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54oo_
2023-01-08
nice
54oo_
2023-01-14
[龇牙]
54oo_
2022-12-29
yeah
54oo_
2023-01-10
[得意]
54oo_
2022-12-24
Good
54oo_
2022-12-23
yup
54oo_
2022-12-12
woh
54oo_
2023-01-15
funny[得意]
54oo_
2023-01-15
ney
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2022-10-06
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href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TLT\">$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$ </a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TLT\">$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$ </a>","text":"$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/15a5c40a16f6a32e81119c1577229820","width":"1086","height":"1713"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/270744594034800","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5325,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":234960009838840,"gmtCreate":1698384937819,"gmtModify":1698384940446,"author":{"id":"4106048906582030","authorId":"4106048906582030","name":"54oo_","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/487558a38e7b519d3eaf5dabf2b07629","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4106048906582030","idStr":"4106048906582030"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/5HT.SI\">$皇冠(5HT.SI)$ </a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/5HT.SI\">$皇冠(5HT.SI)$ </a>","text":"$皇冠(5HT.SI)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/236d3e863e3ca8a0b50f4918ee378001","width":"1284","height":"2364"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/234960009838840","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5331,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940551834,"gmtCreate":1678065252628,"gmtModify":1678065256803,"author":{"id":"4106048906582030","authorId":"4106048906582030","name":"54oo_","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/487558a38e7b519d3eaf5dabf2b07629","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4106048906582030","idStr":"4106048906582030"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[害羞] ","listText":"[害羞] ","text":"[害羞]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940551834","repostId":"1117804954","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117804954","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"提供即時金融資訊、行情、數據，旨在幫助投資者理解世界，做投資決策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎資訊","id":"1059071526","head_image":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1678062909,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1117804954?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-06 08:35","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"This Week's Preview | Markets Focus on the Interest Rate Orientation Conveyed in Powell's Speech! Three central banks simultaneously announced interest rates, and JD.com and Unicom, among others, released results! Two new stocks listed","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117804954","media":"老虎資訊","summary":"本週（3.6-3.10）重要財經事件：經濟數據：市場本周將會聚焦多項就業數據，包括周三公布的「小非農」ADP就業人數變動，到周五更有2月非農新增職位及2月份失業率，1月非農數據遠超預期震驚市場，若再出","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><b>Key financial events this week (March 6-10):</b></p><p>Economic data: The market will focus on several employment data points this week, including the \"mini-non-farm payrolls\" ADP employment figures to be released on Wednesday, and the February non-farm payrolls and February unemployment rate to be released on Friday. The January non-farm payrolls data, which far exceeded expectations, shocked the market. If another shock occurs, it may cause volatility in US stocks. Financial Events: Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will attend two congressional hearings on Tuesday (7th) and Wednesday (8th), and his speeches will give the market a better understanding of the authorities' latest interest rate stance. In addition, the Federal Reserve released its Beige Book on Thursday, and the central banks of Australia, Canada, and Japan will hold interest rate meetings this week. Results announcement:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TCOM\">Ctrip</a>U.S. stocks released their results after the market closed on Monday.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">Sea Ltd</a>US stocks released their earnings reports before the market opened on Tuesday.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">JD.com - SW</a>US stocks released their earnings reports before the market opened on Thursday.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00762\">China Unicom</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00763\">ZTE Corporation</a>AIA, among others, also announced their results this week. New IPO:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02482\">Weitian Yuntong</a>(02482)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09636\">Jiufang Wealth</a>(09636) was listed on March 9 and 10, respectively.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17207495ed040e73fd53b880ed7e9ae7\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fdedc78051dccabf7bf1ef8d1b144f3\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"2000\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Monday, March 6</b></p><p><b>Keywords: US January factory orders month-on-month rate, Ctrip performance</b></p><p>Economic data: The market is focusing on the month-on-month rate of US factory orders in January, which was 1.8% in the previous month.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2eb83f7764708459669205cdfc14519\" tg-width=\"977\" tg-height=\"206\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Results announcement:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TCOM\">Ctrip</a>US stocks released their earnings reports after the market closed.</p><p><b>Tuesday, March 7</b></p><p><b>Keywords: Powell's congressional hearing</b></p><p>Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will attend two congressional hearings on Tuesday (7th) and Wednesday (8th), and his speeches will give the market a better understanding of the authorities' latest interest rate stance. The Reserve Bank of Australia also announced the results of its interest rate policy on the same day.</p><p>Economic data: China's trade balance, and data such as the monthly rate of US wholesale sales.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7245a1439c076fee4d317ea668db5f0\" tg-width=\"982\" tg-height=\"122\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69373324a59a1f848ceff22b065ef47b\" tg-width=\"973\" tg-height=\"259\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Results announcement:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">Sea Ltd</a>(SE) US stocks released their pre-market results. Wharf Holdings (01997), SITC International (01308), Chinalco International (02068), and Minmetals Resources (01208) released their results on the same day.</p><p><b>Wednesday, March 8</b></p><p><b>Keywords: US ADP employment figures, Powell's monetary policy testimony, China Unicom's performance</b></p><p>The market is focusing on the change in ADP employment figures released on Wednesday, which are expected to be 168,000, compared to the previous value of 106,000.</p><p>ADP private sector job additions released Wednesday are expected to rise to 195,000 in February, while JOLTS job openings fell to 10.6 million in January.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b80c91e1725cf662b96020e43c110cc\" tg-width=\"984\" tg-height=\"147\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The Bank of Canada announced its interest rate decision.</p><p>Results announcement:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00293\">Cathay Pacific</a>(00293)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00762\">China Unicom</a>(00762), SJM Holdings (00880), Uni-President China (00220), Yuexiu Services (06626)</p><p><b>Thursday, March 9</b></p><p><b>Keywords: China CPI, US initial jobless claims for the week, Federal Reserve Beige Book, JD.com earnings</b></p><p>China released its February CPI annualized rate, compared to a 2.1% increase in the previous figure. The United States released the number of new jobless claims last week, compared to 190,000 previously.