Morgan Stanley Suggests Rout in Expensive Tech Is Almost Over

Bloomberg2022-01-07

Yet the broad market may be more vulnerable to Fed anxiety‘Rallies should be sold,’ say Morgan Stanley strategistsThe rate-induced selloff in hyper-expensive technology shares has almost run its ...

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Comment（33）

MeowTamara
·2022-01-19
Hodl
Reply
1
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Nibatry
·2022-01-07
Wow 👏
Reply
1
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Jialatsia
·2022-01-07
Meep
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Like
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D199991D
·2022-01-07
Like
Reply
2
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Ermmmmmm
·2022-01-07
Are they sure ?
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3
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Keith Yeow
·2022-01-07
Good
Reply
1
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yattreblif
·2022-01-07
Ok
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3
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robot1234
·2022-01-07
Expect a lot more volatility as the Federal Reserve is scaring markets with the triple threat of policy tightening, that is, hiking interest rates, cutting the amount of bonds it buys each month, and tapering to reduce the nearly $9 trillion in assets it is holding.
Reply
5
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FrickL
·2022-01-07
👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻
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5
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PearlynCSY
·2022-01-07
Investors have been preparing for the Federal Reserve to start hiking interest rates. They also know the central bank is cutting the amount of bonds it buys each month. On top of that, they figured, eventually, the tapering would lead to a reduction in the nearly $9 trillion in assets the Fed is holding. What they didn’t expect were all three things happening at the same time. But minutes from the Fed’s December meeting, released Wednesday, indicated that may well be the case.
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3
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Renzo Piano
·2022-01-07
[Onlooker]
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3
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MentPF
·2022-01-07
Nice
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1
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YS_ZENG
·2022-01-07
Pls like
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1
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K3nia
·2022-01-07
Hello
Reply
3
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iamateh
·2022-01-07
good
Reply
4
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phongy 45
·2022-01-07
Priced in?
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1
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Spleen
·2022-01-07
The readjustment is common and it probablybeneficial when people can fully understand their exposed positions. With some companyvaluations in 2021 spiking to eye watering levels maybe this time around tech stock madness will be reigned in by a more common sense approach to the true valuations of these tech unicorns
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lappiloco
·2022-01-07
Too early in the year to b sad 😆
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2
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Sunshine_2
·2022-01-07
OK
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2
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Singman
·2022-01-07
like
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5
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The news for the rest of the market is less reassuring.So reckons Morgan Stanley, which compared the carnage in tech that started in December to the five previous instances where rising Treasury yields sparked similar routs. In those, a basket of loftily valued tech companies tumbled a median 18% from peak to trough -- that’s at 15% now in the latest episode. The bank also plotted the S&P 500’s current performance against the earlier instances and says that at 2%, the latest decline is less than half what happened in the past.“Indices could have more downside than the underperformers of the last few months” if yield pressure continues to build, Morgan Stanley strategists including Christopher Metli and Amanda Levenberg wrote in a note to clients. While much will depend on what yields will do going forward, they expect the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 to show “modest further downside” over the next two weeks. “Rallies should be sold,” they added.Nothing that occurred before is sure to happen again, of course. But the study could be a framework for arguments that selling in speculative corners has played out.Hedge funds have been furiously unwinding concentrated positions in speculative software and internet names. A basket of their crowded stocks has fallen 7.1% from its recent peak, approaching the median drawdown that they suffered over the past five years when rates spiked.Source: Morgan StanleySource: Morgan StanleySentiment among those managers was dealt a fresh blow to start the new year as their favorite positions went awry. With net leverage sitting in the 70th percentile relative to recent history, Morgan Stanley strategists suggest the industry’s overall equity exposure may need to come down with the Federal Reserve turning hawkish and the one potential antidote to the rate anxiety -- the earnings season-- still weeks away.“That leaves technicals and positioning to play a larger role near-term,” they wrote. “The early year hits to P/L are having a big impact on sentiment and investors’ likelihood of adding or even holding risk, particularly coming off the poor alpha of 2021.”","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":697733740,"gmtCreate":1642586594298,"gmtModify":1676532604758,"author":{"id":"4091417768263030","authorId":"4091417768263030","name":"MeowTamara","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4091417768263030","idStr":"4091417768263030"},"htmlText":"Hodl","listText":"Hodl","text":"Hodl","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/697733740","repostId":1141663236,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":9006000254,"gmtCreate":1641541596198,"gmtModify":1676533627294,"author":{"id":"3571957575491723","authorId":"3571957575491723","name":"Nibatry","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5d7ae5d90c54730a52a5f03263a015c","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3571957575491723","idStr":"3571957575491723"},"htmlText":"Wow 