Gundlach Warns Dollar Is "Doomed", Stocks Are At "Nosebleed" Levels

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Gundlach Warns Dollar Is "Doomed", Stocks Are At "Nosebleed" Levels

zerohedge2021-07-16

It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka "the Judge", during the network's "Halftime Report". Gundlach has at times ...

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MyGate
·2021-07-17
Wherr got crash?
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2
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JoyceChew
·2021-07-17
Haiss
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1
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Meshaarias72
·2021-07-16
Y
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1
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- JoyceChew:
  ????
  2021-07-17
  Reply
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Meshaarias72
·2021-07-16
Like n comment pls
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3
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Erikca
·2021-07-16
Icic
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2
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AndyPhua
·2021-07-16
thanks for the notes
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1
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JCKL488
·2021-07-16
Dump now and the funds will buy low for a nice year end bonus
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5
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- Vincewjs:
  agreed...
  2021-07-16
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Upswing118
·2021-07-16
How, dump now?
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1
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- Upswing118:
  Run out of bullets??
  2021-07-18
  Reply
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- JoyceChew:
  Average down
  2021-07-17
  Reply
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NgKenny
·2021-07-16
Good
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1
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HwaHwa
·2021-07-16
Wow
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2
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Mhong
·2021-07-16
Like and comment
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2
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- 股神徒孙:
  Okay
  2021-07-16
  Reply
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Kencom
·2021-07-16
History has proven that by investing in sound quality stock to build up solid portfolio. Event the stock market nose dive during a correction, it still survive. Only the weak stocks will be wiped out within short time. No point joining the queue for quick profit & can't get out on time. That is where the retail investors lose money when adverse news stir the market.
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- Cedric77:
  Is a truth fact that too much paper was printed. we do know what happened when this happened. Look back in history and it will actually hv an answer what will happened next.
  2021-07-19
  Reply
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- KH321:
  will survive, but will take years to recover back.
  2021-07-16
  Reply
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- fionat:
  Yea trading driven by greed and without logical consideration is the riskiest
  2021-07-16
  Reply
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alvernsim
·2021-07-16
Like pls
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1
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Sam51
·2021-07-16
Pls like and comments tq
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4
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- alvernsim:
  Ok
  2021-07-16
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Solewalker
·2021-07-16
Pullback is due
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- Sam51:
  Yeap
  2021-07-16
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Sohws
·2021-07-16
Stay invested for the long term. Like please
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- TTH4Legs:
  Done
  2021-07-16
  Reply
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KwokMeng
·2021-07-16
Trade with caution ⚠️?
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6
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JoelLee
·2021-07-16
Wowow
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6
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ShadowBan
·2021-07-16
where else can we hide
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- Solewalker:
  More money to be made Shorting than longing
  2021-07-16
  Reply
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JoelLee
·2021-07-16
Like and reply pls thx
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- JoelLee:
  Reply
  2021-07-16
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Gundlach has at times ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"SPY","symbol_name":"标普500ETF","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels","article_id":"1131457770","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131457770","pubTimestamp":1626398407,"sourceInfo":null,"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"zerohedge.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"translate_title":"冈拉克警告美元“注定要失败”，股市处于“鼻血”水平","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9},"content_text":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.\n\nDuring Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.\nThis isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.\nTo try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell & Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.\nWhile Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.\nEquity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.\n\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n\nThe biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.\n\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n\nWhile Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.\n\nMoving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.\n\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n\n\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n\nAs for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.\n\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n\n\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n\n\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n\nWhile foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.\n\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n\nIn the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.\nFinally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".\n\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n\nTo sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.\nIn other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":179637308,"gmtCreate":1626515280504,"gmtModify":1703761364737,"author":{"id":"3554940541217211","authorId":"3554940541217211","authorIdStr":"3554940541217211","name":"MyGate","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd5d001d1c51c479c77e8dde6f89d808","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3554940541217211"},"htmlText":"Wherr got crash?","listText":"Wherr got crash?","text":"Wherr got crash?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/179637308","repostId":1131457770,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131457770","pubTimestamp":1626398407,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131457770?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-16 09:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131457770","media":"zerohedge","summary":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's","content":"<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1da3a4f9e21ca6778d325fb2ad274c3a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"321\"></p>\n<p>During Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.</p>\n<p>This isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.</p>\n<p>To try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell &amp; Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.</p>\n<p>While Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.</p>\n<p>Equity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>While Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d42874552d6f29482f7731714a045d7a\" tg-width=\"510\" tg-height=\"489\"></p>\n<p>Moving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>As for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>While foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>In the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.</p>\n<p>Finally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>To sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.</p>\n<p>In other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 09:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131457770","content_text":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.\n\nDuring Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.\nThis isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.\nTo try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell & Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.\nWhile Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.\nEquity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.\n\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n\nThe biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.\n\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n\nWhile Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.\n\nMoving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.\n\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n\n\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n\nAs for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.\n\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n\n\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n\n\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n\nWhile foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.\n\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n\nIn the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.\nFinally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".\n\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n\nTo sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.\nIn other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":179931942,"gmtCreate":1626480740586,"gmtModify":1703760792116,"author":{"id":"3571889352436684","authorId":"3571889352436684","authorIdStr":"3571889352436684","name":"JoyceChew","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcd2a122cab87882e73eff3dc886ecec","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3571889352436684"},"htmlText":"Haiss","listText":"Haiss","text":"Haiss","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/179931942","repostId":1131457770,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131457770","pubTimestamp":1626398407,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131457770?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-16 09:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131457770","media":"zerohedge","summary":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's","content":"<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1da3a4f9e21ca6778d325fb2ad274c3a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"321\"></p>\n<p>During Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.</p>\n<p>This isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.