BeingLucid personal page - To The Moon

BeingLucid

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02-19

Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

Get Rich Quick With These 3 AI Stocks to Buy Now

02-17

My achievement is having the courage to open a Tiger Account and begin investing in the share market for the first time. I intend to make regular twice-monthly contributions and see how I go. how do I get a Tiger t-shirt? lol

02-17

Good. I picked GOOG, AMD, and VOO for my entry into investing. Mostly VOO with a little of each of the other two. I'm taking it slow for now because I have never invested in shares before, so I'm still learning.

Sorry, the original content has been removed

02-14

I don't understand why there are 49 analysts saying Strong Buy, Buy, or Hold. None of the 49 are saying sell. I read that Meta and Tesla and some others are going to buy AMD chips. Is that not encouraging?

AMD: Take The Rescue Boat Already

02-04

Yeah, I would like some opinions too.

1987 Stock-Market Crash Has Lessons for Traders Convinced Fed Will Slash Rates in 2024

03-16

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ I have no confidence in Tesla in the short term. Long term is another question. They need a major technological advance. Ghat will re-energize their stock.

02-15

Two articles in two days about why you don't like AMD. And still we have strong buy, buy, and hold, by 49 other analysts. What is your agenda?

Sorry, the original content has been removed

02-16

Bring it!

AMD: Potential Upside Increases Amidst Strong Growth

02-27

$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$ Having a wee run today.

03-01

Up she goes! March into March for the win!

02-28

I am watching $SOUN$

02-28

Thanks to the community posts hete at Tiger, I've been watching, and bought some https://tigr.link/6DCpxE

02-24

$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ This is a Meme Bet and I don't think it will see $1000 again this year.

02-23

$782.53

02-13

Ticker is important with regular and steady buy ins. $50 (or whatever) a week on a good ticker = win long term.

07-12

Just buy every week as usual.

03-31

Up and Down

03-31

Up and down.

03-31

P&L Calendar

03-31

I can't attach screenshots. New Zealand is the Sky Tower, and Australia is the Sydney Opera House.

