Recession Will Push S&P 500 to 3,600, Goldman Sachs Says

seekingalpha2022-05-16

Goldman Sachs is cutting its market forecast for the year, but that baseline assumes no recession.Scott Olson/Getty Images NewsGoldman's equity strategy team cut its end-2022 target for the S&P 500 (...

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RobinChanKH
·2022-05-16
another 400 pts coming??
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RobinChanKH
·2022-05-16
another 400 points coming??
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SSVC
·2022-05-16
K
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LEESIMON
·2022-05-16
ok
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Jojo888
·2022-05-16
Ok
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href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3838900-recession-will-push-sp-500-to-3600-goldman-sachs><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Goldman Sachs is cutting its market forecast for the year, but that baseline assumes no recession.Scott Olson/Getty Images NewsGoldman's equity strategy team cut its end-2022 target for the S&P 500 (...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3838900-recession-will-push-sp-500-to-3600-goldman-sachs\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":".SPX","symbol_name":"S&P 500 Index","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3838900-recession-will-push-sp-500-to-3600-goldman-sachs","article_id":"2235492043","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2235492043","pubTimestamp":1652671574,"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"seekingalpha","name":"Seeking Alpha"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Goldman Sachs is cutting its market forecast for the year, but that baseline assumes no recession.Sc","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"seekingalpha.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"translate_title":"高盛称，经济衰退将使标普500升至3600人","themeId":"","isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.6},"content_text":"Goldman Sachs is cutting its market forecast for the year, but that baseline assumes no recession.Scott Olson/Getty Images NewsGoldman's equity strategy team cut its end-2022 target for the S&P 500 (SP500) (NYSEARCA:SPY) to 4,300 from 4,700, noting investors have been \"mauled\" since the Jan. 3 peak for the index.But if there is a recession, it would push the S&P down to 3,600, which would be an 11% drop from current levels.\"Our economists assign a 35% probability of recession in the next two 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coming??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9020440052","repostId":2235492043,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2235492043","pubTimestamp":1652671574,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2235492043?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-16 11:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Recession Will Push S&P 500 to 3,600, Goldman Sachs Says","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2235492043","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Goldman Sachs is cutting its market forecast for the year, but that baseline assumes no recession.Sc","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Goldman Sachs is cutting its market forecast for the year, but that baseline assumes no recession.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a17cf2ed63dea8cd18a7e33493b714d\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"487\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Scott Olson/Getty Images News</span></p><p>Goldman&#39;s equity strategy team cut its end-2022 target for the S&amp;P 500 (SP500) (NYSEARCA:SPY) to 4,300 from 4,700, noting investors have been &#34;mauled&#34; since the Jan. 3 peak for the index.</p><p>But if there is a recession, it would push the S&amp;P down to 3,600, which would be an 11% drop from current levels.</p><p>&#34;Our economists assign a 35% probability of recession in the next two years,&#34; strategist David Kostin wrote in a note. &#34;However, if by year-end the economy is poised to enter a recession in 2023, a combination of reduced EPS estimates and a wider yield gap would drive a lower index level.&#34;</p><p>If the economy avoids recession, but real rates (TIP) keep rising, that would take the S&amp;P down to 3,800.</p><p>&#34;If the Fed is forced to hike by more than our economists expect and real rates rise to 1%, similar to the peak reached during the last cycle in 2018, our macro model suggests that higher rates will more than offset the lower yield gap,&#34; Kostin said. &#34;In this scenario, the forward P/E would equal 16x, the lowest level since 2020.&#34;</p><p>Goldman did boost its 2022 EPS forecast to up 8% from up 5% after Q1 results.</p><p>See BofA&#39;s buy the dip screens.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b544b7041de1dde8000a221ecb25d32\" tg-width=\"693\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Recession Will Push S&P 500 to 3,600, Goldman Sachs Says</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRecession Will Push S&P 500 to 3,600, Goldman Sachs Says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-16 11:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3838900-recession-will-push-sp-500-to-3600-goldman-sachs><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Goldman Sachs is cutting its market forecast for the year, but that baseline assumes no recession.Scott Olson/Getty Images NewsGoldman's equity strategy team cut its end-2022 target for the S&P 500 (...