Tesla’s Stock Is Plummeting. Here’s Why One Analyst Thinks It’s "One of the Most Overvalued" on the Market and Could Drop Another 80%

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Tesla’s Stock Is Plummeting. Here’s Why One Analyst Thinks It’s "One of the Most Overvalued" on the Market and Could Drop Another 80%

Fortune2023-04-24

Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla (center), during the MMA Global Possible conference in Miami, April 18, 2023.Tesla stock cratered nearly 10% on last Thursday as investors assessed the impact of the electric ...

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UTOtrader
·2023-04-24
Shorties going to short it more down hahaha
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Rkid
·2023-04-24
It's a great buying opportunity !!!
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7mate34
·2023-04-24
This may spell the end of 'Elon bull' and down hill for Tesla stock. Be Watching from the side line with a smile.
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Roy pv
·2023-04-24
We can expect a huge and positive announcement in near future from musk's side
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Cheryi
·2023-04-24
Ok
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- Cheryi:
  ok
  2023-04-24
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MickeyBond
·2023-04-24
Ok
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KHAN BRAND
·2023-04-24
selling
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Funboy
·2023-04-24
No harm.
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Guavaxf30
·2023-04-24
A bit mixed in the concensus but the challenegs are obvious. Musk may be either a kid who had gotten lucky and is now too fullof himself (Twitter and space) or a brilliant genius not understood by most. Only time will tell. For now, I personally will go light but may turn heavy really fast too. DYOD.
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- Stevenwml:
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  2023-04-24
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- aozora:
  Gd
  2023-04-24
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- Hosay_hosay:
  [Happy][Happy][Happy]
  2023-04-24
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Upswing118
·2023-04-24
Booooo!
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Patek1975
·2023-04-24
Sell me to make me a millionaire by 2027
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UTOtrader
·2023-04-24
Selling
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Here’s Why One Analyst Thinks It’s \"One of the Most Overvalued\" on the Market and Could Drop Another 80%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-04-24 07:40 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/tesla-stock-plummeting-why-one-193727177.html><strong>Fortune</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla (center), during the MMA Global Possible conference in Miami, April 18, 2023.Tesla stock cratered nearly 10% on last Thursday as investors assessed the impact of the electric ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/tesla-stock-plummeting-why-one-193727177.html\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"LU0234570918.USD","symbol_name":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/tesla-stock-plummeting-why-one-193727177.html","article_id":"2329872839","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2329872839","pubTimestamp":1682293249,"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"yahoofinance","name":"雅虎金融"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla (center), during the MMA Global Possible conference in Miami, April 18, 2023","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"yahoo.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","BK4555":"新能源车","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","TSLA":"特斯拉","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4527":"明星科技股","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4588":"碎股","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","BK4574":"无人驾驶","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","BK4581":"高盛持仓","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","BK4099":"汽车制造商","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD"},"translate_title":"特斯拉的股票正在暴跌。这就是为什么一位分析师认为它是市场上“最被高估的股票之一”，可能会再下跌80%","themeId":"","isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":1},"content_text":"Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla (center), during the MMA Global Possible conference in Miami, April 18, 2023.Tesla stock cratered nearly 10% on last Thursday as investors assessed the impact of the electric vehicle giant’s aggressive price cuts and what CEO Elon Musk calls an “uncertain” economic environment.Tesla has slashed the prices of some of its most popular models six times this year alone in an attempt to spur demand amid rising competition in the EV market, but analysts have cautioned that the tactic sacrifices margins. Investors got the first taste of what that might look like on Wednesday after the bell when Musk and company reported first-quarter earnings.While Tesla’s revenue jumped 24% from a year ago in the first quarter to $23.3 billion, net income went in the other direction, sinking 24% to $2.51 billion. Price cuts also pushed the company’s gross margins down from 23.8% last quarter to 19.3%, well below Wall Street’s consensus estimate of 21.1%.On top of that, Musk said in the follow-up earnings call that “stormy weather” lies ahead for the economy, which could cause consumers to postpone “big new capital purchases like a new car.” He also noted that the Federal Reserve’s rapid interest rate hikes have had a serious impact on affordability over the past year: “Every time that the Fed raises interest rates, that’s the equivalent to an increase in the price of a car.”Musk’s comments and Tesla’s latest earnings disappointment have pushed the once-beloved stock even deeper into what David Trainer calls the “danger zone.”