非一般股民 personal page - To The Moon

非一般股民

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非一般股民

10:59

gld rise

非一般股民

10:58

can buy now

@ETF唔係ET虎:【💡熱點解讀】港股科技重估：估值折讓之後，長期配置條件成熟了嗎？

非一般股民

10:58

sqqq win

@虎港通:【🎁有獎話題】美科技股再遭血洗，資金轉向傳統行業股，投資者集中減持芯片股？

非一般股民

10:58

$恆生指數(HSI)$ hsi

@期貨茄哩虎:【🎁有獎話題】恐慌感再次來襲？美股指期貨拉響調整警報？

非一般股民

10:57

msft buy in

非一般股民

10:57

lose

@財報話你知:【🎁有獎話題】AI狂燒錢，Meta這次大賭最終會贏定輸？

非一般股民

10:57

btc sh

@Crypto加密虎:【🎁有獎話題】幣圈再現烏龍指！Robinhood預測市場比加密貨幣更加賺錢？

非一般股民

10:56

tsla up

非一般股民

07-30 14:20

oil up

非一般股民

07-30 14:20

rocket

非一般股民

07-30 14:20

trump

@虎港通:【🎁有獎話題】特朗普力挺沃什減息，市場押注全面升溫，聯儲局將如何抉擇？

非一般股民

07-30 14:20

no war

非一般股民

07-30 14:19

hsi buy la

非一般股民

07-30 14:19

gold

非一般股民

07-28 20:29

hsi $恆生指數(HSI)$

非一般股民

07-28 20:29

buy in

非一般股民

07-28 20:28

all in call

@期權叻叻虎:【🎁有獎話題】蘋果市值衝刺5萬億！多張Call單狂飆逾700%，美光驚現巨量Put異動平倉，財報季點佈局？

非一般股民

07-28 20:28

brc

非一般股民

07-28 20:28

apple

非一般股民

07-28 20:28

nvda

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now","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/591608390276064","repostId":"591378265805904","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":591378265805904,"gmtCreate":1785376153457,"gmtModify":1785385200050,"author":{"id":"4142573913947612","authorId":"4142573913947612","name":"ETF唔係ET虎","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0c47e65ebcee63532badc6556a412fff","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4142573913947612","authorIdStr":"4142573913947612"},"themes":[],"title":"【💡熱點解讀】港股科技重估：估值折讓之後，長期配置條件成熟了嗎？","htmlText":"「港股便宜」這句話，最近又回到市場視線。 但如果只停在「便宜」兩個字，反而容易看漏重點。市場真正交易的，不只是估值折讓，而是中國科技企業能否把 AI、雲服務及數字化投入，轉化為實際收入、利潤與現金流。 截至 2026 年 7 月，GuruFocus數據顯示， <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/HSI\">$恆生指數(HSI)$</a> TTM市盈率約為 12.1 倍，處於其歷史區間 6.7 倍至 24.2 倍之間。這代表港股估值仍有吸引力，但不宜簡單定義為「歷史最低」。 港股有估值吸引力，但不是所有科技股都便宜 港股整體估值偏低，主要反映成熟行業與現金流資產的折讓；但 <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/HSTECH\">$恆生科技指數(HSTECH)$</a> 估值明顯高於大市，代表市場已經為部分科技企業的增長前景付出溢價。 恆生指數公司資料顯示，2026年6月底恆生科技指數市盈率為 27.56 倍，而恆生指數市盈率為12.68倍。換言之，「港股便宜」不等於「港股科技全部便宜」。 真正影響市場信心的，不是估值本身有多低，而是企業能否用AI收入、雲服務增長及盈利能力證明增長。盈利落地，纔是科技股重估能否被市場接受的關鍵。 中國科技重估，關鍵由「AI故事」轉向「AI收入」 <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$</a> 披露，2026 財年 3 月季度雲智能集團外部收入增長 40%，AI相關產品收入連續11個季度錄得三位數同比增長，並佔雲外部收入約 30%。這說明AI對雲業務的帶動，已經不只停留在發布會層面。 <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09888\">$百度集團-SW(09888)$</a> 則提供另一個觀察樣","listText":"「港股便宜」這句話，最近又回到市場視線。 但如果只停在「便宜」兩個字，反而容易看漏重點。市場真正交易的，不只是估值折讓，而是中國科技企業能否把 AI、雲服務及數字化投入，轉化為實際收入、利潤與現金流。 截至 2026 年 7 月，GuruFocus數據顯示， <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/HSI\">$恆生指數(HSI)$</a> TTM市盈率約為 12.1 倍，處於其歷史區間 6.7 倍至 24.2 倍之間。