Morgan Stanley’s Wilson Says S&P 500 Could Drop 26% in Months

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Morgan Stanley’s Wilson Says S&P 500 Could Drop 26% in Months

Bloomberg2023-02-21

Risk-reward for stocks is extremely poor amid hawkish Fed: MSS&P 500 to slide to as low as 3,000 in first half: WilsonExpensive US equities are flashing a major warning sign that could see the S&P 500...

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jazzspeed
·2023-02-21
could be in days
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Aidukas
·2023-02-21
Nice
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That’s left rates higher across the curve and stocks more expensive than at any time since 2007 by the measure of equity risk premium, they added.Equity risk premium has entered a level known as the “death zone”, making risk-reward very poor especially as the Fed is far from ending its monetary tightening and earnings expectations remain 10% to 20% too high, Wilson said. “It’s time to head back to base camp before the next guide down in earnings,” he wrote in a note on Monday.Source: BloombergThe strategists hold a view that the S&P 500 can slide to as low as 3,000 — a 26% drop from its most recent close — in the first half of 2023. 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