表示,会议前几天已经考虑过暂停加息,但在会议期间,大家对加息的共识很强。鲍威尔也强调美国银行体系“稳固且坚韧”。Bostic重申了鲍威尔的这种判断,并表示通胀太高,因此需要让经济放缓。“在我的基本情景里面没有经济衰退,”Bostic说。但是如果美国经济陷入衰退,“我希望会与1980年代初截然不同,” 他补充道。他指的是在时任美联储主席沃尔克的领导下,美联储激进加息,一定程度上引发了经济急剧下滑。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,"QID":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,".DJI":1,"QQQ":0.6,"SPY":1,"NQmain":0.6,"TQQQ":0.6,"QLD":0.6,"PSQ":0.6,".IXIC":1,"DDM":0.6,"MNQmain":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SQQQ":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"DJX":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"DXD":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"OEF":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4929,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9943700960,"gmtCreate":1679668310450,"gmtModify":1679668314077,"author":{"id":"4094983188358330","authorId":"4094983188358330","name":"我是梦幻金钱战士","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/99cba128d11b8be74b1f95636cd22ed7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094983188358330","authorIdStr":"4094983188358330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943700960","repostId":"1161966319","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161966319","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1679667723,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1161966319?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-24 22:22","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"U.S. durable goods orders fell 1% month-on-month in February, marking the largest drop in two years.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161966319","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"尽管核心资本货物订单有所增加,但这些数据表明,美联储一年来的大举加息已经抑制了投资计划。在经济不确定性上升和企业利润增长放缓的情况下,这种情况可能进一步恶化。由于对客机和新车的需求减少,美国2月份制造","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><b>Despite the increase in core capital goods orders, these data suggest that the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hike over the past year has dampened investment plans. This situation may worsen further amid rising economic uncertainty and slowing corporate profit growth.</b>U.S. manufacturing orders continued to decline in February due to reduced demand for passenger planes and new cars.</p><p>On Friday, March 24, the U.S. Department of Commerce released data showing that the preliminary reading of U.S. durable goods orders for February was -1% month-on-month, lower than the market expectation of 0.2%, the largest drop since February 2021, but a significant rebound from the previous reading of -4.5%. Analysts had expected a moderate rebound in February data after a sharp drop in January data.</p><p>Durable goods refer to products such as cars, electrical appliances, and computers that can be used for at least three years.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/702d3d5d4f0e3aad88b4f95fc2171aa0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Orders for core durable goods, excluding transportation, rose 0% month-on-month at the preliminary reading, lower than the previous reading of 0.4% after an upward revision and the largest increase since March 2022, with the previous reading revised downward to -0.4%. This figure is used to help calculate equipment investment in the government's GDP report.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db82bf213ec2018c112a0835fc37f07c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"369\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>In addition, after excluding the 0.8% increase in the value of non-defense core capital goods orders for aircraft in January, the growth rate slowed to 0.2% in February, but it was still higher than the expected -0.2%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/311d5f7fa7b5683c9da0b98494a8a1ee\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"369\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Despite the increase in core capital goods orders, these data suggest that the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hike over the past year has dampened investment plans. This situation may worsen further amid rising economic uncertainty and slowing corporate profit growth.</p><p>Apart from an increase in core capital goods orders, other orders were largely weak. Orders for computers, transportation equipment, machinery, and communications equipment all declined. However, business investment rose for the second consecutive month, indicating that the industrial side of the economy is still growing.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. durable goods orders fell 1% month-on-month in February, marking the largest drop in two years.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. durable goods orders fell 1% month-on-month in February, marking the largest drop in two years.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-03-24 22:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>Despite the increase in core capital goods orders, these data suggest that the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hike over the past year has dampened investment plans. This situation may worsen further amid rising economic uncertainty and slowing corporate profit growth.</b>U.S. manufacturing orders continued to decline in February due to reduced demand for passenger planes and new cars.