AMC Entertainment’s Upcoming Q4 Earnings Should Showcase Its Turnaround

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AMC Entertainment’s Upcoming Q4 Earnings Should Showcase Its Turnaround

InvestorPlace2022-02-28

AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC) is scheduled to release its fourth-quarter (Dec. 31) earnings after the market closes on Tuesday, March 1. The results should showcase the company’s continuing turnaround ...

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Jess261
·2022-03-01
Okay
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Huat1333
·2022-02-28
Supports [Like] [Like] [Like]
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2
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Sfun
·2022-02-28
ape from malaysia
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jllwang
·2022-02-28
Ok
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LEESIMON
·2022-02-28
nice and up
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5
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LuckyPiggie
·2022-02-28
Ok
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Skai
·2022-02-28
The shorts can start peeing their pants now as $AMC Entertainment(AMC)$ is getting fundamentally stronger and stronger.
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LWayne
·2022-02-28
Yea
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rocket to the moon
·2022-02-28
Go to moon?
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BabySim
·2022-02-28
Ok
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ohmytiannn
·2022-02-28
Awesome
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FlorCheah
·2022-02-28
AMC
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Deposit
·2022-02-28
I hope so too
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Victorhc88
·2022-02-28
Like
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tiguru
·2022-02-28
K
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Wanlin
·2022-02-28
Like and comment
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Carterho99
·2022-02-28
Like pls
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Lichiun
·2022-02-28
like pls, thank you!
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Wlonggy
·2022-02-28
Like and comment please
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KW1
·2022-02-28
Ok like
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The results should showcase the company’s continuing turnaround ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/amc-entertainments-upcoming-q4-earnings-should-showcase-its-turnaround\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"AMC","symbol_name":"AMC院线","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/amc-entertainments-upcoming-q4-earnings-should-showcase-its-turnaround","article_id":"1153620799","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153620799","pubTimestamp":1646009133,"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"lsy1603171495471","name":"Nasdaq"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC) is scheduled to release its fourth-quarter (Dec. 31) earnings after the ","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"nasdaq.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"translate_title":"AMC院线即将发布的第四季度财报将显示其业绩好转","themeId":"","isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9},"content_text":"AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC) is scheduled to release its fourth-quarter (Dec. 31) earnings after the market closes on Tuesday, March 1. The results should showcase the company’s continuing turnaround in revenue and earnings improvement. As a result, AMC stock has a good chance of making a comeback from its recent declines.AMC’s Outlook is Not that BadThe market may actually be overreacting to current events. Events in Russia and in Ukraine are not going to affect the mood of people to go to the movies or their entertainment habits that much.The good news is that if AMC can show that its margin outlook is improving in the upcoming earnings release, the market can relax a bit.For example, as it now stands, analysts forecast that revenue in 2022 willrise 85.8% to $4.59 billion. This is up from the $2.47 billion revenue forecast for 2021.On Feb. 1, 2022, AMC already pre-released some figures for the fourth quarter ending Dec. 31. It reported that revenue should be “approximately $1,171.6 million compared to $162.5 million for the three months ended December 31, 2020.”Investors had been looking to see if Q4 2021 revenue exceeds $1.11 billion. This was based on the average forecast from analysts surveyed by Seeking Alpha.In fact, Refinitiv’s survey of 7 analysts had a slightly lower forecast of $1.09 billion.So we already know that AMC has beat these benchmarks for the upcoming fourth-quarter results from AMC Entertainment.Moreover, the company has now moved into substantially positive adjusted EBITDA profits (earnings before interest, depreciation, and amortization). The Feb. 1 pre-release reported that the adj. EBITDA profits will be between $146.8 million and $151.8 million.This is much better than last quarter when AMC Entertainment made a loss of $5.4 million in adj. EBITDA. It could also imply that the company is now producing positive free cash flow (FCF), although AMC has not yet reported this in the Feb. 1 pre-release.What This Means for AMC EntertainmentIf AMC can move into positive FCF, this value for the stock will shoot up significantly. For example, if the company can make a 10% FCF margin on $4.59 billion in sales in 2022, its FCF will hit $459 million.We can use that to value AMC stock. For example, assuming the stock is rated with a 4% FCF yield, which is the same as a 25 times FCF multiple, it will be worth $11.475 billion. This is because if we multiply $459 million FCF by 25 times the result is a market capitalization of $11.475 billion.This is 24.7% over today’s market cap of $9.01 billion. Moreover, if we use a 3% FCF yield (i.e., a 33.3 times P/FCF multiple) the target market cap rises to $15.3 billion. That is 66.3% higher.So you can see that the value of AMC stock lies somewhere between 25% and 66% higher. To be conservative let’s call it one-third more or 33% higher. That puts the value of AMC stock at $23.5 per share (i.e., 1.333 x $17.63 price today).What To DoAnalysts are not as sanguine on AMC stock as I am. For example, the average of 4 analysts surveyed byTipRanksis an average price target of $11.75, or 34% below today’s price.Moreover, the average of 9 analysts surveyed by Seeking Alpha is $10.45, although they range widely and the high is $35.10. More importantly, this page shows that the average analyst target has dropped significantly in the past six months from $51.69 on Sept. 13 to $27.20 by the end of 2021. Since then the target prices have kept falling dramatically.It’s almost as if the market believes that the company is going to go out of business, as it almost