Previously I talked about rare metals and China’s dominance on rare earth metals. Ones that are particularly crucial to manufacturing of core technologies that drive the chip industry or to be used in chips themselves. Now, many have been telling me, if that were really true, why are US tech stocks looking more attractive than ever. This begs the question, is software detached enough from hardware that these so called “Magnificent 7” can run independent of the hardware? Well, I am not going to directly answer this question of technology stocks now, I will over the next few posts. What I want to talk about is positions in the US in general, and it is linked to tech stocks (and unfortunately AI). As much as I love AI, hearing the word AI everywhere I go to is pretty annoying, all I want to d
MRT is really crowded today. Think most are preparing for the long holiday on Friday... no seat and no internet means some time for review of my current portfolio positioning review. Today, I'll talk about a rare metals. If you ever conversed with me, you will know how bullish I am on gold. And well gold prices spiking is a fact, 114% gains for the past 12months. You would have easily doubled your portfolio. In the field of rare metal commodities, there is however a few other raw metals that fell off the radar. One such metal that I am going to start researching on is Dysprosium. Most of us would have chanced upon this name if we took chemistry classes seriously, I know for one that my chemistry teacher told me I was a goner for my exams. So if I do type an ill informed statement about the
$YF8.SI(YF8.SI)$ Saw my portfolio drop 6% during lunch yesterday while eating salted fish. Made the fish extra salty🧂 Players sweep price as low as 1.10 well below the 30MA. Last time the price saw massive buy along the 1.16 region. 1.12 was a transient price before holding at 1.16 levels. This was only in 12 Sept. The sweep was of course with catalyst, that YZJ ship building had a $180m book order cancellation. Having shared similar name and of course the maritime spin off considerations caused similar reactions to YZJ Fin. Both recovered most of the draw down the same trading day 6% down to about 1% down. What this sweep signifies is 2 things to me. The first, the shock to the system along with the news as a catalyst sends people i
$AEM SGD(AWX.SI)$ I previously shared with some of you that AEM strong. India prime minister visited SG, Lawrence Wong bring the big guy visit this company. Now Trump declare he will raise Intel back from grave, AEM will see new heights. Intel accounts for a large portion of AEM revenue
Everyone's eyes on the price, but what is it? [Part 3] Deriving the YZJ Spin-Off Price: A Reality Check on Momentum *Disclaimer* It is worth noting also that my overall average price has increased from the previous post as I have bought even more shares recently In the first two parts of this series, we established a foundational framework. Part 1 introduced the idea that in a strong uptrend, a stock’s price action respects its short-term moving averages, particularly the 5-day (MA5). Part 2 expanded on this, proposing that as we approach the spin-off date for $YZJ Fin Hldg(YF8.SI)$ the MA5 will act as a proxy for the market's converging consensus on the final spin-off price. This brings us to the critical question: How can we stress-test our own price targets against this framework? It’s
Everyone's eyes on the price but what is it ? [Part 2]$YZJ Fin Hldg(YF8.SI)$ I alluded previously that this is important but never said why. Now, take a step back and think about it. There is a spin off going to happen in about 45 trading days somewhere in Nov 2025. Each of the players will have a target spin off price, albeit a possibly different one. Let's assume markets are efficient then. Well, if it's efficient, then the final spin off price is simply the weighted average of all target prices. Mathematically, number of shares * expected spin off price and you sum each player on the board, then find the average across the total number of shares. Things are slightly more interesting now because we have part 1 and 2. And what
Everyone's eyes on the target price but what is it ? [Part 1]
This will be a series of a few posts on how I am deriving the final spin off price of $YZJ Fin Hldg(YF8.SI)$ . I am not a certified financal advisor and this is not financial advice. As the Singapore market continue to rally, I noticed some interesting trends. You can also easily verify my claim. Stocks that are on the rise typically have a strong MA5 and MA10 which must be true if the stock if the stock is up trend since MA is computed as the simple average of the window period price. Now that is not an interesting information but what if i told you now that these 2 indicators hold very interesing information about exit and entry. Stocks that typically rise above the MA5 espeically with strong momentum tends to lean back close to the
$YZJ Shipbldg SGD(BS6.SI)$ higher short volumn from yesterday price spike... net buy up today... My personal interpretation, likely as price went up short sellers came in to take position. Today massive buy pressure from market, coincidence? Think there will be people who have to start closing their short positions soon 😁 expecting a price ⬆️
$YZJ Fin Hldg(YF8.SI)$ This position held on for a year with good returns indeed is now moving closer each day to true book value to reflect revaluation of SEA market.
$YZJ Fin Hldg(YF8.SI)$ here is why I think the stock has yet to reach full potential. Look at the current stocks that are about to spin off (take this as your homework). You will notice that these stock have their valuation reach levels that are unprecedented in their history. Now, this counter only started running because of the good news on the settlement of the NPL. Now with the news of the spin off, I wonder what will its new peak be? There is about 2 more months before the spin off occurs. Will the big boys begin accumulating and push the price up closer to spin off date? Ive been with this counter for 2 years, and having examined this stock and following it, l'm confident that this counter still have more to offer.
$YZJ Fin Hldg(YF8.SI)$ today attended EGM. very confident in management and Boss Ren to lead the maritime to greater heights. Spin off will unlock massive shareholder value. Combined value of both maritime and finance corp will be 💪
$YZJ Fin Hldg(YF8.SI)$ Spin off happening soon. potential value unlock for both finance and the maritime. BV is $1+ per share. Would you pay 70cents for a dollar ?