外媒头条：华尔街关注9月FOMC会议减码信号

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外媒头条：华尔街关注9月FOMC会议减码信号

新浪财经2021-08-24

全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有： 1、杰克逊霍尔年会只是前菜华尔街更关注9月FOMC会议减码信号 2、安联首席经济顾问：年底前美股不太可能出现大幅回调 3、美国8月份服务业和制造业增速放缓至八个月低点 4、辉瑞和BioNTech开发的新冠疫苗获美国FDA完全批准 5、芯片短缺局面势将加剧因马来西亚遭遇疫情冲击 6、美元流动性泛滥美联储构筑的利率底部一击即溃...

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李欧8886
·2021-08-24
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- Sen001:
  [财迷]
  2021-08-24
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麻绳
·2021-08-24
快到九月了，倉位可以減下來
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- 卓乐:
  好
  2021-08-24
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- 云里梦里飞:
  [微笑]
  2021-08-24
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- cy8:
  yes, ok
  2021-08-24
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周周涨不停
·2021-08-24
已閱
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- 垂死的小猫:
  [微笑]
  2021-08-24
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- MyKhoo:
  K
  2021-08-24
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- HY1986:
  [财迷]
  2021-08-24
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华尔街更关注9月FOMC会议减码信号\n美国利率策略师在周报中评估了美联储宣布减码的潜在市场影响，以及围绕9月FOMC会议的风险。\n高盛最新报告称，美联储主席鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔研讨会上发表惊人言语的可能性不大，9月FOMC会议才是关键。高盛预计该会议上可能包含“11月发布减码声明的明确信号”，点阵图可能显示到2024年至多加息100个基点，“远超过当前市场定价”。\n花旗则认为，投资者“将较长期美国国债作为避风港，同时在等待对德尔塔毒株/地缘政治的担忧减弱，压低长端期限溢价”，这导致短期收益率水平与市场对美联储将在明年下半年升息的预期脱节。“因此，我们认为有理由押注2s10s收益率曲线变陡”。\n关于美联储减码，花旗基线预期时9月份宣布消息，12月正式开始缩减购债规模。安联首席经济顾问：年底前美股不太可能出现大幅回调\n安联首席经济顾问埃里安（Mohamed El-Erian）周一表示，在“重大冲击”打破近期的交易模式之前，股市不太可能出现大幅回调。\n埃里安周一表示，在美联储政策计划的影响变得更加明显之前，股市可能会继续摆脱任何疲软。\n埃里安表示，需要有一次“重大冲击”才能打破投资者逢低买入的倾向。他表示，这些冲击可能是美联储的政策失误或一次“市场意外”。\n埃里安此前一直批评美联储的做法，认为美联储维持宽松政策的时间过长。他表示，接下来的几个月将是关键。\n“直到今年年底，我们才会发现美联储是否犯了重大的政策错误。我认为是的。我认为通胀不会是暂时的，人们低估了通胀动态，”他说。美国8月份服务业和制造业增速放缓至八个月低点\n美国8月份商业活动继续放缓，在原材料和劳动力短缺，新冠感染人数上升的背景下，商业活动扩张速度降至8个月最低水平。\nIHS Markit周一公布数据显示，8月服务业和制造业采购经理人综合指数（PMI）从一个月前的59.9降至55.4。读数高于50表明经济活动扩张，该指标自5月份触及纪录高位68.7以来便逐月下降。\n本月的回调凸显出供应链中断对那些本就难以满足市场需求的企业构成打击。服务提供商和制造商在吸引员工和获取供应方面继续面临挑战。\n受限的产能正在转化为持续的通胀压力。8月份投入价格指标升至2009年以来的次高水平。接收价格指标也有所上升，表明企业在转嫁成本上升方面取得了一些成功。辉瑞和BioNTech开发的新冠疫苗获美国FDA完全批准\n辉瑞公司和BioNTech SE联合开发的新冠疫苗获得美国监管机构的完全批准，在德尔塔毒株引起感染激增的情况下，此举有望推动美国的疫苗接种行动。\n美国食品药品监督管理局（FDA）在一份声明中表示，已批准16岁及以上人群接种该款新冠疫苗，商标名为Comirnaty。\n该机构表示，根据紧急使用授权，该疫苗可用于12至15岁人群。芯片短缺局面势将加剧 因马来西亚遭遇疫情冲击\n马来西亚的新冠病例数正在激增，有可能加剧半导体和其他零部件的短缺，而这些问题已经困扰了汽车制造商数月之久。\n从历史上看，这个东南亚国家对科技供应链的重要程度没有韩国或日本那么大。但近年来，马来西亚正崛起为芯片测试和封装的一个重要中心，英飞凌、恩智浦半导体和意法半导体等都在该国设立了工厂。\n目前该国疫情正在急剧升温，从而危及解除封锁和恢复满负荷生产的计划。日新增病例的7天平均数已经超过2万，而6月底时仅略高于5000。\n根据非正式指引，如果有超过三名工人感染病毒，则相关工厂必须彻底关闭两周时间进行卫生消毒。德尔塔毒株特别具有传染性，因此很难阻止。美元流动性泛滥 美联储构筑的利率底部一击即溃\n美联储为隔夜融资市场构筑的利率底部在汹涌的流动性面前不堪一击。\n从美国国库券到回购协议，货币市场多种证券的利率持续低于0.05%的美联储隔夜逆回购利率，该利率本应被视为短期利率的下限。 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