除了加不加息，美联储本周还将报告一件大事

6
1
Favorite

除了加不加息，美联储本周还将报告一件大事

金十数据2023-03-20

关键时刻，美联储正盯紧这四个指标。美联储主席鲍威尔将于3月22日召开新闻发布会，除了宣布是否加息外，很可能还会报告美联储对银行业和金融体系的监管状况。据研究显示，通过美联储的监管报告、会议记录和金融状况报告，可以看到美联储在先前危机中监控的近实时压力指标，关系到决策者将如何应对当前的银行业危机。以下是四个与此次银行危机相关且可能影响美联储最终决策的指标：一、银行融资成本指标在评估银行的资金成本...

Source Link

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Report

Comment（1）

Tyliew
·2023-03-20
‌[惊讶] ‌
Reply
Like
Report

Most Discussed

7x24

All

Terms and Conditions·Privacy Policy

Company: TTMF Limited. Tech supported by Xiangshang Yixin.

Email：uservice@ttm.financial

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"data":{"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2320157725?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a0209981cdff7fe62e7a2c1dc992cd7","is_english":false,"pubTime":"2023-03-20 13:45","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"2320157725","market":"us","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"除了加不加息，美联储本周还将报告一件大事","media":"金十数据","content":"<div>\n<p>关键时刻，美联储正盯紧这四个指标。美联储主席鲍威尔将于3月22日召开新闻发布会，除了宣布是否加息外，很可能还会报告美联储对银行业和金融体系的监管状况。据研究显示，通过美联储的监管报告、会议记录和金融状况报告，可以看到美联储在先前危机中监控的近实时压力指标，关系到决策者将如何应对当前的银行业危机。以下是四个与此次银行危机相关且可能影响美联储最终决策的指标：一、 银行融资成本指标在评估银行的资金成本...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=108658&type=news&data_type=0\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"xnew_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>除了加不加息，美联储本周还将报告一件大事</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n除了加不加息，美联储本周还将报告一件大事\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-03-20 13:45 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=108658&type=news&data_type=0><strong>金十数据</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>关键时刻，美联储正盯紧这四个指标。美联储主席鲍威尔将于3月22日召开新闻发布会，除了宣布是否加息外，很可能还会报告美联储对银行业和金融体系的监管状况。据研究显示，通过美联储的监管报告、会议记录和金融状况报告，可以看到美联储在先前危机中监控的近实时压力指标，关系到决策者将如何应对当前的银行业危机。以下是四个与此次银行危机相关且可能影响美联储最终决策的指标：一、 银行融资成本指标在评估银行的资金成本...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=108658&type=news&data_type=0\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"513500","symbol_name":"标普500ETF","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=108658&type=news&data_type=0","article_id":"2320157725","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a0209981cdff7fe62e7a2c1dc992cd7"],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2320157725","pubTimestamp":1679291107,"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"xnew_highlight","name":"金十要闻"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"关键时刻，美联储正盯紧这四个指标。","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"jin10.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓"},"translate_title":"In addition to rate hike, the Fed will report a major event this week","themeId":"","isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d75e27df2d4ec3aadac71cc01ce62233","symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,".IXIC":1,".DJI":1,"SPY":1,"NQmain":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"UDOW":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"PSQ":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"DJX":0.6,"DDM":0.6,".SPX":0.6},"content_text":"关键时刻，美联储正盯紧这四个指标。美联储主席鲍威尔将于3月22日召开新闻发布会，除了宣布是否加息外，很可能还会报告美联储对银行业和金融体系的监管状况。据研究显示，通过美联储的监管报告、会议记录和金融状况报告，可以看到美联储在先前危机中监控的近实时压力指标，关系到决策者将如何应对当前的银行业危机。以下是四个与此次银行危机相关且可能影响美联储最终决策的指标：一、 银行融资成本指标在评估银行的资金成本方面，股价是美联储的一大关注点。与大型银行相比，地方银行面临的压力更大，因为大型银行受到更严格的监管，享受更好的资本和流动性的要求，而且更容易进入资本市场。地方银行的压力在危机时又会成为大型银行的动力。因为小银行一旦表现出不稳定性，大量存款就会转移流入大银行，这也是为什么头部银行的股票相对表现也会更好。2008年的金融危机中，美联储就曾考虑30天金融和非金融AA级商业票据的利差，将其作为衡量银行融资成本的另一个指标。这一指标在金融危机中尤为重要，因为面临资本和流动性短缺时，银行短期信贷成本加大。此次银行危机爆发后，利差波动相对温和，仅于瑞信危机后扩大了7个基点，仍处于正常的历史区间内，SVB事件对其影响并不大。金融公司的30天融资成本并未变得更高昂。二、金融系统风险指标美联储使用金融市场监控工具监管银行，而其中，大型银行是监管重点。11月美联储公布的监管和规范报告的第十页展示了下列两个实时风险指标。第一是美联储通过将银行市值除以市值与总负债之和得到平均“市场杠杆率”。股价的压力自然会导致市场杠杆率有所下降。第二是美联储研究的大型银行的信用违约掉期（CDS）平均利差，自SVB和签名银行倒闭以来，该利差略有上升。尽管风险信号亮红，但只是上升至去年10月的水平，可能并未触及警戒水平。不过大型银行无疑会再次从此次地方银行爆雷事件中受益。不仅仅是大型银行，整个金融行业的CDS利差都备受美联储关注。2008年，美联储审查了179家金融机构的CDS利差指数。虽然最近几天略有上升，但与去年相比，利差仍然很低。三、民间信贷成本指标即便此次信贷危机是由于暂时的流动性紧张，整个实体经济的融资状况也将受到影响。为了监控实体经济的信贷状况，美联储将紧盯企业债与美国国债的利差，以密切关注风险溢价和更广泛的资本成本。鉴于SVB倒闭之后，企业债券利差扩幅增至35-40个基点，企业资本成本略微上浮，这也将纳入监管考虑之一。不过，利差是否扩至触及警戒水平还有待考量，或不会导致美联储政策转向。四、较低频的指标除了上述基于市场的实时监控指标之外，美联储还考虑了一系列较低频数据，包括：银行高级信贷员调查、基于季度业绩报告和业绩的资本充足率和流动性指标、以及压力测试结果。虽然硅谷银行和瑞信爆雷引发了市场恐慌情绪，不过就目前研究来看，金融风险外溢可能性不大，至少相比于过去的危机概率很小。美联储应持类似观点，预计3月联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）会议释放出相同信号，最有可能的结果是加息25个基点。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":9943164648,"gmtCreate":1679291936485,"gmtModify":1679291940234,"author":{"id":"3586350955637820","authorId":"3586350955637820","name":"Tyliew","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/160e574cf1b0ade27622b7fde3d21d2b","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3586350955637820","authorIdStr":"3586350955637820"},"htmlText":"‌<a href=\"\">[惊讶]&nbsp;</a>‌","listText":"‌<a href=\"\">[惊讶]&nbsp;</a>‌","text":"‌[惊讶] ‌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943164648","repostId":2320157725,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"}],"hasMoreComments":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false}}