Ray Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%

Bloomberg2022-09-15

He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a ...

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Simonnov
·2022-09-15
Ic
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ValuInvestor
·2022-09-15
[Thinking]
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BenjiFuji
·2022-09-15
Load up dry powder! If Ray's right, a lot of shooting opportunities ahead! [Grin]
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4
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- LMSunshine:
  I listened to you & sold a lot of my greens!
  2022-09-15
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- MickeyLiew:
  [Facepalm]
  2022-09-15
  Reply
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RW5
·2022-09-15
O
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1
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- RW5:
  O
  2022-09-15
  Reply
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庭ST
·2022-09-15
🤔
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BhaskarB
·2022-09-15
Ray Dalio might be right
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BhaskarB
·2022-09-15
Ok
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1
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Bull1973
·2022-09-15
Ok
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jiunnnnn
·2022-09-15
Saving bullets while waiting
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- BhaskarB:
  Save cash
  2022-09-15
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melson
·2022-09-15
the positive is can sell USD soon
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1
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Upswing118
·2022-09-15
2 parts to it, some will cry but some will rejoice with lower entry price🍻
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hh488
·2022-09-15
Good comparison.
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Btyc
·2022-09-15
Pls like
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3
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- alicialicia:
  ok
  2022-09-15
  Reply
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VNYH
·2022-09-15
Ok
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2
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- VNYH:
  Ok
  2022-09-15
  Reply
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stardice
·2022-09-15
Please help like and comment
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- Xiaomiiiii:
  Done
  2022-09-15
  Reply
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stardice
·2022-09-15
Liked and commented
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3
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XiaTian
·2022-09-15
Ok
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- XiaTian:
  Ok
  2022-09-15
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Kwgan
·2022-09-15
Ok
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4
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naf
·2022-09-15
K
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- aozora:
  Good
  2022-09-15
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- Kwgan:
  Ok
  2022-09-15
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gcchan90
·2022-09-15
That will bring s&p to 3200 range?
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1
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Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.</p><p>Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.</p><p>Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.</p><p>A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40c4808d274be46162db2efadd720342\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"348\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.The S&P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9934865043,"gmtCreate":1663218797182,"gmtModify":1676537230800,"author":{"id":"4087361572396550","authorId":"4087361572396550","name":"ValuInvestor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a962911d3cd0763a9f0cb01392cacd9","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4087361572396550","authorIdStr":"4087361572396550"},"htmlText":"[Thinking]&nbsp;","listText":"[Thinking]&nbsp;","text":"[Thinking]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9934865043","repostId":1119688207,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119688207","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663198743,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119688207?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-15 07:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ray Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119688207","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent abou","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come down</li><li>Notes investors may be complacent about long-term inflation</li></ul><p>Ray Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.</p><p>“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”</p><p>A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.</p><p>The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.</p><p>Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.</p><p>Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.</p><p>A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40c4808d274be46162db2efadd720342\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"348\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRay Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-15 07:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119688207","content_text":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.The S&P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9934860997,"gmtCreate":1663217703733,"gmtModify":1676537230516,"author":{"id":"4110175785559852","authorId":"4110175785559852","name":"BenjiFuji","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/330f59d829009a2c318784ab2b5e6098","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b073a07f77dbe6b3bec6b12311fde6bd","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4110175785559852","authorIdStr":"4110175785559852"},"htmlText":"Load up dry powder! If Ray's right, a lot of shooting opportunities ahead!&nbsp;[Grin]&nbsp;","listText":"Load up dry powder! If Ray's right, a lot of shooting opportunities ahead!&nbsp;[Grin]&nbsp;","text":"Load up dry powder! If Ray's right, a lot of shooting opportunities ahead! [Grin]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9934860997","repostId":1119688207,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119688207","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663198743,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119688207?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-15 07:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ray Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119688207","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent abou","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come down</li><li>Notes investors may be complacent about long-term inflation</li></ul><p>Ray Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.</p><p>“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”</p><p>A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.</p><p>The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.</p><p>Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.</p><p>Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.</p><p>A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40c4808d274be46162db2efadd720342\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"348\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ray Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRay Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-15 07:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119688207","content_text":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.The S&P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":103940034,"gmtCreate":1663246853770,"gmtModify":1663258963740,"authorId":4113904591642392,"author":{"id":4113904591642392,"idStr":"4113904591642392","authorId":4113904591642392,"name":"LMSunshine","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0ad636f2490d8428fcee9da6d669e46c","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be-3","templateUuid":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be","name":"Legendary Trader","description":"Total number of securities or futures transactions reached 300","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c767e35268feb729d50d3fa9a386c5a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.14","exceedPercentage":"93.01%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9934860997,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"<span class=\"s1\">I listened to you &amp; sold a lot of my greens!<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\"> </span></span>","text":"<span class=\"s1\">I listened to you &amp; sold a lot of my greens!<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\"> </span></span>","html":"<span class=\"s1\">I listened to you &amp; sold a lot of my greens!