這代表港股估值仍有吸引力，但不宜簡單定義為「歷史最低」。 港股有估值吸引力，但不是所有科技股都便宜 港股整體估值偏低，主要反映成熟行業與現金流資產的折讓；但 <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/HSTECH\">$恆生科技指數(HSTECH)$</a> 估值明顯高於大市，代表市場已經為部分科技企業的增長前景付出溢價。 恆生指數公司資料顯示，2026年6月底恆生科技指數市盈率為 27.56 倍，而恆生指數市盈率為12.68倍。換言之，「港股便宜」不等於「港股科技全部便宜」。 真正影響市場信心的，不是估值本身有多低，而是企業能否用AI收入、雲服務增長及盈利能力證明增長。盈利落地，纔是科技股重估能否被市場接受的關鍵。 中國科技重估，關鍵由「AI故事」轉向「AI收入」 <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$</a> 披露，2026 財年 3 月季度雲智能集團外部收入增長 40%，AI相關產品收入連續11個季度錄得三位數同比增長，並佔雲外部收入約 30%。這說明AI對雲業務的帶動，已經不只停留在發布會層面。 <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09888\">$百度集團-SW(09888)$</a> 則提供另一個觀察樣","text":"「港股便宜」這句話，最近又回到市場視線。 但如果只停在「便宜」兩個字，反而容易看漏重點。市場真正交易的，不只是估值折讓，而是中國科技企業能否把 AI、雲服務及數字化投入，轉化為實際收入、利潤與現金流。 截至 2026 年 7 月，GuruFocus數據顯示， $恆生指數(HSI)$ TTM市盈率約為 12.1 倍，處於其歷史區間 6.7 倍至 24.2 倍之間。這代表港股估值仍有吸引力，但不宜簡單定義為「歷史最低」。 港股有估值吸引力，但不是所有科技股都便宜 港股整體估值偏低，主要反映成熟行業與現金流資產的折讓；但 $恆生科技指數(HSTECH)$ 估值明顯高於大市，代表市場已經為部分科技企業的增長前景付出溢價。 恆生指數公司資料顯示，2026年6月底恆生科技指數市盈率為 27.56 倍，而恆生指數市盈率為12.68倍。換言之，「港股便宜」不等於「港股科技全部便宜」。 真正影響市場信心的，不是估值本身有多低，而是企業能否用AI收入、雲服務增長及盈利能力證明增長。盈利落地，纔是科技股重估能否被市場接受的關鍵。 中國科技重估，關鍵由「AI故事」轉向「AI收入」 $阿里巴巴-W(09988)$ 披露，2026 財年 3 月季度雲智能集團外部收入增長 40%，AI相關產品收入連續11個季度錄得三位數同比增長，並佔雲外部收入約 30%。這說明AI對雲業務的帶動，已經不只停留在發布會層面。 $百度集團-SW(09888)$ 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win","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/591608604185624","repostId":"591405057496168","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":591405057496168,"gmtCreate":1785382695373,"gmtModify":1785390000175,"author":{"id":"4134821074118532","authorId":"4134821074118532","name":"虎港通","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6ace760ebb226aa228910fadd6516856","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4134821074118532","authorIdStr":"4134821074118532"},"themes":[],"title":"【🎁有獎話題】美科技股再遭血洗，資金轉向傳統行業股，投資者集中減持芯片股？","htmlText":"小虎們，在特朗普宣佈將猛擊伊朗之後，昨夜美股科技股再遭血色一夜，尾盤大跳水！[Surprised] 沃什的利率立場也引發了市場對通脹的擔憂，在其稱債券收益率上升已推高借貸成本後， <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$道瓊斯(.DJI)$</a> 重挫超1100點，創一年最大單日跌幅！[Put] 事實上，數據顯示，美股資金已經轉向傳統行業股，投資者正集中減持芯片股，那麼當前我們該如何操作呢？[YoYo] 一、暴跌元兇：美聯儲鷹派信號引爆市場恐慌 1. 利率不變，但內部出現罕見分裂 7月29日，美聯儲以9比3的投票結果將聯邦基金利率維持在3.5%至3.75%不變。但三名地區聯儲主席投下反對票，主張加息25個基點，這是美聯儲近年來罕見的大規模內部分歧。 2. 沃什的「鷹派沉默」引發市場恐慌 美聯儲主席沃什在隨後講話中強調，「通脹問題不可能在九週內解決」，並表示在「必要且適當時會毫不猶豫採取行動」。市場將此解讀為強烈鷹派信號。 更關鍵的是，30年期美債收益率自2007年以來首次突破5.20%。《華爾街日報》報導指出，投資者對未來不確定性感到緊張，擔憂美聯儲能否真正控制通脹。 3. 9月加息預期已「拉滿」 芝商所「美聯儲觀察工具」顯示，美聯儲在9月加息的概率高達78.8%。美國銀行更預測，AI投資過熱、財政擴張以及勞動力市場緊張三重因素可能導致美國通脹反彈，美聯儲可能在9月、10月、12月分別加息25個基點。 沃什再放鷹 二、科技股何以「血流成河」？ 