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Good morning. I'm Angus Berwick, with your post-election markets update.
Donald Trump has been elected president, pushing the "Trump trade" into overdrive.
Stocks rallied and bitcoin soared, with investors piling into trades that align with a second Trump presidency. The dollar and Treasury yields both jumped, reflecting bets that Trump's policies could widen the budget deficit and stoke inflation, while tariffs would strain trading partners.
Bets on a Trump victory built overnight and accelerated as his return to the White House grew closer in the early hours of Wednesday. His election is likely to affect broad swaths of economic policy, changes that investors rushed to incorporate into the prices of stocks, bonds and currencies around the world.
"The markets are now trading full-on Trump trade," said Stephen Dainton, a senior executive at Barclays who oversees the lender's investment bank including its large trading division.
Our Gunjan Banerji and Sam Goldfarb dive deeper into the Trump trade lower down to unpick what is moving the most.
Follow our live coverage throughout the day for the latest news affecting markets.
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Stocks to Watch
Tesla : Shares of Elon Musk's electric-vehicle company rose 13% before the bell. Musk emerged as one of Trump's most vocal backers during his campaign.
JPMorgan Chase , Bank of America and Goldman Sachs : The U.S.'s biggest lenders and investment banks rallied premarket on hopes for lighter-touch regulation and higher interest income under a Trump administration.
Coinbase : The cryptocurrency exchange's stock rose 12% in offhours trading, as bitcoin prices soared. MicroStrategy , a software company with a massive bitcoin stash, also rallied. Trump has said he wants to make the U.S. the "world capital for crypto".
Plug Power , SunRun , First Solar , Enphase Energy : Shares of energy companies focused on the transition from fossil fuels dropped. Trump has said he will hold back funds unspent under the Inflation Reduction Act, which tried to jumpstart the clean-energy industry.
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Trump Win Reverberates Through Markets
By Gunjan Banerji and Sam Goldfarb
Stock futures jumped and Treasury yields surged as Donald Trump secured victory in the presidential election, with investors piling into trades aligned with the incoming administration's policies on areas including tariffs, taxes, government borrowing and cryptocurrencies.
Shares of Trump Media & Technology, known as DJT, soared. The U.S. dollar, bitcoin and shares of Tesla-bets that are also linked to Trump's prospects-rose.
Futures linked to major stock indexes climbed, with both S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average futures advancing more than 2%. Those tied to the Russell 2000 index of small companies, which tend to be the most sensitive to the economy's ups and downs, added 5%.
Investors dumped bonds, sending the yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note above 4.4%.
Keep reading . Charting the Markets
Bitcoin hit a new record high overnight, briefly topping $75,000 for the first time. Trump has embraced crypto as part of his agenda and promised to make the U.S. the "crypto capital of the planet."
Shares of Trump's upstart social-media company soared over 30% early Wednesday. The rally in Trump Media & Technology, the parent company of Truth Social, extends several weeks of highly volatile trading, with investors using the shares to wager on a Trump victory , rather than Truth Social's fledgling business.
Oil prices and shares of clean-energy companies slipped this morning . Trump campaigned on the slogan of "Drill, baby, drill," saying he would encourage more production through weaker environmental regulations and faster permitting. More supply could mean lower prices.
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Investors believe they have a handle on what Trump will do this time. But, according to our senior markets columnist James Mackintosh , it's not obvious that they are any better at assessing politics, or that Trump himself is any more predictable.
Voters have re-elected Trump in great part out of dissatisfaction with the economy under President Biden and nostalgia for the low inflation and prepandemic conditions of the former president's first term, writes our chief economics commentator Greg Ip .
The Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut interest rates by a quarter-percentage point at its meeting that ends Thursday. A reduction days after the election would shift the focus to what could stop officials from cutting in December to preserve a solid job market.
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About Us
We want to be the first place you go to get ready for the opening bell every day. This newsletter was written by Angus Berwick ( [angus.berwick@wsj.com]) in London.
This article is a text version of a Wall Street Journal newsletter published earlier today.
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
November 06, 2024 06:42 ET (11:42 GMT)
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