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3838900-recession-will-push-sp-500-to-3600-goldman-sachs\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3838900-recession-will-push-sp-500-to-3600-goldman-sachs","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2235492043","content_text":"Goldman Sachs is cutting its market forecast for the year, but that baseline assumes no recession.Scott Olson/Getty Images NewsGoldman's equity strategy team cut its end-2022 target for the S&P 500 (SP500) (NYSEARCA:SPY) to 4,300 from 4,700, noting investors have been \"mauled\" since the Jan. 3 peak for the index.But if there is a recession, it would push the S&P down to 3,600, which would be an 11% drop from current levels.\"Our economists assign a 35% probability of recession in the next two years,\" strategist David Kostin wrote in a note. \"However, if by year-end the economy is poised to enter a recession in 2023, a combination of reduced EPS estimates and a wider yield gap would drive a lower index level.\"If the economy avoids recession, but real rates (TIP) keep rising, that would take the S&P down to 3,800.\"If the Fed is forced to hike by more than our economists expect and real rates rise to 1%, similar to the peak reached during the last cycle in 2018, our macro model suggests that higher rates will more than offset the lower yield gap,\" Kostin said. \"In this scenario, the forward P/E would equal 16x, the lowest level since 2020.\"Goldman did boost its 2022 EPS forecast to up 8% from up 5% after Q1 results.See BofA's buy the dip screens.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9020457753,"gmtCreate":1652677233572,"gmtModify":1676535139770,"author":{"id":"3585125163446793","authorId":"3585125163446793","name":"RobinChanKH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6a29bc2ef443d458e3076e29dd8d5455","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f84d87792f02cf78e80ee34979fd31e5","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3585125163446793","authorIdStr":"3585125163446793"},"htmlText":"another 400 points coming??&nbsp;","listText":"another 400 points coming??&nbsp;","text":"another 400 points coming??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9020457753","repostId":2235492043,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2235492043","pubTimestamp":1652671574,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2235492043?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-16 11:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Recession Will Push S&P 500 to 3,600, Goldman Sachs Says","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2235492043","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Goldman Sachs is cutting its market forecast for the year, but that baseline assumes no recession.Sc","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Goldman Sachs is cutting its market forecast for the year, but that baseline assumes no recession.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a17cf2ed63dea8cd18a7e33493b714d\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"487\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Scott Olson/Getty Images News</span></p><p>Goldman&#39;s equity strategy team cut its end-2022 target for the S&amp;P 500 (SP500) (NYSEARCA:SPY) to 4,300 from 4,700, noting investors have been &#34;mauled&#34; since the Jan. 3 peak for the index.</p><p>But if there is a recession, it would push the S&amp;P down to 3,600, which would be an 11% drop from current levels.</p><p>&#34;Our economists assign a 35% probability of recession in the next two years,&#34; strategist David Kostin wrote in a note. &#34;However, if by year-end the economy is poised to enter a recession in 2023, a combination of reduced EPS estimates and a wider yield gap would drive a lower index level.&#34;</p><p>If the economy avoids recession, but real rates (TIP) keep rising, that would take the S&amp;P down to 3,800.</p><p>&#34;If the Fed is forced to hike by more than our economists expect and real rates rise to 1%, similar to the peak reached during the last cycle in 2018, our macro model suggests that higher rates will more than offset the lower yield gap,&#34; Kostin said. &#34;In this scenario, the forward P/E would equal 16x, the lowest level since 2020.&#34;</p><p>Goldman did boost its 2022 EPS forecast to up 8% from up 5% after Q1 results.</p><p>See BofA&#39;s buy the dip screens.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b544b7041de1dde8000a221ecb25d32\" tg-width=\"693\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Recession Will Push S&P 500 to 3,600, Goldman Sachs Says</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRecession Will Push S&P 500 to 3,600, Goldman Sachs Says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-16 11:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3838900-recession-will-push-sp-500-to-3600-goldman-sachs><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Goldman Sachs is cutting its market forecast for the year, but that baseline assumes no recession.Scott Olson/Getty Images NewsGoldman's equity strategy team cut its end-2022 target for the S&P 500 (...