</p><p>The Federal Reserve released its Beige Book on the state of the economy.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa06b406edcfed6336fced077c62c184\" tg-width=\"978\" tg-height=\"326\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>New share listing:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02482\">Weitian Yuntong</a>(02482)</p><p>Results announcement:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">JD.com - SW</a>(09618), MTR Corporation (00066), Swire (00019), Swire Properties (01972), Wharf Holdings (00004), etc.</p><p><b>Friday, March 10</b></p><p><b>Keywords: US non-farm payrolls, US unemployment rate, ZTE/Wuxin Technology financial report</b></p><p>Friday's release of February's non-farm payroll additions and February's unemployment rate shocked the market, with the January non-farm payroll data far exceeding expectations. Another shock could cause volatility in US stocks.</p><p>The market currently expects new jobs to fall significantly to 215,000 in February. The unemployment rate is expected to remain at 3.4% in February. Another focus will be on the growth rate of average hourly wages. The market currently expects average hourly wages to rise by 4.7% year-on-year in February, higher than January's 4.4%. If the growth exceeds expectations, it may raise concerns about inflation and a rising wage spiral.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8003aa2968dc3f8f5a577214d99ebb1b\" tg-width=\"984\" tg-height=\"354\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The Bank of Japan announced the results of its interest rate meeting.</p><p>New share listing:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09636\">Jiufang Wealth</a>(09636)</p><p>Results announcement:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01299\">AIA Insurance</a>(01299), Chinese Real Estate (00127),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00763\">ZTE Corporation</a>(00763), RLX Technology, etc.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>This Week's Preview | Markets Focus on the Interest Rate Orientation Conveyed in Powell's Speech! Three central banks simultaneously announced interest rates, and JD.com and Unicom, among others, released results! Two new stocks listed</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThis Week's Preview | Markets Focus on the Interest Rate Orientation Conveyed in Powell's Speech! Three central banks simultaneously announced interest rates, and JD.com and Unicom, among others, released results! Two new stocks listed\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1059071526\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎資訊 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-03-06 08:35</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>Key financial events this week (March 6-10):</b></p><p>Economic data: The market will focus on several employment data points this week, including the \"mini-non-farm payrolls\" ADP employment figures to be released on Wednesday, and the February non-farm payrolls and February unemployment rate to be released on Friday. The January non-farm payrolls data, which far exceeded expectations, shocked the market. If another shock occurs, it may cause volatility in US stocks. Financial Events: Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will attend two congressional hearings on Tuesday (7th) and Wednesday (8th), and his speeches will give the market a better understanding of the authorities' latest interest rate stance. In addition, the Federal Reserve released its Beige Book on Thursday, and the central banks of Australia, Canada, and Japan will hold interest rate meetings this week. Results announcement:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TCOM\">Ctrip</a>U.S. stocks released their results after the market closed on Monday.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">Sea Ltd</a>US stocks released their earnings reports before the market opened on Tuesday.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">JD.com - SW</a>US stocks released their earnings reports before the market opened on Thursday.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00762\">China Unicom</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00763\">ZTE Corporation</a>AIA, among others, also announced their results this week. New IPO:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02482\">Weitian Yuntong</a>(02482)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09636\">Jiufang Wealth</a>(09636) was listed on March 9 and 10, respectively.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17207495ed040e73fd53b880ed7e9ae7\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fdedc78051dccabf7bf1ef8d1b144f3\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"2000\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Monday, March 6</b></p><p><b>Keywords: US January factory orders month-on-month rate, Ctrip performance</b></p><p>Economic data: The market is focusing on the month-on-month rate of US factory orders in January, which was 1.8% in the previous month.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2eb83f7764708459669205cdfc14519\" tg-width=\"977\" tg-height=\"206\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Results announcement:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TCOM\">Ctrip</a>US stocks released their earnings reports after the market closed.</p><p><b>Tuesday, March 7</b></p><p><b>Keywords: Powell's congressional hearing</b></p><p>Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will attend two congressional hearings on Tuesday (7th) and Wednesday (8th), and his speeches will give the market a better understanding of the authorities' latest interest rate stance. The Reserve Bank of Australia also announced the results of its interest rate policy on the same day.</p><p>Economic data: China's trade balance, and data such as the monthly rate of US wholesale sales.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7245a1439c076fee4d317ea668db5f0\" tg-width=\"982\" tg-height=\"122\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69373324a59a1f848ceff22b065ef47b\" tg-width=\"973\" tg-height=\"259\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Results announcement:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">Sea Ltd</a>(SE) US stocks released their pre-market results. Wharf Holdings (01997), SITC International (01308), Chinalco International (02068), and Minmetals Resources (01208) released their results on the same day.</p><p><b>Wednesday, March 8</b></p><p><b>Keywords: US ADP employment figures, Powell's monetary policy testimony, China Unicom's performance</b></p><p>The market is focusing on the change in ADP employment figures released on Wednesday, which are expected to be 168,000, compared to the previous value of 106,000.</p><p>ADP private sector job additions released Wednesday are expected to rise to 195,000 in February, while JOLTS job openings fell to 10.6 million in January.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b80c91e1725cf662b96020e43c110cc\" tg-width=\"984\" tg-height=\"147\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The Bank of Canada announced its interest rate decision.</p><p>Results announcement:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00293\">Cathay Pacific</a>(00293)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00762\">China Unicom</a>(00762), SJM Holdings (00880), Uni-President China (00220), Yuexiu Services (06626)</p><p><b>Thursday, March 9</b></p><p><b>Keywords: China CPI, US initial jobless claims for the week, Federal Reserve Beige Book, JD.com earnings</b></p><p>China released its February CPI annualized rate, compared to a 2.1% increase in the previous figure. The United States released the number of new jobless claims last week, compared to 190,000 previously.</p><p>The Federal Reserve released its Beige Book on the state of the economy.