外媒头条 | 联储官员称加息或暂停都有理由-To The Moon - Tiger Brokers Online Investing Community

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外媒头条 | 联储官员称加息或暂停都有理由

环球市场播报2023-05-16

全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：1、美联储官员暗示加息或按兵不动都有理由但降息并非考虑选项 2、摩根士丹利策略师Wilson：债务上限之争将引发股市剧烈波动 3、经济衰退？从美国企业的获利得知衰退已经来了　　4、微软对动视暴雪690亿美元的收购交易获得欧盟批准　　5、美亿万富翁Jones称美联储加息已完结股市今年会涨 6、欧盟上调欧元区通胀...

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Kashkari周一在明尼苏达州圣保罗举行的讨论会上表示：“美联储在推动通胀回落方面可能有更多工作要做”。 　　他说，“劳动力市场仍然很热，我们没有看到明显降温。这告诉我，在通胀回落之前我们还有很长的路要走”。　　摩根士丹利策略师Wilson：债务上限之争将引发股市剧烈波动　　华尔街最悲观的声音之一、摩根士丹利策略师Michael Wilson预计，针对提高美国政府31.4万亿美元借款上限的争论将引发股市剧烈波动。　　大多数客户“相信事情最终会得到解决，但短期内不可能风平浪静，” Wilson在一份报告中写道，并补充说，许多客户认为此事对“市场是双输”。　　准确预测了2022年美国股市下跌的Wilson表示，鉴于近期历史上标普500指数对流动性变化的敏感度，即使在所谓的“大限日”（美国财政部现金耗尽的那一天）之前提高债务上限，也可能挤压流动性并导致该指数下跌。　　经济衰退？从美国企业的获利得知衰退已经来了　　随着美国经济在衰退的边缘载沉载浮，华尔街已经在忍受七年来持续最久的企业利润下滑。　　随着第一季度财报季接近尾声，标普500指数成分股公司的获利料同比平均下跌3.7%。虽然汇编的数据显示，78%的公司获利超出预期，但鉴于分析师在该季度开始前下调预期，因此上述数据其实没有那么令人印象深刻。　　更重要的是，这是美国企业盈利连续第二个季度下滑。根据汇编的数据，对企业获利的悲观预估现在集中在4月至6月期间，预计这段期间的利润将下滑7.3%。分析师认为，利率上升和消费者需求萎缩带来的压力将延续到2023年第三季度，此前的预测是届时盈利将开始复苏。　　微软对动视暴雪690亿美元的收购交易获得欧盟批准　　微软对动视暴雪690亿美元的收购交易获得了欧盟的批准。就在几周前，英国并购监管机构做出了令人震惊的决定，否决了这笔游戏行业有史以来规模最大的交易。　　欧盟委员会表示，其自身份析显示，这笔交易不会损害竞争，因为微软承诺十年内让云领域的竞争对手在他们自己的平台上提供《使命召唤》等重磅产品。　　欧盟的批准与英国竞争和市场管理局上月的决定刚好相反。美国联邦贸易委员会去年也寻求阻止这笔交易。　　美亿万富翁Jones称美联储加息已完结 股市今年会涨　　亿万富翁Paul Tudor Jones表示，美联储加息已完结，即使经济放缓，股市今年也会涨。　　美联储“可能会宣布获胜，”Tudor Investment Corp．创始人Jones在接受采访时表示。他还表示，通胀率已经连续12个月放缓，“这在历史上从未有过。”　　尽管Jones表示经济可能在第三或第四季度陷入衰退，但他预计股市今年会涨。“我并非狂热看涨，因为我认为这将是一个缓慢的过程，”他说，并把这段时间与2006年6月相比，当时美联储停止加息，股市又涨了一年。　　欧盟上调欧元区通胀预期 因核心价格飙升　　欧盟委员会大幅上调了欧元区通胀前景，并警告称存在 “持续挑战”，尽管欧盟承认欧元区经济强韧。　　欧盟官员指出基础通胀压力强劲，将今年CPI预测上调至上涨5.8%，2024年的预测上调至上涨2.8%。欧盟官员也上调了展望期内的经济增长预测。　　上调通胀前景的关键在于，欧盟委员会将剔除了食品等波动性项目的核心通胀率评估上调了3/4个百分点。欧盟官员表示，今年和明年的核心通胀将超过总体通胀。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":null,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComments":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false}}