</p><p>On Friday, March 24, the U.S. Department of Commerce released data showing that the preliminary reading of U.S. durable goods orders for February was -1% month-on-month, lower than the market expectation of 0.2%, the largest drop since February 2021, but a significant rebound from the previous reading of -4.5%. Analysts had expected a moderate rebound in February data after a sharp drop in January data.</p><p>Durable goods refer to products such as cars, electrical appliances, and computers that can be used for at least three years.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/702d3d5d4f0e3aad88b4f95fc2171aa0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Orders for core durable goods, excluding transportation, rose 0% month-on-month at the preliminary reading, lower than the previous reading of 0.4% after an upward revision and the largest increase since March 2022, with the previous reading revised downward to -0.4%. This figure is used to help calculate equipment investment in the government's GDP report.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db82bf213ec2018c112a0835fc37f07c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"369\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>In addition, after excluding the 0.8% increase in the value of non-defense core capital goods orders for aircraft in January, the growth rate slowed to 0.2% in February, but it was still higher than the expected -0.2%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/311d5f7fa7b5683c9da0b98494a8a1ee\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"369\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Despite the increase in core capital goods orders, these data suggest that the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hike over the past year has dampened investment plans. This situation may worsen further amid rising economic uncertainty and slowing corporate profit growth.</p><p>Apart from an increase in core capital goods orders, other orders were largely weak. Orders for computers, transportation equipment, machinery, and communications equipment all declined. However, business investment rose for the second consecutive month, indicating that the industrial side of the economy is still growing.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3684848\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/627bc890436e46f74a0fe8143398a725","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3684848","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161966319","content_text":"尽管核心资本货物订单有所增加,但这些数据表明,美联储一年来的大举加息已经抑制了投资计划。在经济不确定性上升和企业利润增长放缓的情况下,这种情况可能进一步恶化。由于对客机和新车的需求减少,美国2月份制造业订单继续下滑。3月24日周五,美国商务部公布数据显示,美国2月耐用品订单环比初值-1%,低于市场预期的0.2%,是自2021年2月以来的最大降幅,但相比前值的-4.5%大幅回升。在1月份的数据暴跌之后,分析师们原本预计2月的数据将温和反弹。耐用品是指像汽车、电器和电脑这样至少可以使用三年的产品。不包括运输的核心耐用品订单环比初值增长0%,低于上修后的前值0.4%,也是自2022年3月以来的最大涨幅,前值下修为-0.4%。这一数字用于帮助计算政府GDP报告中的设备投资。此外,扣除飞机非国防核心资本货物订单价值在1月增长0.8%后,2月份增幅放缓至0.2%,但仍高于预期的-0.2%。尽管核心资本货物订单有所增加,但这些数据表明,美联储一年来的大举加息已经抑制了投资计划。在经济不确定性上升和企业利润增长放缓的情况下,这种情况可能进一步恶化。除了核心资本货物订单出现增长外,其余订单在很大程度上都比较疲软。电脑、运输设备、机械和通讯设备的订单量均有所下降。但企业投资连续第二个月上升,表明经济的工业方面仍在增长。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5518,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9943477426,"gmtCreate":1679668287466,"gmtModify":1679668291458,"author":{"id":"4094983188358330","authorId":"4094983188358330","name":"我是梦幻金钱战士","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/99cba128d11b8be74b1f95636cd22ed7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094983188358330","authorIdStr":"4094983188358330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943477426","repostId":"2321098115","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2321098115","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1679668395,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2321098115?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-24 22:33","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Banking crisis: Where will the next domino fall?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2321098115","media":"美股研究社","summary":"过去两周,危机突然升温,伴随着熊市,标准普尔500指数再次贬值,在本文中将主要关注银行系统和银行的崩溃。但银行在经济中扮演着重要角色,而陷入困境的银行可能会成为危机的负面催化剂。01概述基本上有两个主","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Over the past two weeks, the crisis has suddenly escalated, with the S&P 500 index depreciating again amid a bear market. This article will focus on the banking system and the collapse of banks. But banks play an important role in the economy, and troubled banks could become a negative catalyst for the crisis.</p><p>01</p><p>overview</p><p>There are basically two main news reports. On the one hand, Switzerland<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">Credit Suisse</a>The group is being surpassed by UBS Group; On the other hand, several American banks<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a>When it went bankrupt at the urging of competitors, the government and the Federal Reserve intervened.</p><p>Let's start with Credit Suisse. The Swiss bank's troubles are not surprising, as reports of the company's troubles had been circulating for several months. However, in recent days, the situation has suddenly become more dramatic. Last week, it was reported that the Swiss National Bank and FINMA (the Swiss financial regulator) would provide Credit Suisse with an emergency loan of 50 billion Swiss francs (if necessary). Over the weekend—something that always happens when markets are closed on weekends—UBS agreed to buy Credit Suisse for $3.25 billion, about half its previous share price but far above the initial $1 billion offer, which Credit Suisse rejected.