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Sea Limited Is Oversold and Priced Like a Pre-Pandemic Bargain

InvestorPlace2022-03-09

Sea Limited(NYSE:SE) has lost more than half of its value during the past year. Many claim SE stock is still a strong sell because the current market climate isn’t very receptive to growth stocks.

I don’t think I need to be the one telling you the basic principle of buying low and selling high is what makes for a successful market participant. But the question remains: How do I know whether the price is low or high? Buying low isn’t as easy as it may sound; many stocks lose an enormous amount of their value and never recoup it.

When it comes to SE stock, I’m taking a contrarian stance here, as I see its potential. I definitely think investors with the necessary intestinal fortitude could end up profiting massively in the long run.

SE Stock Beat Its EPS Drought

Many of the firm’s internal stakeholders and external analysts got ahead of themselves during the past two years by constantly overestimating its earnings per share (EPS) potential. Sea missed out on its EPS estimates on eight consecutive quarters, with operating costs not diminishing at the speed initially anticipated.

However, pulses were raised last week as the Singaporean technology prospect beat its EPS estimate by3 cents per share. Sea produced firm-wide growth during 2021, with its e-commerce segment revenue growing by 89% and its digital financial services revenue increasing by 711%.

In addition, Sea added 7% in digital entertainment bookings for the year, with paying users increasing by 6%. The firm’s management provided upbeat guidance for 2022, citing potential revenue growth of 75.7% for its e-commerce segment and 155.4% for its digital finance segment.

I found comfort in the fact that Sea has stocked up on cash while also de-levering its capital structure. The firm added $3.9 billion in cash to its balance sheet during 2021 and reduced its debt-to-equity ratio to57.29%. That means equity investors now hold a superior residual claim compared to this time last year.

Cathie Wood Adds Volume

The stock jumped 15%shortly after its latest Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filing showed Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest added146,000 SE shares to its portfolio. When asked about the play, Wood said:

“E-commerce penetration in Indonesia, which is its core market, is about 7%. That probably goes to 40%, 50% over the next five, six, seven years. They can pretty much double their market share at least, so this is a business that can easily grow tenfold. That’s certainly not in the current valuations.”

Investors’ support of Wood has certainly fluctuated lately due to the volatility of Ark’s returns. It needs to be understood that Ark is a thematic investment fund, which means its returns are platykurtic in the short run but will likely yield consistent, index-beating returns in the long run.

According to my knowledge, Ark Invest believes job openings will remain fixed in the long run due to innovation, subsequently resulting in a deflationary environment.I have much belief in Ark’s strategy, instilling confidence in my bullish bet on SE considering the investment fund’s hefty exposure.

A Possible Entry Point for SE Stock

SE stock is looking pre-pandemic cheap. It has retraced and now only trades at4.8x its sales, a 65.2%discount relative to its normalized average. I always find the price-to-sales ratio helpful, as it’s less susceptible to short-term volatility manipulation than most other price multiples. In this case, it’s clear the market has yet to fully price-in the firm’s outstanding top-line growth.

Lastly, SE Stock’srelative strength index value of30.4is near oversold territory, suggesting the market has overreacted to its bearish features. I’m betting on a mean reversion and think it’s a reasonable time to enter SE stock before it’s too late.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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Comment25