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3838900-recession-will-push-sp-500-to-3600-goldman-sachs\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3838900-recession-will-push-sp-500-to-3600-goldman-sachs","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2235492043","content_text":"Goldman Sachs is cutting its market forecast for the year, but that baseline assumes no recession.Scott Olson/Getty Images NewsGoldman's equity strategy team cut its end-2022 target for the S&P 500 (SP500) (NYSEARCA:SPY) to 4,300 from 4,700, noting investors have been \"mauled\" since the Jan. 3 peak for the index.But if there is a recession, it would push the S&P down to 3,600, which would be an 11% drop from current levels.\"Our economists assign a 35% probability of recession in the next two years,\" strategist David Kostin wrote in a note. \"However, if by year-end the economy is poised to enter a recession in 2023, a combination of reduced EPS estimates and a wider yield gap would drive a lower index level.\"If the economy avoids recession, but real rates (TIP) keep rising, that would take the S&P down to 3,800.\"If the Fed is forced to hike by more than our economists expect and real rates rise to 1%, similar to the peak reached during the last cycle in 2018, our macro model suggests that higher rates will more than offset the lower yield gap,\" Kostin said. \"In this scenario, the forward P/E would equal 16x, the lowest level since 2020.\"Goldman did boost its 2022 EPS forecast to up 8% from up 5% after Q1 results.See BofA's buy the dip screens.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9020429616,"gmtCreate":1652674613336,"gmtModify":1676535139373,"author":{"id":"3574906731000207","authorId":"3574906731000207","name":"SSVC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/545a5ea462ff4ac7cc100bd3d8d97f72","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3574906731000207","authorIdStr":"3574906731000207"},"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9020429616","repostId":2235492043,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2235492043","pubTimestamp":1652671574,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2235492043?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-16 11:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Recession Will Push S&P 500 to 3,600, Goldman Sachs Says","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2235492043","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Goldman Sachs is cutting its market forecast for the year, but that baseline assumes no recession.Sc","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Goldman Sachs is cutting its market forecast for the year, but that baseline assumes no recession.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a17cf2ed63dea8cd18a7e33493b714d\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"487\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Scott Olson/Getty Images News</span></p><p>Goldman&#39;s equity strategy team cut its end-2022 target for the S&amp;P 500 (SP500) (NYSEARCA:SPY) to 4,300 from 4,700, noting investors have been &#34;mauled&#34; since the Jan. 3 peak for the index.</p><p>But if there is a recession, it would push the S&amp;P down to 3,600, which would be an 11% drop from current levels.</p><p>&#34;Our economists assign a 35% probability of recession in the next two years,&#34; strategist David Kostin wrote in a note. &#34;However, if by year-end the economy is poised to enter a recession in 2023, a combination of reduced EPS estimates and a wider yield gap would drive a lower index level.&#34;</p><p>If the economy avoids recession, but real rates (TIP) keep rising, that would take the S&amp;P down to 3,800.</p><p>&#34;If the Fed is forced to hike by more than our economists expect and real rates rise to 1%, similar to the peak reached during the last cycle in 2018, our macro model suggests that higher rates will more than offset the lower yield gap,&#34; Kostin said. &#34;In this scenario, the forward P/E would equal 16x, the lowest level since 2020.&#34;</p><p>Goldman did boost its 2022 EPS forecast to up 8% from up 5% after Q1 results.</p><p>See BofA&#39;s buy the dip screens.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b544b7041de1dde8000a221ecb25d32\" tg-width=\"693\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Recession Will Push S&P 500 to 3,600, Goldman Sachs Says</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 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class=\"title\">\nRecession Will Push S&P 500 to 3,600, Goldman Sachs Says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-16 11:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3838900-recession-will-push-sp-500-to-3600-goldman-sachs><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Goldman Sachs is cutting its market forecast for the year, but that baseline assumes no recession.Scott Olson/Getty Images NewsGoldman's equity strategy team cut its end-2022 target for the S&P 500 (...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3838900-recession-will-push-sp-500-to-3600-goldman-sachs\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3838900-recession-will-push-sp-500-to-3600-goldman-sachs","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2235492043","content_text":"Goldman Sachs is cutting its market forecast for the year, but that baseline assumes no recession.Scott Olson/Getty Images NewsGoldman's equity strategy team cut its end-2022 target for the S&P 500 (SP500) (NYSEARCA:SPY) to 4,300 from 4,700, noting investors have been \"mauled\" since the Jan. 3 peak for the index.But if there is a recession, it would push the S&P down to 3,600, which would be an 11% drop from current levels.