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Option Focus | Microsoft Sees Heavy Near-Term Call Buying as Traders Wager Nearly $10 Million on $455 Strike; Diverging Views Emerge Around August $480 Calls

Option Witch15:46

Microsoft shares closed at $450.24 on Friday, up 5.45%, as strong momentum in the stock fueled a surge in options activity. Large block trades were concentrated in near-dated call options, with one transaction involving nearly $9.5 million worth of out-of-the-money (OTM) calls at the $455 strike, highlighting a broadly bullish tone in the options market.

Options Metrics

As of May 30, Microsoft's implied volatility (IV) stood at 26.05%, while its IV Percentile was 51.0%.

The reading places volatility in a broadly neutral range, suggesting current option premiums are neither significantly cheap nor expensive relative to historical levels. In other words, the market's expectations for future price swings remain broadly in line with historical norms.

Meanwhile, the call-to-put volume ratio reached 4.13, indicating a strong preference for bullish positioning among options traders, consistent with Microsoft's recent share-price strength.

Block Trade Activity

Over the past two trading sessions, large options flows were dominated by call purchases, with net bullish premium flow totaling approximately $14.96 million, signaling expectations for further upside in the near term.

The most notable trade involved the June 26, 2026 $455 call, an out-of-the-money contract that attracted 9,353 contracts of buying activity, representing roughly $9.45 million in premium traded. The size of the transaction suggests a high-conviction leveraged bet on continued gains in Microsoft's stock.

$MSFT 20260626 455.0 CALL$

Source: Tiger Trade App

In addition to the aggressive OTM positioning, traders also accumulated substantial amounts of in-the-money calls, including the June 26, 2026 $440 call and the June 5, 2026 $435 call. Combined premium on these bullish trades exceeded $11.6 million, reflecting a more conservative approach to expressing upside expectations.

$MSFT 20260626 440.0 CALL$

$MSFT 20260605 435.0 CALL$

Source: Tiger Trade App

Source: Tiger Trade App

Diverging Positioning in Longer-Dated Calls

Activity in longer-dated August contracts revealed a more mixed outlook.

The August 21, 2026 $480 call saw significant two-way flow:

  • Approximately 4,000 contracts were sold, representing about $6.1 million in premium, a trade that could reflect premium-harvesting strategies or expectations that the stock will remain below the strike price.

  • At the same time, 1,732 contracts were purchased, totaling roughly $2.65 million, indicating that some traders continue to position for a breakout above $480 over a longer time horizon.

$MSFT 20260821 480.0 CALL$

The opposing flows suggest investors remain divided on Microsoft's ability to extend its rally beyond the $480 level in the coming months.

Strategy Watch

For options sellers seeking defined opportunities, the concentration of activity around the $480 strike highlights a key area of market debate.

One approach is selling out-of-the-money August calls near the $480 strike to collect premium, particularly for investors who believe the stock may struggle to sustain gains above that level. However, such strategies carry potentially unlimited upside risk if the shares continue to rally.

For traders looking to limit risk exposure, a bull call spread may offer a more balanced alternative. This strategy involves purchasing a lower-strike call while simultaneously selling a higher-strike call, reducing upfront costs while defining both maximum profit and maximum loss.

Overall, recent options flow points to a market that remains constructive on Microsoft's near-term prospects, with aggressive call buying supporting the bullish narrative, even as longer-dated positioning reflects uncertainty over how far the rally can extend.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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