</p>\n<p>To try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell &amp; Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.</p>\n<p>While Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.</p>\n<p>Equity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>While Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d42874552d6f29482f7731714a045d7a\" tg-width=\"510\" tg-height=\"489\"></p>\n<p>Moving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>As for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>While foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>In the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.</p>\n<p>Finally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>To sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.</p>\n<p>In other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 09:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131457770","content_text":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.\n\nDuring Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.\nThis isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.\nTo try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell & Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.\nWhile Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.\nEquity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.\n\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n\nThe biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.\n\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n\nWhile Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.\n\nMoving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.\n\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n\n\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n\nAs for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.\n\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n\n\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n\n\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n\nWhile foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.\n\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n\nIn the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.\nFinally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".\n\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n\nTo sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.\nIn other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":170592850,"gmtCreate":1626441047770,"gmtModify":1703760211348,"author":{"id":"3577781617271173","authorId":"3577781617271173","authorIdStr":"3577781617271173","name":"Meshaarias72","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5282cda6a9d3948fc067b21adcb578c","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3577781617271173"},"htmlText":"Y","listText":"Y","text":"Y","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/170592850","repostId":1131457770,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131457770","pubTimestamp":1626398407,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131457770?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-16 09:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131457770","media":"zerohedge","summary":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's","content":"<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1da3a4f9e21ca6778d325fb2ad274c3a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"321\"></p>\n<p>During Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.</p>\n<p>This isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.</p>\n<p>To try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell &amp; Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.</p>\n<p>While Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.</p>\n<p>Equity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>While Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d42874552d6f29482f7731714a045d7a\" tg-width=\"510\" tg-height=\"489\"></p>\n<p>Moving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>As for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>While foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>In the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.</p>\n<p>Finally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>To sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.</p>\n<p>In other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 09:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131457770","content_text":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.\n\nDuring Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.\nThis isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.\nTo try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell & Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.\nWhile Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.\nEquity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.\n\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n\nThe biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.\n\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n\nWhile Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.\n\nMoving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.\n\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n\n\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n\nAs for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.\n\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n\n\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n\n\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n\nWhile foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.\n\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n\nIn the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.\nFinally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".\n\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n\nTo sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.\nIn other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":5244172,"gmtCreate":1626480752710,"gmtModify":1663231080235,"authorId":3571889352436684,"author":{"id":3571889352436684,"authorId":3571889352436684,"name":"JoyceChew","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcd2a122cab87882e73eff3dc886ecec","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":170592850,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"????","text":"????","html":"????"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":170592388,"gmtCreate":1626441033144,"gmtModify":1703760211185,"author":{"id":"3577781617271173","authorId":"3577781617271173","authorIdStr":"3577781617271173","name":"Meshaarias72","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5282cda6a9d3948fc067b21adcb578c","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3577781617271173"},"htmlText":"Like n comment pls","listText":"Like n comment pls","text":"Like n comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/170592388","repostId":1131457770,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131457770","pubTimestamp":1626398407,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131457770?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-16 09:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131457770","media":"zerohedge","summary":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's","content":"<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1da3a4f9e21ca6778d325fb2ad274c3a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"321\"></p>\n<p>During Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.</p>\n<p>This isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.</p>\n<p>To try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell &amp; Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.</p>\n<p>While Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.</p>\n<p>Equity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>While Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d42874552d6f29482f7731714a045d7a\" tg-width=\"510\" tg-height=\"489\"></p>\n<p>Moving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>As for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>While foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>In the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.</p>\n<p>Finally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>To sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.</p>\n<p>In other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 09:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131457770","content_text":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.\n\nDuring Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.\nThis isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.\nTo try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell & Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.\nWhile Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.\nEquity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.\n\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n\nThe biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.\n\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n\nWhile Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.\n\nMoving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.\n\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n\n\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n\nAs for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.\n\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n\n\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n\n\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n\nWhile foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.\n\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n\nIn the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.\nFinally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".\n\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n\nTo sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.\nIn other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":170257706,"gmtCreate":1626438861205,"gmtModify":1703760159472,"author":{"id":"3582074233060171","authorId":"3582074233060171","authorIdStr":"3582074233060171","name":"Erikca","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c8597dae5bbe585b053f307dd3255c0","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3582074233060171"},"htmlText":"Icic","listText":"Icic","text":"Icic","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/170257706","repostId":1131457770,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131457770","pubTimestamp":1626398407,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131457770?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-16 09:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131457770","media":"zerohedge","summary":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's","content":"<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1da3a4f9e21ca6778d325fb2ad274c3a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"321\"></p>\n<p>During Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.</p>\n<p>This isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.</p>\n<p>To try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell &amp; Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.</p>\n<p>While Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.</p>\n<p>Equity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>While Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d42874552d6f29482f7731714a045d7a\" tg-width=\"510\" tg-height=\"489\"></p>\n<p>Moving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>As for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>While foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>In the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.