RabBird
Is it a rabbit, or is it a bird? Is the market bullish or bearish? Follow me and my analysis!
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Time to close the position on this, can't be bullish always and they still need to prove themselves. Will keep in watchlist and buy in again at $1.7-$2. My personal picks with immense growth potential in 2025: Semiconductor: $Navitas Semiconductor Corp(NVTS)$ With AI picking up, it's hard to ignore the fact that #energy-efficient GaN power solutions are just as important for essential for AI servers, data centers, and infrastructure, enabling faster and greener #AI processing. It's not a question of if, but when NVTS will come moving along. We've seen how the whole supply chain is moving, from #GPUs by NVDA to Servers by Dell and SMCI, to #Ethernet solutions by Broadcom, now optical switches by MRVL are picking up, my eyes are on NVTS i
$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ too much retail investors jumping on the bandwagon, not knowing what they are buying. The gravy train's got to come to a stop some day, hop off in time; the light at the end of the tunnel is the train coming for you.
$MSFT 20260618 480.0 PUT$ 📉 ADP Jobs Decline – Why “Bad News = Good News” Might Be the Biggest Trap Right Now Everyone is cheering today’s ADP print like it’s bullish — “jobs fell = Fed will cut = stocks go up.” But honestly… this is the exact kind of surface-level optimism that blindsides retail right before the rug gets pulled. Here’s the bigger picture most are ignoring: 1️⃣ A decline of 32,000 private payrolls isn’t “good” — it’s a signal. Hiring is slowing, wage growth is cooling, and multiple sectors are showing fatigue. If the labour market weakens too fast, it doesn’t trigger a gentle Fed pivot… it triggers recession hedging. 2️⃣ Rate cuts that come because of weakness have never been bullish initially. Every maj
$MSFT 20260618 480.0 PUT$ MSFT puts today 💰 But honestly… this Thanksgiving pump is looking more like a bull trap than a true reversal. Over the past week, the market has been pricing in a rate cut narrative again — yet nothing has fundamentally changed: • Fed officials remain data-driven, and the latest data doesn’t justify a cut. • Inflation isn’t convincingly down, labor remains tight, and growth prints are still solid. • If the Fed is genuinely following the numbers, the probability of a near-term cut should be very low — but markets chose to reprice optimism anyway. That disconnect is exactly why my bear/put thesis still stands. What’s even more interesting today: 📉 Volume is extremely low — a sharp contrast to the
$SMCI 20250307 41.0 CALL$ Great potential on SMCI and its road to its glory days again. Confident that it will be back up to at least $100 within 2 weeks from 25th Feb. Unlimited upside potential, with minimal downside risk.
🚀🚀$MRVL 20251121 90.0 CALL$ 🚀🚀 The 2 previous posts we shared on MRVL have played out exactly as anticipated — from the breakout above $86.5 to the strong surge past $90. Today, the stock has tested support and is holding firm, setting the stage for the next leg higher. With buyers defending key levels and momentum still strong, MRVL looks poised to continue its upside run. Traders and investors should keep an eye on $88.5–89 as support and $91+ as the next target zone. 🐂 Bull Case • Momentum continuation: MRVL cleared $90~ intraday, showing strong buyer conviction. 🐻 Bear Case Momentum drops: MRVL drops to $85 range~ with panic selling. MRVL is in a strong breakout regime, but near-term profit-taking and options ex
$NBIS 20260618 80.0 PUT$ NovemBEAR has arrived 🐻📉 I’ve been preparing for a bear market for a while now — tightening risk, trimming exposure, and keeping an eye on the cracks forming beneath the shiny surface. And now November shows up living up to its name… NovemBEAR. But here’s the real debate: Are we entering an actual bear season 🐻❄️… or just going through a healthy correction 🔧📉? Right now, I’m leaning towards the latter. Even though Michael Burry closed down Scion Asset Management, I still share many of the same concerns he’s been beating the drum about: • AI concentration is reaching uncomfortable levels 🤖🔥 A handful of mega-caps are carrying the entire market. When leadership becomes that narrow, the whole structu
$Tempus AI(TEM)$
$AMZN 20260417 215.0 PUT$ 🚨 Is the AI Bubble Already Here? Amazon Might Have Just Confirmed It. 🚨 👉 Amazon just did something it hasn’t done in three years — it went to the bond market to borrow money. They’re issuing debt in up to six parts, including a 40-year bond, to raise cash for “general corporate purposes.” That sounds normal… until you look at the bigger picture. Here’s why this matters: • Big tech companies are spending massively on AI. • Data centers, chips, and infrastructure cost billions. • But the ROI is still unclear. • Cash levels are going down. • So companies are now borrowing to stay ahead in the AI race. 🚂 This is how bubbles form: Everyone spends because everyone else is spending — not because the r
