Stocks Set for Weekly Gain as Bonds Pause Declines: Markets Wrap

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Stocks Set for Weekly Gain as Bonds Pause Declines: Markets Wrap

Bloomberg2023-03-03

Treasury yield drops back from November high but holds 4%Cash is king in weekly fund flows as rate fear stalks marketEuropean shares rose on Friday along with global stocks as investors took comfort ...

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lars
·2023-03-03
Bull trap
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Steve5671
·2023-03-03
Nice
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Earnings have held up well this season as economic resilience props up corporate balance sheets.“Equity markets now look to be responding more to the brightening growth outlook, which means they are likely in a better place to absorb the prospect of an extra 50bp or more in terminal rates,” Barclays Plc strategists led by Emmanuel Cau wrote in a note. “The rates-equity-growth paradigm of last year (higher inflation driving rates higher, pressuring valuations just as growth was falling dramatically) may be changing.”The move higher in US Treasury yields paused Friday, with the 10-year benchmark slipping five basis points to 4%.Data Thursday showing continued labor market resilience supported the case for the Fed to keep tightening, a theme that pushed almost every major asset into the red in February as traders braced for higher rates to curb rampant inflation.And March’s rebound looks tentative in a market with little conviction and where investors are taking cover from an onslaught of rate increases. Cash funds attracted inflows of $68 billion in the week through March 1, according to a Bank of America note citing EPFR Global data.“There is a cohort of investors who think the Fed may have to hike a lot more and that’s why interest rates are rising as much as they have recently,” Priya Misra, global head of rates strategy at TD Securities, said on Bloomberg Television.Swaps markets are now pricing a peak Fed policy rate of 5.5% in September, and some traders even bet that the benchmark interest rate could rise to 6%.In other markets, Bitcoin fell to the lowest level in more than two weeks on wider retreat in the crypto markets as investors assessed the fallout of crypto-friendly US bank Silvergate Capital Corp.Oil headed for a first weekly gain in three weeks as optimism over China’s recovery offset persistent concerns on tighter US monetary policy. 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