</p><p>But it's not just Credit Suisse that's in trouble – the week before,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>The collapse brought the US banking crisis to a temporary climax. It might not be surprising to see Credit Suisse in trouble, as reports of the company's troubles had been published months ago, but certainly no one could have predicted a bank failure in the United States (although bank failures are one of the possible events in every crisis and bear market).</p><p>Just like in similar situations in the past, we saw the \"classic\" reaction. The Federal Reserve responded by providing additional liquidity to banks through the use of the Bank Term Financing Program (BTFP). Another classic pattern that emerges in this context is when officials publicly announce how strong and safe the banking system is, and people don't need to worry.</p><p>Last Sunday, Janet Yellen, Jerome Powell, and Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Chairman Martin Glenberg informed the public that Silicon Valley Bank depositors would receive all their funds on Monday, a move that also reassured the market. We have seen similar moves in past crises. As a German, I particularly remember a similar statement from German officials in 2008, assuring the German public that their deposits were safe, just like hell after the collapse of Lehman Brothers.</p><p>Although these reactions are doing their job—restoring confidence in the banking system and financial markets—they are sometimes short-lived and a warning sign of what is to come. In a well-functioning market, such statements are unnecessary when market participants are full of confidence (or even euphoria) in the prospects or safety of banks. The fact that the Federal Reserve has to intervene is also not a good sign, although such interventions sometimes work—such as in 2020, when a lot of liquidity was provided. However, in the medium term (perhaps three years from now), the unintended consequences of injecting huge amounts of money into the market may become apparent (because speculating with this money has led to bad decisions, high-risk bets, and now defaults and bank failures).</p><p>02</p><p>Question: Trust and Confidence</p><p>A major problem for banks (and similar institutions) is the role of trust and confidence—especially since many people (including investors) misunderstand the importance of trust and confidence. While trust is crucial when it comes to whether people will deposit or withdraw money at a bank, it is difficult to measure confidence.</p><p>This is particularly problematic because the situation could change within days: panic could quickly spread throughout the country (or the world), and depositors who trusted banks last week could suddenly panic and try to withdraw their funds. Therefore, simply looking at the balance sheet is not enough, because bank runs and people's loss of trust will cause many banks to collapse. The collapse of several institutions, reports from several major news headlines and national television stations, may be enough to trigger panic.</p><p>A recent study showed the vulnerability of the U.S. banking system and how many banks would be technically insolvent in the event of a bank run. If we assume the worst-case scenario is that 100% of uninsured deposits are withdrawn, then more than 1,600 U.S. banks will fail (4,237 banks in total, according to FDIC data starting in 2021). But even assuming that only 30% of uninsured deposits are withdrawn, 106 banks would fail.</p><p>The problem is that when customers (for whatever reason) lose confidence and start withdrawing money, even well-capitalized banks can suddenly face significant trouble. A major upheaval in the banking system does not necessarily mean that banks will completely collapse. Withdrawing funds will cause problems earlier.</p><p>03</p><p>Problem: Non-performing</p><p>Although bank runs occur from time to time and may force banks to yield (which have indeed happened in the past few decades), they are not the main reason for bank failures. Bank failures caused by bank runs were more common in the first half of the 20th century (especially during the Great Depression, when thousands of banks failed), and after the Great Depression, systems were established to prevent bank runs.</p><p>Today, banks often fail because they have bad assets or the wrong assets at the wrong time (and often ignore or violate risk management principles). Now, with interest rates rising sharply over the past few quarters, banks may have the wrong loans on their books. Some banks—especially in Europe—may hold government bonds with (near) zero interest rates in their portfolios, and as interest rates rise, banks are forced to pay higher interest rates to depositors, which will cause problems over time.</p><p>The second typical problem is that asset prices are falling, and banks have so-called toxic assets on their books. During the Great Financial Crisis, it was subprime mortgages (or financial products based on subprime mortgages) that turned assets (or loans) into bad loans because banks lent money to people who were unable to repay their mortgages. Furthermore, assets may be completely mispriced and their value is declining—this usually happens after a bubble because banks may buy stocks (or other traded assets) at the wrong time at a price exceeding the asset's intrinsic value.