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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buy every week as usual.","listText":"Just buy every week as usual.","text":"Just buy every week as usual.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/326703516373072","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":376,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":290169583407280,"gmtCreate":1711848728689,"gmtModify":1711848732734,"author":{"id":"4169783945382972","authorId":"4169783945382972","name":"BeingLucid","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4169783945382972","authorIdStr":"4169783945382972"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up and Down","listText":"Up and Down","text":"Up and 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New Zealand is the Sky Tower, and Australia is the Sydney Opera House.","listText":"I can't attach screenshots. New Zealand is the Sky Tower, and Australia is the Sydney Opera House.","text":"I can't attach screenshots. New Zealand is the Sky Tower, and Australia is the Sydney Opera House.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/290166956495096","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":295,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":289254352539880,"gmtCreate":1711653348183,"gmtModify":1711653353392,"author":{"id":"4169783945382972","authorId":"4169783945382972","name":"BeingLucid","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4169783945382972","authorIdStr":"4169783945382972"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I am very pleased. I have put in small but regular contributions totalling $550. I received the sign up bonus of $30, and an additional $200 for four friends signing up. And I have unrealised profits of around $70. I know it won't always be this good, but it's a wonderful start! My main goal is to keep up the regular deposits.","listText":"I am very pleased. I have put in small but regular contributions totalling $550. I received the sign up bonus of $30, and an additional $200 for four friends signing up. And I have unrealised profits of around $70. I know it won't always be this good, but it's a wonderful start! My main goal is to keep up the regular deposits.","text":"I am very pleased. I have put in small but regular contributions totalling $550. I received the sign up bonus of $30, and an additional $200 for four friends signing up. And I have unrealised profits of around $70. I know it won't always be this good, but it's a wonderful start! My main goal is to keep up the regular deposits.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/289254352539880","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":262,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":284795682103424,"gmtCreate":1710536281537,"gmtModify":1710536285301,"author":{"id":"4169783945382972","authorId":"4169783945382972","name":"BeingLucid","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4169783945382972","authorIdStr":"4169783945382972"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a> I have no confidence in Tesla in the short term. Long term is another question. They need a major technological advance. Ghat will re-energize their stock.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a> I have no confidence in Tesla in the short term. Long term is another question. They need a major technological advance. Ghat will re-energize their stock.","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ I have no confidence in Tesla in the short term. Long term is another question. They need a major technological advance. Ghat will re-energize their stock.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/284795682103424","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":359,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":282261856563320,"gmtCreate":1709919889054,"gmtModify":1709919893120,"author":{"id":"4169783945382972","authorId":"4169783945382972","name":"BeingLucid","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4169783945382972","authorIdStr":"4169783945382972"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I'm sharing this on Reddit","listText":"I'm sharing this on Reddit","text":"I'm sharing this on Reddit","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/282261856563320","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":196,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":279388414976288,"gmtCreate":1709231528860,"gmtModify":1709231533504,"author":{"id":"4169783945382972","authorId":"4169783945382972","name":"BeingLucid","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4169783945382972","authorIdStr":"4169783945382972"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up she goes! March into March for the win!","listText":"Up she goes! March into March for the win!","text":"Up she goes! March into March for the win!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/279388414976288","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":343,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":278827034177536,"gmtCreate":1709100627043,"gmtModify":1709100629907,"author":{"id":"4169783945382972","authorId":"4169783945382972","name":"BeingLucid","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4169783945382972","authorIdStr":"4169783945382972"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SOUN\">$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SOUN\">$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$ </a>&nbsp;","text":"$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ef04e5cd5150ae0c5a2ffd18e568ddac","width":"604","height":"939"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/278827034177536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":350,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":278789570130072,"gmtCreate":1709091492941,"gmtModify":1709091497378,"author":{"id":"4169783945382972","authorId":"4169783945382972","name":"BeingLucid","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4169783945382972","authorIdStr":"4169783945382972"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I am watching&nbsp;$SOUN$&nbsp;","listText":"I am watching&nbsp;$SOUN$&nbsp;","text":"I am watching $SOUN$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/278789570130072","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":388,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":278788099514400,"gmtCreate":1709091126859,"gmtModify":1709091854384,"author":{"id":"4169783945382972","authorId":"4169783945382972","name":"BeingLucid","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4169783945382972","authorIdStr":"4169783945382972"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks to the community posts hete at Tiger, I've been watching, and&nbsp;bought some https://tigr.link/6DCpxE","listText":"Thanks to the community posts hete at Tiger, I've been watching, and&nbsp;bought some https://tigr.link/6DCpxE","text":"Thanks to the community posts hete at Tiger, I've been watching, and bought some https://tigr.link/6DCpxE","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/278788099514400","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":150,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":278785084350624,"gmtCreate":1709090536254,"gmtModify":1709090541233,"author":{"id":"4169783945382972","authorId":"4169783945382972","name":"BeingLucid","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4169783945382972","authorIdStr":"4169783945382972"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I would set up an account at vets in New Zealand, where anyone can go in and get their pet desexed and microchipped free of charge.","listText":"I would set up an account at vets in New Zealand, where anyone can go in and get their pet desexed and microchipped free of charge.","text":"I would set up an account at vets in New Zealand, where anyone can go in and get their pet desexed and microchipped free of charge.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/278785084350624","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":129,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":278389405991072,"gmtCreate":1708993935091,"gmtModify":1708993937195,"author":{"id":"4169783945382972","authorId":"4169783945382972","name":"BeingLucid","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4169783945382972","authorIdStr":"4169783945382972"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SOUN\">$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SOUN\">$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$ </a>&nbsp;","text":"$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b78940a441cc2563075af6188bf05679","width":"720","height":"1134"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/278389405991072","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":265,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":278388898337032,"gmtCreate":1708993844547,"gmtModify":1708993848562,"author":{"id":"4169783945382972","authorId":"4169783945382972","name":"BeingLucid","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4169783945382972","authorIdStr":"4169783945382972"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SOUN\">$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$ </a> Let's go.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SOUN\">$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$ </a> Let's go.","text":"$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$ Let's go.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4a8f968981b91ed1bb826ba511b685c7","width":"720","height":"1134"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/278388898337032","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":195,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":278388863500400,"gmtCreate":1708993794979,"gmtModify":1708993796516,"author":{"id":"4169783945382972","authorId":"4169783945382972","name":"BeingLucid","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4169783945382972","authorIdStr":"4169783945382972"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SOUN\">$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SOUN\">$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$ </a>&nbsp;","text":"$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a9a74f403c69d3bd71dfcbc2943f340c","width":"720","height":"1256"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/278388863500400","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":197,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":278388793757856,"gmtCreate":1708993785621,"gmtModify":1708993788463,"author":{"id":"4169783945382972","authorId":"4169783945382972","name":"BeingLucid","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4169783945382972","authorIdStr":"4169783945382972"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SOUN\">$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SOUN\">$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$ </a>&nbsp;","text":"$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a9a74f403c69d3bd71dfcbc2943f340c","width":"720","height":"1256"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/278388793757856","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":113,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":278326299123864,"gmtCreate":1708978389669,"gmtModify":1708978393178,"author":{"id":"4169783945382972","authorId":"4169783945382972","name":"BeingLucid","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4169783945382972","authorIdStr":"4169783945382972"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SOUN\">$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$ </a> Having a wee run today.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SOUN\">$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$ </a> Having a wee run today.","text":"$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$ Having a wee run today.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d5780fdfbf95f9ca260c9712f0efd154","width":"720","height":"1070"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/278326299123864","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":120,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":277225679282192,"gmtCreate":1708708046776,"gmtModify":1708708049380,"author":{"id":"4169783945382972","authorId":"4169783945382972","name":"BeingLucid","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4169783945382972","authorIdStr":"4169783945382972"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SMCI\">$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ </a> This is a Meme Bet and I don't think it will see $1000 again this year.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SMCI\">$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ </a> This is a Meme Bet and I don't think it will see $1000 again this year.","text":"$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ This is a Meme Bet and I don't think it will see $1000 again this year.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/277225679282192","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":101,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":276882790613032,"gmtCreate":1708624335527,"gmtModify":1708624339708,"author":{"id":"4169783945382972","authorId":"4169783945382972","name":"BeingLucid","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4169783945382972","authorIdStr":"4169783945382972"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$782.53","listText":"$782.53","text":"$782.53","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/276882790613032","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":165,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":275703391051856,"gmtCreate":1708333221927,"gmtModify":1708333226118,"author":{"id":"4169783945382972","authorId":"4169783945382972","name":"BeingLucid","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4169783945382972","authorIdStr":"4169783945382972"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/275703391051856","repostId":"2412996033","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2412996033","pubTimestamp":1708264800,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2412996033?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-02-18 22:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Get Rich Quick With These 3 AI Stocks to Buy Now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2412996033","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Jump on the AI revolution with three AI stocks poised for rapid growth. Don't miss out on these potential wealth generators in the tech boom.","content":"<html><body><article>\n<header>\n<div>\n<div>\n<ul>\n<li>Round out the technology side of your portfolio with these up-and-coming stocks.</li>\n<li><strong>Pegasystems</strong> (<span><strong><u>PEGA</u></strong></span>): It guides for strong contract value growth amidst restructuring.</li>\n<li><strong>Recursion Pharmaceuticals</strong> (<span><strong><u>RXRX</u></strong></span>): The biotech firm anticipates significant trial results in the second half of the year.</li>\n<li><strong>SoundHound AI</strong> (<span><strong><u>SOUN</u></strong></span>): The firm targets profitability with strategic restructuring and strong Q4 revenue.</li>\n</ul> </div>\n<div></div>\n<figure>\n<div>\n<img decoding=\"async\" height=\"432\" sizes=\"(max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" src=\"https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/ai-stocks1600-5-768x432.png\" srcset=\"https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/ai-stocks1600-5-768x432.png 768w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/ai-stocks1600-5-300x169.png 300w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/ai-stocks1600-5-1024x576.png 1024w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/ai-stocks1600-5-1536x864.png 1536w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/ai-stocks1600-5-200x113.png 200w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/ai-stocks1600-5-400x225.png 400w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/ai-stocks1600-5-116x65.png 116w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/ai-stocks1600-5-100x56.png 100w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/ai-stocks1600-5-89x50.png 89w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/ai-stocks1600-5-78x44.png 78w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/ai-stocks1600-5.png 1600w\" width=\"768\"/> </div>\n<figcaption>\n<p>Source: whiteMocca / Shutterstock.com</p>\n</figcaption>\n</figure>\n<div>\n<p>Are you an investor who is feeling bullish on the AI revolution? </p>\n<p>The future is uncertain for the depth and impact that artificial intelligence may have. But, certain companies are well-positioned to capitalize on their AI stocks. These firms develop core AI technologies and machine learning algorithms. Then, businesses apply AI in innovative ways across industries like healthcare, finance, and automotive. </p>\n<p>So, for investors looking to get rich quickly, let’s explore three AI stocks to buy now. The valuations of these companies could change quickly due to their small market caps, so investors should take action swiftly.</p>\n<h2>Pegasystems (PEGA)</h2>\n<div><img decoding=\"async\" height=\"169\" loading=\"lazy\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" src=\"https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/magnificent-7-mnm-ai1600-300x169.png\" srcset=\"https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/magnificent-7-mnm-ai1600-300x169.png 300w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/magnificent-7-mnm-ai1600-1024x576.png 1024w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/magnificent-7-mnm-ai1600-768x432.png 768w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/magnificent-7-mnm-ai1600-1536x864.png 1536w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/magnificent-7-mnm-ai1600-200x113.png 200w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/magnificent-7-mnm-ai1600-400x225.png 400w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/magnificent-7-mnm-ai1600-116x65.png 116w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/magnificent-7-mnm-ai1600-100x56.png 100w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/magnificent-7-mnm-ai1600-89x50.png 89w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/magnificent-7-mnm-ai1600-78x44.png 78w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/magnificent-7-mnm-ai1600.png 1600w\" width=\"300\"/><div>Source: Andrey_Popov / Shutterstock.com</div></div>\n<p><strong>Pegasystems</strong> (NASDAQ:<span><strong><u>PEGA</u></strong></span>) provides customer engagement and business process management. Despite some of the problems surrounding the stock, PEGA could be an excellent buy due to facing macroeconomic and structural problems for the company.