1. SK海力士「史上最強」財報卻引爆存儲崩盤 <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SKHY\">$SK海力士(SKHY)$</a> Q2運營利潤同比暴增557%至60.5萬億韓元，營收增長257%至79.3萬億韓元，雙雙創歷史紀錄，但仍低於市場預期。更關鍵的是，二","listText":"小虎們，在特朗普宣佈將猛擊伊朗之後，昨夜美股科技股再遭血色一夜，尾盤大跳水！[Surprised] 沃什的利率立場也引發了市場對通脹的擔憂，在其稱債券收益率上升已推高借貸成本後， <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$道瓊斯(.DJI)$</a> 重挫超1100點，創一年最大單日跌幅！[Put] 事實上，數據顯示，美股資金已經轉向傳統行業股，投資者正集中減持芯片股，那麼當前我們該如何操作呢？[YoYo] 一、暴跌元兇：美聯儲鷹派信號引爆市場恐慌 1. 利率不變，但內部出現罕見分裂 7月29日，美聯儲以9比3的投票結果將聯邦基金利率維持在3.5%至3.75%不變。但三名地區聯儲主席投下反對票，主張加息25個基點，這是美聯儲近年來罕見的大規模內部分歧。 2. 沃什的「鷹派沉默」引發市場恐慌 美聯儲主席沃什在隨後講話中強調，「通脹問題不可能在九週內解決」，並表示在「必要且適當時會毫不猶豫採取行動」。市場將此解讀為強烈鷹派信號。 更關鍵的是，30年期美債收益率自2007年以來首次突破5.20%。《華爾街日報》報導指出，投資者對未來不確定性感到緊張，擔憂美聯儲能否真正控制通脹。 3. 9月加息預期已「拉滿」 芝商所「美聯儲觀察工具」顯示，美聯儲在9月加息的概率高達78.8%。美國銀行更預測，AI投資過熱、財政擴張以及勞動力市場緊張三重因素可能導致美國通脹反彈，美聯儲可能在9月、10月、12月分別加息25個基點。 沃什再放鷹 二、科技股何以「血流成河」？ 1. SK海力士「史上最強」財報卻引爆存儲崩盤 <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SKHY\">$SK海力士(SKHY)$</a> Q2運營利潤同比暴增557%至60.5萬億韓元，營收增長257%至79.3萬億韓元，雙雙創歷史紀錄，但仍低於市場預期。更關鍵的是，二","text":"小虎們，在特朗普宣佈將猛擊伊朗之後，昨夜美股科技股再遭血色一夜，尾盤大跳水！[Surprised] 沃什的利率立場也引發了市場對通脹的擔憂，在其稱債券收益率上升已推高借貸成本後， $道瓊斯(.DJI)$ 重挫超1100點，創一年最大單日跌幅！[Put] 事實上，數據顯示，美股資金已經轉向傳統行業股，投資者正集中減持芯片股，那麼當前我們該如何操作呢？[YoYo] 一、暴跌元兇：美聯儲鷹派信號引爆市場恐慌 1. 利率不變，但內部出現罕見分裂 7月29日，美聯儲以9比3的投票結果將聯邦基金利率維持在3.5%至3.75%不變。但三名地區聯儲主席投下反對票，主張加息25個基點，這是美聯儲近年來罕見的大規模內部分歧。 2. 沃什的「鷹派沉默」引發市場恐慌 美聯儲主席沃什在隨後講話中強調，「通脹問題不可能在九週內解決」，並表示在「必要且適當時會毫不猶豫採取行動」。市場將此解讀為強烈鷹派信號。 更關鍵的是，30年期美債收益率自2007年以來首次突破5.20%。《華爾街日報》報導指出，投資者對未來不確定性感到緊張，擔憂美聯儲能否真正控制通脹。 3. 9月加息預期已「拉滿」 芝商所「美聯儲觀察工具」顯示，美聯儲在9月加息的概率高達78.8%。美國銀行更預測，AI投資過熱、財政擴張以及勞動力市場緊張三重因素可能導致美國通脹反彈，美聯儲可能在9月、10月、12月分別加息25個基點。 沃什再放鷹 二、科技股何以「血流成河」？ 1. SK海力士「史上最強」財報卻引爆存儲崩盤 $SK海力士(SKHY)$ Q2運營利潤同比暴增557%至60.5萬億韓元，營收增長257%至79.3萬億韓元，雙雙創歷史紀錄，但仍低於市場預期。更關鍵的是，二","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8347bd359699731e67e3dd6378bbeb45"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e4657d6dc96772f1adcecb036ed8f4a7"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/61eda59b307adaefa1df08278f5a9ebd"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/591405057496168","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":591608514101848,"gmtCreate":1785466687977,"gmtModify":1785466690982,"author":{"id":"4149665799884162","authorId":"4149665799884162","name":"非一般股民","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4149665799884162","authorIdStr":"4149665799884162"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/HSI\"> $恆生指數(HSI)$ </a>hsi","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/HSI\"> $恆生指數(HSI)$ </a>hsi","text":"$恆生指數(HSI)$ hsi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/591608514101848","repostId":"591450594481584","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":591450594481584,"gmtCreate":1785393834139,"gmtModify":1785407400087,"author":{"id":"4151580619366202","authorId":"4151580619366202","name":"期貨茄哩虎","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/863aa604a275b440856f87fa5deadb8c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4151580619366202","authorIdStr":"4151580619366202"},"themes":[],"title":"【🎁有獎話題】恐慌感再次來襲？