元宇宙，马斯克的克星？

冯仑风马牛2021-12-29

01 「双马」交锋媒体记者们就是「坏」。他们采访一个名人时，总喜欢问他/她对另一个名人的看法，这样才有文章可做，即便他们心里早猜到答案。马斯克最近被记者问，怎么看马克·扎克伯格的元宇宙？钢铁侠耿直地说，把虚拟现实头盔（进入元宇宙所需的设备）戴在脸上会让人不舒服，没看到有人整天把这块屏幕绑在脸上。他还搬出古老的智慧为证：就像小时候父母告诉我们，看电视时不要坐太近，它会毁了你的视力。2014年，...

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起司_9213
·2021-12-30
我覺得馬斯克的腦機接口才是真正的元宇宙，而VR眼鏡只是元宇宙的初始形態。
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4
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Sam Ang
·2021-12-30
閱
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1
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Justin_L
·2021-12-30
是的是的
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cbliaNg
·2021-12-30
[開心] [開心] [開心]
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CTP
·2021-12-30
Good
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1
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虎琊
·2021-12-30
Y
Reply
1
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涂泥土漆的AHT有30倍
·2021-12-30
科技網紅大對決？
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1
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私享家阿峰
·2021-12-30
兩位大佬互懟出火花生活方式才燦爛
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1
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Liaw_0430
·2021-12-30
閱
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1
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袁秋萫lD1280577
·2021-12-30
@科技發達，針對人類的幸福爲導向！不是虛擬化活着！把人的能力架空！毀滅人類之舉！毀滅人的能力！就是世界的毀滅！脫離了現實就是魔鬼！沒有了人性的感知！還是人類嗎？
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2
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- 逍遥谷古月轩:
  好
  2021-12-30
  Reply
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奥龙
·2021-12-30
等我有錢，我更願意到處去走走，而不是窩在家裏
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4
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Youn7276
·2021-12-30
閱
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1
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Schemppho
·2021-12-30
一
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1
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無花
·2021-12-30
👏👏👏
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1
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Yangsirisme
·2021-12-29
人整天不動戴個頭盔，不是跟整天沉迷網絡遊戲的少年沒啥區別了？再說不出去運動活動那還是人嗎
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- Youn7276:
  好
  2021-12-30
  Reply
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kkkkken
·2021-12-29
媽媽重現教育喔，別活在柚子裏，現實才是真是的。
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7
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TakionTek
·2021-12-29
年度最優秀戲劇貼。
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阿布_5919
·2021-12-29
拿虛擬跟現實比？有什麼可比的？你願意去火星去宇宙還是活在你所謂的虛擬世界裏？我他媽寧願以後凍死在宇宙裏。也不願意一直活在那虛擬裏！起碼我目前的認知是告訴我追尋外面的世界。兩個東西根本沒有可比性。元宇宙只是虛擬現實而已說到底都是虛擬