</p>\n<p>Finally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>To sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.</p>\n<p>In other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 09:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131457770","content_text":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.\n\nDuring Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.\nThis isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.\nTo try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell & Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.\nWhile Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.\nEquity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.\n\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n\nThe biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.\n\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n\nWhile Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.\n\nMoving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.\n\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n\n\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n\nAs for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.\n\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n\n\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n\n\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n\nWhile foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.\n\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n\nIn the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.\nFinally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".\n\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n\nTo sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.\nIn other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":170282365,"gmtCreate":1626436165157,"gmtModify":1703760110787,"author":{"id":"3581941976675547","authorId":"3581941976675547","authorIdStr":"3581941976675547","name":"AndyPhua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4990a91de4158d236ba30eac4c425a59","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3581941976675547"},"htmlText":"thanks for the notes","listText":"thanks for the notes","text":"thanks for the notes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/170282365","repostId":1131457770,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131457770","pubTimestamp":1626398407,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131457770?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-16 09:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131457770","media":"zerohedge","summary":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's","content":"<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1da3a4f9e21ca6778d325fb2ad274c3a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"321\"></p>\n<p>During Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.</p>\n<p>This isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.</p>\n<p>To try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell &amp; Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.</p>\n<p>While Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.</p>\n<p>Equity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>While Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d42874552d6f29482f7731714a045d7a\" tg-width=\"510\" tg-height=\"489\"></p>\n<p>Moving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>As for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>While foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>In the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.</p>\n<p>Finally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>To sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.</p>\n<p>In other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 09:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131457770","content_text":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.\n\nDuring Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.\nThis isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.\nTo try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell & Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.\nWhile Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.\nEquity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.\n\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n\nThe biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.\n\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n\nWhile Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.\n\nMoving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.\n\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n\n\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n\nAs for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.\n\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n\n\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n\n\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n\nWhile foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.\n\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n\nIn the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.\nFinally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".\n\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n\nTo sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.\nIn other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":170230161,"gmtCreate":1626433819853,"gmtModify":1703760075279,"author":{"id":"3574736103389937","authorId":"3574736103389937","authorIdStr":"3574736103389937","name":"JCKL488","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b46f479e98d6cf2484ad9c767786e663","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3574736103389937"},"htmlText":"Dump now and the funds will buy low for a nice year end bonus&nbsp;","listText":"Dump now and the funds will buy low for a nice year end bonus&nbsp;","text":"Dump now and the funds will buy low for a nice year end bonus","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/170230161","repostId":1131457770,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131457770","pubTimestamp":1626398407,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131457770?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-16 09:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131457770","media":"zerohedge","summary":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's","content":"<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1da3a4f9e21ca6778d325fb2ad274c3a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"321\"></p>\n<p>During Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.</p>\n<p>This isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.</p>\n<p>To try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell &amp; Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.</p>\n<p>While Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.</p>\n<p>Equity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>While Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d42874552d6f29482f7731714a045d7a\" tg-width=\"510\" tg-height=\"489\"></p>\n<p>Moving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>As for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>While foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>In the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.</p>\n<p>Finally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>To sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.</p>\n<p>In other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 09:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131457770","content_text":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.\n\nDuring Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.\nThis isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.\nTo try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell & Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.\nWhile Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.\nEquity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.\n\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n\nThe biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.\n\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n\nWhile Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.\n\nMoving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.\n\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n\n\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n\nAs for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.\n\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n\n\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n\n\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n\nWhile foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.\n\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n\nIn the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.\nFinally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".\n\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n\nTo sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.\nIn other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":5239382,"gmtCreate":1626435038968,"gmtModify":1663231059937,"authorId":3580530961144265,"author":{"id":3580530961144265,"authorId":3580530961144265,"name":"Vincewjs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b82f615cebf44420a077b013694f231d","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":170230161,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"agreed...","text":"agreed...","html":"agreed..."}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":170207993,"gmtCreate":1626432900012,"gmtModify":1703760059036,"author":{"id":"4087685930931350","authorId":"4087685930931350","authorIdStr":"4087685930931350","name":"Upswing118","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ee810deeb4fd3c3d863b49cef1d9956","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4087685930931350"},"htmlText":"How, dump now?&nbsp;","listText":"How, dump now?&nbsp;","text":"How, dump now?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/170207993","repostId":1131457770,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131457770","pubTimestamp":1626398407,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131457770?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-16 09:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131457770","media":"zerohedge","summary":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's","content":"<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1da3a4f9e21ca6778d325fb2ad274c3a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"321\"></p>\n<p>During Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.</p>\n<p>This isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.</p>\n<p>To try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell &amp; Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.</p>\n<p>While Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.</p>\n<p>Equity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>While Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d42874552d6f29482f7731714a045d7a\" tg-width=\"510\" tg-height=\"489\"></p>\n<p>Moving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>As for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>While foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>In the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.</p>\n<p>Finally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>To sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.