\"Our economists assign a 35% probability of recession in the next two years,\" strategist David Kostin wrote in a note. \"However, if by year-end the economy is poised to enter a recession in 2023, a combination of reduced EPS estimates and a wider yield gap would drive a lower index level.\"If the economy avoids recession, but real rates (TIP) keep rising, that would take the S&P down to 3,800.\"If the Fed is forced to hike by more than our economists expect and real rates rise to 1%, similar to the peak reached during the last cycle in 2018, our macro model suggests that higher rates will more than offset the lower yield gap,\" Kostin said. \"In this scenario, the forward P/E would equal 16x, the lowest level since 2020.\"Goldman did boost its 2022 EPS forecast to up 8% from up 5% after Q1 results.See BofA's buy the dip screens.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9020461060,"gmtCreate":1652673614850,"gmtModify":1676535138995,"author":{"id":"3579044609497336","authorId":"3579044609497336","name":"LEESIMON","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3579044609497336","authorIdStr":"3579044609497336"},"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9020461060","repostId":2235492043,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2235492043","pubTimestamp":1652671574,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2235492043?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-16 11:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Recession Will Push S&P 500 to 3,600, Goldman Sachs Says","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2235492043","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Goldman Sachs is cutting its market forecast for the year, but that baseline assumes no recession.Sc","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Goldman Sachs is cutting its market forecast for the year, but that baseline assumes no recession.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a17cf2ed63dea8cd18a7e33493b714d\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"487\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Scott Olson/Getty Images News</span></p><p>Goldman&#39;s equity strategy team cut its end-2022 target for the S&amp;P 500 (SP500) (NYSEARCA:SPY) to 4,300 from 4,700, noting investors have been &#34;mauled&#34; since the Jan. 3 peak for the index.</p><p>But if there is a recession, it would push the S&amp;P down to 3,600, which would be an 11% drop from current levels.</p><p>&#34;Our economists assign a 35% probability of recession in the next two years,&#34; strategist David Kostin wrote in a note. &#34;However, if by year-end the economy is poised to enter a recession in 2023, a combination of reduced EPS estimates and a wider yield gap would drive a lower index level.&#34;</p><p>If the economy avoids recession, but real rates (TIP) keep rising, that would take the S&amp;P down to 3,800.</p><p>&#34;If the Fed is forced to hike by more than our economists expect and real rates rise to 1%, similar to the peak reached during the last cycle in 2018, our macro model suggests that higher rates will more than offset the lower yield gap,&#34; Kostin said. &#34;In this scenario, the forward P/E would equal 16x, the lowest level since 2020.&#34;</p><p>Goldman did boost its 2022 EPS forecast to up 8% from up 5% after Q1 results.</p><p>See BofA&#39;s buy the dip screens.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b544b7041de1dde8000a221ecb25d32\" tg-width=\"693\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Recession Will Push S&P 500 to 3,600, Goldman Sachs Says</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRecession Will Push S&P 500 to 3,600, Goldman Sachs Says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-16 11:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3838900-recession-will-push-sp-500-to-3600-goldman-sachs><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Goldman Sachs is cutting its market forecast for the year, but that baseline assumes no recession.Scott Olson/Getty Images NewsGoldman's equity strategy team cut its end-2022 target for the S&P 500 (...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3838900-recession-will-push-sp-500-to-3600-goldman-sachs\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3838900-recession-will-push-sp-500-to-3600-goldman-sachs","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2235492043","content_text":"Goldman Sachs is cutting its market forecast for the year, but that baseline assumes no recession.Scott Olson/Getty Images NewsGoldman's equity strategy team cut its end-2022 target for the S&P 500 (SP500) (NYSEARCA:SPY) to 4,300 from 4,700, noting investors have been \"mauled\" since the Jan. 3 peak for the index.But if there is a recession, it would push the S&P down to 3,600, which would be an 11% drop from current levels.\"Our economists assign a 35% probability of recession in the next two years,\" strategist David Kostin wrote in a note. \"However, if by year-end the economy is poised to enter a recession in 2023, a combination of reduced EPS estimates and a wider yield gap would drive a lower index level.\"If the economy avoids recession, but real rates (TIP) keep rising, that would take the S&P down to 3,800.\"If the Fed is forced to hike by more than our economists expect and real rates rise to 1%, similar to the peak reached during the last cycle in 2018, our macro model suggests that higher rates will more than offset the lower yield gap,\" Kostin said. \"In this scenario, the forward P/E would equal 16x, the lowest level since 2020.