</p>\n<p>The business is guiding for a full-year average contract value growth of 12% at the midpoint. This approach comes amidst broader economic concerns and an internal restructuring that included a 4% reduction in headcount.</p>\n<p>However, PEGA reported seeing significant revenue exceeding expectations due to outperformance in its subscription license segment. Also, tor 2024, the company’s guidance on revenue, EPS, and free cash flow has surpassed analysts’ expectations.</p>\n<p>Underlining the bull case is that eight Wall Street analysts have given Pegasystems a moderate buy rating, with a consensus price target of $56.</p>\n<h2>Recursion Pharmaceuticals (RXRX)</h2>\n<div><img decoding=\"async\" height=\"169\" loading=\"lazy\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" src=\"https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/rxrx1600-300x169.png\" srcset=\"https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/rxrx1600-300x169.png 300w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/rxrx1600-1024x576.png 1024w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/rxrx1600-768x432.png 768w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/rxrx1600-1536x864.png 1536w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/rxrx1600-200x113.png 200w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/rxrx1600-400x225.png 400w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/rxrx1600-116x65.png 116w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/rxrx1600-100x56.png 100w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/rxrx1600-89x50.png 89w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/rxrx1600-78x44.png 78w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/rxrx1600.png 1600w\" width=\"300\"/><div>Source: Piotr Swat / Shutterstock.com</div></div>\n<p><strong>Recursion Pharmaceuticals</strong> (NASDAQ:<span><strong><u>RXRX</u></strong></span>) specializes in drug discovery with its AI and machine learning algorithms.</p>\n<p>This year could be huge for RXRX because there are two major data readouts expected in the second half of the year. These include results from the phase 2 SYCAMORE trial for REC-994 and the phase 2/3 POPLAR study for REC-2282. These studies target cerebral cavernous malformation and Neurofibromatosis Type 2 (NF2), respectively, in areas with no approved drugs.</p>\n<p>While RXRX stock has had a negative free cash flow of $276 million over the past twelve months, the company reported a strong cash position with cash and cash equivalents totaling $389.5 million. This financial stability is increased by strategic partnerships, notably a $50 million investment from <strong>Nvidia</strong> (NASDAQ:<span><strong><u>NVDA</u></strong></span>).</p>\n<p>There are several analyst price targets for the stock averaging $16.8, which implies a potential increase of 35.16% from the current price.</p>\n<h2>SoundHound AI (SOUN)</h2>\n<div><img decoding=\"async\" height=\"169\" loading=\"lazy\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" src=\"https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/soun1600-1-300x169.png\" srcset=\"https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/soun1600-1-300x169.png 300w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/soun1600-1-1024x576.png 1024w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/soun1600-1-768x432.png 768w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/soun1600-1-1536x864.png 1536w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/soun1600-1-200x113.png 200w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/soun1600-1-400x225.png 400w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/soun1600-1-116x65.png 116w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/soun1600-1-100x56.png 100w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/soun1600-1-89x50.png 89w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/soun1600-1-78x44.png 78w, https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/soun1600-1.png 1600w\" width=\"300\"/><div>Source: rafapress / Shutterstock.com</div></div>\n<p><strong>SoundHound AI</strong> (NASDAQ:<span><strong><u>SOUN</u></strong></span>) offers advanced voice recognition and natural language understanding capabilities.</p>\n<p>Last year, the company announced targeted restructuring measures aimed at accelerating its path to profitability. This included an increased focus on its SaaS product, SoundHound for Restaurants. Also, the business reported a strong Q4 revenue, up 84% year over year (<strong>YOY</strong>).</p>\n<p>For this year, SOUN plans to capitalize on a $160 billion total addressable market across its core industries. The company’s strategic focus includes enhancing its product offerings and leveraging its extensive blue-chip client roster, particularly in the automotive industry.</p>\n<p>Analysts rate SOUN as a strong buy, with a 17.02% predicted upside for its stock price. Furthermore, analysts like Scott Buck from <strong>HC Wainwright &amp; Co. </strong>are even more bullish, giving it a price target of $5, which is an upside of 32.98%. Further, forecasted revenue for next year is 72.24 million, with a predicted increase for its EPS.</p>\n<p>Therefore, in light of these recent financial results and projections, SOUN is one of those AI stocks to buy.</p>\n<p><em>On the date of publication, Matthew Farley did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.</em></p>\n<div><p>Matthew started writing coverage of the financial markets during the crypto boom of 2017 and was also a team member of several fintech startups. He then started writing about Australian and U.S. equities for various publications. His work has appeared in MarketBeat, FXStreet, Cryptoslate, Seeking Alpha, and the New Scientist magazine, among others.</p></div><div><p>Artificial Intelligence, Technology</p></div><div><p>Growth Stocks</p></div>\n</div>\n<div>\n<div hidden=\"true\">\n<div>\n<svg fill=\"none\" height=\"32\" viewbox=\"0 0 261 32\" width=\"261\" xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg\">\n<path d=\"M38.8652 7.49652H42.2492V25.7517H38.8652V7.49652ZM60.0112 7.49652H63.3142V25.7517H60.0921L50.9278 13.1733V25.7517H47.6248V7.49652H50.8469L60.0112 20.0749V7.49652ZM66.5201 7.49652H70.2279L75.4578 21.8955L80.7685 7.49652H84.3144L77.1417 25.7517H73.5957L66.5201 7.49652ZM87.4232 7.49652H100.457V10.5418H90.8072V15.0601H99.5019V18.1054H90.8072V22.7064H100.781V25.7517H87.4232V7.49652ZM113.637 10.8563C112.666 10.5253 111.872 10.3598 111.063 10.3598C110.253 10.3598 109.622 10.5253 109.136 10.8563C108.65 11.1873 108.407 11.601 108.407 12.1803C108.407 12.6768 108.569 13.0906 108.893 13.4216C109.217 13.7526 109.622 14.0009 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https://investorplace.com/2024/02/get-rich-quick-with-these-3-ai-stocks-to-buy-now/.</p>\n<p>©2024 InvestorPlace Media, LLC</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</header></article></body></html>","source":"investorplace_stock_picks","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Get Rich Quick With These 3 AI Stocks to Buy Now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGet Rich Quick With These 3 AI Stocks to Buy Now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-02-18 22:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2024/02/get-rich-quick-with-these-3-ai-stocks-to-buy-now/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Round out the technology side of your portfolio with these up-and-coming stocks.\nPegasystems (PEGA): It guides for strong contract value growth amidst restructuring.\nRecursion Pharmaceuticals (RXRX): ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2024/02/get-rich-quick-with-these-3-ai-stocks-to-buy-now/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","IE00BD6J9T35.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN NEXT GENERATION MOBILITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","LU0444971666.USD":"天利全球科技基金","LU0061475181.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) AMERICAN \"AU\" (USD) ACC","LU0276348264.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL DYNAMIC REAL RETURN\"AUP\" (USD) INC","IE00BMPRXN33.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN 5G CONNECTIVITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","IE00BFSS8Q28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD-H","LU0708995401.HKD":"FRANKLIN U.S. OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (HKD) ACC","NVDA":"英伟达","IE0034235188.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL FOCUS EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","IE0009356076.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A2\" (USD) ACC","IE00B7KXQ091.USD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc USD","LU0320765059.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD","IE00BFSS7M15.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD-H","BK4549":"软银资本持仓","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","IE00BJJMRX11.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD","LU0642271901.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD-H","BK4529":"IDC概念","LU0079474960.USD":"联博美国增长基金A","PEGA":"Pegasystems Inc","SOUN":"SoundHound AI Inc","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","LU0640476718.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) US CONTRARIAN CORE EQ \"AU\" (USD) ACC","LU0061474960.USD":"天利环球焦点基金AU Acc","IE00BJJMRY28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD","IE00BMPRXR70.SGD":"Neuberger Berman 5G Connectivity A Acc SGD-H","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","RXRX":"Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc.","LU0109392836.USD":"富兰克林科技股A","BK4139":"生物科技","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","GB00BDT5M118.USD":"天利环球扩展Alpha基金A Acc","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2024/02/get-rich-quick-with-these-3-ai-stocks-to-buy-now/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2412996033","content_text":"Round out the technology side of your portfolio with these up-and-coming stocks.\nPegasystems (PEGA): It guides for strong contract value growth amidst restructuring.\nRecursion Pharmaceuticals (RXRX): The biotech firm anticipates significant trial results in the second half of the year.\nSoundHound AI (SOUN): The firm targets profitability with strategic restructuring and strong Q4 revenue.\n \n\n\n\n \n\nSource: whiteMocca / Shutterstock.com\n\n\n\nAre you an investor who is feeling bullish on the AI revolution? \nThe future is uncertain for the depth and impact that artificial intelligence may have. But, certain companies are well-positioned to capitalize on their AI stocks. These firms develop core AI technologies and machine learning algorithms. Then, businesses apply AI in innovative ways across industries like healthcare, finance, and automotive. \nSo, for investors looking to get rich quickly, let’s explore three AI stocks to buy now. The valuations of these companies could change quickly due to their small market caps, so investors should take action swiftly.\nPegasystems (PEGA)\nSource: Andrey_Popov / Shutterstock.com\nPegasystems (NASDAQ:PEGA) provides customer engagement and business process management. Despite some of the problems surrounding the stock, PEGA could be an excellent buy due to facing macroeconomic and structural problems for the company.\nThe business is guiding for a full-year average contract value growth of 12% at the midpoint. This approach comes amidst broader economic concerns and an internal restructuring that included a 4% reduction in headcount.\nHowever, PEGA reported seeing significant revenue exceeding expectations due to outperformance in its subscription license segment. Also, tor 2024, the company’s guidance on revenue, EPS, and free cash flow has surpassed analysts’ expectations.\nUnderlining the bull case is that eight Wall Street analysts have given Pegasystems a moderate buy rating, with a consensus price target of $56.\nRecursion Pharmaceuticals (RXRX)\nSource: Piotr Swat / Shutterstock.com\nRecursion Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:RXRX) specializes in drug discovery with its AI and machine learning algorithms.\nThis year could be huge for RXRX because there are two major data readouts expected in the second half of the year. These include results from the phase 2 SYCAMORE trial for REC-994 and the phase 2/3 POPLAR study for REC-2282. These studies target cerebral cavernous malformation and Neurofibromatosis Type 2 (NF2), respectively, in areas with no approved drugs.\nWhile RXRX stock has had a negative free cash flow of $276 million over the past twelve months, the company reported a strong cash position with cash and cash equivalents totaling $389.5 million. This financial stability is increased by strategic partnerships, notably a $50 million investment from Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA).\nThere are several analyst price targets for the stock averaging $16.8, which implies a potential increase of 35.16% from the current price.\nSoundHound AI (SOUN)\nSource: rafapress / Shutterstock.com\nSoundHound AI (NASDAQ:SOUN) offers advanced voice recognition and natural language understanding capabilities.\nLast year, the company announced targeted restructuring measures aimed at accelerating its path to profitability. This included an increased focus on its SaaS product, SoundHound for Restaurants. Also, the business reported a strong Q4 revenue, up 84% year over year (YOY).\nFor this year, SOUN plans to capitalize on a $160 billion total addressable market across its core industries. The company’s strategic focus includes enhancing its product offerings and leveraging its extensive blue-chip client roster, particularly in the automotive industry.\nAnalysts rate SOUN as a strong buy, with a 17.02% predicted upside for its stock price. Furthermore, analysts like Scott Buck from HC Wainwright & Co. are even more bullish, giving it a price target of $5, which is an upside of 32.98%. Further, forecasted revenue for next year is 72.24 million, with a predicted increase for its EPS.\nTherefore, in light of these recent financial results and projections, SOUN is one of those AI stocks to buy.\nOn the date of publication, Matthew Farley did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.\nMatthew started writing coverage of the financial markets during the crypto boom of 2017 and was also a team member of several fintech startups. He then started writing about Australian and U.S. equities for various publications. His work has appeared in MarketBeat, FXStreet, Cryptoslate, Seeking Alpha, and the New Scientist magazine, among others.Artificial Intelligence, TechnologyGrowth Stocks\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nSubmit\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nArticle printed from InvestorPlace Media, https://investorplace.com/2024/02/get-rich-quick-with-these-3-ai-stocks-to-buy-now/.\n©2024 InvestorPlace Media, LLC","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":80,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":274934342373496,"gmtCreate":1708160425741,"gmtModify":1708160430913,"author":{"id":"4169783945382972","authorId":"4169783945382972","name":"BeingLucid","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4169783945382972","authorIdStr":"4169783945382972"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"My achievement is having the courage to open a Tiger Account and begin investing in the share market for the first time. I intend to make regular twice-monthly contributions and see how I go. how do I get a Tiger t-shirt? lol","listText":"My achievement is having the courage to open a Tiger Account and begin investing in the share market for the first time. I intend to make regular twice-monthly contributions and see how I go. how do I get a Tiger t-shirt? lol","text":"My achievement is having the courage to open a Tiger Account and begin investing in the share market for the first time. I intend to make regular twice-monthly contributions and see how I go. how do I get a Tiger t-shirt? lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/274934342373496","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":66,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":274964630589552,"gmtCreate":1708167818340,"gmtModify":1708167823137,"author":{"id":"4169783945382972","authorId":"4169783945382972","name":"BeingLucid","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4169783945382972","authorIdStr":"4169783945382972"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good. I picked GOOG, AMD, and VOO for my entry into investing. Mostly VOO with a little of each of the other two. I'm taking it slow for now because I have never invested in shares before, so I'm still learning.","listText":"Good. I picked GOOG, AMD, and VOO for my entry into investing. Mostly VOO with a little of each of the other two. I'm taking it slow for now because I have never invested in shares before, so I'm still learning.","text":"Good. I picked GOOG, AMD, and VOO for my entry into investing. Mostly VOO with a little of each of the other two. I'm taking it slow for now because I have never invested in shares before, so I'm still learning.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/274964630589552","repostId":"2412732896","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":75,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":273831413596280,"gmtCreate":1707891156019,"gmtModify":1707891160928,"author":{"id":"4169783945382972","authorId":"4169783945382972","name":"BeingLucid","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4169783945382972","authorIdStr":"4169783945382972"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I don't understand why there are 49 analysts saying Strong Buy, Buy, or Hold. None of the 49 are saying sell. I read that Meta and Tesla and some others are going to buy AMD chips. Is that not encouraging?","listText":"I don't understand why there are 49 analysts saying Strong Buy, Buy, or Hold. None of the 49 are saying sell. I read that Meta and Tesla and some others are going to buy AMD chips. Is that not encouraging?","text":"I don't understand why there are 49 analysts saying Strong Buy, Buy, or Hold. None of the 49 are saying sell. I read that Meta and Tesla and some others are going to buy AMD chips. Is that not encouraging?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/273831413596280","repostId":"2411108323","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2411108323","pubTimestamp":1707888619,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2411108323?