一己之力砸崩市场，美联储主席鲍威尔发布会说了什么？

华尔街见闻2022-11-03

鲍威尔再次强调，希望美联储不会犯紧缩程度不够这种过早退出紧缩政策的错误。他强调，通胀不是唯一加息的条件，美联储还会评估美国金融状况，美联储的主要关注点是保持利率的限制性水平，并称美联储没有过度加息。此外，鲍威尔认为，政策滞后性时间明显缩短，如果过度紧缩，美联储有工具应对。11月2日周三，在美联储议息会议后，美联储主席鲍威尔召开记者会。在记者会上，鲍威尔就美国当前的通胀、美联储的政策、美国宏观经济、...

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独处守心
·2022-11-03
如果美元經濟崩塌，全球經濟將陷入災難！
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Jack2862
·2022-11-03
Gg
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红金鱼辣椒
·2022-11-03
可怕
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断股浮沉
·2022-11-03
說明了他在做空
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- Haruho:
  他不需要用钱，钱对他来说只是数字
  2022-11-03
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lucky第一
·2022-11-03
經濟挺好繼續加息，沒毛病
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抢菜抢菜抢菜
·2022-11-03
說的太好了，不愧爲領袖
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出现过度紧缩怎么办？鲍威尔回应称：如果我们过度紧缩，我们有能力使用强大的工具来支持经济活动。我们需要有力而深思熟虑地使用我们的工具。但是，如果紧缩力度不够，一两年之后大家就会意识到通胀没有得到控制。美国劳动力市场依然过热关于劳动力市场，鲍威尔称，如果没有价格稳定，美国劳动力市场将无法持续强劲。鲍威尔称，当前美国劳动力市场非常强劲，就业人口增速稳健，薪资增速仍然偏高，劳动力市场继续失衡。鲍威尔称，职位空缺指标现在变得异乎寻常的重要。当前美国的薪资问题喜忧参半；工资对通货膨胀有影响，反之亦然；工资不是高通胀的主要原因；并未看到薪资和物价螺旋上升，他希望薪资能可持续地上涨。他认为，还没有看到劳动力市场真正疲软的迹象：我们一直在寻找劳动力市场逐渐复苏和经济放缓的迹象，但目前这些迹象还不明显。鲍威尔称，私营部门工资数据中出现了一丝曙光，但更广泛来看，美国劳动力市场依然过热。鲍威尔对美国劳动力市场软着陆依然抱有希望：我们确实认为劳动力市场可以在不进行大规模裁员的情况下降温。房地产市场并没有明显风险在谈到美国房地产市场时，鲍威尔称，当前，高利率已经显著影响住房市场，房地产市场活动正在下降，不过美国家庭资产负债表依然强劲。鲍威尔称：房地产市场需要恢复平衡，从金融稳定的角度来看，我们还没有看到房地产相关证券的信贷产品承销情况不佳。所以这是一种非常不同的情况，房地产市场没有明显的金融稳定风险。如果美国抗击通胀失败，全球经济形势不会变好在谈到美国宏观经济时，鲍威尔表示，高度关注高通胀给经济增长带来的风险。他说，诸多指标暗示美国经济将在四季度温和增长。鲍威尔称：几十年来，价格稳定都给美国经济带来了益处。通过美联储的行动，可以帮助稳定长期通胀预期。我们需要使用我们的工具来控制通货膨胀，美国物价稳定对全球经济是好事。鲍威尔称，美国经济软着陆的可能性依然存在，不过窗口变窄了：消费支出仍在温和增长，需求将得到消费和储蓄的有力支持，财政困境并没有像我们之前预想的那样显露出来，失业人数也比以往少。关于经济衰退，鲍威尔认为：没人知道经济衰退什么时候到来，没人知道经济衰退会多严重。但是通胀依然严重，这就要求美联储的政策更严格。在被问及对全球经济的看法时，鲍威尔称，全球经济显然处于艰难时刻，强势美元对某些国家构成挑战：我们将在美联储模型中兼顾考虑诸多全球问题。如果美联储抗通胀失败，全球形势不会变得更好。承诺避免美联储高官出现道德问题在谈到近期频频出现的美联储高官丑闻事件时，鲍威尔称：公众的信任是美联储最重要的资产。当我们的官员犯错时，我们就冒着破坏这种信任的风险。我们有一个新的道德体系，这是一个非常好的体系。我们昨天再次承诺要以最高标准要求自己，并承诺将来要避免出现道德问题。此外，鲍威尔称，暂时还没有独立监察长办公室对Bostic正在进行的调查的最新信息。市场反应在记者会结束后，两年期美债收益率涨约8.0个基点，在新闻发布会结束后刷新日高至4.6280%，脱离FOMC一如市场预期地加息75个基点之后跌至的日低4.4328%。现货黄金跌超0.5%，刷新日低至1636.71美元/盎司，脱离鲍威尔新闻发布会开始时反弹至的日高1669.48美元。ICE美元指数涨约0.2%，刷新日高至111.683，脱离发布会开始时跌至的日低110.426。标普500指数下跌2.1%，逼近新闻发布会期间跌至的日低3801.50点，道指下跌超过400点跌幅扩大至1.2%，纳指跌2.9%。","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":665489389,"gmtCreate":1667441476346,"gmtModify":1676537918930,"author":{"id":"3533639338107797","authorId":"3533639338107797","name":"独处守心","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3533639338107797","authorIdStr":"3533639338107797"},"htmlText":"如果美元經濟崩塌，全球經濟將陷入災難！","listText":"如果美元經濟崩塌，全球經濟將陷入災難！","text":"如果美元經濟崩塌，全球經濟將陷入災難！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/665489389","repostId":2280530732,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":9985433181,"gmtCreate":1667437365644,"gmtModify":1676537917537,"author":{"id":"4099483369818900","authorId":"4099483369818900","name":"Jack2862","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bcc0628ed2b106be207097f3afcacb0d","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4099483369818900","authorIdStr":"4099483369818900"},"htmlText":"Gg","listText":"Gg","text":"Gg","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9985433181","repostId":2280530732,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9985430250,"gmtCreate":1667437222370,"gmtModify":1676537917487,"author":{"id":"4090706723019730","authorId":"4090706723019730","name":"红金鱼辣椒","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c95079e353131bb0c2ebda843413a5d","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3dee1aa3a3a3c1814833a4d3f8a5669","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4090706723019730","authorIdStr":"4090706723019730"},"htmlText":"可怕","listText":"可怕","text":"可怕","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9985430250","repostId":2280530732,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":665436194,"gmtCreate":1667433085620,"gmtModify":1676537916136,"author":{"id":"3492767260360019","authorId":"3492767260360019","name":"断股浮沉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94ace4ce671a9223a4f4eec550d2369d","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3492767260360019","authorIdStr":"3492767260360019"},"htmlText":"說明了他在做空","listText":"說明了他在做空","text":"說明了他在做空","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/665436194","repostId":2280530732,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":7723712,"gmtCreate":1667486295023,"gmtModify":1667486296346,"authorId":3581042615783597,"author":{"id":3581042615783597,"idStr":"3581042615783597","authorId":3581042615783597,"name":"Haruho","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d68f6d5b444ad1c40c4034f27b192e7d","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":665436194,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"他不需要用钱，钱对他来说只是数字","text":"他不需要用钱，钱对他来说只是数字","html":"他不需要用钱，钱对他来说只是数字"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":665438860,"gmtCreate":1667432582353,"gmtMo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