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa06b406edcfed6336fced077c62c184\" tg-width=\"978\" tg-height=\"326\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>New share listing:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02482\">Weitian Yuntong</a>(02482)</p><p>Results announcement:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">JD.com - SW</a>(09618), MTR Corporation (00066), Swire (00019), Swire Properties (01972), Wharf Holdings (00004), etc.</p><p><b>Friday, March 10</b></p><p><b>Keywords: US non-farm payrolls, US unemployment rate, ZTE/Wuxin Technology financial report</b></p><p>Friday's release of February's non-farm payroll additions and February's unemployment rate shocked the market, with the January non-farm payroll data far exceeding expectations. Another shock could cause volatility in US stocks.</p><p>The market currently expects new jobs to fall significantly to 215,000 in February. The unemployment rate is expected to remain at 3.4% in February. Another focus will be on the growth rate of average hourly wages. The market currently expects average hourly wages to rise by 4.7% year-on-year in February, higher than January's 4.4%. If the growth exceeds expectations, it may raise concerns about inflation and a rising wage spiral.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8003aa2968dc3f8f5a577214d99ebb1b\" tg-width=\"984\" tg-height=\"354\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The Bank of Japan announced the results of its interest rate meeting.</p><p>New share listing:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09636\">Jiufang Wealth</a>(09636)</p><p>Results announcement:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01299\">AIA Insurance</a>(01299), Chinese Real Estate (00127),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00763\">ZTE Corporation</a>(00763), RLX Technology, etc.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e1ae3d0f75bebef8011736e9031acae","relate_stocks":{"02482":"维天运通","00762":"中国联通","HSI":"恒生指数",".DJI":"道琼斯","09961":"携程集团-S","09636":"九方智投控股",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","DIS":"迪士尼","00763":"中兴通讯","SE":"Sea Ltd","TCOM":"携程网"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117804954","content_text":"本週（3.6-3.10）重要財經事件：經濟數據：市場本周將會聚焦多項就業數據，包括周三公布的「小非農」ADP就業人數變動，到周五更有2月非農新增職位及2月份失業率，1月非農數據遠超預期震驚市場，若再出現驚嚇，或會令美股出現波動。財經事件：聯儲局主席鮑威爾周二（7日）及周三（8日）將出席兩場國會聽證會，其講話將令市場更了解當局最新的利率取向。另外，聯儲局周四公布褐皮書，澳洲、加拿大及日本央行本周議息。業績公佈：携程网周一美股盤後公佈業績，Sea Ltd周二美股盤前公佈業績，京东集团-SW 周四美股盤前公佈業績，中国联通、中兴通讯 、友邦保險等亦于本周公佈業績。新股IPO:维天运通 (02482)、九方财富 (09636)分別于3月9日和10日上市。3月6日 週一關鍵詞：美國1月工廠訂單月率、攜程業績經濟數據：市場關注美國1月工廠訂單月率，該數據前值為1.8%。業績公布：携程网美股盤後發佈業績報告。3月7日 週二關鍵詞：鮑威爾國會聽證會聯儲局主席鮑威爾周二（7日）及周三（8日）將出席兩場國會聽證會，其講話將令市場更了解當局最新的利率取向。澳洲央行亦于當日公布議息結果。經濟數據：中國貿易帳，以及美國批發銷售月率等數據。業績公布：Sea Ltd (SE）美股盤前公布業績。九龍倉置業(01997) 、海豐國際(01308) 、中鋁國際(02068) 、五礦資源(01208) 當日公佈業績。3月8日 週三關鍵詞：美國ADP就業人數、鮑威爾發表貨幣政策證詞、中國聯通業績市場關注周三公布的「小非農」ADP就業人數變動，該數據預測16.8萬，前值10.6萬。周三公布的2月ADP私人企業新增職位預計增至19.5萬個，1月JOLTS職位空缺減至1060萬個。加拿大央行公布議息結果。業績公布：国泰航空(00293) 、中国联通 (00762) 、澳博控股(00880) 、統一企業中國(00220) 、越秀服務(06626)3月9日 週四關鍵詞：中國CPI、美國當週初請失業金、美聯儲褐皮書、京東業績中國公佈2月CPI年率，該數據前值為升2.1%。美國公佈上周新申領失業金人數，該數據前值為19萬。美聯儲公布經濟狀況褐皮書。新股上市：维天运通(02482)業績公布：京东集团-SW(09618) 、港鐵(00066) 、太古(00019) 、太古地產(01972) 、九龍倉集團(00004)等3月10日 週五關鍵詞：美國非農就業人口、美國失業率、中興通訊/霧芯科技財報周五有2月非農新增職位及2月份失業率，1月非農數據遠超預期震驚市場，若再出現驚嚇，或會令美股出現波動。現時市場預測2月份新增職位會顯著回落至21.5萬份。2月失業率則預期維持3.4%。另一個關注點會是平均時薪增長幅度，市場現時料2月平均時薪按年升4.7%，較1月4.4%為高，若增長超過預期，或會引起市場對通脹及工資螺旋上升的擔憂。日本央行公布議息結果。新股上市：九方财富 (09636)業績公布：友邦保险 (01299) 、華人置業(00127) 、中兴通讯 (00763)、 霧芯科技(RLX)等。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"00762":0.9,"02482":0.9,"09636":0.9,"HSI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"TCOM":0.9,"09961":0.9,"SE":0.9,"DIS":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"00763":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4493,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9955158402,"gmtCreate":1675295652606,"gmtModify":1676538990254,"author":{"id":"4106048906582030","authorId":"4106048906582030","name":"54oo_","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/487558a38e7b519d3eaf5dabf2b07629","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4106048906582030","idStr":"4106048906582030"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[流泪] ","listText":"[流泪] ","text":"[流泪]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9955158402","repostId":"1139522843","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1139522843","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1675293368,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1139522843?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-02-02 07:16","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"Powell: Considering two rate hike meetings before pausing; interest rate cuts this year are inappropriate; tightening financial conditions will take time.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139522843","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"摘要：美联储主席鲍威尔说，通胀有所缓和但仍处于高位，但“现在第一次可以说，通货膨胀放缓进程已经开始。”他说，FOMC迅猛紧缩货币政策的全面效果尚未显现出来。FOMC正在讨论再加息几次（a couple","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Abstract: Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said that inflation has eased somewhat but remains high, but \"for the first time we can say that the process of slowing inflation has begun.\" He said the full effects of the FOMC's rapid tightening of monetary policy have not yet been evident. The FOMC is discussing rate hike a couple more times to restrictive levels before pausing. The Federal Reserve has not explored the possibility of pausing rate hike before resuming rate hike. Powell emphasized that, given the economic situation, no interest rate cuts are expected this year. He said that the current cycle in the U.S. economy is not a standard economic cycle, but is unique. On Wednesday, February 1, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell held a press conference after the Federal Reserve announced its latest interest rate decision.</p><p><b>Powell said the FOMC is discussing a couple more rate hike to restrictive levels before pausing, and the Fed has not explored the possibility of pausing rate hike before resuming rate hike. He said policymakers do not believe now is the time to suspend rate hike.</b></p><p><b>Regarding the number of rate hike referred to by \"several times,\" Bloomberg believes that not everyone would consider it two times, but the media outlet believes it is almost certain that it will be two more rate hike, namely, another rate hike of 25 basis points at the FOMC meetings in March and May. This will raise the Federal Funds rate to the range of 5% to 5.25%, reaching the peak level of the Federal Reserve's expected interest rates in December.</b></p><p>The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to continue its 25 basis point rate hike in March, but Powell emphasized that he has no certainty about the May FOMC meeting. Regarding the dot plot for March, he believes it may be higher or lower than in December, depending on the data. The Federal Reserve's March FOMC meeting will update the rate hike path assessment, and the Fed will pay attention to the data from now until March.</p><p><b>Powell stated that the forecasts he and his FOMC colleagues made indicate that cutting interest rates this year is inappropriate.</b>He said:</p><p>Given our expected economic outlook, I don't think we will cut interest rates this year. However, he added that if inflation falls faster, it will affect policy decisions. On the issue of inflation, Powell stated:</p><p>We will be cautious in declaring victory against inflation. We are in the early stages of the fight against inflation, and victory will take time. Continued rate hike is appropriate; current interest rate levels are not far from their peak.</p><p>At the press conference, Powell summarized last year's rate hike actions, saying that the Federal Reserve took strong action.</p><p>Looking ahead, he said, it will be necessary to maintain the restrictive nature of monetary policy on the U.S. economy for some time.<b>The Federal Reserve continues to expect sustained rate hike to be appropriate to achieve a sufficiently restrictive stance. He emphasized that the current interest rates set by the Federal Reserve have not yet reached a sufficiently restrictive policy stance.