香港财政司司长陈茂波最新发声：疫情受控，经济逐步回稳

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香港财政司司长陈茂波最新发声：疫情受控，经济逐步回稳

中国基金报2022-04-25

4月24日，香港财政司司长陈茂波撰写网志表示：疫情逐步受控，加上消费券效应，有助于支持香港本季经济稳步改善；但他同时提醒投资者，尽管香港本地通胀率相对温和，但仍应审慎管理潜在风险，特别需要时刻警惕“风高浪急的外围环境”。（来源：香港财政司司长办公室网页-司长随笔）疫情受控经济逐步回稳陈茂波指出，疫情防控态势向好，让香港有空间稍为放松，是中央支援、特区政府负起主体责任及社会各界团结合力所得的成果...

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Comment（8）

BGXL
·2022-04-25
這種發言少一點好，基本都感染了，還說受控……爲什麼大家都不看xx聯播？假大空啊……
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BGXL
·2022-04-25
沙發
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yneymar
·2022-04-25
Wao
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kenp
·2022-04-25
Good
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kenp
·2022-04-25
Good
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1
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Ultimate Dystopia
·2022-04-25
Haizzz
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Lok.
·2022-04-25
nice
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changgw
·2022-04-25
這篇文章不錯，轉發給大家看
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经济逐步回稳陈茂波指出，疫情防控态势向好，让香港有空间稍为放松，是中央支援、特区政府负起主体责任及社会各界团结合力所得的成果，香港必须尽全力保持这得来不易的势头。他进一步表示，部分经济指标的改善仍需要时间，因为不少企业及人员仍承受着过去疫情造成的经济压力和打击，他们实际面对的生活压力仍需要持续稳定的环境和足够的时间才能逐步缓解。根据香港特区政府统计处于4月21日公布的数据显示，香港2022年1月至3月经季节性调整的失业率为5%，较2021年12月至2022年2月显著上升0.5个百分点，失业人数增加逾2.7万人，总失业人数增加到18.8万人；分行业来看，餐饮业失业率升高2.6个百分点至11%；零售业失业率则升至7.7%，上升了1.4个百分点；就业不足率上升0.8个百分点至3.1%。针对以上数字，陈茂波表示，虽然现在经济势头开始好转，但下月中发表的2至4月份失业率，仍然将反映第五波疫情的困难情况，因此失业率还需要时间才会掉头回落。事实上，随着香港本地新增病例数字不断下降，香港实施了数个月的严厉社交距离措施正在开始分阶段逐步放宽。根据香港特区政府此前公布的解封路线图，香港于4月21日开始首阶段放宽社交距离措施，餐厅晚市恢复堂食，健身房、美容院、主题公园等一系列场所重新开放。主要放宽具体措施包括：食肆堂食延至晚上10时，每桌最多4人；重开大部分表列处所；限聚令建议放宽至4人；取消限制两户以上在私人地方聚会；恢复不超过30人本地游；维持口罩令。（来源：添马台Tamar Talk）香港特区政府劳工及福利局局长罗致光此前也表示，劳工市场短期内将继续受压，但近期本地疫情缓和，加上新一轮消费券发放，消费相关行业的业务应会逐步改善，从而帮助就业。此外，特区政府推出多项纾缓措施支援企业和保障员工就业，包括即将展开的“2022年保就业”计划。他呼吁社会各界齐心合力支持抗疫，以期令本地疫情尽快受控。美国进入加息周期不会影响香港的金融和货币稳定审慎管理外围潜在风险陈茂波表示，虽然目前香港经济逐步回稳，本地通胀率仍属于相对温和，但仍必须时刻警惕风高浪急的外围环境，特别是地缘政治局势和息率的走势。根据香港特区政府统计处4月22日公布数据显示，3月综合消费物价指数按年升1.7%，较2月1.6%的升幅为高；剔除政府单次纾困措施影响，基本通胀率同为1.7%，高于1、2月份的1.5%合计平均升幅。陈茂波指出，美国正面对高达约8%的通胀率，且美联储于上月中旬已加息0.25%，是三年多以来的首次。而根据美联储官员最近的言论，市场普遍预计美国今年内可能会进一步大幅加息以应对高企的通胀，投资市场正密切关注各经济体的息率调整及货币之间的息差变化，以及其对全球经济、资金流向、资产价格变化及金融市场波动的影响。陈茂波称，在联系汇率制度下，美国加息将传导至本港，息率难免跟随向上，但港息实际上调的速度也会受本地资金存量所影响。他指出，从2008年全球金融危机至2015年期间流入香港的合共1万亿元的资金，大部份仍留在本港。他强调，美国进入加息周期不会影响香港的金融和货币稳定。联系汇率制度实施接近四十年来经历过多次经济及利息周期，一直行之有效。陈茂波说，可以预期，随着美元加息，港美息差扩阔，触发套戥活动，港元汇率会触及7.85弱方兑换保证，资金会从港元市场流出，而港元息率亦可能按市场情况上调，这是联汇制度的设计，是正常现象。而香港有庞大的货币基础（2.2万亿）作资金流出的缓冲。而加息对置业人士和按揭贷款质素等也将出现影响，但陈茂波表示，香港楼市借贷比率稳健。他援引香港金管局的资料称，目前香港过半数住宅物业业主没有按揭贷款，而银行按揭贷款人的平均供款与入息比率在八轮宏观审慎措施下处于36%的低水平，按揭贷款人亦经过压力测试，有抵御利率上升的能力。