美股指期貨拉響調整警報？","htmlText":"小虎們，隔夜美股三大指數收跌，聯儲局繼續維持按兵不動，但特朗普持續威脅伊朗，除了軍事打擊外，還要尋求對伊加徵關稅，恐慌感是否再次來襲？美股指期貨拉響調整警報了嗎？ 特朗普持續威脅伊朗！聯儲局五連停！ 當地時間7月28日，特朗普在白宮與到訪的以色列總理內塔尼亞胡舉行會晤，這是兩人自2月底對伊朗發動大規模軍事衝突以來的首次面對面會晤。雙方表示，本次會談具有「積極和富有建設性」的意義，但並未舉行任何記者會以及公開媒體聲明。 但僅僅過了一天後，特朗普就表示，要給予伊朗「沉重打擊」，「伊朗知道這在所難免，並請求美國不要發動打擊，但要給他們一個教訓！」特朗普講道。此外，他還尋求對伊朗加徵關稅，而並非簡單制裁。 美軍目前繼續執行對伊朗的封鎖行動。截至7月29日，美軍已經改變了20艘商船的航行路線，並使得2艘船隻失去行動能力。美伊「邊打邊談」的戰略仍在失效當中。 特朗普與以色列總理內塔尼亞胡會晤 圖源：網絡 與此同時，聯儲局結束了為期兩天的議息會議，宣佈將聯邦基金利率目標區間維持在3.5%至3.75%之間不變，這是聯儲局年內連續第五次維持利率不變。 但內部分歧比較明顯，在聯邦公開市場委員會12名成員中，有3人在當日投票中主張加息25個點子，反對維持利率不變的決定。根據FedWatch Tool顯示，聯儲局在9月加息的概率下降至65.2%，維持利率不變的概率為34.8%。 圖源：FedWatch Tool 在新聞發佈會上，Kevin Warsh回答了記者們和全球投資者最關心的「聯儲局如何面對和解決高通脹」，他強調FOMC委員會立場不變，依舊保持和實現2%通脹目標。當前通脹水平較高主要是供應衝擊推高了能源等行業價格。他也表示，想要解決過去五年多通脹超標的問題，不可能在短短九周時間，僅憑單月小幅物價回落就徹底解決。 期貨茄哩虎預計，聯儲局會綜合研究和判斷更多物價數據，剔除短期幹擾因素，抓取核心信","listText":"小虎們，隔夜美股三大指數收跌，聯儲局繼續維持按兵不動，但特朗普持續威脅伊朗，除了軍事打擊外，還要尋求對伊加徵關稅，恐慌感是否再次來襲？美股指期貨拉響調整警報了嗎？ 特朗普持續威脅伊朗！聯儲局五連停！ 當地時間7月28日，特朗普在白宮與到訪的以色列總理內塔尼亞胡舉行會晤，這是兩人自2月底對伊朗發動大規模軍事衝突以來的首次面對面會晤。雙方表示，本次會談具有「積極和富有建設性」的意義，但並未舉行任何記者會以及公開媒體聲明。 但僅僅過了一天後，特朗普就表示，要給予伊朗「沉重打擊」，「伊朗知道這在所難免，並請求美國不要發動打擊，但要給他們一個教訓！」特朗普講道。此外，他還尋求對伊朗加徵關稅，而並非簡單制裁。 美軍目前繼續執行對伊朗的封鎖行動。截至7月29日，美軍已經改變了20艘商船的航行路線，並使得2艘船隻失去行動能力。美伊「邊打邊談」的戰略仍在失效當中。 特朗普與以色列總理內塔尼亞胡會晤 圖源：網絡 與此同時，聯儲局結束了為期兩天的議息會議，宣佈將聯邦基金利率目標區間維持在3.5%至3.75%之間不變，這是聯儲局年內連續第五次維持利率不變。 但內部分歧比較明顯，在聯邦公開市場委員會12名成員中，有3人在當日投票中主張加息25個點子，反對維持利率不變的決定。根據FedWatch Tool顯示，聯儲局在9月加息的概率下降至65.2%，維持利率不變的概率為34.8%。 圖源：FedWatch Tool 在新聞發佈會上，Kevin Warsh回答了記者們和全球投資者最關心的「聯儲局如何面對和解決高通脹」，他強調FOMC委員會立場不變，依舊保持和實現2%通脹目標。當前通脹水平較高主要是供應衝擊推高了能源等行業價格。他也表示，想要解決過去五年多通脹超標的問題，不可能在短短九周時間，僅憑單月小幅物價回落就徹底解決。 期貨茄哩虎預計，聯儲局會綜合研究和判斷更多物價數據，剔除短期幹擾因素，抓取核心信","text":"小虎們，隔夜美股三大指數收跌，聯儲局繼續維持按兵不動，但特朗普持續威脅伊朗，除了軍事打擊外，還要尋求對伊加徵關稅，恐慌感是否再次來襲？美股指期貨拉響調整警報了嗎？ 特朗普持續威脅伊朗！聯儲局五連停！ 當地時間7月28日，特朗普在白宮與到訪的以色列總理內塔尼亞胡舉行會晤，這是兩人自2月底對伊朗發動大規模軍事衝突以來的首次面對面會晤。雙方表示，本次會談具有「積極和富有建設性」的意義，但並未舉行任何記者會以及公開媒體聲明。 但僅僅過了一天後，特朗普就表示，要給予伊朗「沉重打擊」，「伊朗知道這在所難免，並請求美國不要發動打擊，但要給他們一個教訓！」特朗普講道。此外，他還尋求對伊朗加徵關稅，而並非簡單制裁。 美軍目前繼續執行對伊朗的封鎖行動。截至7月29日，美軍已經改變了20艘商船的航行路線，並使得2艘船隻失去行動能力。美伊「邊打邊談」的戰略仍在失效當中。 特朗普與以色列總理內塔尼亞胡會晤 圖源：網絡 與此同時，聯儲局結束了為期兩天的議息會議，宣佈將聯邦基金利率目標區間維持在3.5%至3.75%之間不變，這是聯儲局年內連續第五次維持利率不變。 但內部分歧比較明顯，在聯邦公開市場委員會12名成員中，有3人在當日投票中主張加息25個點子，反對維持利率不變的決定。根據FedWatch Tool顯示，聯儲局在9月加息的概率下降至65.2%，維持利率不變的概率為34.8%。 