<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\"> </span></span>"},{"id":103940138,"gmtCreate":1663247494116,"gmtModify":1663258963132,"authorId":3571792373977202,"author":{"id":3571792373977202,"idStr":"3571792373977202","authorId":3571792373977202,"name":"MickeyLiew","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9934860997,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"[Facepalm]","text":"[Facepalm]","html":"[Facepalm]"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9934884630,"gmtCreate":1663217494021,"gmtModify":1676537230468,"author":{"id":"3582440300426753","authorId":"3582440300426753","name":"RW5","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1892f1a4f1e18bdabb9f243266c5c6b3","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1eed764d9c7ff83dc093fbb9a96bc2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3582440300426753","authorIdStr":"3582440300426753"},"htmlText":"O","listText":"O","text":"O","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9934884630","repostId":1119688207,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119688207","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663198743,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119688207?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-15 07:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ray Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119688207","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent abou","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come down</li><li>Notes investors may be complacent about long-term inflation</li></ul><p>Ray Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.</p><p>“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”</p><p>A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.</p><p>The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.</p><p>Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.</p><p>Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.</p><p>A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40c4808d274be46162db2efadd720342\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"348\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ray Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRay Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-15 07:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119688207","content_text":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.The S&P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":103935629,"gmtCreate":1663217500509,"gmtModify":1663258940651,"authorId":3582440300426753,"author":{"id":3582440300426753,"idStr":"3582440300426753","authorId":3582440300426753,"name":"RW5","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1892f1a4f1e18bdabb9f243266c5c6b3","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9934884630,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"<span class=\"s1\">O</span>","text":"<span class=\"s1\">O</span>","html":"<span class=\"s1\">O</span>"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9934888330,"gmtCreate":1663216895320,"gmtModify":1676537230342,"author":{"id":"3554850433778518","authorId":"3554850433778518","name":"庭ST","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46ac6463246afbf06e615fbfdc180113","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3554850433778518","authorIdStr":"3554850433778518"},"htmlText":"🤔&nbsp;","listText":"🤔&nbsp;","text":"🤔","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9934888330","repostId":1119688207,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1119688207","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663198743,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119688207?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-15 07:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ray Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119688207","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent abou","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come down</li><li>Notes investors may be complacent about long-term inflation</li></ul><p>Ray Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.</p><p>“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”</p><p>A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.</p><p>The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.</p><p>Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.</p><p>Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.</p><p>A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40c4808d274be46162db2efadd720342\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"348\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ray Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRay Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-15 07:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119688207","content_text":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.The S&P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9934881609,"gmtCreate":1663216584202,"gmtModify":1676537230318,"author":{"id":"3576055655100541","authorId":"3576055655100541","name":"BhaskarB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae63d5d863287dbf3e7d25ef9ab845e0","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3576055655100541","authorIdStr":"3576055655100541"},"htmlText":"Ray Dalio might be right","listText":"Ray Dalio might be right","text":"Ray Dalio might be right","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9934881609","repostId":1119688207,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119688207","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663198743,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119688207?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-15 07:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ray Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119688207","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent abou","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come down</li><li>Notes investors may be complacent about long-term inflation</li></ul><p>Ray Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.</p><p>“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”</p><p>A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.</p><p>The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.</p><p>Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.</p><p>Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.</p><p>A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40c4808d274be46162db2efadd720342\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"348\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRay Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-15 07:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119688207","content_text":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.The S&P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9934881871,"gmtCreate":1663216572693,"gmtModify":1676537230318,"author":{"id":"3576055655100541","authorId":"3576055655100541","name":"BhaskarB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae63d5d863287dbf3e7d25ef9ab845e0","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3576055655100541","authorIdStr":"3576055655100541"},"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9934881871","repostId":1119688207,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119688207","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663198743,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119688207?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-15 07:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ray Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119688207","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent abou","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come down</li><li>Notes investors may be complacent about long-term inflation</li></ul><p>Ray Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.</p><p>“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”</p><p>A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.</p><p>The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.</p><p>Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.</p><p>Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.</p><p>A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40c4808d274be46162db2efadd720342\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"348\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.The S&P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9934817099,"gmtCreate":1663215833312,"gmtModify":1676537230190,"author":{"id":"3584680402793671","authorId":"3584680402793671","name":"Bull1973","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/866d29bf88ff7363d121a5ccc6028aae","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3584680402793671","authorIdStr":"3584680402793671"},"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9934817099","repostId":1119688207,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119688207","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663198743,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119688207?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-15 07:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ray Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119688207","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent abou","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come down</li><li>Notes investors may be complacent about long-term inflation</li></ul><p>Ray Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.