</p><p>04</p><p>Complex and interconnected systems</p><p>So far, we have studied different risks in isolation. However, these events rarely occur alone. They typically reinforce each other, and a chain reaction (or domino effect) can quickly occur within the financial system, leading to a banking crisis. The World Bank writes:</p><p>A (systemic) banking crisis occurs when many banks in a country simultaneously face serious solvency or liquidity problems—either because all banks are subject to the same external shock, or because the failure of one bank or a group of banks spreads to other banks in the system. More specifically, a systemic banking crisis refers to a large number of defaults by a country's businesses and financial sector.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FISI\">Financial institutions</a>It is difficult for the company to repay the contract on time. It seems obvious that several banks in a country might fail at the same time because they all purchased similar assets that ended up being worth far less than previously estimated, but the spread of bank failures throughout the banking system was not initially so obvious. When a non-financial company goes bankrupt, it has some impact on suppliers and customers, and the supply chain is also disrupted to some extent. But it will not trigger a chain reaction like a bank failure. First, the erosion of trust replaced by panic will quickly spread throughout the banking industry. When one (or several) banks start to fail, you will begin to question whether your bank is safe and may take action to withdraw your investment. Secondly, because banks lend to each other and purchase assets issued by other banks, and there are countless connections between banks, the problem will quickly spread throughout the banking system.</p><p>The banking system, the stock market, and the economy are all complex nonlinear systems, with thousands of nodes and links intertwined in a complex system. I don't know what will happen, but I can see what will happen in a complex nonlinear system, and knowing what will happen is enough to make me very cautious. With so many unresolved issues, analysts still believe that now is not the time to buy bank shares.</p><p>Currently, small regional banks in particular have been hit hard, and in some cases they have lost 50% or more of their value in a very short period of time.</p><p>Now, some may ask whether the crisis has reached its later stages and whether we should start investing. To be honest: No! The answer is still: Not yet! Although problems are beginning to emerge, analysts believe we are not close to the bottom yet—neither in bank stocks nor in the stock market as a whole. Some banks may already seem cheap – especially smaller regional banks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f564a259d8bbaa50f3f576f3c367cc4\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p>Although some U.S. banks—including United Bank of America,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo Bank</a>And Bank of America – down 20% or more, but so far their Canadian counterparts have fared better.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb7c2b23c5266bcc582c6c903c23129\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p>05</p><p>conclusion</p><p>Banks are in trouble, and some are starting to fail. This is just another domino that has fallen, unfortunately, in accordance with the usual pattern of financial crises. Recessions are not always accompanied by bank crises, but bank failures are never a good sign. This is just the next step after early warning signs such as a yield curve inversion or a decline in the number of new housing permits. Of course, I could be wrong; we can always take the opposite view (the number of housing permits surged in February 2023, which does not fit the narrative of the crisis).</p><p>I don't know if we'll see a crisis similar to 2008, nor do I know what role similarly overvalued real estate might play in this crisis. However, so far, many signs suggest that the financial and economic system is facing a severe recession, and I completely agree with Ray Dalio's view:</p><p>I think this is a very classic event in the bubble bursting part of a short-term debt cycle (lasting about 7 years, or about 3 years). In this process, tightening money to curb credit growth and inflation leads to a self-reinforcing debt-credit contraction. This contraction process, through domino-like contagion, continues until banks create loose money, negating the debt-credit contraction, thus generating more new credit and debt, sowing the seeds for the next major debt problem, until these short-term cycles accumulate debt assets and liabilities to an unsustainable level, and the whole thing collapses in debt restructuring and debt monetization (which usually happens about once every 75 years, about 25 years).</body></html></p>","source":"mgyjs","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Banking crisis: Where will the next domino fall?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBanking crisis: Where will the next domino fall?