圖源：FedWatch Tool 在新聞發佈會上，Kevin Warsh回答了記者們和全球投資者最關心的「聯儲局如何面對和解決高通脹」，他強調FOMC委員會立場不變，依舊保持和實現2%通脹目標。當前通脹水平較高主要是供應衝擊推高了能源等行業價格。他也表示，想要解決過去五年多通脹超標的問題，不可能在短短九周時間，僅憑單月小幅物價回落就徹底解決。 期貨茄哩虎預計，聯儲局會綜合研究和判斷更多物價數據，剔除短期幹擾因素，抓取核心信","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2a7a1bc6069de79c0e716c4cb56a254e"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/183c73976271420a24ecbdbbf554b655"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/28543166f7f8cac19f660c747b3da6b6"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/591450594481584","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":20,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":591608401016176,"gmtCreate":1785466675445,"gmtModify":1785466678228,"author":{"id":"4149665799884162","authorId":"4149665799884162","name":"非一般股民","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4149665799884162","authorIdStr":"4149665799884162"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"msft buy in","listText":"msft buy in","text":"msft buy in","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/591608401016176","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":591607904481960,"gmtCreate":1785466632291,"gmtModify":1785466634952,"author":{"id":"4149665799884162","authorId":"4149665799884162","name":"非一般股民","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4149665799884162","authorIdStr":"4149665799884162"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"lose","listText":"lose","text":"lose","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/591607904481960","repostId":"591482785899600","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":591482785899600,"gmtCreate":1785401671058,"gmtModify":1785411600150,"author":{"id":"4136423143289492","authorId":"4136423143289492","name":"財報話你知","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/96f437ff7e7f78c1e24bf0faa8c074dd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4136423143289492","authorIdStr":"4136423143289492"},"themes":[],"title":"【🎁有獎話題】AI狂燒錢，Meta這次大賭最終會贏定輸？","htmlText":"2026年7月29日，Meta交出Q2成績單。營收一口氣衝到608億美元，年增28%，成長速度幾乎是近年最快；廣告印象量與單價雙升，日活躍用戶也穩穩站在36億。看起來十分風光。 可淨利卻掉了14%，每股盈餘6.18美元不如預期，營業利潤率從去年同期的43%直接滑到31%。自由現金流更是從去年同季的八十多億，暴跌到只剩7.84億，幾乎被資本支出吞光。 市場的第一反應很直接：盤後股價重挫近一成。 原因不難理解——這家公司正把大把現金砸進人工智慧基礎設施，同時還得應付法律費用與裁員成本。 二季總成本與費用暴增55%，來到420億美元，其中包含24億美元的法律相關費用，以及5月裁員約8000人帶來的11.8億美元資遣支出。這些一次性項目把帳面利潤壓得扁扁的。 來源：Meta官方財報 廣告機器還在全速運轉 先講好消息。Meta的核心廣告生意依然強勁。全平臺廣告印象量年增14%，平均廣告單價年增12%。Family of Apps廣告收入約593.6億美元，年增27%。用戶端也有幾個漂亮里程碑： 來源：Meta官方財報 Instagram日活躍用戶突破20億，Threads月活躍用戶超過5億，成為成長最快的對話應用；WhatsApp在世界盃決賽期間寫下每秒3000萬則訊息的紀錄。日活躍用戶整體年增3%，來到36億。 AI在這裡是實打實的加速器。推薦系統加入大語言模型後，更能理解內容本質與用戶意圖；廣告排序也因上下文理解能力提升，轉化率明顯改善。 