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Citi screens for most and least crowded stocks poised for big moves

Seeking Alpha2022-01-17

Citi is out with a screen for "significant downside risk or upside potential" based on crowding.

Citi measures crowding acrossquants, fundamentals, hedge funds and multi-strat macro funds using five metrics: the most crowded quant factor ranking (region specific), historical relative valuation, short interest, concentration of sell-side analyst ratings and macro risk contribution in individual stocks.

"Conventional thinking is to avoid buying crowded stocks (high crowding composite), as they may become harder to attract marginal investors, while stocks that are less crowded are prone to react more positively to fundamental catalysts, as they can attract a larger set of new investors," Citi says. "However, we do not intend the crowding composite to be a buy/sell signal by itself."

Upside moves - the least crowed U.S. stocks with Buy ratings:

  1. Molson Coors(NYSE:TAP), crowding composite 0.2%
  2. Kellogg(NYSE:K), 1.6%
  3. C.H. Robinson(NASDAQ:CHRW), 1.9%
  4. Telephone and Data Systems(NYSE:TDS), 2.4%
  5. Endo International(NASDAQ:ENDP), 3.7%
  6. General Mills(NYSE:GIS), 4.3%
  7. Discovery(NASDAQ:DISCA), 4.9%
  8. Foot Locker(NYSE:FL), 5%
  9. Beyond Meat(NASDAQ:BYND), 5.3%
  10. TC Energy(NYSE:TRP), 5.6%

Downside moves - most crowded U.S. stocks with Sell or Neutral ratings:

  1. Snap(NYSE:SNAP), crowding composite 99.5%
  2. Blackstone(NYSE:BX), 98.7%
  3. Zoetis(NYSE:ZTS), 98.5%
  4. Bio-Techne(NASDAQ:TECH), 98.1%
  5. Syneos Health(NASDAQ:SYNH), 98%
  6. Qualcomm(NASDAQ:QCOM), 97.4%
  7. Nike(NYSE:NKE), 97.3%
  8. Weston Alliance(NYSE:WAL), 97.1%
  9. Microchip Technology(NASDAQ:MCHP), 96.8%
  10. Charles River Labs(NYSE:CRL), 96.5%

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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Comment2

  • th0mastan
    ·2022-01-17
    Could be a rotation from tech to traditional business 
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  • gky
    ·2022-01-17
    Ok
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    • SSVC
      K
      2022-02-27
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