\"Goldman did boost its 2022 EPS forecast to up 8% from up 5% after Q1 results.See BofA's buy the dip screens.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9020482782,"gmtCreate":1652673064946,"gmtModify":1676535138881,"author":{"id":"3583107816650694","authorId":"3583107816650694","name":"Jojo888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f316062a27488f432a277a1f87465cc","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3583107816650694","authorIdStr":"3583107816650694"},"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9020482782","repostId":2235492043,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2235492043","pubTimestamp":1652671574,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2235492043?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-16 11:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Recession Will Push S&P 500 to 3,600, Goldman Sachs Says","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2235492043","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Goldman Sachs is cutting its market forecast for the year, but that baseline assumes no recession.Sc","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Goldman Sachs is cutting its market forecast for the year, but that baseline assumes no recession.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a17cf2ed63dea8cd18a7e33493b714d\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"487\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Scott Olson/Getty Images News</span></p><p>Goldman&#39;s equity strategy team cut its end-2022 target for the S&amp;P 500 (SP500) (NYSEARCA:SPY) to 4,300 from 4,700, noting investors have been &#34;mauled&#34; since the Jan. 3 peak for the index.</p><p>But if there is a recession, it would push the S&amp;P down to 3,600, which would be an 11% drop from current levels.</p><p>&#34;Our economists assign a 35% probability of recession in the next two years,&#34; strategist David Kostin wrote in a note. &#34;However, if by year-end the economy is poised to enter a recession in 2023, a combination of reduced EPS estimates and a wider yield gap would drive a lower index level.&#34;</p><p>If the economy avoids recession, but real rates (TIP) keep rising, that would take the S&amp;P down to 3,800.</p><p>&#34;If the Fed is forced to hike by more than our economists expect and real rates rise to 1%, similar to the peak reached during the last cycle in 2018, our macro model suggests that higher rates will more than offset the lower yield gap,&#34; Kostin said. &#34;In this scenario, the forward P/E would equal 16x, the lowest level since 2020.&#34;</p><p>Goldman did boost its 2022 EPS forecast to up 8% from up 5% after Q1 results.</p><p>See BofA&#39;s buy the dip screens.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b544b7041de1dde8000a221ecb25d32\" tg-width=\"693\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Recession Will Push S&P 500 to 3,600, Goldman Sachs Says</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 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class=\"title\">\nRecession Will Push S&P 500 to 3,600, Goldman Sachs Says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-16 11:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3838900-recession-will-push-sp-500-to-3600-goldman-sachs><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Goldman Sachs is cutting its market forecast for the year, but that baseline assumes no recession.Scott Olson/Getty Images NewsGoldman's equity strategy team cut its end-2022 target for the S&P 500 (...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3838900-recession-will-push-sp-500-to-3600-goldman-sachs\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3838900-recession-will-push-sp-500-to-3600-goldman-sachs","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2235492043","content_text":"Goldman Sachs is cutting its market forecast for the year, but that baseline assumes no recession.Scott Olson/Getty Images NewsGoldman's equity strategy team cut its end-2022 target for the S&P 500 (SP500) (NYSEARCA:SPY) to 4,300 from 4,700, noting investors have been \"mauled\" since the Jan. 3 peak for the index.But if there is a recession, it would push the S&P down to 3,600, which would be an 11% drop from current levels.\"Our economists assign a 35% probability of recession in the next two years,\" strategist David Kostin wrote in a note. \"However, if by year-end the economy is poised to enter a recession in 2023, a combination of reduced EPS estimates and a wider yield gap would drive a lower index level.\"If the economy avoids recession, but real rates (TIP) keep rising, that would take the S&P down to 3,800.\"If the Fed is forced to hike by more than our economists expect and real rates rise to 1%, similar to the peak reached during the last cycle in 2018, our macro model suggests that higher rates will more than offset the lower yield gap,\" Kostin said. \"In this scenario, the forward P/E would equal 16x, the lowest level since 2020.\"Goldman did boost its 2022 EPS forecast to up 8% from up 5% after Q1 results.See BofA's buy the dip screens.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"}],"hasMoreComments":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":61,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":2,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false}}