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">美股研究社</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-03-24 22:33</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Over the past two weeks, the crisis has suddenly escalated, with the S&P 500 index depreciating again amid a bear market. This article will focus on the banking system and the collapse of banks. But banks play an important role in the economy, and troubled banks could become a negative catalyst for the crisis.</p><p>01</p><p>overview</p><p>There are basically two main news reports. On the one hand, Switzerland<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">Credit Suisse</a>The group is being surpassed by UBS Group; On the other hand, several American banks<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a>When it went bankrupt at the urging of competitors, the government and the Federal Reserve intervened.</p><p>Let's start with Credit Suisse. The Swiss bank's troubles are not surprising, as reports of the company's troubles had been circulating for several months. However, in recent days, the situation has suddenly become more dramatic. Last week, it was reported that the Swiss National Bank and FINMA (the Swiss financial regulator) would provide Credit Suisse with an emergency loan of 50 billion Swiss francs (if necessary). Over the weekend—something that always happens when markets are closed on weekends—UBS agreed to buy Credit Suisse for $3.25 billion, about half its previous share price but far above the initial $1 billion offer, which Credit Suisse rejected.</p><p>But it's not just Credit Suisse that's in trouble – the week before,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>The collapse brought the US banking crisis to a temporary climax. It might not be surprising to see Credit Suisse in trouble, as reports of the company's troubles had been published months ago, but certainly no one could have predicted a bank failure in the United States (although bank failures are one of the possible events in every crisis and bear market).</p><p>Just like in similar situations in the past, we saw the \"classic\" reaction. The Federal Reserve responded by providing additional liquidity to banks through the use of the Bank Term Financing Program (BTFP). Another classic pattern that emerges in this context is when officials publicly announce how strong and safe the banking system is, and people don't need to worry.</p><p>Last Sunday, Janet Yellen, Jerome Powell, and Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Chairman Martin Glenberg informed the public that Silicon Valley Bank depositors would receive all their funds on Monday, a move that also reassured the market. We have seen similar moves in past crises. As a German, I particularly remember a similar statement from German officials in 2008, assuring the German public that their deposits were safe, just like hell after the collapse of Lehman Brothers.</p><p>Although these reactions are doing their job—restoring confidence in the banking system and financial markets—they are sometimes short-lived and a warning sign of what is to come. In a well-functioning market, such statements are unnecessary when market participants are full of confidence (or even euphoria) in the prospects or safety of banks. The fact that the Federal Reserve has to intervene is also not a good sign, although such interventions sometimes work—such as in 2020, when a lot of liquidity was provided. However, in the medium term (perhaps three years from now), the unintended consequences of injecting huge amounts of money into the market may become apparent (because speculating with this money has led to bad decisions, high-risk bets, and now defaults and bank failures).</p><p>02</p><p>Question: Trust and Confidence</p><p>A major problem for banks (and similar institutions) is the role of trust and confidence—especially since many people (including investors) misunderstand the importance of trust and confidence. While trust is crucial when it comes to whether people will deposit or withdraw money at a bank, it is difficult to measure confidence.</p><p>This is particularly problematic because the situation could change within days: panic could quickly spread throughout the country (or the world), and depositors who trusted banks last week could suddenly panic and try to withdraw their funds. Therefore, simply looking at the balance sheet is not enough, because bank runs and people's loss of trust will cause many banks to collapse. The collapse of several institutions, reports from several major news headlines and national television stations, may be enough to trigger panic.</p><p>A recent study showed the vulnerability of the U.S. banking system and how many banks would be technically insolvent in the event of a bank run. If we assume the worst-case scenario is that 100% of uninsured deposits are withdrawn, then more than 1,600 U.S. banks will fail (4,237 banks in total, according to FDIC data starting in 2021). But even assuming that only 30% of uninsured deposits are withdrawn, 106 banks would fail.</p><p>The problem is that when customers (for whatever reason) lose confidence and start withdrawing money, even well-capitalized banks can suddenly face significant trouble. A major upheaval in the banking system does not necessarily mean that banks will completely collapse. Withdrawing funds will cause problems earlier.