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-02-14 13:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMD: Take The Rescue Boat Already","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2411108323","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Advanced Micro Devices is a semiconductor company that has seen success in capturing market share from Intel and Nvidia.The current stock price of AMD is unreasonably high, given unrealistic growth ex","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Advanced Micro Devices is a semiconductor company that has seen success in capturing market share from Intel and Nvidia.</p></li><li><p>The current stock price of AMD is unreasonably high, given unrealistic growth expectations and the situation with share repurchases, making it a sell for long-term investors.</p></li><li><p>The history of AMD&#39;s stock price and market cap shows the risk of overpaying for the stock and the potential for limited further growth.</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aabf8f669b54b622ae2fb759d2b2316b\" tg-width=\"509\" tg-height=\"339\"/></p><p>Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) is another, alongside Nvidia (NVDA), it&#39;s known for successfully capturing market share from Intel (INTC) and achieving enormous returns as a result. While this mostly rode the rise of the video game industry, advances in AI in 2023 have opened further doors for the company and the semi industry broadly.</p><p>A recent rally has brought AMD to an all-time high over $170, a range at which it has traded flat for the last few weeks. For folks looking to &#34;survive the flood,&#34; I&#39;m going to explain why this price is unreasonably rich for this company, given the unrealistic growth expectations, previous peaks, and the situation with share repurchases, making the stock a SELL for long-term investors.</p><h2 id=\"id_556213205\">Reverse-Engineering the Valuation</h2><p>The first thing is to unpack is what&#39;s reflected in the current valuation of AMD. With a market cap around $278 billion, it&#39;s one of the most expensive companies out there, but that gives us room to compare the price to its current cash flows and derive certain growth assumptions. What has the cash flow history been?</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f00d177cd1702da079ab895431c41384\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"174\"/></p><p>Cash Flow Data (Seeking Alpha)</p><p></p><p>It&#39;s been pretty volatile over recent years, but the trend has been improvement and growth. In particular, COVID accelerated the growth of the video game industry (and thus demand for AMD&#39;s GPUs). While the COVID boom expired, it&#39;s selling more product than in 2019. I chose to average this mini-cycle shown in the years spanning 2020 - 2023. Using these totals of operating cash flows and capex, we get an average, annual free cash flow of slightly over $2 billion. We can then use a Discounted Cash Flow model to infer growth assumptions.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3eaeebf982d09df3ec2373c95983855\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"194\"/></p><p>Author&#39;s calculation</p><p></p><p>If we expect this level of FCF to grow at about 27% each year for the next decade—and for such continued growth to be reflected in the terminal multiple—that gets us to a similar market cap. We could tweak things between growth and multiples for fun, but that gives us a general idea.</p><p>Plenty of readers are aware of the Price-Earnings-Growth Ratio, or PEG. Developed by famed investor Peter Lynch and discussed in his book, <em>One Up on Wall Street</em>, it&#39;s a handy gauge for investors looking for &#34;growth at a reasonable price.&#34; Lynch concluded that if the P/E ratio (cash flow statements weren&#39;t standard until the 90s) is less than or equal to the average growth rate, a stock would likely be a good buy and produce profitable returns. There are a few excerpts of his worth examining. First, on growth rates:</p><blockquote><p>My favorites are the ones in the 20 to 25 percent range. I&#39;m wary of companies that seem to be growing faster than 25 percent. Those 50 percenters are usually in hot industries, and you know what that means.</p></blockquote><p>&#34;What that means&#34; is that increased competition or market saturation will soon follow. On high multiples, he wrote:</p><blockquote><p>...wonderful companies become risky investments <em>when people overpay</em>, using McDonald&#39;s as exhibit A. In 1972, the stock was bid up to a precarious 50 times earnings. With no way to &#34;live up to these expectations,&#34; the price fell from $75 to $25, a great buying opportunity at a &#34;more realistic&#34; 13 times earnings.</p></blockquote><p>McDonald&#39;s is a fast food chain, but his book is full of similar examples from other industries. Companies are only as valuable as they are capable of making money, and however successful the business, it will produce a finite amount of earnings, have a finite value, and thus deserve a finite stock price. If the P/FCF is about 48 on recent prices, that means either a golden age of growth is ahead or that AMD is grossly overpriced, and I believe the second is more likely.</p><p>What&#39;s the impact of AI to AMD&#39;s earnings? We don&#39;t know yet, and if we did, I doubt anyone would consider a multiple of 48 to be a bargain.</p><h2 id=\"id_4228085524\">Mystery of AI-Driven Growth</h2><p>The company has been laying out its intentions for AI-focused product. While some may quibble about whether or not NVDA is better for this, it still contributes to an overall rise in demand for chips.</p><p>What I find interesting is the sheer certainty that seems to exist on the value of AI. I&#39;ve seen reference to this figure by Statista, saying the market value of AI will be just under $2 trillion by the end of the decade. We can wonder how they reasonable came to that, but, let&#39;s just observe carefully what it says the abstract:</p><blockquote><p>The AI market covers a <strong>vast number of industries</strong>. Everything from supply chains, marketing, product making, research, analysis, and more are fields that will in some aspect adopt artificial intelligence within their business structures.</p></blockquote><p>In other words, the value of AI is going to felt in many places, not necessarily chip-makers. While stock prices of companies like AMD are up on this optimism, how certain is it that they will be the best investments? As I explored above, a business&#39;s fundamental value is in its cash flow, and price matters.</p><p>I also mentioned McDonald&#39;s above when quoting Lynch, but I think they can be useful again. While investors mainly started to see the potential of chains like McDonald&#39;s in the 70s, buyers of MCD at that time were simply late beneficiaries of the automobile revolution. Plenty of car manufacturers were started and went out of business in the first half of the 20th Century. If you picked Ford or GM, you were right. Meanwhile, other businesses developed their models to benefit from automobiles, such that it didn&#39;t matter whose car you bought.</p><p>Fast food doesn&#39;t care if you take a Pontiac to their drive-thru or not. GEICO gets to write an insurance policy either way (and it&#39;s been a great investment for Buffett). My point is that the winners and losers of technological revolution may not all become clear at once. In fact, there&#39;s always an element of trial and error that spans years.</p><p>Investors who get overeager can price in growth that hasn&#39;t occurred in a stock like AMD, and they may tie up their capital while overlooking other opportunities that are soon to arrive.</p><h2 id=\"id_1489106187\">History of the Share Price</h2><p>Unlike some other currently popular stocks, AMD has been around for a long time. We can look at the history of its stock and various ups and downs. With the power of copying and pasting (sadly, not generative AI), I got a chart that marks the dates of different peaks in the stock&#39;s history. To assist further, here are the prices:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>May 29, 2000: <strong>$45.07</strong></p></li><li><p>Feb. 13, 2006: <strong>$40.33</strong></p></li><li><p>Nov. 22, 2021: <strong>$154.81</strong></p></li></ul><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3e87029494fe2cf84ad2467f7b91c81\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"225\"/></p><p>AMD Price History (Seeking Alpha)</p><p></p><p>The market has shown tremendous ability to change its mind about this company and stock throughout its life. No doubt, people believed that AMD&#39;s chips would be needed during the Dot Com Bubble, and they were right. They were also early, and usually it pays to be early in investing, just not when you overpay (as Lynch argued). Only recently, 20 years after that peak, did AMD reach the kind of earnings that its Dot Com pricing implied. Thus, the cardinal sin was rewarding a stock price before a company had actually delivered.</p><p>With the current peak and that the kind of multiple, one has to wonder if there is this same danger of being too early and at too high of a price. Not only that, one has to wonder if the risk is even greater now.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13d60b236bc55a2e60558e8a5c3a74b8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"230\"/></p><p>AMD Market Cap (Seeking Alpha)</p><p></p><p>People often consider the stock price history, but I think the history of the market cap is more important because it shows just how much the company has grown (or not grown). While today&#39;s peak is only about 4x that of 2000&#39;s, the market cap is more than 20x. Today&#39;s stock price is for astronomical growth of a much larger company. All else being equal, 2000&#39;s price was less risky because there was a least more room to grow, and I think that&#39;s another major risk that investors are overlooking.</p><h2 id=\"id_3991879825\">The Indirect Capex of SBC</h2><p>Stock-based compensation, or SBC, is a figure that is resolved in the cash flow statement because it is a non-cash item. When calculating free cash flow, we need to know how much cash the company is actually generating, so figures like these get removed.</p><p>Similarly, since cash spent on buybacks or dividends goes to shareholders, we don&#39;t count that like we would capex. Yet, for practical purposes, it may be wise to do so for some companies.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75dd6ee8d5cb8fd52b4ef0f08e2ad7cd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"189\"/></p><p>Cash Flow Statement (2023 Form 10K)</p><p></p><p>Above I have condensed the 2023 cash flow statement for AMD to make it easier to see the figure for SBC, operating cash flows, capex, and repurchases of common stock. Please note that SBC is well in excess of capex for each of the last three years, that it has been growing, and that about $6.5b was spent in buybacks over the last three years. Some of that sum is effectively a form of capex.</p><p>Realistically, this makes free cash flow lower by transferring an operating expense (as in, just paying employees more money) to the buybacks (which are in the cash flow statement). Whether this is intentional is unimportant. The impact is the same either way, and it&#39;s a subtle detail that investors should know.</p><p>Most importantly, it suggests that my estimate of FCF of $2b earlier was a bit too high (again, from a practical lens, not how FCF is typically defined). Considering this rising trend of SBC and buybacks during years when the stock is at a high, one has to wonder what a practical estimate is, but it could be a $1b or less. To me, that suggests that AMD&#39;s multiple is not only high for the market cap but doubly so for individual shares, magnifying the risk.</p><h2 id=\"id_1541592541\">Conclusion</h2><p>The parable of the drowning man tells of someone who was trapped in a flood. As the waters rose and rose, forcing him to higher levels of his house, three rescue attempts (usually two boats and a helicopter) were made to him. Each time, he refused help, saying that God would rescue him. After he drowns in the flood, he asks God in Heaven why he didn&#39;t save him, and God tells him, &#34;I sent you two boats and a helicopter.&#34;</p><p>In discussions (that I see or where I participate) there is this devotion to an idea of endlessly rising returns, without thought for a fair price based on financial ability. This can be dangerous when the hopeful assumptions baked into a stock price either fail to deliver or take 20 years instead of 5 to do so. 2022 showed what can happen to shares of AMD when a vision is shattered.</p><p>Folks don&#39;t make money buy overpaying for stocks. They also don&#39;t make money by holding them forever, however cheaply they got them. They make money by selling and locking in a profit at some point in time. With many rises and falls over its years, investors today are offered an exit price that is over 100x its recent free cash flows. With growth assumptions that may never materialize, limited further by the depletive power of share-based compensation and buybacks, a price around $170 may not come again for a long time. For these reasons, I think it&#39;s wise to take the rescue boat and SELL.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMD: Take The Rescue Boat Already</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMD: Take The Rescue Boat Already\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-02-14 13:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4669945-amd-take-the-rescue-boat-already><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Advanced Micro Devices is a semiconductor company that has seen success in capturing market share from Intel and Nvidia.The current stock price of AMD is unreasonably high, given unrealistic growth ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4669945-amd-take-the-rescue-boat-already\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1951200564.SGD":"Natixis Thematics AI & Robotics Fund R/A SGD","BK4575":"芯片概念","IE00BJTD4N35.SGD":"Neuberger Berman US Long Short Equity A1  Acc SGD-H","BK4587":"ChatGPT概念","NVDA":"英伟达","IE0009356076.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU1585245621.USD":"EASTSPRING INV GLOBAL LOW VOLATILITY EQUITY FUND \"A\" (USD) ACC B","IE00B7KXQ091.USD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc USD","LU0256863811.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY \"A\" INC","LU1923623000.USD":"Natixis Thematics AI & Robotics Fund R/A USD","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4141":"半导体产品","BK4588":"碎股","LU0109391861.USD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金A Acc","IE00B19Z9505.USD":"美盛-美国大盘成长股A Acc","IE0004445239.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON US FORTY \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","LU1988902786.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS GLOBAL ABSOLUTE ALPHA \"I\" (USD) ACC","IE00BJJMRX11.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","GB00BDT5M118.USD":"天利环球扩展Alpha基金A Acc","LU0079474960.USD":"联博美国增长基金A","BK4573":"虚拟现实","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0061474960.USD":"天利环球焦点基金AU Acc","LU0353189680.USD":"富国美国全盘成长基金Cl A Acc","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","LU1989764664.SGD":"CPR Invest - Global Disruptive Opportunities A2 Acc SGD-H","IE00BKDWB100.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5H\" (SGDHDG) ACC","LU0321505868.SGD":"Schroder ISF Global Dividend Maximiser A Dis SGD","LU1244550577.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Global Multi-Asset Income A (Mdis) SGD-H1","IE0034235188.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL FOCUS EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0353189763.USD":"ALLSPRING  US ALL CAP GROWTH FUND \"I\" (USD) ACC","AMD":"美国超微公司","LU2264538146.SGD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Global Absolute Alpha A Acc SGD","BK4529":"IDC概念","LU0708995401.HKD":"FRANKLIN U.S. OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (HKD) ACC","INTC":"英特尔","GFS":"GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","MCD":"麦当劳","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","IE00BFSS8Q28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD-H","LU1951198990.SGD":"Natixis Thematics AI & Robotics Fund H-R/A SGD-H"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4669945-amd-take-the-rescue-boat-already","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2411108323","content_text":"Advanced Micro Devices is a semiconductor company that has seen success in capturing market share from Intel and Nvidia.The current stock price of AMD is unreasonably high, given unrealistic growth expectations and the situation with share repurchases, making it a sell for long-term investors.The history of AMD's stock price and market cap shows the risk of overpaying for the stock and the potential for limited further growth.Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) is another, alongside Nvidia (NVDA), it's known for successfully capturing market share from Intel (INTC) and achieving enormous returns as a result. While this mostly rode the rise of the video game industry, advances in AI in 2023 have opened further doors for the company and the semi industry broadly.A recent rally has brought AMD to an all-time high over $170, a range at which it has traded flat for the last few weeks. For folks looking to \"survive the flood,\" I'm going to explain why this price is unreasonably rich for this company, given the unrealistic growth expectations, previous peaks, and the situation with share repurchases, making the stock a SELL for long-term investors.Reverse-Engineering the ValuationThe first thing is to unpack is what's reflected in the current valuation of AMD. With a market cap around $278 billion, it's one of the most expensive companies out there, but that gives us room to compare the price to its current cash flows and derive certain growth assumptions. What has the cash flow history been?Cash Flow Data (Seeking Alpha)It's been pretty volatile over recent years, but the trend has been improvement and growth. In particular, COVID accelerated the growth of the video game industry (and thus demand for AMD's GPUs). While the COVID boom expired, it's selling more product than in 2019. I chose to average this mini-cycle shown in the years spanning 2020 - 2023. Using these totals of operating cash flows and capex, we get an average, annual free cash flow of slightly over $2 billion. We can then use a Discounted Cash Flow model to infer growth assumptions.Author's calculationIf we expect this level of FCF to grow at about 27% each year for the next decade—and for such continued growth to be reflected in the terminal multiple—that gets us to a similar market cap. We could tweak things between growth and multiples for fun, but that gives us a general idea.Plenty of readers are aware of the Price-Earnings-Growth Ratio, or PEG. Developed by famed investor Peter Lynch and discussed in his book, One Up on Wall Street, it's a handy gauge for investors looking for \"growth at a reasonable price.