RabBird
RabBird
Is it a rabbit, or is it a bird? Is the market bullish or bearish? Follow me and my analysis!
4Follow
39Followers
0Topic
0Badge
avatarRabBird
2024-12-30
Time to close the position on this, can't be bullish always and they still need to prove themselves. Will keep in watchlist and buy in again at $1.7-$2. My personal picks with immense growth potential in 2025:  Semiconductor: $Navitas Semiconductor Corp(NVTS)$ With AI picking up, it's hard to ignore the fact that #energy-efficient GaN power solutions are just as important for essential for AI servers, data centers, and infrastructure, enabling faster and greener #AI processing. It's not a question of if, but when NVTS will come moving along. We've seen how the whole supply chain is moving, from #GPUs by NVDA to Servers by Dell and SMCI, to #Ethernet solutions by Broadcom, now optical switches by MRVL are picking up, my eyes are on NVTS i
avatarRabBird
02-04 23:20
$U 20260618 37.0 PUT$  AI is no longer a growth narrative — it’s becoming a business-model risk, and the market has started pricing that in software first. That is exactly how late cycles turn.  • Investors are no longer underwriting 3–5 years • They’re discounting structural uncertainty • Appetite to step in is low That’s how multiples compress, even without earnings collapse. We are now seeing a reprice in equities due to: Phase 3 – Distribution / Fragility (Now ‼️) Phase 4 – Repricing / Earnings Reality (Now ‼️)  Phase 5 – Capitulation / Reset (not yet ⚠️) April and June will be the most crucial and dangerous window. With liquidity drying up, spending through the roof, being in-line with expectations are no longe
avatarRabBird
2025-06-28
$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ too much retail investors jumping on the bandwagon, not knowing what they are buying. The gravy train's got to come to a stop some day, hop off in time; the light at the end of the tunnel is the train coming for you. 
avatarRabBird
01-13
$SMCI 20260618 40.0 PUT$ stagflation is here and the fed is printing money. They are just not explicitly saying it. watch your step, it's six feet down ⚠️ 
avatarRabBird
01-29
$MSFT 20260618 480.0 PUT$  Market and investors punish heavily when expectations miss.  AI infrastructure spending is high and investors expect lofty returns. A lowered guidance is a big red flag. With the cracks now starting to appear, how prepare d are you for a market downturn?  Seasoned investors limit their exposures by hedging, don't be the one caught out in the cold. 
avatarRabBird
2025-12-17
$ORCL 20260320 280.0 PUT$  🐯 Oracle’s $10B Data Center “On Hold” — AI Narrative Meets Credit Reality Reuters just reported Oracle’s $10B Michigan data center is now in limbo after Blue Owl (its biggest data center partner) won’t back the deal, citing concerns around Oracle’s rising debt and AI spending. Here’s the real takeaway: ✅ AI demand is real ❌ AI financing isn’t free anymore Why this matters • This isn’t a “chip shortage” problem — it’s a funding problem. When the lender gets cautious, the buildout slows. • Tech is overheated without clear ROI. Credit markets don’t buy vibes — they buy cashflow. • Higher rates = longer payback period. The “infinite AI capex” story breaks the moment financing terms tighten. What I’m
avatarRabBird
2025-11-26
$MSFT 20260618 480.0 PUT$  MSFT puts today 💰 But honestly… this Thanksgiving pump is looking more like a bull trap than a true reversal. Over the past week, the market has been pricing in a rate cut narrative again — yet nothing has fundamentally changed: • Fed officials remain data-driven, and the latest data doesn’t justify a cut. • Inflation isn’t convincingly down, labor remains tight, and growth prints are still solid. • If the Fed is genuinely following the numbers, the probability of a near-term cut should be very low — but markets chose to reprice optimism anyway. That disconnect is exactly why my bear/put thesis still stands. What’s even more interesting today: 📉 Volume is extremely low — a sharp contrast to the
avatarRabBird
01-27
$UNH 20260618 300.0 PUT$  First up on the chopping table, UnitedHealth. Defensive. High-quality. Everyone’s “sleep-well-at-night” stock. Earnings out — stock plunges. That alone is a warning. But here’s where it gets uncomfortable. At the same time: • Semiconductors are no longer reacting well to good news • Rallies are getting sold into • Leadership is narrowing, not expanding This is not random. This is late-cycle behaviour. In healthy markets: • Defensives protect capital • Cyclicals lead • Good earnings get rewarded In late-cycle markets: • Defensives break • Cyclicals lose forgiveness • Even strong numbers fail to save price That’s exactly what we’re seeing. Healthcare cracks. Semis stall. Volatility refuses to die. T
avatarRabBird
2025-02-18
$SMCI 20250307 41.0 CALL$  Great potential on SMCI and its road to its glory days again. Confident that it will be back up to at least $100 within 2 weeks from 25th Feb.  Unlimited upside potential, with minimal downside risk.
avatarRabBird
2025-10-06
🚀🚀$MRVL 20251121 90.0 CALL$ 🚀🚀 The 2 previous posts we shared on MRVL have played out exactly as anticipated — from the breakout above $86.5 to the strong surge past $90. Today, the stock has tested support and is holding firm, setting the stage for the next leg higher. With buyers defending key levels and momentum still strong, MRVL looks poised to continue its upside run. Traders and investors should keep an eye on $88.5–89 as support and $91+ as the next target zone. 🐂 Bull Case • Momentum continuation: MRVL cleared $90~ intraday, showing strong buyer conviction. 🐻 Bear Case Momentum drops: MRVL drops to $85 range~ with panic selling.  MRVL is in a strong breakout regime, but near-term profit-taking and options ex

Go to Tiger App to see more news