至于资产价格方面，陈茂波说，无论股市或楼市，除了息率变化，其他如供求因素、市场对宏观经济前景的预期及投资情绪等，都会左右其发展，在通胀升温及息率掉头回升之际，投资者还是以审慎管理潜在风险为上策。","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":618348228,"gmtCreate":1650883332940,"gmtModify":1676533026341,"author":{"id":"3487707251567403","authorId":"3487707251567403","name":"BGXL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2dc7bf7926181f840bb5dbcf6de7ec67","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3487707251567403","authorIdStr":"3487707251567403"},"htmlText":"這種發言少一點好，基本都感染了，還說受控……爲什麼大家都不看xx聯播？假大空啊……","listText":"這種發言少一點好，基本都感染了，還說受控……爲什麼大家都不看xx聯播？假大空啊……","text":"這種發言少一點好，基本都感染了，還說受控……爲什麼大家都不看xx聯播？假大空啊……","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/618348228","repostId":2230190141,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":618341849,"gmtCreate":1650883173580,"gmtModify":1676533026309,"author":{"id":"3487707251567403","authorId":"3487707251567403","name":"BGXL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2dc7bf7926181f840bb5dbcf6de7ec67","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3487707251567403","authorIdStr":"3487707251567403"},"htmlText":"沙發","listText":"沙發","text":"沙發","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/618341849","repostId":2230190141,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":9084631955,"gmtCreate":1650853627472,"gmtModify":1676534803910,"author":{"id":"4113465354959822","authorId":"4113465354959822","name":"yneymar","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1639b17bc4a859e955aad4b472a08717","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b073a07f77dbe6b3bec6b12311fde6bd","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4113465354959822","authorIdStr":"4113465354959822"},"htmlText":"Wao","listText":"Wao","text":"Wao","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9084631955","repostId":2230190141,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9084876754,"gmtCreate":1650851349924,"gmtModify":1676534803225,"author":{"id":"3577343858256661","authorId":"3577343858256661","name":"kenp","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/658bc030049b2996b0e2f267da086675","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3577343858256661","authorIdStr":"3577343858256661"},"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9084876754","repostId":2230190141,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9084876549,"gmtCreate":1650851337880,"gmtModify":1676534803209,"author":{"id":"3577343858256661","authorId":"3577343858256661","name":"kenp","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/658bc030049b2996b0e2f267da086675","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3577343858256661","authorIdStr":"3577343858256661"},"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9084876549","repostId":2230190141,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9084843765,"gmtCreate":1650850321654,"gmtModify":1676534802878,"author":{"id":"3586064269820711","authorId":"3586064269820711","name":"Ultimate 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