“After first-quarter earnings and another missed growth goal, we continue to see Tesla as one of the most overvalued stocks in the market,” the CEO of investment research firm New Constructs warned in a Thursday note. Trainer believes investors are pricing in sales growth and automotive margins that aren’t realistic, and with competition heating up, Tesla shares present a “major downside risk.” And he’s serious when he says “downside,” arguing the stock could drop as much as 80% to just $28 even under “optimistic” circumstances.Fading growth, rising competitionFor years, the booming EV market has enabled Tesla to rapidly increase its vehicle deliveries, and many analysts have argued that the trend will continue. But Trainer notes that Musk’s EV giant hasn’t been able to live up to its own lofty 50% year-over-year delivery growth goal. In the first quarter, Tesla managed to deliver 440,808 vehicles, representing a 42% year-over-year delivery increase—even amid aggressive price cuts. The missed delivery targets are largely due to the rise of Musk’s EV competition, according to Trainer.From Volkswagen unveiling a flagship four-door ID.7 Monday and a mass-market, affordable EV last month to Toyota’s promise to launch 10 new EV models by 2026, Tesla rivals are striving to take market share from Tesla.“Competition isn’t going away, as legacy automakers have ample resources and cash flow to invest in the EV market for years to come,” Trainer wrote Thursday. “Tesla faces an increasingly uphill battle to secure its competitive position, which makes its current valuation look even more unrealistic.”A lofty valuationWhile Tesla has been hurt by rising EV competition, Trainer believes the main issue may be just how overvalued the stock is for investors. The EV giant trades at more than 45 times its trailing 12-month earnings, compared with the S&P 500 average of just 22. But price/earnings ratios are often criticized by analysts because they fail to take into account a firm’s future growth prospects. With this in mind, Trainer put forward another method to value Tesla that works backwards from a company’s share price to determine how much cash flow they’d need to generate to justify their current valuation, called a reverse discounted cash flow (DCF) model.He found that for Tesla to be valued at $200 per share, it would have to sell as many as 30 million EVs by 2031. For reference, there were only 10.6 million EVs sold globally all of last year, according to the World Economic Forum. Trainer and his research team broke down multiple “inarguably best-case scenarios” for Tesla in their latest report, including one where the company becomes the largest automaker on the planet within a decade, and found that the stock is still “significantly overvalued.”But there’s always another side to the story…While even the most bullish of Tesla analysts now admit that the company is facing an “EV price war,” many still believe the stock can outperform. Tesla currently boasts 21 “buy” ratings, 16 “hold” ratings, and just five “sell” ratings on the Street, according to data from the Wall Street Journal. In a Thursday note, Wedbush tech analyst Dan Ives cut his price target for Tesla from $225 to $215, but said he remains “very bullish” on the firm’s long-term story. He argued that Tesla posted “mixed results” in its latest earnings report, but admitted that the “elephant in the room” is “softer margins.” Still, the analyst believes Musk’s strategy to sacrifice margins in order to secure long-term demand gains will pay off in the long run.Gene Munster, another bullish veteran analyst who now serves as a managing partner at Deepwater Asset Management, pointed to the potential for growth in Tesla’s full self-driving “robotaxi” business, and noted that Musk said the Cybertruck “may begin deliveries” in the third quarter.“In the end, I believe the company will strike a balance between margins and growth,” he wrote in a Wednesday note, arguing the company offers long-term upside.","kind":null,"is_publish_news":null,"is_publish_highlight":null,"is_publish_live":null,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":9947005439,"gmtCreate":1682318603822,"gmtModify":1682318609217,"author":{"id":"3574547619690492","authorId":"3574547619690492","name":"UTOtrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82be6befb29ac8516e463638d3f659d5","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Shorties going to short it more down hahaha&nbsp;","listText":"Shorties going to short it more down hahaha&nbsp;","text":"Shorties going to short it more down hahaha","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9947005439","repostId":2329872839,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9944775841,"gmtCreate":1682302717384,"gmtModify":1682302720957,"author":{"id":"3563842318594455","authorId":"3563842318594455","name":"Rkid","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2643891549304031c32c05b207f0f2b6","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0a2963eb37c60c5d6d4a8dbcd266952","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"htmlText":"It's a great buying opportunity !!!","listText":"It's a great buying opportunity !!!","text":"It's a great buying opportunity !!