Tesla, Inc. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ is set to report Q1 2022 earnings after market close on April 20. Would Tesla being the 'T' in 'FANGMAN+T' be the talisman for big tech, who are queuing up to report in the blockbuster earnings week of 25 April onwards?After Netflix $Netflix(NFLX)$ ‘crashed and burnt’ post Q1 earnings, there might be nervousness in how the other big tech, Facebook (Meta), Amazon, Alphabet (GOOG), Microsoft, Apple and Nvidia might perform and their forward guidance.Positive TSLADespite supply chain constraints due to pandemic and geopolitical issues, TSLA reported stellar numbers for Q1, delivering 310,048 EVs globally, a 68% increase from
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Big Tech Talisman Tesla's Big Day
Big Tech Talisman Tesla's Big Day
XPENG: Beyond or Below EXPectations?「Earnings Season」
XPENG Motors, $XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$ is reporting Q1 2022 earnings before market open on Mon 23 May. Consensus EPS estimates is $ -0.30 (-121.92% year on year, y.o.y) while revenue estimate is for strong growth to $1.11B (+141.75% y.o.y).FundamentalsThere are three main reasons to be bullish about XPEV. Explosive revenue growth and room to grow gross margin. Revenue for Q4 2021 was about $1.35B (+209%), compared to $437M in Q4 2020, the year before. Gross margin is just at 11.2% and 14.4%, and presents a huge opportunity to grow further, as the leader in EV, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ has gross margin nearing 30%. Strong innovation. XPEV has a track record of executing
XPENG: Beyond or Below EXPectations?「Earnings Season」
Options to Onboard Options in your Trading? Who & How...
I'd like to share about Key Opinion Leaders (KOL) or more aptly in this case, Knowledgeable Options Leaders on Options trading, I've observed in Tiger Community currently. They might serve as useful 'course' resources, for someone looking to pick up Options Trading. Starters For starters, I would go with Tiger official accounts. Start with @Tiger_Academy if one is totally new with Tiger Options Tour For Beginners, four 4–8 mins videos introducing Options trading. Videos to Learn Options from @Tiger_Academy Next, progress to @OptionsTutor to learn the key Greeks (delta, theta
Options to Onboard Options in your Trading? Who & How...
"Zuck Bucks" to the Metaverse Moon?
Meta announcing it will introduce virtual tokens and currency for use in the metaverse, internally dubbed “Zuck Bucks”, is an attempt to generate alternative revenue streams to counter over-reliance on ad-sales. After its share price dropped 30% YTD, it’s probably hoping this can be the catalyst to revive its price from the doldrums. This is actually Meta’s 3rd attempt at virtual currency or similar, after Facebook Credits in 2009 and Libra/Diem in 2019/20 failed to take off. Would it be 3rd time lucky?Looking at Weekly chart (below), noticed that price is currently sitting not far off the longer term 200 MA at $223.3. Twice previously, in 2019 and 2020, prices rebounded strongly at this trend line (see purple circles) and “rocket up” strongly. Would it be 3rd time lucky as well, and we se
"Zuck Bucks" to the Metaverse Moon?
Crouching Tiger Hidden Dragon?
I’d like to focus my post just on the point about Who should someone Newer to Tiger Community Follow?You might know the meaning of the phrase Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon, literal translation of a Chinese idiom, ‘a place that is full of unnoticed masters or talented, extraordinary people hidden from plain view’.That’s exactly how I felt about a group of Tiger accounts in TigerTrade app. I don’t know much about the talented people behind the avatars, but they are providing extraordinary (ok, maybe a bit of exaggeration, but definitely) helpful curated insights to aid trading and investing, and infotainment that makes the former fun and social.Here’s a primer on who's who that might be worth following, grouped into four areas of interest to the Community:1. Information & Insi
Crouching Tiger Hidden Dragon?
Psst! Do you know Buffett’s Investing ‘Secret Sauce’?
As one of the most successful investors ever, Warren Buffett's recipe for success is widely studied and many attempted to follow it. His $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.A)$ average annual return is 22%, double the historic annualised average return of 10.5% for S&P500. According to a Fortune article, the top 4 total returns of all companies he has picked to invest in ranged from 671% in 5 yrs (BYD) to 9,417% in 24 yrs (Wells Fargo). Of course, Berkshire Hathaway which he has helmed for 49 yrs, and which acquired many companies over the years, from insurance (e.g. Geico) to food & beverages (e.g. Kraft Heinz) topped it all, returning a staggering total of 1,745,300%.Secret Sauce?So how did Buffett become so successfu
Psst! Do you know Buffett’s Investing ‘Secret Sauce’?
AMD Earnings –Advance, Motionless or Decline?
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc $AMD(AMD)$ reports earning after market close on Tue May 3.Let's see what we can expect...FundamentalsSemis stock such as AMD are expected to be negatively impacted by the four-prong headwinds. Frist is declining demand for graphics processing units (GPU) in crypto mining, being replaced by more efficient application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs). This coupled with weakening demand for PCs (expected to decline 5% in 2022) and continued supply-chain disruption due to COVID-19 and geopolitical crisis would affect revenue and growth of semis companies. Finally, inflation and recession if materialised would lead to reduced demand for chip. This seems déjà vu to 2018, where a glut of chips inventor
AMD Earnings –Advance, Motionless or Decline?