did during the Covid-19 slump. That is not likely to occur. In fact, AMC was able to refinance $950 million of its high-interest rate debt recently,helping to lower its ongoing costs. The new debt offering extended its maturities to 2029 and lowered the financing coupon cost from 10% and 15% down to 7.5%.As a result, AMC stock is still worth at least one-third more at $24 per share, which it might be able to achieve sometime over the next year.","kind":null,"is_publish_news":null,"is_publish_highlight":null,"is_publish_live":null,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":9039497606,"gmtCreate":1646095564418,"gmtModify":1676534090490,"author":{"id":"3586490638953193","authorId":"3586490638953193","name":"Jess261","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Okay","listText":"Okay","text":"Okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9039497606","repostId":1153620799,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9039284558,"gmtCreate":1646053196518,"gmtModify":1676534085626,"author":{"id":"3559014783889591","authorId":"3559014783889591","name":"Huat1333","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a4c138e1ce20043d7996468a91a225ac","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50a4c8d97279fa9f8f1fa9749a6bdff4","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"htmlText":"Supports&nbsp;[Like]&nbsp;[Like]&nbsp;[Like]&nbsp;","listText":"Supports&nbsp;[Like]&nbsp;[Like]&nbsp;[Like]&nbsp;","text":"Supports [Like] [Like] [Like]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9039284558","repostId":1153620799,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9039653762,"gmtCreate":1646027114863,"gmtModify":1676534083623,"author":{"id":"3579425512905776","authorId":"3579425512905776","name":"Sfun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/677878018d08b9f3288b2153431bff4a","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"ape from malaysia","listText":"ape from malaysia","text":"ape from malaysia","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9039653762","repostId":1153620799,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9039665542,"gmtCreate":1646022776434,"gmtModify":1676534083280,"author":{"id":"3567745604737709","authorId":"3567745604737709","name":"jllwang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/366d7ae96d4681048d49130306d50c5d","vip":1,"crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9039665542","repostId":1153620799,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9039662701,"gmtCreate":1646022682256,"gmtModify":1676534083264,"author":{"id":"3579044609497336","authorId":"3579044609497336","name":"LEESIMON","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"htmlText":"nice and up","listText":"nice and up","text":"nice and up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9039662701","repostId":1153620799,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9039688781,"gmtCreate":1646019872969,"gmtModify":1676534082923,"author":{"id":"4107063207857540","authorId":"4107063207857540","name":"LuckyPiggie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/33330ac1fe6d6c956e10045c870d6f46","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f84d87792f02cf78e80ee34979fd31e5","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9039688781","repostId":1153620799,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9039614916,"gmtCreate":1646017766865,"gmtModify":1676534082751,"author":{"id":"3581985274026406","authorId":"3581985274026406","name":"Skai","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/895ee4bbfa814435328502a50bbee0a7","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"The shorts can start peeing their pants now as&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>&nbsp;is getting fundamentally stronger and stronger.&nbsp;","listText":"The shorts can start peeing their pants now as&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>&nbsp;is getting fundamentally stronger and stronger.&nbsp;","text":"The shorts can start peeing their pants now as $AMC Entertainment(AMC)$ is getting fundamentally stronger and stronger.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9039614916","repostId":1153620799,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9039632628,"gmtCreate":1646015326668,"gmtModify":1676534082519,"author":{"id":"3564307384077743","authorId":"3564307384077743","name":"LWayne","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/95dd7493a26e1c3e9a33a2d16eaa037b","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Yea","listText":"Yea","text":"Yea","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9039632628","repostId":1153620799,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9039636863,"gmtCreate":1646015069199,"gmtModify":1676534082480,"author":{"id":"3579076958972231","authorId":"3579076958972231","name":"rocket to the moon","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3fe9d053acbc10282b7925c1a33b52ff","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Go to moon?","listText":"Go to moon?","text":"Go to moon?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9039636863","repostId":1153620799,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9039631583,"gmtCreate":1646014826445,"gmtModify":1676534082458,"author":{"id":"3579673211261157","authorId":"3579673211261157","name":"BabySim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c6f0cd54fab9f24929e66e54e08e3aa","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9039631583","repostId":1153620799,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9039633832,"gmtCreate":1646014586264,"gmtModify":1676534082443,"author":{"id":"3585864277547316","authorId":"3585864277547316","name":"ohmytiannn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51875031030c53b01a1c3bbcbf6159ef","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Awesome&nbsp;","listText":"Awesome&nbsp;","text":"Awesome","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9039633832","repostId":1153620799,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9039697598,"gmtCreate":1646013795831,"gmtModify":1676534082387,"author":{"id":"3573025586175142","authorId":"3573025586175142","name":"FlorCheah","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8cb91e5f44e414335718e1beffda39e8","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"AMC","listText":"AMC","text":"AMC","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9039697598","repostId":1153620799,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9039694787,"gmtCreate":1646013654871,"gmtModify":1676534082337,"author":{"id":"3577700186071729","authorId":"3577700186071729","name":"Deposit","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/755d4c9154e36e706401c15b014f3aea","vip":1,"crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"htmlText":"I hope so too","listText":"I hope so too","text":"I hope so 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