小企業使用AI廣告創意工具的數量已達900萬家。新推出的Meta One訂閱服務，以及WhatsApp付費訊息與訂閱收入，更讓「其他收入」首度單季突破10億美元，年增73%。 簡單說，廣告這臺印鈔機不但沒停，還因為AI變得更精準、更高效。這正是Meta敢繼續大撒幣的底氣。 AI大豪賭：把未來押在資料中心與代理人上 扎克伯格在電話會議上語氣樂觀。","listText":"2026年7月29日，Meta交出Q2成績單。營收一口氣衝到608億美元，年增28%，成長速度幾乎是近年最快；廣告印象量與單價雙升，日活躍用戶也穩穩站在36億。看起來十分風光。 可淨利卻掉了14%，每股盈餘6.18美元不如預期，營業利潤率從去年同期的43%直接滑到31%。自由現金流更是從去年同季的八十多億，暴跌到只剩7.84億，幾乎被資本支出吞光。 市場的第一反應很直接：盤後股價重挫近一成。 原因不難理解——這家公司正把大把現金砸進人工智慧基礎設施，同時還得應付法律費用與裁員成本。 二季總成本與費用暴增55%，來到420億美元，其中包含24億美元的法律相關費用，以及5月裁員約8000人帶來的11.8億美元資遣支出。這些一次性項目把帳面利潤壓得扁扁的。 來源：Meta官方財報 廣告機器還在全速運轉 先講好消息。Meta的核心廣告生意依然強勁。全平臺廣告印象量年增14%，平均廣告單價年增12%。Family of Apps廣告收入約593.6億美元，年增27%。用戶端也有幾個漂亮里程碑： 來源：Meta官方財報 Instagram日活躍用戶突破20億，Threads月活躍用戶超過5億，成為成長最快的對話應用；WhatsApp在世界盃決賽期間寫下每秒3000萬則訊息的紀錄。日活躍用戶整體年增3%，來到36億。 AI在這裡是實打實的加速器。推薦系統加入大語言模型後，更能理解內容本質與用戶意圖；廣告排序也因上下文理解能力提升，轉化率明顯改善。 小企業使用AI廣告創意工具的數量已達900萬家。新推出的Meta One訂閱服務，以及WhatsApp付費訊息與訂閱收入，更讓「其他收入」首度單季突破10億美元，年增73%。 簡單說，廣告這臺印鈔機不但沒停，還因為AI變得更精準、更高效。這正是Meta敢繼續大撒幣的底氣。 AI大豪賭：把未來押在資料中心與代理人上 扎克伯格在電話會議上語氣樂觀。","text":"2026年7月29日，Meta交出Q2成績單。營收一口氣衝到608億美元，年增28%，成長速度幾乎是近年最快；廣告印象量與單價雙升，日活躍用戶也穩穩站在36億。看起來十分風光。 可淨利卻掉了14%，每股盈餘6.18美元不如預期，營業利潤率從去年同期的43%直接滑到31%。自由現金流更是從去年同季的八十多億，暴跌到只剩7.84億，幾乎被資本支出吞光。 市場的第一反應很直接：盤後股價重挫近一成。 原因不難理解——這家公司正把大把現金砸進人工智慧基礎設施，同時還得應付法律費用與裁員成本。 二季總成本與費用暴增55%，來到420億美元，其中包含24億美元的法律相關費用，以及5月裁員約8000人帶來的11.8億美元資遣支出。這些一次性項目把帳面利潤壓得扁扁的。 來源：Meta官方財報 廣告機器還在全速運轉 先講好消息。Meta的核心廣告生意依然強勁。全平臺廣告印象量年增14%，平均廣告單價年增12%。Family of Apps廣告收入約593.6億美元，年增27%。用戶端也有幾個漂亮里程碑： 來源：Meta官方財報 Instagram日活躍用戶突破20億，Threads月活躍用戶超過5億，成為成長最快的對話應用；WhatsApp在世界盃決賽期間寫下每秒3000萬則訊息的紀錄。日活躍用戶整體年增3%，來到36億。 AI在這裡是實打實的加速器。推薦系統加入大語言模型後，更能理解內容本質與用戶意圖；廣告排序也因上下文理解能力提升，轉化率明顯改善。 小企業使用AI廣告創意工具的數量已達900萬家。新推出的Meta One訂閱服務，以及WhatsApp付費訊息與訂閱收入，更讓「其他收入」首度單季突破10億美元，年增73%。 簡單說，廣告這臺印鈔機不但沒停，還因為AI變得更精準、更高效。這正是Meta敢繼續大撒幣的底氣。 AI大豪賭：把未來押在資料中心與代理人上 扎克伯格在電話會議上語氣樂觀。","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/22a956e11a01dab105421bf09451e224"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8fff4ef274f9eca38d6fc598b4704ab9"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/549522c977ec6b9924bc7624ebed3d62"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/591482785899600","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":9,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":591608238469720,"gmtCreate":1785466620684,"gmtModify":1785468239042,"author":{"id":"4149665799884162","authorId":"4149665799884162","name":"非一般股民","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4149665799884162","authorIdStr":"4149665799884162"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"btc sh","listText":"btc sh","text":"btc