油价又暴跌6%，发生了什么？

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油价又暴跌6%，发生了什么？

华尔街见闻2021-03-24

摘要：油价隔夜跌至一个半月新低，一举陷入技术性调整区间。欧洲收紧抗疫封锁、鲍威尔表态对风险偏好的冲击，均为油价带来负面影响。在经历数月的持续上涨之后，国际油价在过去两周大幅回调，隔夜逾6%的跌幅直接让油价进入技术性调整区间。发生了什么？3月23日周二，WTI原油价格盘中最深跌4.22美元或跌6.9%，日低至57.34美元，创2月12日以来的一个半月最低，日内接连跌破61、60、59、58美元四道...

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鸟语花香在坡县
·2021-03-24
[難過]
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NicholasBin
·2021-03-24
鮑威爾沒力啊
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- lucky第一:
  这货能懂的经济，也不至于让我大中华追上。华夏民族崛起指日可待。
  2021-03-25
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股债双杀
·2021-03-24
都在跌
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超超boy
·2021-03-24
現在是不管什麼消息，都是利空[捂臉]
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AndrewChong
·2021-03-24
爲什麼！！！
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Snowview
·2021-03-24
消化通脹
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Ysw16888
·2021-03-24
哇
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VivienneLee
·2021-03-24
???
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1
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Nk
·2021-03-24
??
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CalebNgor
·2021-03-24
買進。。。。。
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Nk
·2021-03-24
?
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HANDM
·2021-03-24
Buy the dip
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garyyue88
·2021-03-24
[驚訝] [噴血] [噴血] [噴血]
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求金
·2021-03-24
[汗顏] [汗顏] [汗顏]
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What happened?","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d385db710d35e096ff99afed29365b43","symbols_score_info":{},"content_text":"摘要：油价隔夜跌至一个半月新低，一举陷入技术性调整区间。欧洲收紧抗疫封锁、鲍威尔表态对风险偏好的冲击，均为油价带来负面影响。在经历数月的持续上涨之后，国际油价在过去两周大幅回调，隔夜逾6%的跌幅直接让油价进入技术性调整区间。发生了什么？3月23日周二，WTI原油价格盘中最深跌4.22美元或跌6.9%，日低至57.34美元，创2月12日以来的一个半月最低，日内接连跌破61、60、59、58美元四道关口。布伦特油价最深跌4.11美元或跌6.4%，日低至60.51美元，下逼60美元整数位，也创2月12日以来低位，日内接连跌破64、63、62、61美元四道关口。截至收盘，WTI 5月原油期货跌3.80美元，跌幅6.17%，报57.76美元/桶。布伦特5月原油期货收跌3.83美元，跌幅5.92%，报60.79美元/桶。据Dow Jones Market Data统计，WTI即月期货较3月5日的阶段高位66.09美元跌近13%，进入技术性调整区间。欧洲新一轮抗疫措施令需求前景黯淡本周油价主要受欧洲一系列新的抗疫封锁措施拖累，使得消费快速复苏的前景蒙上阴影。德国商业银行的分析师称，欧洲大陆正在收紧新冠抗疫措施，从而进一步限制了人员的流动性，可能对石油需求产生相应的负面影响。欧洲前三大经济体德国、法国和意大利都已扩大封锁措施，瑞典北欧斯安银行首席商品分析师Bjarne Schieldrop称，欧洲第三波疫情复发叠加疫苗推广放缓，将预期的需求恢复推迟了几个月；同时，市场还面临来自伊朗的更多原油供应。还有分析将最近两周的国际油价下跌归咎于亚洲炼油商的原油采购疲软，目前印度的新冠病例也在激增，威胁其经济从衰退中复苏。而美国EIA商用原油库存有望连续第五周增加。鲍威尔表态冲击风险偏好隔夜美联储主席鲍威尔在出席美国国会听证时称“有些资产价格有些高”，也打压了风险情绪。与此同时，美元走高以及美债收益率重新小幅下行，都反映了避险需求的增长，对以美元计价的原油等风险资产不利。周二美元指数涨超0.6%，重返92上方，抹去3月9日以来的全部跌幅。有交易商称，债券收益率的上升正促使一些投资者从大宗商品市场撤资，引发原油跌价。荷兰合作银行（Rabobank）大宗商品策略师Ryan Fitzmaurice表示，鉴于近期油价波动幅度加大，以波动性为目标的基金正大量去杠杆化，未平仓头寸已大幅下降，“这令石油市场陷入困境，因为这些有影响力的投机性‘多头’被迫缩减头寸规模。”此外，近月布伦特石油期货价格小幅低于远月合约，即期货升水（contango），是今年1月以来首次出现的情况，这会鼓励贸易商将石油储藏起来而不是出售，因为现时需求疲软。下周OPEC+会议成关注焦点目前市场普遍关注将于4月1日召开的OPEC+部长级会议，外界普遍认为以沙特和俄罗斯为首的产油国联盟将对未来的增产计划保持克制。在近期油价回调之前，俄罗斯曾在3月10日宣布，将从4月增产原油近90万桶/日，称全球油市稳定性增强。市场可能想了解俄罗斯面对油价下跌的表态。不过，声称即将迎来大宗商品“超级周期”的华尔街“旗手”高盛不惧油价下跌。该行仍预计布油价格今年夏天将升至80美元/桶，近期的油价下跌只是暂时性回调，而且预计OPEC+原油产量至8月将增加280万桶/日。而巴克莱银行预计，沙特今年可能不会完全逆转单方面的石油减产。