</p>\n<p>In other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 09:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131457770","content_text":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.\n\nDuring Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.\nThis isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.\nTo try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell & Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.\nWhile Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.\nEquity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.\n\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n\nThe biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.\n\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n\nWhile Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.\n\nMoving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.\n\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n\n\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n\nAs for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.\n\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n\n\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n\n\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n\nWhile foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.\n\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n\nIn the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.\nFinally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".\n\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n\nTo sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.\nIn other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":5253016,"gmtCreate":1626584635011,"gmtModify":1663231118837,"authorId":4087685930931350,"author":{"id":4087685930931350,"authorId":4087685930931350,"name":"Upswing118","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ee810deeb4fd3c3d863b49cef1d9956","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":170207993,"type":1,"supId":5244176,"prevId":0,"content":"Run out of bullets??","text":"Run out of bullets??","html":"Run out of bullets??"},{"id":5244176,"gmtCreate":1626480773433,"gmtModify":1663231081544,"authorId":3571889352436684,"author":{"id":3571889352436684,"authorId":3571889352436684,"name":"JoyceChew","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcd2a122cab87882e73eff3dc886ecec","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":170207993,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Average down","text":"Average down","html":"Average down"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":170663177,"gmtCreate":1626427294799,"gmtModify":1703759974506,"author":{"id":"3582778356971864","authorId":"3582778356971864","authorIdStr":"3582778356971864","name":"NgKenny","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fdae3e0bdca8d3a33e7f9d619f0dc88","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b073a07f77dbe6b3bec6b12311fde6bd","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3582778356971864"},"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/170663177","repostId":1131457770,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131457770","pubTimestamp":1626398407,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131457770?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-16 09:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131457770","media":"zerohedge","summary":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's","content":"<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1da3a4f9e21ca6778d325fb2ad274c3a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"321\"></p>\n<p>During Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.</p>\n<p>This isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.</p>\n<p>To try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell &amp; Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.</p>\n<p>While Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.</p>\n<p>Equity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>While Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d42874552d6f29482f7731714a045d7a\" tg-width=\"510\" tg-height=\"489\"></p>\n<p>Moving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>As for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>While foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>In the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.</p>\n<p>Finally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>To sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.</p>\n<p>In other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 09:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131457770","content_text":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.\n\nDuring Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.\nThis isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.\nTo try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell & Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.\nWhile Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.\nEquity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.\n\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n\nThe biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.\n\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n\nWhile Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.\n\nMoving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.\n\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n\n\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n\nAs for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.\n\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n\n\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n\n\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n\nWhile foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.\n\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n\nIn the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.\nFinally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".\n\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n\nTo sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.\nIn other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":170683442,"gmtCreate":1626426614786,"gmtModify":1703759960159,"author":{"id":"4087529024557940","authorId":"4087529024557940","authorIdStr":"4087529024557940","name":"HwaHwa","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4087529024557940"},"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/170683442","repostId":1131457770,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131457770","pubTimestamp":1626398407,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131457770?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-16 09:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131457770","media":"zerohedge","summary":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's","content":"<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1da3a4f9e21ca6778d325fb2ad274c3a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"321\"></p>\n<p>During Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.</p>\n<p>This isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.</p>\n<p>To try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell &amp; Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.</p>\n<p>While Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.</p>\n<p>Equity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>While Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d42874552d6f29482f7731714a045d7a\" tg-width=\"510\" tg-height=\"489\"></p>\n<p>Moving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>As for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>While foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>In the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.</p>\n<p>Finally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>To sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.</p>\n<p>In other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 09:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131457770","content_text":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.\n\nDuring Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.\nThis isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.\nTo try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell & Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.\nWhile Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.\nEquity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.\n\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n\nThe biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.\n\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n\nWhile Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.\n\nMoving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.\n\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n\n\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n\nAs for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.\n\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n\n\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n\n\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n\nWhile foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.\n\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n\nIn the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.\nFinally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".\n\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n\nTo sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.\nIn other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":170877407,"gmtCreate":1626423805809,"gmtModify":1703759896350,"author":{"id":"3578449123371823","authorId":"3578449123371823","authorIdStr":"3578449123371823","name":"Mhong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1110c90505cf18cc129130892c4dc2a","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3578449123371823"},"htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/170877407","repostId":1131457770,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131457770","pubTimestamp":1626398407,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131457770?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-16 09:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131457770","media":"zerohedge","summary":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's","content":"<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1da3a4f9e21ca6778d325fb2ad274c3a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"321\"></p>\n<p>During Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.</p>\n<p>This isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.</p>\n<p>To try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell &amp; Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.</p>\n<p>While Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.</p>\n<p>Equity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>While Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d42874552d6f29482f7731714a045d7a\" tg-width=\"510\" tg-height=\"489\"></p>\n<p>Moving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>As for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>While foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>In the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.</p>\n<p>Finally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>To sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.</p>\n<p>In other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 09:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131457770","content_text":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.