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- 杜向峰:
  扎克伯格要是看到你的观点得吐血
  2023-01-01
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- 大米饭00:
  虚拟现实肯定还是有虚拟现实的应用场景的
  2023-01-01
  Reply
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- 福斯特09:
  接受新鲜也是一种能力
  2023-01-01
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相知一生
·2021-12-29
馬臉猴.扎被蘋果虐得不成樣子，還敢跑來槓馬斯克？
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8
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- 蝶影花行:
  哈哈哈，好像很多人都不喜欢他。我也是
  2021-12-30
  Reply
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nemesis?","themeId":"","isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9507894382a182c83af94290ba5f8710","symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9},"content_text":"01 「双马」交锋媒体记者们就是「坏」。他们采访一个名人时，总喜欢问他/她对另一个名人的看法，这样才有文章可做，即便他们心里早猜到答案。马斯克最近被记者问，怎么看马克·扎克伯格的元宇宙？钢铁侠耿直地说，把虚拟现实头盔（进入元宇宙所需的设备）戴在脸上会让人不舒服，没看到有人整天把这块屏幕绑在脸上。他还搬出古老的智慧为证：就像小时候父母告诉我们，看电视时不要坐太近，它会毁了你的视力。2014年，facebook收购VR头戴设备制造商Oculus对于元宇宙的前景，马斯克也表示不看好：我认为人们不会想永远离开现实世界，这种事情也不会发生。「君子报仇，半年不晚。」马斯克的话算是对扎克伯格的反击。今年3月，媒体采访小扎，也要他评价马斯克旗下公司Neuralink的脑机接口技术。小扎同样没给老马留面子：我不认为人们会为了使用VR/AR而愿意把头钻开。如今，马斯克回敬了一个相似的理由，连句式都是相似的。向来以先锋、出格著称的马斯克，对元宇宙这个概念一点都不感冒，还真是让人有点困惑。你当然可以说他慧眼如炬，一早看穿这是泡沫，是「营销出来的概念」，不屑与之为伍。但同样是他，为什么又对数字货币热情高涨，扛起币圈大旗，还乐此不疲为流通于虚拟空间的NFT站台？更何况，去年马斯克自己的脑机接口实验也引起过极大争议。在吃瓜群众看来，这些东西比元宇宙像样不到哪去。为了跟元宇宙划清界限，马斯克甚至甘愿以技术保守派自居。他在采访里声称，「我的年纪很大了，我喜欢那些在90年代对互联网不屑一顾的人，不在意一些时尚或永远不会有任何实际意义的东西，我们更喜欢打电话、写信等方式，去和别人沟通、交流。」马斯克可能真的年纪大了，患上了间歇性失忆症，突然忘记自己是推特重度用户这件事。排除「双马」向来不睦这个因素，仔细想想马斯克为何对元宇宙表现得如此嫌弃，或许会发现一些有意思的事。我们把一个大胆的假设放在前面：扎克伯格的元宇宙设想，可能会动摇马斯克理想世界的根基。为什么这么说？自从10月底facebook更名为meta以来，扎克伯格就成了世界人民嘲笑的对象，「只要meta不要face」。实际上抛开这个语焉不详的概念，更名前后，扎克伯格对公司的终极目标和底层逻辑从来没变过：就像那部名称直白的电影《社交网络》一样，一直都是社交，扎克伯格从始至终都希望，人们在他创造的平台上获得更高效、更愉悦的社交体验。只不过现在，他给公司披上了「元宇宙」的外衣，但核心一以贯之。今年上半年的那次采访中，扎克伯格说得很明白了。我们摘出他的几个核心观点：对我来说，之所以做AR/VR，是因为希望有一天人们能够四处移动。将来，人们的谈话不应该通过电话或Zoom（一个在线会议平台）进行，应该是（通过AR设备）把你们传送到我的沙发上，或者把我传送到你们那里，面对面坐在一起。人们可以通过VR设备把自己上载到一个共同的虚拟空间，在不同地方的人可以聚会和开会，减少飞机、汽车的使用，大大省掉了交通成本，免于被很多通勤和琐碎杂事拖累。远程工作是个持续发展的趋势，我认为这是个非常大的经济和社会问题。现在很多人觉得他们需要搬到城市才能获得好的经济机会和工作，很多城市在管理方面做得不好，生活费用已经失控。未来，如果你有这样的动力，你可以住在任何你想住的地方，基本上可以瞬间移动到任何其他地方工作，我认为这将是意义深远的。电影《头号玩家》打造了一个名为「绿洲」的虚拟现实世界总结扎克伯格关于未来设想的关键词：移动、交通、城市管理……这不也是属于马斯克的关键词吗？02 马斯克的通行版图看看马斯克的事业版图，不难发现，这位硅谷钢铁侠无法容忍的事很多都跟低效、不合理的出行有关。人们最熟悉的两家公司：特斯拉，用于短途日常出行，环保标签加持，跟马斯克2016年收购的SolarCity最相配；SpaceX，受命出征太空，是未来人们移民火星的交通工具，服务于「超长途」出行。在短途和超长途运输的两个极端之间，还有两个中间选项。2013年，马斯克公布了一项「超级高铁」计划（Hyperloop），这是一种管道运输方式，采用真空、低压、磁悬浮等技术，用来完成城际之间的交通运输，比一般高铁速度更快，造价更低。2016年的一次堵车经历，又激发了马斯克成立一家「隧道公司」的想法。他为这家公司命名为「The Boring Company」（人们戏称为无聊公司），试图编织一张独立于地铁之外的城市地下交通网络，让私家车行驶其中，治疗大城市的拥堵病。在上天与遁地之间，马斯克选择了后者。也有一些公司在研发飞行汽车，但马斯克认为，人们不会喜欢头顶上嗡嗡作响的威胁，还是地下比较安全。从特斯拉到火箭，从短途到城际再到外太空，以上四家公司，承载着马斯克在交通事业上的野心，上天入地，无所不包。用一句话来形容他：一个提供一条龙出行方案的男人。尽管有些尚未实现，有些并非首创，但因为他是马斯克，忠诚的信徒大有人在。