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夜读 | 如何在“黑天鹅”频出的年代投资?

人神共奋2022-07-26

不可预测,但可应对可能性大的小概率事件?每次投资类的文章写到“黑天鹅”,总有人反问:“别整那没用的,你就说说这两年可能有什么黑天鹅事件。”我总是很遗憾的告诉他:“黑天鹅事件最大的特点是不可预见,都是大部分人没有想到的事件,大家都在担心的事件,反而不太可能成为黑天鹅事件。”总有人还是不服气:“这个我懂,不是让你一说一个准,你就说说哪些事件变黑天鹅的可能性比较大呗。”嗯?“可能性大”的小概率事件?...

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Comment8

  • Paggie
    ·2022-07-27
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  • JaniceZhu
    ·2022-07-27
    巴菲特應對危機的態度最簡單,就是不要預測危機,一旦出現了,就要抓住這個機會,大買特買好公司。
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    • JaniceZhu
      [微笑]
      2022-07-27
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  • JaniceZhu
    ·2022-07-27
    黑天鵝事件作爲一個“小概率事件”本身無法預測,甚至無法迴避(即第二種);但作爲一種大概率出現的“普遍現象”(即第一種),卻可以應對,甚至利用它來獲利。
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    • chang168
      up
      2022-07-27
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    • YeGuChen
      Good
      2022-07-27
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    • Raychan
      [微笑]
      2022-07-27
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    View more 2 comments
  • hhyw
    ·2022-07-27
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  • 嘞撸虎7
    ·2022-07-27
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  • Youn7276
    ·2022-07-27
    Ok
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  • Rock1
    ·2022-07-27
    可否講講窮人如何在突發戰爭時 保值 財產?畢竟不能像有錢人那樣跑了
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    • Youn7276
      Ok
      2022-07-27
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    • 越南喜乐多
      这些都不是你穷人该考虑的事。
      2022-07-27
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  • Jesscy
    ·2022-07-27
    Thanks for sharing 
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