\n\nDuring Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.\nThis isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.\nTo try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell & Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.\nWhile Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.\nEquity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.\n\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n\nThe biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.\n\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n\nWhile Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.\n\nMoving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.\n\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n\n\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n\nAs for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.\n\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n\n\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n\n\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n\nWhile foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.\n\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n\nIn the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.\nFinally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".\n\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n\nTo sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.\nIn other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":5238455,"gmtCreate":1626425848338,"gmtModify":1663231055827,"authorId":3573474804628073,"author":{"id":3573474804628073,"authorId":3573474804628073,"name":"股神徒孙","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac59f7fc64d3e018af70687bdddf30c2","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":170877407,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Okay","text":"Okay","html":"Okay"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":170874315,"gmtCreate":1626423731237,"gmtModify":1703759893726,"author":{"id":"4088748055325860","authorId":"4088748055325860","authorIdStr":"4088748055325860","name":"Kencom","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bcaa9548fb78e0409a2827c590935dab","vip":1,"crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4088748055325860"},"htmlText":"History has proven that by investing in sound quality stock to build up solid portfolio. Event the stock market nose dive during a correction, it still survive. Only the weak stocks will be wiped out within short time. No point joining the queue for quick profit &amp; can't get out on time. That is where the retail investors lose money when adverse news stir the market.","listText":"History has proven that by investing in sound quality stock to build up solid portfolio. Event the stock market nose dive during a correction, it still survive. Only the weak stocks will be wiped out within short time. No point joining the queue for quick profit &amp; can't get out on time. That is where the retail investors lose money when adverse news stir the market.","text":"History has proven that by investing in sound quality stock to build up solid portfolio. Event the stock market nose dive during a correction, it still survive. Only the weak stocks will be wiped out within short time. No point joining the queue for quick profit & can't get out on time. That is where the retail investors lose money when adverse news stir the market.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/170874315","repostId":1131457770,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131457770","pubTimestamp":1626398407,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131457770?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-16 09:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131457770","media":"zerohedge","summary":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's","content":"<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1da3a4f9e21ca6778d325fb2ad274c3a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"321\"></p>\n<p>During Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.</p>\n<p>This isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.</p>\n<p>To try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell &amp; Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.</p>\n<p>While Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.</p>\n<p>Equity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>While Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d42874552d6f29482f7731714a045d7a\" tg-width=\"510\" tg-height=\"489\"></p>\n<p>Moving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>As for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>While foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>In the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.</p>\n<p>Finally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>To sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.</p>\n<p>In other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 09:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131457770","content_text":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.\n\nDuring Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.\nThis isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.\nTo try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell & Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.\nWhile Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.\nEquity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.\n\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n\nThe biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.\n\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n\nWhile Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.\n\nMoving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.\n\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n\n\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n\nAs for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.\n\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n\n\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n\n\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n\nWhile foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.\n\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n\nIn the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.\nFinally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".\n\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n\nTo sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.\nIn other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":5256936,"gmtCreate":1626652723418,"gmtModify":1663231140133,"authorId":3575196385895354,"author":{"id":3575196385895354,"authorId":3575196385895354,"name":"Cedric77","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5ee082b05004f20d3486afedee30814","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"7a9f168ff73447fe856ed6c938b61789-1","templateUuid":"7a9f168ff73447fe856ed6c938b61789","name":"Knowledgeable Investor","description":"Traded more than 10 stocks","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.11.15","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":170874315,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Is a truth fact that too much paper was printed. we do know what happened when this happened. Look back in history&nbsp; and it will actually hv an answer what will happened next.","text":"Is a truth fact that too much paper was printed. we do know what happened when this happened. Look back in history&nbsp; and it will actually hv an answer what will happened next.","html":"Is a truth fact that too much paper was printed. we do know what happened when this happened. Look back in history&nbsp; and it will actually hv an answer what will happened next."},{"id":5241040,"gmtCreate":1626445704441,"gmtModify":1663231066941,"authorId":3586451610703869,"author":{"id":3586451610703869,"authorId":3586451610703869,"name":"KH321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1bb8bd7d6d5df5f9732871fe60999ea","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be-2","templateUuid":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be","name":"Master Trader","description":"Total number of securities or futures transactions reached 100","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad22cfbe2d05aa393b18e9226e4b0307","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36702e6ff3ffe46acafee66cc85273ca","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52eb88fa385cf5abe2616ed63781765","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":"80.23%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":170874315,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"will survive, but will take years to recover back.","text":"will survive, but will take years to recover back.","html":"will survive, but will take years to recover back."},{"id":5239900,"gmtCreate":1626440055453,"gmtModify":1663231063128,"authorId":3568271286196651,"author":{"id":3568271286196651,"authorId":3568271286196651,"name":"fionat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/690b4ea91c83e331febd6098848bb10b","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":170874315,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Yea trading driven by greed and without logical consideration is the riskiest","text":"Yea trading driven by greed and without logical consideration is the riskiest","html":"Yea trading driven by greed and without logical consideration is the riskiest"},{"id":5238558,"gmtCreate":1626426672136,"gmtModify":1663231056333,"authorId":4087529024557940,"author":{"id":4087529024557940,"authorId":4087529024557940,"name":"HwaHwa","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":170874315,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Nice!","text":"Nice!","html":"Nice!"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":170823000,"gmtCreate":1626421393600,"gmtModify":1703759842906,"author":{"id":"3575936957429593","authorId":"3575936957429593","authorIdStr":"3575936957429593","name":"alvernsim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2fe3d62fe9cea4c6c6e6417f045322d","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3575936957429593"},"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/170823000","repostId":1131457770,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131457770","pubTimestamp":1626398407,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131457770?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-16 09:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131457770","media":"zerohedge","summary":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's","content":"<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1da3a4f9e21ca6778d325fb2ad274c3a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"321\"></p>\n<p>During Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.</p>\n<p>This isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.</p>\n<p>To try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell &amp; Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.</p>\n<p>While Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.</p>\n<p>Equity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>While Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d42874552d6f29482f7731714a045d7a\" tg-width=\"510\" tg-height=\"489\"></p>\n<p>Moving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>As for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>While foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>In the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.