</b></p><p>He continued his strong commitment to achieving the 2% inflation target. He emphasized that price stability is the foundation of the economy, that current inflation levels are far higher than the Federal Reserve's target, that Fed officials still need to make more efforts, and that the Fed will persevere until the job is completed. He said it was too early to declare victory:</p><p>Our expectation is that inflation will take some time to decline, and we need patience, so we will need to keep interest rates high for a longer period of time. He remains confident in a soft landing for the US economy:</p><p>I believe inflation can fall back to 2% without a truly severe economic recession. Regarding market discussions about the Federal Reserve's future rate hike path,<b>He said that Federal Reserve officials have spent a lot of time discussing the future path of interest rate policy, but have not yet made a decision on the peak of interest rates in this rate hike cycle, but he believes that current interest rate levels are not far from the peak.</b></p><p>As in previous press conferences, Powell reiterated that history warns against easing policy too early, that the Federal Reserve does not want inflation to return, and that it will be difficult to manage the risks posed by insufficient rate hike. Powell said:</p><p>I don't want the Federal Reserve to be forced to conclude six or 12 months after the rate hike ends that it hasn't done enough to reduce inflation this year and will have to raise interest rates again. However, he also emphasized that the Federal Reserve has no incentive nor does it want to tighten interest rates excessively, but if the Fed does tighten interest rates excessively, the agency still has the tools to solve the problem.</p><p><b>He said that slowing the pace of rate hike could allow the FOMC to assess progress. Regarding the future of the rate hike process, Powell said that decisions will be made at each meeting.</b></p><p><b>Regarding the policy lag that the market is concerned about, Powell responded that it will take time to fully see the effects of the tightening policy, and these lags influenced the FOMC's decision to raise the rate hike by 25 basis points today.</b>Powell said the full effects of the FOMC's rapid tightening of monetary policy have not yet been seen, but it is important that the market does reflect the tightening policies being implemented by the Federal Reserve. However,<b>He also said that if the rate hike needs to be adjusted to its level before December (i.e., 75 basis points per rate hike), the Federal Reserve will do so.</b></p><p>Stable inflation expectations are reassuring, and the process of slowing inflation has begun.</p><p>Regarding inflation, Powell said the market expects inflation to decline faster than the Federal Reserve anticipates, but he emphasized that he does not know whether a further slowdown in inflation will be \"difficult.\" If inflation does fall faster than the Federal Reserve expects, it will influence the Fed's policy decisions. As things stand, the U.S. three-month (quarterly) core PCE inflation indicator is quite low, and the slowdown in quarterly inflation is encouraging. However, whether this trend can continue remains to be seen, and the Federal Reserve needs more evidence.</p><p>Powell seemed confident in the Federal Reserve's actions to control inflation, saying:</p><p>The United States is expected to fall into ultra-low inflation, which will be satisfying. He also emphasized that, on the positive side, market expectations for long-term inflation remain stable:</p><p>Inflation expectations seem stable, which is reassuring. Powell said that inflation may need to be reduced to below the long-term trend of economic growth. He said the Federal Reserve is keenly aware that high inflation will bring difficulties and will pay close attention to the two-way risks posed by inflation. He said that as evidence of a decline in inflation mounts, this will be reflected in policy over time.</p><p>Regarding the Federal Reserve's actions to combat inflation, Powell believes that inflation is expected to continue rising in the housing services sector and then decline. However, ultra-low inflation has not yet been seen in core service sectors, excluding housing, with core inflation in the service sector still around 4%. Nevertheless, the Federal Reserve expects ultra-low inflation in core service sectors to occur soon.</p><p><b>Unlike previous press conferences, this was the first time Powell emphasized the deflationary risks posed by rate hike.</b>He said deflationary pressures have emerged, particularly in commodities, with the Federal Reserve noting impending deflation in the housing market. He said:</p><p>For the first time, we can now say that the process of slowing inflation has begun. The current cycle in the U.S. economy is unique.</p><p>Regarding the state of the U.S. economy, Powell said that economic growth slowed significantly last year, consumer spending appeared to be subdued, and real estate activity remained weak.</p><p><b>Regarding the current economic cycle in the United States, he said that the current cycle is not a standard economic cycle; it is unique. He predicts that U.S. economic growth will continue to be moderate.</b></p><p>He emphasized that the global economic situation has improved, which is important for the United States.</p><p>Regarding whether Congress will raise the debt ceiling, Powell said that discussions on the debt ceiling are ongoing, and the Federal Reserve will closely monitor money market conditions.</p><p>I believe Congress will raise the debt ceiling, which is necessary. Powell believes that the downward trend in inflation must spread throughout the U.S. economy. He emphasized that it should not be assumed that the Federal Reserve can protect the economy in the event of a debt default.</p><p>Powell also said that the COVID-19 pandemic is no longer having a significant impact on the U.S. economy.</p><p>The Federal Reserve is closely monitoring financial conditions; tightening them will take time.</p><p>Regarding the state of the financial markets, which the market is concerned about, Powell believes that financial conditions have remained largely unchanged since December of last year, and the Federal Reserve has been closely monitoring them.</p><p><b>Powell emphasized that the Federal Reserve's current focus is not on short-term changes in financial conditions, but rather on continued changes in financial conditions, and that the Fed will consider financial conditions and other conditions when formulating policy.</b></p><p>Powell said that tightening financial conditions will take time and patience.</p><p>Powell said that financial conditions tightened very severely last year. However, he did not appear to comment on the recent easing of financial markets.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/334e207d92f00fd25d372217cc8daa89\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"388\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Powell's remarks were interpreted dovish by the market. Following Powell's comments on the financial market situation, US stocks and gold rose, while US Treasury yields fell.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a23929968e05b7811623571bc0446d58\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ef9b697f1432afc1602eb96cafd2cb9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"387\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db9dbead1045aa1b53ad50b77b4a3874\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"345\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The labor market remains extremely tight</p><p>Regarding the U.S. labor market, Powell said it remains \"extremely tight,\" with rising wage growth, strong job growth, and labor demand still far exceeding supply.</p><p>He emphasized the importance of a cooling labor market in controlling inflation:</p><p>Overall, if the labor market does not achieve a better balance, my personal view is that the inflation rate will not continue to return to 2%. Looking at the specific breakdown, Powell said that the Federal Reserve has seen wage growth decline, but the job vacancy figures in the JOLTs report have been quite unstable. Although the labor cost index (ECI) and average hourly wages have moved off their highs, they are still quite high. He said that so far, the Federal Reserve's tightening policies have not come at the expense of the labor market, which is a good thing.