投资者的“绞肉机”！腾讯4万多亿市值灰飞烟灭

巨潮WAVE2022-10-10

孱弱不堪的港股下跌不断，恒生指数已经接近1997年高点的位置，创11年以来新低。恒生科技指数更是连续刷新成立以来最低纪录。即便是港交所几千家上市公司的“定海神针”，腾讯在这场浩劫中也无法独善其身。股价自去年2月份的历史高点重挫近64%，4万多亿港元市值灰飞烟灭。蒸发掉的市值接近两个茅台，或者4个宁德时代的资本价值，这也是腾讯历史上最大幅度的调整。下跌途中，一大批腾讯的“信仰派”投资者纷纷抄底加仓，...

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Comment（11）

雅牛
·2022-10-11
[笑哭] [笑哭]
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1
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Paggie
·2022-10-11
閱
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Mikinyaa
·2022-10-11
好的
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CMLeong
·2022-10-11
好的
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1
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haiwei183
·2022-10-11
lok
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1
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JaniceZhu
·2022-10-11
剔除投資等因素，騰訊經調整後淨利潤爲536.84億元，同比下滑20%。基本面變差，再加上一系列利空消息空前密集爆發，這也就不難理解，騰訊股價爲何萎靡不振，大幅度下跌。
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- Iris俊:
  👌
  2022-10-11
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- Mikinyaa:
  make dense [微笑]
  2022-10-11
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- kim_8904:
  k
  2022-10-11
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Leon8985
·2022-10-11
Ok
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- haiwei183:
  ok
  2022-10-11
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skyteeth
·2022-10-10
不看漲了多少
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威力david
·2022-10-10
Ok
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newbill
·2022-10-10
Mai
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Yoongc
·2022-10-10
ok
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Limited、快手的股价，过去一段时间均呈现断崖式下跌。截至6月底，腾讯持有上市公司公允价值为6019.2亿元，去年末为9828.35亿元，蒸发了3809亿元。联营上市公司公允价值为4700亿，2021年末公允价值为6347亿，下降了26%。2021年开始，腾讯主动收缩战线，储备粮草。相继减持京东、Sea Limited、步步高、海澜之家、新东方在线、华谊兄弟等公司股票，除了用京东股份来分红外，其余总计套现超过33亿美元。一级市场上，今年前7月，腾讯仅出手72次，累计金额138.7亿元，同比大幅收窄。通过开源节流，腾讯持有的证券资产不断下滑，而在手现金持续增加，到今年上半年腾讯已拥有1846.58亿的现金储备。而在腾讯减持子公司股份的同时，大股东南非报业集团也在减持腾讯，近三个月减持7600万股，约245亿港元。南非大股东的意图很直白，即通过减持腾讯的资金来回购Naspers和旗下投资公司Prosus的股份，以缩小股价和净资产（NAV）之间的折价。换句话说，大股东不想额外再掏钱，而且减持和回购同步进行。为对冲如此巨大的抛售，腾讯已连续30个交易日进行回购，累计耗资105.53亿港元，年内回购67次，回购金额高达205.64亿港元，创下今年港股回购金额之最和腾讯历史上回购金额之最。可以看出，腾讯回购和南非报业集团减持节奏和金额基本相当。有机构预测，极端情况下，腾讯可能需要耗资千亿港元，并且持续到明年下半年，才能消化掉大股东的资金饥渴。考虑到未来的开支需要，适时抛售成熟的投资项目就十分必要。因此“腾讯或将出清美团股票”很有可能并非空穴来风，后续有适合的机会，腾讯的减持计划仍将继续。03、讲出新故事视频号和海外游戏肩负起续写新故事的重任。不同于消费公司的细水长流，互联网的价值在于巨大的想象空间和增长潜力。腾讯的根基是QQ和微信的流量生意，其他业务都是对流量的变现。如今，广告、游戏、金融科技三大业务持续承压，视频号和海外游戏肩负起续写新故事的重任。即便上半年业绩不佳，但仰仗微信这个“国民级”的应用，腾讯的流量基本盘依旧稳固。二季度微信月活用户同比增长3.8%至12.99亿，腾讯系APP使用时长占比目前稳定在35%-36%。微信是公认的中国最大的私域流量平台，也是商户长期运营成本最低的流量获取平台。今年年中，视频号日活用户8.13亿，超过抖音的6.8亿。相比先行一步的抖音和快手，视频号的魅力仍然来自于背后的微信生态。马化腾就已指出：“今年7月，腾讯开始推出视频号信息流广告，相信这将是拓展市场份额及提升盈利能力的重要机遇。”不仅广告，视频号小店（电商）、广告竞价系统、合约系统都已开放，腾讯在视频领域的商业化正式向抖音和快手宣战，这意味着微信流量变现的想象空间被进一步打开。游戏曾一度是腾讯商业帝国的最大功臣，在国内游戏遭受需求和供给侧的双向钳制后，海外游戏成了更强劲的增长点。2021年的第三和第四季度，腾讯海外游戏业务增速高达20%和34%，但时间来到2022年，由于经济下行、疫情居家红利消退，海外游戏的增速也明显放缓。但从腾讯的动作来看，这家全球最大的游戏公司依然看重海外这片蓝海市场。米哈游就是在巨头的夹缝中，另辟蹊径选择出海，重磅作品《原神》长期问鼎中国游戏海外收入榜首。伽马数据显示，2021年海外游戏市场增量已经超过国内市场。今年上半年，中国游戏市场销售收入下降了1.8%，而国产游戏在海外的收入同比增长了6.16%。米哈游珠玉在前，海外市场逆势增长，腾讯势必会投入更多资源，并提高游戏出海的战略地位。如今年8月份，腾讯旗下《和平精英》国际版《PUBG Mobile》收入环比增长了21%，上升至第二名，其海外总收入已突破36亿美元(252.5亿元)。未来，腾讯能否触底反弹，就要看视频号和海外游戏两个新故事如何演绎。04、写在最后曾经因错失腾讯，一直念念不忘的段永平，终于在今年等到他认为的千载难逢的时机：“我始终认为腾讯是不错的公司，腾讯属于长坡厚雪的典范。拿着茅台或者腾讯，10年后不一定能大赚，但肯定比赔钱强很多。”一系列利空因素空前密集，足以让更多的投资者踌躇不前。从中国股王沦为“价值绞肉机”，股价从749港元跌至270港元，腾讯的投资者们正在承受巨大的压力和风险。但段永平之所以如此看好腾讯，也代表了部分投资者对其的价值判断：社交网络的壁垒值得长期信仰，类似于茅台酒的稀缺性和不可复制性。腾讯的核心武器并没有生锈。就像在流量的海洋中深度下潜，腾讯正处在历史上最压抑和煎熬的时期。但它仍是中国商界的一面旗帜。","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":9917891072,"gmtCreate":1665463731296,"gmtModify":1676537611250,"author":{"id":"3567052570749059","authorId":"3567052570749059","name":"雅牛","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05ae6cc5932b6444786d18919599ae1c","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3567052570749059","authorIdStr":"3567052570749059"},"htmlText":"[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;","listText":"[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;","text":"[笑哭] 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