Buying Tesla and Chinese Tech Titans – I’d like my cakes and eat them too. Thank you!
Cake 1 – TeslaDespite challenging 2020~2021 with components, batteries and semiconductor supply chain disruptions and labour crunches brought about by pandemic and other issues, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ continued to outperform with record 71% increased EVs deliveries in recent quarter, and its profitability is now approximately 3 times greater than its top 3 legacy competitors, Volkswagen Group, Toyota Motor and Daimler.Looking Springy and DelectableBesides large market caps, higher growth and profitability which would sustain the company in the long run, one important area to look at for longer term investment is resiliency of the company to overcome downturns, and bounce back stronger. TSLA has shown it could weather the re
Buying Tesla and Chinese Tech Titans – I’d like my cakes and eat them too. Thank you!
Viva la NVIDIA「Earnings Season」
As I was studying NVIDIA Corporation $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ earnings forecast (reporting after market close 25 May), Coldplay hit-song “Viva la Vida”, translated from Spanish meaning “Long Live Life” played on my Spotify. Fans of the British rock-band would probably know that the song’s lyrics is a metaphor that “even when the worst happens, one can still have hope for the future”. That–in my view–aptly describes the once darling of tech stock, NVDA; despite its share price being pummelled and losing more than half of its value in recent months, there are bright hopes for the future. Let’s see why…Los Fundamentos (The Fundamentals)NVDA is expected to post Q1 FY2023 EPS of $1.30 (+41.3% Year-on-Year, YoY) and consensus estimate to
Viva la NVIDIA「Earnings Season」
Best of the Best: Top Billionaires Edition 2023
Looking at the last 10-years ranking of top-3 billionaires in the world (see below) Bill Gates has held the title of the richest man in the world four times in a row between 2014 to 2017. Jeff Bezos took over as the richest man in the world for the next four years, 2018 to 2021 before losing the crown to Elon Musk. Musk did not feature in the top-3 at all until he burst into the scene in 2021 at 2nd place, and knocked Bezos off the perch a year later in 2022.source: Susan Walsh/AP; Joshua Roberts/Reuters; Axel Schmidt/Getty ImagesTop-3 Wealth Ranking Bezos, Gates and Musk source: ForbesSo will Musk remain at the top of the world of billionaires in 2023 or will Bezos wrestle the title back? Let's examine further...Wealth TrendingFrom the wealth trend graph (below), Bill Gates wealth showed
Best of the Best: Top Billionaires Edition 2023
Is Walmart still a Consumer Staple Stalwart?「Earnings Season」
Walmart Inc., $Wal-Mart(WMT)$ will report Q1 FY 2023 (2023 due its fiscal year reporting timeline) before market open on Tue 17 May. Consensus earnings per share (EPS) estimate is $1.48 vs $1.69 (-12.4% year on year, y.o.y) and revenue is expected to reach USD $138.8 bil vs $138.3 bil (+0.4% y.o.y).Walmart is a dividend-paying large-cap stock in the S&P 500 Consumer Staples sector, and among the top 10 largest companies with 4.4% weight in the sector index. WMT engages in retail and wholesale business through Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam's Club. It operates supercentres, supermarkets, hypermarkets, warehouse clubs, cash and carry stores, discount stores, membership-only warehouse clubs, e-commerce websi
Is Walmart still a Consumer Staple Stalwart?「Earnings Season」
5 Changes Foretell for Elon’s Twitter...
With Elon Musk tussle with the Board to take Twitter $Twitter(TWTR)$ private turning into more like a soap opera, Twitter-verse and Internet have been abuzz with what changes to the service are in store, if he were to succeed in his bid. Musk recent tweets might offer clues of five fundamental changes that might occur!Screenshots from the horse's mouth: Musk's Twitter account are provided for background and context.(1) Zero the BoardThe first one is now widely known, he would cut the Board salary to $0, saving 3 mil per year off the bat, as other than co-founder Jack Dorsey, their collective paltry ownership of just 77 shares (vs Musk's 73.49 million) of the company is taken as a serious lack of stake in working
5 Changes Foretell for Elon’s Twitter...
Have Chinese Stocks Bottomed, Technically?
Broader MarketsLet’s look at the Technicals to see what the Markets tell us or ‘market generated information’ based on price actions, rather than inferring how news and events would affect the stocks and Markets.Starting with the broader Markets, using $S&P 500(.SPX)$ as the proxy, we can see on the weekly chart, the long green candle engulfing two previous weeks of red arrows to upside (bullish) and breaking the downtrend channel from January 2022. If there is follow through, and price stays green and out of the downtrend channel for the next 1-2 weeks, we would be more confident to say trend has reversed to the upside. A similar breaking out of the downtrend can be seen in the tech heavy
Have Chinese Stocks Bottomed, Technically?