</p><p>Powell said the Federal Reserve will also keep an eye on the next ECI report, and yesterday's data showing wage declines was constructive.</p><p>Powell said that once a wage-price spiral is observed, it will be too late, and the Federal Reserve cannot allow that to happen. Currently, the Fed sees no signs of a wage-price spiral.</p><p>Regarding the unemployment rate, Powell said that most policymakers predict that the unemployment rate may rise slightly.</p><p>Market reaction</p><p>Traders in the interest rate swap market have concluded that policy direction will shift further towards dovish stances starting in the middle of this year. Traders expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 50 basis points from the peak in June by the end of 2023. Traders believe that the US policy rate will peak in June this year, with the overnight lending rate at 4.9%. By December this year, this interest rate will drop to 4.4%.</p><p>For the next Federal Reserve FOMC meeting in March, the market is currently pricing in a rate hike premium of only 21 basis points, indicating that the market believes there is an 84% chance that the Fed will rate hike by another 25 basis points. In addition, the market believes that the prospects for the Federal Reserve to rate hike again in May have declined.</p><p>The S&P 500 rose as much as 1.3%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average turned positive, and the Nasdaq Composite rose as much as 2.2%.</p><p>In late trading, U.S. stocks collectively rebounded to daily highs, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising nearly 250 points, or 0.7%, after falling by more than 500 points, or more than 1.5%, before briefly falling below the 34,000-point mark. The S&P 500 rose as much as 1.8% to break through 4,100 points, after falling 1% with the energy sector leading the decline. The Nasdaq rose as much as 2.8%, after falling 0.7%. Russell's small-cap stocks rose as high as 2.3%, after falling 0.5%.</p><p>The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury Bond fell about 12 basis points, hitting a daily low of 3.3819%. The yield on two-year U.S. Treasury bonds once fell by more than 10 basis points, hitting a daily low of 4.0981%; The 2/10-year US Treasury yield spread quickly fell to a daily low of -76.226 basis points after the interest rate decision statement was released, and has now rebounded to above -71,000 basis points, narrowing the overall intraday decline to less than 1.6 basis points.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Powell: Considering two rate hike meetings before pausing; interest rate cuts this year are inappropriate; tightening financial conditions will take time.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPowell: Considering two rate hike meetings before pausing; interest rate cuts this year are inappropriate; tightening financial conditions will take time.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-02-02 07:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Abstract: Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said that inflation has eased somewhat but remains high, but \"for the first time we can say that the process of slowing inflation has begun.\" He said the full effects of the FOMC's rapid tightening of monetary policy have not yet been evident. The FOMC is discussing rate hike a couple more times to restrictive levels before pausing. The Federal Reserve has not explored the possibility of pausing rate hike before resuming rate hike. Powell emphasized that, given the economic situation, no interest rate cuts are expected this year. He said that the current cycle in the U.S. economy is not a standard economic cycle, but is unique. On Wednesday, February 1, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell held a press conference after the Federal Reserve announced its latest interest rate decision.</p><p><b>Powell said the FOMC is discussing a couple more rate hike to restrictive levels before pausing, and the Fed has not explored the possibility of pausing rate hike before resuming rate hike. He said policymakers do not believe now is the time to suspend rate hike.</b></p><p><b>Regarding the number of rate hike referred to by \"several times,\" Bloomberg believes that not everyone would consider it two times, but the media outlet believes it is almost certain that it will be two more rate hike, namely, another rate hike of 25 basis points at the FOMC meetings in March and May. This will raise the Federal Funds rate to the range of 5% to 5.25%, reaching the peak level of the Federal Reserve's expected interest rates in December.</b></p><p>The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to continue its 25 basis point rate hike in March, but Powell emphasized that he has no certainty about the May FOMC meeting. Regarding the dot plot for March, he believes it may be higher or lower than in December, depending on the data. The Federal Reserve's March FOMC meeting will update the rate hike path assessment, and the Fed will pay attention to the data from now until March.</p><p><b>Powell stated that the forecasts he and his FOMC colleagues made indicate that cutting interest rates this year is inappropriate.</b>He said:</p><p>Given our expected economic outlook, I don't think we will cut interest rates this year. However, he added that if inflation falls faster, it will affect policy decisions. On the issue of inflation, Powell stated:</p><p>We will be cautious in declaring victory against inflation. We are in the early stages of the fight against inflation, and victory will take time. Continued rate hike is appropriate; current interest rate levels are not far from their peak.</p><p>At the press conference, Powell summarized last year's rate hike actions, saying that the Federal Reserve took strong action.</p><p>Looking ahead, he said, it will be necessary to maintain the restrictive nature of monetary policy on the U.S. economy for some time.<b>The Federal Reserve continues to expect sustained rate hike to be appropriate to achieve a sufficiently restrictive stance. He emphasized that the current interest rates set by the Federal Reserve have not yet reached a sufficiently restrictive policy stance.</b></p><p>He continued his strong commitment to achieving the 2% inflation target. He emphasized that price stability is the foundation of the economy, that current inflation levels are far higher than the Federal Reserve's target, that Fed officials still need to make more efforts, and that the Fed will persevere until the job is completed. He said it was too early to declare victory:</p><p>Our expectation is that inflation will take some time to decline, and we need patience, so we will need to keep interest rates high for a longer period of time. He remains confident in a soft landing for the US economy:</p><p>I believe inflation can fall back to 2% without a truly severe economic recession. Regarding market discussions about the Federal Reserve's future rate hike path,<b>He said that Federal Reserve officials have spent a lot of time discussing the future path of interest rate policy, but have not yet made a decision on the peak of interest rates in this rate hike cycle, but he believes that current interest rate levels are not far from the peak.</b></p><p>As in previous press conferences, Powell reiterated that history warns against easing policy too early, that the Federal Reserve does not want inflation to return, and that it will be difficult to manage the risks posed by insufficient rate hike. Powell said:</p><p>I don't want the Federal Reserve to be forced to conclude six or 12 months after the rate hike ends that it hasn't done enough to reduce inflation this year and will have to raise interest rates again. However, he also emphasized that the Federal Reserve has no incentive nor does it want to tighten interest rates excessively, but if the Fed does tighten interest rates excessively, the agency still has the tools to solve the problem.