老虎资讯综合2022-12-16
美国12月Markit制造业PMI初值 46.2，预期47.7，前值47.7。
12月Markit服务业PMI初值降至44.4，创8月份以来新低，且连续六个月萎缩。预期46.8，前值46.2。
12月Markit综合PMI初值降至44.6，为2009年有数据记录以来最糟糕的表现之一。
美国12月PMI显示，商业活动进一步萎缩，新订单降至逾两年半以来最低，但需求走软帮助大幅冷却通胀。标普全球市场情报首席经济学家Chris Williamson表示，随着2022年即将结束，美国的商业状况正在恶化，料第四季度GDP的年化增长率约为1.5%。
同时，由于制造业和服务业的企业在客户需求低迷的情况下对招聘采取了更加谨慎的态度，就业增长已经放缓到了极点。好处是，需求的减弱减轻了供应链的压力。12月，供应商交货时间连续第二个月加快，预示着供应条件的改善，且定价权从卖方转移到买方。因此，价格压力继续急剧缓和。
总之，调查数据表明，美联储加息对通胀产生了预期效果，但经济成本正在增加，经济衰退的风险也随之增加。
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