\" Lynch concluded that if the P/E ratio (cash flow statements weren't standard until the 90s) is less than or equal to the average growth rate, a stock would likely be a good buy and produce profitable returns. There are a few excerpts of his worth examining. First, on growth rates:My favorites are the ones in the 20 to 25 percent range. I'm wary of companies that seem to be growing faster than 25 percent. Those 50 percenters are usually in hot industries, and you know what that means.\"What that means\" is that increased competition or market saturation will soon follow. On high multiples, he wrote:...wonderful companies become risky investments when people overpay, using McDonald's as exhibit A. In 1972, the stock was bid up to a precarious 50 times earnings. With no way to \"live up to these expectations,\" the price fell from $75 to $25, a great buying opportunity at a \"more realistic\" 13 times earnings.McDonald's is a fast food chain, but his book is full of similar examples from other industries. Companies are only as valuable as they are capable of making money, and however successful the business, it will produce a finite amount of earnings, have a finite value, and thus deserve a finite stock price. If the P/FCF is about 48 on recent prices, that means either a golden age of growth is ahead or that AMD is grossly overpriced, and I believe the second is more likely.What's the impact of AI to AMD's earnings? We don't know yet, and if we did, I doubt anyone would consider a multiple of 48 to be a bargain.Mystery of AI-Driven GrowthThe company has been laying out its intentions for AI-focused product. While some may quibble about whether or not NVDA is better for this, it still contributes to an overall rise in demand for chips.What I find interesting is the sheer certainty that seems to exist on the value of AI. I've seen reference to this figure by Statista, saying the market value of AI will be just under $2 trillion by the end of the decade. We can wonder how they reasonable came to that, but, let's just observe carefully what it says the abstract:The AI market covers a vast number of industries. Everything from supply chains, marketing, product making, research, analysis, and more are fields that will in some aspect adopt artificial intelligence within their business structures.In other words, the value of AI is going to felt in many places, not necessarily chip-makers. While stock prices of companies like AMD are up on this optimism, how certain is it that they will be the best investments? As I explored above, a business's fundamental value is in its cash flow, and price matters.I also mentioned McDonald's above when quoting Lynch, but I think they can be useful again. While investors mainly started to see the potential of chains like McDonald's in the 70s, buyers of MCD at that time were simply late beneficiaries of the automobile revolution. Plenty of car manufacturers were started and went out of business in the first half of the 20th Century. If you picked Ford or GM, you were right. Meanwhile, other businesses developed their models to benefit from automobiles, such that it didn't matter whose car you bought.Fast food doesn't care if you take a Pontiac to their drive-thru or not. GEICO gets to write an insurance policy either way (and it's been a great investment for Buffett). My point is that the winners and losers of technological revolution may not all become clear at once. In fact, there's always an element of trial and error that spans years.Investors who get overeager can price in growth that hasn't occurred in a stock like AMD, and they may tie up their capital while overlooking other opportunities that are soon to arrive.History of the Share PriceUnlike some other currently popular stocks, AMD has been around for a long time. We can look at the history of its stock and various ups and downs. With the power of copying and pasting (sadly, not generative AI), I got a chart that marks the dates of different peaks in the stock's history. To assist further, here are the prices:May 29, 2000: $45.07Feb. 13, 2006: $40.33Nov. 22, 2021: $154.81AMD Price History (Seeking Alpha)The market has shown tremendous ability to change its mind about this company and stock throughout its life. No doubt, people believed that AMD's chips would be needed during the Dot Com Bubble, and they were right. They were also early, and usually it pays to be early in investing, just not when you overpay (as Lynch argued). Only recently, 20 years after that peak, did AMD reach the kind of earnings that its Dot Com pricing implied. Thus, the cardinal sin was rewarding a stock price before a company had actually delivered.With the current peak and that the kind of multiple, one has to wonder if there is this same danger of being too early and at too high of a price. Not only that, one has to wonder if the risk is even greater now.AMD Market Cap (Seeking Alpha)People often consider the stock price history, but I think the history of the market cap is more important because it shows just how much the company has grown (or not grown). While today's peak is only about 4x that of 2000's, the market cap is more than 20x. Today's stock price is for astronomical growth of a much larger company. All else being equal, 2000's price was less risky because there was a least more room to grow, and I think that's another major risk that investors are overlooking.The Indirect Capex of SBCStock-based compensation, or SBC, is a figure that is resolved in the cash flow statement because it is a non-cash item. When calculating free cash flow, we need to know how much cash the company is actually generating, so figures like these get removed.Similarly, since cash spent on buybacks or dividends goes to shareholders, we don't count that like we would capex. Yet, for practical purposes, it may be wise to do so for some companies.Cash Flow Statement (2023 Form 10K)Above I have condensed the 2023 cash flow statement for AMD to make it easier to see the figure for SBC, operating cash flows, capex, and repurchases of common stock. Please note that SBC is well in excess of capex for each of the last three years, that it has been growing, and that about $6.5b was spent in buybacks over the last three years. Some of that sum is effectively a form of capex.Realistically, this makes free cash flow lower by transferring an operating expense (as in, just paying employees more money) to the buybacks (which are in the cash flow statement). Whether this is intentional is unimportant. The impact is the same either way, and it's a subtle detail that investors should know.Most importantly, it suggests that my estimate of FCF of $2b earlier was a bit too high (again, from a practical lens, not how FCF is typically defined). Considering this rising trend of SBC and buybacks during years when the stock is at a high, one has to wonder what a practical estimate is, but it could be a $1b or less. To me, that suggests that AMD's multiple is not only high for the market cap but doubly so for individual shares, magnifying the risk.ConclusionThe parable of the drowning man tells of someone who was trapped in a flood. As the waters rose and rose, forcing him to higher levels of his house, three rescue attempts (usually two boats and a helicopter) were made to him. Each time, he refused help, saying that God would rescue him. After he drowns in the flood, he asks God in Heaven why he didn't save him, and God tells him, \"I sent you two boats and a helicopter.\"In discussions (that I see or where I participate) there is this devotion to an idea of endlessly rising returns, without thought for a fair price based on financial ability. This can be dangerous when the hopeful assumptions baked into a stock price either fail to deliver or take 20 years instead of 5 to do so. 2022 showed what can happen to shares of AMD when a vision is shattered.Folks don't make money buy overpaying for stocks. They also don't make money by holding them forever, however cheaply they got them. They make money by selling and locking in a profit at some point in time. With many rises and falls over its years, investors today are offered an exit price that is over 100x its recent free cash flows. With growth assumptions that may never materialize, limited further by the depletive power of share-based compensation and buybacks, a price around $170 may not come again for a long time. For these reasons, I think it's wise to take the rescue boat and SELL.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":293,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":270457649627368,"gmtCreate":1707038664772,"gmtModify":1707038906516,"author":{"id":"4169783945382972","authorId":"4169783945382972","name":"BeingLucid","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4169783945382972","authorIdStr":"4169783945382972"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yeah, I would like some opinions too.","listText":"Yeah, I would like some opinions too.","text":"Yeah, I would like some opinions too.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/270457649627368","repostId":"2408948070","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2408948070","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1707021348,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2408948070?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-02-04 12:35","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"1987 Stock-Market Crash Has Lessons for Traders Convinced Fed Will Slash Rates in 2024","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2408948070","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Fed 'knows the cautionary tale' of 1985-86: DataTrek's Colas. Investors appear to be banking on the Federal Reserve embarking this year on a historically aggressive round of interest rate cuts even as the economy avoids a hard landing.Fed policy makers have seen this movie before and didn't care for the ending, said Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research, in a Tuesday note. Investors may want to review the plot and adjust their expectations.Fed-funds futures traders are pricing in five to six rate cuts of a quarter percentage point each between now and the end of the year, in contrast to the Fed's Summary of Economic Projections, also known as the \"dot plot,\" which calls for only three quarter-point rate cuts in 2024.Related: Why analysts say the Fed risks clogging the financial plumbing without a policy change. Meanwhile, stocks have returned to all-time highs, with the S&P 500 SPX and Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA each logging their sixth record close of 2024 on Monday.M","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>No recession, no problem? Investors appear to be banking on the Federal Reserve embarking this year on a historically aggressive round of interest rate cuts even as the economy avoids a hard landing.</p><p>Fed policy makers have seen this movie before and didn&#39;t care for the ending, said Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research, in a Tuesday note. Investors may want to review the plot and adjust their expectations.</p><p>Fed-funds futures traders are pricing in five to six rate cuts of a quarter percentage point each between now and the end of the year, in contrast to the Fed&#39;s Summary of Economic Projections, also known as the &#34;dot plot,&#34; which calls for only three quarter-point rate cuts in 2024.</p><p>Economists have tied the aggressive rate-cut pricing to expectations the Fed will look to keep real, or inflation-adjusted, rates steady if inflation continues to decline. The Fed is widely expected to leave the fed-funds rate at 5.25%-5.50% when it concludes its two-day policy meeting Wednesday, with the market pricing in a better than 50% chance of a cut by the next meeting in March.</p><p>Meanwhile, stocks have returned to all-time highs, with the S&amp;P 500 SPX and Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA each logging their sixth record close of 2024 on Monday.</p><p>DataTrek took a look back at past easing cycles to see how market expectations for a decline of at least 1.25 percentage points over the coming year lined up with past easing cycles. As shown in the chart below, they found only one instance in the last 44 years in which the Fed cut rates by 1.25 percentage points or more within a year when a recession wasn&#39;t under way or seen clearly in the offing.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bbd92bbb988cd5a8e7ab6c2f422e4ca\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"265\"/></p><p>It occurred in 1985-86. The Fed had lifted the fed-funds rate to 11.6% in August 1984 before beginning a mid-cycle easing program that took it to 5.9% by October 1986.</p><p>Those cuts added fuel to a stock-market rally, with the S&amp;P 500 up 31% in 1985, up 18% in 1986, and up another 31% through the end of September 1987, Colas noted.</p><p>Students of market history know what happened next. Black Monday - Oct. 19, 1987 - saw the S&amp;P 500 plunge more than 20% in a single day, while the Dow dropped 23%. The S&amp;P 500 ended the fourth quarter of 1987 with a loss of 23%.</p><p>&#34;The Fed knows the cautionary tale of 1985-1986 and, at lower absolute policy rates now, they have even more reason to be cautious about the pace of rate cuts in 2024,&#34; Colas wrote. &#34;Without an imminent recession, there is simply no precedent for +1.0 points of rate cuts this year.&#34;</p><p>Moreover, &#34;stocks are already doing well enough that the risk of sparking an unsustainable rally (a la 1987) is very high indeed,&#34; he wrote.</p><p>Colas acknowledged the possibility that fed-funds futures are &#34;trying to tell us something&#34; about the potential for a recession.</p><p>Indeed, the seeming contradiction between fed-funds and other markets has attracted plenty of attention. Strategists at Deutsche Bank earlier this month noted that the degree of cuts factored in by the market have almost always been accompanied by recession, while the mid-1980s episode came after rates had been hiked into highly restrictive territory as the Paul Volcker-led Fed squeezed inflation into submission.</p><p>Colas, however, doubts the short-term rates market is sending up an economic warning flare.</p><p>Fed-funds futures traders &#34;are likely betting that the Fed will want to become less restrictive as inflation continues to decline,&#34; Colas said. &#34;By the math, that&#39;s fair enough. It does not, however, fit with either the historical data or the Fed&#39;s institutional memory.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>1987 Stock-Market Crash Has Lessons for Traders Convinced Fed Will Slash Rates in 2024</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n1987 Stock-Market Crash Has Lessons for Traders Convinced Fed Will Slash Rates in 2024\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-02-04 12:35</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>No recession, no problem? Investors appear to be banking on the Federal Reserve embarking this year on a historically aggressive round of interest rate cuts even as the economy avoids a hard landing.</p><p>Fed policy makers have seen this movie before and didn&#39;t care for the ending, said Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research, in a Tuesday note. Investors may want to review the plot and adjust their expectations.</p><p>Fed-funds futures traders are pricing in five to six rate cuts of a quarter percentage point each between now and the end of the year, in contrast to the Fed&#39;s Summary of Economic Projections, also known as the &#34;dot plot,&#34; which calls for only three quarter-point rate cuts in 2024.</p><p>Economists have tied the aggressive rate-cut pricing to expectations the Fed will look to keep real, or inflation-adjusted, rates steady if inflation continues to decline. The Fed is widely expected to leave the fed-funds rate at 5.25%-5.50% when it concludes its two-day policy meeting Wednesday, with the market pricing in a better than 50% chance of a cut by the next meeting in March.</p><p>Meanwhile, stocks have returned to all-time highs, with the S&amp;P 500 SPX and Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA each logging their sixth record close of 2024 on Monday.</p><p>DataTrek took a look back at past easing cycles to see how market expectations for a decline of at least 1.25 percentage points over the coming year lined up with past easing cycles. As shown in the chart below, they found only one instance in the last 44 years in which the Fed cut rates by 1.25 percentage points or more within a year when a recession wasn&#39;t under way or seen clearly in the offing.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bbd92bbb988cd5a8e7ab6c2f422e4ca\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"265\"/></p><p>It occurred in 1985-86. The Fed had lifted the fed-funds rate to 11.6% in August 1984 before beginning a mid-cycle easing program that took it to 5.9% by October 1986.</p><p>Those cuts added fuel to a stock-market rally, with the S&amp;P 500 up 31% in 1985, up 18% in 1986, and up another 31% through the end of September 1987, Colas noted.</p><p>Students of market history know what happened next. Black Monday - Oct. 19, 1987 - saw the S&amp;P 500 plunge more than 20% in a single day, while the Dow dropped 23%. The S&amp;P 500 ended the fourth quarter of 1987 with a loss of 23%.</p><p>&#34;The Fed knows the cautionary tale of 1985-1986 and, at lower absolute policy rates now, they have even more reason to be cautious about the pace of rate cuts in 2024,&#34; Colas wrote. &#34;Without an imminent recession, there is simply no precedent for +1.0 points of rate cuts this year.&#34;</p><p>Moreover, &#34;stocks are already doing well enough that the risk of sparking an unsustainable rally (a la 1987) is very high indeed,&#34; he wrote.</p><p>Colas acknowledged the possibility that fed-funds futures are &#34;trying to tell us something&#34; about the potential for a recession.</p><p>Indeed, the seeming contradiction between fed-funds and other markets has attracted plenty of attention. Strategists at Deutsche Bank earlier this month noted that the degree of cuts factored in by the market have almost always been accompanied by recession, while the mid-1980s episode came after rates had been hiked into highly restrictive territory as the Paul Volcker-led Fed squeezed inflation into submission.