</p>\n<p>Finally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>To sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.</p>\n<p>In other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 09:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131457770","content_text":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.\n\nDuring Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.\nThis isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.\nTo try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell & Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.\nWhile Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.\nEquity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.\n\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n\nThe biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.\n\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n\nWhile Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.\n\nMoving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.\n\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n\n\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n\nAs for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.\n\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n\n\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n\n\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n\nWhile foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.\n\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n\nIn the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.\nFinally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".\n\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n\nTo sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.\nIn other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":170885561,"gmtCreate":1626420097653,"gmtModify":1703759820795,"author":{"id":"3575283853399181","authorId":"3575283853399181","authorIdStr":"3575283853399181","name":"Sam51","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b7c690f292ee78cc886542bf68de05a","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3575283853399181"},"htmlText":"Pls like and comments tq&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like and comments tq&nbsp;","text":"Pls like and comments tq","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/170885561","repostId":1131457770,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131457770","pubTimestamp":1626398407,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131457770?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-16 09:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131457770","media":"zerohedge","summary":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's","content":"<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1da3a4f9e21ca6778d325fb2ad274c3a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"321\"></p>\n<p>During Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.</p>\n<p>This isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.</p>\n<p>To try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell &amp; Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.</p>\n<p>While Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.</p>\n<p>Equity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>While Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d42874552d6f29482f7731714a045d7a\" tg-width=\"510\" tg-height=\"489\"></p>\n<p>Moving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>As for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>While foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>In the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.</p>\n<p>Finally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>To sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.</p>\n<p>In other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 09:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131457770","content_text":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.\n\nDuring Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.\nThis isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.\nTo try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell & Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.\nWhile Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.\nEquity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.\n\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n\nThe biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.\n\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n\nWhile Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.\n\nMoving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.\n\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n\n\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n\nAs for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.\n\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n\n\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n\n\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n\nWhile foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.\n\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n\nIn the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.\nFinally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".\n\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n\nTo sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.\nIn other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":5237823,"gmtCreate":1626421390343,"gmtModify":1663231050156,"authorId":3575936957429593,"author":{"id":3575936957429593,"authorId":3575936957429593,"name":"alvernsim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2fe3d62fe9cea4c6c6e6417f045322d","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":170885561,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Ok","text":"Ok","html":"Ok"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":170888262,"gmtCreate":1626419834156,"gmtModify":1703759816417,"author":{"id":"3573651326517472","authorId":"3573651326517472","authorIdStr":"3573651326517472","name":"Solewalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af829c0d59da17532214d90b8051f4ff","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3573651326517472"},"htmlText":"Pullback is due","listText":"Pullback is due","text":"Pullback is due","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/170888262","repostId":1131457770,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131457770","pubTimestamp":1626398407,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131457770?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-16 09:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131457770","media":"zerohedge","summary":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's","content":"<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1da3a4f9e21ca6778d325fb2ad274c3a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"321\"></p>\n<p>During Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.</p>\n<p>This isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.</p>\n<p>To try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell &amp; Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.</p>\n<p>While Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.</p>\n<p>Equity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>While Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d42874552d6f29482f7731714a045d7a\" tg-width=\"510\" tg-height=\"489\"></p>\n<p>Moving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>As for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>While foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>In the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.</p>\n<p>Finally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>To sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.</p>\n<p>In other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 09:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131457770","content_text":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.\n\nDuring Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.\nThis isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.\nTo try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell & Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.\nWhile Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.\nEquity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.\n\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n\nThe biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.\n\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n\nWhile Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.\n\nMoving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.\n\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n\n\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n\nAs for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.\n\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n\n\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n\n\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n\nWhile foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.\n\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n\nIn the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.\nFinally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".\n\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n\nTo sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.\nIn other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":5237710,"gmtCreate":1626420090160,"gmtModify":1663231051141,"authorId":3575283853399181,"author":{"id":3575283853399181,"authorId":3575283853399181,"name":"Sam51","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b7c690f292ee78cc886542bf68de05a","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":170888262,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Yeap","text":"Yeap","html":"Yeap"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":170898798,"gmtCreate":1626417726514,"gmtModify":1703759774665,"author":{"id":"3566383987360583","authorId":"3566383987360583","authorIdStr":"3566383987360583","name":"Sohws","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/820619ac430f3da1496aa96b932f4372","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3566383987360583"},"htmlText":"Stay invested for the long term. Like please&nbsp;","listText":"Stay invested for the long term. Like please&nbsp;","text":"Stay invested for the long term. Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/170898798","repostId":1131457770,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131457770","pubTimestamp":1626398407,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131457770?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-16 09:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131457770","media":"zerohedge","summary":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's","content":"<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1da3a4f9e21ca6778d325fb2ad274c3a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"321\"></p>\n<p>During Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.</p>\n<p>This isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.</p>\n<p>To try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell &amp; Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.</p>\n<p>While Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.</p>\n<p>Equity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>While Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d42874552d6f29482f7731714a045d7a\" tg-width=\"510\" tg-height=\"489\"></p>\n<p>Moving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>As for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>While foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>In the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.