</p><p>03</p><p>Problem: Non-performing</p><p>Although bank runs occur from time to time and may force banks to yield (which have indeed happened in the past few decades), they are not the main reason for bank failures. Bank failures caused by bank runs were more common in the first half of the 20th century (especially during the Great Depression, when thousands of banks failed), and after the Great Depression, systems were established to prevent bank runs.</p><p>Today, banks often fail because they have bad assets or the wrong assets at the wrong time (and often ignore or violate risk management principles). Now, with interest rates rising sharply over the past few quarters, banks may have the wrong loans on their books. Some banks—especially in Europe—may hold government bonds with (near) zero interest rates in their portfolios, and as interest rates rise, banks are forced to pay higher interest rates to depositors, which will cause problems over time.</p><p>The second typical problem is that asset prices are falling, and banks have so-called toxic assets on their books. During the Great Financial Crisis, it was subprime mortgages (or financial products based on subprime mortgages) that turned assets (or loans) into bad loans because banks lent money to people who were unable to repay their mortgages. Furthermore, assets may be completely mispriced and their value is declining—this usually happens after a bubble because banks may buy stocks (or other traded assets) at the wrong time at a price exceeding the asset's intrinsic value.</p><p>04</p><p>Complex and interconnected systems</p><p>So far, we have studied different risks in isolation. However, these events rarely occur alone. They typically reinforce each other, and a chain reaction (or domino effect) can quickly occur within the financial system, leading to a banking crisis. The World Bank writes:</p><p>A (systemic) banking crisis occurs when many banks in a country simultaneously face serious solvency or liquidity problems—either because all banks are subject to the same external shock, or because the failure of one bank or a group of banks spreads to other banks in the system. More specifically, a systemic banking crisis refers to a large number of defaults by a country's businesses and financial sector.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FISI\">Financial institutions</a>It is difficult for the company to repay the contract on time. It seems obvious that several banks in a country might fail at the same time because they all purchased similar assets that ended up being worth far less than previously estimated, but the spread of bank failures throughout the banking system was not initially so obvious. When a non-financial company goes bankrupt, it has some impact on suppliers and customers, and the supply chain is also disrupted to some extent. But it will not trigger a chain reaction like a bank failure. First, the erosion of trust replaced by panic will quickly spread throughout the banking industry. When one (or several) banks start to fail, you will begin to question whether your bank is safe and may take action to withdraw your investment. Secondly, because banks lend to each other and purchase assets issued by other banks, and there are countless connections between banks, the problem will quickly spread throughout the banking system.</p><p>The banking system, the stock market, and the economy are all complex nonlinear systems, with thousands of nodes and links intertwined in a complex system. I don't know what will happen, but I can see what will happen in a complex nonlinear system, and knowing what will happen is enough to make me very cautious. With so many unresolved issues, analysts still believe that now is not the time to buy bank shares.</p><p>Currently, small regional banks in particular have been hit hard, and in some cases they have lost 50% or more of their value in a very short period of time.</p><p>Now, some may ask whether the crisis has reached its later stages and whether we should start investing. To be honest: No! The answer is still: Not yet! Although problems are beginning to emerge, analysts believe we are not close to the bottom yet—neither in bank stocks nor in the stock market as a whole. Some banks may already seem cheap – especially smaller regional banks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f564a259d8bbaa50f3f576f3c367cc4\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p>Although some U.S. banks—including United Bank of America,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo Bank</a>And Bank of America – down 20% or more, but so far their Canadian counterparts have fared better.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb7c2b23c5266bcc582c6c903c23129\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p>05</p><p>conclusion</p><p>Banks are in trouble, and some are starting to fail. This is just another domino that has fallen, unfortunately, in accordance with the usual pattern of financial crises. Recessions are not always accompanied by bank crises, but bank failures are never a good sign. This is just the next step after early warning signs such as a yield curve inversion or a decline in the number of new housing permits. Of course, I could be wrong; we can always take the opposite view (the number of housing permits surged in February 2023, which does not fit the narrative of the crisis).