$MRVL 20251121 90.0 CALL$ 📈 MRVL Part 2: From Caution to Breakout On 19 Sep, MRVL was trading around $74–75, and we noted cautious optimism: while sector volatility was high, AI/data-center demand, analyst sentiment, and potential buyback programs were key catalysts to watch. Some readers speculated that a price upgrade might be coming — and indeed, Needham, BofA, and Technology Giant delivered. 🚀 What Has Happened Since • Stock Performance: MRVL has surged to ~$84.5, breaking above the $82–84 resistance zone we highlighted in Part 1 — a ~12% gain in 10 days. • Share Repurchase & ASR: The $5B buyback + $1B accelerated share repurchase has materially reduced float and added mechanical support. • Analyst & CEO Sign
$MRVL 20251121 90.0 CALL$ Marvell (MRVL) Surfing behind Nvidia’s AI Wave 🌊 Nvidia’s latest earnings blew past expectations with record $46.7B revenue (+56% YoY) and strong guidance ahead. The AI buildout is clearly not slowing down. Why does this matter for Marvell? MRVL supplies the infrastructure behind the GPUs — high-speed optical interconnects, DSPs, and custom silicon that hyperscalers need to run Nvidia’s platforms at scale. There will always be a lag before companies like $Broadcom(AVGO)$ Bullish$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$
$SMCI 20260618 40.0 PUT$ 📉 Market Alert: Is the AI Bubble Closer Than You Think? Recent headlines are flashing caution for overheated tech and semiconductor stocks: • SMCI (Supermicro) cut its revenue guidance recently, warning of near-term weakness in the AI/data-centre supply chain. • Tesla’s mixed news (delivery miss, regulatory scrutiny) raises broader questions about growth-tech valuations. • The SOXX (Semiconductor Index) trades near 10× Price-to-Sales, a level similar to the dot-com bubble era. • Macro risks loom large: U.S. government shutdown, tariffs and China trade tensions, higher-for-longer interest rates — all impose pressure on high-multiple growth. • Historical data: Mid-term election years tend to sh
$Quantum-Si Inc.(QSI)$ have huge upside potential, despite the recent volatility and potential year-end pressures: Stock Offering Impact: The stock offering announcement at $2.26 per share to raise $75M caused a sharp retrace - significant downwards movement. The Stock offering came at a right time, though slightly late, to raise capital for more R&D. Room for Recovery and Growth: during COVID-19, most pharma R&D was redirected to vaccine research, delaying other projects. With the pandemic over and R&D resuming, QSI is well-positioned to benefit from the renewed focus on biotech, particularly in personalized medicine and drug discovery, offering significant growth potential. EPS Outperformance: Consistently beating EPS estimates h
Baidu’s AI revenue jumped 50% YoY to ~RMB 10B, which sounds great, but the full picture is more mixed — the company also reported –RMB 4.7B free cash flow earlier this year mainly due to heavy AI infrastructure spending. So while AI is now a third of Baidu’s revenue, the short-term ROI isn’t strong yet because the cash outlay (servers, GPUs, data centres) is far larger than the revenue gained. In short: solid growth, but still very capital-intensive — more of a long-term bet than immediate profit engine.
Baidu Reports Q3 AI-Powered Business Revenue Up Over 50% To RMB 10 Billion
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@Trade_To_Win_2025:🚀 Nov 10—— Nov 14 Leaderboard: Top Traders & Market Highlights!
50% YoY increase in revenue from AI sounds good… or is it not? Baidu reported that its AI-powered businesses grew over 50% year-on-year, reaching about RMB 10B this quarter. That sounds impressive, and it shows that AI is becoming a bigger part of Baidu’s business — roughly one-third of total revenue now. But here’s the catch: Baidu’s free cash flow was –RMB 4.7B earlier this year, and the company clearly said this was “primarily due to increased investment in AI.” This means the AI growth isn’t free — Baidu is spending heavily on servers, GPUs, and data centres. In other words, revenue is rising, but cash is still flowing out faster than it’s coming in. When you compare the ~RMB 3.4B increase in AI revenue to the estimated RMB 20–35B Baidu is likely spending on AI infrastructure, the shor
Baidu Reports Q3 AI-Powered Business Revenue Up Over 50% To RMB 10 Billion
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