</p>\n<p>Finally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>To sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.</p>\n<p>In other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 09:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131457770","content_text":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.\n\nDuring Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.\nThis isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.\nTo try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell & Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.\nWhile Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.\nEquity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.\n\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n\nThe biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.\n\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n\nWhile Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.\n\nMoving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.\n\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n\n\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n\nAs for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.\n\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n\n\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n\n\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n\nWhile foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.\n\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n\nIn the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.\nFinally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".\n\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n\nTo sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.\nIn other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":5237613,"gmtCreate":1626419063015,"gmtModify":1635227958252,"authorId":3576220386239608,"author":{"id":3576220386239608,"authorId":3576220386239608,"name":"TTH4Legs","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be-1","templateUuid":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be","name":"Elite Trader","description":"Total number of securities or futures transactions reached 30","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab0f87127c854ce3191a752d57b46edc","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9835ce48b8c8743566d344ac7a7ba8c","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76754b53ce7a90019f132c1d2fbc698f","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.01.06","exceedPercentage":"60.23%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":170898798,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Done","text":"Done","html":"Done"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":170804404,"gmtCreate":1626417249908,"gmtModify":1703759767455,"author":{"id":"3581769182401186","authorId":"3581769182401186","authorIdStr":"3581769182401186","name":"KwokMeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/790a9b3a4d108ba92f4d9a18efdaaf86","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3581769182401186"},"htmlText":"Trade with caution ⚠️?","listText":"Trade with caution ⚠️?","text":"Trade with caution ⚠️?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/170804404","repostId":1131457770,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131457770","pubTimestamp":1626398407,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131457770?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-16 09:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131457770","media":"zerohedge","summary":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's","content":"<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1da3a4f9e21ca6778d325fb2ad274c3a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"321\"></p>\n<p>During Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.</p>\n<p>This isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.</p>\n<p>To try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell &amp; Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.</p>\n<p>While Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.</p>\n<p>Equity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>While Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d42874552d6f29482f7731714a045d7a\" tg-width=\"510\" tg-height=\"489\"></p>\n<p>Moving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>As for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>While foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>In the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.</p>\n<p>Finally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>To sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.</p>\n<p>In other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 09:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131457770","content_text":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.\n\nDuring Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.\nThis isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.\nTo try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell & Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.\nWhile Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.\nEquity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.\n\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n\nThe biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.\n\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n\nWhile Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.\n\nMoving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.\n\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n\n\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n\nAs for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.\n\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n\n\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n\n\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n\nWhile foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.\n\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n\nIn the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.\nFinally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".\n\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n\nTo sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.\nIn other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":170806408,"gmtCreate":1626416988504,"gmtModify":1703759761906,"author":{"id":"3579882572140125","authorId":"3579882572140125","authorIdStr":"3579882572140125","name":"JoelLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1f6c92b13d94cba61906c07dbbb2ab6","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0a2963eb37c60c5d6d4a8dbcd266952","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3579882572140125"},"htmlText":"Wowow","listText":"Wowow","text":"Wowow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/170806408","repostId":1131457770,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131457770","pubTimestamp":1626398407,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131457770?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-16 09:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131457770","media":"zerohedge","summary":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's","content":"<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1da3a4f9e21ca6778d325fb2ad274c3a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"321\"></p>\n<p>During Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.</p>\n<p>This isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.</p>\n<p>To try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell &amp; Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.</p>\n<p>While Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.</p>\n<p>Equity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>While Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d42874552d6f29482f7731714a045d7a\" tg-width=\"510\" tg-height=\"489\"></p>\n<p>Moving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>As for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>While foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>In the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.</p>\n<p>Finally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>To sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.</p>\n<p>In other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 09:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131457770","content_text":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.\n\nDuring Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.\nThis isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.\nTo try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell & Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.\nWhile Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.\nEquity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.\n\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n\nThe biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.\n\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n\nWhile Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.\n\nMoving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.\n\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n\n\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n\nAs for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.\n\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n\n\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n\n\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n\nWhile foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.\n\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n\nIn the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.\nFinally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".\n\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n\nTo sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.\nIn other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":170803408,"gmtCreate":1626416765804,"gmtModify":1703759757482,"author":{"id":"3562581397159886","authorId":"3562581397159886","authorIdStr":"3562581397159886","name":"ShadowBan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aeb7ce335430462d3c1201a81eb444c0","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3562581397159886"},"htmlText":"where else can we hide&nbsp;","listText":"where else can we hide&nbsp;","text":"where else can we hide","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/170803408","repostId":1131457770,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131457770","pubTimestamp":1626398407,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131457770?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-16 09:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131457770","media":"zerohedge","summary":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's","content":"<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1da3a4f9e21ca6778d325fb2ad274c3a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"321\"></p>\n<p>During Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.</p>\n<p>This isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.</p>\n<p>To try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell &amp; Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.</p>\n<p>While Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.