</p><p>I don't know if we'll see a crisis similar to 2008, nor do I know what role similarly overvalued real estate might play in this crisis. However, so far, many signs suggest that the financial and economic system is facing a severe recession, and I completely agree with Ray Dalio's view:</p><p>I think this is a very classic event in the bubble bursting part of a short-term debt cycle (lasting about 7 years, or about 3 years). In this process, tightening money to curb credit growth and inflation leads to a self-reinforcing debt-credit contraction. This contraction process, through domino-like contagion, continues until banks create loose money, negating the debt-credit contraction, thus generating more new credit and debt, sowing the seeds for the next major debt problem, until these short-term cycles accumulate debt assets and liabilities to an unsustainable level, and the whole thing collapses in debt restructuring and debt monetization (which usually happens about once every 75 years, about 25 years).</body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzI4Mzc0ODQxOQ==&mid=2247669896&idx=6&sn=5e015ae9a4750da0fd02e789112ea54f&chksm=eb89e9a4dcfe60b2e083378a0d7b531feac3fd7291bc62274e5ef00ef0efe9d24a8db1e2cf81#rd\">美股研究社</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f410d25869e83895617f8fd0fb2de933","relate_stocks":{"SG9999002232.USD":"Allianz Global High Payout USD","LU0310799852.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton Global Equity 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(USD) ACC","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0070302665.USD":"FRANKLIN MUTUAL U.S. VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4207":"综合性银行","LU1261432733.SGD":"Fidelity World A-ACC-SGD","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","LU1244550577.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Global Multi-Asset Income A (Mdis) SGD-H1","IE0034235188.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL FOCUS EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0211328371.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"A\" (MDIS) (USD) INC","LU0211327993.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","JPM":"摩根大通","LU1363072403.SGD":"Fidelity Global Financial Services A-ACC-SGD","LU0211326839.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL INCOME \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0320765489.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Mutual US Value A Acc SGD","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU0496365809.HKD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL INCOME \"A\" (HKD) INC (Q)","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU1496350171.SGD":"FRANKLIN DIVERSIFIED BALANCED \"A\" (SGDHDG) ACC","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU0211326755.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4118":"综合性资本市场","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU1496350502.SGD":"FRANKLIN DIVERSIFIED DYNAMIC \"A\" (SGDHDG) ACC","BK4566":"资本集团"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzI4Mzc0ODQxOQ==&mid=2247669896&idx=6&sn=5e015ae9a4750da0fd02e789112ea54f&chksm=eb89e9a4dcfe60b2e083378a0d7b531feac3fd7291bc62274e5ef00ef0efe9d24a8db1e2cf81#rd","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2321098115","content_text":"过去两周,危机突然升温,伴随着熊市,标准普尔500指数再次贬值,在本文中将主要关注银行系统和银行的崩溃。但银行在经济中扮演着重要角色,而陷入困境的银行可能会成为危机的负面催化剂。01概述基本上有两个主要的新闻报道。一方面,瑞士的瑞士信贷集团正被瑞银集团超越;另一方面是美国的几家银行在摩根大通等竞争对手的促进下倒闭,官方以及美联储介入。让我们从瑞士信贷开始。这家瑞士银行陷入困境并不令人意外,因为有关该公司陷入困境的报道几个月前就已经有了。然而,最近几天,情况突然变得更加戏剧性。上周已经有报道称,瑞士国家银行和FINMA(瑞士金融监管机构)将为瑞士信贷提供500亿瑞士法郎的紧急贷款(如有必要)。在周末——这种事情总是在周末市场休市的时候发生——瑞银同意以32.5亿美元的价格收购瑞信,这个价格大约是其上次股价的一半,但远高于最初的10亿美元的报价,瑞信拒绝了这一报价。但陷入困境的不仅仅是瑞士信贷——在前一周,硅谷银行倒闭,美国银行业危机达到了暂时的高潮。看到瑞士信贷陷入困境也许并不奇怪,因为有关该公司陷入困境的报道几个月前就已经发布了,但肯定没有人能预见到美国的银行倒闭(尽管银行倒闭是每次危机和熊市中可能发生的事件之一)。就像在过去类似的情况下,我们看到了“经典”的反应。美联储的反应是通过使用银行定期融资计划(BTFP)为银行提供额外的流动性。在这种情况下出现的另一个经典模式是,官方公开宣布银行体系是多么强大和安全,人们不必担心。上周周日珍妮特·耶伦、杰罗姆·鲍威尔和联邦存款保险公司主席马丁·格伦伯格已经通知公众,硅谷银行的储户将在周一获得他们所有的资金,此举也安抚了市场。在过去的危机中,我们已经看到了类似的举动。作为一个德国人,我尤其记得德国官方在2008年发表了类似的声明,并向德国公众保证,他们的存款是安全的,就像雷曼兄弟倒闭后的地狱一样。尽管这些反应正在发挥其应有的作用——恢复人们对银行体系和金融市场的信心——但这些反应有时只是短期的,对即将发生的事情是一种警告信号。在运行良好的市场中,市场参与者对银行的前景或安全充满信心(甚至是欣快感),这样的声明是不必要的。美联储不得不进行干预也不是一个好迹象,尽管这种干预有时会奏效——比如在2020年,当时提供了大量流动性。然而,在中期(也许是三年后),向市场注入巨额资金的意外后果可能会显现出来(因为用这些钱进行投机导致了错误的决策、高风险的赌注,以及现在的违约和银行倒闭)。02问题:信任和信心银行(以及类似机构)的一个巨大问题是信任和信心所扮演的角色——尤其是许多人(包括投资者)误解了信任和信心的重要性。虽然在人们是否会在银行存钱或取款的问题上,信任是至关重要的,但很难衡量信心。这尤其成问题,因为情况可能在几天内发生变化:恐慌可能迅速蔓延到整个国家(或全世界),上周信任银行的储户会突然感到恐慌,并试图提取资金。因此,仅仅看资产负债表是不够的,因为银行挤兑和人们失去信任会让许多银行崩溃。几家机构倒闭,几家主要新闻头条和国家电视台的报道可能足以引发恐慌。最近的一项研究显示了美国银行系统的脆弱性,以及在银行挤兑的情况下,有多少银行会在技术上资不抵债。如果我们假设最坏的情况是100%的无保险存款被提取,那么超过1600家美国银行将倒闭(根据FDIC从2021年开始的数据,共有4237家银行)。但即使假设只有30%的无保险存款被提取,106家银行也会倒闭。问题是,当客户(无论出于何种原因)失去信心并开始提现时,即使是资本充足的银行也可能突然面临重大麻烦。对于银行体系的大动荡,银行并不一定会完全崩溃。提取资金会更早地产生问题。03问题:不良资产尽管银行挤兑时有发生,并可能迫使银行屈服(过去几十年确实发生过),但这并不是银行倒闭的主要原因。由于银行挤兑而导致的银行倒闭在20世纪上半叶更为常见(尤其是在大萧条期间,数千家银行倒闭),大萧条之后,人们建立了防止银行挤兑的系统。如今,银行倒闭的原因通常是它们在错误的时间拥有不良资产或错误的资产(而且经常忽视或违反风险管理原则)。现在,随着过去几个季度利率的急剧上升,银行账簿上可能有错误的贷款。一些银行——尤其是欧洲的银行——可能在其投资组合中持有(接近于)零利率的政府债券,随着利率的提高,银行被迫向储户支付更高的利率,随着时间的推移,这将带来问题。第二个典型问题是资产价格下跌,银行账面上有所谓的有毒资产。在金融大危机期间,正是次级抵押贷款(或基于次级抵押贷款的金融产品)——资产(或:贷款)变成了不良贷款,因为银行把钱借给了没有能力偿还抵押贷款的人。此外,资产可能完全被错误定价,价值正在下降——这通常发生在泡沫之后,因为银行可能在错误的时间购买股票(或其他交易资产),价格超过了资产的内在价值。04复杂且相互关联的系统到目前为止,我们孤立地研究了不同的风险。但这些事件很少单独发生。它们通常相互加强,连锁反应(或多米诺骨牌效应)可能很快在金融体系内发生,导致银行危机。世界银行写道:当一个国家的许多银行同时面临严重的偿付能力或流动性问题时,就会发生(系统性)银行危机——要么是因为所有银行都受到了相同的外部冲击,要么是因为一家银行或一组银行的倒闭蔓延到系统中的其他银行。更具体地说,系统性银行危机是指一个国家的企业和金融部门出现大量违约,金融机构和企业难以按时偿还合同。一个国家的几家银行可能同时倒闭,因为它们都购买了类似的资产,而这些资产的价值最终远低于先前的估计,这似乎很明显,但银行倒闭在整个银行系统中的蔓延最初并不那么明显。