</p><p>“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”</p><p>A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.</p><p>The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.</p><p>Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.</p><p>Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.</p><p>A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40c4808d274be46162db2efadd720342\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"348\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRay Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-15 07:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119688207","content_text":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.The S&P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9934814480,"gmtCreate":1663215773840,"gmtModify":1676537230189,"author":{"id":"4088132666965010","authorId":"4088132666965010","name":"jiunnnnn","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/24f28c4d762ae6f62b32956f1633ebdf","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4088132666965010","authorIdStr":"4088132666965010"},"htmlText":"Saving bullets while waiting","listText":"Saving bullets while waiting","text":"Saving bullets while waiting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9934814480","repostId":1119688207,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119688207","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663198743,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119688207?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-15 07:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ray Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119688207","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent abou","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come down</li><li>Notes investors may be complacent about long-term inflation</li></ul><p>Ray Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.</p><p>“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”</p><p>A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.</p><p>The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.</p><p>Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.</p><p>Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.</p><p>A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40c4808d274be46162db2efadd720342\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"348\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRay Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-15 07:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119688207","content_text":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.The S&P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":103935430,"gmtCreate":1663216595507,"gmtModify":1663258941334,"authorId":3576055655100541,"author":{"id":3576055655100541,"idStr":"3576055655100541","authorId":3576055655100541,"name":"BhaskarB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae63d5d863287dbf3e7d25ef9ab845e0","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9934814480,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"<span class=\"s1\">Save cash<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\"> </span></span>","text":"<span class=\"s1\">Save cash<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\"> </span></span>","html":"<span class=\"s1\">Save cash<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\"> </span></span>"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9934815132,"gmtCreate":1663215474826,"gmtModify":1676537230150,"author":{"id":"4123471905369072","authorId":"4123471905369072","name":"melson","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fe7079b4776e26217c92d8df6830df10","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae1f49570794979e009a5efdeb6f4789","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4123471905369072","authorIdStr":"4123471905369072"},"htmlText":"the positive is can sell USD soon","listText":"the positive is can sell USD soon","text":"the positive is can sell USD soon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9934815132","repostId":1119688207,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1119688207","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663198743,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119688207?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-15 07:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ray Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119688207","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent abou","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come down</li><li>Notes investors may be complacent about long-term inflation</li></ul><p>Ray Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.</p><p>“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”</p><p>A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.</p><p>The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.</p><p>Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.</p><p>Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.</p><p>A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40c4808d274be46162db2efadd720342\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"348\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ray Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRay Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-15 07:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119688207","content_text":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.The S&P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9934816600,"gmtCreate":1663215085401,"gmtModify":1676537230086,"author":{"id":"4087685930931350","authorId":"4087685930931350","name":"Upswing118","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ee810deeb4fd3c3d863b49cef1d9956","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4087685930931350","authorIdStr":"4087685930931350"},"htmlText":"2 parts to it, some will cry but some will rejoice with lower entry price🍻","listText":"2 parts to it, some will cry but some will rejoice with lower entry price🍻","text":"2 parts to it, some will cry but some will rejoice with lower entry price🍻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9934816600","repostId":1119688207,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119688207","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663198743,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119688207?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-15 07:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ray Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119688207","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent abou","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come down</li><li>Notes investors may be complacent about long-term inflation</li></ul><p>Ray Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.</p><p>“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”</p><p>A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.</p><p>The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.</p><p>Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.</p><p>Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.</p><p>A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40c4808d274be46162db2efadd720342\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"348\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRay Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-15 07:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119688207","content_text":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.The S&P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9934810833,"gmtCreate":1663214179322,"gmtModify":1676537229878,"author":{"id":"4087945317850020","authorId":"4087945317850020","name":"hh488","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ef8dc41ed1e0c6e411a9a46b77edd66","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b073a07f77dbe6b3bec6b12311fde6bd","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4087945317850020","authorIdStr":"4087945317850020"},"htmlText":"Good comparison.","listText":"Good comparison.","text":"Good comparison.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9934810833","repostId":1119688207,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119688207","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663198743,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119688207?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-15 07:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ray Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119688207","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent abou","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come down</li><li>Notes investors may be complacent about long-term inflation</li></ul><p>Ray Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.</p><p>“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”</p><p>A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.</p><p>The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.</p><p>Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.</p><p>Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.