The S&P 500 and Nasdaq continue their impressive climb, with SPX eyeing the psychologically important 5,740 level. But here’s what you need to know: this rally is getting tired. Key Market Observations 1. The Exhaustion Signals Are Flashing - SPY and QQQ are showing their first meaningful upside exhaustion signals since this rally began - The VIX, which we correctly shared on our updates, had another 7-10% downside, has now reached our target in the low 20s and looks to consolidate and bounce - These converging signals suggest we’re due for at least a short-term consolidation 2. Why This Isn’t Bearish – Just Normal - After such a powerful rally, markets rarely collapse – they typically digest gains through time - The overall trend remains positive, but the easy money has been made for
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(8th May) The Silent Rally 90% Investors Missed
The S&P 500’s late-day rebound yesterday wasn’t random—it could be traced to Trump’s comments about easing global chip restrictions, giving semiconductor stocks (and the broader tech sector) a much-needed boost. NVIDIA ($NVDA), a key AI bellwether, jumped to its highest level since late March on the news and i’m hopeful $NVDA to move up to $120-$122 though ARM’s (-6.8%) post-close warning reminded us that not all tech names are out of the woods yet. Key Takeaways from Wednesday’s Session - Tech’s Policy-Driven Rebound: The chip-curbs discussion provided a catalyst for beaten-down semis, though selectivity remains critical (as ARM’s drop shows). - FOMC Non-Event: The Fed’s unanimous vote and steady messaging reinforced the "wait and see" stance—but policy is in good place without new ha
(8th May) The Silent Rally 90% Missed The S&P 500’s late-day rebound yesterday wasn’t random—it could be traced to Trump’s comments about easing global chip restrictions, giving semiconductor stocks (and the broader tech sector) a much-needed boost. NVIDIA ($NVDA), a key AI bellwether, jumped to its highest level since late March on the news and i’m hopeful $NVDA to move up to $120-$122 though ARM’s (-6.8%) post-close warning reminded us that not all tech names are out of the woods yet. Key Takeaways from Wednesday’s Session - Tech’s Policy-Driven Rebound: The chip-curbs discussion provided a catalyst for beaten-down semis, though selectivity remains critical (as ARM’s drop shows). - FOMC Non-Event: The Fed’s unanimous vote and steady messaging reinforced the "wait and see" stance—but
What They Won't Tell You About This Rally
What They Won't Tell You About This Rally
China Announces Comprehensive Policy Package to Stabilize Economy and Engage in Talks China has introduced a series of targeted economic support policies aimed at mitigating trade pressures and stimulating growth: - Support for Tariff-Affected Firms: New policies will assist businesses impacted by trade restrictions. - SME & Private Sector Financing: A dedicated financing framework will improve credit access for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) and private companies. - Capital Market Stabilization: Insurance companies’ equity investment risk thresholds will be lowered to bolster market confidence. - Property Market Financing Reforms: A revised credit system will better align with the real estate sector's needs. Monetary Policy Easing The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) has
5th May- Earnings Fuel Rally? Read Now.
This week, the S&P 500 surged 2.92% to 5,686, completely erasing its post-"Liberation Day" slump, while the Nasdaq jumped 3.42% to 17,977– another decisive move higher. What’s Driving the Rally? 1. Earnings Are Beating – By a Lot - 77% of S&P 500 companies have topped estimates so far, with an average beat of 9%– better than the 5-year (8.8%) and 10-year (7%) averages which means corporate America is delivering, justifying the market’s run-up. 2. Small Caps Are Waking Up - After lagging for months, small-caps have broken out vs. the Equal-Weighted S&P 500 to their highest levels since March. - This suggests broader market participation, not just mega-cap tech carrying the load. The Big Question: How Much Higher? The S&P 500 is now eyeing 5,740– a key psychological level. Bu
5th May- Earnings Fuel Rally? Read Now.
Market is up ahead of CPI report tomorrow which makes alot of sense.
U.S. Stocks Took off in Morning Trading; Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Jumped over 1%
Big Week, Big Upside!
Big week for stocks. August CPI out on Sep 13th. Expecting August's CPI to be below July's CPI of 8.5%. Anything below 8% should send S&P500 rocketing past 4200.Near term, big upside. $AMD.
Valuation is indeed expensive. Consumer staples and energy sector could be a better proposition in such times. Chinese ADRs Is the way to go....
Sliding Earnings Forecasts Pose Next Test for Markets
S&P500 Surges 21%--The Rally Nobody Belived In. The S&P 500's powerful 21% surge from its April lows has pushed the index above 5,900 meeting our targets that was shared daily yet investor conviction remains surprisingly muted. This disconnect between price action and sentiment may present opportunities for disciplined investors. The Rally in Perspective - 21% gain in 25 trading days (nearly 1% daily) - Break above 5,900 marks year-to-date positive territory - Weekly MACD gaining momentum 1. Improving Market Breadth - 50% of SPX components now above 200-day MA - Equal-weight participation strengthening 2. Persistent Skepticism - Hedge fund positioning remains cautious - CTA exposure still below historical norms 3. Technical Strength - No significant divergence signals yet - Momentu
Chinese internet companies are now better investments. $CSI China Internet ETF(KWEB)$$Alibaba(BABA)$$Pinduoduo Inc.(PDD)$
If You Think Tech Has Bottomed, Consider These Stocks
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