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":false,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":351316549,"gmtCreate":1616562773781,"gmtModify":1704795695943,"author":{"id":"3574808464374306","authorId":"3574808464374306","authorIdStr":"3574808464374306","name":"鸟语花香在坡县","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9913b1aabb645acdb516c5ee1b1c67a","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3574808464374306"},"htmlText":"[難過]&nbsp;","listText":"[難過]&nbsp;","text":"[難過]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/351316549","repostId":1145184494,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":351334197,"gmtCreate":1616561881319,"gmtModify":1704795686499,"author":{"id":"3579321757761904","authorId":"3579321757761904","authorIdStr":"3579321757761904","name":"NicholasBin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca2780c4eb7d34bd56a1f0e51c27d24e","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3579321757761904"},"htmlText":"鮑威爾沒力啊","listText":"鮑威爾沒力啊","text":"鮑威爾沒力啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/351334197","repostId":1145184494,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":3874892,"gmtCreate":1616622104585,"gmtModify":1680781602314,"authorId":3519036131541879,"author":{"id":3519036131541879,"authorId":3519036131541879,"name":"lucky第一","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":351334197,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"这货能懂的经济，也不至于让我大中华追上。华夏民族崛起指日可待。","text":"这货能懂的经济，也不至于让我大中华追上。华夏民族崛起指日可待。","html":"这货能懂的经济，也不至于让我大中华追上。华夏民族崛起指日可待。"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":351398727,"gmtCreate":1616560696569,"gmtModify":1704795667684,"author":{"id":"3576212246194766","authorId":"3576212246194766","authorIdStr":"3576212246194766","name":"股债双杀","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf782f2769f5edcc1ce15480beac28e6","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3576212246194766"},"htmlText":"都在跌","listText":"都在跌","text":"都在跌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/351398727","repostId":1145184494,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":351305697,"gmtCreate":1616559887919,"gmtModify":1704795659253,"author":{"id":"3485478007035143","authorId":"3485478007035143","authorIdStr":"3485478007035143","name":"超超boy","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3485478007035143"},"htmlText":"現在是不管什麼消息，都是利空[捂臉]&nbsp;","listText":"現在是不管什麼消息，都是利空[捂臉]&nbsp;","text":"現在是不管什麼消息，都是利空[捂臉]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/351305697","repostId":1145184494,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":351960229,"gmtCreate":1616553692161,"gmtModify":1704795579660,"author":{"id":"3573001575785747","authorId":"3573001575785747","authorIdStr":"3573001575785747","name":"AndrewChong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c473911ad38ea4602faab9ef81c6976e","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3573001575785747"},"htmlText":"爲什麼！！！","listText":"爲什麼！！！","text":"爲什麼！！！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/351960229","repostId":1145184494,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":351981231,"gmtCreate":1616553013623,"gmtModify":1704795570413,"author":{"id":"3562980034543344","authorId":"3562980034543344","authorIdStr":"3562980034543344","name":"Snowview","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e9a63fe19f64738af3094ced429279dd","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3562980034543344"},"htmlText":"消化通脹","listText":"消化通脹","text":"消化通脹","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1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