当一家非金融企业倒闭时,对供应商和客户都会产生一些影响,供应链也会受到一定程度的干扰。但它不会像银行倒闭那样引发连锁反应。首先,被恐慌所取代的信任侵蚀将迅速蔓延至整个银行业。当一家(或几家)银行开始倒闭时,你会开始质疑自己的银行是否安全,并可能采取撤资行动。其次,由于银行之间相互放贷,购买其他银行发行的资产,银行之间存在着无数的联系,因此问题将迅速蔓延到整个银行系统。银行系统、股票市场和经济都是复杂的非线性系统,数千个节点和环节交织在一个复杂的系统中,我不知道会发生什么,但我可以看到在一个复杂的非线性系统中会发生什么,知道会发生什么足以让我非常谨慎。有这么多悬而未决的问题,分析师仍然认为现在不是收购银行股的时候。目前,尤其是小型地区性银行受到了沉重打击,在某些情况下,它们在很短的时间内损失了50%甚至更多的价值。现在,有人可能会问,危机是否已经到了后期阶段,我们是否应该开始投资。说实话:没有!答案仍然是:还没有!尽管问题开始显现,但分析师认为我们还没有接近底部——无论是银行股还是整个股市。一些银行可能已经显得很便宜——尤其是规模较小的地区性银行。Data by YCharts虽然美国的一些银行——包括美国合众银行、富国银行和美国银行——下跌了20%甚至更多,但迄今为止,加拿大同行的表现要好一些。Data by YCharts05结论银行陷入困境,一些银行开始倒闭,这只是另一张多米诺骨牌的倒下,令人遗憾的是,这符合金融危机通常的发展模式。衰退并不总是与银行危机相伴,但银行倒闭从来不是一个好迹象。这只是收益率曲线反转或新住房许可证数量下降等早期预警信号之后的下一步。当然,我可能是错的,我们总是可以采取相反的观点(2023年2月住房许可证数量激增,这与危机的叙述不相符)。我不知道我们是否会看到类似于2008年的危机,我也不知道同样被高估的房地产在这场危机中可能扮演什么角色。然而,到目前为止,许多迹象都暗示着金融和经济体系将面临严重衰退,我完全同意Ray Dalio的观点:我认为这是短期债务周期中非常经典的泡沫破裂部分的一个非常经典的事件(大约持续7年,或者大约3年),在这个过程中,紧缩货币以抑制信贷增长和通货膨胀,导致了自我强化的债务-信贷收缩,这种收缩过程通过多米诺骨牌一样的传染,持续到银行创造宽松的货币,否定了债务-信贷收缩、 从而产生更多新的信贷和债务,为下一个大的债务问题埋下种子,直到这些短期周期将债务资产和负债积累到不可持续的地步,整个事情在债务重组和债务货币化中崩溃(通常大约每75年发生一次,大约25年左右)。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CS":1,"JPM":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4698,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9943367614,"gmtCreate":1679152932639,"gmtModify":1679152936753,"author":{"id":"4094983188358330","authorId":"4094983188358330","name":"我是梦幻金钱战士","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/99cba128d11b8be74b1f95636cd22ed7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094983188358330","authorIdStr":"4094983188358330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943367614","repostId":"1114210525","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114210525","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1679140453,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1114210525?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-18 19:54","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"UBS is reportedly seeking support from Swiss authorities for any transaction with Credit Suisse.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114210525","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"3月18日,据知情人士透露,瑞银集团要求瑞士政府在收购瑞信集团时提供支持。瑞银正在讨论政府将在任何交易中承担某些法律费用或其他具体损失的情况。知情人士称,一种可能的情况是,瑞银将收购瑞信,以获得其财富","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On March 18, according to sources,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">UBS</a>The group requested support from the Swiss government in its acquisition of Credit Suisse Group. UBS is discussing whether the government will bear certain legal costs or other specific losses in any transaction.</p><p>Sources familiar with the matter say one possibility is that UBS will acquire Credit Suisse to obtain its wealth and asset management division, while potentially divesting its investment banking division. Negotiations are still ongoing over the fate of Credit Suisse's Swiss universal bank division, the only profitable major division of Credit Suisse last year.</p><p>Both UBS and Credit Suisse declined to comment on the news. The Swiss government and the Ministry of Finance did not respond to requests for comment. According to a source familiar with the matter, the goal of these negotiations is to announce the deal between the two banks no later than Sunday evening.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>UBS is reportedly seeking support from Swiss authorities for any transaction with Credit Suisse.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUBS is reportedly seeking support from Swiss authorities for any transaction with Credit Suisse.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-03-18 19:54</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On March 18, according to sources,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">UBS</a>The group requested support from the Swiss government in its acquisition of Credit Suisse Group. UBS is discussing whether the government will bear certain legal costs or other specific losses in any transaction.</p><p>Sources familiar with the matter say one possibility is that UBS will acquire Credit Suisse to obtain its wealth and asset management division, while potentially divesting its investment banking division. Negotiations are still ongoing over the fate of Credit Suisse's Swiss universal bank division, the only profitable major division of Credit Suisse last year.</p><p>Both UBS and Credit Suisse declined to comment on the news. The Swiss government and the Ministry of Finance did not respond to requests for comment. According to a source familiar with the matter, the goal of these negotiations is to announce the deal between the two banks no later than Sunday evening.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41a3265725dba67c0660b26a189585aa","relate_stocks":{"BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4118":"综合性资本市场","BK4588":"碎股","UBS":"瑞银"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114210525","content_text":"3月18日,据知情人士透露,瑞银集团要求瑞士政府在收购瑞信集团时提供支持。瑞银正在讨论政府将在任何交易中承担某些法律费用或其他具体损失的情况。知情人士称,一种可能的情况是,瑞银将收购瑞信,以获得其财富和资产管理部门,同时可能剥离其投资银行部门。有关瑞信瑞士全能银行(Swiss universal bank)部门命运的谈判仍在进行中,该部门是瑞信去年唯一盈利的主要部门。瑞银和瑞信均拒绝对此消息置评。瑞士政府和财政部未回复置评请求。据此前一位知情人士透露,此次谈判的目标是最迟在周日晚间宣布两家银行之间的交易。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UBS":0.9,"CS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4833,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}