</p><p><b>He said that slowing the pace of rate hike could allow the FOMC to assess progress. Regarding the future of the rate hike process, Powell said that decisions will be made at each meeting.</b></p><p><b>Regarding the policy lag that the market is concerned about, Powell responded that it will take time to fully see the effects of the tightening policy, and these lags influenced the FOMC's decision to raise the rate hike by 25 basis points today.</b>Powell said the full effects of the FOMC's rapid tightening of monetary policy have not yet been seen, but it is important that the market does reflect the tightening policies being implemented by the Federal Reserve. However,<b>He also said that if the rate hike needs to be adjusted to its level before December (i.e., 75 basis points per rate hike), the Federal Reserve will do so.</b></p><p>Stable inflation expectations are reassuring, and the process of slowing inflation has begun.</p><p>Regarding inflation, Powell said the market expects inflation to decline faster than the Federal Reserve anticipates, but he emphasized that he does not know whether a further slowdown in inflation will be \"difficult.\" If inflation does fall faster than the Federal Reserve expects, it will influence the Fed's policy decisions. As things stand, the U.S. three-month (quarterly) core PCE inflation indicator is quite low, and the slowdown in quarterly inflation is encouraging. However, whether this trend can continue remains to be seen, and the Federal Reserve needs more evidence.</p><p>Powell seemed confident in the Federal Reserve's actions to control inflation, saying:</p><p>The United States is expected to fall into ultra-low inflation, which will be satisfying. He also emphasized that, on the positive side, market expectations for long-term inflation remain stable:</p><p>Inflation expectations seem stable, which is reassuring. Powell said that inflation may need to be reduced to below the long-term trend of economic growth. He said the Federal Reserve is keenly aware that high inflation will bring difficulties and will pay close attention to the two-way risks posed by inflation. He said that as evidence of a decline in inflation mounts, this will be reflected in policy over time.</p><p>Regarding the Federal Reserve's actions to combat inflation, Powell believes that inflation is expected to continue rising in the housing services sector and then decline. However, ultra-low inflation has not yet been seen in core service sectors, excluding housing, with core inflation in the service sector still around 4%. Nevertheless, the Federal Reserve expects ultra-low inflation in core service sectors to occur soon.</p><p><b>Unlike previous press conferences, this was the first time Powell emphasized the deflationary risks posed by rate hike.</b>He said deflationary pressures have emerged, particularly in commodities, with the Federal Reserve noting impending deflation in the housing market. He said:</p><p>For the first time, we can now say that the process of slowing inflation has begun. The current cycle in the U.S. economy is unique.</p><p>Regarding the state of the U.S. economy, Powell said that economic growth slowed significantly last year, consumer spending appeared to be subdued, and real estate activity remained weak.</p><p><b>Regarding the current economic cycle in the United States, he said that the current cycle is not a standard economic cycle; it is unique. He predicts that U.S. economic growth will continue to be moderate.</b></p><p>He emphasized that the global economic situation has improved, which is important for the United States.</p><p>Regarding whether Congress will raise the debt ceiling, Powell said that discussions on the debt ceiling are ongoing, and the Federal Reserve will closely monitor money market conditions.</p><p>I believe Congress will raise the debt ceiling, which is necessary. Powell believes that the downward trend in inflation must spread throughout the U.S. economy. He emphasized that it should not be assumed that the Federal Reserve can protect the economy in the event of a debt default.</p><p>Powell also said that the COVID-19 pandemic is no longer having a significant impact on the U.S. economy.</p><p>The Federal Reserve is closely monitoring financial conditions; tightening them will take time.</p><p>Regarding the state of the financial markets, which the market is concerned about, Powell believes that financial conditions have remained largely unchanged since December of last year, and the Federal Reserve has been closely monitoring them.</p><p><b>Powell emphasized that the Federal Reserve's current focus is not on short-term changes in financial conditions, but rather on continued changes in financial conditions, and that the Fed will consider financial conditions and other conditions when formulating policy.</b></p><p>Powell said that tightening financial conditions will take time and patience.</p><p>Powell said that financial conditions tightened very severely last year. However, he did not appear to comment on the recent easing of financial markets.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/334e207d92f00fd25d372217cc8daa89\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"388\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Powell's remarks were interpreted dovish by the market. Following Powell's comments on the financial market situation, US stocks and gold rose, while US Treasury yields fell.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a23929968e05b7811623571bc0446d58\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ef9b697f1432afc1602eb96cafd2cb9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"387\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db9dbead1045aa1b53ad50b77b4a3874\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"345\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The labor market remains extremely tight</p><p>Regarding the U.S. labor market, Powell said it remains \"extremely tight,\" with rising wage growth, strong job growth, and labor demand still far exceeding supply.</p><p>He emphasized the importance of a cooling labor market in controlling inflation:</p><p>Overall, if the labor market does not achieve a better balance, my personal view is that the inflation rate will not continue to return to 2%. Looking at the specific breakdown, Powell said that the Federal Reserve has seen wage growth decline, but the job vacancy figures in the JOLTs report have been quite unstable. Although the labor cost index (ECI) and average hourly wages have moved off their highs, they are still quite high. He said that so far, the Federal Reserve's tightening policies have not come at the expense of the labor market, which is a good thing.</p><p>Powell said the Federal Reserve will also keep an eye on the next ECI report, and yesterday's data showing wage declines was constructive.</p><p>Powell said that once a wage-price spiral is observed, it will be too late, and the Federal Reserve cannot allow that to happen. Currently, the Fed sees no signs of a wage-price spiral.</p><p>Regarding the unemployment rate, Powell said that most policymakers predict that the unemployment rate may rise slightly.</p><p>Market reaction</p><p>Traders in the interest rate swap market have concluded that policy direction will shift further towards dovish stances starting in the middle of this year. Traders expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 50 basis points from the peak in June by the end of 2023. Traders believe that the US policy rate will peak in June this year, with the overnight lending rate at 4.9%. By December this year, this interest rate will drop to 4.4%.</p><p>For the next Federal Reserve FOMC meeting in March, the market is currently pricing in a rate hike premium of only 21 basis points, indicating that the market believes there is an 84% chance that the Fed will rate hike by another 25 basis points. In addition, the market believes that the prospects for the Federal Reserve to rate hike again in May have declined.</p><p>The S&P 500 rose as much as 1.3%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average turned positive, and the Nasdaq Composite rose as much as 2.2%.