  • pekanto
    ·2022-03-09
    Like
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  • ken3355
    ·2022-03-09
    Dude, save your money if you want to buy Grab. Buying $SE is fine at the price now. If you want to buy GRAB for digibank, might as well buy Singtel. Other than that, Grab has no MOAT what so ever. 
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  • Ignis
    ·2022-03-09
    Nah 
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  • SK19
    ·2022-03-09
    💪💪💪
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  • SaveHK
    ·2022-03-09
    Beware value trap...😤😤😰
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  • CYHwang
    ·2022-03-09
    What about selling put options on this stock?
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  • Thomas K.
    ·2022-03-09
    If I can only buy shares of $Sea Ltd(SE)$or $Grab Holdings(GRAB)$, which should I go for?
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    • 夜裡精靈
      🙈🙈🙈
      2022-03-09
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    • Thomas K.
      Free falling again [LOL]
      2022-03-09
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    • Thomas K.
      又在泻了[LOL]
      2022-03-09
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  • CIG
    ·2022-03-09
    Keep buying upon every drop of 10.
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  • Cayonex
    ·2022-03-09
    Sea ltd equivalent to Grab. Company is making money, can buy Good class bungalow but reported company is making losses. So where all the money go? Hahaha that's why no one is invest into SG, money laundering country and low tax country
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    • KittyBruno
      Either Sea is going out of business or there is a really nice entry point coming, not sure which yet....
      2022-03-09
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    • littlesweetie
      ow long should we wait? Soon it will be who paid over $90? Who bought over $100?
      2022-03-09
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    • LouisLowell
      That's why I'm afraid to invest in this company.
      2022-03-09
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  • Calvin20
    ·2022-03-09
    Thanks for sharing
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  • by Hopehope賦予希望It's burning too much cash at the moment for the e-commerce division as well as facing pressure on the gaming business division growth. It pays to wait for me. Doubt the pressure on the downside is over yet. I mean good. This should not be construed as any investment or trading advice. $Sea Ltd(SE)$$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$$DoorDash, Inc.(DASH)$
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  • Hayz
    ·2022-03-09
    No brainer to start buying some.  South East Asia and Latin America looks good for them ... last 2 years, should grow easily for the coming years.
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  • Tradehub
    ·2022-03-09
    Nope. It is Marketing dept again paying analyst to "write story" gain. And when people DCA the price will plummet again [Facepalm] . $Sea Ltd(SE)$I will just stick to my target of $80 or $70 oreven $50 which is much nearer to the pre pandemic instrinsic value price. Not going to over believe or too relianton on all these exstrinsic valuation of price.
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    • MortimerDodd
      The company's recent performance is heartbreaking.
      2022-03-09
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    • ElvisMarner
      I think this company is undervalued.
      2022-03-09
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    • Calvin20
      Thanks for sharing
      2022-03-09
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    View more 1 comments
  • cakwai
    ·2022-03-09
    I'm a constant buyer of SE. Bought all the way down since $300. My latest entry price is $95. Many also asked me whether I made a wrong choice. My answer is to view the company fundamentals first. SE has nothing to hide here, its fundamentals are strong. Secondly, look at global economy and other macro factors. We have a perfect storm now, w feds, war, inflation. Everyone is down. Of cos the only thing i fear buying into SE is the US SINO political tension. There is a off chancethat the trade tension might escalate if China takes her stand w her political ally. That might possibly mean a delist of chinese adr and on the off chance SE. Overall gains outweigh risks. I will continue buying.
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    • cakwai
      多谢仁兄夸奖。能为天下立功,乃微臣的荣幸。
      2022-03-09
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    • NeoA
      简直是个人才写的
      2022-03-09
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    • mster
      👍 Intelligent writing. Unlike those who just ‘ha ha’ their way on a down trend stock. If one is down in their position with SE, one option is sell covered call on the side to cover some cost.
      2022-03-09
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  • DQ6
    ·2022-03-09
    Buy buy buy
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  • ming22
    ·2022-03-09
    Good opportunity, can start with small position, still wish it can drop more 😄 
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  • OO_898
    ·2022-03-09
    Like 
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  • LiXuan
    ·2022-03-09
    Will Tencent ever go back to own shares or will there be new partners?
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    • William85
      Trust me that Tencent is still top campany all over the world. I once visited Tencent's headquarters, that's too impressive! the culture and atmosphere are incredible!
      2022-03-11
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    • LiXuan
      Never got the chance to buy it. So i was lucky
      2022-03-09
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    • LiXuan
      Becoz Tencent sold $3billion stake in SEA earlier this year
      2022-03-09
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  • KCLEE123
    ·2022-03-09
    Abit similar to Alibaba, stock price keep dropping 
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  • Tothemoonhon
    ·2022-03-09
    Please all in buy the dip!!
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