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944775841","repostId":2329872839,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9944775034,"gmtCreate":1682302371728,"gmtModify":1682302374709,"author":{"id":"4116046903655472","authorId":"4116046903655472","name":"7mate34","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e464589bf0fa038b72a6b8628440cef2","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"This may spell the end of &nbsp;'Elon bull' and down hill for Tesla stock. Be Watching&nbsp;from the side line with a smile.&nbsp;","listText":"This may spell the end of &nbsp;'Elon bull' and down hill for Tesla stock. Be Watching&nbsp;from the side line with a smile.&nbsp;","text":"This may spell the end of 'Elon bull' and down hill for Tesla stock. Be Watching from the side line with a smile.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944775034","repostId":2329872839,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9944772493,"gmtCreate":1682302352813,"gmtModify":1682302356961,"author":{"id":"4135428748518022","authorId":"4135428748518022","name":"Roy pv","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0aaef0d11e3727af41b7b5e1768d6b58","vip":1,"crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"We can expect a huge and positive announcement in near future from musk's side&nbsp;","listText":"We can expect a huge and positive announcement in near future from musk's side&nbsp;","text":"We can expect a huge and positive announcement in near future from musk's side","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944772493","repostId":2329872839,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9944776201,"gmtCreate":1682299383904,"gmtModify":1682299387618,"author":{"id":"3568940106394782","authorId":"3568940106394782","name":"Cheryi","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944776201","repostId":2329872839,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":106331820,"gmtCreate":1682299391745,"gmtModify":1682299398239,"authorId":3568940106394782,"author":{"id":3568940106394782,"authorId":3568940106394782,"name":"Cheryi","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9944776201,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"<u>ok</u>","text":"<u>ok</u>","html":"<u>ok</u>"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9944778881,"gmtCreate":1682297759243,"gmtModify":1682297762782,"author":{"id":"4116119002753472","authorId":"4116119002753472","name":"MickeyBond","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944778881","repostId":2329872839,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9944771775,"gmtCreate":1682297338297,"gmtModify":1682297342338,"author":{"id":"4136970966827792","authorId":"4136970966827792","name":"KHAN BRAND","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2fea8e29369f8def6902130be7f3e72e","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"selling&nbsp;","listText":"selling&nbsp;","text":"selling","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944771775","repostId":2329872839,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9944771141,"gmtCreate":1682296950683,"gmtModify":1682296955448,"author":{"id":"4126361621716122","authorId":"4126361621716122","name":"Funboy","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/751b0ae501d221e3669b2e546565a1a3","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"htmlText":"No harm.","listText":"No harm.","text":"No harm.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944771141","repostId":2329872839,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9944771958,"gmtCreate":1682296673475,"gmtModify":1682296677638,"author":{"id":"3576140222331577","authorId":"3576140222331577","name":"Guavaxf30","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ff15ff6aa254c9130f9af922f7e2447","vip":1,"crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"htmlText":"A bit mixed in the concensus but the challenegs are obvious. Musk may be either a kid who had gotten lucky and is now too fullof himself (Twitter and space) or a brilliant genius not understood by most. Only time will tell.&nbsp; For now, I personally will go light but may turn heavy really fast too. DYOD.","listText":"A bit mixed in the concensus but the challenegs are obvious. Musk may be either a kid who had gotten lucky and is now too fullof himself (Twitter and space) or a brilliant genius not understood by most. Only time will tell.&nbsp; For now, I personally will go light but may turn heavy really fast too. DYOD.","text":"A bit mixed in the concensus but the challenegs are obvious. Musk may be either a kid who had gotten lucky and is now too fullof himself (Twitter and space) or a brilliant genius not understood by most. Only time will tell. For now, I personally will go light but may turn heavy really fast too. DYOD.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":14,"commentSize":10,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944771958","repostId":2329872839,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":106331850,"gmtCreate":1682300520136,"gmtModify":1682300523594,"authorId":4100316437044830,"author":{"id":4100316437044830,"authorId":4100316437044830,"name":"Stevenwml","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6c709b93db815fb5a0c95b5f3ecd2c56","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9944771958,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"<u>I</u>","text":"<u>I</u>","html":"<u>I</u>"},{"id":106331823,"gmtCreate":1682299591512,"gmtModify":1682300143651,"authorId":3562713646670910,"author":{"id":3562713646670910,"authorId":3562713646670910,"name":"aozora","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d3299fd75dc0e0c74372c8cf9c8adcc","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9944771958,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"<span 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