sh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/591608238469720","repostId":"591486173234160","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":591486173234160,"gmtCreate":1785402404149,"gmtModify":1785409200272,"author":{"id":"4182991226837512","authorId":"4182991226837512","name":"Crypto加密虎","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7064a3864f92862baa8d524e4144fab4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4182991226837512","authorIdStr":"4182991226837512"},"themes":[],"title":"【🎁有獎話題】幣圈再現烏龍指！Robinhood預測市場比加密貨幣更加賺錢？","htmlText":"Hi小虎們，大家有沒有想過一股股票交易會導致加密貨幣市場出現強制平倉，這種情況我們一般稱為「烏龍指」，但一般涉及加密貨幣的比較多，聯繫到股票交易的加密虎也是第一次見，一會我們就來看看~ 而Robinhood最新業績超預期，預測市場竟然比加密貨幣更賺錢？ 一股SK海力士股票引發的烏龍指交易！ 韓國晶片巨頭SK海力士（SK Hynix）於7月10日在美國納斯達克交易所發行ADR，代碼為SKHY，在上市後第三個交易日單日收漲27.29%至歷史新高的194.80美元，隨後便一路下跌，累計跌近15%。 同時在Hyperliquid追蹤該股的永續合約，不僅出現了閃崩，還連累了加密市場。 7月28日亞洲盤前，該股的永續合約在一分鐘內暴跌20%至900美元，但在下一分鐘迅速反彈，修復至1000美元關口以上。而在數小時後韓國股市開盤，SK海力士現貨價格出現大跌，讓市場關注的是，加密貨幣衍生產品市場是否會提前反應傳統金融市場的情緒？ 而本次的烏龍指起點，源自韓國另類股票交易所Nextrade（NXT）的一筆異常訂單。根據公開資料，NXT在2025年3月上線，交易時間為當地時間上午8時至晚上8時，而韓國交易所（KRX）主板交易時段為9時至15時30分，相當於為投資者提供了更長的交易窗口，但實際上盤前時段流動性較差。 而在當天NXT開盤時，一筆SK海力士股票訂單以1272000韓元成交，較前一交易日收盤價將近跌30%，由於當時買盤掛單幾乎為0，所以這筆僅涉及一股的交易成為該交易所的首個參考價格。該價格在約2分鐘內就回到170萬韓元的正常水平，但此時已經出現了「烏龍交易」：xyz:SKHYNIX合約所使用的交易機制在NXT開盤約4秒後完成價格更新，將參考價從1131.40美元下調至954.99美元，跌幅近16%，隨後觸發了強制平倉程序，鏈上執行價最低被壓至900美元！ 根據鏈上分析師預計，有近960","listText":"Hi小虎們，大家有沒有想過一股股票交易會導致加密貨幣市場出現強制平倉，這種情況我們一般稱為「烏龍指」，但一般涉及加密貨幣的比較多，聯繫到股票交易的加密虎也是第一次見，一會我們就來看看~ 而Robinhood最新業績超預期，預測市場竟然比加密貨幣更賺錢？ 一股SK海力士股票引發的烏龍指交易！ 韓國晶片巨頭SK海力士（SK Hynix）於7月10日在美國納斯達克交易所發行ADR，代碼為SKHY，在上市後第三個交易日單日收漲27.29%至歷史新高的194.80美元，隨後便一路下跌，累計跌近15%。 同時在Hyperliquid追蹤該股的永續合約，不僅出現了閃崩，還連累了加密市場。 7月28日亞洲盤前，該股的永續合約在一分鐘內暴跌20%至900美元，但在下一分鐘迅速反彈，修復至1000美元關口以上。而在數小時後韓國股市開盤，SK海力士現貨價格出現大跌，讓市場關注的是，加密貨幣衍生產品市場是否會提前反應傳統金融市場的情緒？ 而本次的烏龍指起點，源自韓國另類股票交易所Nextrade（NXT）的一筆異常訂單。根據公開資料，NXT在2025年3月上線，交易時間為當地時間上午8時至晚上8時，而韓國交易所（KRX）主板交易時段為9時至15時30分，相當於為投資者提供了更長的交易窗口，但實際上盤前時段流動性較差。 而在當天NXT開盤時，一筆SK海力士股票訂單以1272000韓元成交，較前一交易日收盤價將近跌30%，由於當時買盤掛單幾乎為0，所以這筆僅涉及一股的交易成為該交易所的首個參考價格。該價格在約2分鐘內就回到170萬韓元的正常水平，但此時已經出現了「烏龍交易」：xyz:SKHYNIX合約所使用的交易機制在NXT開盤約4秒後完成價格更新，將參考價從1131.40美元下調至954.99美元，跌幅近16%，隨後觸發了強制平倉程序，鏈上執行價最低被壓至900美元！ 根據鏈上分析師預計，有近960","text":"Hi小虎們，大家有沒有想過一股股票交易會導致加密貨幣市場出現強制平倉，這種情況我們一般稱為「烏龍指」，但一般涉及加密貨幣的比較多，聯繫到股票交易的加密虎也是第一次見，一會我們就來看看~ 而Robinhood最新業績超預期，預測市場竟然比加密貨幣更賺錢？ 一股SK海力士股票引發的烏龍指交易！ 韓國晶片巨頭SK海力士（SK Hynix）於7月10日在美國納斯達克交易所發行ADR，代碼為SKHY，在上市後第三個交易日單日收漲27.29%至歷史新高的194.80美元，隨後便一路下跌，累計跌近15%。 同時在Hyperliquid追蹤該股的永續合約，不僅出現了閃崩，還連累了加密市場。 7月28日亞洲盤前，該股的永續合約在一分鐘內暴跌20%至900美元，但在下一分鐘迅速反彈，修復至1000美元關口以上。而在數小時後韓國股市開盤，SK海力士現貨價格出現大跌，讓市場關注的是，加密貨幣衍生產品市場是否會提前反應傳統金融市場的情緒？ 而本次的烏龍指起點，源自韓國另類股票交易所Nextrade（NXT）的一筆異常訂單。根據公開資料，NXT在2025年3月上線，交易時間為當地時間上午8時至晚上8時，而韓國交易所（KRX）主板交易時段為9時至15時30分，相當於為投資者提供了更長的交易窗口，但實際上盤前時段流動性較差。 