SuperDuper1
SuperDuper1
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ROIC is historical and means little unless they have a strategy to maintain that . With so much funds allocated to buy backs at elevated levels , i think the argument for superior ROIC is spurious . Fact is that consumers have greater choice now , including Deepseek and Apple is unlikely to be able to monetise Apple Iintelligence for a subscription fee. Conclusion: Apple is overvalued and Buffett is right 
Apple Is Not Overvalued, Buy And Hold
Before all the so called Robotics takes place .. folks will dump Tesla cars . As it stands , the Tesla value of Tesla cars is plummeting.  If we look at yearly growth , Tesla sales actually declined in 2024z Mush has guided for growrh in 2025, but frankly that looks like a stretch coz Chin Se buyers are likely to give it a miss given the political tension between The Musk led US administration and China. Next China is already leading in robotics and the notion that Musk's a robots will replace US workers is a piped dream.. it would be essentially ceding control over to Musk. Corporate America will certainly hedge their bets . meanwhile Tesla is likely to hit $300 by  1H25. almost half of Wedbush's $ 550 target.
Elon Musk Just Said Tesla Has a $10 Trillion Opportunity, and It Has Nothing to Do With the Car Business
Yes the narrative for American exceptionalism is being dismantled.. this is just the start of the correction.
Nasdaq Futures Plunge over 4%; Nvidia Tumbles 13%; Microsoft, Amazon Fall over 6%; Tesla Sinks 5%
Yet Dan Ibest believe that a Apple's iPhone sales will have a record year in 2025. Lots of fluff on Wall Street.
Apple Stock Slides Nearly 4%. Tough January Worsens as Analysts Cut on iPhone Weakness
Pure protectionism. China should do the same and ban US cars including Tesla on security concerns.
US to finalize Chinese vehicle crackdown rules next week, Raimondo says
They should have highlighted the steep over valuation earlier and also question the logic of 20-30% sales growth that musk touted for 2025.
Tesla Could See 40% of Its Profits Evaporate When Trump Takes Office, JPMorgan Says
Lots of words but nothing specific
avatarSuperDuper1
2024-12-13
Grossly overvalued .. he never provided details on his valuation or his terminal growth assumption which is key in DCF analysis. Also it's a mistake to use FCF margin as a guide As capex level varies . 
Tesla: A Golden Buying Opportunity
avatarSuperDuper1
2024-11-22
Beijing has been doing all the right things . This is a financial war between US and China and Chinese ADR's and HK stocks get shorted as a result.
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avatarSuperDuper1
2024-11-11
US leads crony capitalism..
Tesla Shares Rally 4.3%; DXYZ Rockets 23% As SpaceX Is Its Largest Holding
avatarSuperDuper1
2024-11-08
US analysts just invented a new valuation matrix. price / Trump. That's how absurd the U.S. mkt is.. The analysts are openly saying that earnings and cash flow don't matter.
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avatarSuperDuper1
2024-10-25
If autonomous driving is reason to buy Tesla , one is better off looking at Baidu which already has autonomous vehicles . Tesla's earnings weee supported by govt credits without which it would have missed expectations. 
3 Reasons to Buy Tesla Stock Like There's No Tomorrow
avatarSuperDuper1
2024-10-15
avatarSuperDuper1
2024-10-07
The question is whether JD will continue with buybacks at this level. 
JD: I'm Up 75% But Holding Out For A Big Buyback Bazooka (Rating Downgrade)
avatarSuperDuper1
2024-10-02
This is manipulation .. rather than investment.. 
Chinese Stocks Soar 7% in Hong Kong on Stimulus Bets
avatarSuperDuper1
2024-09-10
Share your opinion about this news…
SG Morning Call | Singapore Stocks Open Higher on Tuesday; NIO Surges 13%
avatarSuperDuper1
2024-08-21
JD announced that Walmart has already sold the 5% stake values at US$3.5 b .so this is a fantastic opportunity to buy the shares.  The quantum of sales is less than Jensen Huang's Sale of Nvidia.
24H|JD.com Stock Tumbles Almost 10%; One AI Comapny Soars Over 35%
avatarSuperDuper1
2024-08-20
He didn't even talk about valuation or cash flow but just " momentum " . Terrible research .
Alibaba: It Isn't A "No-Brainer" Opportunity
avatarSuperDuper1
2024-08-15
Why is Reuters quoting an obscure Visible alpha's estimates instead of consensus numbers ? Seems dodgy.. 
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avatarSuperDuper1
2024-08-02
The negative pitch coming only after a 10% drop.. when it was going up after the stock split , there were no nay sayers..
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