</p><p>Colas, however, doubts the short-term rates market is sending up an economic warning flare.</p><p>Fed-funds futures traders &#34;are likely betting that the Fed will want to become less restrictive as inflation continues to decline,&#34; Colas said. &#34;By the math, that&#39;s fair enough. It does not, however, fit with either the historical data or the Fed&#39;s institutional memory.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","OEX":"标普100","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4588":"碎股","BK4504":"桥水持仓","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2408948070","content_text":"No recession, no problem? Investors appear to be banking on the Federal Reserve embarking this year on a historically aggressive round of interest rate cuts even as the economy avoids a hard landing.Fed policy makers have seen this movie before and didn't care for the ending, said Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research, in a Tuesday note. Investors may want to review the plot and adjust their expectations.Fed-funds futures traders are pricing in five to six rate cuts of a quarter percentage point each between now and the end of the year, in contrast to the Fed's Summary of Economic Projections, also known as the \"dot plot,\" which calls for only three quarter-point rate cuts in 2024.Economists have tied the aggressive rate-cut pricing to expectations the Fed will look to keep real, or inflation-adjusted, rates steady if inflation continues to decline. The Fed is widely expected to leave the fed-funds rate at 5.25%-5.50% when it concludes its two-day policy meeting Wednesday, with the market pricing in a better than 50% chance of a cut by the next meeting in March.Meanwhile, stocks have returned to all-time highs, with the S&P 500 SPX and Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA each logging their sixth record close of 2024 on Monday.DataTrek took a look back at past easing cycles to see how market expectations for a decline of at least 1.25 percentage points over the coming year lined up with past easing cycles. As shown in the chart below, they found only one instance in the last 44 years in which the Fed cut rates by 1.25 percentage points or more within a year when a recession wasn't under way or seen clearly in the offing.It occurred in 1985-86. The Fed had lifted the fed-funds rate to 11.6% in August 1984 before beginning a mid-cycle easing program that took it to 5.9% by October 1986.Those cuts added fuel to a stock-market rally, with the S&P 500 up 31% in 1985, up 18% in 1986, and up another 31% through the end of September 1987, Colas noted.Students of market history know what happened next. Black Monday - Oct. 19, 1987 - saw the S&P 500 plunge more than 20% in a single day, while the Dow dropped 23%. The S&P 500 ended the fourth quarter of 1987 with a loss of 23%.\"The Fed knows the cautionary tale of 1985-1986 and, at lower absolute policy rates now, they have even more reason to be cautious about the pace of rate cuts in 2024,\" Colas wrote. \"Without an imminent recession, there is simply no precedent for +1.0 points of rate cuts this year.\"Moreover, \"stocks are already doing well enough that the risk of sparking an unsustainable rally (a la 1987) is very high indeed,\" he wrote.Colas acknowledged the possibility that fed-funds futures are \"trying to tell us something\" about the potential for a recession.Indeed, the seeming contradiction between fed-funds and other markets has attracted plenty of attention. Strategists at Deutsche Bank earlier this month noted that the degree of cuts factored in by the market have almost always been accompanied by recession, while the mid-1980s episode came after rates had been hiked into highly restrictive territory as the Paul Volcker-led Fed squeezed inflation into submission.Colas, however, doubts the short-term rates market is sending up an economic warning flare.Fed-funds futures traders \"are likely betting that the Fed will want to become less restrictive as inflation continues to decline,\" Colas said. \"By the math, that's fair enough. It does not, however, fit with either the historical data or the Fed's institutional memory.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":251,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":284795682103424,"gmtCreate":1710536281537,"gmtModify":1710536285301,"author":{"id":"4169783945382972","authorId":"4169783945382972","name":"BeingLucid","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4169783945382972","authorIdStr":"4169783945382972"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a> I have no confidence in Tesla in the short term. Long term is another question. They need a major technological advance. Ghat will re-energize their stock.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a> I have no confidence in Tesla in the short term. Long term is another question. They need a major technological advance. Ghat will re-energize their stock.","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ I have no confidence in Tesla in the short term. Long term is another question. They need a major technological advance. Ghat will re-energize their stock.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/284795682103424","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":359,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":274199692009608,"gmtCreate":1707981224059,"gmtModify":1707981228791,"author":{"id":"4169783945382972","authorId":"4169783945382972","name":"BeingLucid","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4169783945382972","authorIdStr":"4169783945382972"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Two articles in two days about why you don't like AMD. And still we have strong buy, buy, and hold, by 49 other analysts. What is your agenda?","listText":"Two articles in two days about why you don't like AMD. And still we have strong buy, buy, and hold, by 49 other analysts. What is your agenda?","text":"Two articles in two days about why you don't like AMD. And still we have strong buy, buy, and hold, by 49 other analysts. What is your agenda?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/274199692009608","repostId":"2411730416","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":205,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":274547076841768,"gmtCreate":1708066046370,"gmtModify":1708066050523,"author":{"id":"4169783945382972","authorId":"4169783945382972","name":"BeingLucid","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4169783945382972","authorIdStr":"4169783945382972"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bring it!","listText":"Bring it!","text":"Bring it!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/274547076841768","repostId":"2411213855","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2411213855","pubTimestamp":1708065695,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2411213855?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-02-16 14:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMD: Potential Upside Increases Amidst Strong Growth","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2411213855","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Financial Performance: Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. Q4 2023 earnings surpassed estimates, driven by robust growth in embedded and data center segments, though tempered by reduced Q1 2024 forecasts, no","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Financial Performance: Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. Q4 2023 earnings surpassed estimates, driven by robust growth in embedded and data center segments, though tempered by reduced Q1 2024 forecasts, notably in gaming.</p></li><li><p>Market Dynamics: The data center market, especially AI-driven segments, shows strong growth prospects, alongside steady expansion in the PC and embedded processor markets.</p></li><li><p>Financial Health: Despite fluctuating operating income, AMD has seen significant annual revenue and net income growth since 2017, with improving margins and a solid balance sheet.</p></li><li><p>Valuation Models: Two valuation models indicate substantial upside potential for AMD, based on analysts&#39; estimates and market trends.</p></li><li><p>Risks &amp; Conclusion: Despite risks such as market slowdowns and weak PC market, AMD maintains substantial upside potential, retaining a strong buy rating with a target fair price of $282.34 and a future price of $653.99. Continued monitoring of client and gaming segments is advised for Q1 2024.</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46c0a8586ec3ce340c204e0399d3d675\" tg-width=\"594\" tg-height=\"395\"/></p><p>Bloomberg/Bloomberg via Getty Images</p><h2 id=\"id_3099807667\">Thesis</h2><p>In my second article about <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.</a>, released after Q3 2023, I rated the stock as a strong buy, citing that after reevaluating my models, the potential fair price of AMD stock had increased to $273.2, from the $129.9 target set in my first article two months previously. This increase in fair price in the second article was caused by AMD&#39;s beat of Q3 2023 estimates as well as a personal error where I didn&#39;t correctly average analysts&#39; estimates and therefore made the model excessively conservative.</p><p>Since my first article, where I explained that even after putting AMD in the most conservative conditions the stock still had a 18% upside, the total rally of AMD has been of around 87.85%.</p><p>In this article, I will update my models with the new financial information available from Q4 2023 earnings released on January 30th. As you will see, my fair price estimate for AMD has increased to $282.34 and the future price to $653.99. This indicates that AMD can offer a 61.9% upside from the current stock price of $174.36. Finally, as you will see, even if AMD&#39;s fails to meet analyst estimates and instead performs as indicated by the conservative second model, the stock would still be undervalued by 45.4%. Therefore, I reiterate my strong buy rating on AMD.</p><h2 id=\"id_3851358833\">Overview</h2><h3 id=\"id_2555436937\">Q4 2023 Earnings</h3><p>AMD reported Q4 2023 earnings where it beat estimates in EPS and revenue. The beat, according to AMD, was driven due to strong embedded and data center growth. Data center finished 42% up YoY. Nevertheless, AMD&#39;s stock was weaker because the company lowered forecast for Q1 2024.</p><p>The main segment affected by the lowered forecast was AMD&#39;s gaming segment, which reported a 17% decline due to slower console sales. The segment finished 7% down YoY, and for Q1 2024, the company expects that sales of chips for consoles will decline by a &#34;significant double-digit percentage.&#34;</p><p>The client segment was also severely affected. This segment ended down by 51% in a YoY basis. This is very important to monitor in my opinion, since it&#39;s one of AMD&#39;s core businesses, and it surprised me that it shrank by such a significant percentage. The company said that this was because the PC market was weak, and that companies hold significant inventories of their chips.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c947cda43bdf265ec658971110e57920\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"375\"/></p><p>AMD Q4 2023 Earnings</p><h3 id=\"id_4080751388\">Data Center Market</h3><p>The most important segment right now is the one involving data centers. The Worldwide Data Center Market is expected to grow its revenue at a CAGR of 6.56% throughout 2028.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34d80e6fa2a0370ce52fbeac1260a5bb\" tg-width=\"1718\" tg-height=\"843\"/></p><p>Statista</p><p>However, inside this market we can find the AI segment, which uses data centers and drives data center revenues. The AI market is expected to expand at a CAGR of 17.30% from 2023 to 2030. However, for the period 2022-2026, the spending on AI-centric systems is expected to grow at a CAGR of 27%. For this reason, in my second valuation model, data center revenue will grow by 27% from 2024 to 2026 and later it will grow at a rate of 17.30%.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84af34c9ab7be41e3613f8e93605ccd2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"341\"/></p><p>Statista</p><h3 id=\"id_1977145404\">Client, Gaming &amp; Embedded processors</h3><p>This segment involves the CPUs and GPUs AMD includes in each of the PCs we purchase as well as in all the gaming consoles. Meanwhile, embedded refers to more simple chips like those used in some appliances. The worldwide PC market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 9.1% throughout 2029. Meanwhile, the global embedded processors market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 8.12% throughout 2031.</p><h2 id=\"id_594444618\">Financials</h2><p>AMD&#39;s revenue has been growing at a 55.3% annual pace since 2017, while net income has being growing by 448%. However, operating income has been decreasing at a 36% annual pace. This is because of a considerable slump that started after 2021. You can see that in the graph below.</p><p>Since my previous article, released in Q3 2023, revenue has grown by 2.57%, operating income has shoot up by 501%, as well as net income which increased by 310%.</p><p>Margins have gone further into the positive, with operating margin passing from -0.36% to 1.77% and net income margin going from 0.94% to 3.77%.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28d5f8a2910dc78cd0c545441792cab5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"448\"/></p><p>Author&#39;s Calculations</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ddf7df8bf5e960ac2bebc724de5b7e3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"417\"/></p><p>Author&#39;s Calculations</p><p>AMD&#39;s balance sheet continues to be in excellent condition. Cash reserves have stayed almost unchanged, passing from $5.77 billion to $5.78 billion. Short-term debt increased slightly from $1.14 billion to $1.39 billion as well as long-term debt, growing from $1.715 billion to $1.717 billion.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb2f36fc7bcb8a6cb84308e2f27f476d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"448\"/></p><p>Author&#39;s Calculations</p><p>Lastly, free cash flow has decreased slightly by around $50 million and now stands at $1.57 billion. Because of this, the FCF margin passed from 7.3% to 6.9%. The main cause of the reduction in FCF was a decrease in cash from operations, which passed from $1.85 billion to $1.66 billion.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b4a7ef28f0742a18b32914c210c1f30\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"494\"/></p><p>Author&#39;s Calculations</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c46778616be714cb72f85e1e370d436\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"516\"/></p><p>Author&#39;s Calculations</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0f6b131f2280de2e24a6d9cb24a964f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"349\"/></p><p>Author&#39;s Calculations</p><h2 id=\"id_4047831886\">Valuation</h2><p>In this valuation, I will create two discounted cash flow, or DCF, models. The first one will be based on available analysts&#39; estimates, and the second one in available market trends for each of AMD&#39;s segments. The objective of this is to have an idea of how AMD&#39;s stock could perform if they don&#39;t meet analysts&#39; estimates.</p><p>In the table below, you will find all the current financial data for AMD n necessary for the calculation of the WACC. For AMD, the WACC came out at 13.99%. Furthermore, D&amp;A, interest expenses, and CapEx will be calculated with a margin tied to revenue, so they will rise over time.</p><p>The future price, in both models, will be calculated using the historical growth of each of the equity&#39;s elements. Long-term debt will grow at the 4.9% rate displayed since 2027, meanwhile short-term debt will grow at 18.5% annually as displayed in 2021 and 2023. Marketable securities will also grow at the rate displayed since 2021, which is 10%, as well as current assets, which will grow by 47.68% annually.</p><table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;\"><colgroup><col/><col/></colgroup><tbody><tr><td colspan=\"2\" style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>TABLE OF ASSUMPTIONS</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>(Current data)</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Assumptions Part 1</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Equity Value</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>277,170.00</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Debt Value</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>3,109.00</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Cost of Debt</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>3.41%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Tax Rate</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>10.05%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>10y Treasury</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>4.18%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Beta</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>1.57</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Market Return</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>10.50%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Cost of Equity</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>14.11%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Assumptions Part 2</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>CapEx</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>546.00</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Capex Margin</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>4.79%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Net Income</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>854.00</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Interest</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>106.00</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Tax</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-346.00</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>D&amp;A</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>751.00</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Ebitda</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>1,365.00</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>D&amp;A Margin</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>6.59%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Interest Expense Margin</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>0.93%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Revenue</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>11,402.0</p></td></tr></tbody></table><h3 id=\"id_3988961406\">Analysts&#39; Estimates</h3><p>In this first model, I will calculate the potential fair price and future price for AMD, based on the average estimates available at Seeking Alpha. The first aspect is EPS, which as you can see, is expected to grow at double-digits until 2027, and then there will be a slump. This slump may be caused by the semiconductor cycle, which may be expected to start its slowdown period in 2028.