贝索斯搭乘自家火箭飞太空，失败的概率有多大？

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贝索斯搭乘自家火箭飞太空，失败的概率有多大？

腾讯科技2021-07-16

腾讯科技讯 7月16日消息，当亿万富翁杰夫·贝索斯(Jeff Bezos)下周搭乘旗下蓝色起源公司飞船前往太空时，他和同伴们在亚轨道飞行中需要冒着很大的生命危险。美国已经进行了382次太空飞行，其中四次以灾难性的方式结束。太空政策与战略中心的分析显示，这意味着失败率约为1/100，远远高于商业航空旅行的危险，后者的事故率为百万分之一，也高于大多数其他地面活动。这份分析报告的合著者乔治·纳尔德（...

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hhyw
·2021-07-17
失敗的概率是超級無敵大??
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- hhyw:
  没回来，他就是传奇了
  2021-07-17
  Reply
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- 涓流入海:
  还是希望他能平安返航地球
  2021-07-17
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中国ChinaATM
·2021-07-17
超大
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- CMChai100:
  天
  2021-07-17
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CSL1m
·2021-07-17
Wow...
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2
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allenkee2021
·2021-07-17
[傲嬌]
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2
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allenkee
·2021-07-17
[財迷]
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2
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Youn7276
·2021-07-17
飛上天了！
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12
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WinWin88
·2021-07-17
?
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3
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Kelvin988
·2021-07-17
要給飛天了喲
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1
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- Shelleyblack:
  [微笑]
  2021-07-17
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liuxiangwei
·2021-07-17
[微笑]
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4
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- crazybee1235:
  hi
  2021-07-17
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- liuxiangwei:
  [微笑]
  2021-07-17
  Reply
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Mingzu
·2021-07-17
[微笑]
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1
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- Mingzu:
  [微笑]
  2021-07-17
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yuliang559
·2021-07-17
[微笑]
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- yuliang559:
  [微笑]
  2021-07-17
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Linda2240
·2021-07-17
[微笑]
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- Linda2240:
  [微笑]
  2021-07-17
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hangyuliang
·2021-07-17
[微笑]
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- hangyuliang:
  [微笑]
  2021-07-17
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puah
·2021-07-16
Hi
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7月16日消息，当亿万富翁杰夫·贝索斯(Jeff Bezos)下周搭乘旗下蓝色起源公司飞船前往太空时，他和同伴们在亚轨道飞行中需要冒着很大的生命危险。\n美国已经进行了382次太空飞行，其中四次以灾难性的方式结束。太空政策与战略中心的分析显示，这意味着失败率约为1/100，远远高于商业航空旅行的危险，后者的事故率为百万分之一，也高于大多数其他地面活动。\n这份分析报告的合著者乔治·纳尔德（...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://new.qq.com/omn/20210716/20210716A0D0MR00.html\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"AMZN","symbol_name":"亚马逊","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://new.qq.com/omn/20210716/20210716A0D0MR00.html","article_id":"1174712972","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://static.tigerbbs.com/4eed0a995ce7fdfcf8e51dea15564b1e"],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174712972","pubTimestamp":1626449543,"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"lsy1580517846866","name":"腾讯科技"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"腾讯科技讯 7月16日消息，当亿万富翁杰夫·贝索斯(Jeff Bezos)下周搭乘旗下蓝色起源公司飞船前往太空时，他和同伴们在亚轨道飞行中需要冒着很大的生命危险。\n美国已经进行了382次太空飞行，其中","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"qq.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"translate_title":"What is the probability of Bezos flying into space on his own rocket?","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8b42a970f054308098c447e8925a787","symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9},"content_text":"腾讯科技讯 7月16日消息，当亿万富翁杰夫·贝索斯(Jeff Bezos)下周搭乘旗下蓝色起源公司飞船前往太空时，他和同伴们在亚轨道飞行中需要冒着很大的生命危险。\n美国已经进行了382次太空飞行，其中四次以灾难性的方式结束。太空政策与战略中心的分析显示，这意味着失败率约为1/100，远远高于商业航空旅行的危险，后者的事故率为百万分之一，也高于大多数其他地面活动。\n这份分析报告的合著者乔治·纳尔德（George Nield）说：“在我们获得大量经验之前，就像我们多年来在数百万次飞机飞行中所经历的那样，那么我们将会有个学习的过程。有了汽车、轮船、飞机和火车，每年都会有人死亡，而太空飞行在这方面也不会有什么不同。”\n但从另一个角度来看，美国太空飞行事故夺走的生命远远少于死于工伤的人数。根据美国劳工统计显示，每年大约有5000名工人死亡。相比之下，美国航天史上只有15名宇航员死亡。\n更重要的是，仅在2019年死亡的5333名美国工人中，运输和仓储行业就超过913人。换句话说，如果一名工人在工作中死亡，他们很有可能是在开卡车或在仓库工作。\n在所有行业中，超过半数工人死亡要么是因为交通事故，要么是因为滑倒、绊倒和跌倒所致。非致命性伤害和患病的比率自然要高得多。2019年，每100名工人中大约有3人在工作中生病或受伤，需要至少休息一天。\n不过，很难在航天和其他活动之间进行直接的统计比较，部分原因是这个行业还很新，这帮助放大了风险。此外，美国联邦航空管理局（FAA）目前被禁止发布与太空飞行参与者的健康和安全有关的规定。\n自2015年以来，蓝色起源公司的新谢泼德号飞船(New Shepard)已经飞行了15次，其中包括对其紧急逃生系统的三次成功测试，该系统在火箭发生故障时可以抛射载人太空舱。贝索斯的飞行将是该航天器首次载人飞行。\n乔治华盛顿大学太空政策研究所创始人、美国宇航局顾问委员会前成员约翰·洛格斯顿(John 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