然而，扎克伯格元宇宙的出现，可能会动摇马斯克事业的根基，至少不再像他设想得那么重要了。对元宇宙持乐观态度的人预测，未来「非必要的出行」会减少直至消失。在人类的基本需求「衣食住行」之中，虚拟世界真正可以替代的也只有「行」这一项。例如，马斯克的boring公司是由堵车激发的灵感，多层次利用城市空间，这个点子确实不错，但扎克伯格直接从根子上提出解决方案：有了元宇宙，人们可以置身虚拟办公室中，实现远程办公，通勤都省了。车都不用了，你看还堵不堵车？在虚拟世界里，人们只需输入目的地坐标，就可以完成瞬间移动。在元宇宙里活动，比任何交通工具都要节能环保，还能解决现实世界的交通拥堵问题，减少交通事故。为什么不呢？那时候，马斯克也不必担心人们对充电桩不足、入冬秒变「电动爹」的种种抱怨了。新能源汽车将不再是人们关注的焦点。没错，你的特斯拉很酷，我的瞬间移动术是不是更酷？再例如，马斯克「超级高铁」的出发点是，帮助人们实现在一个州居住、在另一个州工作的梦想——例如从北京抵达上海只要一小时——还能方便商务出行需求。小扎又拆了他的台：有了元宇宙，你可以住在世界上任何地方，同时选择在任何地方工作，彻底突破空间限制。让世界真正成为一个地球村吧。马斯克也有自己的脑机接口公司Neuralink，但跟元宇宙无关，而是出于对人工智能发展的恐惧。马斯克担心AI迟早会超越人类，所以必须让人脑变得更强大，脑机接口就是实现人机融合、大脑增强的关键，就像在人脑中植入一个威力十足的芯片。未来，人类就能与AI共处，不会被AI毁灭。Neuralink的第二大应用场景，则是临床医疗。马斯克才不关心虚拟世界，他要打败虚拟世界。但有了元宇宙，谁还关心真宇宙？这大概是最让马斯克忧心的。从解决问题的角度出发，马斯克和扎克伯格遵循的是两套逻辑。马斯克大学主修物理，他推崇物理学第一性原理，立足现实，从本质上思考问题，突破外界环境限制的方式还是物理性的，就像传统发明家们遵循的那种路径——看见鸟儿会飞，就希望为人类插上一双翅膀，于是有了飞机。扎克伯格则完全不按常理出牌，他们采取的方法是科幻小说家式的：取道虚拟世界，干脆建造一片新大陆，施行一套新规则。03 外太空和元宇宙，你选哪个？如果说巨头们的元宇宙野心跟我们「打工人」有什么关系，那么解决远程办公以及通勤问题，可以算一大福音，值得期待一下。再往深处想，或许将形成一种新的雇佣关系，改变社会组织形态和生产方式。扎克伯格的设想得到了他的哈佛学长、比尔·盖茨的肯定。盖茨最看好元宇宙的应用场景同样服务于「打工人」。本月，盖茨在一封年终信里提到，新冠大流行已经彻底改变了工作场所，这些变化在未来几年只会加剧，远程办公会把更多的人拉进元宇宙，一个有「虚拟形象」的3D空间。人们在虚拟空间里参加会议，在其中与同事的虚拟化身互动，营造一种在真实房间中的感觉。盖茨也宣布，已经与meta公司达成合作。双方都将把这项技术应用到自己公司开发的协同办公App中。10月底，就在小扎宣布facebook更名的前一天，盖茨在土耳其海岸的一个度假村里度过了自己的66岁生日。为迎接贵宾，他出动了私人飞机和游艇，将客人们接到会场，大费周章。如果未来元宇宙真能发展到各大公司PPT里描述的那个阶段，盖茨不妨把自己的某场生日宴会放在元宇宙里举办。世界各路名流以数字分身赴宴，他们身着各大品牌的数字华服——实际上，不少奢侈品牌早已推出了虚拟世界的行头，抢占坑位——在虚拟空间里为盖茨举杯。就像科技届的奥斯卡，给我们打个样先。如果实现，这场盛会将成为元宇宙的最佳广告。哥伦比亚大学在《我的大学》（一款沙盒游戏）中搭建了校园，举办毕业典礼在这里打住吧。以上关于元宇宙的种种设想，目前仍然停留在蓝图上。数字世界的基础是算力，空间越大、内容越多，所需要的算力就越高。要构建环境高度仿真且能同时容纳上万人的数字世界，对算力要求极高，以处理海量数据和图像渲染等计算需求。这对芯片设计与制造、服务器系统、通信系统、数据中心建设提出巨大的挑战。在这些基础设施完备之前，元宇宙很难成气候。如今的扎克伯格，就像当年被全世界嘲讽的马斯克；如今的马斯克功成名就，站在了当年自己的对立面，去反对一项看起来更加虚无缥缈、可能对自己造成威胁的技术。所以，扎克伯格的元宇宙和马斯克的火星移民，哪个更不可想象，哪个会更早成为现实呢？他们要跟时间赛跑，同时也跟人们的耐心赛跑。马斯克还有好几块挡箭牌轮流防身，但声称All in元宇宙的小扎，如果三年五载还是没能拿出革命性的产品，恐怕股东们不会答应，年轻的用户也会弃他而去。对于我们普通人来说，心怀美好期待是可以的，巨头们的表演很精彩，但还是要捂好自己的钱包。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":692388837,"gmtCreate":1640848983354,"gmtModify":1676532498838,"author":{"id":"3464653850399717","authorId":"3464653850399717","name":"起司_9213","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b289deca4491f8ad58d28ab9cc1d2890","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3464653850399717","authorIdStr":"3464653850399717"},"htmlText":"我覺得馬斯克的腦機接口才是真正的元宇宙，而VR眼鏡只是元宇宙的初始形態。","listText":"我覺得馬斯克的腦機接口才是真正的元宇宙，而VR眼鏡只是元宇宙的初始形態。","text":"我覺得馬斯克的腦機接口才是真正的元宇宙，而VR眼鏡只是元宇宙的初始形態。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/692388837","repostId":2195430367,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":9003996764,"gmtCreate":1640838859992,"gmtModify":1676533546911,"author":{"id":"4095237511427410","authorId":"4095237511427410","name":"Sam 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