</p><p>A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40c4808d274be46162db2efadd720342\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"348\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ray Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRay Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-15 07:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119688207","content_text":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.The S&P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9934832698,"gmtCreate":1663213452815,"gmtModify":1676537229555,"author":{"id":"3572386838254554","authorId":"3572386838254554","name":"Btyc","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29cb9292b9c967e5a9df5f775cc4cd02","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3572386838254554","authorIdStr":"3572386838254554"},"htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9934832698","repostId":1119688207,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119688207","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663198743,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119688207?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-15 07:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ray Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119688207","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent abou","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come down</li><li>Notes investors may be complacent about long-term inflation</li></ul><p>Ray Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.</p><p>“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”</p><p>A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.</p><p>The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.</p><p>Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.</p><p>Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.</p><p>A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40c4808d274be46162db2efadd720342\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"348\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRay Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-15 07:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119688207","content_text":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.The S&P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":103934658,"gmtCreate":1663213770002,"gmtModify":1663258935052,"authorId":3572214398550610,"author":{"id":3572214398550610,"idStr":"3572214398550610","authorId":3572214398550610,"name":"alicialicia","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4b23ee891a1061c7907495a9c7da890","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9934832698,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"ok","text":"ok","html":"ok"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9934832939,"gmtCreate":1663213364821,"gmtModify":1676537229539,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3587098041366260","authorIdStr":"3587098041366260"},"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9934832939","repostId":1119688207,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119688207","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663198743,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119688207?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-15 07:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ray Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119688207","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent abou","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come down</li><li>Notes investors may be complacent about long-term inflation</li></ul><p>Ray Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.</p><p>“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”</p><p>A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.</p><p>The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.</p><p>Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.</p><p>Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.</p><p>A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40c4808d274be46162db2efadd720342\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"348\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ray Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRay Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-15 07:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119688207","content_text":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.The S&P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":103934583,"gmtCreate":1663213373473,"gmtModify":1663258934844,"authorId":3587098041366260,"author":{"id":3587098041366260,"idStr":"3587098041366260","authorId":3587098041366260,"name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9934832939,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"<span class=\"s1\">Ok</span>","text":"<span class=\"s1\">Ok</span>","html":"<span class=\"s1\">Ok</span>"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9934836076,"gmtCreate":1663213150096,"gmtModify":1676537229504,"author":{"id":"3569374298664989","authorId":"3569374298664989","name":"stardice","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3569374298664989","authorIdStr":"3569374298664989"},"htmlText":"Please help like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Please help like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Please help like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9934836076","repostId":1119688207,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119688207","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663198743,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119688207?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-15 07:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ray Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119688207","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent abou","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come down</li><li>Notes investors may be complacent about long-term inflation</li></ul><p>Ray Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.</p><p>“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”</p><p>A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.</p><p>The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.</p><p>Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.</p><p>Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.</p><p>A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40c4808d274be46162db2efadd720342\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"348\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ray Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRay Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-15 07:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119688207","content_text":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.The S&P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":103935080,"gmtCreate":1663215298666,"gmtModify":1663258938940,"authorId":3582755552600107,"author":{"id":3582755552600107,"idStr":"3582755552600107","authorId":3582755552600107,"name":"Xiaomiiiii","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9934836076,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"<span class=\"s1\">Done</span>","text":"<span class=\"s1\">Done</span>","html":"<span class=\"s1\">Done</span>"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9934838289,"gmtCreate":1663213143742,"gmtModify":1676537229497,"author":{"id":"3569374298664989","authorId":"3569374298664989","name":"stardice","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3569374298664989","authorIdStr":"3569374298664989"},"htmlText":"Liked and commented&nbsp;","listText":"Liked and commented&nbsp;","text":"Liked and commented","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9934838289","repostId":1119688207,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119688207","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663198743,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119688207?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-15 07:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ray Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119688207","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent abou","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come down</li><li>Notes investors may be complacent about long-term inflation</li></ul><p>Ray Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.</p><p>“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”</p><p>A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.</p><p>The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.</p><p>Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.</p><p>Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.</p><p>A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40c4808d274be46162db2efadd720342\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"348\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ray Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRay Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-15 07:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119688207","content_text":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.The S&P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9934838064,"gmtCreate":1663213092758,"gmtModify":1676537229474,"author":{"id":"3575368380492738","authorId":"3575368380492738","name":"XiaTian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/71777f1a5ae276e73064272b5ae7df92","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3575368380492738","authorIdStr":"3575368380492738"},"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9934838064","repostId":1119688207,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119688207","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663198743,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119688207?