</p><p>In late trading, U.S. stocks collectively rebounded to daily highs, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising nearly 250 points, or 0.7%, after falling by more than 500 points, or more than 1.5%, before briefly falling below the 34,000-point mark. The S&P 500 rose as much as 1.8% to break through 4,100 points, after falling 1% with the energy sector leading the decline. The Nasdaq rose as much as 2.8%, after falling 0.7%. Russell's small-cap stocks rose as high as 2.3%, after falling 0.5%.</p><p>The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury Bond fell about 12 basis points, hitting a daily low of 3.3819%. The yield on two-year U.S. Treasury bonds once fell by more than 10 basis points, hitting a daily low of 4.0981%; The 2/10-year US Treasury yield spread quickly fell to a daily low of -76.226 basis points after the interest rate decision statement was released, and has now rebounded to above -71,000 basis points, narrowing the overall intraday decline to less than 1.6 basis points.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3680974\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/499d73ece33aa33a20d67cc087f64953","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3680974","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139522843","content_text":"摘要：美联储主席鲍威尔说，通胀有所缓和但仍处于高位，但“现在第一次可以说，通货膨胀放缓进程已经开始。”他说，FOMC迅猛紧缩货币政策的全面效果尚未显现出来。FOMC正在讨论再加息几次（a couple more）至限制性水平，之后就暂停，美联储并没有探索暂停加息之后再重新开始加息的可能性。鲍威尔强调，鉴于经济状况，预计今年不会降息。他说，当前美国经济所处的周期不是一个标准的经济周期，是独一无二的。2月1日周三，在美联储公布最新利率决议后，美联储主席鲍威尔召开记者会。鲍威尔说，FOMC正在讨论再加息几次（a couple more）至限制性水平，之后就暂停，美联储并没有探索暂停加息之后再重新开始加息的可能性。他说，政策制定者并不认为现在是暂停加息的时候。关于这里的“几次”指的是多少次加息，彭博社解读认为，并非每个人都会认为是两次，但该媒体认为基本上可以确定是再加息两次，即在3月和5月的FOMC会议上继续以25个基点的幅度分别加息一次，这将令联邦基金利率上升至5%至5.25%的区间，达到12月时美联储的预期利率峰值水平。市场普遍预计3月美联储将继续加息25个基点，但鲍威尔强调，他对5月FOMC会议不抱任何确定性。关于3月的点阵图，他认为，可能高于12月，也可能更低，具体取决于数据，美联储3月FOMC会议将更新加息路径评估，美联储将留意从现在到三月的数据。鲍威尔表示，他和他的FOMC同事们做出的预测表明，今年降息是不合适。他表示：鉴于我们预期的经济前景，我认为我们今年不会降息。不过他补充称，如果通胀下降得更快，那么这将影响政策决策。在通胀问题上，鲍威尔表示：我们将在宣布抗通胀取得胜利上采取谨慎态度，我们正处于反通胀的早期阶段，取得胜利需要时间。继续加息是适当的，当前利率水平距利率峰值不远在记者会上，对去年一年的加息行动，鲍威尔总结说，美联储采取了有力的行动。展望未来，他说，将需要在一段时期内维持货币政策对美国经济的的限制性，美联储继续预期持续的加息是适当的，以达到充分的限制性立场。他强调，当前美联储制定的利率还没有达到足够限制性的政策立场。他继续强烈承诺将实现2%通胀目标。他强调，物价稳定是经济的基础，当前的通胀水平远高于美联储的目标，美联储官员们仍然需要付出更多努力，美联储将坚持到底，直到工作完成。他说，现在宣布胜利还为时过早：我们的预期是，通胀需要一定时间才能回落，我们需要耐心，因此将需要在更长时间内保持较高的利率。他对美国经济软着陆依然有信心：我认为通胀可以回落到2%，而不会出现真正严重的经济衰退。关于市场对于美联储未来加息路径的讨论，他说，美联储官员们花了很多时间讨论利率政策的未来路径，但还没有就本轮加息周期的利率峰值是多少做出决定，但他相信当前的利率水平已经距离利率峰值不远了。和前几次记者会一样，鲍威尔再次重申，历史告诫不要过早放松政策，美联储不希望通货膨胀卷土重来，很难管理加息不够带来的风险。鲍威尔说：我不希望在停止加息后的6个月或12个月后，美联储才迫不得已得出结论：今年在降低通货膨胀方面做得不够，将不得不再次提高利率。但他也强调，美联储没有动力也不想过度收紧利率，但如果美联储真的过度收紧，该机构依然有工具来解决这个问题。他说，放慢加息节奏可以让FOMC评估进展。对于未来的加息进程，鲍威尔说，将在逐个会议上做出决定。对于市场关注的政策滞后性，鲍威尔回应称，需要一段时间才能充分看到紧缩政策的效果，这些滞后性影响了今天FOMC加息25个基点的决定。鲍威尔说，FOMC迅猛紧缩货币政策的全面效果尚未显现出来，但重要的是，市场确实反映了美联储正在实施的紧缩政策。不过，他也说，如果需要调整加息幅度至12月以前的力度（即每次加息75个基点），美联储将那样做。通胀预期稳定令人安心，通胀放缓进程已经开始关于通胀，鲍威尔说，市场预计通胀下降速度比美联储预期的更快，但是他强调，不知道通胀进一步放缓是否会“艰难”。如果通胀下降速度真的比美联储预期的快，这将影响美联储的政策决策。就目前的状况来看，美国三个月期（季度性）核心PCE通胀指标相当低，季度性通胀放缓是可喜的，但这一趋势是否可以延续，美联储需要更多证据。鲍威尔对美联储控制通胀的行动似乎很有信心，他说：美国有望陷入超低通胀，这将让人感到心满意足。他也强调，好的一点是，市场对长期通胀的预期保持稳定：通胀预期似乎很稳定，这令人安心。鲍威尔说，可能需要将通胀增速降低至低于长期趋势的经济增长速度。他说，美联储敏锐地意识到高通胀会带来困难，将高度关注通胀带来的双向风险。他说，随着通货膨胀回落的证据越来越多，这将随着时间的推移反映在政策中。关于美联储对抗通胀的行动，鲍威尔认为，预计通胀将继续在住房服务领域上升，然后下降。但在不包括住房的核心服务业中，还没有看到超低通胀现象，服务业通胀的核心仍在4%左右，不过美联储预计核心服务业将很快出现超低通胀现象。和前几次记者会不同的是，鲍威尔首次强调了加息带来的通缩风险。他说，通缩压力已经浮现，特别是在商品方面，美联储注意到房地产市场即将出现通货紧缩。他说：我们现在第一次可以说，通货膨胀放缓进程已经开始。美国经济当前所处的周期独一无二关于美国的经济状况，鲍威尔说，去年经济增长明显放缓，消费者支出似乎受到抑制，房地产活动继续疲软。关于美国当前所处的经济周期，他说，当前的周期不是一个标准的经济周期，是独一无二的。他预测美国经济增长将继续保持温和。他强调，全球经济形势有所改善，这对美国很重要。关于美国国会是否会提高债务上限，鲍威尔说，关于债务上限的讨论仍在继续，美联储将仔细监测货币市场状况：我相信国会会提高债务上限，这是必须的。鲍威尔认为，通胀下降的趋势必须在整个美国经济中铺开。他强调，不要假设美联储可以在发生债务违约时保护经济。鲍威尔还说，新冠疫情在美国经济中影响不再重大。美联储密切关注金融状况，金融状况收紧需要时间关于市场关注的金融市场的状况，鲍威尔认为，自去年12月以来，金融状况基本保持不变，美联储也在一直仔细监控金融状况。鲍威尔强调，美联储现在关注的重点不是金融状况的短期变化，而是侧重于金融条件的持续变化，在制定政策时，美联储将考虑金融状况和其他条件。鲍威尔说，金融状况收紧将需要时间，需要耐心。鲍威尔说，去年金融状况收紧非常严重。但他似乎并没有对最近金融市场变得宽松作出评论。鲍威尔的此番表态被市场做了鸽派解读，在鲍威尔就金融市场状况表态后，美国股市、黄金上涨，美债收益率下行。劳动力市场依然极度紧张关于美国的劳动力市场，鲍威尔说，劳动力市场仍然“极度紧张”，工资增速提高，就业增长势头强劲，劳动力需求依然大幅超过供给。他强调劳动力市场降温对于控制通胀的重要性：总的来看，如果劳动力市场没有达到更好的平衡，我个人的观点是，通胀率不会持续回到2%。具体拆分来看，鲍威尔说，美联储看到工资增速在下降，但是JOLTs报告中的职位空缺数字一直相当不稳定。尽管劳动力成本指数ECI和平均时薪已经脱离高点，但仍然相当高。他说，到目前为止，美联储的紧缩政策并没有以劳动力市场为代价，这是一件好事。鲍威尔说，美联储还将关注下一份ECI报告，昨天的数据显示工资下降，具有建设性。鲍威尔说，一旦能观察到工资—价格螺旋上升，就太晚了，美联储不能允许这种情况发生，当前，美联储没有看到工资—价格螺旋上升的迹象。关于失业率，鲍威尔说，大多数政策制定者预测失业率可能会略有上升。市场反应利率互换市场的交易员得出的结论是，政策方向将从今年年中开始进一步转向鸽派。交易员们预计，到2023年年底，美联储将较6月利率峰值降息50个基点。交易员们认为，今年6月美国政策利率将达到峰值，隔夜拆借利率为4.9%；到今年12月，这一利率将下降至4.4%。对于下一次即3月召开的美联储FOMC议息会议，目前市场仅定价21个基点的加息溢价，这表明市场认为美联储将再加息25个基点的可能性为 84%。除此之外，市场认为美联储在5月份再次加息的前景已经下降。标普500指数一度上涨1.3%，道指转涨，纳指一度上涨2.2%。尾盘时美股集体转涨至日高，道指最高涨近250点或涨0.7%，此前一度跌超500点或跌超1.5%，短暂失守3.4万点整数位。标普500指数最高涨1.8%并升破4100点，此前跌1%且能源板块领跌。纳指最高涨2.8%，此前跌0.7%。罗素小盘股最高涨2.3%，此前跌0.5%。美国10年期国债收益率跌约12个基点，刷新日低至3.3819%；两年期美债收益率一度跌超10个基点，刷新日低至4.0981%；2/10年期美债收益率利差在利率决议声明发布后迅速跌至日低-76.226个基点，目前反弹至-71.000个基点上方，日内整体跌幅收窄至不足1.6个基点。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4921,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9955158255,"gmtCreate":1675295602577,"gmtModify":1676538990246,"author":{"id":"4106048906582030","authorId":"4106048906582030","name":"54oo_","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/487558a38e7b519d3eaf5dabf2b07629","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4106048906582030","idStr":"4106048906582030"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[流泪] ","listText":"[流泪] ","text":"[流泪]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9955158255","repostId":"2308726057","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2308726057","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1675295438,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2308726057?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-02-02 07:50","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"\"Sister Wood\" makes a major comeback: ARKK surges 27.8% in January, marking its best monthly performance in history.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2308726057","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"在连续两年下跌后，受益于科技股在1月的强劲反弹，ARKK在1月份大涨27.8%，创下有记录以来的最佳月度表现。木头姐在前不久提醒投资者，美股需要注意到美联储说它正在发出结束加息进程的信号。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>After two consecutive years of decline, ARKK surged 27.8% in January, benefiting from a strong rebound in tech stocks, marking its best monthly performance on record. Sister Wood recently reminded investors that US stocks need to pay attention to the Federal Reserve's statement that it is signaling the end of the rate hike process. With the strong rebound in U.S. tech stocks in January, the flagship fund managed by \"Sister Wood\" Cathie Wood also saw a significant recovery, achieving its best monthly performance ever.</p><p>According to Dow Jones market data, the flagship fund managed by Cathie Wood<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">ARK Innovation ETF</a>(ARKK) rose 27.8% in January, marking its best monthly performance on record.</p><p>In 2020, U.S. tech stocks benefited from the wave of work-from-home and study brought about by the COVID-19 pandemic, with ARKK surging nearly 150% that year. As the Federal Reserve began considering Taper in 2021, especially since the Fed began its aggressive rate hike last year, rising interest rates have led to a decline in the valuations of technology companies. Tech stocks were the first to be hit, and ARKK's investment strategy was also affected. ARKK fell by 21% and 67% in 2021 and 2022, respectively.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29bb19e68d53ab5d955a20abaca1cf54\" tg-width=\"1018\" tg-height=\"627\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Since the beginning of this year, US Treasury yields have begun to decline, and the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to further slow its rate hike. In addition, investors do not believe that the Federal Reserve will actually implement its plan to keep interest rates above 5% for a period of time, and traders are betting that the Federal Reserve will begin cutting interest rates within the year.