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Oil Glut Reduces Price-Shock Risk From Trump's Foreign Policy -- WSJ

Dow Jones01-05

By Ed Ballard

Oil futures wobbled on Monday after the U.S. ousted President Nicolás Maduro of Venezuela, a major crude-producing country.

One reason for the muted move is that the market is awash with enough crude to absorb potential short-term supply disruption. That is partly due to efforts by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies to control prices by curbing production.

OPEC+'s strategy may have emboldened President Trump to take aggressive action against oil-producing countries, says Daniel Sternoff, a researcher at Columbia University's Center on Global Energy Policy.

"It is an open question whether Trump would have bombed Fordow [in Iran], sanctioned Lukoil and Rosneft, or seized Venezuelan oil cargoes if oil markets were tight and prices were above $90 per barrel," Sternoff said on Sunday.

Yesterday, eight OPEC+ members led by Saudi Arabia said they planned to maintain their pause on output increases.

This item is part of a Wall Street Journal live coverage event. The full stream can be found by searching P/WSJL (WSJ Live Coverage).

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

January 05, 2026 07:48 ET (12:48 GMT)

Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.

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