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c98b9bc603bcbdab14a95b91f917ecb8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"189\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>Then, it&#39;s revenue, which is also expected to grow at double-digits, and after 2027, there will be a slump in growth. For 2024, average estimates indicate a revenue of $25.82 billion and $32.47 billion for 2025. You can observe the rest of the estimates in the table below.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42edae64c948f5c6e091efcdb883058f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"191\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;\"><colgroup><col/><col/><col/><col/><col/><col/></colgroup><tbody><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Revenue</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Net Income</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Plus Taxes</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Plus D&amp;A</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Plus Interest</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2024</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$25,820.0</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$5,882.24</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$6,473.41</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$8,174.06</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$8,414.09</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2025</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$32,470.0</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$8,823.36</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$9,710.11</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$11,410.76</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$11,650.80</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2026</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$39,390.0</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$11,586.72</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$12,751.19</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$15,345.63</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$15,711.83</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2027</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$46,450.0</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$16,192.32</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$17,819.65</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$20,879.11</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$21,310.93</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2028</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$50,550.0</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$17,323.52</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$19,064.53</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$22,394.04</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$22,863.99</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2029</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$56,216.7</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$24,737.99</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$27,224.15</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$30,926.90</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$31,449.52</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>^Final EBITA^</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/154c47a126a1087222ad54390875e758\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"668\"/></p><p>Author&#39;s Calculations</p><p>This model, based on average analysts&#39; estimates, suggests a fair price of $311.14, which implies an 78.4% upside from the current stock price of $174.36. The future price suggested for 2029 is $716.04, which translates into annual returns of 51.8% annually throughout 2029.</p><h3 id=\"id_814043735\">My Estimates</h3><p>In this second model, I will make each of AMD&#39;s segment grow by their respective market CAGR, this means that Data center will grow at a rate of 27% from 2024 to 2026, and from 2027 to 2029 will grow by 17.30%. Meanwhile, client and gaming will grow at a rate of 9.1% and embedded by 8.12% annually.</p><table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;\"><colgroup><col/><col/><col/><col/><col/></colgroup><tbody><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Data Center</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Client</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Gaming</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Embedded</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2023</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>6,496.0</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>4,651.0</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>6,212.0</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5,321.0</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2024</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8,217.4</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5,074.2</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>6,777.3</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5,753.1</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2025</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>10,395.1</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5,536.0</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>7,394.0</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>6,220.2</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2026</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>13,149.8</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>6,039.8</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8,066.9</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>6,725.3</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2027</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>15,490.4</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>6,589.4</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8,801.0</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>7,271.4</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2028</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>18,247.7</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>7,189.0</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>9,601.9</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>7,861.8</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2029</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>21,495.8</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>7,843.2</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>10,475.6</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8,500.2</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Lastly, net income will be calculated with the same net income margin derived from the previous model. This is because I prefer to manipulate net income through revenue. In the bar graph below this table, you will be able to see a comparison of the EPS estimates suggested by these two models.</p><table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;\"><colgroup><col/><col/><col/><col/><col/><col/><col/></colgroup><tbody><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Revenue</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Net Income</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Plus Taxes</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Plus D&amp;A</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Plus Interest</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Net Income Margin %</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2024</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$25,822.0</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$5,882.26</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$6,473.43</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$7,328.47</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$7,449.15</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>22.78%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2025</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$29,545.3</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$8,027.46</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$8,834.22</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$9,689.26</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$9,809.94</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>27.17%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2026</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$33,981.7</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$9,997.42</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$11,002.16</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$12,127.39</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$12,286.21</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>29.42%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2027</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$38,152.2</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$13,299.84</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$14,636.48</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$15,899.80</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$16,078.12</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>34.86%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2028</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$42,900.4</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$14,701.97</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$16,179.52</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$17,600.07</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$17,800.58</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>34.27%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2029</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$48,314.9</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$21,258.54</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$23,395.02</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$24,994.86</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$25,220.67</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>44.00%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>^Final EBITA^</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td></tr></tbody></table><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67451c9452c9e64ac71e419d4dc7d68f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"379\"/></p><p>Author&#39;s Calculations</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4863d5380b1cd66a4e8a2c7c93a1f4b1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"696\"/></p><p>Author&#39;s Calculations</p><p>As you can see, this second model is far more conservative than the first one; however, it suggests that AMD could still offer a very decent near-term upside of around 45.4%, if it adjusts to its estimated fair price of $253.55. For 2029, the estimated fair price is $591.94, which translates into annual returns of 39.9% throughout 2029.</p><h3 id=\"id_2606381195\">Why are these results important?</h3><p>The second model indicates that even if AMD grows at the average market trend, and therefore achieves EPS estimates that are lower than those expected by analysts, the stock would still be around 45.4% undervalued. This is important because it basically assures us that AMD is undervalued, and something severe would need to happen for its stock to go down.</p><p>Furthermore, even in the second conservative model, the stock can still offer 39.9% annual returns. This means that AMD even after an 87.85% rally since my first article, AMD still has a very decent upside, and if it does meet analysts&#39; estimates, then the stock&#39;s upside could be of 78.4% and the potential annual returns would climb up to 51.8% throughout 2029. Taking this into account, the stock continues to be a strong buy and I will set a stock price target of $282.34 and a future price for 2029 of $653.99. Both are the average of the results yielded by both models.</p><h2 id=\"id_2300306501\">Risks to Thesis</h2><p>AMD seems basically unstoppable right now. However, in the unlikely scenario that the whole market slows down and it stays like that until 2029, then all of the second model would probably be voided, and analysts&#39; estimates would probably also be revised down. This could potentially cause the perceived safety on AMD&#39;s stock to disappear. This would void my thesis, and my strong buy rating could potentially be downgraded to a hold.</p><p>Secondly, there is the risk that AMD&#39;s client and gaming segments continue to be in trouble due to high inventories and weakened consumer demand. If a sudden recession occurs because of rate hikes, then the situation could become worse.</p><p>Finally, I think that market sentiment is very important for AMD right now, since it&#39;s trading at very high multiples, as you can see on Seeking Alpha. This means that if AMD continuously issues weak guidance, the stock could take a huge dive, even if it&#39;s undervalued.</p><h2 id=\"id_2117401816\">Conclusion</h2><p>In conclusion, despite an 87.85% rally since my first coverage, AMD still has a very decent upside to offer, which according to my estimates could be around 61.9% upside. After conducting the two DCF models, I arrived at the conclusion that AMD continues to be a strong buy, because the conservative second model suggests than AMD&#39;s upside is around 45.4% and annual returns around 39.9%. This indicates that AMD has a huge security margin and that it can miss analysts&#39; estimates by a huge margin and still be undervalued. My new fair price is set at $282.34 and the future price at $653.99, both indicating huge returns in case AMD comes in between the estimates of the first and second DCF models.</p><p>For Q1 2024, I would monitor the AMD client and gaming segments to observe if gaming consoles chips does not perform as bad as forecasted and if client reverts some of that 51% YoY drop it registered for FY2023.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMD: Potential Upside Increases Amidst Strong Growth</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMD: Potential Upside Increases Amidst Strong Growth\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-02-16 14:41 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4670606-amd-potential-upside-increases-amidst-strong-growth><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Financial Performance: Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. Q4 2023 earnings surpassed estimates, driven by robust growth in embedded and data center segments, though tempered by reduced Q1 2024 forecasts, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4670606-amd-potential-upside-increases-amidst-strong-growth\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1064131342.USD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Global Absolute Alpha A Acc USD","LU1951198990.SGD":"Natixis Thematics AI & Robotics Fund H-R/A SGD-H","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU1951200564.SGD":"Natixis Thematics AI & Robotics Fund R/A SGD","IE0009356076.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A2\" (USD) ACC","BK4575":"芯片概念","BK4566":"资本集团","LU1303367103.USD":"摩根大通多经理另类基金 A (acc)","LU1316542783.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD","LU1923623000.USD":"Natixis Thematics AI & Robotics Fund R/A USD","LU2098885051.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - Multi-Manager Alternatives A (acc) SGD","LU2458330169.SGD":"FRANKLIN SHARIAH TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (SGD) ACC","LU2458330243.SGD":"FRANKLIN SHARIAH TECHNOLOGY \"A-H1\" (SGDHDG) ACC","IE0004445239.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON US FORTY \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU1988902786.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS GLOBAL ABSOLUTE ALPHA \"I\" (USD) ACC","BK4588":"碎股","BK4141":"半导体产品","LU0642271901.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD-H","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","LU1242518857.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS - ASIA ABSOLUTE ALPHA \"I\" (USD) ACC","BK4573":"虚拟现实","LU1803068979.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Technology A (acc) SGD-H1","LU1989764664.SGD":"CPR Invest - Global Disruptive Opportunities A2 Acc SGD-H","IE00BMPRXR70.SGD":"Neuberger Berman 5G Connectivity A Acc SGD-H","BK4512":"苹果概念","IE00BMPRXN33.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN 5G CONNECTIVITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0109392836.USD":"富兰克林科技股A","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","LU2264538146.SGD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Global Absolute Alpha A Acc SGD","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","LU1242518931.SGD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Asia Absolute Alpha A Acc SGD","BK4529":"IDC概念","AMD":"美国超微公司","LU0979878070.