</p>\n<p>Equity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>While Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d42874552d6f29482f7731714a045d7a\" tg-width=\"510\" tg-height=\"489\"></p>\n<p>Moving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>As for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>While foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>In the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.</p>\n<p>Finally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>To sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.</p>\n<p>In other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 09:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131457770","content_text":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.\n\nDuring Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.\nThis isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.\nTo try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell & Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.\nWhile Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.\nEquity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.\n\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n\nThe biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.\n\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n\nWhile Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.\n\nMoving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.\n\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n\n\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n\nAs for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.\n\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n\n\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n\n\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n\nWhile foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.\n\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n\nIn the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.\nFinally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".\n\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n\nTo sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.\nIn other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":5237701,"gmtCreate":1626419929397,"gmtModify":1663231051036,"authorId":3573651326517472,"author":{"id":3573651326517472,"authorId":3573651326517472,"name":"Solewalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af829c0d59da17532214d90b8051f4ff","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":170803408,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"More  money to be made Shorting than longing","text":"More  money to be made Shorting than longing","html":"More  money to be made Shorting than longing"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":170175292,"gmtCreate":1626416352716,"gmtModify":1703759749522,"author":{"id":"3579882572140125","authorId":"3579882572140125","authorIdStr":"3579882572140125","name":"JoelLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1f6c92b13d94cba61906c07dbbb2ab6","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0a2963eb37c60c5d6d4a8dbcd266952","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3579882572140125"},"htmlText":"Like and reply pls thx","listText":"Like and reply pls thx","text":"Like and reply pls thx","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/170175292","repostId":1131457770,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131457770","pubTimestamp":1626398407,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131457770?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-16 09:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131457770","media":"zerohedge","summary":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's","content":"<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1da3a4f9e21ca6778d325fb2ad274c3a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"321\"></p>\n<p>During Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.</p>\n<p>This isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.</p>\n<p>To try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell &amp; Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.</p>\n<p>While Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.</p>\n<p>Equity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>While Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d42874552d6f29482f7731714a045d7a\" tg-width=\"510\" tg-height=\"489\"></p>\n<p>Moving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n</blockquote>\n<p>As for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>While foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>In the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.</p>\n<p>Finally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>To sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.</p>\n<p>In other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGundlach Warns Dollar Is \"Doomed\", Stocks Are At \"Nosebleed\" Levels\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 09:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gundlach-warns-dollar-doomed-stocks-are-nosebleed-levels","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131457770","content_text":"It has been a while since DoubleLine Founder Jeffrey Gundlach sat for a lengthy interview withCNBC's Scott Wapner, aka \"the Judge\", during the network's \"Halftime Report\". Gundlach has at times clashed with various CNBC personalities, but his interviews draw a large audience thanks to his status as one of the industry's foremost bond-market gurus - perhaps because his often bearish take on markets is a refreshing departure from the parade of uber-bulls that populates CNBC's market-hours programming.\n\nDuring Thursday's interview, Gundlach - who started speaking just as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was wrapping up his second day of Congressional testimony - warned that the only way stocks can sustain their record highs would be for the Fed's unprecedented stimulus programs to remain in place forever.\nThis isn't the first time Gundlach has warned about an impending blowup in stocks. Back in March, he claimed that suggesting the stock market is \"anything other than very overvalued\" versus history is ignorant of \"all the metrics of valuation,\" according toBI.\nTo try and avoid a market reckoning, Powell & Co. are moving the goalposts about what constitutes \"transitory\" inflation.\nWhile Gundlach doesn't see much upside for commodities, he believes rising wages will continue to drive the price of goods higher. And although the Fed's asset-buying and a general wash of liquidity have kept bond yields \"ridiculously low\", the stock market has been trading at \"extremely high\" valuations.\nEquity valuations might be outrageous, Gundlach said. But while stocks are enjoying outrageous valuations based on most metrics, when compared to bonds, stocks actually look cheap.\n\n \"The reason I say stocks are cheap compared to bonds is a very simplistic comparison, it's the yield on the Treasury vs. stocks,\" Gundlach said.\n\nThe biggest threat to markets, as Gundlach sees it, is persistently accelerating inflation (echoing a warning from Sen. Pat Toomey and other Republicans from Powell's latest Congressional testimony). He argued that \"even two more months\" of higher-than-anticipated inflation could force a \"reality check\" at the Fed.\n\n \"Everywhere I go I talk to people at all levels of business and they say the same thing, they can't get workers,\" Gundlach said.\n\nWhile Powell himself acknowledged that inflation has been more persistent than the Fed had anticipated, the Fed chief warned against overreacting to the data.\n\nMoving on, Wapner asked Gundlach for his thoughts about the greenback, and Gundlach reiterated his warning that the dollar is \"doomed\" over the long-term.\n\n \"I don't want to be overly dramatic, but I think [the dollar] is doomed,\" Gundlach said.\n\n\n \"Ultimately, the size of our deficits — both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts — suggest that in the intermediate term — I don’t really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term — the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" he said.\n\nAs for what's driving Treasury yields lower, Gundlach explained that several factors are weighing on yields, and it's not just the Fed.\n\n \"Yields are this low because of all the liquidity in the system. There's so much money that's out there, banks are so flush with deposits, you see all these dislocations in the repo market...\"\n\n\n \"We also have a lot of foreign buying...when you're a Japanese investor and you hedge your currency risk so you're just owning the yield...Foreigners had been liquidating Treasury holdings for years until several months ago, and now the foreigners are back.\"\n\n\n \"The bond market doesn't look cheap vs stocks, it doesn't look cheap vs inflation, but there are motivations...to buy it,\" Gundlach continued. For example, pension funds: \"Many pension plans have actually reached their best funding status since prior to the global crisis. There's motivation for pension plans for when they get to fully funded status to just lock it in. When you're running a pension plan where you experience multiple bear markets, they want to avoid that bad.\"\n\nWhile foreign investors and pension plans are helping the Fed suppress rates across the curve, there's one area where the Fed's influence is overwhelming.\n\n \"The Fed has absolute, iron-fisted control over short term interest rates.\"\n\nIn the past,Gundlach has warnedabout the dangers of a corporate debt implosion, and on Thursday, he warned that corporate bonds are also at their most expensive level in 20 years.\nFinally, asked for his view on cryptocurrency, Gundlach said crypto was a \"proxy for speculative fervor\" and that the chart \"looks pretty scary\".\n\n \"I saw one guy who said it would be worth $400,000 then he said it was going to crash...I try to be a little more consistent...I've never been long bitcoin I've never been short bitcoin...it's not for me.\"\n\nTo sum up: According to Gundlach, stocks are overvalued (except vs bonds), corporate bonds are the most expensive in 20 years, commodity prices have peaked, yet inflation is accelerating, bitcoin is a \"highly speculative\" asset to be avoided, and the Fed is cornered.\nIn other words, get ready for a wild ride in markets over the next year as the Fed is forced to start hiking interest rates and dialing back its balance sheet.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":5237377,"gmtCreate":1626417003993,"gmtModify":1663231049548,"authorId":3579882572140125,"author":{"id":3579882572140125,"authorId":3579882572140125,"name":"JoelLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1f6c92b13d94cba61906c07dbbb2ab6","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03-2","templateUuid":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03","name":"Executive Tiger","description":"The transaction amount of the securities account reaches $300,000","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d20b23f1b6335407f882bc5c2ad12c0","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ada3b4533518ace8404a3f6dd192bd29","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/177f283ba21d1c077054dac07f88f3bd","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.07.08","exceedPercentage":"80.66%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":170175292,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Reply","text":"Reply","html":"Reply"}],"langContent":"EN"}],"hasMoreComments":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":207,"commentSize":52,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false}}