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-15 07:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ray Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119688207","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent abou","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come down</li><li>Notes investors may be complacent about long-term inflation</li></ul><p>Ray Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.</p><p>“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”</p><p>A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.</p><p>The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.</p><p>Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.</p><p>Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.</p><p>A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40c4808d274be46162db2efadd720342\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"348\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ray Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRay Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-15 07:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119688207","content_text":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.The S&P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":103934521,"gmtCreate":1663213100661,"gmtModify":1663258936144,"authorId":3575368380492738,"author":{"id":3575368380492738,"idStr":"3575368380492738","authorId":3575368380492738,"name":"XiaTian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/71777f1a5ae276e73064272b5ae7df92","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be-2","templateUuid":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be","name":"Master Trader","description":"Total number of securities or futures transactions reached 100","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad22cfbe2d05aa393b18e9226e4b0307","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36702e6ff3ffe46acafee66cc85273ca","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52eb88fa385cf5abe2616ed63781765","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":"80.28%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9934838064,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"<span class=\"s1\">Ok</span>","text":"<span class=\"s1\">Ok</span>","html":"<span class=\"s1\">Ok</span>"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9934831657,"gmtCreate":1663212960879,"gmtModify":1676537229436,"author":{"id":"3555113831623017","authorId":"3555113831623017","name":"Kwgan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3555113831623017","authorIdStr":"3555113831623017"},"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9934831657","repostId":1119688207,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119688207","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663198743,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119688207?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-15 07:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ray Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119688207","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent abou","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come down</li><li>Notes investors may be complacent about long-term inflation</li></ul><p>Ray Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.</p><p>“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”</p><p>A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.</p><p>The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.</p><p>Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.</p><p>Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.</p><p>A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40c4808d274be46162db2efadd720342\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"348\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRay Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-15 07:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119688207","content_text":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.The S&P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9934833183,"gmtCreate":1663212757842,"gmtModify":1676537229395,"author":{"id":"3584567729657839","authorId":"3584567729657839","name":"naf","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/901464b7f838cff158663fe74b06d9e2","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3584567729657839","authorIdStr":"3584567729657839"},"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9934833183","repostId":1119688207,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119688207","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663198743,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119688207?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-15 07:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ray Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119688207","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent abou","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come down</li><li>Notes investors may be complacent about long-term inflation</li></ul><p>Ray Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.</p><p>“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”</p><p>A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.</p><p>The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.</p><p>Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.</p><p>Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.</p><p>A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40c4808d274be46162db2efadd720342\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"348\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRay Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-15 07:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119688207","content_text":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.The S&P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":103934527,"gmtCreate":1663213147295,"gmtModify":1663258936630,"authorId":3562713646670910,"author":{"id":3562713646670910,"idStr":"3562713646670910","authorId":3562713646670910,"name":"aozora","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d3299fd75dc0e0c74372c8cf9c8adcc","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9934833183,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"<span class=\"s1\">Good</span>","text":"<span class=\"s1\">Good</span>","html":"<span class=\"s1\">Good</span>"},{"id":103934551,"gmtCreate":1663213247003,"gmtModify":1663258936026,"authorId":3555113831623017,"author":{"id":3555113831623017,"idStr":"3555113831623017","authorId":3555113831623017,"name":"Kwgan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9934833183,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"<span class=\"s1\">Ok</span>","text":"<span class=\"s1\">Ok</span>","html":"<span class=\"s1\">Ok</span>"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9934897724,"gmtCreate":1663212340668,"gmtModify":1676537229265,"author":{"id":"3581732776237830","authorId":"3581732776237830","name":"gcchan90","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d9ba0044f6af87e0ba5abcd8e70d671","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3581732776237830","authorIdStr":"3581732776237830"},"htmlText":"That will bring s&amp;p to 3200 range?","listText":"That will bring s&amp;p to 3200 range?","text":"That will bring s&p to 3200 range?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9934897724","repostId":1119688207,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119688207","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663198743,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119688207?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-15 07:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ray Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119688207","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent abou","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come down</li><li>Notes investors may be complacent about long-term inflation</li></ul><p>Ray Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.</p><p>“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”</p><p>A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.</p><p>The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.</p><p>Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.</p><p>Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.</p><p>A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40c4808d274be46162db2efadd720342\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"348\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.The S&P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"}],"hasMoreComments":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":611,"commentSize":196,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":4,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false}}