</p><p>U.S. Treasury yields fell sharply in January. The yields on the 2-year and 5-year Treasury Bond fell by 22 basis points and 37 basis points, respectively. The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds also fell to 3.49% from a peak of 4.2% in October last year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/339d561af834045964365a2ae1c50075\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"411\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>This is the second largest monthly drop in the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield since March 2020 (the peak of the Federal Reserve's intervention measures during the pandemic).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe059733e60730ad473fd43fcdd465b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"408\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Not long ago, Wood said at a quarterly investor conference:</p><p><b>We are pleased to see bond yields begin to decline.</b>If the logic that rising interest rates disproportionately hurt growth stocks last year is reversed, then the discounted value of future cash flows should rise. As in the early 1980s, the stock market needs to take note of the Federal Reserve's statement that it is signaling the end of the rate hike process. Wood has repeatedly warned that the Federal Reserve's sudden rate hike could trigger a period of deflation, and stated that...<b>By mid-2023, the inflation rate may fall to 3% or lower.</b></p><p>I believe the Federal Reserve is about to end this tightening measure. The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 10.7% in January, its best January performance since 2001 and its largest monthly gain since July of last year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/180e00989326614d76f66b198186237a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Wood favored<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>Tesla, which performed exceptionally well in January and suffered its worst performance in history last year, saw a 44% increase in January.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>\"Sister Wood\" makes a major comeback: ARKK surges 27.8% in January, marking its best monthly performance in history.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n\"Sister Wood\" makes a major comeback: ARKK surges 27.8% in January, marking its best monthly performance in history.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-02-02 07:50</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>After two consecutive years of decline, ARKK surged 27.8% in January, benefiting from a strong rebound in tech stocks, marking its best monthly performance on record. Sister Wood recently reminded investors that US stocks need to pay attention to the Federal Reserve's statement that it is signaling the end of the rate hike process. With the strong rebound in U.S. tech stocks in January, the flagship fund managed by \"Sister Wood\" Cathie Wood also saw a significant recovery, achieving its best monthly performance ever.</p><p>According to Dow Jones market data, the flagship fund managed by Cathie Wood<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">ARK Innovation ETF</a>(ARKK) rose 27.8% in January, marking its best monthly performance on record.</p><p>In 2020, U.S. tech stocks benefited from the wave of work-from-home and study brought about by the COVID-19 pandemic, with ARKK surging nearly 150% that year. As the Federal Reserve began considering Taper in 2021, especially since the Fed began its aggressive rate hike last year, rising interest rates have led to a decline in the valuations of technology companies. Tech stocks were the first to be hit, and ARKK's investment strategy was also affected. ARKK fell by 21% and 67% in 2021 and 2022, respectively.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29bb19e68d53ab5d955a20abaca1cf54\" tg-width=\"1018\" tg-height=\"627\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Since the beginning of this year, US Treasury yields have begun to decline, and the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to further slow its rate hike. In addition, investors do not believe that the Federal Reserve will actually implement its plan to keep interest rates above 5% for a period of time, and traders are betting that the Federal Reserve will begin cutting interest rates within the year.</p><p>U.S. Treasury yields fell sharply in January. The yields on the 2-year and 5-year Treasury Bond fell by 22 basis points and 37 basis points, respectively. The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds also fell to 3.49% from a peak of 4.2% in October last year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/339d561af834045964365a2ae1c50075\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"411\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>This is the second largest monthly drop in the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield since March 2020 (the peak of the Federal Reserve's intervention measures during the pandemic).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe059733e60730ad473fd43fcdd465b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"408\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Not long ago, Wood said at a quarterly investor conference:</p><p><b>We are pleased to see bond yields begin to decline.</b>If the logic that rising interest rates disproportionately hurt growth stocks last year is reversed, then the discounted value of future cash flows should rise. As in the early 1980s, the stock market needs to take note of the Federal Reserve's statement that it is signaling the end of the rate hike process. Wood has repeatedly warned that the Federal Reserve's sudden rate hike could trigger a period of deflation, and stated that...<b>By mid-2023, the inflation rate may fall to 3% or lower.</b></p><p>I believe the Federal Reserve is about to end this tightening measure. The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 10.7% in January, its best January performance since 2001 and its largest monthly gain since July of last year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/180e00989326614d76f66b198186237a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Wood favored<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>Tesla, which performed exceptionally well in January and suffered its worst performance in history last year, saw a 44% increase in January.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3680964\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdcf7fb84fcd8462e772a725a35e3d36","relate_stocks":{"ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4544":"ARK ETF合集"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3680964","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2308726057","content_text":"在连续两年下跌后，受益于科技股在1月的强劲反弹，ARKK在1月份大涨27.8%，创下有记录以来的最佳月度表现。木头姐在前不久提醒投资者，美股需要注意到美联储说它正在发出结束加息进程的信号。随着美国科技股在1月的强劲反弹，“木头姐”Cathie Wood掌管的旗舰基金也“大回血”，创下有史以来的最佳月度表现。根据道琼斯市场数据，Cathie Wood掌管的旗舰基金ARK Innovation ETF（ARKK）在1月份累计上涨达27.8%，创下有记录以来的最佳月度表现。在2020年，美国科技股受益于新冠疫情带来的居家办公和学习浪潮，ARKK在当年飙涨了近150%。随着美联储从2021年开始考虑Taper，尤其是去年美联储开始激进加息以来，不断提高的利率令科技公司估值下降，科技股最先受到打击，ARKK的投资策略也遭到波及，ARKK在2021年和2022年分别下跌了21%和67%。今年以来，美债收益率开始回落，市场也普遍预期美联储将进一步放缓加息脚步，此外，投资者不相信美联储真的会落实维持利率在5%以上一段时间的计划，交易员们押注美联储将在年内开始降息。美债收益率在1月份大幅下行。2年期和5年期国债收益率分别下行22个基点和37个基点。10年期美债收益率也从去年10月4.2%的峰值回落至3.49%。这是自2020年3月（美联储在疫情期间实施干预措施的高峰）以来，5年期美债收益率出现的第二大月度降幅。前不久，Wood在季度投资者研讨会上说：我们很高兴看到债券收益率开始下降。如果去年利率上升对成长型股票造成不成比例伤害的逻辑逆转了，那么未来现金流的折现价值应该会上升。就像在1980年代初期一样，股市需要注意到美联储说它正在发出结束加息进程的信号。Wood曾一再警告称，美联储突然加息可能引发一段时期的通缩，并表示，到2023年年中，通胀率可能降至3%或更低。我认为美联储即将结束这一紧缩举措。1月纳斯达克综合指数为累计上涨10.7%，创2001年以来的最佳1月份表现，并刷新去年7月来最大月度涨幅。Wood青睐的特斯拉在1月表现抢眼，在去年创历史最差表现的特斯拉，在1月斩获44%的涨幅。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ARKK":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5008,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9952565631,"gmtCreate":1674829243924,"gmtModify":1676538961150,"author":{"id":"4106048906582030","authorId":"4106048906582030","name":"54oo_","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/487558a38e7b519d3eaf5dabf2b07629","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4106048906582030","idStr":"4106048906582030"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[鬼脸] 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