而在當天NXT開盤時，一筆SK海力士股票訂單以1272000韓元成交，較前一交易日收盤價將近跌30%，由於當時買盤掛單幾乎為0，所以這筆僅涉及一股的交易成為該交易所的首個參考價格。該價格在約2分鐘內就回到170萬韓元的正常水平，但此時已經出現了「烏龍交易」：xyz:SKHYNIX合約所使用的交易機制在NXT開盤約4秒後完成價格更新，將參考價從1131.40美元下調至954.99美元，跌幅近16%，隨後觸發了強制平倉程序，鏈上執行價最低被壓至900美元！ 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這是聯儲局主席凱文·沃什上任以來主持的第二次議息會議，也可能是近年來不確定性最高、最難預測的一次。 在當前聯邦基金利率目標區間維持於3.50%至3.75%的背景下，市場正經歷一場罕見的「多空對決」——主流機構預期按兵不動，但加息概率已從兩週前約一成迅速攀升至當前約三成，為近兩年來市場分歧最大的時刻。 一、兩股力量正面碰撞：加息 vs 觀望 推動加息預期升溫的核心變量，來自能源端。 7月以來，美伊衝突再度激化，霍爾木茲海峽航運受阻，布倫特原油一度重返每桶100美元關口，自7月1日以來累計漲幅接近35%。能源成本的新一輪跳升，令部分鷹派官員認為，加息具備向市場展示抗通脹決心的戰術價值。 然而，另一組數據為按兵不動提供了同樣有力的支撐。美國6月消費者價格指數（CPI）按年回落至3.5%，較5月的4.2%明顯降溫；核心CPI按年降至2.6%。這是自2020年疫情以來CPI首次按月下行，能源價格按月大跌5.7%是核心驅動。與此同時，6月非農新增就業僅5.7萬人，前兩個月數據同步下修，就業市場明顯降溫。 通脹降溫 vs 油價反彈、就業放緩 vs 經濟仍有韌性——兩股力量正面碰撞，讓聯儲局陷入了近年來最棘手的政策困局。 二、市場分歧近兩年最大：從「一致預期」到「五五開」 截至7月28日，芝加哥商品交易所FedWatch工具顯示，市場預計7月維持利率不變的概率約為63%至70%，加息25個點的概率約為30%至38%。目前市場對聯儲局決定的定價接近五五開，「是自2024年9月以來分歧最大的時刻」。 來源：CME 利率期貨市場的押注更為激進。與聯儲局基準利率掛鉤的聯邦基金利率期貨未平倉合約已飆升至96萬份的歷史新高，交易員正以前所未有的規模對衝「意外加息」風險。8月聯邦基金期貨合約的未平倉合約數已超過2024年10","listText":"7月29日，聯儲局7月聯邦公開市場委員會（FOMC）會議在華盛頓正式拉開帷幕。 這是聯儲局主席凱文·沃什上任以來主持的第二次議息會議，也可能是近年來不確定性最高、最難預測的一次。 在當前聯邦基金利率目標區間維持於3.50%至3.75%的背景下，市場正經歷一場罕見的「多空對決」——主流機構預期按兵不動，但加息概率已從兩週前約一成迅速攀升至當前約三成，為近兩年來市場分歧最大的時刻。 一、兩股力量正面碰撞：加息 vs 觀望 推動加息預期升溫的核心變量，來自能源端。 7月以來，美伊衝突再度激化，霍爾木茲海峽航運受阻，布倫特原油一度重返每桶100美元關口，自7月1日以來累計漲幅接近35%。能源成本的新一輪跳升，令部分鷹派官員認為，加息具備向市場展示抗通脹決心的戰術價值。 然而，另一組數據為按兵不動提供了同樣有力的支撐。美國6月消費者價格指數（CPI）按年回落至3.5%，較5月的4.2%明顯降溫；核心CPI按年降至2.6%。這是自2020年疫情以來CPI首次按月下行，能源價格按月大跌5.7%是核心驅動。與此同時，6月非農新增就業僅5.7萬人，前兩個月數據同步下修，就業市場明顯降溫。 通脹降溫 vs 油價反彈、就業放緩 vs 經濟仍有韌性——兩股力量正面碰撞，讓聯儲局陷入了近年來最棘手的政策困局。 二、市場分歧近兩年最大：從「一致預期」到「五五開」 截至7月28日，芝加哥商品交易所FedWatch工具顯示，市場預計7月維持利率不變的概率約為63%至70%，加息25個點的概率約為30%至38%。目前市場對聯儲局決定的定價接近五五開，「是自2024年9月以來分歧最大的時刻」。 來源：CME 利率期貨市場的押注更為激進。與聯儲局基準利率掛鉤的聯邦基金利率期貨未平倉合約已飆升至96萬份的歷史新高，交易員正以前所未有的規模對衝「意外加息」風險。8月聯邦基金期貨合約的未平倉合約數已超過2024年10","text":"7月29日，聯儲局7月聯邦公開市場委員會（FOMC）會議在華盛頓正式拉開帷幕。 這是聯儲局主席凱文·沃什上任以來主持的第二次議息會議，也可能是近年來不確定性最高、最難預測的一次。 在當前聯邦基金利率目標區間維持於3.50%至3.75%的背景下，市場正經歷一場罕見的「多空對決」——主流機構預期按兵不動，但加息概率已從兩週前約一成迅速攀升至當前約三成，為近兩年來市場分歧最大的時刻。 一、兩股力量正面碰撞：加息 vs 觀望 推動加息預期升溫的核心變量，來自能源端。 7月以來，美伊衝突再度激化，霍爾木茲海峽航運受阻，布倫特原油一度重返每桶100美元關口，自7月1日以來累計漲幅接近35%。能源成本的新一輪跳升，令部分鷹派官員認為，加息具備向市場展示抗通脹決心的戰術價值。 然而，另一組數據為按兵不動提供了同樣有力的支撐。美國6月消費者價格指數（CPI）按年回落至3.5%，較5月的4.2%明顯降溫；核心CPI按年降至2.6%。這是自2020年疫情以來CPI首次按月下行，能源價格按月大跌5.7%是核心驅動。與此同時，6月非農新增就業僅5.7萬人，前兩個月數據同步下修，就業市場明顯降溫。 通脹降溫 vs 油價反彈、就業放緩 vs 經濟仍有韌性——兩股力量正面碰撞，讓聯儲局陷入了近年來最棘手的政策困局。 二、市場分歧近兩年最大：從「一致預期」到「五五開」 截至7月28日，芝加哥商品交易所FedWatch工具顯示，市場預計7月維持利率不變的概率約為63%至70%，加息25個點的概率約為30%至38%。目前市場對聯儲局決定的定價接近五五開，「是自2024年9月以來分歧最大的時刻」。 來源：CME 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