👏&nbsp;","listText":"Wow 👏&nbsp;","text":"Wow 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they sure ?","listText":"Are they sure ?","text":"Are they sure ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9008748850","repostId":1141663236,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9008741554,"gmtCreate":1641534854456,"gmtModify":1676533626695,"author":{"id":"4102821176704380","authorId":"4102821176704380","name":"Keith 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a lot more volatility as the Federal Reserve is scaring markets with the triple threat of policy tightening, that is, hiking interest rates, cutting the amount of bonds it buys each month, and tapering to reduce the nearly $9 trillion in assets it is holding.","listText":"Expect a lot more volatility as the Federal Reserve is scaring markets with the triple threat of policy tightening, that is, hiking interest rates, cutting the amount of bonds it buys each month, and tapering to reduce the nearly $9 trillion in assets it is holding.","text":"Expect a lot more volatility as the Federal Reserve is scaring markets with the triple threat of policy tightening, that is, hiking interest rates, cutting the amount of bonds it buys each month, and tapering to reduce the nearly $9 trillion in assets it is holding.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9008740490","repostId":1141663236,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9008740018,"gmtCreate":1641534109697,"gmtModify":1676533626598,"author":{"id":"3582151718585472","authorId":"3582151718585472","name":"FrickL","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5ea265fa5b5f17bb783942b290d93a0d","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3582151718585472","idStr":"3582151718585472"},"htmlText":"👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻","listText":"👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻","text":"👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9008740018","repostId":1141663236,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9008755373,"gmtCreate":1641533317283,"gmtModify":1676533626533,"author":{"id":"4092458811577680","authorId":"4092458811577680","name":"PearlynCSY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3e9fe7af061efe80a756d23de62e7b3","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"4092458811577680","idStr":"4092458811577680"},"htmlText":"Investors have been preparing for the Federal Reserve to start hiking interest rates. They also know the central bank is cutting the amount of bonds it buys each month. On top of that, they figured, eventually, the tapering would lead to a reduction in the nearly $9 trillion in assets the Fed is holding. What they didn’t expect were all three things happening at the same time. But minutes from the Fed’s December meeting, released Wednesday, indicated that may well be the case.","listText":"Investors have been preparing for the Federal Reserve to start hiking interest rates. They also know the central bank is cutting the amount of bonds it buys each month. On top of that, they figured, eventually, the tapering would lead to a reduction in the nearly $9 trillion in assets the Fed is holding. What they didn’t expect were all three things happening at the same time. But minutes from the Fed’s December meeting, released Wednesday, indicated that may well be the case.","text":"Investors have been preparing for the Federal Reserve to start hiking interest rates. They also know the central bank is cutting the amount of bonds it buys each month. On top of that, they figured, eventually, the tapering would lead to a reduction in the nearly $9 trillion in assets the Fed is holding. What they didn’t expect were all three things happening at the same time. 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With some companyvaluations in 2021 spiking to eye watering levels maybe this time around tech stock madness will be reigned in by a more common sense approach to the true valuations of these tech unicorns","listText":"The readjustment is common and it probablybeneficial when people can fully understand their exposed positions. With some companyvaluations in 2021 spiking to eye watering levels maybe this time around tech stock madness will be reigned in by a more common sense approach to the true valuations of these tech unicorns","text":"The readjustment is common and it probablybeneficial when people can fully understand their exposed positions. With some companyvaluations in 2021 spiking to eye watering levels maybe this time around tech stock madness will be reigned in by a more common sense approach to the true valuations of these tech unicorns","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9008722058","repostId":1141663236,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9008726782,"gmtCreate":1641530433680,"gmtModify":1676533626152,"author":{"id":"4102578986641510","authorId":"4102578986641510","name":"lappiloco","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d533ea278e6d41d71194d1f54aeee83e","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0a2963eb37c60c5d6d4a8dbcd266952","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"4102578986641510","idStr":"4102578986641510"},"htmlText":"Too early in the year to b sad 😆&nbsp;","listText":"Too early in the year to b sad 😆&nbsp;","text":"Too early in the year to b sad 😆","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9008726782","repostId":1141663236,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9008726461,"gmtCreate":1641530417200,"gmtModify":1676533626147,"author":{"id":"4094271730114360","authorId":"4094271730114360","name":"Sunshine_2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c51036e171ef144f127d28c64446c582","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4094271730114360","idStr":"4094271730114360"},"htmlText":"OK","listText":"OK","text":"OK","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9008726461","repostId":1141663236,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9008728187,"gmtCreate":1641529934676,"gmtModify":1676533626116,"author":{"id":"3575125836760247","authorId":"3575125836760247","name":"Singman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d770feb757705f2d631d2d5f381ae07b","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3575125836760247","idStr":"3575125836760247"},"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9008728187","repostId":1141663236,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"}],"hasMoreComments":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":431,"commentSize":33,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false}}