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS - ASIA ABSOLUTE ALPHA \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4670606-amd-potential-upside-increases-amidst-strong-growth","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2411213855","content_text":"Financial Performance: Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. Q4 2023 earnings surpassed estimates, driven by robust growth in embedded and data center segments, though tempered by reduced Q1 2024 forecasts, notably in gaming.Market Dynamics: The data center market, especially AI-driven segments, shows strong growth prospects, alongside steady expansion in the PC and embedded processor markets.Financial Health: Despite fluctuating operating income, AMD has seen significant annual revenue and net income growth since 2017, with improving margins and a solid balance sheet.Valuation Models: Two valuation models indicate substantial upside potential for AMD, based on analysts' estimates and market trends.Risks & Conclusion: Despite risks such as market slowdowns and weak PC market, AMD maintains substantial upside potential, retaining a strong buy rating with a target fair price of $282.34 and a future price of $653.99. Continued monitoring of client and gaming segments is advised for Q1 2024.Bloomberg/Bloomberg via Getty ImagesThesisIn my second article about Advanced Micro Devices, Inc., released after Q3 2023, I rated the stock as a strong buy, citing that after reevaluating my models, the potential fair price of AMD stock had increased to $273.2, from the $129.9 target set in my first article two months previously. This increase in fair price in the second article was caused by AMD's beat of Q3 2023 estimates as well as a personal error where I didn't correctly average analysts' estimates and therefore made the model excessively conservative.Since my first article, where I explained that even after putting AMD in the most conservative conditions the stock still had a 18% upside, the total rally of AMD has been of around 87.85%.In this article, I will update my models with the new financial information available from Q4 2023 earnings released on January 30th. As you will see, my fair price estimate for AMD has increased to $282.34 and the future price to $653.99. This indicates that AMD can offer a 61.9% upside from the current stock price of $174.36. Finally, as you will see, even if AMD's fails to meet analyst estimates and instead performs as indicated by the conservative second model, the stock would still be undervalued by 45.4%. Therefore, I reiterate my strong buy rating on AMD.OverviewQ4 2023 EarningsAMD reported Q4 2023 earnings where it beat estimates in EPS and revenue. The beat, according to AMD, was driven due to strong embedded and data center growth. Data center finished 42% up YoY. Nevertheless, AMD's stock was weaker because the company lowered forecast for Q1 2024.The main segment affected by the lowered forecast was AMD's gaming segment, which reported a 17% decline due to slower console sales. The segment finished 7% down YoY, and for Q1 2024, the company expects that sales of chips for consoles will decline by a \"significant double-digit percentage.\"The client segment was also severely affected. This segment ended down by 51% in a YoY basis. This is very important to monitor in my opinion, since it's one of AMD's core businesses, and it surprised me that it shrank by such a significant percentage. The company said that this was because the PC market was weak, and that companies hold significant inventories of their chips.AMD Q4 2023 EarningsData Center MarketThe most important segment right now is the one involving data centers. The Worldwide Data Center Market is expected to grow its revenue at a CAGR of 6.56% throughout 2028.StatistaHowever, inside this market we can find the AI segment, which uses data centers and drives data center revenues. The AI market is expected to expand at a CAGR of 17.30% from 2023 to 2030. However, for the period 2022-2026, the spending on AI-centric systems is expected to grow at a CAGR of 27%. For this reason, in my second valuation model, data center revenue will grow by 27% from 2024 to 2026 and later it will grow at a rate of 17.30%.StatistaClient, Gaming & Embedded processorsThis segment involves the CPUs and GPUs AMD includes in each of the PCs we purchase as well as in all the gaming consoles. Meanwhile, embedded refers to more simple chips like those used in some appliances. The worldwide PC market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 9.1% throughout 2029. Meanwhile, the global embedded processors market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 8.12% throughout 2031.FinancialsAMD's revenue has been growing at a 55.3% annual pace since 2017, while net income has being growing by 448%. However, operating income has been decreasing at a 36% annual pace. This is because of a considerable slump that started after 2021. You can see that in the graph below.Since my previous article, released in Q3 2023, revenue has grown by 2.57%, operating income has shoot up by 501%, as well as net income which increased by 310%.Margins have gone further into the positive, with operating margin passing from -0.36% to 1.77% and net income margin going from 0.94% to 3.77%.Author's CalculationsAuthor's CalculationsAMD's balance sheet continues to be in excellent condition. Cash reserves have stayed almost unchanged, passing from $5.77 billion to $5.78 billion. Short-term debt increased slightly from $1.14 billion to $1.39 billion as well as long-term debt, growing from $1.715 billion to $1.717 billion.Author's CalculationsLastly, free cash flow has decreased slightly by around $50 million and now stands at $1.57 billion. Because of this, the FCF margin passed from 7.3% to 6.9%. The main cause of the reduction in FCF was a decrease in cash from operations, which passed from $1.85 billion to $1.66 billion.Author's CalculationsAuthor's CalculationsAuthor's CalculationsValuationIn this valuation, I will create two discounted cash flow, or DCF, models. The first one will be based on available analysts' estimates, and the second one in available market trends for each of AMD's segments. The objective of this is to have an idea of how AMD's stock could perform if they don't meet analysts' estimates.In the table below, you will find all the current financial data for AMD n necessary for the calculation of the WACC. For AMD, the WACC came out at 13.99%. Furthermore, D&A, interest expenses, and CapEx will be calculated with a margin tied to revenue, so they will rise over time.The future price, in both models, will be calculated using the historical growth of each of the equity's elements. Long-term debt will grow at the 4.9% rate displayed since 2027, meanwhile short-term debt will grow at 18.5% annually as displayed in 2021 and 2023. Marketable securities will also grow at the rate displayed since 2021, which is 10%, as well as current assets, which will grow by 47.68% annually.TABLE OF ASSUMPTIONS(Current data)Assumptions Part 1Equity Value277,170.00Debt Value3,109.00Cost of Debt3.41%Tax Rate10.05%10y Treasury4.18%Beta1.57Market Return10.50%Cost of Equity14.11%Assumptions Part 2CapEx546.00Capex Margin4.79%Net Income854.00Interest106.00Tax-346.00D&A751.00Ebitda1,365.00D&A Margin6.59%Interest Expense Margin0.93%Revenue11,402.0Analysts' EstimatesIn this first model, I will calculate the potential fair price and future price for AMD, based on the average estimates available at Seeking Alpha. The first aspect is EPS, which as you can see, is expected to grow at double-digits until 2027, and then there will be a slump. This slump may be caused by the semiconductor cycle, which may be expected to start its slowdown period in 2028.Seeking AlphaThen, it's revenue, which is also expected to grow at double-digits, and after 2027, there will be a slump in growth. For 2024, average estimates indicate a revenue of $25.82 billion and $32.47 billion for 2025. You can observe the rest of the estimates in the table below.Seeking AlphaRevenueNet IncomePlus TaxesPlus D&APlus Interest2024$25,820.0$5,882.24$6,473.41$8,174.06$8,414.092025$32,470.0$8,823.36$9,710.11$11,410.76$11,650.802026$39,390.0$11,586.72$12,751.19$15,345.63$15,711.832027$46,450.0$16,192.32$17,819.65$20,879.11$21,310.932028$50,550.0$17,323.52$19,064.53$22,394.04$22,863.992029$56,216.7$24,737.99$27,224.15$30,926.90$31,449.52^Final EBITA^Author's CalculationsThis model, based on average analysts' estimates, suggests a fair price of $311.14, which implies an 78.4% upside from the current stock price of $174.36. The future price suggested for 2029 is $716.04, which translates into annual returns of 51.8% annually throughout 2029.My EstimatesIn this second model, I will make each of AMD's segment grow by their respective market CAGR, this means that Data center will grow at a rate of 27% from 2024 to 2026, and from 2027 to 2029 will grow by 17.30%. Meanwhile, client and gaming will grow at a rate of 9.1% and embedded by 8.12% annually.Data CenterClientGamingEmbedded20236,496.04,651.06,212.05,321.020248,217.45,074.26,777.35,753.1202510,395.15,536.07,394.06,220.2202613,149.86,039.88,066.96,725.3202715,490.46,589.48,801.07,271.4202818,247.77,189.09,601.97,861.8202921,495.87,843.210,475.68,500.2Lastly, net income will be calculated with the same net income margin derived from the previous model. This is because I prefer to manipulate net income through revenue. In the bar graph below this table, you will be able to see a comparison of the EPS estimates suggested by these two models.RevenueNet IncomePlus TaxesPlus D&APlus InterestNet Income Margin %2024$25,822.0$5,882.26$6,473.43$7,328.47$7,449.1522.78%2025$29,545.3$8,027.46$8,834.22$9,689.26$9,809.9427.17%2026$33,981.7$9,997.42$11,002.16$12,127.39$12,286.2129.42%2027$38,152.2$13,299.84$14,636.48$15,899.80$16,078.1234.86%2028$42,900.4$14,701.97$16,179.52$17,600.07$17,800.5834.27%2029$48,314.9$21,258.54$23,395.02$24,994.86$25,220.6744.00%^Final EBITA^Author's CalculationsAuthor's CalculationsAs you can see, this second model is far more conservative than the first one; however, it suggests that AMD could still offer a very decent near-term upside of around 45.4%, if it adjusts to its estimated fair price of $253.55. For 2029, the estimated fair price is $591.94, which translates into annual returns of 39.9% throughout 2029.Why are these results important?The second model indicates that even if AMD grows at the average market trend, and therefore achieves EPS estimates that are lower than those expected by analysts, the stock would still be around 45.4% undervalued. This is important because it basically assures us that AMD is undervalued, and something severe would need to happen for its stock to go down.Furthermore, even in the second conservative model, the stock can still offer 39.9% annual returns. This means that AMD even after an 87.85% rally since my first article, AMD still has a very decent upside, and if it does meet analysts' estimates, then the stock's upside could be of 78.4% and the potential annual returns would climb up to 51.8% throughout 2029. Taking this into account, the stock continues to be a strong buy and I will set a stock price target of $282.34 and a future price for 2029 of $653.99. Both are the average of the results yielded by both models.Risks to ThesisAMD seems basically unstoppable right now. However, in the unlikely scenario that the whole market slows down and it stays like that until 2029, then all of the second model would probably be voided, and analysts' estimates would probably also be revised down. This could potentially cause the perceived safety on AMD's stock to disappear. This would void my thesis, and my strong buy rating could potentially be downgraded to a hold.Secondly, there is the risk that AMD's client and gaming segments continue to be in trouble due to high inventories and weakened consumer demand. If a sudden recession occurs because of rate hikes, then the situation could become worse.Finally, I think that market sentiment is very important for AMD right now, since it's trading at very high multiples, as you can see on Seeking Alpha. This means that if AMD continuously issues weak guidance, the stock could take a huge dive, even if it's undervalued.ConclusionIn conclusion, despite an 87.85% rally since my first coverage, AMD still has a very decent upside to offer, which according to my estimates could be around 61.9% upside. After conducting the two DCF models, I arrived at the conclusion that AMD continues to be a strong buy, because the conservative second model suggests than AMD's upside is around 45.4% and annual returns around 39.9%. This indicates that AMD has a huge security margin and that it can miss analysts' estimates by a huge margin and still be undervalued. My new fair price is set at $282.34 and the future price at $653.99, both indicating huge returns in case AMD comes in between the estimates of the first and second DCF models.For Q1 2024, I would monitor the AMD client and gaming segments to observe if gaming consoles chips does not perform as bad as forecasted and if client reverts some of that 51% YoY drop it registered for FY2023.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":64,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":278326299123864,"gmtCreate":1708978389669,"gmtModify":1708978393178,"author":{"id":"4169783945382972","authorId":"4169783945382972","name":"BeingLucid","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4169783945382972","authorIdStr":"4169783945382972"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SOUN\">$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$ </a> Having a wee run today.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SOUN\">$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$ </a> Having a wee run today.","text":"$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$ Having a wee run today.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d5780fdfbf95f9ca260c9712f0efd154","width":"720","height":"1070"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/278326299123864","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":120,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":279388414976288,"gmtCreate":1709231528860,"gmtModify":1709231533504,"author":{"id":"4169783945382972","authorId":"4169783945382972","name":"BeingLucid","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4169783945382972","authorIdStr":"4169783945382972"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up she goes! March into March for the win!","listText":"Up she goes! March into March for the win!","text":"Up she goes! 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$SOUN$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/278789570130072","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":388,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":278788099514400,"gmtCreate":1709091126859,"gmtModify":1709091854384,"author":{"id":"4169783945382972","authorId":"4169783945382972","name":"BeingLucid","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4169783945382972","authorIdStr":"4169783945382972"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks to the community posts hete at Tiger, I've been watching, and&nbsp;bought some https://tigr.link/6DCpxE","listText":"Thanks to the community posts hete at Tiger, I've been watching, and&nbsp;bought some https://tigr.link/6DCpxE","text":"Thanks to the community posts hete at Tiger, I've been watching, and bought some https://tigr.link/6DCpxE","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/278788099514400","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":150,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":277225679282192,"gmtCreate":1708708046776,"gmtModify":1708708049380,"author":{"id":"4169783945382972","authorId":"4169783945382972","name":"BeingLucid","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4169783945382972","authorIdStr":"4169783945382972"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SMCI\">$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ </a> This is a Meme Bet and I don't think it will see $1000 again this year.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SMCI\">$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ </a> This is a Meme Bet and I don't think it will see $1000 again this year.","text":"$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ This is a Meme Bet and I don't think it will see $1000 again this 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is important with regular and steady buy ins. $50 (or whatever) a week on a good ticker = win long term.","listText":"Ticker is important with regular and steady buy ins. $50 (or whatever) a week on a good ticker = win long term.","text":"Ticker is important with regular and steady buy ins. $50 (or whatever) a week on a good ticker = win long term.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/273286041530528","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":217,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":326703516373072,"gmtCreate":1720795080705,"gmtModify":1720795100009,"author":{"id":"4169783945382972","authorId":"4169783945382972","name":"BeingLucid","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4169783945382972","authorIdStr":"4169783945382972"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Just buy every week as usual.","listText":"Just buy every week as usual.","text":"Just buy every week as usual.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/326703516373072","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":376,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":290169583407280,"gmtCreate":1711848728689,"gmtModify":1711848732734,"author":{"id":"4169783945382972","authorId":"4169783945382972","name":"BeingLucid","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4169783945382972","authorIdStr":"4169783945382972"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up and Down","listText":"Up and Down","text":"Up and 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down.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/de2adead3f8c648eb4bd205bd3d76d94"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/290169185984776","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":339,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":290168819474448,"gmtCreate":1711848566803,"gmtModify":1711848571617,"author":{"id":"4169783945382972","authorId":"4169783945382972","name":"BeingLucid","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4169783945382972","authorIdStr":"4169783945382972"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"P&amp;L Calendar&nbsp;","listText":"P&amp;L Calendar&nbsp;","text":"P&L Calendar","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6adc90f67120428f94e8dbe038adddc4","width":"590","height":"963"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/290168819474448","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":291,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":290166956495096,"gmtCreate":1711848187481,"gmtModify":1711848192766,"author":{"id":"4169783945382972","authorId":"4169783945382972","name":"BeingLucid","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4169783945382972","authorIdStr":"4169783945382972"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I can't attach screenshots. New Zealand is the Sky Tower, and Australia is the Sydney Opera House.","listText":"I can't attach screenshots. New Zealand is the Sky Tower, and Australia is the Sydney Opera House.","text":"I can't attach screenshots. New Zealand is the Sky Tower, and Australia is the Sydney Opera House.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/290166956495096","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":295,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}