Book Review: Trading in the Zone – Mark Douglas
A book that has helped me the most in trading is not on fundamental or technical analysis–although I’ve a few favourites–but one about mental analysis of ourselves as traders, titled Trading in the Zone by Mark Douglas.Mark opened the book with a bold claim: “The consistently winning traders think differently from everyone else.” It's not intelligence, or market analysis, or a super-duper indicator that separates the successful from the unsuccessful. It’s really about one's state of mind that think in probabilities, and one’s response to four primary trading fears: fear of missing out (FOMO), fear of losing money (FLM), fear of being wrong (FBW), and fear of letting a win turns to loss (FWTL).Five Fundamental Truths of TradingMark shared that in
Book Review: Trading in the Zone – Mark Douglas
Hey Mr. Buffett, may I interest you in SGX…
Downturn in stock markets around the world including in Singapore since the start of 2022 might decrease our portfolio value, but on the flip side, it increases opportunities to “buy wonderful companies at a fair price”, to quote Warren Buffett, one of the greatest investors of our times.How do we uncover such wonderful companies in Singapore, one might ask? ROIC vs WACCWell, Buffett uses Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) that looks at companies efficiency in allocating capital under their control to generate returns (see formula below):ROIC Formula and Comparing ROIC – WACC of SGX (S68), Venture Corp (V03) and Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (BS6). Data source: GuruFocusNext, compare ROIC with Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC), the average cost of capital from all sources, common stock, pr
Hey Mr. Buffett, may I interest you in SGX…
Dear Tiger Friends, Share your local knowledge of off-touristy trails or secret spots to discover in Singapore or Australia. Here’s my attempt: https://ttm.financial/m/post/9063336420@Seward@HappyGalT@KemeiW@onlyYou@Maky@Mojo Jojo@mrzhuge@surfer guy@Yoonasea@Nanak
@TigerEvents:【Events】Greets From Oceans Away 👋👋
Will it be Terrific or Terrible Twitter?
When the now Elon Musk-owned social media and digital news platform reports Q1 2022 earnings before market open on Apr 28 Thur, will it be the terrific Twitter or its terrible twin that show up? Let’s find out…Image credits: the HustleEarnings, Revenue and UsersConsensus estimate by analysts is for Twitter to report earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.17 down a massive 221.4% from the previous year, despite a projected revenue increase to $1.21 billion or +17.5%. See Table below.Twiter earnings history, comparing year-on-year (y-o-y). Sources: Market Beat, Zacks Consensus EstimateThe other key metric, growth of monetizable daily active users (mDAU) which hit 217 million in the last quarter is a bit of an unknown. What is clear, both mDAU and EPS are expected to be worst off, due to battli
Will it be Terrific or Terrible Twitter?
Applied Materials Earnings – Materially Good or Bad?
Applied Materials, $Applied Materials(AMAT)$ is scheduled to announce Q2 FY2022 earnings after market close on 19 May. Consensus EPS estimate is $1.90 (+16.6% year-on-year, y-o-y) and the consensus revenue estimate is $6.35 billion (+13.8% y-o-y). In earnings reporting over the past two years, AMAT has beaten EPS estimates 88% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time. Expectation is high that it would beat on both metrics this quarter as the company has been sitting on a tremendous backlog of up to $9 billion worth of orders, coming off the booming demand for chip manufacturing equipment by the semiconductor makers and foundries.AMAT FundamentalsWhile investors might be more familiar with the semiconductor maker
Applied Materials Earnings – Materially Good or Bad?
Palantir – Earnings Crystal Ball Gazing
Palantir Technologies Inc. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ was named by its co-founder Peter Thiel after J. R. R. Tolkien’s “Lord of the Rings” all–seeing stones palantíri. Prior to it reporting earnings on May 9, let’s gaze into the crystal ball to see what happened in recent past, and what the future might bring. Peter Thiel’s (also of Paypal and 1st external Facebook investor fame) superimposed on wizard Saruman with all-seeing crystal ball palantír in Tolkien’s fantasy novels –inspiration for his data analytics software co. of same name. Pic credit: bizjournalsThe Q1 2022 consensus EPS estimate is $0.04 (no change year-on-year y.o.y) and revenue estimate is $444 mil (+30% y.o.y). Consensus forward guidance for Q2 2022
Palantir – Earnings Crystal Ball Gazing
Split-to-Spark a Tesla Rally?
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ announced on 28 Mar 2022 via Twitter that it seeks investor approval to increase number of shares to enable a stock split, and it sparked a 5% rally, before inflation, rate hike and geopolitical worries fizzled out that rally.While we can debate the merits or pitfalls of such a move, coming less than 2 years since the 5-1 split, what matters most might be the price action or market generated information of TSLA stock.Rally and DallyFrom the split-adjusted Daily chart (below), TSLA’s stock split ignited a massive rally of ~80% from date of split, 31 Aug 2020. However, since its all-time-high (ATH) in early Nov 2021, stock price has dallied into a downtrend (red channel), forming lower hi
Split-to-Spark a Tesla Rally?
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